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Indonesian Rail Masterplan  Market Assessment  The role of rail in the Indonesian transport system
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Approach to Market Assessment  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The role of rail in the transport system ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Overview of performance Line of business % of revenues Java main line passenger services 45 South Sumatra Coal 27 Jabotabek passenger services 9 Java freight 8 Java local passenger services 4 Other 7 Total 100
Java main line passenger passenger/km and yield ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Jabotabek passenger services passenger/km and yield ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Java freight services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
South Sumatra coal traffic ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New coal railway lines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strengths of rail compared to road Impact of volume and distance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Total volume (Million tonnes 2008) Hauling distance (km) Java   (mix of general cargo) 4.3 258 Suralaya coa l (block train) 8.5 405
 
Rail versus road - impact of volume  500 km haul - Rp/tonne/km ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Road versus rail - impact of distance  250 km haul - Rp/tonne/km ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Theory and reality why is rail carrying traffic that would be lower cost by road ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How to ensure that rail plays its role performs the tasks for which it is best suited ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
Information about shipment       Ship Carrier:  UPS Tracking Number:   1ZY3759X0359299933 Status:  Delivered Location:  Porch Order #:  104-7638357-7363431 Shipment Date:  December 5, 2009 Destination:  BETHESDA, MD, US Track your package       Date Time Location Event Details December 8, 2009 05:12:00 PM Burtonsville - Montg MD US Delivered December 8, 2009 01:56:00 AM Burtonsville MD US Arrival Scan December 8, 2009 01:46:00 AM Laurel MD US Out for delivery December 8, 2009 01:46:00 AM Burtonsville MD US Arrival Scan December 7, 2009 09:32:00 PM Laurel MD US Arrival Scan December 7, 2009 07:42:00 PM Harrisburg PA US Departure Scan December 6, 2009 01:42:00 PM Harrisburg PA US Shipment received by carrier December 5, 2009 01:12:27 PM Lewisberry PA US Shipment has left seller facility and is in transit
Java commercial passenger services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
Java economy passenger services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Java freight services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Jabotabek passenger services suburban commuter rail ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Jabotabek passenger services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Integrated land use and transport planning ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Concept for railway catchment area
South Sumatra coal ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Kalimantan new (coal) railway lines  (1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New (coal) railway lines  (2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Indonesian Rail Masterplan Market Assessment

  • 1. Indonesian Rail Masterplan Market Assessment The role of rail in the Indonesian transport system
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  • 21. Information about shipment      Ship Carrier: UPS Tracking Number: 1ZY3759X0359299933 Status: Delivered Location: Porch Order #: 104-7638357-7363431 Shipment Date: December 5, 2009 Destination: BETHESDA, MD, US Track your package      Date Time Location Event Details December 8, 2009 05:12:00 PM Burtonsville - Montg MD US Delivered December 8, 2009 01:56:00 AM Burtonsville MD US Arrival Scan December 8, 2009 01:46:00 AM Laurel MD US Out for delivery December 8, 2009 01:46:00 AM Burtonsville MD US Arrival Scan December 7, 2009 09:32:00 PM Laurel MD US Arrival Scan December 7, 2009 07:42:00 PM Harrisburg PA US Departure Scan December 6, 2009 01:42:00 PM Harrisburg PA US Shipment received by carrier December 5, 2009 01:12:27 PM Lewisberry PA US Shipment has left seller facility and is in transit
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  • 30. Concept for railway catchment area
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Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Implications for masterplan/demand assessment Approach to be followed Identify rail services that have a role in transport system – can recoup their costs For other services initiate development of exit strategies
  2. Very preliminary simple approach Key aspects Investment in rail has very long life and can not be moved Institutional transformation Potential and performance is impacted by government investment and pricing policies competition of other modes Essential for Government to get it right – policies & infrastr investment
  3. Focus of market assessment 4 main lines of business General approach to be followed Identify services that cover costs and can play a role in transport system Focus for transport tasks that do not cover costs exit strategies how to serve transport needs at lower cost
  4. Executive yields 307 distance 434 Business yields 188 distance 389 Economy yields 64 distance 414 Local yields 41 distance 62
  5. Yield distance Commercial 250 37 Economy AC 167 32 Economy 43 30
  6. If siding to siding transport, rail is only lower cost at 5 million tonnes If pick up and delivery cost, road remains lower cost even at 5 million tonnes
  7. Sector policies Price regulation Subsidies for economy passengers Indirectly capacity limitations on economy Market entry Infrastructure charging Relationship between government and railway company Policies on grounds of external costs of transport European studies suggest upper limit for increase in cost ~ 25 % Impact of policies on modal shares Need for level playing field Important question. Will policies change in future
  8. Objective of market assessment Java passenger & freight services basis for investment in infrastructure by Govt/infrastructure operator At level of individual facility At level of corridor At level of subsystem or total system Basis for investment in rolling stock and planning of operations by PTKA/train operator Basis for coordination between infrastructure operator and train operator
  9. Context Railway is essentially a mining railway For historical reasons vertically separated Traffic (million tonnes/km): 1991: 1,873; 2008: 3,800 In principle easier than Java passenger & freight In practice appears to be not so simple – transaction costs 3 parties