Enterprise IPv6 Adoption Status? Depends Where on Earth you Are by Yves Poppe at gogoNET LIVE! 3 IPv6 Conference

IPv6 in the enterprise?

Depends where in the world

GogoNet Live
San Jose november 12-14th 2012

Yves Poppe
Dir. Business Development & Strategy IP services

© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved. 1

Tata Group at a glance

$83.3 billion #41
Annual Revenue Worldwide Brand
(Source: Brand Finance)

395,000
>60% Employees Worldwide
Non-India

#11
Most Reputed Company
Over 140 (Source: Reputation Institute)

Years in Operation
UK
Group’s Largest Market

Only Indian entity
on Forbes’ List of World’s 20 Most Over 100
Reputed Companies* Operating Companies in 7 Sectors
Across 6 Continents
* Awarded in 2006 by the United States – India Business Council (USIBC)

2

Global Transmission Network
Subtitle if necessary

TGN-Northern Europe
TGN-Atlantic
TGN-Pacific TGN-Western Europe TGN-Pacific

TGN-EurAsia*

TGN-Intra Asia
TIC

OWN CONSORTIUM NEW PROJECTS
• TGN-Atlantic • SMW-3 • TGN-Eurasia
• TGN Western Europe • SMW-4 • WACS
• TGN Northern Europe • SAFE/SAT-3 • India-China Terrestrial
• TGN-Pacific • APCN-2 • TGN-Gulf
• TGN-TIC • IMEWE
• TGN-Intra Asia • SEACOM


AS6453: Over 4000Gbps of Backbone Capacity
Key benefit

North America Trans Europe
1345G Atlantic 1290G
280G Asia-Pacific /
Europe-India Trans-Pacific
India-Asia
110G 335G
125G
India
445G
Middle-East
& Africa
• Dual stack IPv4 IPv6 35G
• 225+ PoPs in 27 countries
• 500 + ASN customers
• 21% of market share (routes)


IPv6 ready for lift-off on the network side

10854 active IPv6 BGP entries
as of october 30th 2012


IPv4 addresses: an increasingly rare commodity
.
RIR Projected Exhaustion Date and
remaining IPv4 address pool in /8’s

APNIC: 15-Apr-2011 0.9051
RIPE NCC: 14-Sep-2012 0.9751
ARIN: 05-Sep 2013 3.1321
LACNIC: 03-06-2015 3.1294
AFRINIC: 15-Sep-2019 4.0103

Geof Huston’s projections
as of october 30th 2012

http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/index.html
6
© Copyright 2011 Tata Communications Ltd. All rights reserved.

IPv6 is more than a new address format;
it is a fundamental game changer

Solves address shortage Better QoS (flow lables)

Restores p2p communication Auto configuration
• Mobile Ad-Hoc networking
• Mobile networks
Mobility • Sensor networks
• Much easier roaming
• Plug and Play networks
• Better spectrum utilization
• Better battery life!
Permanent addresses
• Identity (CLID)
Security • Traceability (RFID)
• IPsec mandatory
• Addressability!
• IP address based billing
Multicast

7

IPv6 day 2011 seems so long ago….
The june 8th 2011 peak became background noise and by the end of 2011
some major players were seriously kicking the IPv6 tires around.

Note that these figures represent only a fraction of the overall Pv4 plus IPv6
traffic of AS6453 derived from probes on a selected number of network points.

Aftermath of the june 6th 2012 IPv6 world launch
Traffic lift-off observed by AS6453

Traffic jumped in the week leading to june 6th as the
world’s leading content providers and hosting sites turned
on IPv6. Relatively slow but steady growth since.

Note : these figures represent a fraction of the overall IPv6 traffic of AS6453
as it is derived from probes on a select number of network points

AMS-IX IPv6 traffic evolution


The Google perspective : closing in on 1%

http://www.google.com/ipv6/statistics

Proportion of Alexa top 50 supporting IPv6


How the world changed since IPv6 day 2011

All major tier-1 carriers IP networks are dual stack with adequate peerings to
cope with the transition from IPv4 to IPv6 and sudden shifts in relative traffic.

Some major eyeball networks including free in France and Comcast in the United
States are actively promoting IPv6.

LTE and mobile broadband are taking the world by storm. The US, South Korea
and Japan lead the charge.

The worlds’ major content providers turned on IPv6 on June 6th 2012. The
second wave is under way coming from the major US Federal Government
agencies. Many countries have firm Government plans for a phased IPv6
introduction between 2013 and 2015.

Major enterprises worldwide customers recognize the necessity to plan for the
transition but are still often unsure at what pace they should proceed.

