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Scaling up cuts in domestic
carbon emissions
<Structure of JLP>
               Phil Newcombe
               Associate Project
               Manager
• What’s good? (Best Practice)
• Who can help us? (Provider
  Landscape)
• What can we deliver? (Plan)
• What else do we need?
  (leadership, £, regulation,
  knowledge?)
Scaling up cuts in domestic
carbon emissions
<Introduction to MEA>
                Richard Davies
                Director
Good Morning
We’re seeking to deliver
      on the 3Ds:
Demand Reduction
Decarbonisation
Decentralisation
Scaling up cuts in domestic
carbon emissions
<WHY?>
                Richard Davies
                Director
‘We have an addiction to fossil fuels, and it’s not
  sustainable. The developed world gets 80% of its
  energy from fossil fuels; Britain, 90%. And this is
  unsustainable for three reasons. First, easily-
  accessible fossil fuels will at some point run out, so
  we’ll eventually have to get our energy from
  someplace else. Second, burning fossil fuels is
  having a measurable and very-probably dangerous
  effect on the climate. Avoiding dangerous climate
  change motivates an immediate change from our
  current use of fossil fuels. Third, even if we don’t care
  about climate change, a drastic reduction in Britain’s
  fossil fuel consumption would seem a wise move if
  we care about security of supply: continued rapid use
  of the oil and gas reserves will otherwise soon force
  fossil-addicted Britain to depend on imports from
  untrustworthy foreigners.’
                      Professor David MacKay FRS Chief Scientific Adviser
                                      to DECC see www.withouthotair.com
‘The best scientific
  projections indicate
    that we have very
        little time left -
indeed, less than one
 hundred months - in
    which to alter our
behaviour drastically.
     Although I wish it
were otherwise, I fear
 we have reached the
  point when if we do
 too little, too late to
  tackle this problem,
    the consequences
                 could be
          catastrophic.’
"Regardless
      of which route we
     choose, the world's
    current predicament
  limits our maneuvering
        room. We are
       experiencing a
step-change in the growth
   rate of energy demand
 due to population growth
        and economic
 development, and Shell
     estimates that after
       2015 supplies of
      easy-to-access oil
       and gas will no
         longer keep
           up with
          demand."

 Jeroen van der Veer, CEO Shell
             28th January 2008
Climate Change Act Targets
• 1990 baseline of CO2 emissions was
  approximately 590 million tons of CO2.
• An 80% reduction is based on the minimum
  reductions necessary to avoid causing
  catastrophic and permanent changes to the
  climate
• 80% of 590m tons = 118 million tonnes.
• The UK level of CO2 emissions (1.76
  tonnes/capita cf. ~10 tonnes today) hasn’t
  been that low since…… when?
1950’s?
1920’s?
1900?
1850?
900



                              800



                              700



                              600
(carbon dioixde equivalent)
      million tonnes




                              500



                              400                                                                                    Basket of greenhouse gases (CO2 equiv)
                                                                                                                     Carbon Dioxide

                              300



                              200



                              100



                                0
                                1990    1991   1992   1993   1994   1995   1996   1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002    2003     2004   2005   2006      2007

                                       Source: AEA
<It’s the delivery
stupid!>
‘The public discussion of energy
options tends to be intensely
emotional, polarized, mistrustful, and
destructive. Every option is strongly
opposed: the public seem to be anti-
wind, anti-coal, anti-waste-to-energy,
anti-tidal-barrage, anti-fuel-duty, and
anti-nuclear.’
David MacKay FRS
Anti compact fluorescent lighting, anti
cavity wall insulation, anti condensing
boilers…..
Questions
• Too much rhetoric & not enough action?
• Are organisations taking climate change
  seriously?
• Is lack of progress simply because no-one
  is ACCOUNTABLE
• How do we create more WILLFUL
  INDIVIDUALS and LEADERS?
• Do LSPs understand what the potential is?
Scaling up cuts in domestic
carbon emissions
<Blue Book: Energy Descent>
                Richard Davies
                Director
Sub Title
If you don’t know where
  you are going you are
  almost certain to end
  up there.
Questions
• How many organisations, localities or
  LSPs have an understanding of the
  DESTINATION & ROUTE MAP?
• Who should be deciding on what options
  are most appropriate? Central Govt. /
  LSPs / Elected Members……
• Is this much too complex for ‘lay-people’?
Scaling up cuts in domestic
carbon emissions
<History & Existing Homes>
                Richard Davies
                Director
The Great ………. Refurb

