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The TPI EMEA Index
EMEA Outsourcing Market Data and Insights
          Second Quarter/First Half 2012




                               Hosted by:
                              Marc Geall,
            Deutsche Bank Software and IT
                           Services Team
                   Monday 16th July 2012
2

                       Welcome to the 39th Quarterly Outsourcing Index Call
                       Covering the state of the outsourcing industry for global, commercial contracts.




                                                    Duncan Aitchison
                                                    Partner & President
                                                    North Europe, ISG




                                                                          Bernd Schaefer
                                                                          Partner & Managing Director,
                                                                          ISG Germany




       © 2012
    Information
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
3

                       At A Glance


                                              “         GLOBAL BROADER MARKET TCV UP Y/Y & Q/Q
                                                    MEGA DEAL STRENGTH HELPED OFFSET WEAKER 2Q ACTIVITY
                                                        GLOBALLY, BPO HAD SOLID GAINS Y/Y AND Q/Q

                                                                                                   “
                                         EMEA COOLS AS ASIA-PACIFIC RETURNS AN IMPRESSIVE QUARTER AND HALF
                                                                YEAR PERFORMANCE
                                          YEAR TO DATE, STRONG MEGA DEAL AND ASIA-PACIFIC RESULTS WERE NOT
                                                         ENOUGH TO OFFSET BROADER MARKET DECLINE


                                                               2Q12 TCV 2Q Y/Y     2Q Q/Q       1H12     1H Y/Y
                                       Score Card               (€B)*   Change     Change     TCV (€B)* Change
                                        Global Market          €    17.1    7%       7%       €     33.1    -8%
                                        Mega Deals             €     5.0   180%     320%      €      6.2    23%
                                        New Scope              €    12.4    9%       34%      €     21.6   -22%
                                        Restructurings         €     4.7    1%      -31%      €     11.5    39%
                                        ITO                    €    10.4    6%       -5%      €     21.4    -6%
                                        BPO                    €     6.7    7%       32%      €     11.7   -13%
       © 2012                           EMEA                   €     6.7   -21%     -11%      €     14.2   -24%
    Information
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
                                        Asia Pacific           €     3.8   181%     162%      €      5.2    44%
                                        Americas               €    6.60    6%      -6%       €     13.7   flat
isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
4

                       Global Broader Market Contract Award Trends
                       2Q12 TCV was up 7% Q/Q and Y/Y. Year to date, the TCV was down 8%.


                                                                             Quarterly TCV (€B)*
                                                                                 TCV      Avg of 4 Prior 2Qs


                                                                                                                                                   € 18.13
                           € 21.2
                                                          € 17.6                         € 17.7
                                                                                                                      € 16.0                      € 16.0 € 17.1




                           2Q08      3Q     4Q     1Q     2Q09     3Q      4Q      1Q    2Q10      3Q    4Q     1Q    2Q11       3Q        4Q      1Q     2Q12


                                    Half-year Counts by TCV Bands                                              Half-year TCV (€B)*
                                    €20-79M TCV Band                      €80M+ TCV Band                       1H TCV          2H TCV        Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs
                                         1H 2H                                1H 2H

                                                 366
                                                                                                                   € 34.3   € 42.3      € 35.1   € 45.8
                                    327   308                                                             € 36.3
                           250
                                                                                                                                                          € 36.6
                                                 404
                                    291   286           277        111     130     99    113                       € 39.2   € 34.0      € 40.9   € 36.1
       © 2012              231                                                                            € 32.5                                          € 33.1
    Information                                                    116     115     124   111       96
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved        2008 09        10     11 2012           2008    09      10    11       2012    2007     2008     2009        2010     2011     2012
isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
5

                       EMEA Contract Award Trends
                       EMEA TCV was down 21% Y/Y and 11% Q/Q. Year to date, TCV was down by 24%.


                                                                        Quarterly EMEA TCV (€B)*
                                                                              TCV     Avg of 4 Prior 2Qs



                           € 13.0                                                                                                                          €8.8
                                                                                                                       € 8.5                       € 7.5
                                                         € 6.7                       € 7.2                                                                 € 6.7


                           2Q08      3Q    4Q     1Q    2Q09     3Q      4Q     1Q   2Q10      3Q   4Q       1Q    2Q11             3Q      4Q     1Q      2Q12


                                    Half-year EMEA Counts by TCV Bands                                     Half-year EMEA TCV (€B)*
                                    €20-79M TCV Band                     €80M+ TCV Band
                                        1H 2H                                1H 2H                       2H TCV            1H TCV              Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs

                                                158
                                    157                                                                       € 14.9                              € 27.8
                                          148                                                                                            € 18.6
                                                                                                    € 16.4                 € 21.8
                           102                                                                                                                              $18.0
                                                171
                                    125                108        51     61     52   59                       € 23.9
       © 2012               90            105                                                       € 15.6                               € 17.6   € 18.8
                                                                  62            50   54                                    € 14.2                           € 14.2
    Information                                                          45                   45
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved       2008      09    10    11    2012       2008    09     10   11      2012    07           08           09         10       11       2012
isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
6

                       EMEA Mega-deal & Mega-relationship Trends
                       The increase in the number of Mega-relationships in 2012, was not enough to make
                       up for the drop in Mega-deal numbers and TCV.