In 2012 IPv6 went from emergent to main stream
CIO Insight Research Exclusive october 2011

investigating, testing
currently using in testing stage
Tablet devices 93% 31%
Unified communications 84% 27%
Private clouds 79% 25%
IPv6 75% 29%
Location-based apps 65% 21%
predictive analytics 63% 20%
4G wide-area services 60% 16%
Crowdsourcing 59% 19%
Context-aware computing 56% 18%
Semantic Web 53% 17%

http://circ.ziffdavisenterprise.com/pdfs/Research_CIOI_11_0910.pdf


Gartner’s emerging technologies hype cycle


Mobile operators: IPv6 riding the LTE coattails
End Q2 2012: Wireless Intelligence estimates 27 million LTE
subscribers worldwide up from 10 million end 2011. Verizon
reaches 8 million LTE subscribers, SK Telecom and NTT
Docomo both pass the 4 million LTE subscriber mark.

Strategy Analytics forecasts 90 million LTE subscribers
worldwide by the end of the year and 1 billion subscribers by
end 2017.

87% of today’s LTE subscribers are in the US, Korea and
Japan.

The staggering LTE adoption rates put enormous pressure on
network capacity build-out and on existing data and voice rate
structures.


IPv6 and the global LTE tidal wave
Worldwide LTE deployments as of november 2nd 2012

113 commercial networks in 51 countries
166 anticipated commercial LTE networks in 70 countries by end 2012
209 anticipated LTE networks in 75 countries by end 2013.


Interim Service Provider report card
The APNIC statistics showing IPv6 preference by originating AS show a
surprisingly good score for the US Mobile Operators (Nov 5th reading).
CN AS17672 CHINATELECOM-HE-AS-AP asn for Hebei Provincial Net of CT 33.1579
CN AS4538 ERX-CERNET-BKB China Education and Research Network Center 28.7020
. US AS6939 HURRICANE - Hurricane Electric, Inc. 23.4177
RO AS8708 RDSNET RCS & RDS S.A. 23.0612
GB AS786 JANET The JNT Association 18.3915
JP AS2516 KDDI KDDI CORPORATION 17.2114
FR AS12322 PROXAD Free SAS 13.5560
CZ AS2852 CESNET2 CESNET, z.s.p.o. 11.7347
CN AS4847 CNIX-AP China Networks Inter-Exchange 10.6383
US AS87 INDIANA-AS - Indiana University 10.4317
NL AS3265 XS4ALL-NL XS4ALL Internet BV 9.5541
GB AS8426 CLARANET-AS ClaraNET LTD 8.8481
JP AS18126 CTCX Chubu Telecommunications Company, Inc. 8.5221
US AS22394 CELLCO - Cellco Partnership DBA Verizon Wireless 8.3090
US AS7018 ATT-INTERNET4 - AT&T Services, Inc. 6.4822
GB AS42689 CABLECOM-AS Cablecom Networking Limited 4.9093
AU AS7575 AARNET-AS-AP Australian Academic and Reasearch Network (AARNet) 4.7170
NZ AS17412 WOOSHWIRELESSNZ Woosh Wireless 3.8823
TW AS1659 ERX-TANET-ASN1 Tiawan Academic Network (TANet) Information Center 3.8113
AU AS4739 INTERNODE-AS Internode Pty Ltd 3.6640
CN AS4808 CHINA169-BJ CNCGROUP IP network China169 Beijing Province Network 2.7450
NZ AS24183 DTS-ISP-CORE1-AP DTS LTD 2.5316
CN AS17816 CHINA169-GZ China Unicom IP network China169 Guangdong province 2.3910
US AS53347 PREMIER-COMMUNICATIONS - Premier Communications 2.3169
NO AS39832 NO-OPERA Opera Software ASA 2.2932
NZ AS23655 SNAP-NZ-AS Snap Internet Limited 2.2335
US AS15169 GOOGLE - Google Inc. 2.0553
CN AS56046 CMNET-JIANGSU-AP China Mobile communications corporation 2.0305
US AS6389 BELLSOUTH-NET-BLK - BellSouth.net Inc. 1.9348
DE AS680 DFN Verein zur Foerderung eines Deutschen Forschungsnetzes e.V. 1.8705
SE AS8473 BAHNHOF Bahnhof Internet AB 1.8237
EU AS1103 SURFNET-NL SURFnet, The Netherlands 1.5695
GR AS197121 1.3298 http://labs.apnic.net/ipv6-measurement/AS/
EU AS1299 TELIANET TeliaNet Global Network 1.2658
US AS7922 COMCAST-7922 - Comcast Cable Communications, Inc. 1.1603
NZ AS9503 FX-PRIMARY-AS FX Networks Limited 1.1211


The amazing mobile IP traffic growth forecast
In 2016, 4G will be 6
By 2016, 39 percent of percent of connections,
all global mobile devices
but 36 percent of total
could potentially be
capable of connecting to traffic. In 2016, a 4G
an IPv6 mobile network. connection will generate 9
Over 4 billion devices will times more traffic on
be IPv6-capable in 2016. average than a non-4G
connection.
Mobile-connected tablets will
generate almost as much traffic in
2016 as the entire global mobile The average smartphone will
network in 2012. The amount of generate 2.6 GB of traffic per month
mobile data traffic generated by tablets in 2016, a 17-fold increase over the
in 2016 (1.1 exabytes per month) will
be approximately equal to the total
78% 2011 average of 150 MB per month.
Aggregate smartphone traffic in 2016
amount of global mobile data traffic in will be 50 times greater than it is today,
2012 (1.3 exabytes per month). CAGR* with a CAGR of 119 percent.

