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www.investingeorgia.org   1




       AGRICULTURE
       A GRICULTURE
Georgian National Investment Agency 2013
AGRICULTURE


OVERVIEW:




                                      IN
• Over 21 micro-climates - a wide range of grain, vegetables, hard and
   soft fruits, meat and dairy could be farmed

• Agriculture accounts for 9% of GDP. It contributes ~53% of
   employment mostly in subsistence farming (average farm size of 1.22 ha)

• Traditionally Georgia has strengths in wine, nuts, fruits which account
   for more than 60% of agriculture exports

• The average gross monthly salary in the agricultural sector in Georgia
   is USD 220




OPPORTUNITIES:


   potatoes etc
                                  IN GEO
• Import substitution opportunities - meat, dairy products, onions,


• Export opportunities - traditional strong sub-sectors, like wine,
   walnuts, hazelnuts, sheep meat, etc

• Productivity gain opportunities – tomatoes, apples, cucumbers, stone
   fruits, citrus etc




www.investingeorgia.org       2
www.investingeorgia.org         3

 OVERVIEW OF GEORGIA’S AGRICULTURE SECTOR

                        MAJOR EMPLOYMENT YET MODEST GDP,
                        INVESTMENT AND TRADE SHARE
                     • Agriculture and agribusiness accounts for 9% of GDP, 53% of




 VEST
                       employment, 1.3% of FDI and 16% of trade volume
                     – Employment driver is subsistence farming in rural areas
                     – Georgia is reliant on processed food imports (12.1% of total
                       imports) while export is balanced between fresh and processed
                       (9.4% and 10.5% respectively)
                     – Consumer food accounts for 30% and 24% of total agriculture
                       commodities/processed food imports and exports respectively
                     • Sector trade balance was -762 million in 2012 and deficit
                       is widening


                        VALUE ADD AND PRODUCTIVITY




ORGIA
                     • Low value add per hectare (only $1,220/ha of arable land)

                     • Productivity level lags most regional and more developed
                       economies in all crops

                     • Four major hurdles are root-causes for underperformance
                       and lie in fragmented industry structure, lack of investment,
                       obsolete production and lack of market access


                        LATENT POTENTIALS TO CAPTURE GROWING
                        DOMESTIC DEMAND AND EXPORTS
                     • Given relative low starting points, productivity gain potentials
                       are significant across a broad range of crops/livestock

                     • Based on competitiveness and productivity gain potentials,
                       Georgia can select priority crops/livestock to exploit exports
                       and import substitution potentials
TRADE IS MAINLY REGIONAL AND DEFICIT HAS BEEN WIDENING
       Agriculture trade                      Net trade                         Import                             Export
       USD mln

                                                                                              437                     513




                                      IN
                 235       299    250         316                   349




               2005        2006   2007        2010                 2009                      2011                    2012



Share of top exports                                      Exports by country
2011, USD mn, percent                                     2010, percent


Nuts                                     30                                 Others




                                  IN GEO
Alcoholic bev.                           16
                                                                       Turkey            16
                                                                                    5                        Ukraine
Wine                                     12                                                         36
                                                                 Kazakhstan        7
Water                                    11                                         7
                                                                    Armenia              9     20
Live animals                             6                                Germany
                                                                                                     Azerbaijan
Sugar water                              3


Share of top exports                                      Exports by country
2011, USD mn, percent                                     2010, percent


Nuts                                     15                                     Others
                                                                       Azerbaijan
Alcoholic bev.                           9                                           7
                                                                          USA      5
Wine                                     9                                       5                            Ukraine
                                                                  Kazakhstan 10                      32
Water                                    8
                                                                                   11
Live animals                             8                             Brazil                       19
                                                                                         11
Sugar water                              4                                      Turkey                    Russia




www.investingeorgia.org      4
www.investingeorgia.org         5

     THE SECTOR IS WELL DIVERSIFIED WITH EXPORT
     STRENGTHS IN NUTS, FRUITS, WINE AND LIVE ANIMALS
                                                                             Processed                            Fresh




