3rd january,2013 daily global rice e newsletter by riceplus magazine

3rd January,2014

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TOP Contents - Tailored for YOU
Latest News Headlines…
 Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap – Very Quiet Market As Participants Return from Holiday
 Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Emerging Market Curries, Euro Fall Against the Greenback
 Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Rally as Shorts Pay-up to Exit January Positions as
Receipts Remain in Short Supply
 Cambodia Exports 378,856 Tons of Rice in 2013; Up 84% from Previous Year
 Qatar Tenders to Buy 24,000 Tons of India Basmati Rice
 Lower Prices Likely to Boost Thailand Rice Exports in 2014
 Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Prepare to Reopen Following Mid-Week New Year
Holiday Break
 India Exports 9.6 Million Tons of Rice in January – November 2013
 Asia Rice Quotes Mixed Today
 Oryza Global Rice Quotes
 Oryza Quick Glance at World News

NEWS DETAILS:
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap – Very Quiet Market As Participants Return from
Holiday
Jan 02, 2014

The U.S. cash market was very quiet today as buyers and sellers returned from the holiday to find that they were
miles apart on price ideas.
As of today, offers were unchanged near $15.55-$16.66 per fob farm (about $343-$367 per ton), depending on

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where they are located in the U.S. mid-South and how quickly they could ship.
Bids from larger mills increased slightly to around $15.00 per cwt (about $331 per ton) while bids from
exporters could still be found around $15.15 per cwt (about $334 per ton), both for January through February
delivery, however there was no selling interest at these levels.
In the meantime, weekly export sales were delayed until Friday morning due to the Wednesday holiday.
Tags: U.S. rice prices, U.S. rice market

Oryza Rice Currency Analysis for Today – Emerging Market Curries, Euro Fall
Against the Greenback
Jan 02, 2014

U.S. dollar index was up +0.65% from the open today, when it traded at 80.627 at the close.
Euro was weaker -0.77% today by the close, trading around 1.3656 by end of day, after trading between an
intraday high of 1.3775 and low of 1.3630. The euro fell on bets the recent rally is overdone.
Thai baht was weaker -0.75%, trading at 32.970 at the close of business.
Indian rupee was -0.58% weaker, trading at 62.2675.
Brazilian real was -1.08% weaker than the open at today’s close, when it ended at 2.3878 reais per dollar.
Pakistan rupee was -0.24% weaker at 105.5933.
Vietnamese dong was weaker -0.02% at 21110.
Mexican peso was -0.85% weaker today, when it traded at 13.1516 pesos per dollar by the close of business
today.
Chinese yuan was +0.07% stronger at 6.0508.
Argentine peso was -0.38% weaker at 6.5445 pesos per dollar.
Tags: foreign exchange rates

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Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Rally as Shorts Pay-up to
Exit January Positions as Receipts Remain in Short Supply
Jan 02, 2014