          In February 2009 Ed Milliband
          announced that by 2050 all
          British homes will be near
          carbon zero. Is now the right
          time for ???? to step forward &
          seek to be the first place in the
          UK to deliver this in existing
          homes?
Planning for new Policy & Programmes

            How can localities benefit from
            what DECC are planning.
            Community Energy Saving
            Programme, Feed In Tariffs,
            Heat & Energy Saving Strategy
Unfair Share: Maximise Uptake

           Ensure that ???? know
           what Sustainable Energy &
           Climate Change services
           are available in their locality
           and then consume them or
           promote the consumption of
           them.
The Art of the Possible……

           Explore what has been
           achieved within the system as it
           is. Why can’t ???? replicate
           examples of ‘Good Enough
           Practice’. The Domestic Energy
           Support of Kirklees, the
           Biomass Uptake of Barnsley,
           the Leadership of
           Woking………
• What’s good? (Best Practice)
• Who can help us? (Provider
  Landscape)
• What can we deliver? (Plan)
• What else do we need?
  (leadership, £, regulation,
  knowledge?)
Questions?
•   Wait for clarity OR make a plan & go for it?
•   What is the role of the LSP in this?
•   How is your own home?
•   Where does the money come from?
Scaling up cuts in domestic
carbon emissions
<New Build>
                Richard Davies
                Director
• What’s good? (Best Practice)
• Who can help us? (Provider
  Landscape)
• What can we deliver? (Plan)
• What else do we need?
  (leadership, £, regulation,
  knowledge?)
Questions
• 2016 is not very far away – should we be
  encouraging local architects, builders and
  developers to try out some of the
  technologies?
• How can we maximise the ‘Green Collar
  Jobs’ dimension of this ambition?
• Do any of you have examples of good
  practice?
Scaling up cuts in domestic
carbon emissions
<Let’s not forget FUEL POVERTY>

                  Richard Davies
                  Director
Affordable Warmth

          Eradicate ‘Fuel Poverty’
          Maximise share of support e.g.
          Warmfront, CERT, Community
          Energy Saving Programme etc
          Place Based approach –
          Affordable Warmth Community
• What’s good? (Best Practice)
• Who can help us? (Provider
  Landscape)
• What can we deliver? (Plan)
• What else do we need?
  (leadership, £, regulation,
  knowledge?)
Questions

• How could your organisation help
  reduce FUEL POVERTY?
• What is the role of an LSP?
• Who in the region is accountable for
  FUEL POVERTY?
• How could we better spend the
  existing resources?
Scaling up cuts in domestic
carbon emissions
<Microgeneration>
                Richard Davies
                Director
Sunshine I
Sunshine II
Wind
Biomass
Ground Energy
Micro CHP
• What’s good? (Best Practice)
• Who can help us? (Provider
  Landscape)
• What can we deliver? (Plan)
• What else do we need?
  (leadership, £, regulation,
  knowledge?)
Questions
• How can we accelerate the uptake of
  MICROGENERATION?
• Examples of what works?
• What might the ‘supply chain’
  opportunities be for our locality?
• How might we engage the Economic
  Development Group of the LSP?
“Make no little plans. They
  have no magic to stir
  men's blood... Make big
  plans; aim high in hope
  and work.”
  Daniel Hudson Burnham
  1846-1912

“Search all the parks in all
  your cities; you'll find no
  statues of committees.”
  David Ogilvy
  1911-1999
“Leaving mobile phone chargers plugged in” is
often held up as an example of a behavioural
ecocrime, with people who switch their chargers
off being praised for “doing their bit.” The truth is
that a typical mobile phone charger consumes just
0.01 kWh per day. The amount of energy saved by
switching off the phone charger, 0.01 kWh, is
exactly the same as the energy used by driving an
average car for one second. I’m not saying that
you shouldn’t switch phone chargers off. But don’t
be duped by the mantra “every little helps.”
Obsessively switching off the phone-charger is like
bailing the Titanic with a teaspoon. Do switch it off,
but please be aware how tiny a gesture it is.
David MacKay ‘Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air’ www.withouthotair.com
2

