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Trends in European VET
Christian Lettmayr
Acting Director
LINQ 2013, Rome 16 May 2013
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 1
At the interface of education and labour market
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 2
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 3
-2%
-13%
-3%
9%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
TOTAL LOW MEDIUM HIGH
The impact of the crisis on the European labour market
Employment growth (%) by education (2008-2011)
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 4
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 5
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 6
-20 0 20 40 60 80
Low qualification
Medium qualification
High qualification
All qualifications
Low qualification
Medium qualification
High qualification
All qualifications
Millions
Expansion
demand
Replacement
demand
Upper secondary still the main LM component...
26%
59%
15%
Youth
Low Medium High
19%
48%
33%
Adult
Employment by level of education (EU-27 2012)
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 8
Mismatch
Adjustment lags of education and training system
Lack of mobility
INFORMATION ASYMMETRY
Adjustment lags in labour demand
Recruitment frictions
Inadequate job design
Wage rigidities
Ineffective intermediaries
Skill supply
Active population
Participation rates
Skills heterogeneity within qualifications
groups
Imperfect career councelling and guidance of
students
Country-specific factors
Demographics
Level of economic development
Economic structure
Technology
Institutions
Skill demand
Employment by sector/occupation/education
Job vacancies
Job-task skill requirements
Outcomes
Loss of productivity & growth
Structural unemployment
Earnings inequality
Social exclusion
LINQ 2013
C. Lettmayr
2020 forecasts: high demand for VET graduates
Jobs for medium level qualified people almost 51%
Jobs for highly qualified people more than 34%
Jobs for those with low qualifications around 15%
Past and likely future sectoral employment change
Source: Cedefop country workbooks 2012
Future job opportunities by occupation
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 10
EDUCATION AND TRAINING
SYSTEM
Planning and delivery of teaching
and learning processes
LABOUR MARKET
Identification of demand for
skills and competences
Formulation of knowledge, skills and
competence requirements
Assessment and
certification of knowledge, skills
and competence
Validation and recognition of learning
• Council recommendation adopted in September 2012
– Establishes a national system by 2015 leading to full or
partial qualifications
– Defines elements to be included and principles to be
respected
– Ensures the involvement of LM stakeholders
– Promotes coordination between education, training,
employment and youth services and policies
Validation and recognition of learning
Validation: the confirmation by an authorised body that a learner has achieved
outcomes according to an agreed standard.
- Key to adult and lifelong learning and to skill strategies
- Diversity of use across Europe – countries are progressing
High development
High take up
Medium –high
development
Medium-low Low
Finland
France
The Netherlands
Norway
Portugal
Denmark
Germany
Romania
Spain
Sweden
UK
Austria,
Belgium
Czech Republic
Estonia
Iceland
Italy
Ireland
Lithuania
Slovakia
Slovenia
Bulgaria
Croatia
Cyprus
Greece
Hungary
Latvia
Malta
Poland
Turkey
WBL – actions by countries
STD5a Work-based learning, including apprenticeships
Number of countries
Apprenticeship or similar programmes 
Guidelines providing for work based learning in VET 
Work-based learning elements in school based IVET programmes 
Strategy to foster VET-Enterprises cooperation to ensure quality and relevance 
Incentives for enterprises to provide training or employment 
Learning methods in VET including simulated or real business experience 
Campaigns encouraging enterprises to provide or invest in VET 
Services that assist in finding training places for VET learners in enterprises 
 in place by 2010 and not changed  in place by 2010 and adjusted since  put in place since 2010  preparing for implementation  no action
Source: Cedefop
STD5b Cooperation between VET institutions and enterprises
Number of countries
Training VET teachers/trainers to help learners acquire entrepreneurship skills 
Guidelines for VET teacher development including enterprise traineeships 
Services that assist VET institutions in finding partners in the business world 
Guidelines encouraging staff exchange between enterprises and VET providers 
Services that assist in finding training places for VET teachers in enterprises 
 in place by 2010 and not changed  in place by 2010 and adjusted since  put in place since 2010  preparing for implementation  no action
Source: Cedefop
Provisional information – not validated at national government level – not for circulation
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 13
STD16 Maximising the contribution of VET in combating early leaving from education
Number of EU + countries Candidate
countries
Guidance and mentoring for learners in IVET programmes  
Apprenticeship or similar programmes  
Work-based learning elements in school based IVET programmes  
LLL or VET strategy supporting early school leavers and those at risk  
Opportunity to obtain missed qualifications in VET  
Modularised IVET programmes  
Incentives for learners and their families to remain in VET  
Incentives for enterprises to provide training or employment  
Opportunity to acquire underdeveloped key competences in VET  
Opportunity for those with migrant background to learn the host country language  
Psychological and social support to learners in IVET programmes  
Regulations easing access to VET  
Alternative routes within mainstream VET  
Training for VET teachers and/or trainers to support disadvantaged learners  
Incentives for VET institutions to prevent drop outs  
 in place by 2010 and not changed  in place by 2010 and adjusted since  put in place since 2010  preparing for implementation  no action reported on
Source: Cedefop (based on ReferNet ) and ETF
Work-based learning to
help different types of learners succeed
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 15
Adult learning is underdeveloped
Financial resources are
limited
Reluctance to invest in HC
Lack of awareness of training
and skills development needs
and benefits
Overreliance on (fresh)
labour supply to provide
necessary skills
Overconfidence in market
mechanism
Different adult learning
cultures
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 16
LLL is ill-distributed
Skills begets skills
The older
you get,
the less
you train
18%
15%
7%
6%
Participation in adult learning by
occupations - EU-27 average 2005-10
Skilled
non Manual
High Skilled
Manual
Low skilled
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 17
LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 18
Table 1. State of play and progress towards STD18
STD18 Using ICT to maximise access to training and to promote active learning
Number of EU+ countries Candidate countries
ICT strategy or ‘digital agenda’ considering ‘at-risk’
groups
 