                                                             Quarterly EMEA Mega-deal TCV (€B)*
                                                                                TCV        Counts                    4
                                                         3                            3
                                                2
                                                                                             2
                                        1                        1       1                                          € 6.2
                                               € 4.7                              € 4.7                 1   € 5.8
                                                        € 4.5                                                                            1
                                0                                                         € 2.5     € 1.8                      0
                                       € 1.2                    € 0.9   € 0.8                                                          € 1.0
                              2Q09     3Q09    4Q09     1Q10    2Q10    3Q10      4Q10    1Q11    2Q11      3Q11    4Q11     1Q12     2Q12

                                                                                                                         55% of Mega
                                                                                                                         Relationships in the
                                                       Quarterly EMEA Mega-relationship ACV (€B)*                        last 5 quarters were
                                                                                                                         Restructurings
                                                 9                        ACV              Counts

                                                                                                                                        5
                                                                                                                                4
                                                                  3                                  3
                                1

                                               € 1.1                              € 1.4                             € 1.1
       © 2012                                           € 1.0   € 0.7                                       € 1.0                      € 0.6
    Information
                                       € 0.2                            € 0.3             € 0.3     € 0.5                     € 0.4
Services Group, Inc.           € 0.1
All Rights Reserved
                               2Q09    3Q09    4Q09     1Q10    2Q10    3Q10      4Q10    1Q11      2Q11    3Q11    4Q11      1Q12    2Q12
isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
7

                       EMEA New Scope & Restructuring Trends
                       Both New Scope and Restructurings dropped Q/Q. Year to date, New Scope TCV fell
                       32% as Restructurings rose 5%.

                                                    Quarterly EMEA New Scope vs. Restructuring TCV (€B)*
                                                                           New Scope                 Restructured

                              € 9.8

                                                             € 5.5                        € 5.5                           € 5.7                  € 5.2 € 4.7
                                                                                                                         € 2.7                   € 2.4 € 2.0
                              € 1.2                          € 1.2                        € 1.7


                             2Q08     3Q       4Q     1Q     2Q09     3Q    4Q     1Q     2Q10     3Q      4Q       1Q    2Q11    3Q      4Q      1Q    2Q12

                            Half-year EMEA New Scope TCV (€B)*                                    Half-year EMEA Restructuring TCV (€B)*
                                    1H TCV          2H TCV        Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs                     1H TCV          2H TCV           Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs



                                       € 9.9                                                                                                € 12.2
                                                € 19.5                 € 15.5                                                     € 6.5
                           € 13.9                                                € 14.2
                                                             € 12.1
                                                                                                            € 5.0                                      € 3.8
                                      € 20.1                                                      € 2.5                  € 2.4
       © 2012              € 13.1               € 11.5       € 11.8    € 14.6                                                     € 5.8
    Information
                                                                                 € 9.9            € 2.5     € 3.9        € 2.7                 € 4.2     € 4.4
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
                            2007      2008      2009         2010      2011      2012             2007      2008         2009     2010         2011      2012
isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
8

                       EMEA Country Details in Contract Award Trends
                       While all countries fell behind their first quarter values, only Scandinavia, France
                       and Southern Europe reached their five year average.

                                                         Like-half EMEA TCV (€B)* by Country

                                                        Prior 5 Period Range        Average         1H11          1H12
                         € 12


                         € 10


                           €8


                           €6
                                        € 5.69

                           €4
                                                                 € 3.08
                           €2                       € 2.12
                                                                               € 1.26
                                                                                                        € 0.91        € 0.68
                                                                                           € 0.37                                 € 0.13
                           €0
       © 2012                   UK & Ireland     DACH     Scandinavia     Benelux    Africa &       France       Southern   E. Europe &
    Information                                                                     Middle East                   Europe       Russia
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
9

                       EMEA ITO Contract Award Trends
                       EMEA ITO TCV dropped 26% in the first half of 2012 as the number of ITO contracts
                       signed in the region declines across all TCV bands.

