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The SAARC Grid:
Policy, Regulatory, Infra-structure,
Contractual Issues in Cross Border
Trade of Electricity

             Monowar Islam, ndc
           Secretary, Power Division
                  Bangladesh
                01 March 2013
Contents
• Introduction
• Bangladesh Power Scenario
• Current /On-going Initiatives
• Potential Proposals for
  Joint/Multilateral Cooperation
• Policy and Regulatory Issues
• Concluding Remarks/Way Forward
Introduction
• Electricity has made modern society what
  it is today. Travelling, cooking,
  communicating,           lighting, heating ….
   You name it, we will tame it - with
  electricity.
• And without electricity?
• Our living would come practically to a
  complete halt.
Introduction
• Electricity is the precondition of all development. It is
  really difficult to imagine a world without electricity.
• We need electricity for agriculture, commercial,
  domestic, industrial,           official, transport, and
  other economic activities.
• But producing the ever-increasing amount of electricity
  in everyday life is a big challenge
• At the same time, several other issues must be taken
  into account:
   – population growth,
   – climate change,
   – fuel source and
   – dwindling fossil fuel reserves.
Introduction
• The SA region is currently experiencing a
  rapid growth in electricity demand due
  to the enhanced economic growth and
  industrialization.
• In spite of that, the average per capita
  electricity consumption (about 600 kWh)
  in the region is far below the world
  average of 3000 kWh.
Introduction- Continue
• Adequate electricity supply is, therefore, a
  major challenge the SA economies are facing
• It is important to ensure reliable and
  reasonably priced electricity to the customers
  of this region
• Therefore, mutual co-operation in developing
  energy resources and electricity trade to
  optimize demand - supply balance is the
  utmost priority.
Bangladesh Scenario
Vision 2021-
• To be a Middle-Income Country
Vision for Power Sector:
• To provide quality electricity to all people at a affordable
  price by 2021
Mission
•   To increase generation, transmission and distribution
•   To ensure energy efficiency
•   To reduce system loss
•   To build public – private partnership
•   To develop cooperation with regional countries
Present Power Sector and Power Demand
            Supply Situation
Electricity Growth        : 12 % (FY- 2012) (Av. 7 % since 1990)
Installed Generation Capacity: 8,275MW (Oct, 2012)
Per Capita Generation: 272 kWh (incl. Captive)
Access to Electricity: 60 % of People

                      Power Demand Supply Situation

   Generation   : 6000 – 6350 MW (Installed Generation Capacity- 8275 MW)

   So far Achieved       : 6350 MW ( Aug 4, 2012)
   Peak Demand : 7500 MW (with DSM)

   Load shedding up to 500 MW during peak demand (with DSM)
   Shortage and unreliable power supply has retarded desired economic growth
Forecasting Of Power Demand Based
  Financial Growth Rate Scenarios




                        For 8% GDP



                                      For 7% GDP


                                For 6% GDP
Coal as Source for Power Generation
According to PSMP by                                              Regional Grid 3500 MW


             2030                      6.98% 9.04%
                                                     10.34%
                                                                  Nuclear 4000 MW

                             29.07%
• 50% Electricity will be                                22.87%
                                                                  Gas/LNG 8850 MW


  generated from Coal                 21.71%
                                                                  Imported Coal 8400 MW


• 22% from natural gas                                            Domestic Coal 11250 MW


• 28% from other source                                           Others 2700 MW


                            Total Generation Capacity in 2030:    38,700 MW
• As a part of the Power System Master Plan (PSMP) BPDB
  has planned to construct
     1320 MW coal based power plant at Khulna
     1320 MW coal based power plant at Chittagong
     8320 MW coal and LNG based power plant at Maheshkhali
Priority Issues for PS in Bangladesh
• Ensure primary fuel (gas, oil, coal, etc) supply sources for
  power generation;
• Financing arrangement for overall power sector , special
  emphasis to arrange finance for coal based power plant;
• Constructing transmission backbone line (400KV level);
• Strengthen distribution network, upgrade and new line
  construction for more coverage;
• Ensure regional interconnectivity. Regional agreement for
  power trade with Nepal, Myanmar, India and Bhutan;
• Development of renewable energy and energy efficiency.
• Operationalization of SREDA;
Regional Inter-connection in SAARC
On-going Initiatives in SAARC

