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2012
      Lawrence Samuels;
LawSamuels@hotmail.com
Lawrence Samuels*LawSamuels@hotamil.com *

JANUARY 2012 TO JANUARY 2013




BUSINESS LEADERS

International Community
Portfolio for your Perusal



Thank you, for taking the time to learn more about me. I hope my skills, qualifications, and pursuit
of excellence will not only meet your requirements but inspire you to reach higher. Enclosed are
details about me which include:

    1.    Corporate Valuation and Forecasting
    2.    Accounting entries
    3.    Statistical Analysis
    4.    Additional Tools and Resources

Many will say “you cannot judge a book by its cover,” not only do I wish my cover page passes your
perusal but also I hope my portfolio will create the drive for us to build a lasting relationship. A
good team can foster change and continue to make a difference in all business pursuits. Not only is
this an invitation for a long-term partnership but also a call of action for you to make a choice today.
Again, thank you for the opportunity and I hope I too can learn more about you.



Sincerely,




Lawrence Samuels

mailto:LawSamuels@hotmail.com?subject=Contact



         "There are two ways of spreading light: to be the candle or the mirror that reflects it."
                                          - Edith Wharton-




                                                                                              1|Page
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INVITATION LETTER:                                           1

THUMBS UP CORPORATION                                        3

BACKGROUND                                    4

MARKETING OVERVIEW                            5-6

2010 BUSINESS OVERVIEW                                       8

FIRST QUARTER SALES RESULTS 101                              9

SECOND QUARTER SALES RESULTS 101                             10

THIRD QUARTER SALES RESULTS 101                              11

FOURTH QUARTER SALES RESULTS 101                             12

YEAR ENDING DECEMBER 2010 REGION RESULTS                     13

YEAR ENDED IN DECEMBER 2010                                  14

ADDITIONAL JOURNAL ENTRIES                                   15

2011 AFN BUDGET AND 5 YEAR FORECASTED STATEMENTS TARGETS     16

FORECASTED BALANCE SHEET                                     17

EXPANSION PROJECT EVALUATION                                 18

INDIA   PROJECT ANALYSIS                                   19-20

SOUTH AMERICA PROJECT                                      20-21

SERVICE ANALYSIS                                             21

DETAILED BUDGET                                              22



                                                           2|Page
Thumbs Up Corporation




Purchase of Patent

Patent                               125,000

Patent                              125,000

Patent                              125,000




                                               3|Page
Thumbs Up Corporation

BACKGROUND

Corporation was founded in 2009, by three entrepreneurs on
a journey to make everyone happy. Frisbee Jersey, owner and
co-founder, said he wanted to bring “laughter to millions and
excitement for all.” Thumbs Up’s founders have contributed
much of their success to Disney philosophy of seeking “the
ultimate element of surprise.” They pride themselves on a
vision towards satisfying their customers and employees first
and performance and profits are the true measures of their
customer-employee relationships. In turn, profits and
performance are the ultimate payoff.

PROJECTS

The three entrepreneurs set up two mutually inclusive projects: One located in the west and the other in
the south east to generate buzz about the products and establish a customer based. They wanted to
know who is attractive to the product, what price are consumers willing to pay, and where they should
sell the products. With an initial investment of 695 thousand dollars in the west and 575 thousand
dollars in the east they begin positioning their product by product class and use into small businesses
and retail outlets. Project A, the west region, they projected cash inflows on a 7 month time period with
a rate of return of 25.67 percent in comparison to Project B, East Region, which they reached 38.79
percent. The payback period was 6 months for both projects considering the free samples in the west
sales growth was slower in the first 3 months with cash inflows of: -300,000 and -200,000 however in
the 4 remaining months the team was able to generate over 3.3 million in cash flows.

                                       NPV AT WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST ON CAPITAL


           Project A                ProjectB
                           ($695)      ($575)
                                                          Expected Net Cash Flows @ 8% cost of capital
  0%                      $2,131      $1,060
  2%                   $1,819.21        $940
                                                  Time     Project A Project B   WACC =                        8%
  4%                   $1,545.94        $834       0        ($695)     ($575)
  6%                   $1,305.74        $739
  8%                   $1,094.02        $654       1        ($300)     $290      NPV A =                 $1,094.02
  10%                    $906.92        $577
  12%                    $741.15        $509       2        ($200)     $290      NPV B =                  $653.80
  14%                    $593.92        $446
  16%                    $462.87        $390
                                                   3        $500       $190
  18%                    $345.95        $339
                                                   4        $600       $190
  20%                    $241.41        $292
  22%                    $147.77        $249       5        $600       $190
  24%                     $63.71        $210
  26%                    ($11.89)       $174       6        $926       $190
  28%                    ($79.99)       $141
  30%                   ($141.45)       $110       7        $700       $295
                                                                                                          4|Page
Thumbs Up Corporation

REINVESTMENT OF CASH FLOWS

With the cash flows the group reinvested the cash inflows at the 8 percent costs on capital and
established 5 offices in the United States and purchase a T-bill with a return of 8 percent. The three
founded thumbs up Corporation and created 5 sales offices in the United States and updated their
software to gear for the first product launch. With prototypes already out, the team is targeting those
customers in the first quarter to upgrade their software and hardware so they can ride with excitement.

MISSION STATEMENT

To create value, convenience, style and Luxury to shareholders by bringing excitement to millions and
creating a relationship through outstanding customer
interactions and products that are the ultimate element of
satisfaction.

SCOPE

Our plan is to create wealth for our owners and excitement for
our customers and community by inspiring our employees to aim
high in their career goals and convey leadership that enhances
the profitability of the company and lifestyle of our customers. The company will provide exceptional
service, pricing that is affordable, and high quality products by focusing on innovation, and creativity
that differentiates us from our competitors.

OBJECTIVES

    1.   50 percent Market Share by 2016
    2.   High Return on Equity
    3.   Promising Growth of all products and Services
    4.   High Free Cash Flows
    5.   Focus on the personality of the brand and the lifestyle of our customers
    6.   Create value for all generations and cultures. Simply, everyone.

STRATEGIES

Freebie believed that he will achieve his goals by offering products and services that are competitive,
financing options that appeal to the masses, packaging products to extend value, and to create strong
sales teams across all regions that will support their financial growth. By establishing a strong workforce
they believe they will be able increase operating expenses to expand, increase sales in rural and urban
areas -expand without restricting their profitability and also, to provide the workforce with the tools and
resources necessary to achieve their sales targets.



                                                                                               5|Page
Marketing Overview

TARGETING AND SEGMENTING

The company in the past targeted doers, innovators, Believers, thinkers and experiencers with a product
line that’s new and hip. From their test market results they were astonished by customer responses and
had positive field focus groups. They distributed thousands of samples and information in metropolitan
Markets where they intend to expand their operations. The founders expect a promising year and
some analysts say there returns can be as high as 12 percent.

For 2010, the company will be launching a marketing campaign that targets generations rather than
personality types. They will also, use a strategic social media strategy to increase online sales and build
brand awareness. The company seeks to position the product by use and class by communicating the
benefits of using the product and luxury attributes that differentiates the product from their
competitors. With such a strategy the company hopes to close the gap between the customer
perceptions of the product in comparison to their competitors.

  In an industry of complexity, the company seeks to increase ownership experience and create a long
 term connection with their customers by managing their product lifecycle with their customer lifestyle,
and managing the consumer purchasing behavior through promotions and direct advertising, in order to
     achieve a 15 percent growth over the next 5 years. To accomplish this goal, the company will be
    expanding their product line and advertising new product launches through targeted mass media.
   Thumbs up corporation understand that the point of contact at their sales offices will determine the
 success they will have with sales so they shift their focus on providing their customers with the exciting
              experience that they would receive by using their products, mere excitement!
                      INCREASING OWNERSHIP EXPERIENCE AND CUSTOMER INTERACTIONS




                                                                                                 6|Page
Operations Overview

MARKETING TACTICS

Thumbs up corporation asked themselves where do their customers spend most of their time and how
can they penetrate the market and reach as many customers as possible? To answer such a questions
the company deducted surveys and found out that many of their customers are either at work, school,
spending time with the family, or taking part in extracurricular activities in the community. With the
information the company decided to use 4 marketing tactics aimed at aligning their attributes of style
and luxury to their target market concern with identity, security, and status: (Generational Traits)

     1. Relationship Marketing through partnerships with corporations
     2. Generation Marketing to target diverse social groups and the masses
     3. Multicultural Marketing to target every race with cultural tactics and use generation and
        Multicultural marketing interchangeably.
     4. Green Marketing to educate their consumers to their social responsibility policies through
        public relations efforts and advertising. Use as a tactic with Generation Marketing.



                                           MARKETING MAP




                                                                                             7|Page
2010 Business Overview

COMMISSION BASED SYSTEM




COMING SOON




                                                   8|Page
Thumbs up Forecasting

FORECASTING

Based off a panel of experts and their test market results the regions forecasted the first 5 years of sales
using 3 approaches:

          1. Moving average forecast based off the unit samples, purchases and backorders
          2. Weighted average based off the variables above in relation to monthly sales
          3. Exponential smoothing based off same variables and a grouping monthly sales.

The company compared the forecasted data to develop a decision on which forecasting model to use.
The company used the risks to determine the best case to worst case scenario based off high to low
demand in comparison to total unit sales throughout a quarter.




Period                 ActualUnits Weights
Month 1                        2600        1
Month 2                        2300        2              2010             2011                  2012                2013                2014             2015

Month 3                        2600            3 MAForecast       MAForecast MAForecast MAForecast MAForecast MAForecast                                                 2010             2011                2012             2013        2014         2015

Month 4                        4500                        2500      2143.111111           2039.888889         2422.407407          3032.43694      2942.818435 Wt Forecast Wt Forecast Wt Forecast Wt Forecast Wt Forecast Wt Forecast
Month 5                        3600                 3133.333333      2510.049383           2614.878722         2768.918657         2816.083296      2715.855642         2500 2528.833333 18450.77778      16190.9537 33079.5571 18233.91757
Month 6                        3050                 3566.666667      2528.019608           2670.141313         2721.014551         2766.743806      2763.646468 12833.33333 2593.166667 13252.97222      19741.18056 29777.13812 47811.90252
Month 7                        1500                 3716.666667      3066.666667           2393.726701         2441.636308         2637.446872      2871.754681 3733.333333 2528.833333 7951.611111      17892.95833 102288.8349 41295.91744
Month 8                        2001                 2716.666667      3472.222222           2701.578552         2559.582245         2643.856506      2740.091325         3475 6561.111111 2550.277778     11468.59259 18225.36497 66583.38966
Month 9                        2002                 2183.666667      3333.333333           3022.302832         2588.482189         2574.077701      2682.682395 3566.666667 5120.833333 4555.694444       6134.50463 14988.8125 48171.81713
Month 10                       2055                 1834.333333      2872.333333           3290.740741         2705.869362         2529.900247       2618.46036       1500.5 3563.888889 5168.925926     4453.208333 9872.276235 30617.66705
Month 11                       2059                 2019.333333      2244.888889           3225.962963         3004.874042         2617.977932      2582.611485         1668 2518.305556 4582.407407     4528.074074 6182.871142 12969.96978
Month 12                       3000                 2038.666667      2012.444444           2816.851852         3179.668845         2766.408531      2573.985294 1694.833333 1928.611111 3300.587963       4773.46142 4770.857253 8880.329733
                                                    2371.333333      1964.111111           2376.555556         3111.185185          2963.47075       2638.09557       1714.5        1653.5 2397.722222   4039.250772 4638.290123 6091.765046
Forecasted Month                                    2371.333333      2143.111111           2073.814815          2806.45679       3098.576024        2782.619071 2186.333333         1700.194444       1889.337963        3062.791667 4365.458205 4939.909336
                                      Total:        26080.66667       26147.1801           27152.62812         27503.63879       27348.40258        27130.00165     34872.5         30697.27778       64100.31481        92284.97608 228189.4605 285596.5853
Smoothing Variable 1    0.000670364                                                                                          Moving Average                                                       Weighted
Smoothing Variable 2          0.35%                                                Error                 Absolute Error Squared Error Abolute %Error Error                       Absolute Error Squared Error Abolute %Error
Smoothing variable 3        -35.02%                                                            2000                   2000             4000000           44.44%           2000             2000             4000000           44.44%
                                                                                        466.6666667            466.6666667         217777.7778           12.96%   -9233.333333      9233.333333         85254444.44          256.48%
                                                                                       -516.6666667            516.6666667         266944.4444           16.94%   -683.3333333      683.3333333         466944.4444           22.40%
                                                                                       -2216.666667            2216.666667         4913611.111          147.78%          -1975             1975             3900625          131.67%
                                                                                       -715.6666667            715.6666667         512178.7778           35.77%   -1565.666667      1565.666667         2451312.111           78.24%
                                                                                       -181.6666667            181.6666667         33002.77778            9.07%          501.5            501.5           251502.25           25.05%
                                                                                        220.6666667            220.6666667         48693.77778           10.74%            387              387              149769           18.83%
                                                                                        39.66666667            39.66666667         1573.444444            1.93%    364.1666667      364.1666667         132617.3611           17.69%
                                                                                        961.3333333            961.3333333         924161.7778           32.04%         1285.5      961.3333333         924161.7778           32.04%


                                                                                   Average                     813.2222222         1213104.877          34.63% Average              1963.481481          10836819.6          69.65%
                                                                                                         MAD                 MSE                 MAPE                            MAD              MSE                 MAPE




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           9|Page
Thumbs up Forecasting Unit Sales


   Moving average total units were 26, 080 with a forecast error of 34.63 percent in the first year in comparison to 34, 872 units with an error of
     69.65 percent for the weighted average. The company forecasted they would sell at least 2371 units in the coming month. Exponential
                            smoothing below, with an alpha of .419 yields 31,200 units with an error of 27.73 percent.