Chicago rough rice futures for March delivery settled 23.5 cents per cwt (about $5 per ton) higher at $15.510
per cwt (about $342 per ton). Rough rice futures rallied today, supported by an uptick in January/September
spread activity that saw the nearby contract trade as high as a 50 cent per cwt (about $11 per ton) premium to
the active March contract. We are likely witnessing the a last push by the remaining shorts who have decided to
pay up rather than attempt to procure outstanding receipts which remain in strong hands. The other grains were
lower today, led to the downside by a sharp drop in the soy complex; soybeans finished the day about 1.7%
lower at $12.7000 per bushel; wheat finished about 1.4% lower at $5.9700 per bushel; and corn finished the day
about 0.4% lower at $4.2050 per bushel.
U.S. stocks fell sharply on Thursday, with Wall Street headed for its first negative start to a year in six, as a
downgrade of Apple hit technology shares and another set of better-than-expected economic reports failed to
move investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was lately at session lows. The S&P 500 declined, with
technology the hardest hit of the index's 10 major industry sectors, all of which were in the red. The Nasdaq
also lost ground. U.S. stock markets are currently trading about 0.8% lower, gold is trading about 1.8% higher,
crude oil is seen trading about 2.9% lower, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.6% higher at
about 2:00pm Chicago time.
Looking to the daily continuation chart of Chicago rough rice futures for March delivery, the market broke out
of its recent $15.200-$15.400 per cwt (about $335-$340 per ton) sideways trading range which had maintained
price action over the previous two weeks. Today’s move higher has been attributed to a furry of spread activity
with the January/March spread setting the tone. A look at open interest in the morning will likely show a large
drop in the nearby contract. Technically today’s activity provides a positive outlook for tomorrow’s trade
direction, as multiple layers of resistance were taken out on today’s rally. However; the market did close just
above the 20-day moving average, noted at $15.500 per cwt (about $342 per ton), a level that will be closely
monitored. Today’s trading range is noted as $15.275-$15.540 per cwt (about $337-$343 per ton).
Tuesday, there were 284 contracts traded, up from 276 contracts traded on Monday. Open interest – the number
of contracts outstanding – on Tuesday decreased by 6 contracts to 6,962.
Tags: chicago rough rice futures, U.S. rice prices, U.S. rice market

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Cambodia Exports 378,856 Tons of Rice in 2013; Up 84% from Previous Year
Jan 02, 2014

Cambodia exported around 378,856 tons of rice in
the calendar year 2013, up about 84% from around
205,717 tons exported in the previous year,
according to official sources. Total rice exports in
2013 included around 156,770 tons of jasmine rice
(41% of total rice exports) and about 194,003 tons
of long grain rice (51% of total rice exports).
Cambodia’s rice exports in December 2013 stand
at around 46,847 tons of rice, the highest monthly
volume in 2013 and up about 24% from around
37,855 tons in the previous month, and up about
36% from around 34,328 tons of rice exports in
December 2012.
Cambodia’s major rice export destinations in 2013
include European nations, Malaysia, Thailand, and
China.
Tags: Cambodia rice exports

Qatar Tenders to Buy 24,000 Tons of
India Basmati Rice
Jan 02, 2014

Qatar is seeking to purchase 24,000 tons of 1121
Indian basmati rice in an international tender.
According to the Tenders Committee, the last date
of submission of applications is January 20, 2014.
For further details please contact Tel: 44378192
/225 /143 /149 or visit: www.ctc.gov.qa
Tags: Qatar rice tender, india basmati rice

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Lower Prices Likely to Boost Thailand Rice Exports in 2014

Jan 02, 2014

Low rice prices and huge stocks of rice are expected to help Thailand’s rice exports bounce back to over 8
million tons in 2014, the highest yearly export volume since the government started the rice mortgage program
in October 2011.Thailand used to the world’s largest rice exporter with around 10.6 million tons of rice exports
in 2010-11. However, artificially high prices due to government intervention led to a decline of around 35% to
about 6.9 million tons in 2011-12. Rice exports are expected to reach around 7 million tons in 2012-13, but
prices have declined sharply in recent months and are likely to remain at low levels in the coming
months.According to Thai Rice Packers Association (TRPA), Thailand’s domestic white rice prices are
expected to remain at last year’s levels due to over-supply. Local sources also say that competition may drive
traders to offer significant discounts in 2014.
The USDA projects Thailand’s rice exports will bounce to around 8.5 million tons in 2013-14 (up about 21%
from the previous year), while the Department of Foreign Trade hopes that rice exports may surge to up to 10
million tons in 2013-14 due to growing demand in several countries. The Director-General of the Department of
Foreign Trade says the department has developed new plans to boost sales to both old and new markets,

