In this year's Australian Federal Election those that live in Victoria will have the choice of 38 political parties and 7 independents to vote for in the senate.
In this presentation we look at all the parties who've lodged a Group Preference ticket to see how the parties are aligned based on preferences.
We also crunched the numbers to find out which candidates could take the 6 available senate seats. Due to preference flows any number of strange outcomes are possible. We've listed a number of what we believe are the most likely outcomes.
Thanks goes to http://www.virginvoters.com.au/ for providing some of the party logos.
2. POLITICAL PARTIES
The 2013 Election will feature 38 Political Parties and 7
independents
Only 16 of the 38 parties competed in the previous 2010
Federal Election
10 of the 38 parties have been registered for 3 months or
less
3. PARTY CLASSIFICATIONS
Each political party is classified based on how they
preference the other parties
All of the parties allocated one of the five categories:
Right Wing
Religious Right
Left Wing
Single Issue Parties
Fringe Parties
4. PARTY CLASSIFICATIONS (CONT.)
The following information is presented for each party:
Party
Logo
First major party preference
Party Name
Classification
5. RELIGIOUS RIGHT
Rise Up Australia Party
Religious Right
Family First
Religious Right
Australian Christians
Religious Right
DLP Democratic Labour
Religious Right
Australian Independents
Confused Religious Right
6. RIGHT WING PARTIES
Liberal/Nationals
Moderate Right Wing
Katter's Australian Party
Right Wing Protectionist
Country Alliance
Rural Right
Palmer United Party
Left Leaning Right Wing
Building Australia Party
Micro Party/Right
Australian Voice Party
Micro Party/Right
7. LEFT WING PARTIES
The Wikileaks Party
Left Wing
Australian Labor Party
Moderate Left
Senator Online
Micro Party/Left
Pirate Party
Micro Party/Left
Secular Party of Australia
Micro Party/Left
Sex Party
Left Wing
Australian Democrats
Moderate Left
The Greens
Left Wing
8. SINGLE ISSUE PARTIES
Bullet Train For Australia
Single issue party
Bank Reform Party
Single issue party
No Carbon Tax Climate Sceptics
Single issue/Religious Right
Drug Law Reform
Single issue party
Animal Justice Party
Single issue party
Stop CSG
Single issue party
Australian Fishing and Lifestyle
Party
Single Issue/Right
Shooters and Fishers
Single Issue/Right
9. SINGLE ISSUE PARTIES (CONT.)
Stable Population Party
Single Issue
Help End Marijuana Prohibition
(HEMP) Party
Single issue party
Australian Motoring Enthusiast
Party
Single issue party
11. TOP 10 HIGHEST PREFERENCED PARTIES
1st Bullet Train For Australia
2nd Bank Reform Party
3rd Senator Online
4th Building Australia
5th Australian Independents
6th Australian Motoring Enthusiast Party
7th Stop CSG
8th Australian Democrats
9th Australian Voice Party
10th Animal Justice
12. BOTTOM 10 LOWEST PREFERENCED
PARTIES
32nd One Nation
33rd Rise Up Australia Party
34th Palmer United Party
35th Australian Labor Party
36th Stop the Greens
37th Liberal/Nationals
38th The Greens
39th Smoker's Rights
40th Socialist Equality Party
41st Citizens Electoral Council
13. MOST LIKELY VICTORIAN SENATE
CANDIDATES
Based on polling and previous election results the six available seats in
the Senate will be filled by:
Liberal Party x2
Labor Party x2
Greens x1
Unknown
14. MOST LIKELY VICTORIAN SENATE
CANDIDATES (CONT.)
The final 6th seat will be chosen based on preferences
Thanks to Antony Green’s senate calculator and some guesstimation the following
parties are likely to win the final seat:
Liberals (35% chance)
Family First (25% chance)
The Wikileaks Party (10% chance)
Bullet Train for Australia (10% chance)
DLP Democratic Labour (10% chance)
All other minor party (10% chance)
15. GUESS THE 6 CANDIDATES BASED ON THIS
ESTIMATED ALLOCATION OF VOTES
Party Total Votes % Votes
Liberal / The Nationals 1,099,386 32.87%
Australian Labor Party 967,233 28.92%
The Greens 452,669 13.54%
The Wikileaks Party 176,651 5.28%
Katter's Australian Party 148,213 4.43%
Palmer United Party 97,359 2.91%
DLP Democratic Labour 67,917 2.03%
Sex Party 50,519 1.51%
Family First 49,850 1.49%
Shooters and Fishers 37,471 1.12%
Australian Christians 34,794 1.04%
Rise Up Australia Party 28,772 0.86%
Bank Reform Party 24,757 0.74%
Group AJ 20,074 0.60%
Group T 15,390 0.46%
Australian Democrats 10,706 0.32%
Bullet Train For Australia 8,698 0.26%
Socialist Equality Party 8,028 0.24%
16. GUESS THE 6 CANDIDATES BASED ON THIS
ESTIMATED ALLOCATION OF VOTES (CONT.)
Party Total Votes % Votes
Liberal / The Nationals 1,099,386 32.87%
Australian Labor Party 967,233 28.92%
The Greens 452,669 13.54%
The Wikileaks Party 176,651 5.28%
Katter's Australian Party 148,213 4.43%
Palmer United Party 97,359 2.91%
DLP Democratic Labour 67,917 2.03%
Sex Party 50,519 1.51%
Family First 49,850 1.49%
Shooters and Fishers 37,471 1.12%
Australian Christians 34,794 1.04%
Rise Up Australia Party 28,772 0.86%
Bank Reform Party 24,757 0.74%
Group AJ 20,074 0.60%
Group T 15,390 0.46%
Australian Democrats 10,706 0.32%
Bullet Train For Australia 8,698 0.26%
Socialist Equality Party 8,028 0.24%
Candidate Party
1 Mitch FIFIELD Liberal Party
2 Gavin MARSHALL Australian Labor Party
3 Scott RYAN Liberal Party
4 Jacinta COLLINS Australian Labor Party
5 Mark ERWOOD Bullet Train for Australia
6 Janet RICE Australian Greens
The current Group Ticket voting system used in
The senate could give a party with 0.26% of the
vote a seat in the Senate
17. HOW TO TAKE CONTROL OF YOUR
PREFERENCES
You can choose your own preferences by voting below the line
It’s not easy to number all the candidates from 1 to 97. The best way to manage
this is by using an online tool to create a personalised “how to vote card”
Cluey Voter is recommended - https://www.clueyvoter.com
You could also use - http://www.belowtheline.org.au/
Don’t forget to also number above the line! Below the line will count first, but if you
make a mistake your above the line vote will then be counted.