                                                                                                                     Low Demand – Moderate Demand-High Demand




                                                 Forecast .10                                                                                                 Forecast .5                                                                             Forecast .9
Month                            ActualUnits                         2010              2011           2012              2013             2014         2015          2010              2011             2012          2013        2014         2015         2010 2011       2012     2013       2014       2015
Month 1                                  2600                         2600              2600           2600              2600            2600          2600          2600              2600             2600          2600        2600         2600         2600    2600    2600     2600      2600        2600
Month 2                                  2300                         2600              2600           2600              2600            2600          2600          2600              2600             2600          2600        2600         2600         2340    2106 1895.4 1705.86 1535.274 1381.7466
Month 3                                  2600                         2570              2600           2600              2600            2600          2600         2474.3        2547.3317 2577.931982         2590.753501 2596.125717 2598.376675         2070    1863 1676.7 1509.03 1358.127 1222.3143
Month 4                                  4500                         2573              2597           2600              2600            2600          2600 2526.9683 2538.799435 2561.535445                   2578.511135 2588.745207 2594.34109          2340    2106 1895.4 1705.86 1535.274 1381.7466
Month 5                                  3600                        2765.7            2594.6         2599.7             2600            2600          2600 3353.668582 2880.229608 2695.068299                 2627.348587 2604.920023 2598.773663         4050    3645 3280.5 2952.45 2657.205 2391.4845
Month 6                                  3050                       2849.13           2611.71        2599.19          2599.97            2600          2600 3456.881446 3121.846728 2873.888461                 2730.648794 2657.600378 2623.422057         3240    2916 2624.4 2361.96 2125.764 1913.1876
Month 7                                  1500                      2869.217          2635.452    2600.442            2599.892       2599.997           2600 3286.39812 3190.793762 3006.671782                  2846.302426 2736.666536 2670.871494         2745 2470.5 2223.45 2001.105 1800.9945 1620.89505
Month 8                                  2001                     2732.2953         2658.8285    2603.943            2599.947      2599.9865      2599.9997 2537.897308 2917.230147 2969.195737                 2897.794723 2804.179247 2726.727442         1350    1215 1093.5    984.15    885.735 797.1615
Month 9                                  2002                    2659.16577        2666.17518 2609.43155            2600.3466     2599.98255     2599.99838 2312.937336 2664.031459 2841.331905                 2874.136802 2833.491463 2771.461567 1800.9 1620.81 1458.729 1312.8561 1181.57049 1063.413441
Month 10                                 2055                   2593.449193       2665.474239 2615.105913 2601.255095 2600.018955                2599.996797 2182.654592 2462.334552 2682.532014                2793.854396 2816.883532 2790.49337 1801.8 1621.62 1459.458 1313.5122 1182.16098 1063.944882
Month 11                                 2059                   2539.604274       2658.271734 2620.142746 2602.640177 2600.142569                2599.999013 2129.167318 2322.737481 2531.778105                2684.04443 2761.223948 2778.229482 1849.5 1664.55 1498.095 1348.2855 1213.45695 1092.111255
Month 12                                 3000                   2491.543846       2646.404988 2623.955644 2604.390434             2600.39233     2600.013368 2099.767212 2229.312938                2405.0452   2567.143753 2679.904346 2737.03125 1853.1 1667.79 1501.011 1350.9099 1215.81891 1094.237019
Forecasted Month                           19                   31843.10538       31533.91664 31271.91085 31208.44131             31200.5199     31200.00726 31560.64021 32074.64781 32344.97893                32390.53855 32279.7404 32089.72809 28040.3 25496.27 23206.643 21145.979 19291.38083 17622.24275
                                                 Total Units                    188257.9013                    Total Units       192740.274                                  Total Units         134802.8153
                                       Forecast .10                                                                     Forecast 0.419                        Forecast .9
Error                            Absolute ErrorSquared Error                  Abolute %Error Error             Absolute Error Squared Error Abolute %Error Error             Absolute Error Squared Error Abolute %Error
                          -300            300                        90000            13.04%            -300            300.00           90000       13.04%            -40                 40           1600         1.74%
                           30              30                          900             1.15%           125.7            125.70      15800.49          4.83%           530                  530        280900        20.38%
                         1927            1927                      3713329            42.82% 1973.0317                1973.03     3892854.09         43.85%          2160              2160          4665600        48.00%
                        834.3            834.3                    696056.49           23.18% 246.3314177                246.33 60679.16735            6.84%           -450                 450        202500        12.50%
                       200.87           200.87                   40348.7569            6.59% -406.8814463               406.88 165552.5114           13.34%           -190                 190         36100         6.23%
                     -1369.217        1369.217                  1874755.193           91.28% -1786.39812              1786.40 3191218.244           119.09%          -1245             1245          1550025        83.00%
                     -731.2953        731.2953                  534792.8158           36.55% -536.8973079               536.90 288258.7192           26.83%           651                  651        423801        32.53%
                    -657.16577       657.16577                  431866.8493           32.83% -310.9373359               310.94 96682.02685           15.53%          201.1             201.1         40441.21       10.04%
                   -538.449193 538.449193                       289927.5334           26.20% -127.6545922               127.65    16295.6949          6.21%          253.2             253.2         64110.24       12.32%
               -480.6042737 480.6042737                         230980.4679           23.34% -70.16731804                70.17 4923.452521            3.41%          209.5             209.5         43890.25       10.17%
                   508.4561537 508.4561537                      258527.6602           16.95% 900.2327882                900.23    810419.073         30.01%         1146.9            1146.9       1315379.61       38.23%
Average                            732.0330292                  852441.8487           30.40% Average              645.9813245 868593.4381            27.73% Average             635.5888889 403973.2357             25.19%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   10 | P a g e
Forecasted Unit Sales

                                                                                                       Cash Budget



      Thumbs up Corporation require financing of 1,732,076.22 to cover 12 months of operations to
      sustain a minimum cash balance of 3,100,000 for the year. The three owners assume that if 20
      percent of sales were account receivables than, the remaining units sold will be in form of cash in
      which if those funds are not invested the company will have approx. 3 million of excessive cash.


                                                                                                           Forecasted Unit sales
                               January February                 March             April            May              June              July       August September               October November December                            Total
           Northeast              456.00          457.00          434.15          443.27          558.52            557.49           724.73         507.31          456.58          483.98          496.08          489.63           6064.73
             East                 441.00          441.00          418.95          427.33          538.43            537.38           591.12         413.79          372.41          350.06          341.31          336.53           5209.32
           Southeast              412.00          412.00          391.40          399.23          503.03            502.00           552.20         386.54          347.88          327.01          318.84          314.37           4866.49
            Midwest               434.00          434.00          412.30          420.55          529.89            528.92           317.35         222.15          199.93          187.94          183.24          180.67           4050.92
           Southwest              399.00          400.00          380.00          387.98          527.65            526.60           537.13         375.99          417.35          392.31          382.50          377.15           5103.69
             West                 458.00          459.00          436.05          445.21          560.96            559.91           571.11         399.78          443.75          470.38          482.14          475.87           5762.15
            Total                2600.00         2603.00         2472.85         2523.56         3218.48           3212.30          3293.65        2305.55         2237.91         2211.68         2204.10         2174.22          31057.30
          Cumulative             2600.00         5203.00         7675.85        10199.41        13417.89          16630.19         19923.83       22229.39        24467.30        26678.97        28883.07        31057.30
                                                                                                            Forecasted Sales
           Northeast         36475.44     36555.43     34727.66     35456.94       44675.74       44593.35       57971.36       40579.95       36521.96       38713.27       39681.11       39165.25                               485117.47
             East            35275.59     35275.59     33511.81     34182.05       43069.38       42985.39       47283.93       33098.75       29788.87       28001.54       27301.50       26919.28                               416693.69
           Southeast         32955.88     32955.88     31308.09     31934.25       40237.15       40154.76       44170.24       30919.17       27827.25       26157.62       25503.67       25146.62                               389270.58
            Midwest          34715.66     34715.66     32979.88     33639.47       42385.74       42308.15       25384.89       17769.42       15992.48       15032.93       14657.11       14451.91                               324033.29
           Southwest         31916.01     31996.00     30396.20     31034.52       42206.95       42122.96       42965.42       30075.79       33384.13       31381.08       30596.55       30168.20                               408243.81
             West            36635.42     36715.41     34879.64     35612.11       44871.26       44787.27       45683.02       31978.11       35495.70       37625.45       38566.08       38064.72                               460914.20
          Total Sales    $ 207,974.00 $ 208,213.97 $ 197,803.27 $ 201,859.34 $ 257,446.22 $ 256,951.88 $ 263,458.85 $ 184,421.19 $ 179,010.40 $ 176,911.89 $ 176,306.03 $ 173,915.99                                           $2,484,273.04
          Cumulative     $ 207,974.00 $ 416,187.97 $ 613,991.24 $ 815,850.58 $ 1,073,296.80 $ 1,330,248.69 $ 1,593,707.54 $ 1,778,128.73 $ 1,957,139.13 $ 2,134,051.02 $ 2,310,357.05 $ 2,484,273.04
                                                                                                                Expenses
Administrative/CGS/            41,594.80       60,382.05       57,362.95       58,539.21       74,659.40         74,516.05       76,403.07       53,482.15       51,913.01       51,304.45       51,128.75       50,435.64       701,721.52
R&D                             4,159.48        6,246.42        5,934.10        6,055.78        7,723.39          7,708.56        7,903.77        5,532.64        5,370.31        5,307.36        5,289.18        5,217.48        72,448.45
Marketing                      31,196.10       10,410.70        9,890.16       10,092.97       12,872.31         12,847.59       13,172.94        9,221.06        8,950.52        8,845.59        8,815.30        8,695.80       145,011.05
Bonus                           2,079.74        2,082.14        1,978.03        2,018.59        2,574.46          2,569.52        2,634.59        1,844.21        1,790.10        1,769.12        1,763.06        1,739.16        24,842.73
Finance                         2,079.74        2,082.14        1,978.03        2,018.59        2,574.46          2,569.52        2,634.59        1,844.21        1,790.10        1,769.12        1,763.06        1,739.16        24,842.73
Total Expenses           $     81,109.86 $     81,203.45 $     77,143.28 $     78,725.14 $    100,404.03 $      100,211.23 $    102,748.95 $     71,924.27 $     69,814.05 $     68,995.64 $     68,759.35 $     67,827.24 $     968,866.48
Cumulative               $     81,109.86 $    162,313.31 $    239,456.58 $    318,181.73 $    418,585.75 $      518,796.99 $    621,545.94 $    693,470.20 $    763,284.26 $    832,279.90 $    901,039.25 $    968,866.48
      Operating Income       126,864.14      127,010.52      120,660.00      123,134.20      157,042.19        156,740.65      160,709.90      112,496.93      109,196.34      107,916.25      107,546.68      106,088.76      1,515,406.55
Minimum Cash             $ 262,047.24 $ 262,349.60 $ 249,232.12 $ 254,342.77 $ 324,382.24 $ 323,759.37 $ 331,958.15 $ 232,370.71 $ 225,553.10 $ 222,908.98 $ 222,145.60 $ 219,134.15 $ 3,130,184.03
Required Financing       (135,183.10) (135,339.08) (128,572.13) (131,208.57) (167,340.04) (167,018.72) (171,248.25) (119,873.78) (116,356.76) (114,992.73) (114,598.92) (113,045.39) (1,614,777.47)


                                                                                                                                                                                                               11 | P a g e
Financing

REGIONS

Mongote Bank approved a loan for 804, 531 with the costs of capital at 10 percent; the company
with the funds attained the plant and equipment, inventory, and reinvested 120,000 in a portfolio of
stocks with an average return of 15 percent. The companies established 5 regions: Northeast, East,
South, Southwest and West and linked those regions with the small offices purchase after test
market projects A and B. Within the 5 regions exists 3 divisions; with unit costs 9.65 the company
decided to purchase 21195 units and distributed across the regions. The company also sold 300,000
shares of stock to raise additional capital at par value 10 dollars a share. With this capital the
company is considering expanding their operations in the future and how they should they invest
such funds short-term to raise additional capital. Unfortunately, the bond market is poor with
returns lower than 5 percent therefore management receded their decision to purchase bonds and
instead decided in December they will purchase stocks, receive dividends, and then sell the stocks in
January.




S OLD 300,000 SHARES OF C OMMON S TOCK FOR 5 DOLLARS PER SHARE AND PURCHASE A PATENT FOR 125,000. (1,375,000).