                                           Half-year EMEA ITO TCV (€B)*
                                          1H TCV           2H TCV          Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs
                                                                                                          Top 10 EMEA ITO Providers
                                                                                                                 by 1H12 TCV
                                           € 11.1                   € 15.2        € 20.8
                                                      € 17.6
                             € 8.7                                                              € 13.8                   Accenture
                                           € 17.7                   € 15.1                                                    BT
                            € 12.7                    € 11.3                      € 12.3        € 9.1
                                                                                                                             CSC
                             2007           2008          2009      2010          2011          2012                       Fujitsu
                                                                                                                             HCL
                                 Half-year EMEA ITO Counts by TCV Bands                                                       HP
                                     €20-79M TCV Band                        €80M+ TCV Band                                  IBM
                                          1H 2H                                  1H 2H                                     Infosys
                                                                                                                             TCS
                                     119            105
                                                                                                                         T-Systems
                                            110
                            71
                                                    118
                                     97                              36      46     38     47            Note: Service providers in alphabetical order; no
       © 2012               67               70             70                                           rankings implied. Placements based on ISG
    Information
                                                                     45      36     42     37      31
                                                                                                         contracts database.
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved        2008 2009 2010 2011 2012                 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
10

                       EMEA BPO Contract Award Trends
                       Although BPO contract numbers dropped in the first half of 2012, BPO TCV remains
                       ahead of its five year average.

                                           Half-year EMEA BPO TCV (€B)*
                                          1H TCV          2H TCV            Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs
                                                                                                         Top 10 EMEA BPO Providers
                                                                                                                by 1H12 TCV
                                                                                  € 6.9
                                            € 3.8
                             € 7.7                                                         € 4.2                          HCL
                                                         € 4.2
                                                                   € 3.4
                                            € 6.2                                 € 6.6                                    HP
                                                                                               € 5.1
                             € 3.0                       € 2.9      € 2.6                                               Infosys
                             2007           2008         2009      2010           2011         2012                Johnson Controls
                                                                                                                         Logica
                                 Half-year EMEA BPO Counts by TCV Bands                                            Mahindra Satyam
                                   €20-79M TCV Band                         €80M+ TCV Band                               Mitie
                                       1H 2H                                    1H 2H                                    Serco
                                                    53                                                                 Sodexo
                                             38
                                                                                                                      Xchanging
                                     38
                            31                      53
                                             35             38      15                    12            Note: Service providers in alphabetical order; no
       © 2012                        28                                      15     14                  rankings implied. Placements based on ISG
                            23                                      17                    17       14
    Information                                                              9      8
                                                                                                        contracts database.
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved        2008 2009 2010 2011 2012                2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
11

                       EMEA Industry Details in Contract Award Trends
                       Only Financial Services and Travel, Transport & Leisure sectors finished ahead of last
                       year’s first-half totals.

                                                       Like-Half EMEA TCV (€B)* by Industry

                                                      Prior 5 Period Range           Average       1H11       1H12
                          €9
                          €8
                          €7
                          €6
                          €5            € 4.9
                          €4                        € 3.8
                          €3
                          €2
                                                               € 1.3         € 1.4         € 1.5
                          €1                                                                                             € 0.8
                                                                                                      € 0.6
                          €-                                                                                     € 0.1




       © 2012
    Information
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
12

                       Public Sector Analysis for EMEA
                       UK Public Sector continues to dominate EMEA Public sector contracting.


                                       UK Public Sector Share of the EMEA Public Sector Market


                                   Years 2007 – 2011 TCV (€ B)*          Year-to-date 2012 TCV (€ B)*

                                         UK Public Sector                    UK Public Sector
                                         Other EMEA Public Sector            Other EMEA Public Sector


                                                                                   € 1.1
                                              € 22.1
                                                                                    9%
                                               19%


                                                       € 94.4                         € 11.4
                                                        81%                            91%



       © 2012
    Information
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
13

                       Public vs Commercial Sector Analysis for the UK
                       The Public Sector expands to two-thirds of the UK market as the Commercial
                       outsourcing market shrinks.

                                          UK Public Sector vs. Commercial Sector Market Share


                                   Years 2007 – 2011 TCV (€ B)*           Year-to-date 2012 TCV (€ B)*

                                           UK Public Sector                     UK Public Sector
                                           UK Commercial Sector                 UK Commercial Sector




                                                                                  € 5.7
                                            € 69.5
                                                                                  33%
                                             42%       € 94.4
                                                                                           € 11.4
                                                        58%
                                                                                            67%




       © 2012
    Information
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
14

                       Public Sector Top 5 Service Providers
                       The Top 5 Service Providers List, based on TCV awarded in the first half of 2012, for
                       contracts over € 20 million in total value, shown in alphabetical order.



