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SOUTH-SOUTH JURISDICTIONAL AND NESTED
REDD+ EXCHANGE WORKSHOP
José Julián González Arenas
Thematic Coordinator
Reference Levels Construction
IDEAM
June 13-15 de 2013
Manaus - Brazil
CONTENTS
 General Institutional framework (and integration
with national processes).
Grandparenting of projects (and subnational jurisdictions in
future national frameworks).
Subnational (≈Jurisdictional) boundary definitions.
 Reference Levels construction pilot in the northern
part of the Colombian Amazon:
General institutional
framework (and integration
with national processes)
Source: MADS, 2012.
Institutional Framework
Climate Change Policy and REDD+
Colombian Climate Change Policy
Low Carbon Development Strategy Climate Change Adaptation National Plan
Financial strategy for Disasters protection
National REDD+ Strategy
Sectorial Mitigation actions
Adaptation based on Ecosystems
Sectorial / Territorials
Adaptation actions
Interoperability
Institutional Framework
Climate Change Policy and REDD+
Subnational Reference Levels Areas
Source: MADS, 2012.
 Recognizes regional differences that occur within the country
(deforestation, socio-economic and ecological dynamics)
National Carbon accounting
MRV Robust
•National
•Regional
•Local (Community Based)
National Forest
Inventory
- Permanent plot network for Carbon.
Reference levels
- Subnational reference levels development.
 Starting implentation of Forest and
Carbon monitoring system for
Colombia.
 Deforestation monitoring (1990-
2010-[2012])
 Carbon Stocks estimation in
Natural forests (2010-[2012])
Advance level
¿What are our advances?
 Conceptual and Geo-statistic
framework for NFI.
 26 permanent plots for Carbon
monitoring.
 Pilot study for Subnational
Reference levels development
(Northern Colombian Amazon).
Institutional Framework
Climate Change Policy and REDD+
Reference Levels construction
pilot in the northern part of the
Colombian Amazon
Pilot area: Boundary definitions
Delimitation criteria:
¿What limit should be
used?
1. Municipality limit.
2. Indigenous people
reserves (Resguardos)
limits.
Total area: 7,608,757 ha
Forest area (2010): 5,201,388 ha
.
Subnational approach: Boundary definitions
Pros and Cons assessment of existing subnational boundaries
Evaluation criteria: number, aggregation potential, governance,
deforestation dynamics representativeness, perverse incentives
from carbon benefits, etc.
• CAR are legally constituted and part of
the national government (respond to
the Ministry of Environment).
• CAR limits mostly respond to
environmental/ecosystem patterns.
• Manageable number after CAR’s
aggregation (33 to 9) using subnational
Climate Change Nodes.
• Diminished risk of perverse incentives
derived from carbon benefits.
• Nested approach: Reference levels
will be established for each one of
the subnational areas and will
eventually integrate to a national
reference level. Priority to Amazon
region.
Subnational approach: Boundary definitions
Pilot area: Articulation with local REDD+ initiatives and
national monitoring systems
Articulation criteria:
¿How to articulate with
local and national
levels?
1. National Monitoring
System (≈MRV)
interoperability
(feedback between
levels)
2. Joint work with REDD+
initiatives (Methods,
data) and regionalized
modeling approach
(grandparenting
issues).
REFERENCE
LEVEL
DRIVERS
EMISSION/REMOVAL
FACTORS
ACTIVITY DATA
Pilot area: Methodological approach and MRV
articulation
Satellite imagery
processing and analysis
Biomass-Carbon plots
establishment
Drivers assessment
SPATIAL
DEFORESTATION
MODELLING/SIMULATION
HISTORIAL INFORMATION
FUTURE TRENDS
NATIONAL FOREST AND CARBON MONITORING SYSTEM (IDEAM)
NATIONAL AND SUBNATIONAL STUDIES
Pilot area: spatial simulation
(deforestation)
IDRISI - LCM DINAMICA
Prediction
2012
Landcover
2012
Landcover
2005
VALIDATION
Landcover
2000
TRAINING
Jurisdictional and
Nested REDD+ (JNR) –
Subnational level
REDD VM0015
(Pedroni 2011) –
Project level
PILOT
REFERENCE
LEVEL
METHODS
Harmonization exercise
SPECIFICGENERAL
International guidelines and learned lessons
from other countries
INPUTS PROCEDURES
Pilot area: Methodological issues regarding
articulation with local initiatives
• Satellite imagery.
• baseline area boundaries definition.
• Types and carbon content of forests (tC ha-1).
• Definition of categories of use and land cover
(LULUCF classes).
• Classification of deforestation.
• Validation of land cover maps.
• Characterization of agents and drivers of
deforestation.
• Leakage assessment.
• Deforestation Projection.
Pilot area: Methodological issues regarding
articulation with local initiatives
Grandparentingissues
• Scale interoperability and
accepted uncertainty in
validation assessment.