Capital Stock (30000 shares 10)                                                                                    300,000

Additional Paid in Capital                                                                                          2,625,000

M ONGOTE B ANK APPROVED A LOAN FOR 804,531, THE FUNDS WERE ALLOCATED : (A DJUSTMENT FOR CASH )

Jan 23, 2010 Approved Loan

Cash-Marketable securities                                             120,000.00

Inventory                                                 204,531.00

Plant and equipment                                       480,000.00

Account Payable and Personal loan                                                                                  804,531.75

PURCHASE OF STOCK A WITH AN EXPECTED RETURN OF 15 %

Investment in Stock A                                                  120,000

            Cash                                                                                                   120,000

Prepaid Rent                                                            25,000

            Cash                                                                                                 25, 00


                                                                                                             12 | P a g e
13 | P a g e
First Quarter




                                                           Record of Sales

                                                           Cash                           394,538.93

                                                           Account Receivable             163,872.92

                                                           Sales Revenue                                801,619




                                                           Record of Goods Sold

                                                           Costs of Goods Sold            96,731.6

                                                           Inventory                                   96,731.6




                 Divisional Sales
                                                           COLLECTIONS FROM CUSTOMERS
      Total                                 Quarter 1
                                                           Cash                  47,522
  Services
                                                           Account Receivable                           47,522
Technology

  Car Units

              0.00 5000.00
                         10000.005000.00
                                1




                                                                                               14 | P a g e
First Quarter

Region                               Products    Units Sold          Cost per Unit     Profit            Price Per Unit   Earnings      Total Operating Costs Account Recv     Cash Sales      EBIT
     North East Unit Sales      Car Units                      641             62.39             97.59           159.98     62,553.78             39,993.40          185.89        44,413.18          62,553.78
                                Technology                     613             19.50             30.49            49.99     18,692.76             11,951.11          177.77        13,271.86          18,692.76
                                Consumer goods                 342             15.60             24.39            39.99      8,342.71               5,333.87           99.18        5,923.33           8,342.71
                    91416287.62 Total                         1596             97.48            152.48           249.96     89,589.25             57,278.38          462.84        63,608.37          89,589.25
             East               Car Units                      748             58.50             91.49           149.99     68,437.44             43,755.08          216.92        48,590.58          68,437.44
                                Technology                     602             11.70             18.29            29.99     11,012.93               7,041.05         174.58         7,819.18          11,012.93
                                Consumer goods                 339             11.70             18.29            29.99      6,201.63               3,964.98             204        2,469.68           6,201.63
                                Total East                    1689             81.89            128.08           209.97     85,652.00             54,761.11            595.5 58879.43565              85,652.00
          South East            Car Units                      733             62.39             97.59           159.98     71,531.86             45,733.48          212.57        50,787.62          71,531.86
                                Technology                     587             15.60             24.39            39.99     14,319.22               9,154.91         170.23        10,166.65          14,319.22
                                Consumer goods                 391             15.60             24.39            39.99      9,538.01               6,098.08         113.39         6,771.99           9,538.01
                                Total                         1711             93.58            146.38           239.96     95,389.09             60,986.47          496.19 67726.25504               95,389.09
           Midwest              Car Units                      676             62.39             97.59           159.98     65,969.35             42,177.13          196.04        46,838.24          65,969.35
                                Technology                     541             15.60             24.39            39.99     13,197.10               8,437.49         156.89         9,369.94          13,197.10
                                Consumer goods                 372             15.60             24.39            39.99      9,074.53               5,801.75         107.88         6,442.92           9,074.53
                                Total                         1589             93.58            146.38           239.96     88,240.98             56,416.37          460.81 62651.09829               88,240.98
           Southwest            Car Units                      691             58.50             91.49           149.99     63,222.28             40,420.81          200.39        44,887.82          63,222.28
                                Technology                     552             19.50             30.49            49.99     16,832.63             10,761.85          160.08        11,951.17          16,832.63
                                Consumer goods                 368             15.60             24.39            39.99      8,976.96               5,739.36         106.72         6,373.64           8,976.96
                                Total                          920             35.09             54.89           239.97     89,031.87             56,922.02          467.19        63,212.63          89,031.87
             West               Car Units                      783             66.30            103.69           169.99     81,192.32             51,909.85          227.07        57,646.55          81,192.32
                                Technology                     627             19.50             30.49            49.99     19,119.68             12,224.05          181.83        13,574.97          19,119.68
                                Consumer goods                 418             15.60             24.39            39.99     10,196.65               6,519.17         121.22         7,239.62          10,196.65
                                Total                         1828        101.3883              158.58           259.97 110,508.65                70,653.07          530.12        78,461.14      110,508.65


Sales                                                                                                                     $746,546.67
Operating Costs                                                                                          $ 357,017.41
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes                                                                                        $558,411.85




    In the first quarter the company sold over 10,000 core products, car units exceeding 4,000 sales.
    The average amount of units sold per region was over 1,600 with the west region leading the
    way in each product category with 1,828 total unit sales. The company operation before
    interest and taxes is performing well. Total Cash sales are 394,538.93 with a total earnings
    before interest and taxes of 558, 411.85.




                                                                                                                                                                                       15 | P a g e
Second Quarter




                 STANTON BANK APPROVED A LOAN;
                 THE FUNDS WERE ALLOCATED TOWARDS
                 INVENTORY , REINVESTMENT , AND PLANT
                 AND EQUIPMENT FOLLOWING :

                 Cash -Marketable securities

                              480,000.00

                 Inventory

                              204,531.00

                 Plant and equipment

                 120,000

                              Account Payable


                 804,531.75

                 April 23, 2010 to June 23, 2010(11181
                 Units for 9.65 Unit)

                 Cash

                 437,955.34

                 Account Receivables                 456, 412.85

                              Sales Revenue
                                        894,368.19




                                                      16 | P a g e
Second Quarter

Region                              Products     Units Sold          Cost per Unit     Profit            Price Per Unit Earnings       Total Operating Costs Account Recv     Cash Sales
     North East Unit Sales      Car Units                      708             62.39             97.59          159.98    69,092.16              44,173.68          205.32        49,055.44
                                Technology                     567             19.50             30.49           49.99    17,290.04              11,054.29          164.43        12,275.93
                                Consumer goods                 567             15.60             24.39           39.99    13,831.34                8,842.99         164.43         9,820.25
                    118018699.1 Total                         1842             97.48            152.48          249.96 100,213.55                64,070.96          534.18        71,151.62
            East                Car Units                      826             58.50             91.49          149.99    75,573.96              48,317.78          239.54        53,657.51
                                Technology                     661             11.70             18.29           29.99    12,092.27                7,731.12         191.69         8,585.51
                                Consumer goods                 441             11.70             18.29           29.99      8,067.61               5,157.98             204        4,335.65
                                Total East                    1928             81.89            128.08          209.97    95,733.84              61,206.88          635.23        66,578.68
          South East            Car Units                      811             62.39             97.59          159.98    79,143.71              50,600.07          235.19        56,192.03
                                Technology                     648             15.60             24.39           39.99    15,807.25              10,106.27          187.92        11,223.15
                                Consumer goods                 432             15.60             24.39           39.99    10,538.16                6,737.52         125.28         7,482.10
                                Total                         1891             93.58            146.38          239.96 105,489.12                67,443.86          548.39 74897.27364
           Midwest              Car Units                      748             62.39             97.59          159.98    72,995.67              46,669.37          216.92        51,826.93
                                Technology                     598             15.60             24.39           39.99    14,587.55                9,326.47         173.42        10,357.16
                                Consumer goods                 359             15.60             24.39           39.99      8,757.41               5,599.00         104.11         6,217.76
                                Total                         1705             93.58            146.38          239.96    96,340.64              61,594.83          494.45 68401.85206
          Southwest             Car Units                      763             58.50             91.49          149.99    69,809.85              44,632.52          221.27        49,564.99
                                Technology                     633             19.50             30.49           49.99    19,302.64              12,341.03          183.57        13,704.87
                                Consumer goods                 407             15.60             24.39           39.99      9,928.32               6,347.61         118.03         7,049.11
                                Total                         1040             35.09             54.89          239.97    99,040.80              63,321.17          522.87        70,318.97
             West               Car Units                      866             66.30            103.69          169.99    89,798.92              57,412.42          251.14        63,757.23
                                Technology                     693             19.50             30.49           49.99    21,132.27              13,510.80          200.97        15,003.91
                                Consumer goods                 642             15.60             24.39           39.99    15,660.88              10,012.70          186.18        11,119.23
                                Total                         2201        101.3883              158.58          259.97 126,592.07                80,935.92          638.29        89,880.37




         In the second quarter most regions experience positive growth in sales selling on average
         1728.33 units with the West Region reaching 2, 201.00 units sold and becoming the
         benchmark for future sales with an average price of 86.65 per unit comparable to the
         company average of 79.99 unit price. The second quarter results are an average growth of
         14.51 percent, exceeding first quarter sales by 1,019 units sold. Total Growth for the
         company in the second quarter was 14.95 percent with a standard deviation of 13.01 percent
         indicating not only the distribution of units sold but also the reliability of future sales.




                                                                                                                                                                   17 | P a g e
Third Quarter



       2500
       2000
                                                         Car Units
       1500
                                                         Technology
       1000                                              Services
         500                                             All Products
            0




       Third quarter results were just above 10,330 units with an average of 1721.83 units sold. The west
       region exceeded expectations again with 2064 units sold a 6 percent decrease in growth from the
       previous quarter. Comparable quarter results the company growth declined 3.89 percent and the
       current growth rate is 10 percent. Technology is up 12.12 percent in the west and services are up
       6.69 percent in the Midwest.




JULY 23, 2010 TO SEPT 23, 2010 (10747 UNITS SOLD79.99/9.65 UNIT)
Cash                                                                    352,457

Account Receivables including operating costs                                                        507,194

          Sales Revenue                                                                              859,652.53

Costs of Goods Sold                                                     118,971.53

          Inventory                                                                                  118,971.53




                                                                                               18 | P a g e
Fourth Quarter


     7000.00

     6000.00

     5000.00
                                                                                EBIT          579,301.66
     4000.00                                               Car Units
                                                                                Account Rcv   169,527.77
     3000.00                                               Technology
                                                                                Sales           830136.22
     2000.00                                               Services
                                                           Total                Operating Profit Margin
     1000.00

        0.00                                                                              69.78




In the fourth quarter the company experience a slight decline in sales just at 10, 378 unit sales with
earnings before interest and taxes of 579, 301. The average amount of units sold is 1729.67 with a
standard deviation of 1904.00 units. The west region was above average at 1904.00 units.
Comparable quarter results sales are down 3.63 percent.


SEPT 23, DECEMBER 23 (10378/9.65 UNIT)
Cash                                                                41060.56

AR                                                                 59087.14

          Sales Revenue                                                                           830,136.22

Salary Expense-Operating Expenses                                  914,352.30

          Cash                                                                                     914,352.30

(120,000 Market value

Depreciation Expense                                               120,000

          Cash                                                                                    120,000

RECEIPT OF DIVIDENDS FOR STOCK A
Cash                                                               5,000

Investment in Stock A                                                                             5,000




                                                                                               19 | P a g e
Year Ending December 2010 Region Results


                          All Regions                   All Regions
 17500

 17000
                           16890
 16500
                                     16200
 16000

 15500                                          15458
 15000          15052

 14500

 14000
         Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4




MANAGEMENT MEETING AND ANALYSIS OF SALES

The second quarter experience the largest growth of 14.95 percent reaching 16890 units and the
west region reached a total of 2201 sales. Since the start of the company, sales are declining by
approx. 4 percent. Management projects that in 2011 the company can reach a growth rate of 10
percent from 2010 to 2011.




                                                                                        20 | P a g e
Year Ended In December 2010




                              21 | P a g e
Add



       The company acquired a 25 percent stake in XYZ Company gaining 25 percent of their net income. XYZ
       Company is a North America Transportation Company who specialized in commercial fleets and rentals.
       Management plans in 2011 to expand and utilized their relationship with XYZ to gain economies of scale
       and costs efficiency. The company also, extended their stock portfolio and purchase additional
       inventory. The company in 2012 plans to issue 200,000 shares of stock to support future growth and
       expansion.