big
“What we think,
or what we
know, or what
we believe is, in
the end, of little
consequence.
The only
consequence is
what we do.”
          John Ruskin
www.slideshare.net/mea
thank you
kg CO2/
month
Domestic Carbon Emissions Joint Learning Programme Session I 15th October 2009
Domestic Carbon Emissions Joint Learning Programme Session I 15th October 2009
Domestic Carbon Emissions Joint Learning Programme Session I 15th October 2009
Domestic Carbon Emissions Joint Learning Programme Session I 15th October 2009
Domestic Carbon Emissions Joint Learning Programme Session I 15th October 2009
Domestic Carbon Emissions Joint Learning Programme Session I 15th October 2009
Domestic Carbon Emissions Joint Learning Programme Session I 15th October 2009
Domestic Carbon Emissions Joint Learning Programme Session I 15th October 2009

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Domestic Carbon Emissions Joint Learning Programme Session I 15th October 2009

  • 1. Scaling up cuts in domestic carbon emissions <Structure of JLP> Phil Newcombe Associate Project Manager
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  • 3. • What’s good? (Best Practice) • Who can help us? (Provider Landscape) • What can we deliver? (Plan) • What else do we need? (leadership, £, regulation, knowledge?)
  • 4. Scaling up cuts in domestic carbon emissions <Introduction to MEA> Richard Davies Director
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  • 11. We’re seeking to deliver on the 3Ds: Demand Reduction Decarbonisation Decentralisation
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  • 27. Scaling up cuts in domestic carbon emissions <WHY?> Richard Davies Director
  • 28. ‘We have an addiction to fossil fuels, and it’s not sustainable. The developed world gets 80% of its energy from fossil fuels; Britain, 90%. And this is unsustainable for three reasons. First, easily- accessible fossil fuels will at some point run out, so we’ll eventually have to get our energy from someplace else. Second, burning fossil fuels is having a measurable and very-probably dangerous effect on the climate. Avoiding dangerous climate change motivates an immediate change from our current use of fossil fuels. Third, even if we don’t care about climate change, a drastic reduction in Britain’s fossil fuel consumption would seem a wise move if we care about security of supply: continued rapid use of the oil and gas reserves will otherwise soon force fossil-addicted Britain to depend on imports from untrustworthy foreigners.’ Professor David MacKay FRS Chief Scientific Adviser to DECC see www.withouthotair.com
  • 29. ‘The best scientific projections indicate that we have very little time left - indeed, less than one hundred months - in which to alter our behaviour drastically. Although I wish it were otherwise, I fear we have reached the point when if we do too little, too late to tackle this problem, the consequences could be catastrophic.’
  • 30. "Regardless of which route we choose, the world's current predicament limits our maneuvering room. We are experiencing a step-change in the growth rate of energy demand due to population growth and economic development, and Shell estimates that after 2015 supplies of easy-to-access oil and gas will no longer keep up with demand." Jeroen van der Veer, CEO Shell 28th January 2008
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  • 39. Climate Change Act Targets • 1990 baseline of CO2 emissions was approximately 590 million tons of CO2. • An 80% reduction is based on the minimum reductions necessary to avoid causing catastrophic and permanent changes to the climate • 80% of 590m tons = 118 million tonnes. • The UK level of CO2 emissions (1.76 tonnes/capita cf. ~10 tonnes today) hasn’t been that low since…… when?
  • 42. 1900?
  • 43. 1850?
  • 44. 900 800 700 600 (carbon dioixde equivalent) million tonnes 500 400 Basket of greenhouse gases (CO2 equiv) Carbon Dioxide 300 200 100 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: AEA
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  • 49. ‘The public discussion of energy options tends to be intensely emotional, polarized, mistrustful, and destructive. Every option is strongly opposed: the public seem to be anti- wind, anti-coal, anti-waste-to-energy, anti-tidal-barrage, anti-fuel-duty, and anti-nuclear.’ David MacKay FRS Anti compact fluorescent lighting, anti cavity wall insulation, anti condensing boilers…..
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  • 55. Questions • Too much rhetoric & not enough action? • Are organisations taking climate change seriously? • Is lack of progress simply because no-one is ACCOUNTABLE • How do we create more WILLFUL INDIVIDUALS and LEADERS? • Do LSPs understand what the potential is?
  • 56. Scaling up cuts in domestic carbon emissions <Blue Book: Energy Descent> Richard Davies Director
  • 57. Sub Title If you don’t know where you are going you are almost certain to end up there.