• Subnational leakage
assessment.
• Projection approach (historical
average vs. modeled
scenarios).
Next steps
• Defining other Reference Levels specific feedbacks with MRV and local
REDD+ Initiatives.
• Pilot results by July of 2013.
• Solve specific technical issues regarding modeling (including leakage)
and validation processes.
• Methodological approach and REL for the Amazonian subnational area
by January of 2014. Order of other areas to be defined by feasibility
study.
• Replicability assessment for the proposed methodological approach.
• Improve national technical capabilities in Reference Levels construction
and updating.
• Obtain additional funding for the REL of the rest of the subnational areas.
1. Memoria Técnica “Cuantificación de la tasa de
deforestación histórica nacional a escalas gruesa
y fina”
http://goo.gl/zLQUz
2. Protocolo de "Procesamiento Digital de
Imágenes, para la cuantificación de la
deforestación en Colombia. Nivel Nacional".
http://goo.gl/0YgFt
3. Protocolo de "Procesamiento Digital de
Imágenes de sensores remotos para la
cuantificación de la deforestación. Nivel
Subnacional".
http://goo.gl/kjhbv
Publications: Activity data
Publications: Emission/Removal factors
1. Estimación de las reservas potenciales de carbono
almacenadas en la biomasa aérea en los bosques naturales
de Colombia.
http://goo.gl/eORyh
2. Estimación de las reservas actuales (2010) de carbono
almacenadas en la biomasa aérea en los bosques naturales
de Colombia.
http://goo.gl/1q4WC
3. Selección y validación de modelos para la estimación de la
biomasa aérea en los bosques naturales de Colombia.
http://goo.gl/X1F1O
4. Protocolo para la estimación nacional y subnacional de
biomasa –carbono en Colombia.
http://goo.gl/1XrFl
5. Madera muerta: un reservorio de carbono de bosques
naturales de Colombia.
http://goo.gl/gEfr8
6. Estimación de las emisiones de dióxido de carbono
generadas por deforestación durante el período 2005-2010.
http://goo.gl/bKef8
Publications: Deforestation simulation,
Emission/Removal factors
"Análisis de tendencias y patrones espaciales de
deforestación en Colombia".
http://goo.gl/qTyN8
http://www.biogeosciences.net/9/2683/2012/bg-9-2683-
2012.pdf
“High-resolution mapping of forest carbon stocks in
the Colombian Amazon".
For more information:
jjgonzalez@ideam.gov.co
informacionredd@ideam.gov.co
! Thank you !

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Colombia presentacion taller_manaos_14062013_v4

  • 1. SOUTH-SOUTH JURISDICTIONAL AND NESTED REDD+ EXCHANGE WORKSHOP José Julián González Arenas Thematic Coordinator Reference Levels Construction IDEAM June 13-15 de 2013 Manaus - Brazil
  • 2. CONTENTS  General Institutional framework (and integration with national processes). Grandparenting of projects (and subnational jurisdictions in future national frameworks). Subnational (≈Jurisdictional) boundary definitions.  Reference Levels construction pilot in the northern part of the Colombian Amazon:
  • 3. General institutional framework (and integration with national processes)
  • 4. Source: MADS, 2012. Institutional Framework Climate Change Policy and REDD+ Colombian Climate Change Policy Low Carbon Development Strategy Climate Change Adaptation National Plan Financial strategy for Disasters protection National REDD+ Strategy Sectorial Mitigation actions Adaptation based on Ecosystems Sectorial / Territorials Adaptation actions
  • 5. Interoperability Institutional Framework Climate Change Policy and REDD+ Subnational Reference Levels Areas Source: MADS, 2012.  Recognizes regional differences that occur within the country (deforestation, socio-economic and ecological dynamics)
  • 6. National Carbon accounting MRV Robust •National •Regional •Local (Community Based) National Forest Inventory - Permanent plot network for Carbon. Reference levels - Subnational reference levels development.  Starting implentation of Forest and Carbon monitoring system for Colombia.  Deforestation monitoring (1990- 2010-[2012])  Carbon Stocks estimation in Natural forests (2010-[2012]) Advance level ¿What are our advances?  Conceptual and Geo-statistic framework for NFI.  26 permanent plots for Carbon monitoring.  Pilot study for Subnational Reference levels development (Northern Colombian Amazon). Institutional Framework Climate Change Policy and REDD+
  • 7. Reference Levels construction pilot in the northern part of the Colombian Amazon
  • 8. Pilot area: Boundary definitions Delimitation criteria: ¿What limit should be used? 1. Municipality limit. 2. Indigenous people reserves (Resguardos) limits. Total area: 7,608,757 ha Forest area (2010): 5,201,388 ha
  • 9. . Subnational approach: Boundary definitions Pros and Cons assessment of existing subnational boundaries Evaluation criteria: number, aggregation potential, governance, deforestation dynamics representativeness, perverse incentives from carbon benefits, etc.
