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Role of ICT
in Improving the Quality of School Education
in Bihar
                            Chirashree Das Gupta and Haridas KPN




                    Presentation for

        IGC Growth Week: 19-21 September, 2011
   Background
   Method
   Design
   A Few Preliminary Results
   Flagging Issues in Programme Delivery
Identification of Hard Spots


            Category        Sample Distribution   Percentage of sample

    No hard spot                    1                      0

    One Subject                    3237                   82


    More than one subject          327                     8

    Missing data                   264                     7


    Inconsistent response          131                     3

    Total                          3960                   100
Identification of Hard Spots-Subject wise
   Subjects   Number       Percentage   Percentage of     Percentage      Percentage   Percentage
                  of        of Sample      Students       of students       of Boys      of Girls
              Students                       having          having
               having                   difficulty only   difficulty in
              Difficulty                       in          one other
                  in                                       subject or
                                                          more along
                                                              with


1-Hindi          92            2              54               46            54           46
2-Urdu           150           4              82               18            54           46
3-Eng           1026          26              75               25            42           58
4-Sans          2070          52              88               12            46           54
5-Maths          388          10              76               24            35           65
6-Science        149           4              63               37            49           51
7- Other         77            2              …                …             55           45
Role of e-Samarth in Addressing Hard Spots
          Perception Gaps on Role of e-Samarth
                                                                        Performance Analysis (Exam score) -
Perception/ Performance               School Authority       Teachers   Comparison of 3 year exam scores
Increased Interest in learning        88                     76
Increase in attention span             76                    65
Increase        in      classroom
participation                          88                    48
Increase in classroom interaction      68                    63
Correct answers/response               72                    46
More clarity on topics taught
through CDS                   60                             39
Improved              examination
performance                            64                    44         No significant improvement
Improved understanding of the
subject                       56                             41
Increase in enrolment (students
changing schools)                                            15
                                 Note: All figures are in percentages
Role of e-Samarth in Addressing Hard Spots
Status of Trained Teachers in e-samarth

                                  Trained     under
                                  CAL                     Trained Outside/ self trained
Trained Teachers                  85                      15
Training Hours
Not sure                          7
15 hours                          7
25 hours                          4
30 hours                          54
35 hours                          13
40 hours                          2
50 hours                          11
126 hours                         2


                   Note: All figures are in percentages
Role of e-Samarth in identifying Hard Spots
Status of Trained Teachers in e-samarth
 Usage of Computer (Days in a week)
 7                               11
 6                               20
 5                               9
 4                               13
 3                               4
 2                               9
 1                               2
 Sometimes                       22
 Never                           11
 Usage of Computer/Kyan
 (computer aid) for Teaching
 Yes                             43
 No                              57
               Note: All figures are in percentages
e-Samarth and Performance
Analysis of exam scores
e-Samarth and Performance
Analysis of exam scores
Some Preliminary Observations on Operational
            Status of e-Samarth
        School Level Operational Status of e-Samarth

                                              Type of model
Classification                                                       Total
                                       BEP       BOOT         ILFS


CAL programme operational on paper      1          2          13      16



CAL programme not operational           2          5           2      9


Total                                   3          7          15      25


CAL programme operational based on
                                        1          2          11      14
observations on the day of visit
Some Preliminary Observations on Operational
         Status of e-Samarth
      District wise Operational Status of e-Samarth

          Districts          Bhojpur   Muzaffarpur   Samastipur   Saran   Gaya   Total

                      BEP      1
CAL programme
 operational on       BOOT                                                 2      16
     paper
                      ILFS     1           5             3         3       1
                      BEP      1                                   1
CAL programme
                      BOOT     1                         2         1       1      9
not operational
                      ILFS     1           0             0                 1
            Total              5           5             5         5       5      25

CAL programme         BEP      1
   operational
    based on          BOOT                                                 2      14
observations on
 the day of visit     ILFS     1           5             2         2       1
Thank You
Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                                Nishith Prakash

                                                             Introduction
                                                             Motivation


                                                             Background

Cycling to School: Increasing High                           Policy
                                                             Goals


School Enrollment for Girls in Bihar                         Empirical Strategy
                                                             Methodology


                                                             Data
                                                             Data


   Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash                    Thank You
                                                             Thank You



   University of California-San Diego & Cornell University


September 19, 2011 / IGC Growth Week - LSE
Motivation                                                     Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                                  Nishith Prakash

                                                               Introduction
    Increasing school attainment of girls is one of the        Motivation


    Millennium Development Goals                               Background

                                                               Policy
    Improving female education directly contributes to         Goals

    “Inclusive Growth”:                                        Empirical Strategy
        Growth - by increasing human capital of labor          Methodology


                                                               Data
        force                                                  Data

        Inclusive - by allowing people to participate in the   Thank You
        growth process                                         Thank You




    Returns to schooling is approximately 7-10% in
    India (Duraisamy, 2000; Agrawal, 2011)
    Despite high economic returns to education in
    developing countries, there are:
        Low school completion rates
        High drop-out rates
        Students absenteeism
Education in Bihar                                     Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                          Nishith Prakash

                                                       Introduction
                                                       Motivation

    Large gender gap in schooling in developing        Background
    countries (for e.g. enrollment, attendance,        Policy

    attainment, dropout etc.)                          Goals


                                                       Empirical Strategy
    In rural Bihar, currently 63% girls are enrolled   Methodology


                                                       Data
    against 81% boys in the age category 10–14. For    Data

    the age category 15–19, only 27% girls are         Thank You
    admitted against 40% boys (Azam, 2011)             Thank You




    In urban Bihar, currently 81% girls are enrolled
    against 86% boys in the age category 10–14. For
    the age category 15–19, only 55% girls are
    admitted against 57% boys (Azam, 2011)
    Low attendance and attainment among girls in
    Bihar
Policy Intervention                                        Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                              Nishith Prakash

                                                           Introduction
                                                           Motivation


                                                           Background
    In April 2006, the Government of Bihar headed by
                                                           Policy
    the Chief Minister Mr. Nitish Kumar decided to         Goals


    provide bicycles to all girl students studying in      Empirical Strategy
                                                           Methodology

    Class IX & X                                           Data
                                                           Data
    Approximately Rs. 2000 (45 USD) per girl student
                                                           Thank You
    was allocated to purchase bicycles                     Thank You


    This scheme was called “Mukhyamantri Balika
    Cycle Yojana” and later “Mukhyamantri Cycle
    Yojana”
        Policy Questions
            Does Cycle Scheme increase girls enrollment?
            Does Cycle Scheme affect learning outcomes?
Policy Intervention                                        Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                              Nishith Prakash

                                                           Introduction
                                                           Motivation


                                                           Background
    In April 2006, the Government of Bihar headed by
                                                           Policy
    the Chief Minister Mr. Nitish Kumar decided to         Goals


    provide bicycles to all girl students studying in      Empirical Strategy
                                                           Methodology

    Class IX & X                                           Data
                                                           Data
    Approximately Rs. 2000 (45 USD) per girl student
                                                           Thank You
    was allocated to purchase bicycles                     Thank You


    This scheme was called “Mukhyamantri Balika
    Cycle Yojana” and later “Mukhyamantri Cycle
    Yojana”
        Policy Questions
            Does Cycle Scheme increase girls enrollment?
            Does Cycle Scheme affect learning outcomes?
Outcome Measures                                            Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                               Nishith Prakash

                                                            Introduction
                                                            Motivation
   Enrollment                                               Background
       Does this reduce gender inequality?                  Policy
       Does this reduce gap across caste and religion?      Goals


                                                            Empirical Strategy
                                                            Methodology
   Learning outcomes (for e.g. share of students
                                                            Data
   passing 10th grade, passing with 3rd division, 2nd       Data

   division, 1st division, distinction)                     Thank You
                                                            Thank You
       Increased enrollment may reduce mean scores,
       but may increase absolute number of girls at
       higher levels of attainment