                                                     Top 5                                         Top 5
                                                UK Public Sector                          Other EMEA Public Sector



                                                           Capita                                          Accenture
                                                          Carillion                                           Atkins
                                                             CSC                                                 BT
                                                              HP                                               KPN
                                                           Logica                                              Tieto


                                        Note: Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied
                                        Placements based on UK Public Sector contract awards sourced from ISG contracts database

       © 2012
    Information
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
15

                       Asia-Pacific Contract Award Trends
                       Asia-Pacific TCV was up significantly Q/Q and Y/Y with most TCV awards in Financial
                       Services and Telecom. Year to date, TCV was up 44%.

                                                                Quarterly Asia-Pacific TCV (€B)*                                    Includes a
                                                                           TCV (B)        Avg of 4 Prior 2Qs                        €1 B Mega
                                                                                                                                    Deal in India


                                                       € 3.7                                                                                      € 3.8
                                                                                                                                          € 1.9

                           € 1.4                                                     € 1.1                           € 1.3                € 1.4

                          2Q08      3Q   4Q    1Q      2Q09     3Q    4Q       1Q    2Q10         3Q   4Q      1Q    2Q11    3Q     4Q     1Q     2Q12

                                 Half-year Asia-Pacific Counts by TCV Bands                             Half-year Asia-Pacific TCV (€B)*
                                    €20-79M TCV Band                  €80M+ TCV Band
                                                                                                            2H TCV      1H TCV        Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs
                                         1H 2H                            1H 2H

                                               36                                                                        € 5.3
                                         36                                                            € 4.6
                            42      41                                                                          € 6.4                     € 3.9
                                                                                                                                  € 5.7
                                               53                                                                                         € 3.7
                                         40            43             18
                                                                13                   9                 € 4.6             € 5.1                    € 5.2
       © 2012               25      28                                        11                                € 2.8                     € 3.6
    Information                                                 11    19      8      13      16                                   € 2.2
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved        2008     09   10   11    2012       2008   09      10     11   2012         2007     2008    2009      2010    2011    2012
isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
16

                       Americas Contract Award Trends
                       Americas TCV was up 6% Y/Y but down 6% Q/Q. Mega-deals accounted for a
                       substantial share of 2Q12 TCV. Year to date, TCV was flat.
                                                                                                                                  Includes €3B of Mega
                                                                  Quarterly Americas TCV (€B)*                                    Deal activity, with €1.8
                                                                            TCV         Avg of 4 Prior 2Qs                        out of Brazil in
                                                                                                                                  Financial Services


                                                                                        € 9.30                                              € 7.4

                           € 6.82                      € 7.15                                                                                       € 7.06    € 6.6
                                                                                                                         € 6.26




                           2Q08      3Q    4Q    1Q    2Q09      3Q     4Q        1Q   2Q10           3Q   4Q       1Q   2Q11     3Q       4Q        1Q      2Q12

                                 Half-year Americas Counts by TCV Bands                                      Half-year Americas TCV (€B)*
                                    €20-79M TCV Band                   €80M+ TCV Band
                                                                                                                2H TCV       1H TCV        Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs
                                         1H 2H                             1H 2H

                                                172
                                                                                                                                       € 10.8
                                    129   124                                                                                € 15.2             € 14.1
                                                                                                           € 15.4   € 13.0                                   € 14.8
                           106
                                                180
                                    138   141          126             61     52                                                       € 21.0
                           116                                   51                    59                                    € 14.8             € 13.7       € 13.7
       © 2012                                                                                              € 12.3   € 12.5
    Information                                                  43    51     66       44        35
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved        2008     09    10    11    2012      2008   09    10        11   2012           2007     2008     2009      2010     2011         2012
isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
17

                       Duration Trend Impact on the Global Market
                       Declines in duration may appear small, but even a slight decline can have large
                       impact on TCV levels.

                                     What if all 1H12 contracts* had 1999 average durations of 6.4?

                                                                  1H12 Actual TCV             € 33 B                 38%
                              Hypothetical 1H12 TCV with 1999-2000 Durations                         € 46 B



                                                     Average Contract Durations Over Time
                                                           Avg Duration             Duration Plateau
                                  6.4
                                                           6.0
                                                                                        5.5
                                      6.48
                                                                                                              5.1
                              6.35           6.14   6.10   6.07   5.95   5.88   5.72   5.48   5.31    5.10    4.98   5.05   4.85
       © 2012
    Information
Services Group, Inc.          1999      00    01    02     03      04    05     06      07    08       09     10     2011 1H12
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
18

                       Does the 1H12 duration dip signal the start of a step down?
                       Durations decreased across a range of contract types.