Development of ICT based learning tools/methods to
help ‘at-risk’ groups learn
 
LLL or VET strategy which promotes using ICT for ‘at-
risk’ groups
 
Training VET teachers and/or trainers to help ‘at-risk’
groups in using ICT
 
Incentives helping at risk groups to cover ICT and
internet costs
 
VET platforms or web portals tailored to the needs of
‘at-risk’ groups
 
 in place by 2010 and not changed  in place by 2010 and adjusted since
 put in place since 2010  preparing for implementation  no action reported on
Source: Cedefop based on ReferNet and ETF.
19
LINQ 2013C. Lettmayr

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Linq 2013 plenary_keynote_lettmayr

  • 1. Trends in European VET Christian Lettmayr Acting Director LINQ 2013, Rome 16 May 2013 LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 1
  • 2. At the interface of education and labour market LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 2
  • 3. LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 3 -2% -13% -3% 9% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% TOTAL LOW MEDIUM HIGH The impact of the crisis on the European labour market Employment growth (%) by education (2008-2011)
  • 4. LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 4
  • 5. LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 5
  • 6. LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 6 -20 0 20 40 60 80 Low qualification Medium qualification High qualification All qualifications Low qualification Medium qualification High qualification All qualifications Millions Expansion demand Replacement demand
  • 7. Upper secondary still the main LM component... 26% 59% 15% Youth Low Medium High 19% 48% 33% Adult Employment by level of education (EU-27 2012)
  • 8. LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 8 Mismatch Adjustment lags of education and training system Lack of mobility INFORMATION ASYMMETRY Adjustment lags in labour demand Recruitment frictions Inadequate job design Wage rigidities Ineffective intermediaries Skill supply Active population Participation rates Skills heterogeneity within qualifications groups Imperfect career councelling and guidance of students Country-specific factors Demographics Level of economic development Economic structure Technology Institutions Skill demand Employment by sector/occupation/education Job vacancies Job-task skill requirements Outcomes Loss of productivity & growth Structural unemployment Earnings inequality Social exclusion
  • 9. LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 2020 forecasts: high demand for VET graduates Jobs for medium level qualified people almost 51% Jobs for highly qualified people more than 34% Jobs for those with low qualifications around 15% Past and likely future sectoral employment change Source: Cedefop country workbooks 2012 Future job opportunities by occupation
  • 10. LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 10 EDUCATION AND TRAINING SYSTEM Planning and delivery of teaching and learning processes LABOUR MARKET Identification of demand for skills and competences Formulation of knowledge, skills and competence requirements Assessment and certification of knowledge, skills and competence
  • 11. Validation and recognition of learning • Council recommendation adopted in September 2012 – Establishes a national system by 2015 leading to full or partial qualifications – Defines elements to be included and principles to be respected – Ensures the involvement of LM stakeholders – Promotes coordination between education, training, employment and youth services and policies
  • 12. Validation and recognition of learning Validation: the confirmation by an authorised body that a learner has achieved outcomes according to an agreed standard. - Key to adult and lifelong learning and to skill strategies - Diversity of use across Europe – countries are progressing High development High take up Medium –high development Medium-low Low Finland France The Netherlands Norway Portugal Denmark Germany Romania Spain Sweden UK Austria, Belgium Czech Republic Estonia Iceland Italy Ireland Lithuania Slovakia Slovenia Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Greece Hungary Latvia Malta Poland Turkey