   Possibility of a follow-up survey:
       Female Empowerment-
            Use of bicycles has been considered a sign of
            self-confidence and empowerment in India
Difference in Difference Approach                                                                             Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                                                                                 Nishith Prakash

                                                                                                              Introduction
                                                                                                              Motivation


                                                                                                              Background

                                                                                                              Policy
    Difference in Difference Approach:                                                                        Goals


        Single Difference = [(Enroll)Girls
                                     Post    − (Enroll)Girls ]
                                                         Pre
                                                                                                              Empirical Strategy
                                                                        Boys                    Boys          Methodology
        D-D Bihar = A = [(Enroll)Girls −
                                 Post        (Enroll)Girls ] − [(Enroll)Post
                                                     Pre              − (Enroll)Pre ]
        This will control for changes in income, tastes and government policies that was                      Data
        targeted towards school going children                                                                Data


                                                                                                              Thank You
                                                                                                              Thank You
    Triple Difference Approach:
                                                                                   Boys               Boys
        D-D Jharkhand = B =    [(Enroll)Girls
                                        Post    −   (Enroll)Girls ]
                                                            Pre       −   [(Enroll)Post   −   (Enroll)Pre ]
        D-D-D = [A - B]
        This will control for remaining bias from differential time trend
                Jharkhand is particularly compelling as it was part of Bihar till 2000
                Boarder districts share similar socio-economic conditions
Map of Bihar   Karthik Muralidharan &
                  Nishith Prakash

               Introduction
               Motivation


               Background

               Policy
               Goals


               Empirical Strategy
               Methodology


               Data
               Data


               Thank You
               Thank You
Difference in Difference Design                                                       Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                                                         Nishith Prakash

    Start with D-D type strategy                                                      Introduction
                                                                                      Motivation


                                                                                      Background

                                                                                      Policy
                                                                                      Goals


                                                                                      Empirical Strategy
                                                                                      Methodology


                                                                                      Data
                                                                                      Data


                                                                                      Thank You
                                                                                      Thank You


                                            Enrollment - Boys



                                    C
                                                             D
    Enrollment/Test
    Scores
                                                             B
                                                                 IMPACT
                                    A                        Comparison group trend
                                          Enrollment-Girls

                      Pre- Cycle Scheme        Post- Cycle Scheme




                                  Year = 2006/07     Year = 2009/10
Enrollment in Bihar: Class 9                                                                                                    Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                                                                                                   Nishith Prakash

                                                                                                                                Introduction
                                                                                                                                Motivation


                                                                                                                                Background

                                                                                                                                Policy
                                                                                                                                Goals


                                                                                                                                Empirical Strategy
                                                                                                                                Methodology


                                                                                                                                Data
                                                                                                                                Data


                     240,000                                                                                                    Thank You
                     220,000                                                                                                    Thank You
                     200,000
                     180,000
                     160,000
        Enrollment




                     140,000
                     120,000
                     100,000
                      80,000
                      60,000
                      40,000
                      20,000
                          0
                               2002-03   2003-04      2004-05        2005-06       2006-07      2007-08     2008-09   2009-10

                                         Enrollment (Class 9) Boys             Enrollment (Class 9) Girls
Enrollment in Bihar: Class 10                                                                                        Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                                                                                        Nishith Prakash

                                                                                                                     Introduction
                                                                                                                     Motivation


                                                                                                                     Background

                                                                                                                     Policy
                                                                                                                     Goals


                                                                                                                     Empirical Strategy
                                                                                                                     Methodology


                                                                                                                     Data
                                                                                                                     Data

                    200,000
                                                                                                                     Thank You
                    180,000                                                                                          Thank You
                    160,000

                    140,000

                    120,000
       Enrollment




                    100,000

                     80,000

                     60,000

                     40,000

                     20,000

                         0
                              2002-03   2003-04    2004-05     2005-06   2006-07    2007-08      2008-09   2009-10

                                         Enrollment (Class 10) Boys      Enrollment (Class 10) Girls
Enrollment in Bihar & Jharkhand: Class 9                                                                                            Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                                                                                                       Nishith Prakash

                                                                                                                                    Introduction
                                                                                                                                    Motivation


                                                                                                                                    Background

                                                                                                                                    Policy
                                                                                                                                    Goals
                 240,000

                 220,000                                                                                                            Empirical Strategy
                 200,000                                                                                                            Methodology

                 180,000
                                                                                                                                    Data
                 160,000
                                                                                                                                    Data
                 140,000
    Enrollment




                 120,000
                                                                                                                                    Thank You
                                                                                                                                    Thank You
                 100,000

                  80,000

                  60,000

                  40,000

                  20,000

                      0
                           2002-03   2003-04       2004-05         2005-06      2006-07          2007-08        2008-09   2009-10
                                           Enrollment (Class 9) Boys_JH      Enrollment (Class 9) Girls_JH
                                           Enrollment (Class 9) Boys_Bihar   Enrollment (Class 9) Girls_Bihar
Enrollment in Bihar & Jharkhand: Class 10                                                                                      Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                                                                                                  Nishith Prakash

                                                                                                                               Introduction
                                                                                                                               Motivation


                                                                                                                               Background

                 200,000                                                                                                       Policy
                                                                                                                               Goals
                 180,000
                                                                                                                               Empirical Strategy
                 160,000
                                                                                                                               Methodology

                 140,000
                                                                                                                               Data
                 120,000                                                                                                       Data
    Enrollment




                 100,000                                                                                                       Thank You
                                                                                                                               Thank You
                  80,000

                  60,000

                  40,000

                  20,000

                      0
                           2002-03   2003-04      2004-05       2005-06      2006-07       2007-08         2008-09   2009-10

                                      Enrollment (Class 10) Boys_JH       Enrollment (Class 10) Girls_JH
                                      Enrollment (Class 10) Boys_Bihar    Enrollment (Class 10) Girls_Bihar
Data work so far                                                  Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                                     Nishith Prakash

                                                                  Introduction
    Ministry of HRD, Government of Bihar                          Motivation


        We have enrollment data for class 9 and 10 from           Background

        26 districts (2 incomplete) in Bihar, and 9 districts     Policy
                                                                  Goals
        (3 incomplete) in Jharkhand from 2002/03 to
                                                                  Empirical Strategy
        2009/10                                                   Methodology

             District names in Bihar that have not sent           Data
             data: Aurangabad, Begusarai, Bhojpur,                Data

             Gopalganj, Khagaria, Kaimur, Lakhisarai, Patna,      Thank You
                                                                  Thank You
             Purnea, Muzaffarpur, Saran, Siwan
             District names in Bihar with incomplete data:
             Vaishali, Dharbhanga
             District names in Jharkhand with incomplete
             data: Sahibganj, Palamu, Godda

        Examination Board Data from Bihar and
        Jharkhand
             Detailed test scores data at individual level,
             school level, and district level from 2004 to 2010
Thank You                                           Karthik Muralidharan &
                                                       Nishith Prakash

                                                    Introduction
                                                    Motivation


                                                    Background

                                                    Policy
                                                    Goals


                                                    Empirical Strategy
   We are grateful to the IGC-Bihar for providing   Methodology


                                                    Data
   financial support                                 Data


   We are grateful to Government of Bihar and       Thank You
                                                    Thank You

   especially Ministry of HRD without whom we
   could not have started this project
Introduction     Existing Evidence    Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend




               Women Reservation in Bihar and Children’s
                         Health Outcomes

                              Santosh Kumar & Nishith Prakash

                               University of Washington & Cornell University


                          Sep 19, 2011 /IGC Growth Week (LSE)
                               India-Bihar Country Session
Introduction   Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                                         Motivation


           • About 50 percent of world’s population are women
               • However, their participation in political process is far below
                 than parity