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especially in South Africa and Russia, which will boost exports.However, the Thai Rice Exporters Association
(TREA) says that it would be difficult for Thailand to become the world’s largest rice exporter again. According
to TREA, Thailand’s rice exports are expected to reach around 7.5 million tons in 2014, with the increase
mainly attributed to demand in China and the Philippines. TREA says that India has sufficient stocks to remain
the world’s largest rice exporter in 2014, while the less expensive Vietnamese rice has snatched Thailand’s
market share in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia in recent years.
Tags: Thailand rice exports

Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Prepare to Reopen Following
Mid-Week New Year Holiday Break
Jan 02, 2014

Agricultural futures have been closed since Tuesday afternoon and are scheduled to reopen at 8:30am Chicago
time this morning.
U.S. stock index futures pointed to a slightly lower open on the first trading day of 2014 after data showed
jobless claims falling for a second week in a row amid fears of slower growth in China, which weighed on
Asian stocks. Stock futures remained modestly down after the government reported jobless claims slipped by
2,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 339,000. At 10 a.m. Eastern, there will be the ISM (Institute of Supply
Management) index, tracking changes in U.S. manufacturing in December, plus construction spending numbers
for November. No U.S. companies of note are due to report earnings before Wall Street opens on Thursday.
U.S. stocks closed 2013 at record highs, with the S&P 500 posting its largest annual jump in 16 years, and the
benchmark Dow Jones Industrial Average its biggest gain in 18 years. The Nasdaq Composite posted its best
year since 2009. US stock index futures are currently trading about 0.2% lower, gold is currently trading about
1.8% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 1% lower, and the U.S. dollar is currently trading about 0.6%
higher at 8:00am Chicago time.
Tags: chicago rough rice futures

India Exports 9.6 Million Tons of Rice in January – November 2013
Jan 02, 2014

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India has exported around 9.6 million tons of rice in January – November 2013, up about 1% from around 9.5
million tons of rice exported during the same period in 2012, according to the USDA Post in New Delhi.The
Post says that India’s basmati rice exports have slowed down since October 2013due to withdrawal of sanctions
on Iran by the U.S. and some other countries. However, India’s PUSA 1121 basmati rice remains “very price
competitive” compared to long grain rice of other origins and exports to Iran will resume soon, according to the
Post.The Post also says that the Indian government may review its non-basmati rice export policy in 2014 if
government procurement drops significantly or if domestic prices increase. As of December 24, 2013, the
Indian government has procured about 14.3 million tons of rice from the current marketing season 2013-14
(October – September), down about 6% from around 15.1 million tons during the corresponding period in MY
2012-13.
Untimely rains in October – November 2013 in eastern and southern states, and relatively strong open market
prices have slowed down government procurement so far. The Post says that while procurement is expected to
gather momentum in January 2014, total procurement in MY 2013-14 is expected to decline to around 32
million tons, down about 6% from previous year’s 34 million tons.India’s rice production in 2013-14 is forecast
to reach around 103 million tons, down about 1% from around 104.4 million tons produced in the previous year.
India’s rice exports in 2013-14 are projected to reach around 10 million tons, down about 8% compared to
around 10.9 million tons in the previous year, according to the USDA.
Tags: India rice exports

Asia Rice Quotes Mixed Today
Jan 02, 2014

Thailand rice sellers lowered their quotes for 5% broken rice, parboiled rice and Hommali rice by about $5 $10 per ton to about $415 - $425 per ton, $435 - $445 per ton and $955 - $965 per ton respectively today. India
rice sellers lowered their quotes for parboiled rice by about $5 per ton to about $385 - $395 per ton and
increased their quotes for 100% broken rice by about $5 per ton to about $295 - $305 per ton. Pakistan rice
sellers increased their quotes for 25% broken rice by about $5 per ton to about $345 - $355 per ton. Vietnam
rice sellers kept their quotes mostly unchanged today.
5% Broken Rice
Thai 5% rice (of new crop) is quoted around $415 - $425 per ton, down about $5 per ton from yesterday and
about a $10 per ton premium over Viet 5% rice shown around $405 - $415 per ton. Thai 5% rice of the old crop
is shown around $370 - $380 per ton.
Indian 5% rice is quoted around $405 - $415 per ton, about a $20 per ton premium over Pak 5% rice quoted
around $385 - $395 per ton.
25% Broken Rice
Thai 25% rice (of new crop) is quoted about $375 - $385 per ton, about a $5 per ton discount to Viet 25% rice
shown around $380 - $390 per ton. Thai 25% rice of the old crop shown around $345 - $355 per ton.