                                Distribution of Contracts*                           Average Durations Fall
                              Moves Towards Lower Durations                          for All Contract Sizes*
                           Durations         Durations       Durations          TCV < €160M              TCV > €160M
                           < 5 Years        5 - 6.9 Years    7+ Years
                                                                                                   6.6
                                                                                                           6.1 6.2 6.0
                                             46% 51%                         4.9 4.8 4.9 4.6
                           32% 34%
                                                             22%     15%
                           2009     1H12     2009   1H12     2009     1H12   2009 2010 2011 1H12   2009 2010 2011 1H12


                                     BPO Duration Trends*                        Restructuring Duration Trends*

                             5.5
                                           5.3         5.3          12%
                                                                               5.0                              10%
                                                                    4.8                             4.8
                                                                                          4.7
                                                                                                                 4.5
       © 2012
    Information              2009          2010       2011          1H12      2009       2010       2011         1H12
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
19

                       Factors Influencing Downward Trend in Contract Durations

                                                                                           Average Duration for
                               Stepped Up Market Competition                                  New Adopters
                               Amidst increased provider competition, companies                        ↓14%
                               – particularly New Sourcing Adopters – push for               5.1
                                                                                                         4.4
                               shorter contract commitments, leveraging the
                                                                                             2009       1H12
                               providers’ desire to seal the deal.


                                             Outsourcing Savvy Clients and Providers
                                             Solution improvements enable more efficient and effective
                                             delivery of innovations, making the best solutions at the best
                                             prices available via more frequent contract negotiations.




                                Disposability of Cloud Solutions
       © 2012
                                Service Providers note that contracts with Cloud in scope are shorter
    Information
Services Group, Inc.
                                in duration than Managed Services deals.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
20


                         2Q12 TPI Index Summary and Outlook


                                                    Global Broader Market TCV up 7% Y/Y – strengthened by Mega
                                                    Deals and increased activity in Asia-Pacific
                             market                 EMEA TCV and contract numbers dropped both Q/Q and Y/Y
                             summary                EMEA BPO flat Q/Q, while global values gain traction
                                                    Year to date, Global TCV was down 8% impacted by weak
                                                    EMEA results and fewer contract awards




                                                    Anticipate a soft 3Q against a tough Y/Y compare
                            market                  4Q TCV may pick up because of larger deals in the pipeline
                            outlook                 Unprecedented levels of TCV in 2H12 are required for the
                                                    market to meet the record-high 2011 TCV result
       © 2012
    Information
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
21

                       Learn More
                          Please contact us with your questions and comments.


                                ► John Keppel                              ► Duncan Aitchison
                                    Partner & President Research &             Partner & President
                                    Managed Services and Chief                 North Europe, ISG
                                    Marketing Officer                          +44 (0)1628 21702
                                    +44 (0)7879 432 212                        duncan.aitchison@isg-one.com
                                    john.keppel@isg-one.com



                                                              --- Media Contacts ---


                                ► Denise Colgan                            ► Louise Fernley
                                    Marketing Director, EMEA, ISG              Cohn & Wolfe for ISG
                                    +44 1737 371523                            +44 207 331 5365
                                    denise.colgan@isg-one.com                  louise.fernley@cohnwolfe.com




       © 2012
    Information
Services Group, Inc.
All Rights Reserved


isg-one.com                                            www.considerthesourceblog.com
                       *Contracts with TCV > €20M
www.isg-one.com