                • As per the latest estimate, women are accounted for
                   approximately 18.4% of parliamentarians worldwide (IPU,
                   2008)

                • Barriers to political participation includes:Institutional
                   barriers; Cultural norms; Voter discrimination; Low
                   education
Introduction     Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                                           Motivation



           • Many countries have adopted electoral gender quotas to
               prevent the political under-representation of women

           • Decentralization of governance
               • Gender or minority reservation of political elected positions
                 is to improve targeting of developmental and welfare
                 programs to women and vulnerable groups.
Introduction     Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                                              Context



           • In 1993, India introduced quota-based political reservations
               for women in rural areas (73rd Constitutional Amendment)

           • One of the broad objective was-
               • To promote gender equality in human development by
                 making rural service provision and local governance
                 “inclusive” and “responsive” to the needs of women
Introduction     Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                              Efficacy of Gender quotas

           • The efficacy of these policies is still disputed by many
               policy makers around the world
                 • Pro:
                     • Such policies needed to correct pre-existing gender
                        inequalities

                         • Better targeting of development programs


                 • Against:
                     • Undemocratic, less effective leaders, and elite capturing

           • More evidence needed to truly evaluate the impact of
               affirmative policies
Introduction   Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                                   Existing Evidence

           • Chattopadhyay & Duflo - Women leaders are more likely to
             invest in drinking water facilities across rural India

           • Some recent papers report public good investments by female
             leaders either on non-water related goods (Munshi and
             Rosenzweig, 2008)

           • Bardhan et al. (2010) exploit within-village (over time) variation
             in reservation in West Bengal and find no impact of female
             reservation

           • Beamen et al. insignificant effect on the quality of public good
             (water, education, transport, fair price shop, public health
             facilities)
Introduction    Existing Evidence    Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                                    Research Question

           • Does women reservation in panchayats in Bihar improved
               health outcomes?

                 • Studies the effect of political reservations in local
                    governments in favor of women

                 • Specifically, do districts with more female leaders perform
                better compared to districts with fewer female leaders?
           • Why Bihar?
              • Geographic coverage: No other study has covered Bihar so
                far; and it is important to examine whether findings of
                existing studies are specific to their respective geographic
                contexts.
Introduction     Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                           Women Reservation in Bihar

           • Bihar has been a laggard in implementing 73rd
               Constitutional Amendment

           • The first panchayat election was held in April 2001 after a
               gap of 23 years

           • Fifty per cent seats are reserved for women since the 2006
               panchayat election

           • No reservation in 2001 panchayat election for ”Ekal” or
               ”Solitary” position
Introduction     Existing Evidence    Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                                     Outcome Measures


           • Most of the existing studies have analyzed availability of
               public goods and services as the outcomes measure

           • Very few of them have really looked at utilization of these
               public goods and services as outcomes

           • Outcomes analyzed in this study:
               • Health care utilization: Ante-natal care (ANC 4)
               • Children vaccination (DPT3, Measles), Institutional
                 deliveries
Introduction   Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                 How to measure the causal impact?



           • Policy was implemented state-wide, in all districts of Bihar


           • All districts are treated, none in control


           • Use Jharkhand districts or UP border districts as control


           • Use the variation in the program intensity
Introduction   Existing Evidence          Research Question             Empirical Strategy      Data        Trend   Trend



                                 Empirical Strategy- DID


                 Design 1: Employ double-difference (DID)


                                            2007-08 (DLHS 3)           2001-02 (DLHS 2)        Difference


                 Jharkhand (Control)                A                         B                    A- B



                 Bihar (Treatment)                   C                        D                   C-D




                 Difference                        C-A                       D-B             DID: C-D- (A-B)




                 Design 2: Exploit the variation in policy intensity
Introduction     Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                                                 Data


           • Household survey: 2nd and 3rd rounds District level
               household survey

           • DLHS 2 was conducted in 2001-02 (Pre-program period)


           • DLHS 3 was conducted in 2007-08 (Post-program period)


           • Panchayat-level will be collected from Ministry of
               Panchayati Raj, Govt of Bihar
Introduction     Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                      Trend in health outcomes in Bihar




           • ANC utilization, Children’s Immunization and Institutional
               deliveries have increased tremendously from 2002- 2008
               in Bihar

           • Percent increase vary across districts
Introduction




                             10
                             20
                             30
                             40
                             50




                              0
            Bihar
          Araria
     Aurangabad
          Banka
                                                                                             Existing Evidence




      Begusarai
      Bhagalpur
        Bhojpur
           Buxar
     Darbhanga
            Gaya
      Gopalgunj
           Jamui
      Jehanabad
         Kaimur
         Katihar
       Khagaria
     Kishangunj
      Lakhisarai
     Madhepura
     Madhubani
                                                                                             Research Question




        Munger
    Muzaffarpur
        Nalanda
        Nawada
West Champaran
            Patna
East Champaran
           Purnea
          Rohtas
         Saharsa
     Samastipur
                                                                           ANC utilization




           Saran
      Sheikpura
        Sheohar
       Sitamarhi
                                                                                             Empirical Strategy




           Siwan
          Supaul
        Vaishali
                                                                                             Data




               Women receiveing at least
                                             Women receiveing at least




               three visits for ANC DLHS 3
                                             three visits for ANC DLHS 2
                                                                                             Trend
                                                                                             Trend
Introduction




                           10
                           20
                           30
                           40
                           50
                           60
                           70
                           80




                            0
                Bihar
               Araria
        Aurangabad
              Banka
          Begusarai
                                                              Existing Evidence




          Bhagalpur
            Bhojpur
               Buxar
         Darbhanga
                Gaya
          Gopalganj
               Jamui
          Jehanabad
             Kaimur
             Katihar
           Khagaria
         Kishanganj
          Lakhisarai
         Madhepura
         Madhubani
                                                              Research Question




             Munger
        Muzaffarpur
            Nalanda
            Nawada
Pashchim Champaran
                Patna
   Purba Champaran
              Purnia
              Rohtas
             Saharsa
         Samastipur
               Saran
         Sheikhpura
                                          Full Immunization




            Sheohar
           Sitamarhi
                                                              Empirical Strategy




               Siwan
              Supaul
            Vaishali
            Full
                           Full
                                                              Data




            DLHS 3
                           DLHS 2


            Immunization
                           Immunization
                                                              Trend
                                                              Trend
Introduction




                          0
                         10
                         20
                         30
                         40
                         50
                         60
                         70
                 Bihar
               Araria
       Aurangabad
               Banka
                                                                   Existing Evidence




          Begusarai
         Bhagalpur
             Bhojpur
                Buxar
         Darbhanga
                 Gaya
         Gopalganj
                Jamui
         Jehanabad
              Kaimur
              Katihar
           Khagaria
        Kishanganj
                                                                   Research Question




         Lakhisarai
        Madhepura
        Madhubani
             Munger
       Muzaffarpur
            Nalanda
             Nawada
Pashchim Champaran
                 Patna
   Purba Champaran
               Purnia
               Rohtas
                                                                   Empirical Strategy



                                        Institutional Deliveries




             Saharsa
        Samastipur
                 Saran
        Sheikhpura
             Sheohar
           Sitamarhi
                                                                   Data




                Siwan
              Supaul
             Vaishali
        DLHS 3
                         DLHS 2



        l Delivery
                         l Delivery



        Institutiona
                         Institutiona
                                                                   Trend
                                                                   Trend
Introduction     Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                                         Future work




           • To establish the causal effect of women reservation on
               these health outcomes

           • To identify the causes of heterogeneous performance of
               districts in Bihar
Introduction    Existing Evidence   Research Question   Empirical Strategy   Data   Trend   Trend



                                          Thank You




           • We are grateful to the IGC-Bihar for providing financial
               support
Education Policies and Practices: What
 Have We Learnt and the Road Ahead


         Nishith Prakash & Priya Ranjan
       Cornell University & University of California-Irvine