       2012 – Increase Sales, Spending, Financing and Inventory

       2014 – Expansion Project

       2015 – Replacement Project




MARKETABLE SECURITIES INVESTMENTS
Purchase a bond for 10,000 with a fair value of 9,000

Investment in Bond A                                                             10,000

            Investment in Maturity Debt Securities                                                       10,000

Investment in Stock Portfolio B                                                  72,000

            Cash                                                                                         72,000

PURCHASE 25 PERCENT STAKE XYZ COMPANY
Purchase 300,000 shares for 5                                                    150,000

            Cash                                                                                         150,000

Costs of goods sold                                                               107,896.65

            Inventory                                                                                    107,896.65

Cash                                                                             327,677.23

            Account Receivable                                                                           327,677.23

PURCHASE INVENTORY AND COLLECTED RECEIVABLES
Inventory                                                                         204,531.75

            Cash                                                                                         204,531.75

Cash
                                                2011 AFN Budget and 5 Year targets
                                                                              307,194.99

            Account Receivable                                                                           307,194.99


                                                                                                 22 | P a g e
Cash Flow per share                                            1.58
                                     Performance                                                                                                                        Target
                                                                                 2010 Actual                       Scenerio 1             Scenerio 2                    Scenario
                                     EPS                                               $1.73                             $3.22                $5.60                         $1.46
                                     Year-end stock price                             $13.88                             $25.79               $70.00                       $13.14
                                     Profit margin (PM)                               15.35%                             3.66%                6.36%                        11.24%
                                     Sales/Assets (Assets turnover)                    0.98                               1.82                    1.98                      1.21
                                     Assets/Equity                                     1.58                               2.01                    1.74                      2.68
                                     ROE                                              15.0%                              13.4%                21.9%                        36.4%
                                     Operating costs/Sales                            39.0%                              92.0%                87.5%                        50.5%
                                     L/A:Debt ratio                                    0.0%                              50.2%                42.5%                        57.8%
                                     TIE ratio                                         1.72                               4.22                 6.60                         1.61




          For 2011, the company target EPS is 1.46 resulting from an increase in operating assets to support a
          sales growth of 15 percent leading to a slight decrease in the stock price. To support the increase in
          operations the company plans to extend their debt ratio, and reduce the amount of cash on hand to 5.3
          percent of sales. Receivables are currently 29.5 percent of sales and management is requesting for a
          decrease of 4 percent. To support increase in growth the company require additional funds of 607, 587
          million, reduce to 140,771 million by deducting retained earnings from 2010 of 466,816 million. This
          includes an increase in inventory by 14 percent, and an increase in assets by 7 percent to support an
          expansion project and upgrades to machinery.


                                                                                                %
                                                                                               o
                                 2010 Actual                % of Sales Factors                 f    Forecast 2011                 Forecast 2012                   Forecast 2013             Forecast 2014         Forecast 2015
2010 Income Statement                                                                                -$335,544.3                   -$335,543.3                     -$335,542.3               -$335,541.3           -$335,540.3
Sales                              $3,390,776.1                  15.00%          (1 + Factor) × 2010 Sales
                                                                                                      $3,899,392.52                          $4,484,301.39               $5,156,946.60            $5,930,488.59         $6,820,061.88
Total operating costs               1,323,415.8                   50.5%      Factor × Forecasted Sales
                                                                                                  1,969,193.22                                2,264,572.20                2,604,258.03             2,994,896.74          3,444,131.25
EBIT                              $2,067,360.3                                                          $1,930,199.29                         $2,219,729.19              $2,552,688.57            $2,935,591.85         $3,375,930.63
Interest charges                    1,200,000.0                   10.0%           Carry over 2010 amount
                                                                                                      1,200,000.00                                         0.10                                            0.00          1,200,000.00
Earnings before taxes (EBT)         $867,360.3                                                             $730,199.29                       $2,219,729.09               $2,552,688.57            $2,935,591.85         $2,175,930.63
Taxes                                346,944.1                     40%             Tax rate × 2011 EBT 292,079.72                                  887,891.64             1,021,075.43             1,174,236.74           870,372.25
Net income for common (NI)          $520,416.2                                                             $438,119.58                        $1,331,837.45               $1,531,613.14           $1,761,355.11         $1,305,558.38

Dividends (DIVs)                     $50,348.3                    0.0%                                           $0.00                                    $0.00                    $0.00                 $0.00                 $0.00
Add. to ret. earns (NI – DIVs)      $470,067.9                                                             $438,119.58                        $1,331,837.45               $1,531,613.14           $1,761,355.11         $1,305,558.38

Shares outstanding                 300,000.000                                                             300,000.000                            300,000.000             300,000.000              300,000.000           300,000.000
EPS                                      $1.73                                                                   $1.46                                    $4.44                     $5.11          5.871183705                 $4.35
DPS                                      $0.17                                                                   $0.00                                    $0.00                    $0.00                 $0.00                 $0.00
Stock Price                             $13.88                     9.0                                          $13.14                                   $39.96                 $45.95                  $52.84                 $39.17



                                 Additional Assets                                                                         $                              607,587.97
                                 Additional Funds Needed                                                                   $                              140,771.79




                                                                                                                                                                                                         23 | P a g e
Forecasted Balance Sheet



                                 Innovation                2011                            2012                       2013                 2014               2015
Balance Sheet                       2010                 Forecast                        Forecast                   Forecast             Forecast           Forecast
               Assets
 Cash                              $3,671,348      #           $206,667.8                            $237,668.0            $273,318.2          $314,315.9          $361,463.3
 Accounts receivable                1,000,000      #            949,128.4                            1,091,497.6          1,255,222.2         1,443,505.6         1,660,031.4
 Inventories                          204,532      #            779,878.5                             896,860.3           1,031,389.3         1,186,097.7         1,364,012.4
 Total current assets              $4,875,880                $1,935,674.7                           $2,226,025.9         $2,559,929.7        $2,943,919.2        $3,385,507.1
 Net fixed assets                     600,000      #          1,582,436.1                            1,121,075.3          1,289,236.7         1,482,622.1         1,705,015.5
 Total assets                      $5,475,880                 $3,518,110.8                          $3,347,101.2         $3,849,166.4        $4,426,541.3        $5,090,522.5
 Claims on Assets
 Accts payable and accruals          $804,532      #         $2,339,635.5                           $2,690,580.8         $3,094,168.0        $3,558,293.2        $4,092,037.1
 Notes payable: Original              804,532                                                                             -1,941,631.3                                    0.0
 Notes payable: New                   607,588                  -471,484.0                           -1,803,439.3           -786,250.2                          -792,564,273.9
 Total current liabs                                          $1,868,151.5                            $887,141.6          $366,286.5         $3,558,293.2     -$788,472,236.8
 Long-term debt                               0                                                                                   0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 Total liabilities                            $0              $1,868,151.5                            $887,141.6          $366,286.5         $3,558,293.2     -$788,472,236.8
 Common stock                        3,000,000                  300,000.0                             300,000.0             300,000.0          300,000.0           300,000.0
 Retained earnings                     466,816         2010 + Add'n to RE from Income Statement
                                                                904,935.8                            1,769,957.0          2,863,450.6         3,292,968.3         3,066,913.5
 Total common equity                $3,466,816               $1,204,935.8                           $2,069,957.0         $3,163,450.6        $3,592,968.3        $3,366,913.5
 Total Claims                       $3,466,816               $3,073,087.3                           $2,957,098.6         $3,529,737.1        $7,151,261.4     -$785,105,323.3




           The self-supporting growth rate is 9.7 percent meaning, this is the growth the company can obtain
           without raising additional capital. The company 5 year target is to grow by 15 percent a year from their
           current projected 10 percent growth from 2010. To obtain the results the company will obtain
           additional capital to increase sales by focusing on receivable collections, inventory management, and a
           marketing campaign to target the early adopters to late majority.



                               Supporting Rate                                                              9.72%




                                                                                                                                                 24 | P a g e
Expansion



Thumbs Up Corporation is considering expanding globally in South America and India. Currently, their
products are manufactured in china and the assembled in the United States. One expansion project will
include a small manufacturing and large assembly plant in India where products will be shipped and sold
to outlets in Europe, Mideast, and Asia. Another project is opening a manufacturing and assembly plant
in South America. With rising oil price and increasing transportation costs, thumbs up corporation hope
to utilized more manufacturing resources at home and in south America however at this time the
company must rely on china to manufacture more than 85 percent of their materials and reap the
benefits of reduce labor costs. Considering the Chinese economics the company does not plan to
assemble and sale any products out of china.

 The India project will require a total investment of 880,000 which includes equipment, buildings, sales
outlets, and goodwill funds to lock in contract negotiations. The internal rate of return is projected to
be 35 percent and 7 percent reinvestment of cash flows. The average price across all regions is projected
to be 69.99 and variable costs of 21 per unit.




                                   Pakistan Transportation Contract



Pakistan have a huge influence in the middle east and transporting final goods and materials with
Pakistan assistance could cut transportation costs and provide an influence into the middle eastern
market. The company will be seeking to lock in a transportation contract with Pakistan.




                                                                                            25 | P a g e
India Project



India Project                                                                                                                          Squared
                                                                                                                                      Deviation
                                                                 Sales                    Unit              Variable                    Times
                Scenario                Probability               Price                  Sales               Costs     NPV            Probability


                Best Case                  25%                  $89.99                   42,000             $18.00     $4,077,665          1019416
                Base Case                  50%                  $79.99                   26,000             $20.00       $311,181            155590
                Worst Case                 25%                   $59.99                   800               $25.00     ($4,210,027)        (1052507)
                                                                                                                                             122500
                                     Expected NPV = sum, prob times NPV                           122,500
                                     Standard Deviation = Sq Root of column H sum                    350
                                     Coefficient of Variation = Std Dev / Expected NPV                 0




After reviewing the India Project, Thumbs up corporation excluded the worst case scenario and decided
to select the base case with a 50 percent probability of success. The first year of sales is projected to be
26,000 units with a Net present value of 311,181. The payback period for their investment is two years
with an internal rate of return of 35 percent.




                                                      Licensing Patent



Thumbs Up Corporation will be licensing their patents to businesses in the area where they are unable
to sell their products




                                                                                                                                26 | P a g e
India Project

Investment Expansion Project India                                                                                             NPV =                 $1,083,629                 Equipment cost                 $120,000 Outlets   480,000
Equipment                                            ($880,000)                                          Key Output:           IRR =                     74.8%                  Building Costs                  220,000
                                                                               All Regions                                     MIRR =                    37.7%                  Goodwill contract funds           60000
   Operating Cash Flows over the Project's Life:                                                 2011                   2012              2013          2014            2015                       2016         2017
Europe Sales                                                                                    3,000               3,330                5,000        5,550             5,000                     5,550        5,000
Middle East                                                                                     4,000               4,440                5,000        5,550             5,000                     5,550        5,000
China                                                                                          10,000              11,100               10,000       11,100            10,000                    11,100       10,000
Japan                                                                                           5,000               5,550                1,000        1,110             1,000                     1,110        1,000
South Korea                                                                                     4,000               4,440                1,000        1,110             1,000                     1,110        1,000
Units sold                                                                                      26,000             28,860               32,035       35,558           39,470                     43,812      48,631
Sales price                                                                                    $79.99              $82.39               $84.86       $87.41           $90.03                     $92.73      $95.51
Variable costs                                                                                 $20.00              $20.60               $21.22       $21.85           $22.51                     $23.19      $23.88

Sales revenue                                                                        $2,079,740 $2,377,767 $2,718,501 $3,108,062 $3,553,447                                           $4,062,656 $4,644,835
Variable costs                                                                        84,600.00 87,138.00 89,752.14 92,444.70 95,218.05                                                98,074.59 101,016.82
Nonvariable operating costs                                                           2,119,500 2,183,085 2,248,578 2,316,035 2,316,035                                                2,316,035     2,316,035
Depreciation (equipment)                                                                168,000       268,800      159,600     100,800     697,200                                             0             0
Oper. income before taxes (EBIT)                                                   ($292,360.00) ($161,256.26) $220,571.03 $598,782.29 $444,994.21                                 $1,648,546.65 $2,227,783.03
Taxes on operating income (40%)                                                        (116,944)      (64,503)      88,228     239,513     177,998                                       659,419       891,113
After-tax operating income                                                            ($175,416) ($96,754) $132,343 $359,269 $266,997                                                   $989,128 $1,336,670
Add back depreciation                                                                   168,000       268,800      159,600     100,800     697,200                                             0             0
       Operating cash flow                                                              ($7,416) $172,046 $291,943 $460,069 $964,197                                                    $989,128 $1,336,670

   Terminal Year Cash Flows:
Required level of net working capital                                                $103,987.00               $118,888           $135,925        $155,403 $177,672                      $203,133           $232,242
Required investment in NWC                                                               $96,571               $290,935           $427,868        $615,472 $1,141,869                  $1,192,261         $1,568,912

   Terminal Year Cash Flows:
Net salvage value                                                                                                                                   279,320                                           0

Net Cash Flow (Time line of cash flows)                           ($880,000)                 $193,142          $581,869           $855,735 $1,230,945 $2,283,738                       $2,384,522         $3,137,823

Payback (See calculation below)                        2.30                                                                                  3
Data for Payback Years                                 0         1                       2                      3                  4                 5                6                 7
Net cash flow                                      (880,000) 193,142                  581,869                855,735           1,230,945         2,283,738        2,384,522         3,137,823
Cumulative CF                                         0      (686,858)               (104,989)               750,746           1,981,691         4,265,429        6,649,951         9,787,774
Part of year required for payback                                    1.28




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       27 | P a g e
South America Project


South America Project
                                                                Sales            Unit          Variable
                        Scenario               Probability      Price           Sales              Costs        NPV


                        Best Case                 25%          $79.99          30,000              $19.00         $3,713,104
                        Base Case                 50%          $69.99           9,000              $25.00             $409,816
                        W orst Case               25%          $49.99            200               $31.00             ($576,089)


                                               Expected NPV = sum, prob times NPV                                $989,161.72
                                               Standard Deviation = Sq Root of column H sum                            $994.57
                                               Coefficient of Variation = Std Dev / Expected NPV                           0.00




    Thumbs Up Corporation has chosen to accept the Base Case Scenario yielding a net present value of
    409, 816 with a 50 percent probability of success. The average Unit price is 69.99 per unit and the
    company expects sales to reach about 700,000 in the first year.