  • 13. WBL – actions by countries STD5a Work-based learning, including apprenticeships Number of countries Apprenticeship or similar programmes  Guidelines providing for work based learning in VET  Work-based learning elements in school based IVET programmes  Strategy to foster VET-Enterprises cooperation to ensure quality and relevance  Incentives for enterprises to provide training or employment  Learning methods in VET including simulated or real business experience  Campaigns encouraging enterprises to provide or invest in VET  Services that assist in finding training places for VET learners in enterprises   in place by 2010 and not changed  in place by 2010 and adjusted since  put in place since 2010  preparing for implementation  no action Source: Cedefop STD5b Cooperation between VET institutions and enterprises Number of countries Training VET teachers/trainers to help learners acquire entrepreneurship skills  Guidelines for VET teacher development including enterprise traineeships  Services that assist VET institutions in finding partners in the business world  Guidelines encouraging staff exchange between enterprises and VET providers  Services that assist in finding training places for VET teachers in enterprises   in place by 2010 and not changed  in place by 2010 and adjusted since  put in place since 2010  preparing for implementation  no action Source: Cedefop Provisional information – not validated at national government level – not for circulation LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 13
  • 14. STD16 Maximising the contribution of VET in combating early leaving from education Number of EU + countries Candidate countries Guidance and mentoring for learners in IVET programmes   Apprenticeship or similar programmes   Work-based learning elements in school based IVET programmes   LLL or VET strategy supporting early school leavers and those at risk   Opportunity to obtain missed qualifications in VET   Modularised IVET programmes   Incentives for learners and their families to remain in VET   Incentives for enterprises to provide training or employment   Opportunity to acquire underdeveloped key competences in VET   Opportunity for those with migrant background to learn the host country language   Psychological and social support to learners in IVET programmes   Regulations easing access to VET   Alternative routes within mainstream VET   Training for VET teachers and/or trainers to support disadvantaged learners   Incentives for VET institutions to prevent drop outs    in place by 2010 and not changed  in place by 2010 and adjusted since  put in place since 2010  preparing for implementation  no action reported on Source: Cedefop (based on ReferNet ) and ETF Work-based learning to help different types of learners succeed
  • 15. LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 15
  • 16. Adult learning is underdeveloped Financial resources are limited Reluctance to invest in HC Lack of awareness of training and skills development needs and benefits Overreliance on (fresh) labour supply to provide necessary skills Overconfidence in market mechanism Different adult learning cultures LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 16
  • 17. LLL is ill-distributed Skills begets skills The older you get, the less you train 18% 15% 7% 6% Participation in adult learning by occupations - EU-27 average 2005-10 Skilled non Manual High Skilled Manual Low skilled LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 17
  • 18. LINQ 2013 C. Lettmayr 18 Table 1. State of play and progress towards STD18 STD18 Using ICT to maximise access to training and to promote active learning Number of EU+ countries Candidate countries ICT strategy or ‘digital agenda’ considering ‘at-risk’ groups   Development of ICT based learning tools/methods to help ‘at-risk’ groups learn   LLL or VET strategy which promotes using ICT for ‘at- risk’ groups   Training VET teachers and/or trainers to help ‘at-risk’ groups in using ICT   Incentives helping at risk groups to cover ICT and internet costs   VET platforms or web portals tailored to the needs of ‘at-risk’ groups    in place by 2010 and not changed  in place by 2010 and adjusted since  put in place since 2010  preparing for implementation  no action reported on Source: Cedefop based on ReferNet and ETF.