   September 19, 2011 / IGC Growth Week - LSE
Objective of the Paper
• Survey the literature on the effectiveness of
  education policies adopted in different parts of the
  world to improve both the “quantity” and “quality”
  of education.
• Survey the policies adopted by the government of
  Bihar towards improving educational outcomes in
  the state.
   – Place these policies appropriately in our broader
     survey framework to make this work a contextual
     survey.
• Identify best practices in education policies and
  make policy recommendations for Bihar
Status of Education in Bihar:
                Quantity measures
            Out of School Rate (source: ASER)
             Gross Enrollment Ratio (DISE)
              Net Enrollment Ratio (DISE)

In all graphs-
Dashed lines – minimum and maximum of all states with non-missing data
Solid black line – median of all states with non-missing data
Solid red line – Bihar
Status of Education in Bihar
            Out of school rate, by gender
                 Male                      Female
.3
.2
.1
0




     2007     2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010
Status of Education in Bihar
                      Out of school rate, by age group
                       5 to 7                                8 to 10
.3
.2
.1
0




     2007      2008              2009   2010   2007   2008             2009   2010


                      11 to 13                           14 to 16
.3
.2
.1
0




     2007      2008              2009   2010   2007   2008             2009   2010
20
   03          0   50 100 150 200 250
      -   04
20
   04
      -   05
20
   05
      -   06
20
   06
      -   07
20
   07
      -   08
20
   08
      -   09
20
                                    Gross enrolment ratio, primary




   09
      -   10
                                                                     Status of Education in Bihar
20
   03          0   50   100   150
      -   04
20
   04
      -   05
20
   05
      -   06
20
   06
      -   07
20
   07
      -   08
20
   08
      -   09
                                Net enrolment ratio, primary




20
   09
      -   10
                                                               Status of Education in Bihar
Status of Education in Bihar
          Gross enrolment ratio, upper primary
  150
  100
  50
  0
        04


                  05


                            06


                                      07


                                                08


                                                          09


                                                                    10
      -


                   -


                             -


                                       -


                                                 -


                                                           -


                                                                     -
   03


                04


                          05


                                    06


                                              07


                                                        08


                                                                  09
20


             20


                       20


                                 20


                                           20


                                                     20


                                                               20
Status of Education in Bihar
                Net enrolment ratio, upper primary
  80 100
  60
  40
  20
  0
           04


                     05


                               06


                                         07


                                                   08


                                                             09


                                                                       10
      -


                      -


                                -


                                          -


                                                    -


                                                              -


                                                                        -
   03


                   04


                             05


                                       06


                                                 07


                                                           08


                                                                     09
20


                20


                          20


                                    20


                                              20


                                                        20


                                                                  20
Summary of Evidence on Quantity
• Out of school rate higher than the median, but
  declining over time and converging to the
  median
  – Gap with the best performing states significant
• Enrolment ratio at primary level above the
  median starting in 2006-07
  – Near universal primary enrolment
• Enrolment ratio at upper primary level still
  very low (right at the bottom in India)
Status of Education in Bihar:
     Quality measures

    Can read long paragraph,
   Can solve division problem
         (Source: ASER)
Status of Education in Bihar
                       Can read long paragraph, by gender
                                           Male                      Female
0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1




                                 2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010
Status of Education in Bihar
                                                      Can read long paragraph, by class
                                          Std I                       Std II                     Std III                     Std IV
0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1




                                 2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010


                                          Std V                      Std VI                      Std VII                    Std VIII
0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1




                                 2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010
Status of Education in Bihar
Can solve division problem, by gender
                                           Male                      Female
0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1




                                 2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010
Status of Education in Bihar
                                                      Can solve division problem, by class
                                          Std I                        Std II                     Std III                     Std IV
0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1




                                 2007   2008   2009    2010   2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010


                                          Std V                       Std VI                      Std VII                    Std VIII
0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1




                                 2007   2008   2009    2010   2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010   2007   2008   2009   2010
Summary of evidence on quality
• In “reading” Bihar slightly below the median
  – Looking at reading by class, Bihar seems to be
    above the median in all classes
• In math skills, Bihar very close to the median
  – Again, looking at math skills by class, Bihar seems
    to be above the median for all classes
• In both reading and math skills, the gap with
  the best performers is substantial
  – Some evidence of narrowing of gap in recent years
  – In absolute terms, not very satisfactory
Proximate Determinants of Low Schooling Attainment:
                 Schooling Inputs


                   pupil-teacher ratio,
                student-classroom ratio,
               no. of teachers per school,
             % schools with common toilet,
               % schools with girls’ toilet,
          % schools with drinking water facility
                       Source: DISE
Summary of evidence on schooling inputs
• Primary schools
   – Highest pupil-teacher ratio as well as student-
     classroom ratio among Indian states
   – Number of teachers per school low, but has
     become higher than the median
   – % of schools with toilets or separate girls toilet
     well below the median
   – Surprisingly, % of schools with drinking water
     facility has gone down from above median to
     below it
• Somewhat similar story for upper primary schools
Overall summary
• Bihar has made substantial progress on the “quantity” front at
  primary level
• Enrolment at upper primary level still very low
• In reading and math, Bihar’s performance satisfactory in
  relative terms, but weak in absolute terms
   – For example, 30% of students in class VI could not read a
      paragraph taken from a class II textbook
   – 50% of class V students cannot solve a simple division
      problem
• Record on the schooling input front weak in both relative and
  absolute terms
• Quantity – Quality trade off?
20
   03          0   20   40   60   80 100
      -   04
20
   04
      -   05
20
   05
      -   06
20
   06
      -   07
20
   07
      -   08
20
   08
      -   09
                                       Pupil-teacher ratio, primary




20
   09
      -   10
                                                                      Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools
Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools
                  Student-classroom ratio, primary
    80 100
    60
    40
    20
    0
             04


                       05


                                 06


                                           07


                                                     08


                                                               09


                                                                         10
        -


                        -


                                  -


                                            -


                                                      -


                                                                -


                                                                          -
     03


                     04


                               05


                                         06


                                                   07


                                                             08


                                                                       09
  20


                  20


                            20


                                      20


                                                20


                                                          20


                                                                    20
Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools
              No. of teachers per school, primary
    15
    10
    5
    0
         04


                   05


                             06


                                       07


                                                 08


                                                           09


                                                                     10
        -


                    -


                              -


                                        -


                                                  -


                                                            -


                                                                      -
     03


                 04


                           05


                                     06


                                               07


                                                         08


                                                                   09
  20


              20


                        20


                                  20


                                            20


                                                      20


                                                                20
Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools
            Schools with common toilets, primary (%)
    1
    .8
    .6
    .4
    .2
    0
         04


                   05


                             06


                                       07


                                                 08


                                                           09


                                                                     10
        -


                    -


                              -


                                        -


                                                  -


                                                            -


                                                                      -
     03


                 04


                           05


                                     06


                                               07


                                                         08


                                                                   09
  20


              20


                        20


                                  20


                                            20


                                                      20


                                                                20
Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools
            Schools with girls' toilets, primary (%)
    1
    .8
    .6
    .4
    .2
    0
         04


                   05


                             06


                                       07


                                                 08


                                                           09


                                                                     10
        -


                    -


                              -


                                        -


                                                  -


                                                            -


                                                                      -
     03


                 04


                           05


                                     06


                                               07


                                                         08


                                                                   09
  20


              20


                        20


                                  20


                                            20


                                                      20


                                                                20
Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools
            Schools with drinking water facility, primary (%)
    1
    .8
    .6
    .4
    .2
    0
         04


                   05


                             06


                                       07


                                                 08


                                                           09


                                                                     10
        -


                    -


                              -


                                        -


                                                  -


                                                            -


                                                                      -
     03


                 04


                           05


                                     06


                                               07


                                                         08


                                                                   09
  20


              20


                        20


                                  20


                                            20


                                                      20


                                                                20
IGC India – State of Bihar




  Development Priorities of the
   Government of Bihar and
Consequent Research Possibilities
             Aishani Roy
      IGC India – State of Bihar
IGC India – State of Bihar


                 Objective
• Acquaint us with the objectives and goals
  stated by the government in their mission
  documents.