 VEST
ORGIA
 Share of fresh

 Share of processed


 1
     Including meat (14%), oil and fat (8%), dairy products (5%) and other food products (24%); 2 Import-export data for 2010
WATER AND LAND RESOURCES

   WATER RESOURCES
   Renewable internal fresh water resources per capita
   Cubic meter, 2010




                                                 IN
   30, 393

             28,037
                      13,179




                               8504




                                      3160
                                             2223   2113
                                                           1157    1153      917




                                             IN GEO
                                              N GE           LAND RESOURCES
                                                             Breakdown of agricultural land
                                                             Thousand ha, 2010



                                                               6700


                                                                              3694
                                                                                                               Arable land ratio
                                                                                                               Arable/Total land (%)




                                                                                          3006

Sources: World Bank, Georgia                                                                            1797
Ministry of Economy and Sustainable                                                                                    264                       802
                                                                                                                                       143
Development
                                                           Total land     Non-agri-   Total agri-     Pasture     Land under      Mowed      Arable land
                                                                          culture     cultural land   and         per-manent      lands
                                                                          land                        meadows     crops           for hay

 www.investingeorgia.org                 6
www.investingeorgia.org   7

 AGRICULTURE LANDS AND FARMS

 2010, percent




 VEST    Subsistence




         Semi-
                                                        Average farm size
                                                        2010, Ha
                                                                                                   182.0




ORGIA
         commercial                                                                              68.0
         Commercial                                                                       54.0
         farms                                                                          52.0
                          Number         Agricultural                              46.0
                          of farms        land use                               24.0
                                                                          13.0
                                                                    6.5
                                                              1.7
                                                              1.6
                                                              1.6
                                                             0.7


 Sources: FAOSTAT, USDA Foreign Agricultural
 Service, European Commission, USAID
PRODUCTION MODE IS ON PAR WITH REGIONAL
BENCHMARKS YET TRAILS ADVANCED AGRICULTURE




                                      IN
  Fertilizer use                                               Machinery, tractors use
  2010, kg/ha                                                  2010, per 100 sq. km of arable land




                                  IN GEO
   Other hurdles in production mode
                                                                                           Source: World Bank

   • Intermittent (and counterfeit) supply of high quality seeds/saplings
   • Deterioration of obsolete irrigation now covers ~15% of arable land
   • Lack of post-harvest handling facilities (e.g., cold storage, packing, sorting) and
     distribution infrastructure




www.investingeorgia.org       8
www.investingeorgia.org           9

   GEORGIA CAN PRIORITIZE DEVELOPMENT OF CROPS/LIVESTOCK
   WITH HIGH PRODUCTIVITY GAIN POTENTIAL AND SIZABLE VOLUME




 VEST
 Productivity gain potentials                 Potential priority crops   Gross production              Import substitution   Import reliant
 To-be to current ratio                                                  value (2010, USD mn)
                                                                                                       Export-led            Neutral




                       Import substitution                                      Productivity gain
                         opportunities                                           opportunities

                                                                                                                             High
                                                                                                                             productivity
                                                                                                       Export                potential
                                                                                                    opportunities




ORGIA                                                                                           Trade balance, 2011, USD mn
                                                                                                                             Medium
                                                                                                                             productivity
                                                                                                                             potential



                                                                                                                             Average
                                                                                                                             productivity
                                                                                                                             potential




                            Import-oriented                     Trade neutral                   Export-led
14 POTENTIAL PRIORITIES CROPS/LIVESTOCK
TO FOCUS DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS

HIGH POTENTIAL PROJECTS             GEORGIA’S COMPETITIVENESS




                                   IN
                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 




                               IN GEO
                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 

                               ▪ 




www.investingeorgia.org   10
www.investingeorgia.org   11

 REGIONAL COMPETITIVENESS AND POTENTIALS MAP




 VEST
                                        C O O
                                        CROP POTENTIALS BY REGION
                                                      S      GO