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  • 1. The TPI EMEA Index EMEA Outsourcing Market Data and Insights Second Quarter/First Half 2012 Hosted by: Marc Geall, Deutsche Bank Software and IT Services Team Monday 16th July 2012
  • 2. 2 Welcome to the 39th Quarterly Outsourcing Index Call Covering the state of the outsourcing industry for global, commercial contracts. Duncan Aitchison Partner & President North Europe, ISG Bernd Schaefer Partner & Managing Director, ISG Germany © 2012 Information Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 3. 3 At A Glance “ GLOBAL BROADER MARKET TCV UP Y/Y & Q/Q MEGA DEAL STRENGTH HELPED OFFSET WEAKER 2Q ACTIVITY GLOBALLY, BPO HAD SOLID GAINS Y/Y AND Q/Q “ EMEA COOLS AS ASIA-PACIFIC RETURNS AN IMPRESSIVE QUARTER AND HALF YEAR PERFORMANCE YEAR TO DATE, STRONG MEGA DEAL AND ASIA-PACIFIC RESULTS WERE NOT ENOUGH TO OFFSET BROADER MARKET DECLINE 2Q12 TCV 2Q Y/Y 2Q Q/Q 1H12 1H Y/Y Score Card (€B)* Change Change TCV (€B)* Change Global Market € 17.1 7% 7% € 33.1 -8% Mega Deals € 5.0 180% 320% € 6.2 23% New Scope € 12.4 9% 34% € 21.6 -22% Restructurings € 4.7 1% -31% € 11.5 39% ITO € 10.4 6% -5% € 21.4 -6% BPO € 6.7 7% 32% € 11.7 -13% © 2012 EMEA € 6.7 -21% -11% € 14.2 -24% Information Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved Asia Pacific € 3.8 181% 162% € 5.2 44% Americas € 6.60 6% -6% € 13.7 flat isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 4. 4 Global Broader Market Contract Award Trends 2Q12 TCV was up 7% Q/Q and Y/Y. Year to date, the TCV was down 8%. Quarterly TCV (€B)* TCV Avg of 4 Prior 2Qs € 18.13 € 21.2 € 17.6 € 17.7 € 16.0 € 16.0 € 17.1 2Q08 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q09 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q10 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q11 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q12 Half-year Counts by TCV Bands Half-year TCV (€B)* €20-79M TCV Band €80M+ TCV Band 1H TCV 2H TCV Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs 1H 2H 1H 2H 366 € 34.3 € 42.3 € 35.1 € 45.8 327 308 € 36.3 250 € 36.6 404 291 286 277 111 130 99 113 € 39.2 € 34.0 € 40.9 € 36.1 © 2012 231 € 32.5 € 33.1 Information 116 115 124 111 96 Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved 2008 09 10 11 2012 2008 09 10 11 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 5. 5 EMEA Contract Award Trends EMEA TCV was down 21% Y/Y and 11% Q/Q. Year to date, TCV was down by 24%. Quarterly EMEA TCV (€B)* TCV Avg of 4 Prior 2Qs € 13.0 €8.8 € 8.5 € 7.5 € 6.7 € 7.2 € 6.7 2Q08 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q09 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q10 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q11 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q12 Half-year EMEA Counts by TCV Bands Half-year EMEA TCV (€B)* €20-79M TCV Band €80M+ TCV Band 1H 2H 1H 2H 2H TCV 1H TCV Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs 158 157 € 14.9 € 27.8 148 € 18.6 € 16.4 € 21.8 102 $18.0 171 125 108 51 61 52 59 € 23.9 © 2012 90 105 € 15.6 € 17.6 € 18.8 62 50 54 € 14.2 € 14.2 Information 45 45 Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved 2008 09 10 11 2012 2008 09 10 11 2012 07 08 09 10 11 2012 isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 6. 6 EMEA Mega-deal & Mega-relationship Trends The increase in the number of Mega-relationships in 2012, was not enough to make up for the drop in Mega-deal numbers and TCV. Quarterly EMEA Mega-deal TCV (€B)* TCV Counts 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 € 6.2 € 4.7 € 4.7 1 € 5.8 € 4.5 1 0 € 2.5 € 1.8 0 € 1.2 € 0.9 € 0.8 € 1.0 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 55% of Mega Relationships in the Quarterly EMEA Mega-relationship ACV (€B)* last 5 quarters were Restructurings 9 ACV Counts 5 4 3 3 1 € 1.1 € 1.4 € 1.1 © 2012 € 1.0 € 0.7 € 1.0 € 0.6 Information € 0.2 € 0.3 € 0.3 € 0.5 € 0.4 Services Group, Inc. € 0.1 All Rights Reserved 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 7. 7 EMEA New Scope & Restructuring Trends Both New Scope and Restructurings dropped Q/Q. Year to date, New Scope TCV fell 32% as Restructurings rose 5%. Quarterly EMEA New Scope vs. Restructuring TCV (€B)* New Scope Restructured € 9.8 € 5.5 € 5.5 € 5.7 € 5.2 € 4.7 € 2.7 € 2.4 € 2.0 € 1.2 € 1.2 € 1.7 2Q08 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q09 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q10 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q11 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q12 Half-year EMEA New Scope TCV (€B)* Half-year EMEA Restructuring TCV (€B)* 1H TCV 2H TCV Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs 1H TCV 2H TCV Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs € 9.9 € 12.2 € 19.5 € 15.5 € 6.5 € 13.9 € 14.2 € 12.1 € 5.0 € 3.8 € 20.1 € 2.5 € 2.4 © 2012 € 13.1 € 11.5 € 11.8 € 14.6 € 5.8 Information € 9.9 € 2.5 € 3.9 € 2.7 € 4.2 € 4.4 Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 8. 