The document discusses how trading municipal bonds can be profitable despite them traditionally being long-term investments. Factors like cities defaulting on bonds due to bankruptcy like Detroit, and the Federal Reserve tapering bond purchases, are increasing volatility in municipal bond prices and interest rates. This provides opportunities for traders to buy municipal bonds when prices drop and interest rates rise, and then sell them later at a profit as prices and rates fluctuate. Thorough analysis of individual municipalities is important to successfully trade municipal bonds as defaults can make some bonds worthless.
2. Trading municipal bonds may
sound like a contradiction in
terms. After all people who earn a
lot of buy municipal bonds to take
advantage of the tax exemption.
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bonds
3. Thus municipal bonds are
commonly a long term investment
that people only get out of, at or
shortly after retirement when their
yearly income falls off. On the
other hand trading profits
commonly occur during times of
volatility and when trading volatile
equities.
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bonds
4. Here is where trading municipal
bonds comes in today. Check out
the news. The city of Detroit has
gone bankrupt. The fallout has
been far and wide as city after city
has delayed or called off its
municipal bond auctions.
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bonds
5. And the US Federal Reserve is
planning to reduce the size of its
weekly Treasury bond purchases
which in turn is expected to raise
interest rates.
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bonds
6. Thus there are two fundamental
factors that are expected to drive
interest rates and the values of
municipal and other bonds.
Technical analysis of prices may be
useful in profiting from this
apparent chaos in trading
municipal bonds.
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bonds
7. Trading Bonds When There Is
Blood In The Street
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bonds
8. A little over a year ago we wrote
about trading Euro Zone bonds.
The point of trading bonds instead
of investing in them is to profit
from widely fluctuating interest
rates no matter what the cause.
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bonds
9. Higher rates in the Euro Zone last
year were because of the risk of
default by several nations across
the Southern flank of Europe.
Likewise in trading municipal
bonds today higher rates go with
the risk of default by cities.
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bonds
10. In addition, the Fed bond buying
stimulus program was meant to
drive interest rates down and
stimulate economic growth, which
was successful. Now the Fed is
looking to taper off and there is the
likelihood of higher interest rates
across the board.
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bonds
11. Although the Fed promises to go at
this slowly markets are still
unsettled. This is a variant of Baron
Rothschild’s blood in the streets
saying. (The best time to invest is
when there is blood in the
streets, especially your own.)
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bonds
12. To make money on bonds in a
rising market the best choice is to
wait until rates rise unless you are
selling in anticipation of a rise.
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bonds
13. However, in a volatile market rates
may go up and down and a savvy
trader could make money buying
at the top of a swing and selling at
the bottom in trading municipal
bonds.
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bonds
14. When To Buy And When To Sell
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bonds
15. An apt saying in regard to trading
municipal bonds in today’s market
is that the devil is in the details.
Trading municipal bonds
successfully in a fluctuating market
has to do with evaluating
individual municipalities and their
bond offerings.
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bonds
16. When a city like Detroit goes belly
up its bonds become virtually
worthless. In such a situation a
trader can come in and pick up
bonds at pennies on the dollar.
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bonds
17. Then the question is if one sells as
soon as things look better and
takes a small profit or waits for a
bigger cash reward.
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bonds
18. As always do your own
fundamental and technical analysis
when trading municipal bonds and
stay out of the market if you do not
understand what is going on.
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bonds