ORGIA
 BASED ON REGIONAL SPECIALIZATION (NATURAL ENDOWMENTS,
 CULTIVATION HISTORY), PRODUCTIVITY AND SEASONALITY
INVEST
IN GEORGIA
      GEORGIAN NATIONAL
      INVESTMENT AGENCY
         www.investingeorgia.org

    E-mail: enquiry@investingeorgia.org
  Portfolio Manager: Kristine Meparishvili
   E-mail: kristinem@investingeorgia.org
   Portfolio Manager: Nino Tsetskhladze
     E-mail: ninot@investingeorgia.org

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Agriculture

  • 1. www.investingeorgia.org 1 AGRICULTURE A GRICULTURE Georgian National Investment Agency 2013
  • 2. AGRICULTURE OVERVIEW: IN • Over 21 micro-climates - a wide range of grain, vegetables, hard and soft fruits, meat and dairy could be farmed • Agriculture accounts for 9% of GDP. It contributes ~53% of employment mostly in subsistence farming (average farm size of 1.22 ha) • Traditionally Georgia has strengths in wine, nuts, fruits which account for more than 60% of agriculture exports • The average gross monthly salary in the agricultural sector in Georgia is USD 220 OPPORTUNITIES: potatoes etc IN GEO • Import substitution opportunities - meat, dairy products, onions, • Export opportunities - traditional strong sub-sectors, like wine, walnuts, hazelnuts, sheep meat, etc • Productivity gain opportunities – tomatoes, apples, cucumbers, stone fruits, citrus etc www.investingeorgia.org 2
  • 3. www.investingeorgia.org 3 OVERVIEW OF GEORGIA’S AGRICULTURE SECTOR MAJOR EMPLOYMENT YET MODEST GDP, INVESTMENT AND TRADE SHARE • Agriculture and agribusiness accounts for 9% of GDP, 53% of VEST employment, 1.3% of FDI and 16% of trade volume – Employment driver is subsistence farming in rural areas – Georgia is reliant on processed food imports (12.1% of total imports) while export is balanced between fresh and processed (9.4% and 10.5% respectively) – Consumer food accounts for 30% and 24% of total agriculture commodities/processed food imports and exports respectively • Sector trade balance was -762 million in 2012 and deficit is widening VALUE ADD AND PRODUCTIVITY ORGIA • Low value add per hectare (only $1,220/ha of arable land) • Productivity level lags most regional and more developed economies in all crops • Four major hurdles are root-causes for underperformance and lie in fragmented industry structure, lack of investment, obsolete production and lack of market access LATENT POTENTIALS TO CAPTURE GROWING DOMESTIC DEMAND AND EXPORTS • Given relative low starting points, productivity gain potentials are significant across a broad range of crops/livestock • Based on competitiveness and productivity gain potentials, Georgia can select priority crops/livestock to exploit exports and import substitution potentials
  • 4. TRADE IS MAINLY REGIONAL AND DEFICIT HAS BEEN WIDENING Agriculture trade Net trade Import Export USD mln 437 513 IN 235 299 250 316 349 2005 2006 2007 2010 2009 2011 2012 Share of top exports Exports by country 2011, USD mn, percent 2010, percent Nuts 30 Others IN GEO Alcoholic bev. 16 Turkey 16 5 Ukraine Wine 12 36 Kazakhstan 7 Water 11 7 Armenia 9 20 Live animals 6 Germany Azerbaijan Sugar water 3 Share of top exports Exports by country 2011, USD mn, percent 2010, percent Nuts 15 Others Azerbaijan Alcoholic bev. 9 7 USA 5 Wine 9 5 Ukraine Kazakhstan 10 32 Water 8 11 Live animals 8 Brazil 19 11 Sugar water 4 Turkey Russia www.investingeorgia.org 4