                                               Licensing Patent



    Thumbs Up Corporation will be licensing their patents to businesses operating in some regions.




                                            South America Project

                                                                                                            28 | P a g e
Investment Expansion Project South America                                                                             NPV =                     $529,748                  Equipment cost       $120,000
Equipment                                           ($120,000)                                       Key Output:       IRR =                       128.6%
                                                                              All Regions                              MIRR =                      73.0%
    Operating Cash Flows over the Project's Life:                                            2011               2012            2013                 2014           2015             2016           2017
Units sold                                                                                  9,000              9,990         11,089                12,309        13,663           15,166          16,834
Sales price                                                                            $69.99               $72.09           $74.25                $76.48        $78.77           $81.14          $83.57
Variable costs                                                                              $9.00           $10.04           $10.34                $10.65        $10.97           $11.30          $11.64


Sales revenue                                                                       $629,910              $720,176        $823,377              $941,367     $1,076,265       $1,230,494      $1,406,824
Variable costs                                                                    381,510.00            425,701.58       438,472.62            451,626.80    465,175.60       479,130.87      493,504.80
Nonvariable operating costs                                                           225,000              231,750         238,703               245,864        245,864          245,864        245,864
Depreciation (equipment)                                                               24,000               38,400           22,800                14,400        99,600                  0             0
Oper. income before taxes (EBIT)                                                     ($600.00)          $24,324.53      $123,402.22        $229,476.94      $265,626.07      $505,499.61     $667,455.48
Taxes on operating income (40%)                                                              (240)             9,730         49,361                91,791       106,250          202,200        266,982
After-tax operating income                                                                  ($360)         $14,595         $74,041              $137,686      $159,376          $303,300       $400,473
Add back depreciation                                                                  24,000               38,400           22,800                14,400        99,600                  0             0
       Operating cash flow                                                            $23,640              $52,995         $96,841              $152,086      $258,976          $303,300       $400,473


    Terminal Year Cash Flows:
Required level of net working capital                                             $31,495.50               $36,009         $41,169               $47,068        $53,813          $61,525        $70,341
Required investment in NWC                                                            $55,136              $89,004        $138,010              $199,155      $312,789          $364,824       $470,814


    Terminal Year Cash Flows:
Net salvage value                                                                                                                                335,320                                 0


Net Cash Flow (Time line of cash flows)                          ($120,000)         $110,271              $178,007        $276,020              $398,309      $625,578          $729,649       $941,629


Payback (See calculation below)                       (441.80)                                                                    3
Data for Payback Years                                  0            1                2                    3                4              5                    6                7
Net cash flow                                       (120,000) 110,271             178,007               276,020         398,309        625,578              729,649           941,629
Cumulative CF                                          0          (9,729)         168,278               444,298         842,607        1,468,185            2,197,834        3,139,463
Part of year required for payback                                 12.33