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Indian 25% rice is quoted about $370 - $380 per ton, about a $25 per ton premium over Pak 25% rice quoted
around $345 - $355 per ton, up about $5 per ton from yesterday.
Parboiled Rice
Thai parboiled rice of the old crop is quoted around $435 - $445 per ton, down about $5 per ton from yesterday.
Indian parboiled rice is quoted around $385 - $395 per ton, down about $5 per ton from yesterday and about a
$35 per ton discount to Pak parboiled rice quoted around $420 - $430 per ton.
100% Broken Rice
Thai broken rice, A1 Super, of the old crop is quoted around $295 - $305 per ton and about a $65 per ton
discount to Viet broken rice shown around $360 - $370 per ton.
Indian broken sortexed rice is quoted about $295 - $305 per ton, up about $5 per ton from yesterday and about a
$25 per ton discount to Pak broken sortexed rice quoted around $320 - $330 per ton.
Tags: Asia rice quotes, India rice quotes, Thailand rice quotes, Vietnam rice quotes, Pakistan rice quotes

Oryza Global Rice Quotes
January 2nd, 2014
Long grain white rice - high quality
Thailand 100% B grade 425-435
Vietnam 5% broken
405-415
India 5% broken
405-415
Pakistan 5% broken
385-395
Cambodia 5% broken 460-470
U.S. 4% broken 590-600
↔
Uruguay 5% broken
625-635
Argentina 5% broken 625-635
Long grain white rice - low quality
Thailand 25% broken 375-385
Vietnam 25% broken
380-390
Pakistan 25% broken
345-355
Cambodia 25% broken 435-445
India 25% broken
370-380
U.S. 15% broken
570-580

↓
↔
↔
↔
↔
↔
↔
↔
↔
↑
↔
↔
↔

Long grain parboiled rice
Thailand parboiled 100% stxd 435-445
↓
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd
420-430
India parboiled 5% broken stxd 385-395
↓
U.S. parboiled 4% broken
660-670
↔
Brazil parboiled 5% broken
590-600
↔
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken NQ
↔
Long grain fragrant rice
Thailand Hommali 92% 955-965
Vietnam Jasmine
605-615

↔

↓
↔

Cell # 92 321 369 2874

India basmati 2% broken
1515 -1525
Pakistan basmati 2% broken
NQ
↔
Cambodia Phka Malis 910-920
↔
Brokens
Thailand A1 Super
295-305
↔
Vietnam 100% broken 360-370
↔
Pakistan 100% broken stxd
320-330
Cambodia A1 Super
375-385
↔
India 100% Broken stxd 295-305
↑
Egypt medium grain brokens
NQ
↔
U.S. pet food 395-405
↔
Brazil half grain
345-355
↔
Medium grain milled
U.S. Calrose 4% broken 620-630
Egypt medium grain 6% NQ
↔