  • 5. www.investingeorgia.org 5 THE SECTOR IS WELL DIVERSIFIED WITH EXPORT STRENGTHS IN NUTS, FRUITS, WINE AND LIVE ANIMALS Processed Fresh VEST ORGIA Share of fresh Share of processed 1 Including meat (14%), oil and fat (8%), dairy products (5%) and other food products (24%); 2 Import-export data for 2010
  • 6. WATER AND LAND RESOURCES WATER RESOURCES Renewable internal fresh water resources per capita Cubic meter, 2010 IN 30, 393 28,037 13,179 8504 3160 2223 2113 1157 1153 917 IN GEO N GE LAND RESOURCES Breakdown of agricultural land Thousand ha, 2010 6700 3694 Arable land ratio Arable/Total land (%) 3006 Sources: World Bank, Georgia 1797 Ministry of Economy and Sustainable 264 802 143 Development Total land Non-agri- Total agri- Pasture Land under Mowed Arable land culture cultural land and per-manent lands land meadows crops for hay www.investingeorgia.org 6
  • 7. www.investingeorgia.org 7 AGRICULTURE LANDS AND FARMS 2010, percent VEST Subsistence Semi- Average farm size 2010, Ha 182.0 ORGIA commercial 68.0 Commercial 54.0 farms 52.0 Number Agricultural 46.0 of farms land use 24.0 13.0 6.5 1.7 1.6 1.6 0.7 Sources: FAOSTAT, USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, European Commission, USAID
  • 8. PRODUCTION MODE IS ON PAR WITH REGIONAL BENCHMARKS YET TRAILS ADVANCED AGRICULTURE IN Fertilizer use Machinery, tractors use 2010, kg/ha 2010, per 100 sq. km of arable land IN GEO Other hurdles in production mode Source: World Bank • Intermittent (and counterfeit) supply of high quality seeds/saplings • Deterioration of obsolete irrigation now covers ~15% of arable land • Lack of post-harvest handling facilities (e.g., cold storage, packing, sorting) and distribution infrastructure www.investingeorgia.org 8
  • 9. www.investingeorgia.org 9 GEORGIA CAN PRIORITIZE DEVELOPMENT OF CROPS/LIVESTOCK WITH HIGH PRODUCTIVITY GAIN POTENTIAL AND SIZABLE VOLUME VEST Productivity gain potentials Potential priority crops Gross production Import substitution Import reliant To-be to current ratio value (2010, USD mn) Export-led Neutral Import substitution Productivity gain opportunities opportunities High productivity Export potential opportunities ORGIA Trade balance, 2011, USD mn Medium productivity potential Average productivity potential Import-oriented Trade neutral Export-led
  • 10. 14 POTENTIAL PRIORITIES CROPS/LIVESTOCK TO FOCUS DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS HIGH POTENTIAL PROJECTS GEORGIA’S COMPETITIVENESS IN ▪  ▪  ▪  ▪  ▪  ▪  IN GEO ▪  ▪  ▪  ▪  ▪  ▪  ▪  ▪  www.investingeorgia.org 10
  • 11. www.investingeorgia.org 11 REGIONAL COMPETITIVENESS AND POTENTIALS MAP VEST C O O CROP POTENTIALS BY REGION S GO ORGIA BASED ON REGIONAL SPECIALIZATION (NATURAL ENDOWMENTS, CULTIVATION HISTORY), PRODUCTIVITY AND SEASONALITY
  • 12. INVEST IN GEORGIA GEORGIAN NATIONAL INVESTMENT AGENCY www.investingeorgia.org E-mail: enquiry@investingeorgia.org Portfolio Manager: Kristine Meparishvili E-mail: kristinem@investingeorgia.org Portfolio Manager: Nino Tsetskhladze E-mail: ninot@investingeorgia.org