                                                                                                                                                                                     29 | P a g e
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Pdfnew

  • 1. 2012 Lawrence Samuels; LawSamuels@hotmail.com
  • 2. Lawrence Samuels*LawSamuels@hotamil.com * JANUARY 2012 TO JANUARY 2013 BUSINESS LEADERS International Community Portfolio for your Perusal Thank you, for taking the time to learn more about me. I hope my skills, qualifications, and pursuit of excellence will not only meet your requirements but inspire you to reach higher. Enclosed are details about me which include: 1. Corporate Valuation and Forecasting 2. Accounting entries 3. Statistical Analysis 4. Additional Tools and Resources Many will say “you cannot judge a book by its cover,” not only do I wish my cover page passes your perusal but also I hope my portfolio will create the drive for us to build a lasting relationship. A good team can foster change and continue to make a difference in all business pursuits. Not only is this an invitation for a long-term partnership but also a call of action for you to make a choice today. Again, thank you for the opportunity and I hope I too can learn more about you. Sincerely, Lawrence Samuels mailto:LawSamuels@hotmail.com?subject=Contact "There are two ways of spreading light: to be the candle or the mirror that reflects it." - Edith Wharton- 1|Page
  • 3. TABLE OF CONTENTS INVITATION LETTER: 1 THUMBS UP CORPORATION 3 BACKGROUND 4 MARKETING OVERVIEW 5-6 2010 BUSINESS OVERVIEW 8 FIRST QUARTER SALES RESULTS 101 9 SECOND QUARTER SALES RESULTS 101 10 THIRD QUARTER SALES RESULTS 101 11 FOURTH QUARTER SALES RESULTS 101 12 YEAR ENDING DECEMBER 2010 REGION RESULTS 13 YEAR ENDED IN DECEMBER 2010 14 ADDITIONAL JOURNAL ENTRIES 15 2011 AFN BUDGET AND 5 YEAR FORECASTED STATEMENTS TARGETS 16 FORECASTED BALANCE SHEET 17 EXPANSION PROJECT EVALUATION 18 INDIA PROJECT ANALYSIS 19-20 SOUTH AMERICA PROJECT 20-21 SERVICE ANALYSIS 21 DETAILED BUDGET 22 2|Page
  • 4. Thumbs Up Corporation Purchase of Patent Patent 125,000 Patent 125,000 Patent 125,000 3|Page
  • 5. Thumbs Up Corporation BACKGROUND Corporation was founded in 2009, by three entrepreneurs on a journey to make everyone happy. Frisbee Jersey, owner and co-founder, said he wanted to bring “laughter to millions and excitement for all.” Thumbs Up’s founders have contributed much of their success to Disney philosophy of seeking “the ultimate element of surprise.” They pride themselves on a vision towards satisfying their customers and employees first and performance and profits are the true measures of their customer-employee relationships. In turn, profits and performance are the ultimate payoff. PROJECTS The three entrepreneurs set up two mutually inclusive projects: One located in the west and the other in the south east to generate buzz about the products and establish a customer based. They wanted to know who is attractive to the product, what price are consumers willing to pay, and where they should sell the products. With an initial investment of 695 thousand dollars in the west and 575 thousand dollars in the east they begin positioning their product by product class and use into small businesses and retail outlets. Project A, the west region, they projected cash inflows on a 7 month time period with a rate of return of 25.67 percent in comparison to Project B, East Region, which they reached 38.79 percent. The payback period was 6 months for both projects considering the free samples in the west sales growth was slower in the first 3 months with cash inflows of: -300,000 and -200,000 however in the 4 remaining months the team was able to generate over 3.3 million in cash flows. NPV AT WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST ON CAPITAL Project A ProjectB ($695) ($575) Expected Net Cash Flows @ 8% cost of capital 0% $2,131 $1,060 2% $1,819.21 $940 Time Project A Project B WACC = 8% 4% $1,545.94 $834 0 ($695) ($575) 6% $1,305.74 $739 8% $1,094.02 $654 1 ($300) $290 NPV A = $1,094.02 10% $906.92 $577 12% $741.15 $509 2 ($200) $290 NPV B = $653.80 14% $593.92 $446 16% $462.87 $390 3 $500 $190 18% $345.95 $339 4 $600 $190 20% $241.41 $292 22% $147.77 $249 5 $600 $190 24% $63.71 $210 26% ($11.89) $174 6 $926 $190 28% ($79.99) $141 30% ($141.45) $110 7 $700 $295 4|Page
  • 6. Thumbs Up Corporation REINVESTMENT OF CASH FLOWS With the cash flows the group reinvested the cash inflows at the 8 percent costs on capital and established 5 offices in the United States and purchase a T-bill with a return of 8 percent. The three founded thumbs up Corporation and created 5 sales offices in the United States and updated their software to gear for the first product launch. With prototypes already out, the team is targeting those customers in the first quarter to upgrade their software and hardware so they can ride with excitement. MISSION STATEMENT To create value, convenience, style and Luxury to shareholders by bringing excitement to millions and creating a relationship through outstanding customer interactions and products that are the ultimate element of satisfaction. SCOPE Our plan is to create wealth for our owners and excitement for our customers and community by inspiring our employees to aim high in their career goals and convey leadership that enhances the profitability of the company and lifestyle of our customers. The company will provide exceptional service, pricing that is affordable, and high quality products by focusing on innovation, and creativity that differentiates us from our competitors. OBJECTIVES 1. 50 percent Market Share by 2016 2. High Return on Equity 3. Promising Growth of all products and Services 4. High Free Cash Flows 5. Focus on the personality of the brand and the lifestyle of our customers 6. Create value for all generations and cultures. Simply, everyone. STRATEGIES Freebie believed that he will achieve his goals by offering products and services that are competitive, financing options that appeal to the masses, packaging products to extend value, and to create strong sales teams across all regions that will support their financial growth. By establishing a strong workforce they believe they will be able increase operating expenses to expand, increase sales in rural and urban areas -expand without restricting their profitability and also, to provide the workforce with the tools and resources necessary to achieve their sales targets. 5|Page
  • 7. Marketing Overview TARGETING AND SEGMENTING The company in the past targeted doers, innovators, Believers, thinkers and experiencers with a product line that’s new and hip. From their test market results they were astonished by customer responses and had positive field focus groups. They distributed thousands of samples and information in metropolitan Markets where they intend to expand their operations. The founders expect a promising year and some analysts say there returns can be as high as 12 percent. For 2010, the company will be launching a marketing campaign that targets generations rather than personality types. They will also, use a strategic social media strategy to increase online sales and build brand awareness. The company seeks to position the product by use and class by communicating the benefits of using the product and luxury attributes that differentiates the product from their competitors. With such a strategy the company hopes to close the gap between the customer perceptions of the product in comparison to their competitors. In an industry of complexity, the company seeks to increase ownership experience and create a long term connection with their customers by managing their product lifecycle with their customer lifestyle, and managing the consumer purchasing behavior through promotions and direct advertising, in order to achieve a 15 percent growth over the next 5 years. To accomplish this goal, the company will be expanding their product line and advertising new product launches through targeted mass media. Thumbs up corporation understand that the point of contact at their sales offices will determine the success they will have with sales so they shift their focus on providing their customers with the exciting experience that they would receive by using their products, mere excitement! INCREASING OWNERSHIP EXPERIENCE AND CUSTOMER INTERACTIONS 6|Page
  • 8. Operations Overview MARKETING TACTICS Thumbs up corporation asked themselves where do their customers spend most of their time and how can they penetrate the market and reach as many customers as possible? To answer such a questions the company deducted surveys and found out that many of their customers are either at work, school, spending time with the family, or taking part in extracurricular activities in the community. With the information the company decided to use 4 marketing tactics aimed at aligning their attributes of style and luxury to their target market concern with identity, security, and status: (Generational Traits) 1. Relationship Marketing through partnerships with corporations 2. Generation Marketing to target diverse social groups and the masses 3. Multicultural Marketing to target every race with cultural tactics and use generation and Multicultural marketing interchangeably. 4. Green Marketing to educate their consumers to their social responsibility policies through public relations efforts and advertising. Use as a tactic with Generation Marketing. MARKETING MAP 7|Page
  • 9. 2010 Business Overview COMMISSION BASED SYSTEM COMING SOON 8|Page
  • 10. Thumbs up Forecasting FORECASTING Based off a panel of experts and their test market results the regions forecasted the first 5 years of sales using 3 approaches: 1. Moving average forecast based off the unit samples, purchases and backorders 2. Weighted average based off the variables above in relation to monthly sales 3. Exponential smoothing based off same variables and a grouping monthly sales. The company compared the forecasted data to develop a decision on which forecasting model to use. The company used the risks to determine the best case to worst case scenario based off high to low demand in comparison to total unit sales throughout a quarter. Period ActualUnits Weights Month 1 2600 1 Month 2 2300 2 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Month 3 2600 3 MAForecast MAForecast MAForecast MAForecast MAForecast MAForecast 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Month 4 4500 2500 2143.111111 2039.888889 2422.407407 3032.43694 2942.818435 Wt Forecast Wt Forecast Wt Forecast Wt Forecast Wt Forecast Wt Forecast Month 5 3600 3133.333333 2510.049383 2614.878722 2768.918657 2816.083296 2715.855642 2500 2528.833333 18450.77778 16190.9537 33079.5571 18233.91757 Month 6 3050 3566.666667 2528.019608 2670.141313 2721.014551 2766.743806 2763.646468 12833.33333 2593.166667 13252.97222 19741.18056 29777.13812 47811.90252 Month 7 1500 3716.666667 3066.666667 2393.726701 2441.636308 2637.446872 2871.754681 3733.333333 2528.833333 7951.611111 17892.95833 102288.8349 41295.91744 Month 8 2001 2716.666667 3472.222222 2701.578552 2559.582245 2643.856506 2740.091325 3475 6561.111111 2550.277778 11468.59259 18225.36497 66583.38966 Month 9 2002 2183.666667 3333.333333 3022.302832 2588.482189 2574.077701 2682.682395 3566.666667 5120.833333 4555.694444 6134.50463 14988.8125 48171.81713 Month 10 2055 1834.333333 2872.333333 3290.740741 2705.869362 2529.900247 2618.46036 1500.5 3563.888889 5168.925926 4453.208333 9872.276235 30617.66705 Month 11 2059 2019.333333 2244.888889 3225.962963 3004.874042 2617.977932 2582.611485 1668 2518.305556 4582.407407 4528.074074 6182.871142 12969.96978 Month 12 3000 2038.666667 2012.444444 2816.851852 3179.668845 2766.408531 2573.985294 1694.833333 1928.611111 3300.587963 4773.46142 4770.857253 8880.329733 2371.333333 1964.111111 2376.555556 3111.185185 2963.47075 2638.09557 1714.5 1653.5 2397.722222 4039.250772 4638.290123 6091.765046 Forecasted Month 2371.333333 2143.111111 2073.814815 2806.45679 3098.576024 2782.619071 2186.333333 1700.194444 1889.337963 3062.791667 4365.458205 4939.909336 Total: 26080.66667 26147.1801 27152.62812 27503.63879 27348.40258 27130.00165 34872.5 30697.27778 64100.31481 92284.97608 228189.4605 285596.5853 Smoothing Variable 1 0.000670364 Moving Average Weighted Smoothing Variable 2 0.35% Error Absolute Error Squared Error Abolute %Error Error Absolute Error Squared Error Abolute %Error Smoothing variable 3 -35.02% 2000 2000 4000000 44.44% 2000 2000 4000000 44.44% 466.6666667 466.6666667 217777.7778 12.96% -9233.333333 9233.333333 85254444.44 256.48% -516.6666667 516.6666667 266944.4444 16.94% -683.3333333 683.3333333 466944.4444 22.40% -2216.666667 2216.666667 4913611.111 147.78% -1975 1975 3900625 131.67% -715.6666667 715.6666667 512178.7778 35.77% -1565.666667 1565.666667 2451312.111 78.24% -181.6666667 181.6666667 33002.77778 9.07% 501.5 501.5 251502.25 25.05% 220.6666667 220.6666667 48693.77778 10.74% 387 387 149769 18.83% 39.66666667 39.66666667 1573.444444 1.93% 364.1666667 364.1666667 132617.3611 17.69% 961.3333333 961.3333333 924161.7778 32.04% 1285.5 961.3333333 924161.7778 32.04% Average 813.2222222 1213104.877 34.63% Average 1963.481481 10836819.6 69.65% MAD MSE MAPE MAD MSE MAPE 9|Page