↔

↔

↔

All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com

Oryza Quick Glance at World News
Jan 02, 2014

Financial Times –
*China has agreed to provide Pakistan with a $6.5 billion loan to construct twin nuclear power stations in the
southern port city of Karachi, the largest ever Chinese financing deal for a single project in the country.
*Skype, the internet calls service owned by Microsoft, was hacked by cyber criminals claiming to be supporters
of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad on New Year’s day, with anti-surveillance messages posted on its social
media sites and blog.
*Israel’s interior minister will on Thursday inaugurate a new neighborhood in a Jewish settlement in the Jordan
Valley, in a gesture of defiance that will coincide with U.S. secretary of state John Kerry’s latest visit to the
region to push forward peace talks.
*Fiat will pay $3.65 billion to acquire the 41.5% of Chrysler it does not already own, resolving one of the car
industry’s biggest strategic issues.
*Poland's controversial scheme stripping privately run pension funds of their holdings of government bonds has
been signed by the country's president but also forwarded to the constitutional tribunal, which is expected to
take up the issue of the legality of the government’s move by this spring.
*David Cameron will claim on Thursday that the Help to Buy scheme is on track to support almost £1 billion of
new lending, with more than 6,000 people taking advantage of the state-backed mortgages.
*Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg topped the list of U.S. philanthropists who opened their chequebooks to
make big donations in 2013, with his gift of almost $1 billion to a Silicon Valley charity.

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*India has cancelled a €560 million contract to buy high-end helicopters from AgustaWestland, a subsidiary of
Finmeccanica, in move that underlines the unpredictability of one of the world’s biggest defense markets.
Wall Street Journal*Russian President Vladimir Putin paid a predawn visit to Volgograd on Wednesday, meeting with survivors of
twin suicide bombings that killed 34 people this week and promising beefed-up security around the country
ahead of the Winter Olympic Games.
*Apple Inc. said it never worked with the National Security Agency to create a back-door way for the
organization to spy on iPhone users and it was unaware of any program to target its products.
*U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry was set to begin a round of talks Thursday to push for a broad IsraeliPalestinian peace accord, though both sides were already rejecting a U.S. proposal for a security regime along
the border with Jordan.
*Indonesian police shot and killed six suspected terrorists in an all-night standoff amid New Year's celebrations
near Jakarta, police said Wednesday.
*Investors are giving Indian debt a pass, even as policy makers hope to have it included in a global governmentbond index. Global investors yanked a net $8 billion out of Indian debt in 2013, after adding money every year
since 2006, according to figures from the Securities & Exchange Board of India.
*Michael Schumacher's condition was "stable" Tuesday night and Wednesday morning after the seven-time
Formula One race-car champion suffered life-threatening head injuries in a skiing accident in the French Alps,
his publicist Sabine Kehm said.
*The world economy's most-troubled region in recent years, Eurozone, is likely to grow at least a little in the
coming year, extending a recovery that began last summer. However, the slow pace could become a trap.
Expected growth of about 1% is too little to bring down mass joblessness, which is testing social and political
cohesion in weaker countries, economist said.
New York Times*China started levying a consumption tax on imported biodiesel and some types of kerosene from the start of
the New Year, the customs office said, a move aimed at curbing imports of the fuels that have taken market
share from state refiners. The government imposed a consumption tax of 0.8 yuan ($0.13) per liter on biodiesel,
lamp kerosene and other kerosene grades, Chinese customs said on its website.
*Irish's Investec Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 53.5 in December from 52.4 in November,
moving further above the 50 line dividing growth from contraction and recording the second-highest reading in
almost 18 months.
*Thailand's largest petrochemical maker, PTT Global Chemical Pcl plans to invest $4.5 billion from 2014 to
2018, mostly on foreign expansion, its chief executive said on Thursday.
*India's HSBC Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by Markit, which gauges business
activity in Indian factories but not its utilities, fell to 50.7 in December from 51.3 in the previous month.
*Two members of Iran’s hard-line-dominated Parliament were added to a supervisory council responsible for
monitoring the country’s nuclear negotiating team, Iranian news media reported Wednesday. The additions
appeared to strengthen the influence of critics of the talks between Iran and world powers.
*Ariel Sharon, the former prime minister of Israel who has been comatose for nearly eight years, edged closer
to death on Wednesday evening, suffering from kidney failure.

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3rd january,2013 daily global rice e newsletter by riceplus magazine

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