1. De Belgian market:
what are the possibilities
for further growth?

2. Installed Capacity Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

3. Global Solar List
1. Germany 16 GWp
2. Spain 4 GWp
Global PV-market 2009
3. Japan 3 GWp
4. China 2 GWp South-­‐Korea
5. USA 1.8 GWp China
6. Italy 1.5 GWp United
States
7. Czech Rep. 1,4 GWp Japan
8. Belgium 0,8 GWp
Rest
of
the
EU
9. India
10. South-Korea France
Belgium
Czech
Republic
Italy
Rest
of
the
world
Germany
Belgium in the world Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

4. Flanders
700 MWp
Brussels
5,1 MWp
Wallonia 140 MWp
Total 845,1 MWp
Flanders (preliminary) top Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

5. Flanders
+ 160 MWp
Brussels
+ 4 MWp
Wallonia + 84,4 MWp
Growth Capacity 2010 Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

6. Market Segments Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

7. Special market segments
- Brussels !
- Wallonia untill 01/08/2013
- Flanders:
- Private
- Due to tax deductions also attractive after 2011
- Agricultural section
- VLIF = 8 % investment support
- KMO’s with high electricity costs
- For marketing purposes
- As risk management strategy !
Potential Market Segments Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

8. Minimal growth in electricity costs KMO
- Commodity : + 8 €/MWh (CO2) + 8,4 €/MWh (oil -gas)
- Transport costs: + 1 % annually
- Distribution costs: + 1% annually+ 5 €/MWh in 2014
- GSC-WKC: according to set quota
- Federal contribution: lineair average growth
- Financing: off-shore: according to planning
- Other: + 1 % on average
⇒ Expected growth in 2021
= from 96,5 €/MWh to 151,2 €/MWh
= growth of 57 %
Expected Electricy Costs Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

9. Policies 2011-2012 Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

10. Flanders
• Quicker digression on support from 01/07/2011 on
• Expansion > 10 kWp within 24 m = no more GSC’s
• 1 MWp = min 50 % local consumption
⇒ Installations > 1 MWp: unprofitable from 01/07/2011
⇒ Installations> 10 kWp < 1 MWp : profitable until 01/01/2012
⇒ Installations< 10 kWp: dpending on tax deductions
PV Policies Flanders Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

11. Wallonia
• New rules from 01/08/2011
• Sell GSC’s at market value
• Minimum garantee 65 €
• Less restrictive
• 50 % autoconsumption obligation expires
• Audit cogénération obligation expires
• 250 kWp limitation expires
⇒ With prsent market prices GSC’s maintain
potential until 01/08/2014
PV Policies Wallonia Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

12. Brussels
• Ismaël Daoud
PV Policies Brussels Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

13. Comparison three Districts 177 kWp-installation
Comparison PV profitablity Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

14. Limits to growth Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

15. Brussels
• Roof potential: 100 MWp
• Problem: buildings usually not owned by the users
Flanders
• Only sales to private sector will be able to survive
• Possible revival of KMO’s if electricty costs rise
Wallonia
• Until 01/08/2014 no problem
• + 400 MWp is realistic
• Afterwards dependant on electricy costs
Growth expectancies? Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com

16. Questions Waverstraat 1, 9310 Aalst - Tel 053/41.66.66 - Fax 053/41.66.00
E-mail: info@zeroemissionsolutions.com