• Try and identify principle areas of research
  that might be of interest to the government.

• Match the identified areas with the
  appropriate themes as stated by the IGC.
IGC India – State of Bihar


                         Themes
                           Water
State Capabilities -                    Power          Roads
                         Resources



                                                             Urba
   Agriculture   Rural
                                                             nizati
   and Allied    Non
                                 Migration                    on
                 Farm


                                     Health       Governance
 Service Delivery &
 Social Inclusion -                                   Food
                                 Education
                                                     security
IGC India – State of Bihar


                             Agenda
• Agriculture
   – Low productivity – role of institutional challenges, minimum
      support price, credit availability, diversification of livelihood
      patterns
• Infrastructure and Urbanization
   – Decentralized Renewable Energy (Husk Power Systems,
      Barefoot Solar Engineers), Captive Power Policy, Roads
• Natural Resources
   – Water Resources Management, Irrigation
• Human Capital
   – Health, Education, Migration
• State Capabilities
   – Rural Development, Food Security
• Governance
Food Security - some numbers
2005                         2011
• National Sample Survey     • Ratio of Purchases to
  and Food Corporation         Entitlements (2011)
  of India data on Offtake
  Diversion Rate             • Nationwide Sample
                               Average – 84%
• Best – Tamil Nadu 7%       • Best – Chhatisgarh,
• National Average – 54%       Andhra Pradesh - >90%
• Bihar – 92%                • Bihar – 45%
IGC India – State of Bihar


       Objectives of Bihar Government
• A state level BPL commission will be constituted which will identify all BPL
  families and redress their grievances with this respect.

• All the BPL families will be provided with food grains or equivalent cash in its
  lieu.

• By running the procurement activities through all the Primary Agricultural
  Cooperatives (PACSs) of the state, the produce of farmers will be procured
  easily, paying the minimum support price to them.

• By strengthening the institutions involved in the activity of procurement as
  well as the PDS, their working capacity and coverage will be adequately
  enhanced.

• Developing the storage capacity in the state, concrete shape will be given to
  full potential of procurement
IGC India – State of Bihar


                 Who are the players?
Clients          Providers                          State

• BPL families   Intermediaries through which the   •Regulation
                 grains reach the targeted
• BPL + APL      households.                        •Monitoring and
families                                            accountability
                 •Individual suppliers through state
• Everyone       instituted Fair Price Shops         •Ensure that grains
(Universalized                                       reach the targeted
PDS)             •Community based supply models households from the FCI
                 (Primary Agricultural               godowns
                 Cooperatives)
                                                     •Ensure that the
                 •Private sellers                    beneficiaries are
                                                     correctly identified
IGC India – State of Bihar


                            Client
• How will the government ensure proper identification of
  the beneficiaries?
   – Recommendations of the N.C Saxena Committee
   – Is there a reliable way to identify poor households based on
     proxy indicators?
• Is targeting divisive?
   – Prevents emergence of united public demand for a functional
     PDS
   – Tamil Nadu – Universalized PDS – consistent good performer
• In the absence of adequate identification measures – what
  are the arguments regarding the feasibility of universalizing
  the PDS?
   – Chhattisgarh – 80% coverage
   – Estimated cost – 1 lakh crore (1.5% of GDP)
IGC India – State of Bihar


                        Provider
Problems        Measures
Duplicity of    Coupons are being bar coded. Bar code will be a
food coupons mix of Customer BPL card,Unique coupon, Dealer
                shop
Illegal Sale at • Coupons for the whole year will be distributed
the                in camps with tight surveillance (Century Rice
distribution       Festivals – Bihar)
level           • Strict accountability measures for errant
                   officials.

Quality of     Coupons can be used to buy essential
food grains    commodities from any shop
Provider - Questions
• Who will be the final seller of subsidized
  essentials to minimize diversion?
  – Single owners through Fair Price Shops ?
  – Community based models (Primary Agriculture
    Cooperatives)? Will procurement and distribution
    of essentials be less prone to leakage, diversion
    and scams?
  – Private stores ? Food coupons can be used to
    purchase from any shop – will it ensure quality of
    grains?
State : Chhattisgarh Model
Role                 Practice
Correctly identify   •Not using UID but entire beneficiary database
beneficiary          digitized by NIC
households and       •Bogus cards are being eliminated through door to
ensure effective     door physical verification
targeting
Ensure that grains   • Does not allot distribution to individuals but to a
reach the targeted   PAC or self help groups
households from      •Use vehicles for transportation of foodgrains
the FCI godowns      directly to PDS shops and message would be
                     circulated to targeted people via sms.

                     •Does not use food coupons
IGC India – State of Bihar


             State - Questions
• The finance minister of Bihar talked about
  emulating the Chhattisgarh model – will that
  mean a shift from the current system of Food
  coupons?

• Success of conditional cash transfers ( Bicycle
  Yojana, Uniform Scheme, kerosene) – replace
  subsidy with cash transfers? (As mentioned in the
  manifesto – ‘’All BPL families will be provided
  with subsidized food grains or equivalent cash in
  its lieu.” )

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Growth Week 2011: Country Session 4 – India-Bihar