8 EMEA Country Details in Contract Award Trends While all countries fell behind their first quarter values, only Scandinavia, France and Southern Europe reached their five year average. Like-half EMEA TCV (€B)* by Country Prior 5 Period Range Average 1H11 1H12 € 12 € 10 €8 €6 € 5.69 €4 € 3.08 €2 € 2.12 € 1.26 € 0.91 € 0.68 € 0.37 € 0.13 €0 © 2012 UK & Ireland DACH Scandinavia Benelux Africa & France Southern E. Europe & Information Middle East Europe Russia Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 9. 9 EMEA ITO Contract Award Trends EMEA ITO TCV dropped 26% in the first half of 2012 as the number of ITO contracts signed in the region declines across all TCV bands. Half-year EMEA ITO TCV (€B)* 1H TCV 2H TCV Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs Top 10 EMEA ITO Providers by 1H12 TCV € 11.1 € 15.2 € 20.8 € 17.6 € 8.7 € 13.8 Accenture € 17.7 € 15.1 BT € 12.7 € 11.3 € 12.3 € 9.1 CSC 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Fujitsu HCL Half-year EMEA ITO Counts by TCV Bands HP €20-79M TCV Band €80M+ TCV Band IBM 1H 2H 1H 2H Infosys TCS 119 105 T-Systems 110 71 118 97 36 46 38 47 Note: Service providers in alphabetical order; no © 2012 67 70 70 rankings implied. Placements based on ISG Information 45 36 42 37 31 contracts database. Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 10. 10 EMEA BPO Contract Award Trends Although BPO contract numbers dropped in the first half of 2012, BPO TCV remains ahead of its five year average. Half-year EMEA BPO TCV (€B)* 1H TCV 2H TCV Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs Top 10 EMEA BPO Providers by 1H12 TCV € 6.9 € 3.8 € 7.7 € 4.2 HCL € 4.2 € 3.4 € 6.2 € 6.6 HP € 5.1 € 3.0 € 2.9 € 2.6 Infosys 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Johnson Controls Logica Half-year EMEA BPO Counts by TCV Bands Mahindra Satyam €20-79M TCV Band €80M+ TCV Band Mitie 1H 2H 1H 2H Serco 53 Sodexo 38 Xchanging 38 31 53 35 38 15 12 Note: Service providers in alphabetical order; no © 2012 28 15 14 rankings implied. Placements based on ISG 23 17 17 14 Information 9 8 contracts database. Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 11. 11 EMEA Industry Details in Contract Award Trends Only Financial Services and Travel, Transport & Leisure sectors finished ahead of last year’s first-half totals. Like-Half EMEA TCV (€B)* by Industry Prior 5 Period Range Average 1H11 1H12 €9 €8 €7 €6 €5 € 4.9 €4 € 3.8 €3 €2 € 1.3 € 1.4 € 1.5 €1 € 0.8 € 0.6 €- € 0.1 © 2012 Information Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 12. 12 Public Sector Analysis for EMEA UK Public Sector continues to dominate EMEA Public sector contracting. UK Public Sector Share of the EMEA Public Sector Market Years 2007 – 2011 TCV (€ B)* Year-to-date 2012 TCV (€ B)* UK Public Sector UK Public Sector Other EMEA Public Sector Other EMEA Public Sector € 1.1 € 22.1 9% 19% € 94.4 € 11.4 81% 91% © 2012 Information Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 13. 13 Public vs Commercial Sector Analysis for the UK The Public Sector expands to two-thirds of the UK market as the Commercial outsourcing market shrinks. UK Public Sector vs. Commercial Sector Market Share Years 2007 – 2011 TCV (€ B)* Year-to-date 2012 TCV (€ B)* UK Public Sector UK Public Sector UK Commercial Sector UK Commercial Sector € 5.7 € 69.5 33% 42% € 94.4 € 11.4 58% 67% © 2012 Information Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 14. 14 Public Sector Top 5 Service Providers The Top 5 Service Providers List, based on TCV awarded in the first half of 2012, for contracts over € 20 million in total value, shown in alphabetical order. Top 5 Top 5 UK Public Sector Other EMEA Public Sector Capita Accenture Carillion Atkins CSC BT HP KPN Logica Tieto Note: Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied Placements based on UK Public Sector contract awards sourced from ISG contracts database © 2012 Information Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 15. 15 Asia-Pacific Contract Award Trends Asia-Pacific TCV was up significantly Q/Q and Y/Y with most TCV awards in Financial Services and Telecom. Year to date, TCV was up 44%. Quarterly Asia-Pacific TCV (€B)* Includes a TCV (B) Avg of 4 Prior 2Qs €1 B Mega Deal in India € 3.7 € 3.8 € 1.9 € 1.4 € 1.1 € 1.3 € 1.4 2Q08 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q09 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q10 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q11 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q12 Half-year Asia-Pacific Counts by TCV Bands Half-year Asia-Pacific TCV (€B)* €20-79M TCV Band €80M+ TCV Band 2H TCV 1H TCV Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs 1H 2H 1H 2H 36 € 5.3 36 € 4.6 42 41 € 6.4 € 3.9 € 5.7 53 € 3.7 40 43 18 13 9 € 4.6 € 5.1 € 5.2 © 2012 25 28 11 € 2.8 € 3.6 Information 11 19 8 13 16 € 2.2 Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved 2008 09 10 11 2012 2008 09 10 11 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 16. 