21. Information about shipment Ship Carrier: UPS Tracking Number: 1ZY3759X0359299933 Status: Delivered Location: Porch Order #: 104-7638357-7363431 Shipment Date: December 5, 2009 Destination: BETHESDA, MD, US Track your package Date Time Location Event Details December 8, 2009 05:12:00 PM Burtonsville - Montg MD US Delivered December 8, 2009 01:56:00 AM Burtonsville MD US Arrival Scan December 8, 2009 01:46:00 AM Laurel MD US Out for delivery December 8, 2009 01:46:00 AM Burtonsville MD US Arrival Scan December 7, 2009 09:32:00 PM Laurel MD US Arrival Scan December 7, 2009 07:42:00 PM Harrisburg PA US Departure Scan December 6, 2009 01:42:00 PM Harrisburg PA US Shipment received by carrier December 5, 2009 01:12:27 PM Lewisberry PA US Shipment has left seller facility and is in transit
Implications for masterplan/demand assessment Approach to be followed Identify rail services that have a role in transport system – can recoup their costs For other services initiate development of exit strategies
Very preliminary simple approach Key aspects Investment in rail has very long life and can not be moved Institutional transformation Potential and performance is impacted by government investment and pricing policies competition of other modes Essential for Government to get it right – policies & infrastr investment
Focus of market assessment 4 main lines of business General approach to be followed Identify services that cover costs and can play a role in transport system Focus for transport tasks that do not cover costs exit strategies how to serve transport needs at lower cost
Executive yields 307 distance 434 Business yields 188 distance 389 Economy yields 64 distance 414 Local yields 41 distance 62
If siding to siding transport, rail is only lower cost at 5 million tonnes If pick up and delivery cost, road remains lower cost even at 5 million tonnes
Sector policies Price regulation Subsidies for economy passengers Indirectly capacity limitations on economy Market entry Infrastructure charging Relationship between government and railway company Policies on grounds of external costs of transport European studies suggest upper limit for increase in cost ~ 25 % Impact of policies on modal shares Need for level playing field Important question. Will policies change in future
Objective of market assessment Java passenger & freight services basis for investment in infrastructure by Govt/infrastructure operator At level of individual facility At level of corridor At level of subsystem or total system Basis for investment in rolling stock and planning of operations by PTKA/train operator Basis for coordination between infrastructure operator and train operator
Context Railway is essentially a mining railway For historical reasons vertically separated Traffic (million tonnes/km): 1991: 1,873; 2008: 3,800 In principle easier than Java passenger & freight In practice appears to be not so simple – transaction costs 3 parties