Source:
* Cisco VNI. Mobile data traffic growth CAGR (2011-16)
meaning an 18 fold increase from 2011 to 2016


Energy sector:
smart grids, meters and even smart lightbulbs
‘By the end of 2015, more than 55 million meters will be installed on 45 percent
of U.S. households. In addition, 17 percent of U.S. households will have some
form of in-home display for monitoring energy consumption by 2015. And by
2021, nearly 50 percent of households will have an energy management
network’

Canada’s BC Hydro first of the mark with 7.5 million IPv6 enabled smart readers

LIFX is a WiFi enabled, multi-
color, energy efficient IPv6
ready LED light bulb
controlled by iPhone or
Android. Available March
2013


m2m communications: about to impact all verticals
Tidbits picked up in m2m world in october:

‘Public transport ITS market in Europe expected to reach € 1.5 billion by 2016
according to a study by Berg’

‘104 Million Cellular M2M Modules to Ship in 2013, up from 76 million in 2012
according to Strategy Analytics’

‘wireless industry could see a $1.2 trillion revenue opportunity out of the
connected devices market by 2020’ affecting numerous verticals according to
Global Information Inc.

‘Facilitating the Promise of Billions of Connections, M2M Software Platform
Revenues will Grow to $3.85 Billion by 2017’ according to ABI research

http://m2mworldnews.com/


Now entering the second wave:
Networked Industries as a family of verticals

IETF 6lowpan standards continue to gain prominence.
Chip manufacturers see 20 billion connected devices by 2020

Ericsson’s three wave scenario


The future of payment in the retail sector
smartphone as e-wallet?

Visa Paywave and Mastercard Paypass contactless payment solutions. Using a
secure SIM card in a Near Field Communication (NFC) enabled smartphone, a
cell phone programmed with a Visa payWave application communicates with a
merchant’s secure contactless reader to complete a Visa or Mastercard
transaction. Just announced in Canada by Rogers and CIBC.

Vodafone, T-Mobile adopt the GSMA TSM (Trusted System Management) for
mobile payment.

Growing interest in IPv6 by banking and credit card companies is no surprise.


Clouds and anything as a service

Most market projections for enterprise spending on cloud and virtualization go
through the roof. Who will pocket most of the revenue?

Persistent IP addresses lead to symbiosis between user and cloud service while
IPv6 Neighbour Discovery allows to put many more hosts in the cloud. This is a
must for cost-efficient and scaleable hybrid cloud scenarios accompanied by
growing demand for off-site storage centers.

BPaaS
IaaS
NaaS
PaaS
SaaS….


When the biggest enterprise of all goes v6.
in september 2010 the CIO of the US Federal Government orders all
government websites to be accessible in IPv6 by september 2012 and all
internal systems to be dual stack by september 2014.


NIST ranking of US Governement agencies

More than 40 agencies scored in the 3 categories : DNS, web and mail
Noteworthy is the wide adoption of DNSSEC.
The industry and education sectors should take notice.

Despite all the jabs and criticisms, the Government is doing a commendable job.


NIST ranking of industry and education

Only 6 scored in the three categories: IPv6 support for DNS, Web and mail
Brocade UCLA
Comcast (#1) Garner-Webb U
Hurricane Electric Weber State (#1)
Comcast and Weber State got a perfect 4 as they also support DNSSEC

http://fedv6-deployment.antd.nist.gov/ 27

Corporate IT spending intentions going into 2013

On the datacenter side, 70% of respondents plan to increase spending on storage,
67% on cloud services and 59% on physical servers. Virtualization, security and
application performance are ranked as the leading drivers (data from Infonetics).

As we see it, on the telecom side, moving from legacy TDM, ATM or frame relay to
ethernet and/or MPLS is a priority to save costs as are VPN’s for off-net access
with wireless broadband and employee mobility growing. Internet is considered a
commodity and the IP address issue a potential but transient irritant not always
considered worth a separate line item in the IT budget.


To conclude, going into 2013,
any enterprise should, as a minimum,

Mandate immediate IPv6 support on ALL
procurements of hardware, software and telecom
services.

Make public facing services accessible in IPv6

Start assessing possible impact on all IP address
dependent back-office processes
/
Train some key engineering and operations staff

Enterprise IPv6 Adoption Status? Depends Where on Earth you Are by Yves Poppe at gogoNET LIVE! 3 IPv6 Conference

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Enterprise IPv6 Adoption Status? Depends Where on Earth you Are by Yves Poppe at gogoNET LIVE! 3 IPv6 Conference