16 Americas Contract Award Trends Americas TCV was up 6% Y/Y but down 6% Q/Q. Mega-deals accounted for a substantial share of 2Q12 TCV. Year to date, TCV was flat. Includes €3B of Mega Quarterly Americas TCV (€B)* Deal activity, with €1.8 TCV Avg of 4 Prior 2Qs out of Brazil in Financial Services € 9.30 € 7.4 € 6.82 € 7.15 € 7.06 € 6.6 € 6.26 2Q08 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q09 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q10 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q11 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q12 Half-year Americas Counts by TCV Bands Half-year Americas TCV (€B)* €20-79M TCV Band €80M+ TCV Band 2H TCV 1H TCV Avg of 5 Prior 1Hs 1H 2H 1H 2H 172 € 10.8 129 124 € 15.2 € 14.1 € 15.4 € 13.0 € 14.8 106 180 138 141 126 61 52 € 21.0 116 51 59 € 14.8 € 13.7 € 13.7 © 2012 € 12.3 € 12.5 Information 43 51 66 44 35 Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved 2008 09 10 11 2012 2008 09 10 11 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 17. 17 Duration Trend Impact on the Global Market Declines in duration may appear small, but even a slight decline can have large impact on TCV levels. What if all 1H12 contracts* had 1999 average durations of 6.4? 1H12 Actual TCV € 33 B 38% Hypothetical 1H12 TCV with 1999-2000 Durations € 46 B Average Contract Durations Over Time Avg Duration Duration Plateau 6.4 6.0 5.5 6.48 5.1 6.35 6.14 6.10 6.07 5.95 5.88 5.72 5.48 5.31 5.10 4.98 5.05 4.85 © 2012 Information Services Group, Inc. 1999 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 2011 1H12 All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 18. 18 Does the 1H12 duration dip signal the start of a step down? Durations decreased across a range of contract types. Distribution of Contracts* Average Durations Fall Moves Towards Lower Durations for All Contract Sizes* Durations Durations Durations TCV < €160M TCV > €160M < 5 Years 5 - 6.9 Years 7+ Years 6.6 6.1 6.2 6.0 46% 51% 4.9 4.8 4.9 4.6 32% 34% 22% 15% 2009 1H12 2009 1H12 2009 1H12 2009 2010 2011 1H12 2009 2010 2011 1H12 BPO Duration Trends* Restructuring Duration Trends* 5.5 5.3 5.3 12% 5.0 10% 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.5 © 2012 Information 2009 2010 2011 1H12 2009 2010 2011 1H12 Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 19. 19 Factors Influencing Downward Trend in Contract Durations Average Duration for Stepped Up Market Competition New Adopters Amidst increased provider competition, companies ↓14% – particularly New Sourcing Adopters – push for 5.1 4.4 shorter contract commitments, leveraging the 2009 1H12 providers’ desire to seal the deal. Outsourcing Savvy Clients and Providers Solution improvements enable more efficient and effective delivery of innovations, making the best solutions at the best prices available via more frequent contract negotiations. Disposability of Cloud Solutions © 2012 Service Providers note that contracts with Cloud in scope are shorter Information Services Group, Inc. in duration than Managed Services deals. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 20. 20 2Q12 TPI Index Summary and Outlook Global Broader Market TCV up 7% Y/Y – strengthened by Mega Deals and increased activity in Asia-Pacific market EMEA TCV and contract numbers dropped both Q/Q and Y/Y summary EMEA BPO flat Q/Q, while global values gain traction Year to date, Global TCV was down 8% impacted by weak EMEA results and fewer contract awards Anticipate a soft 3Q against a tough Y/Y compare market 4Q TCV may pick up because of larger deals in the pipeline outlook Unprecedented levels of TCV in 2H12 are required for the market to meet the record-high 2011 TCV result © 2012 Information Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M
  • 21. 21 Learn More Please contact us with your questions and comments. ► John Keppel ► Duncan Aitchison Partner & President Research & Partner & President Managed Services and Chief North Europe, ISG Marketing Officer +44 (0)1628 21702 +44 (0)7879 432 212 duncan.aitchison@isg-one.com john.keppel@isg-one.com --- Media Contacts --- ► Denise Colgan ► Louise Fernley Marketing Director, EMEA, ISG Cohn & Wolfe for ISG +44 1737 371523 +44 207 331 5365 denise.colgan@isg-one.com louise.fernley@cohnwolfe.com © 2012 Information Services Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved isg-one.com www.considerthesourceblog.com *Contracts with TCV > €20M