  • 1. Role of ICT in Improving the Quality of School Education in Bihar Chirashree Das Gupta and Haridas KPN Presentation for IGC Growth Week: 19-21 September, 2011
  • 2. Background  Method  Design  A Few Preliminary Results  Flagging Issues in Programme Delivery
  • 3. Identification of Hard Spots Category Sample Distribution Percentage of sample No hard spot 1 0 One Subject 3237 82 More than one subject 327 8 Missing data 264 7 Inconsistent response 131 3 Total 3960 100
  • 4. Identification of Hard Spots-Subject wise Subjects Number Percentage Percentage of Percentage Percentage Percentage of of Sample Students of students of Boys of Girls Students having having having difficulty only difficulty in Difficulty in one other in subject or more along with 1-Hindi 92 2 54 46 54 46 2-Urdu 150 4 82 18 54 46 3-Eng 1026 26 75 25 42 58 4-Sans 2070 52 88 12 46 54 5-Maths 388 10 76 24 35 65 6-Science 149 4 63 37 49 51 7- Other 77 2 … … 55 45
  • 5. Role of e-Samarth in Addressing Hard Spots Perception Gaps on Role of e-Samarth Performance Analysis (Exam score) - Perception/ Performance School Authority Teachers Comparison of 3 year exam scores Increased Interest in learning 88 76 Increase in attention span 76 65 Increase in classroom participation 88 48 Increase in classroom interaction 68 63 Correct answers/response 72 46 More clarity on topics taught through CDS 60 39 Improved examination performance 64 44 No significant improvement Improved understanding of the subject 56 41 Increase in enrolment (students changing schools) 15 Note: All figures are in percentages
  • 6. Role of e-Samarth in Addressing Hard Spots Status of Trained Teachers in e-samarth Trained under CAL Trained Outside/ self trained Trained Teachers 85 15 Training Hours Not sure 7 15 hours 7 25 hours 4 30 hours 54 35 hours 13 40 hours 2 50 hours 11 126 hours 2 Note: All figures are in percentages
  • 7. Role of e-Samarth in identifying Hard Spots Status of Trained Teachers in e-samarth Usage of Computer (Days in a week) 7 11 6 20 5 9 4 13 3 4 2 9 1 2 Sometimes 22 Never 11 Usage of Computer/Kyan (computer aid) for Teaching Yes 43 No 57 Note: All figures are in percentages
  • 10. Some Preliminary Observations on Operational Status of e-Samarth School Level Operational Status of e-Samarth Type of model Classification Total BEP BOOT ILFS CAL programme operational on paper 1 2 13 16 CAL programme not operational 2 5 2 9 Total 3 7 15 25 CAL programme operational based on 1 2 11 14 observations on the day of visit
  • 11. Some Preliminary Observations on Operational Status of e-Samarth District wise Operational Status of e-Samarth Districts Bhojpur Muzaffarpur Samastipur Saran Gaya Total BEP 1 CAL programme operational on BOOT 2 16 paper ILFS 1 5 3 3 1 BEP 1 1 CAL programme BOOT 1 2 1 1 9 not operational ILFS 1 0 0 1 Total 5 5 5 5 5 25 CAL programme BEP 1 operational based on BOOT 2 14 observations on the day of visit ILFS 1 5 2 2 1
  • 13. Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background Cycling to School: Increasing High Policy Goals School Enrollment for Girls in Bihar Empirical Strategy Methodology Data Data Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Thank You Thank You University of California-San Diego & Cornell University September 19, 2011 / IGC Growth Week - LSE
  • 14. Motivation Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Increasing school attainment of girls is one of the Motivation Millennium Development Goals Background Policy Improving female education directly contributes to Goals “Inclusive Growth”: Empirical Strategy Growth - by increasing human capital of labor Methodology Data force Data Inclusive - by allowing people to participate in the Thank You growth process Thank You Returns to schooling is approximately 7-10% in India (Duraisamy, 2000; Agrawal, 2011) Despite high economic returns to education in developing countries, there are: Low school completion rates High drop-out rates Students absenteeism
  • 15. Education in Bihar Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Large gender gap in schooling in developing Background countries (for e.g. enrollment, attendance, Policy attainment, dropout etc.) Goals Empirical Strategy In rural Bihar, currently 63% girls are enrolled Methodology Data against 81% boys in the age category 10–14. For Data the age category 15–19, only 27% girls are Thank You admitted against 40% boys (Azam, 2011) Thank You In urban Bihar, currently 81% girls are enrolled against 86% boys in the age category 10–14. For the age category 15–19, only 55% girls are admitted against 57% boys (Azam, 2011) Low attendance and attainment among girls in Bihar
  • 16. Policy Intervention Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background In April 2006, the Government of Bihar headed by Policy the Chief Minister Mr. Nitish Kumar decided to Goals provide bicycles to all girl students studying in Empirical Strategy Methodology Class IX & X Data Data Approximately Rs. 2000 (45 USD) per girl student Thank You was allocated to purchase bicycles Thank You This scheme was called “Mukhyamantri Balika Cycle Yojana” and later “Mukhyamantri Cycle Yojana” Policy Questions Does Cycle Scheme increase girls enrollment? Does Cycle Scheme affect learning outcomes?
  • 17. Policy Intervention Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background In April 2006, the Government of Bihar headed by Policy the Chief Minister Mr. Nitish Kumar decided to Goals provide bicycles to all girl students studying in Empirical Strategy Methodology Class IX & X Data Data Approximately Rs. 2000 (45 USD) per girl student Thank You was allocated to purchase bicycles Thank You This scheme was called “Mukhyamantri Balika Cycle Yojana” and later “Mukhyamantri Cycle Yojana” Policy Questions Does Cycle Scheme increase girls enrollment? Does Cycle Scheme affect learning outcomes?
  • 18. Outcome Measures Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Enrollment Background Does this reduce gender inequality? Policy Does this reduce gap across caste and religion? Goals Empirical Strategy Methodology Learning outcomes (for e.g. share of students Data passing 10th grade, passing with 3rd division, 2nd Data division, 1st division, distinction) Thank You Thank You Increased enrollment may reduce mean scores, but may increase absolute number of girls at higher levels of attainment Possibility of a follow-up survey: Female Empowerment- Use of bicycles has been considered a sign of self-confidence and empowerment in India
  • 19. Difference in Difference Approach Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background Policy Difference in Difference Approach: Goals Single Difference = [(Enroll)Girls Post − (Enroll)Girls ] Pre Empirical Strategy Boys Boys Methodology D-D Bihar = A = [(Enroll)Girls − Post (Enroll)Girls ] − [(Enroll)Post Pre − (Enroll)Pre ] This will control for changes in income, tastes and government policies that was Data targeted towards school going children Data Thank You Thank You Triple Difference Approach: Boys Boys D-D Jharkhand = B = [(Enroll)Girls Post − (Enroll)Girls ] Pre − [(Enroll)Post − (Enroll)Pre ] D-D-D = [A - B] This will control for remaining bias from differential time trend Jharkhand is particularly compelling as it was part of Bihar till 2000 Boarder districts share similar socio-economic conditions
  • 20. Map of Bihar Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background Policy Goals Empirical Strategy Methodology Data Data Thank You Thank You
  • 21. Difference in Difference Design Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Start with D-D type strategy Introduction Motivation Background Policy Goals Empirical Strategy Methodology Data Data Thank You Thank You Enrollment - Boys C D Enrollment/Test Scores B IMPACT A Comparison group trend Enrollment-Girls Pre- Cycle Scheme Post- Cycle Scheme Year = 2006/07 Year = 2009/10
  • 22. Enrollment in Bihar: Class 9 Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background Policy Goals Empirical Strategy Methodology Data Data 240,000 Thank You 220,000 Thank You 200,000 180,000 160,000 Enrollment 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Enrollment (Class 9) Boys Enrollment (Class 9) Girls
  • 23. Enrollment in Bihar: Class 10 Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background Policy Goals Empirical Strategy Methodology Data Data 200,000 Thank You 180,000 Thank You 160,000 140,000 120,000 Enrollment 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Enrollment (Class 10) Boys Enrollment (Class 10) Girls
  • 24. Enrollment in Bihar & Jharkhand: Class 9 Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background Policy Goals 240,000 220,000 Empirical Strategy 200,000 Methodology 180,000 Data 160,000 Data 140,000 Enrollment 120,000 Thank You Thank You 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Enrollment (Class 9) Boys_JH Enrollment (Class 9) Girls_JH Enrollment (Class 9) Boys_Bihar Enrollment (Class 9) Girls_Bihar
  • 25. Enrollment in Bihar & Jharkhand: Class 10 Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background 200,000 Policy Goals 180,000 Empirical Strategy 160,000 Methodology 140,000 Data 120,000 Data Enrollment 100,000 Thank You Thank You 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 Enrollment (Class 10) Boys_JH Enrollment (Class 10) Girls_JH Enrollment (Class 10) Boys_Bihar Enrollment (Class 10) Girls_Bihar
  • 26. Data work so far Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Ministry of HRD, Government of Bihar Motivation We have enrollment data for class 9 and 10 from Background 26 districts (2 incomplete) in Bihar, and 9 districts Policy Goals (3 incomplete) in Jharkhand from 2002/03 to Empirical Strategy 2009/10 Methodology District names in Bihar that have not sent Data data: Aurangabad, Begusarai, Bhojpur, Data Gopalganj, Khagaria, Kaimur, Lakhisarai, Patna, Thank You Thank You Purnea, Muzaffarpur, Saran, Siwan District names in Bihar with incomplete data: Vaishali, Dharbhanga District names in Jharkhand with incomplete data: Sahibganj, Palamu, Godda Examination Board Data from Bihar and Jharkhand Detailed test scores data at individual level, school level, and district level from 2004 to 2010