  • 11. Thumbs up Forecasting Unit Sales Moving average total units were 26, 080 with a forecast error of 34.63 percent in the first year in comparison to 34, 872 units with an error of 69.65 percent for the weighted average. The company forecasted they would sell at least 2371 units in the coming month. Exponential smoothing below, with an alpha of .419 yields 31,200 units with an error of 27.73 percent. Low Demand – Moderate Demand-High Demand Forecast .10 Forecast .5 Forecast .9 Month ActualUnits 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Month 1 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 Month 2 2300 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2340 2106 1895.4 1705.86 1535.274 1381.7466 Month 3 2600 2570 2600 2600 2600 2600 2600 2474.3 2547.3317 2577.931982 2590.753501 2596.125717 2598.376675 2070 1863 1676.7 1509.03 1358.127 1222.3143 Month 4 4500 2573 2597 2600 2600 2600 2600 2526.9683 2538.799435 2561.535445 2578.511135 2588.745207 2594.34109 2340 2106 1895.4 1705.86 1535.274 1381.7466 Month 5 3600 2765.7 2594.6 2599.7 2600 2600 2600 3353.668582 2880.229608 2695.068299 2627.348587 2604.920023 2598.773663 4050 3645 3280.5 2952.45 2657.205 2391.4845 Month 6 3050 2849.13 2611.71 2599.19 2599.97 2600 2600 3456.881446 3121.846728 2873.888461 2730.648794 2657.600378 2623.422057 3240 2916 2624.4 2361.96 2125.764 1913.1876 Month 7 1500 2869.217 2635.452 2600.442 2599.892 2599.997 2600 3286.39812 3190.793762 3006.671782 2846.302426 2736.666536 2670.871494 2745 2470.5 2223.45 2001.105 1800.9945 1620.89505 Month 8 2001 2732.2953 2658.8285 2603.943 2599.947 2599.9865 2599.9997 2537.897308 2917.230147 2969.195737 2897.794723 2804.179247 2726.727442 1350 1215 1093.5 984.15 885.735 797.1615 Month 9 2002 2659.16577 2666.17518 2609.43155 2600.3466 2599.98255 2599.99838 2312.937336 2664.031459 2841.331905 2874.136802 2833.491463 2771.461567 1800.9 1620.81 1458.729 1312.8561 1181.57049 1063.413441 Month 10 2055 2593.449193 2665.474239 2615.105913 2601.255095 2600.018955 2599.996797 2182.654592 2462.334552 2682.532014 2793.854396 2816.883532 2790.49337 1801.8 1621.62 1459.458 1313.5122 1182.16098 1063.944882 Month 11 2059 2539.604274 2658.271734 2620.142746 2602.640177 2600.142569 2599.999013 2129.167318 2322.737481 2531.778105 2684.04443 2761.223948 2778.229482 1849.5 1664.55 1498.095 1348.2855 1213.45695 1092.111255 Month 12 3000 2491.543846 2646.404988 2623.955644 2604.390434 2600.39233 2600.013368 2099.767212 2229.312938 2405.0452 2567.143753 2679.904346 2737.03125 1853.1 1667.79 1501.011 1350.9099 1215.81891 1094.237019 Forecasted Month 19 31843.10538 31533.91664 31271.91085 31208.44131 31200.5199 31200.00726 31560.64021 32074.64781 32344.97893 32390.53855 32279.7404 32089.72809 28040.3 25496.27 23206.643 21145.979 19291.38083 17622.24275 Total Units 188257.9013 Total Units 192740.274 Total Units 134802.8153 Forecast .10 Forecast 0.419 Forecast .9 Error Absolute ErrorSquared Error Abolute %Error Error Absolute Error Squared Error Abolute %Error Error Absolute Error Squared Error Abolute %Error -300 300 90000 13.04% -300 300.00 90000 13.04% -40 40 1600 1.74% 30 30 900 1.15% 125.7 125.70 15800.49 4.83% 530 530 280900 20.38% 1927 1927 3713329 42.82% 1973.0317 1973.03 3892854.09 43.85% 2160 2160 4665600 48.00% 834.3 834.3 696056.49 23.18% 246.3314177 246.33 60679.16735 6.84% -450 450 202500 12.50% 200.87 200.87 40348.7569 6.59% -406.8814463 406.88 165552.5114 13.34% -190 190 36100 6.23% -1369.217 1369.217 1874755.193 91.28% -1786.39812 1786.40 3191218.244 119.09% -1245 1245 1550025 83.00% -731.2953 731.2953 534792.8158 36.55% -536.8973079 536.90 288258.7192 26.83% 651 651 423801 32.53% -657.16577 657.16577 431866.8493 32.83% -310.9373359 310.94 96682.02685 15.53% 201.1 201.1 40441.21 10.04% -538.449193 538.449193 289927.5334 26.20% -127.6545922 127.65 16295.6949 6.21% 253.2 253.2 64110.24 12.32% -480.6042737 480.6042737 230980.4679 23.34% -70.16731804 70.17 4923.452521 3.41% 209.5 209.5 43890.25 10.17% 508.4561537 508.4561537 258527.6602 16.95% 900.2327882 900.23 810419.073 30.01% 1146.9 1146.9 1315379.61 38.23% Average 732.0330292 852441.8487 30.40% Average 645.9813245 868593.4381 27.73% Average 635.5888889 403973.2357 25.19% 10 | P a g e
  • 12. Forecasted Unit Sales Cash Budget Thumbs up Corporation require financing of 1,732,076.22 to cover 12 months of operations to sustain a minimum cash balance of 3,100,000 for the year. The three owners assume that if 20 percent of sales were account receivables than, the remaining units sold will be in form of cash in which if those funds are not invested the company will have approx. 3 million of excessive cash. Forecasted Unit sales January February March April May June July August September October November December Total Northeast 456.00 457.00 434.15 443.27 558.52 557.49 724.73 507.31 456.58 483.98 496.08 489.63 6064.73 East 441.00 441.00 418.95 427.33 538.43 537.38 591.12 413.79 372.41 350.06 341.31 336.53 5209.32 Southeast 412.00 412.00 391.40 399.23 503.03 502.00 552.20 386.54 347.88 327.01 318.84 314.37 4866.49 Midwest 434.00 434.00 412.30 420.55 529.89 528.92 317.35 222.15 199.93 187.94 183.24 180.67 4050.92 Southwest 399.00 400.00 380.00 387.98 527.65 526.60 537.13 375.99 417.35 392.31 382.50 377.15 5103.69 West 458.00 459.00 436.05 445.21 560.96 559.91 571.11 399.78 443.75 470.38 482.14 475.87 5762.15 Total 2600.00 2603.00 2472.85 2523.56 3218.48 3212.30 3293.65 2305.55 2237.91 2211.68 2204.10 2174.22 31057.30 Cumulative 2600.00 5203.00 7675.85 10199.41 13417.89 16630.19 19923.83 22229.39 24467.30 26678.97 28883.07 31057.30 Forecasted Sales Northeast 36475.44 36555.43 34727.66 35456.94 44675.74 44593.35 57971.36 40579.95 36521.96 38713.27 39681.11 39165.25 485117.47 East 35275.59 35275.59 33511.81 34182.05 43069.38 42985.39 47283.93 33098.75 29788.87 28001.54 27301.50 26919.28 416693.69 Southeast 32955.88 32955.88 31308.09 31934.25 40237.15 40154.76 44170.24 30919.17 27827.25 26157.62 25503.67 25146.62 389270.58 Midwest 34715.66 34715.66 32979.88 33639.47 42385.74 42308.15 25384.89 17769.42 15992.48 15032.93 14657.11 14451.91 324033.29 Southwest 31916.01 31996.00 30396.20 31034.52 42206.95 42122.96 42965.42 30075.79 33384.13 31381.08 30596.55 30168.20 408243.81 West 36635.42 36715.41 34879.64 35612.11 44871.26 44787.27 45683.02 31978.11 35495.70 37625.45 38566.08 38064.72 460914.20 Total Sales $ 207,974.00 $ 208,213.97 $ 197,803.27 $ 201,859.34 $ 257,446.22 $ 256,951.88 $ 263,458.85 $ 184,421.19 $ 179,010.40 $ 176,911.89 $ 176,306.03 $ 173,915.99 $2,484,273.04 Cumulative $ 207,974.00 $ 416,187.97 $ 613,991.24 $ 815,850.58 $ 1,073,296.80 $ 1,330,248.69 $ 1,593,707.54 $ 1,778,128.73 $ 1,957,139.13 $ 2,134,051.02 $ 2,310,357.05 $ 2,484,273.04 Expenses Administrative/CGS/ 41,594.80 60,382.05 57,362.95 58,539.21 74,659.40 74,516.05 76,403.07 53,482.15 51,913.01 51,304.45 51,128.75 50,435.64 701,721.52 R&D 4,159.48 6,246.42 5,934.10 6,055.78 7,723.39 7,708.56 7,903.77 5,532.64 5,370.31 5,307.36 5,289.18 5,217.48 72,448.45 Marketing 31,196.10 10,410.70 9,890.16 10,092.97 12,872.31 12,847.59 13,172.94 9,221.06 8,950.52 8,845.59 8,815.30 8,695.80 145,011.05 Bonus 2,079.74 2,082.14 1,978.03 2,018.59 2,574.46 2,569.52 2,634.59 1,844.21 1,790.10 1,769.12 1,763.06 1,739.16 24,842.73 Finance 2,079.74 2,082.14 1,978.03 2,018.59 2,574.46 2,569.52 2,634.59 1,844.21 1,790.10 1,769.12 1,763.06 1,739.16 24,842.73 Total Expenses $ 81,109.86 $ 81,203.45 $ 77,143.28 $ 78,725.14 $ 100,404.03 $ 100,211.23 $ 102,748.95 $ 71,924.27 $ 69,814.05 $ 68,995.64 $ 68,759.35 $ 67,827.24 $ 968,866.48 Cumulative $ 81,109.86 $ 162,313.31 $ 239,456.58 $ 318,181.73 $ 418,585.75 $ 518,796.99 $ 621,545.94 $ 693,470.20 $ 763,284.26 $ 832,279.90 $ 901,039.25 $ 968,866.48 Operating Income 126,864.14 127,010.52 120,660.00 123,134.20 157,042.19 156,740.65 160,709.90 112,496.93 109,196.34 107,916.25 107,546.68 106,088.76 1,515,406.55 Minimum Cash $ 262,047.24 $ 262,349.60 $ 249,232.12 $ 254,342.77 $ 324,382.24 $ 323,759.37 $ 331,958.15 $ 232,370.71 $ 225,553.10 $ 222,908.98 $ 222,145.60 $ 219,134.15 $ 3,130,184.03 Required Financing (135,183.10) (135,339.08) (128,572.13) (131,208.57) (167,340.04) (167,018.72) (171,248.25) (119,873.78) (116,356.76) (114,992.73) (114,598.92) (113,045.39) (1,614,777.47) 11 | P a g e
  • 13. Financing REGIONS Mongote Bank approved a loan for 804, 531 with the costs of capital at 10 percent; the company with the funds attained the plant and equipment, inventory, and reinvested 120,000 in a portfolio of stocks with an average return of 15 percent. The companies established 5 regions: Northeast, East, South, Southwest and West and linked those regions with the small offices purchase after test market projects A and B. Within the 5 regions exists 3 divisions; with unit costs 9.65 the company decided to purchase 21195 units and distributed across the regions. The company also sold 300,000 shares of stock to raise additional capital at par value 10 dollars a share. With this capital the company is considering expanding their operations in the future and how they should they invest such funds short-term to raise additional capital. Unfortunately, the bond market is poor with returns lower than 5 percent therefore management receded their decision to purchase bonds and instead decided in December they will purchase stocks, receive dividends, and then sell the stocks in January. S OLD 300,000 SHARES OF C OMMON S TOCK FOR 5 DOLLARS PER SHARE AND PURCHASE A PATENT FOR 125,000. (1,375,000). Capital Stock (30000 shares 10) 300,000 Additional Paid in Capital 2,625,000 M ONGOTE B ANK APPROVED A LOAN FOR 804,531, THE FUNDS WERE ALLOCATED : (A DJUSTMENT FOR CASH ) Jan 23, 2010 Approved Loan Cash-Marketable securities 120,000.00 Inventory 204,531.00 Plant and equipment 480,000.00 Account Payable and Personal loan 804,531.75 PURCHASE OF STOCK A WITH AN EXPECTED RETURN OF 15 % Investment in Stock A 120,000 Cash 120,000 Prepaid Rent 25,000 Cash 25, 00 12 | P a g e
  • 14. 13 | P a g e
  • 15. First Quarter Record of Sales Cash 394,538.93 Account Receivable 163,872.92 Sales Revenue 801,619 Record of Goods Sold Costs of Goods Sold 96,731.6 Inventory 96,731.6 Divisional Sales COLLECTIONS FROM CUSTOMERS Total Quarter 1 Cash 47,522 Services Account Receivable 47,522 Technology Car Units 0.00 5000.00 10000.005000.00 1 14 | P a g e
  • 16. First Quarter Region Products Units Sold Cost per Unit Profit Price Per Unit Earnings Total Operating Costs Account Recv Cash Sales EBIT North East Unit Sales Car Units 641 62.39 97.59 159.98 62,553.78 39,993.40 185.89 44,413.18 62,553.78 Technology 613 19.50 30.49 49.99 18,692.76 11,951.11 177.77 13,271.86 18,692.76 Consumer goods 342 15.60 24.39 39.99 8,342.71 5,333.87 99.18 5,923.33 8,342.71 91416287.62 Total 1596 97.48 152.48 249.96 89,589.25 57,278.38 462.84 63,608.37 89,589.25 East Car Units 748 58.50 91.49 149.99 68,437.44 43,755.08 216.92 48,590.58 68,437.44 Technology 602 11.70 18.29 29.99 11,012.93 7,041.05 174.58 7,819.18 11,012.93 Consumer goods 339 11.70 18.29 29.99 6,201.63 3,964.98 204 2,469.68 6,201.63 Total East 1689 81.89 128.08 209.97 85,652.00 54,761.11 595.5 58879.43565 85,652.00 South East Car Units 733 62.39 97.59 159.98 71,531.86 45,733.48 212.57 50,787.62 71,531.86 Technology 587 15.60 24.39 39.99 14,319.22 9,154.91 170.23 10,166.65 14,319.22 Consumer goods 391 15.60 24.39 39.99 9,538.01 6,098.08 113.39 6,771.99 9,538.01 Total 1711 93.58 146.38 239.96 95,389.09 60,986.47 496.19 67726.25504 95,389.09 Midwest Car Units 676 62.39 97.59 159.98 65,969.35 42,177.13 196.04 46,838.24 65,969.35 Technology 541 15.60 24.39 39.99 13,197.10 8,437.49 156.89 9,369.94 13,197.10 Consumer goods 372 15.60 24.39 39.99 9,074.53 5,801.75 107.88 6,442.92 9,074.53 Total 1589 93.58 146.38 239.96 88,240.98 56,416.37 460.81 62651.09829 88,240.98 Southwest Car Units 691 58.50 91.49 149.99 63,222.28 40,420.81 200.39 44,887.82 63,222.28 Technology 552 19.50 30.49 49.99 16,832.63 10,761.85 160.08 11,951.17 16,832.63 Consumer goods 368 15.60 24.39 39.99 8,976.96 5,739.36 106.72 6,373.64 8,976.96 Total 920 35.09 54.89 239.97 89,031.87 56,922.02 467.19 63,212.63 89,031.87 West Car Units 783 66.30 103.69 169.99 81,192.32 51,909.85 227.07 57,646.55 81,192.32 Technology 627 19.50 30.49 49.99 19,119.68 12,224.05 181.83 13,574.97 19,119.68 Consumer goods 418 15.60 24.39 39.99 10,196.65 6,519.17 121.22 7,239.62 10,196.65 Total 1828 101.3883 158.58 259.97 110,508.65 70,653.07 530.12 78,461.14 110,508.65 Sales $746,546.67 Operating Costs $ 357,017.41 Earnings Before Interest and Taxes $558,411.85 In the first quarter the company sold over 10,000 core products, car units exceeding 4,000 sales. The average amount of units sold per region was over 1,600 with the west region leading the way in each product category with 1,828 total unit sales. The company operation before interest and taxes is performing well. Total Cash sales are 394,538.93 with a total earnings before interest and taxes of 558, 411.85. 15 | P a g e
  • 17. Second Quarter STANTON BANK APPROVED A LOAN; THE FUNDS WERE ALLOCATED TOWARDS INVENTORY , REINVESTMENT , AND PLANT AND EQUIPMENT FOLLOWING : Cash -Marketable securities 480,000.00 Inventory 204,531.00 Plant and equipment 120,000 Account Payable 804,531.75 April 23, 2010 to June 23, 2010(11181 Units for 9.65 Unit) Cash 437,955.34 Account Receivables 456, 412.85 Sales Revenue 894,368.19 16 | P a g e
  • 18. Second Quarter Region Products Units Sold Cost per Unit Profit Price Per Unit Earnings Total Operating Costs Account Recv Cash Sales North East Unit Sales Car Units 708 62.39 97.59 159.98 69,092.16 44,173.68 205.32 49,055.44 Technology 567 19.50 30.49 49.99 17,290.04 11,054.29 164.43 12,275.93 Consumer goods 567 15.60 24.39 39.99 13,831.34 8,842.99 164.43 9,820.25 118018699.1 Total 1842 97.48 152.48 249.96 100,213.55 64,070.96 534.18 71,151.62 East Car Units 826 58.50 91.49 149.99 75,573.96 48,317.78 239.54 53,657.51 Technology 661 11.70 18.29 29.99 12,092.27 7,731.12 191.69 8,585.51 Consumer goods 441 11.70 18.29 29.99 8,067.61 5,157.98 204 4,335.65 Total East 1928 81.89 128.08 209.97 95,733.84 61,206.88 635.23 66,578.68 South East Car Units 811 62.39 97.59 159.98 79,143.71 50,600.07 235.19 56,192.03 Technology 648 15.60 24.39 39.99 15,807.25 10,106.27 187.92 11,223.15 Consumer goods 432 15.60 24.39 39.99 10,538.16 6,737.52 125.28 7,482.10 Total 1891 93.58 146.38 239.96 105,489.12 67,443.86 548.39 74897.27364 Midwest Car Units 748 62.39 97.59 159.98 72,995.67 46,669.37 216.92 51,826.93 Technology 598 15.60 24.39 39.99 14,587.55 9,326.47 173.42 10,357.16 Consumer goods 359 15.60 24.39 39.99 8,757.41 5,599.00 104.11 6,217.76 Total 1705 93.58 146.38 239.96 96,340.64 61,594.83 494.45 68401.85206 Southwest Car Units 763 58.50 91.49 149.99 69,809.85 44,632.52 221.27 49,564.99 Technology 633 19.50 30.49 49.99 19,302.64 12,341.03 183.57 13,704.87 Consumer goods 407 15.60 24.39 39.99 9,928.32 6,347.61 118.03 7,049.11 Total 1040 35.09 54.89 239.97 99,040.80 63,321.17 522.87 70,318.97 West Car Units 866 66.30 103.69 169.99 89,798.92 57,412.42 251.14 63,757.23 Technology 693 19.50 30.49 49.99 21,132.27 13,510.80 200.97 15,003.91 Consumer goods 642 15.60 24.39 39.99 15,660.88 10,012.70 186.18 11,119.23 Total 2201 101.3883 158.58 259.97 126,592.07 80,935.92 638.29 89,880.37 In the second quarter most regions experience positive growth in sales selling on average 1728.33 units with the West Region reaching 2, 201.00 units sold and becoming the benchmark for future sales with an average price of 86.65 per unit comparable to the company average of 79.99 unit price. The second quarter results are an average growth of 14.51 percent, exceeding first quarter sales by 1,019 units sold. Total Growth for the company in the second quarter was 14.95 percent with a standard deviation of 13.01 percent indicating not only the distribution of units sold but also the reliability of future sales. 17 | P a g e
  • 19. Third Quarter 2500 2000 Car Units 1500 Technology 1000 Services 500 All Products 0 Third quarter results were just above 10,330 units with an average of 1721.83 units sold. The west region exceeded expectations again with 2064 units sold a 6 percent decrease in growth from the previous quarter. Comparable quarter results the company growth declined 3.89 percent and the current growth rate is 10 percent. Technology is up 12.12 percent in the west and services are up 6.69 percent in the Midwest. JULY 23, 2010 TO SEPT 23, 2010 (10747 UNITS SOLD79.99/9.65 UNIT) Cash 352,457 Account Receivables including operating costs 507,194 Sales Revenue 859,652.53 Costs of Goods Sold 118,971.53 Inventory 118,971.53 18 | P a g e