  • 10. • CAR are legally constituted and part of the national government (respond to the Ministry of Environment). • CAR limits mostly respond to environmental/ecosystem patterns. • Manageable number after CAR’s aggregation (33 to 9) using subnational Climate Change Nodes. • Diminished risk of perverse incentives derived from carbon benefits. • Nested approach: Reference levels will be established for each one of the subnational areas and will eventually integrate to a national reference level. Priority to Amazon region. Subnational approach: Boundary definitions
  • 11. Pilot area: Articulation with local REDD+ initiatives and national monitoring systems Articulation criteria: ¿How to articulate with local and national levels? 1. National Monitoring System (≈MRV) interoperability (feedback between levels) 2. Joint work with REDD+ initiatives (Methods, data) and regionalized modeling approach (grandparenting issues).
  • 12. REFERENCE LEVEL DRIVERS EMISSION/REMOVAL FACTORS ACTIVITY DATA Pilot area: Methodological approach and MRV articulation Satellite imagery processing and analysis Biomass-Carbon plots establishment Drivers assessment SPATIAL DEFORESTATION MODELLING/SIMULATION HISTORIAL INFORMATION FUTURE TRENDS NATIONAL FOREST AND CARBON MONITORING SYSTEM (IDEAM) NATIONAL AND SUBNATIONAL STUDIES
  • 13. Pilot area: spatial simulation (deforestation) IDRISI - LCM DINAMICA Prediction 2012 Landcover 2012 Landcover 2005 VALIDATION Landcover 2000 TRAINING
  • 14. Jurisdictional and Nested REDD+ (JNR) – Subnational level REDD VM0015 (Pedroni 2011) – Project level PILOT REFERENCE LEVEL METHODS Harmonization exercise SPECIFICGENERAL International guidelines and learned lessons from other countries INPUTS PROCEDURES Pilot area: Methodological issues regarding articulation with local initiatives
  • 15. • Satellite imagery. • baseline area boundaries definition. • Types and carbon content of forests (tC ha-1). • Definition of categories of use and land cover (LULUCF classes). • Classification of deforestation. • Validation of land cover maps. • Characterization of agents and drivers of deforestation. • Leakage assessment. • Deforestation Projection. Pilot area: Methodological issues regarding articulation with local initiatives Grandparentingissues • Scale interoperability and accepted uncertainty in validation assessment. • Subnational leakage assessment. • Projection approach (historical average vs. modeled scenarios).
  • 16. Next steps • Defining other Reference Levels specific feedbacks with MRV and local REDD+ Initiatives. • Pilot results by July of 2013. • Solve specific technical issues regarding modeling (including leakage) and validation processes. • Methodological approach and REL for the Amazonian subnational area by January of 2014. Order of other areas to be defined by feasibility study. • Replicability assessment for the proposed methodological approach. • Improve national technical capabilities in Reference Levels construction and updating. • Obtain additional funding for the REL of the rest of the subnational areas.
  • 17. 1. Memoria Técnica “Cuantificación de la tasa de deforestación histórica nacional a escalas gruesa y fina” http://goo.gl/zLQUz 2. Protocolo de "Procesamiento Digital de Imágenes, para la cuantificación de la deforestación en Colombia. Nivel Nacional". http://goo.gl/0YgFt 3. Protocolo de "Procesamiento Digital de Imágenes de sensores remotos para la cuantificación de la deforestación. Nivel Subnacional". http://goo.gl/kjhbv Publications: Activity data
  • 18. Publications: Emission/Removal factors 1. Estimación de las reservas potenciales de carbono almacenadas en la biomasa aérea en los bosques naturales de Colombia. http://goo.gl/eORyh 2. Estimación de las reservas actuales (2010) de carbono almacenadas en la biomasa aérea en los bosques naturales de Colombia. http://goo.gl/1q4WC 3. Selección y validación de modelos para la estimación de la biomasa aérea en los bosques naturales de Colombia. http://goo.gl/X1F1O 4. Protocolo para la estimación nacional y subnacional de biomasa –carbono en Colombia. http://goo.gl/1XrFl 5. Madera muerta: un reservorio de carbono de bosques naturales de Colombia. http://goo.gl/gEfr8 6. Estimación de las emisiones de dióxido de carbono generadas por deforestación durante el período 2005-2010. http://goo.gl/bKef8
  • 19. Publications: Deforestation simulation, Emission/Removal factors "Análisis de tendencias y patrones espaciales de deforestación en Colombia". http://goo.gl/qTyN8 http://www.biogeosciences.net/9/2683/2012/bg-9-2683- 2012.pdf “High-resolution mapping of forest carbon stocks in the Colombian Amazon".