  • 27. Thank You Karthik Muralidharan & Nishith Prakash Introduction Motivation Background Policy Goals Empirical Strategy We are grateful to the IGC-Bihar for providing Methodology Data financial support Data We are grateful to Government of Bihar and Thank You Thank You especially Ministry of HRD without whom we could not have started this project
  • 28. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Women Reservation in Bihar and Children’s Health Outcomes Santosh Kumar & Nishith Prakash University of Washington & Cornell University Sep 19, 2011 /IGC Growth Week (LSE) India-Bihar Country Session
  • 29. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Motivation • About 50 percent of world’s population are women • However, their participation in political process is far below than parity • As per the latest estimate, women are accounted for approximately 18.4% of parliamentarians worldwide (IPU, 2008) • Barriers to political participation includes:Institutional barriers; Cultural norms; Voter discrimination; Low education
  • 30. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Motivation • Many countries have adopted electoral gender quotas to prevent the political under-representation of women • Decentralization of governance • Gender or minority reservation of political elected positions is to improve targeting of developmental and welfare programs to women and vulnerable groups.
  • 31. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Context • In 1993, India introduced quota-based political reservations for women in rural areas (73rd Constitutional Amendment) • One of the broad objective was- • To promote gender equality in human development by making rural service provision and local governance “inclusive” and “responsive” to the needs of women
  • 32. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Efficacy of Gender quotas • The efficacy of these policies is still disputed by many policy makers around the world • Pro: • Such policies needed to correct pre-existing gender inequalities • Better targeting of development programs • Against: • Undemocratic, less effective leaders, and elite capturing • More evidence needed to truly evaluate the impact of affirmative policies
  • 33. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Existing Evidence • Chattopadhyay & Duflo - Women leaders are more likely to invest in drinking water facilities across rural India • Some recent papers report public good investments by female leaders either on non-water related goods (Munshi and Rosenzweig, 2008) • Bardhan et al. (2010) exploit within-village (over time) variation in reservation in West Bengal and find no impact of female reservation • Beamen et al. insignificant effect on the quality of public good (water, education, transport, fair price shop, public health facilities)
  • 34. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Research Question • Does women reservation in panchayats in Bihar improved health outcomes? • Studies the effect of political reservations in local governments in favor of women • Specifically, do districts with more female leaders perform better compared to districts with fewer female leaders? • Why Bihar? • Geographic coverage: No other study has covered Bihar so far; and it is important to examine whether findings of existing studies are specific to their respective geographic contexts.
  • 35. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Women Reservation in Bihar • Bihar has been a laggard in implementing 73rd Constitutional Amendment • The first panchayat election was held in April 2001 after a gap of 23 years • Fifty per cent seats are reserved for women since the 2006 panchayat election • No reservation in 2001 panchayat election for ”Ekal” or ”Solitary” position
  • 36. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Outcome Measures • Most of the existing studies have analyzed availability of public goods and services as the outcomes measure • Very few of them have really looked at utilization of these public goods and services as outcomes • Outcomes analyzed in this study: • Health care utilization: Ante-natal care (ANC 4) • Children vaccination (DPT3, Measles), Institutional deliveries
  • 37. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend How to measure the causal impact? • Policy was implemented state-wide, in all districts of Bihar • All districts are treated, none in control • Use Jharkhand districts or UP border districts as control • Use the variation in the program intensity
  • 38. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Empirical Strategy- DID Design 1: Employ double-difference (DID) 2007-08 (DLHS 3) 2001-02 (DLHS 2) Difference Jharkhand (Control) A B A- B Bihar (Treatment) C D C-D Difference C-A D-B DID: C-D- (A-B) Design 2: Exploit the variation in policy intensity
  • 39. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Data • Household survey: 2nd and 3rd rounds District level household survey • DLHS 2 was conducted in 2001-02 (Pre-program period) • DLHS 3 was conducted in 2007-08 (Post-program period) • Panchayat-level will be collected from Ministry of Panchayati Raj, Govt of Bihar
  • 40. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Trend in health outcomes in Bihar • ANC utilization, Children’s Immunization and Institutional deliveries have increased tremendously from 2002- 2008 in Bihar • Percent increase vary across districts
  • 41. Introduction 10 20 30 40 50 0 Bihar Araria Aurangabad Banka Existing Evidence Begusarai Bhagalpur Bhojpur Buxar Darbhanga Gaya Gopalgunj Jamui Jehanabad Kaimur Katihar Khagaria Kishangunj Lakhisarai Madhepura Madhubani Research Question Munger Muzaffarpur Nalanda Nawada West Champaran Patna East Champaran Purnea Rohtas Saharsa Samastipur ANC utilization Saran Sheikpura Sheohar Sitamarhi Empirical Strategy Siwan Supaul Vaishali Data Women receiveing at least Women receiveing at least three visits for ANC DLHS 3 three visits for ANC DLHS 2 Trend Trend
  • 42. Introduction 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 0 Bihar Araria Aurangabad Banka Begusarai Existing Evidence Bhagalpur Bhojpur Buxar Darbhanga Gaya Gopalganj Jamui Jehanabad Kaimur Katihar Khagaria Kishanganj Lakhisarai Madhepura Madhubani Research Question Munger Muzaffarpur Nalanda Nawada Pashchim Champaran Patna Purba Champaran Purnia Rohtas Saharsa Samastipur Saran Sheikhpura Full Immunization Sheohar Sitamarhi Empirical Strategy Siwan Supaul Vaishali Full Full Data DLHS 3 DLHS 2 Immunization Immunization Trend Trend
  • 43. Introduction 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Bihar Araria Aurangabad Banka Existing Evidence Begusarai Bhagalpur Bhojpur Buxar Darbhanga Gaya Gopalganj Jamui Jehanabad Kaimur Katihar Khagaria Kishanganj Research Question Lakhisarai Madhepura Madhubani Munger Muzaffarpur Nalanda Nawada Pashchim Champaran Patna Purba Champaran Purnia Rohtas Empirical Strategy Institutional Deliveries Saharsa Samastipur Saran Sheikhpura Sheohar Sitamarhi Data Siwan Supaul Vaishali DLHS 3 DLHS 2 l Delivery l Delivery Institutiona Institutiona Trend Trend
  • 44. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Future work • To establish the causal effect of women reservation on these health outcomes • To identify the causes of heterogeneous performance of districts in Bihar
  • 45. Introduction Existing Evidence Research Question Empirical Strategy Data Trend Trend Thank You • We are grateful to the IGC-Bihar for providing financial support
  • 46. Education Policies and Practices: What Have We Learnt and the Road Ahead Nishith Prakash & Priya Ranjan Cornell University & University of California-Irvine September 19, 2011 / IGC Growth Week - LSE
  • 47. Objective of the Paper • Survey the literature on the effectiveness of education policies adopted in different parts of the world to improve both the “quantity” and “quality” of education. • Survey the policies adopted by the government of Bihar towards improving educational outcomes in the state. – Place these policies appropriately in our broader survey framework to make this work a contextual survey. • Identify best practices in education policies and make policy recommendations for Bihar
  • 48. Status of Education in Bihar: Quantity measures Out of School Rate (source: ASER) Gross Enrollment Ratio (DISE) Net Enrollment Ratio (DISE) In all graphs- Dashed lines – minimum and maximum of all states with non-missing data Solid black line – median of all states with non-missing data Solid red line – Bihar
  • 49. Status of Education in Bihar Out of school rate, by gender Male Female .3 .2 .1 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 50. Status of Education in Bihar Out of school rate, by age group 5 to 7 8 to 10 .3 .2 .1 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 11 to 13 14 to 16 .3 .2 .1 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 51. 20 03 0 50 100 150 200 250 - 04 20 04 - 05 20 05 - 06 20 06 - 07 20 07 - 08 20 08 - 09 20 Gross enrolment ratio, primary 09 - 10 Status of Education in Bihar
  • 52. 20 03 0 50 100 150 - 04 20 04 - 05 20 05 - 06 20 06 - 07 20 07 - 08 20 08 - 09 Net enrolment ratio, primary 20 09 - 10 Status of Education in Bihar
  • 53. Status of Education in Bihar Gross enrolment ratio, upper primary 150 100 50 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 - - - - - - - 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