  • 20. Fourth Quarter 7000.00 6000.00 5000.00 EBIT 579,301.66 4000.00 Car Units Account Rcv 169,527.77 3000.00 Technology Sales 830136.22 2000.00 Services Total Operating Profit Margin 1000.00 0.00 69.78 In the fourth quarter the company experience a slight decline in sales just at 10, 378 unit sales with earnings before interest and taxes of 579, 301. The average amount of units sold is 1729.67 with a standard deviation of 1904.00 units. The west region was above average at 1904.00 units. Comparable quarter results sales are down 3.63 percent. SEPT 23, DECEMBER 23 (10378/9.65 UNIT) Cash 41060.56 AR 59087.14 Sales Revenue 830,136.22 Salary Expense-Operating Expenses 914,352.30 Cash 914,352.30 (120,000 Market value Depreciation Expense 120,000 Cash 120,000 RECEIPT OF DIVIDENDS FOR STOCK A Cash 5,000 Investment in Stock A 5,000 19 | P a g e
  • 21. Year Ending December 2010 Region Results All Regions All Regions 17500 17000 16890 16500 16200 16000 15500 15458 15000 15052 14500 14000 Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 MANAGEMENT MEETING AND ANALYSIS OF SALES The second quarter experience the largest growth of 14.95 percent reaching 16890 units and the west region reached a total of 2201 sales. Since the start of the company, sales are declining by approx. 4 percent. Management projects that in 2011 the company can reach a growth rate of 10 percent from 2010 to 2011. 20 | P a g e
  • 22. Year Ended In December 2010 21 | P a g e
  • 23. Add The company acquired a 25 percent stake in XYZ Company gaining 25 percent of their net income. XYZ Company is a North America Transportation Company who specialized in commercial fleets and rentals. Management plans in 2011 to expand and utilized their relationship with XYZ to gain economies of scale and costs efficiency. The company also, extended their stock portfolio and purchase additional inventory. The company in 2012 plans to issue 200,000 shares of stock to support future growth and expansion. 2012 – Increase Sales, Spending, Financing and Inventory 2014 – Expansion Project 2015 – Replacement Project MARKETABLE SECURITIES INVESTMENTS Purchase a bond for 10,000 with a fair value of 9,000 Investment in Bond A 10,000 Investment in Maturity Debt Securities 10,000 Investment in Stock Portfolio B 72,000 Cash 72,000 PURCHASE 25 PERCENT STAKE XYZ COMPANY Purchase 300,000 shares for 5 150,000 Cash 150,000 Costs of goods sold 107,896.65 Inventory 107,896.65 Cash 327,677.23 Account Receivable 327,677.23 PURCHASE INVENTORY AND COLLECTED RECEIVABLES Inventory 204,531.75 Cash 204,531.75 Cash 2011 AFN Budget and 5 Year targets 307,194.99 Account Receivable 307,194.99 22 | P a g e
  • 24. Cash Flow per share 1.58 Performance Target 2010 Actual Scenerio 1 Scenerio 2 Scenario EPS $1.73 $3.22 $5.60 $1.46 Year-end stock price $13.88 $25.79 $70.00 $13.14 Profit margin (PM) 15.35% 3.66% 6.36% 11.24% Sales/Assets (Assets turnover) 0.98 1.82 1.98 1.21 Assets/Equity 1.58 2.01 1.74 2.68 ROE 15.0% 13.4% 21.9% 36.4% Operating costs/Sales 39.0% 92.0% 87.5% 50.5% L/A:Debt ratio 0.0% 50.2% 42.5% 57.8% TIE ratio 1.72 4.22 6.60 1.61 For 2011, the company target EPS is 1.46 resulting from an increase in operating assets to support a sales growth of 15 percent leading to a slight decrease in the stock price. To support the increase in operations the company plans to extend their debt ratio, and reduce the amount of cash on hand to 5.3 percent of sales. Receivables are currently 29.5 percent of sales and management is requesting for a decrease of 4 percent. To support increase in growth the company require additional funds of 607, 587 million, reduce to 140,771 million by deducting retained earnings from 2010 of 466,816 million. This includes an increase in inventory by 14 percent, and an increase in assets by 7 percent to support an expansion project and upgrades to machinery. % o 2010 Actual % of Sales Factors f Forecast 2011 Forecast 2012 Forecast 2013 Forecast 2014 Forecast 2015 2010 Income Statement -$335,544.3 -$335,543.3 -$335,542.3 -$335,541.3 -$335,540.3 Sales $3,390,776.1 15.00% (1 + Factor) × 2010 Sales $3,899,392.52 $4,484,301.39 $5,156,946.60 $5,930,488.59 $6,820,061.88 Total operating costs 1,323,415.8 50.5% Factor × Forecasted Sales 1,969,193.22 2,264,572.20 2,604,258.03 2,994,896.74 3,444,131.25 EBIT $2,067,360.3 $1,930,199.29 $2,219,729.19 $2,552,688.57 $2,935,591.85 $3,375,930.63 Interest charges 1,200,000.0 10.0% Carry over 2010 amount 1,200,000.00 0.10 0.00 1,200,000.00 Earnings before taxes (EBT) $867,360.3 $730,199.29 $2,219,729.09 $2,552,688.57 $2,935,591.85 $2,175,930.63 Taxes 346,944.1 40% Tax rate × 2011 EBT 292,079.72 887,891.64 1,021,075.43 1,174,236.74 870,372.25 Net income for common (NI) $520,416.2 $438,119.58 $1,331,837.45 $1,531,613.14 $1,761,355.11 $1,305,558.38 Dividends (DIVs) $50,348.3 0.0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Add. to ret. earns (NI – DIVs) $470,067.9 $438,119.58 $1,331,837.45 $1,531,613.14 $1,761,355.11 $1,305,558.38 Shares outstanding 300,000.000 300,000.000 300,000.000 300,000.000 300,000.000 300,000.000 EPS $1.73 $1.46 $4.44 $5.11 5.871183705 $4.35 DPS $0.17 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Stock Price $13.88 9.0 $13.14 $39.96 $45.95 $52.84 $39.17 Additional Assets $ 607,587.97 Additional Funds Needed $ 140,771.79 23 | P a g e
  • 25. Forecasted Balance Sheet Innovation 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Balance Sheet 2010 Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Assets Cash $3,671,348 # $206,667.8 $237,668.0 $273,318.2 $314,315.9 $361,463.3 Accounts receivable 1,000,000 # 949,128.4 1,091,497.6 1,255,222.2 1,443,505.6 1,660,031.4 Inventories 204,532 # 779,878.5 896,860.3 1,031,389.3 1,186,097.7 1,364,012.4 Total current assets $4,875,880 $1,935,674.7 $2,226,025.9 $2,559,929.7 $2,943,919.2 $3,385,507.1 Net fixed assets 600,000 # 1,582,436.1 1,121,075.3 1,289,236.7 1,482,622.1 1,705,015.5 Total assets $5,475,880 $3,518,110.8 $3,347,101.2 $3,849,166.4 $4,426,541.3 $5,090,522.5 Claims on Assets Accts payable and accruals $804,532 # $2,339,635.5 $2,690,580.8 $3,094,168.0 $3,558,293.2 $4,092,037.1 Notes payable: Original 804,532 -1,941,631.3 0.0 Notes payable: New 607,588 -471,484.0 -1,803,439.3 -786,250.2 -792,564,273.9 Total current liabs $1,868,151.5 $887,141.6 $366,286.5 $3,558,293.2 -$788,472,236.8 Long-term debt 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total liabilities $0 $1,868,151.5 $887,141.6 $366,286.5 $3,558,293.2 -$788,472,236.8 Common stock 3,000,000 300,000.0 300,000.0 300,000.0 300,000.0 300,000.0 Retained earnings 466,816 2010 + Add'n to RE from Income Statement 904,935.8 1,769,957.0 2,863,450.6 3,292,968.3 3,066,913.5 Total common equity $3,466,816 $1,204,935.8 $2,069,957.0 $3,163,450.6 $3,592,968.3 $3,366,913.5 Total Claims $3,466,816 $3,073,087.3 $2,957,098.6 $3,529,737.1 $7,151,261.4 -$785,105,323.3 The self-supporting growth rate is 9.7 percent meaning, this is the growth the company can obtain without raising additional capital. The company 5 year target is to grow by 15 percent a year from their current projected 10 percent growth from 2010. To obtain the results the company will obtain additional capital to increase sales by focusing on receivable collections, inventory management, and a marketing campaign to target the early adopters to late majority. Supporting Rate 9.72% 24 | P a g e
  • 26. Expansion Thumbs Up Corporation is considering expanding globally in South America and India. Currently, their products are manufactured in china and the assembled in the United States. One expansion project will include a small manufacturing and large assembly plant in India where products will be shipped and sold to outlets in Europe, Mideast, and Asia. Another project is opening a manufacturing and assembly plant in South America. With rising oil price and increasing transportation costs, thumbs up corporation hope to utilized more manufacturing resources at home and in south America however at this time the company must rely on china to manufacture more than 85 percent of their materials and reap the benefits of reduce labor costs. Considering the Chinese economics the company does not plan to assemble and sale any products out of china. The India project will require a total investment of 880,000 which includes equipment, buildings, sales outlets, and goodwill funds to lock in contract negotiations. The internal rate of return is projected to be 35 percent and 7 percent reinvestment of cash flows. The average price across all regions is projected to be 69.99 and variable costs of 21 per unit. Pakistan Transportation Contract Pakistan have a huge influence in the middle east and transporting final goods and materials with Pakistan assistance could cut transportation costs and provide an influence into the middle eastern market. The company will be seeking to lock in a transportation contract with Pakistan. 25 | P a g e
  • 27. India Project India Project Squared Deviation Sales Unit Variable Times Scenario Probability Price Sales Costs NPV Probability Best Case 25% $89.99 42,000 $18.00 $4,077,665 1019416 Base Case 50% $79.99 26,000 $20.00 $311,181 155590 Worst Case 25% $59.99 800 $25.00 ($4,210,027) (1052507) 122500 Expected NPV = sum, prob times NPV 122,500 Standard Deviation = Sq Root of column H sum 350 Coefficient of Variation = Std Dev / Expected NPV 0 After reviewing the India Project, Thumbs up corporation excluded the worst case scenario and decided to select the base case with a 50 percent probability of success. The first year of sales is projected to be 26,000 units with a Net present value of 311,181. The payback period for their investment is two years with an internal rate of return of 35 percent. Licensing Patent Thumbs Up Corporation will be licensing their patents to businesses in the area where they are unable to sell their products 26 | P a g e
  • 28. India Project Investment Expansion Project India NPV = $1,083,629 Equipment cost $120,000 Outlets 480,000 Equipment ($880,000) Key Output: IRR = 74.8% Building Costs 220,000 All Regions MIRR = 37.7% Goodwill contract funds 60000 Operating Cash Flows over the Project's Life: 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Europe Sales 3,000 3,330 5,000 5,550 5,000 5,550 5,000 Middle East 4,000 4,440 5,000 5,550 5,000 5,550 5,000 China 10,000 11,100 10,000 11,100 10,000 11,100 10,000 Japan 5,000 5,550 1,000 1,110 1,000 1,110 1,000 South Korea 4,000 4,440 1,000 1,110 1,000 1,110 1,000 Units sold 26,000 28,860 32,035 35,558 39,470 43,812 48,631 Sales price $79.99 $82.39 $84.86 $87.41 $90.03 $92.73 $95.51 Variable costs $20.00 $20.60 $21.22 $21.85 $22.51 $23.19 $23.88 Sales revenue $2,079,740 $2,377,767 $2,718,501 $3,108,062 $3,553,447 $4,062,656 $4,644,835 Variable costs 84,600.00 87,138.00 89,752.14 92,444.70 95,218.05 98,074.59 101,016.82 Nonvariable operating costs 2,119,500 2,183,085 2,248,578 2,316,035 2,316,035 2,316,035 2,316,035 Depreciation (equipment) 168,000 268,800 159,600 100,800 697,200 0 0 Oper. income before taxes (EBIT) ($292,360.00) ($161,256.26) $220,571.03 $598,782.29 $444,994.21 $1,648,546.65 $2,227,783.03 Taxes on operating income (40%) (116,944) (64,503) 88,228 239,513 177,998 659,419 891,113 After-tax operating income ($175,416) ($96,754) $132,343 $359,269 $266,997 $989,128 $1,336,670 Add back depreciation 168,000 268,800 159,600 100,800 697,200 0 0 Operating cash flow ($7,416) $172,046 $291,943 $460,069 $964,197 $989,128 $1,336,670 Terminal Year Cash Flows: Required level of net working capital $103,987.00 $118,888 $135,925 $155,403 $177,672 $203,133 $232,242 Required investment in NWC $96,571 $290,935 $427,868 $615,472 $1,141,869 $1,192,261 $1,568,912 Terminal Year Cash Flows: Net salvage value 279,320 0 Net Cash Flow (Time line of cash flows) ($880,000) $193,142 $581,869 $855,735 $1,230,945 $2,283,738 $2,384,522 $3,137,823 Payback (See calculation below) 2.30 3 Data for Payback Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Net cash flow (880,000) 193,142 581,869 855,735 1,230,945 2,283,738 2,384,522 3,137,823 Cumulative CF 0 (686,858) (104,989) 750,746 1,981,691 4,265,429 6,649,951 9,787,774 Part of year required for payback 1.28 27 | P a g e
  • 29. South America Project South America Project Sales Unit Variable Scenario Probability Price Sales Costs NPV Best Case 25% $79.99 30,000 $19.00 $3,713,104 Base Case 50% $69.99 9,000 $25.00 $409,816 W orst Case 25% $49.99 200 $31.00 ($576,089) Expected NPV = sum, prob times NPV $989,161.72 Standard Deviation = Sq Root of column H sum $994.57 Coefficient of Variation = Std Dev / Expected NPV 0.00 Thumbs Up Corporation has chosen to accept the Base Case Scenario yielding a net present value of 409, 816 with a 50 percent probability of success. The average Unit price is 69.99 per unit and the company expects sales to reach about 700,000 in the first year. Licensing Patent Thumbs Up Corporation will be licensing their patents to businesses operating in some regions. South America Project 28 | P a g e
  • 30. Investment Expansion Project South America NPV = $529,748 Equipment cost $120,000 Equipment ($120,000) Key Output: IRR = 128.6% All Regions MIRR = 73.0% Operating Cash Flows over the Project's Life: 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Units sold 9,000 9,990 11,089 12,309 13,663 15,166 16,834 Sales price $69.99 $72.09 $74.25 $76.48 $78.77 $81.14 $83.57 Variable costs $9.00 $10.04 $10.34 $10.65 $10.97 $11.30 $11.64 Sales revenue $629,910 $720,176 $823,377 $941,367 $1,076,265 $1,230,494 $1,406,824 Variable costs 381,510.00 425,701.58 438,472.62 451,626.80 465,175.60 479,130.87 493,504.80 Nonvariable operating costs 225,000 231,750 238,703 245,864 245,864 245,864 245,864 Depreciation (equipment) 24,000 38,400 22,800 14,400 99,600 0 0 Oper. income before taxes (EBIT) ($600.00) $24,324.53 $123,402.22 $229,476.94 $265,626.07 $505,499.61 $667,455.48 Taxes on operating income (40%) (240) 9,730 49,361 91,791 106,250 202,200 266,982 After-tax operating income ($360) $14,595 $74,041 $137,686 $159,376 $303,300 $400,473 Add back depreciation 24,000 38,400 22,800 14,400 99,600 0 0 Operating cash flow $23,640 $52,995 $96,841 $152,086 $258,976 $303,300 $400,473 Terminal Year Cash Flows: Required level of net working capital $31,495.50 $36,009 $41,169 $47,068 $53,813 $61,525 $70,341 Required investment in NWC $55,136 $89,004 $138,010 $199,155 $312,789 $364,824 $470,814 Terminal Year Cash Flows: Net salvage value 335,320 0 Net Cash Flow (Time line of cash flows) ($120,000) $110,271 $178,007 $276,020 $398,309 $625,578 $729,649 $941,629 Payback (See calculation below) (441.80) 3 Data for Payback Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Net cash flow (120,000) 110,271 178,007 276,020 398,309 625,578 729,649 941,629 Cumulative CF 0 (9,729) 168,278 444,298 842,607 1,468,185 2,197,834 3,139,463 Part of year required for payback 12.33 29 | P a g e