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  • 66. Questions • How many organisations, localities or LSPs have an understanding of the DESTINATION & ROUTE MAP? • Who should be deciding on what options are most appropriate? Central Govt. / LSPs / Elected Members…… • Is this much too complex for ‘lay-people’?
  • 67. Scaling up cuts in domestic carbon emissions <History & Existing Homes> Richard Davies Director
  • 68. The Great ………. Refurb In February 2009 Ed Milliband announced that by 2050 all British homes will be near carbon zero. Is now the right time for ???? to step forward & seek to be the first place in the UK to deliver this in existing homes?
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  • 86. Planning for new Policy & Programmes How can localities benefit from what DECC are planning. Community Energy Saving Programme, Feed In Tariffs, Heat & Energy Saving Strategy
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  • 88. Unfair Share: Maximise Uptake Ensure that ???? know what Sustainable Energy & Climate Change services are available in their locality and then consume them or promote the consumption of them.
  • 89. The Art of the Possible…… Explore what has been achieved within the system as it is. Why can’t ???? replicate examples of ‘Good Enough Practice’. The Domestic Energy Support of Kirklees, the Biomass Uptake of Barnsley, the Leadership of Woking………
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  • 94. • What’s good? (Best Practice) • Who can help us? (Provider Landscape) • What can we deliver? (Plan) • What else do we need? (leadership, £, regulation, knowledge?)
  • 95. Questions? • Wait for clarity OR make a plan & go for it? • What is the role of the LSP in this? • How is your own home? • Where does the money come from?
  • 96. Scaling up cuts in domestic carbon emissions <New Build> Richard Davies Director
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  • 100. • What’s good? (Best Practice) • Who can help us? (Provider Landscape) • What can we deliver? (Plan) • What else do we need? (leadership, £, regulation, knowledge?)
  • 101. Questions • 2016 is not very far away – should we be encouraging local architects, builders and developers to try out some of the technologies? • How can we maximise the ‘Green Collar Jobs’ dimension of this ambition? • Do any of you have examples of good practice?
  • 102. Scaling up cuts in domestic carbon emissions <Let’s not forget FUEL POVERTY> Richard Davies Director
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  • 118. Affordable Warmth Eradicate ‘Fuel Poverty’ Maximise share of support e.g. Warmfront, CERT, Community Energy Saving Programme etc Place Based approach – Affordable Warmth Community
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  • 123. • What’s good? (Best Practice) • Who can help us? (Provider Landscape) • What can we deliver? (Plan) • What else do we need? (leadership, £, regulation, knowledge?)
  • 124. Questions • How could your organisation help reduce FUEL POVERTY? • What is the role of an LSP? • Who in the region is accountable for FUEL POVERTY? • How could we better spend the existing resources?
  • 125. Scaling up cuts in domestic carbon emissions <Microgeneration> Richard Davies Director
  • 128. Wind
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  • 141. • What’s good? (Best Practice) • Who can help us? (Provider Landscape) • What can we deliver? (Plan) • What else do we need? (leadership, £, regulation, knowledge?)
  • 142. Questions • How can we accelerate the uptake of MICROGENERATION? • Examples of what works? • What might the ‘supply chain’ opportunities be for our locality? • How might we engage the Economic Development Group of the LSP?
  • 143. “Make no little plans. They have no magic to stir men's blood... Make big plans; aim high in hope and work.” Daniel Hudson Burnham 1846-1912 “Search all the parks in all your cities; you'll find no statues of committees.” David Ogilvy 1911-1999
  • 144. “Leaving mobile phone chargers plugged in” is often held up as an example of a behavioural ecocrime, with people who switch their chargers off being praised for “doing their bit.” The truth is that a typical mobile phone charger consumes just 0.01 kWh per day. The amount of energy saved by switching off the phone charger, 0.01 kWh, is exactly the same as the energy used by driving an average car for one second. I’m not saying that you shouldn’t switch phone chargers off. But don’t be duped by the mantra “every little helps.” Obsessively switching off the phone-charger is like bailing the Titanic with a teaspoon. Do switch it off, but please be aware how tiny a gesture it is. David MacKay ‘Sustainable Energy Without the Hot Air’ www.withouthotair.com
  • 145. 2 big
  • 146. “What we think, or what we know, or what we believe is, in the end, of little consequence. The only consequence is what we do.” John Ruskin
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