  • 54. Status of Education in Bihar Net enrolment ratio, upper primary 80 100 60 40 20 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 - - - - - - - 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
  • 55. Summary of Evidence on Quantity • Out of school rate higher than the median, but declining over time and converging to the median – Gap with the best performing states significant • Enrolment ratio at primary level above the median starting in 2006-07 – Near universal primary enrolment • Enrolment ratio at upper primary level still very low (right at the bottom in India)
  • 56. Status of Education in Bihar: Quality measures Can read long paragraph, Can solve division problem (Source: ASER)
  • 57. Status of Education in Bihar Can read long paragraph, by gender Male Female 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 58. Status of Education in Bihar Can read long paragraph, by class Std I Std II Std III Std IV 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 Std V Std VI Std VII Std VIII 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 59. Status of Education in Bihar Can solve division problem, by gender Male Female 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 60. Status of Education in Bihar Can solve division problem, by class Std I Std II Std III Std IV 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 Std V Std VI Std VII Std VIII 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 61. Summary of evidence on quality • In “reading” Bihar slightly below the median – Looking at reading by class, Bihar seems to be above the median in all classes • In math skills, Bihar very close to the median – Again, looking at math skills by class, Bihar seems to be above the median for all classes • In both reading and math skills, the gap with the best performers is substantial – Some evidence of narrowing of gap in recent years – In absolute terms, not very satisfactory
  • 62. Proximate Determinants of Low Schooling Attainment: Schooling Inputs pupil-teacher ratio, student-classroom ratio, no. of teachers per school, % schools with common toilet, % schools with girls’ toilet, % schools with drinking water facility Source: DISE
  • 63. Summary of evidence on schooling inputs • Primary schools – Highest pupil-teacher ratio as well as student- classroom ratio among Indian states – Number of teachers per school low, but has become higher than the median – % of schools with toilets or separate girls toilet well below the median – Surprisingly, % of schools with drinking water facility has gone down from above median to below it • Somewhat similar story for upper primary schools
  • 64. Overall summary • Bihar has made substantial progress on the “quantity” front at primary level • Enrolment at upper primary level still very low • In reading and math, Bihar’s performance satisfactory in relative terms, but weak in absolute terms – For example, 30% of students in class VI could not read a paragraph taken from a class II textbook – 50% of class V students cannot solve a simple division problem • Record on the schooling input front weak in both relative and absolute terms • Quantity – Quality trade off?
  • 65. 20 03 0 20 40 60 80 100 - 04 20 04 - 05 20 05 - 06 20 06 - 07 20 07 - 08 20 08 - 09 Pupil-teacher ratio, primary 20 09 - 10 Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools
  • 66. Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools Student-classroom ratio, primary 80 100 60 40 20 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 - - - - - - - 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
  • 67. Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools No. of teachers per school, primary 15 10 5 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 - - - - - - - 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
  • 68. Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools Schools with common toilets, primary (%) 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 - - - - - - - 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
  • 69. Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools Schools with girls' toilets, primary (%) 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 - - - - - - - 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
  • 70. Schooling Inputs: Primary Schools Schools with drinking water facility, primary (%) 1 .8 .6 .4 .2 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 - - - - - - - 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
  • 71. IGC India – State of Bihar Development Priorities of the Government of Bihar and Consequent Research Possibilities Aishani Roy IGC India – State of Bihar
  • 72. IGC India – State of Bihar Objective • Acquaint us with the objectives and goals stated by the government in their mission documents. • Try and identify principle areas of research that might be of interest to the government. • Match the identified areas with the appropriate themes as stated by the IGC.
  • 73. IGC India – State of Bihar Themes Water State Capabilities - Power Roads Resources Urba Agriculture Rural nizati and Allied Non Migration on Farm Health Governance Service Delivery & Social Inclusion - Food Education security
  • 74. IGC India – State of Bihar Agenda • Agriculture – Low productivity – role of institutional challenges, minimum support price, credit availability, diversification of livelihood patterns • Infrastructure and Urbanization – Decentralized Renewable Energy (Husk Power Systems, Barefoot Solar Engineers), Captive Power Policy, Roads • Natural Resources – Water Resources Management, Irrigation • Human Capital – Health, Education, Migration • State Capabilities – Rural Development, Food Security • Governance
  • 75. Food Security - some numbers 2005 2011 • National Sample Survey • Ratio of Purchases to and Food Corporation Entitlements (2011) of India data on Offtake Diversion Rate • Nationwide Sample Average – 84% • Best – Tamil Nadu 7% • Best – Chhatisgarh, • National Average – 54% Andhra Pradesh - >90% • Bihar – 92% • Bihar – 45%
  • 76. IGC India – State of Bihar Objectives of Bihar Government • A state level BPL commission will be constituted which will identify all BPL families and redress their grievances with this respect. • All the BPL families will be provided with food grains or equivalent cash in its lieu. • By running the procurement activities through all the Primary Agricultural Cooperatives (PACSs) of the state, the produce of farmers will be procured easily, paying the minimum support price to them. • By strengthening the institutions involved in the activity of procurement as well as the PDS, their working capacity and coverage will be adequately enhanced. • Developing the storage capacity in the state, concrete shape will be given to full potential of procurement
  • 77. IGC India – State of Bihar Who are the players? Clients Providers State • BPL families Intermediaries through which the •Regulation grains reach the targeted • BPL + APL households. •Monitoring and families accountability •Individual suppliers through state • Everyone instituted Fair Price Shops •Ensure that grains (Universalized reach the targeted PDS) •Community based supply models households from the FCI (Primary Agricultural godowns Cooperatives) •Ensure that the •Private sellers beneficiaries are correctly identified
  • 78. IGC India – State of Bihar Client • How will the government ensure proper identification of the beneficiaries? – Recommendations of the N.C Saxena Committee – Is there a reliable way to identify poor households based on proxy indicators? • Is targeting divisive? – Prevents emergence of united public demand for a functional PDS – Tamil Nadu – Universalized PDS – consistent good performer • In the absence of adequate identification measures – what are the arguments regarding the feasibility of universalizing the PDS? – Chhattisgarh – 80% coverage – Estimated cost – 1 lakh crore (1.5% of GDP)
  • 79. IGC India – State of Bihar Provider Problems Measures Duplicity of Coupons are being bar coded. Bar code will be a food coupons mix of Customer BPL card,Unique coupon, Dealer shop Illegal Sale at • Coupons for the whole year will be distributed the in camps with tight surveillance (Century Rice distribution Festivals – Bihar) level • Strict accountability measures for errant officials. Quality of Coupons can be used to buy essential food grains commodities from any shop
  • 80. Provider - Questions • Who will be the final seller of subsidized essentials to minimize diversion? – Single owners through Fair Price Shops ? – Community based models (Primary Agriculture Cooperatives)? Will procurement and distribution of essentials be less prone to leakage, diversion and scams? – Private stores ? Food coupons can be used to purchase from any shop – will it ensure quality of grains?
  • 81. State : Chhattisgarh Model Role Practice Correctly identify •Not using UID but entire beneficiary database beneficiary digitized by NIC households and •Bogus cards are being eliminated through door to ensure effective door physical verification targeting Ensure that grains • Does not allot distribution to individuals but to a reach the targeted PAC or self help groups households from •Use vehicles for transportation of foodgrains the FCI godowns directly to PDS shops and message would be circulated to targeted people via sms. •Does not use food coupons
  • 82. IGC India – State of Bihar State - Questions • The finance minister of Bihar talked about emulating the Chhattisgarh model – will that mean a shift from the current system of Food coupons? • Success of conditional cash transfers ( Bicycle Yojana, Uniform Scheme, kerosene) – replace subsidy with cash transfers? (As mentioned in the manifesto – ‘’All BPL families will be provided with subsidized food grains or equivalent cash in its lieu.” )