• Bhutan perhaps exports about 1200
  MW power to India mainly from its
  Chuka and Tala hydro power projects.
• Under a framework agreement between
  Bhutan and India, first 10 projects were
  selected for the development of 10,000
  MW by 2020.
• Bhutan has hydro
                       power resources
Potential              30,000 MW
Proposals for
Joint/Multilateral   • Nepal has hydro power
Cooperation            resources 83,000 MW
                     • India has hydro power
                       resources 150,000 MW
                     • Pakistan hydro power
                       potential 54, 000 MW
Interconnection       Voltage          Remarks
                       Level

Bheramara -           400 KV Power Import from Eastern
Baharampur                   Region, India
Comilla – Palatana,   400 KV Power Import from
Tripura
Fenchugonj –          400 KV Power Import from North-
Shilchar, Assam              Eastern Region including
                             Meghalaya

Barapukuria –         765 kV Power Import from Nepal
Purnia, Bhihar
Barapukuria –         765 kV Power Import from Arunachal
Bongaigaon, Assam            and Bhutan
Case-3



         Case-2




                  Case-1
Arunachal Pradesh:


• In term of Identified Capacity (as per
  reassessment study) total hydro potential in
  Arunachal Pradesh is estimated around 50328
  MW.
• Among this huge potential around 405 MW is
  already developed and 2710 MW is under
  construction.
River Basin Map of Arunachal Pradesh
               With Hydro Potential




                                     11 GW
                          18 GW



                12 GW

                                             8 GW

3 GW
       6 GW




                                  0.1 GW
                0.25 GW
Hydro Potential In North Eastern India
Meghalaya:
• At present, total installed capacity of Meghalaya
  is around 370 MW.
• Electricity demand in 2011-12 was about 319
  MW.
• In term of Identified Capacity (as per
  reassessment study) total hydro potential in
  Maghalaya is estimated around 2394 MW.
• Among this huge potential around 240 MW is
  already developed and 82 MW is under
  construction.
Future Plan
           2010-
                        2012 2013      2014 2015 2016        Total
  Year     2011(MW)
                        (MW) (MW)      (MW) (MW) (MW)        (MW)
           commissioned




Public         1055     632    1467     1660   1410   750      6974




Private        1839     1354   1372     1637   772    1600     8574



  Power
                         -     500                             500
  Import


  Total        2894     1986   3339     3297   2182   2350     16048
Future Generation Plan: From 2016 to 2021
                                          Capacity   Executing    Fuel       Expected
Sl             Description
                                           (MW)       Agency               COD (Revised)
1    Bheramara 360 MW CCPP                 360       NWZPGC       Gas        May, 2016
2    Bibiana 300-450 MW CCPP (1st Unit)    450        BPDB        Gas         Dec 2016
3    1320 MW Large Coal (Khulna)           1320       BPDB        Coal       June, 2017
4    Meghnaghat Large #3, 750 MW, CC       750        BPDB        Gas          2018
5    Matarbari 1st Phase Coal              1200       BPDB       Coal-I        2018
6    Karnafuli Hydro #6,7                  100        BPDB       Hydro         2018
7    Meghnaghat #4, 750 MW, CC             750        BPDB        Gas          2019
8    Power import from Myanmar             500        BPDB       Import        2019
9    Rooppur Nuclear # 1, 1000 MW          1000       BAEC       Nuclear       2019
10   B-K-D-P 1 600MW #1                    600        BPDB       Coal-D        2019
11   B-K-D-P 1 600MW #2                    600        BPDB       Coal-D        2020
12   B-K-D-P 1 600MW #3                    600        BPDB       Coal-D        2020
13   Rooppur Nuclear # 2, 1000 MW          1000       BAEC       Nuclear       2020
14   Matarbari 2nd Phase Coal-I            1200       BPDB       Coal-I        2021
                             Total: 10,430
                                                                                          21
Policy for Investment Opportunity in Power Sector
 SL                Name/Title of the Policy                        Date of
 No                                                               Adaption
 01 National Energy Policy                                          1996
 02 Private Sector Power Generation Policy of Bangladesh            1996
       Policy Guideline for Small Power Plants (SPP) in            1998
  03
       Private Sector
  04   Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission Act                 2003
       Policy Guidelines for Enhancing Private Participation in    2008
  05
       Power Sector
  06   Renewable Energy Policy of Bangladesh                       2008


                                                                          22
Bangladesh & India
• Frame-Work Agreement between India
  and Bangladesh at PM level
• Grid Interconnection ( 500 MW)
• G to G Joint Venture ( Bangladesh-India)
• BIFPC in Rampal (Bagerhat) 1320 MW
  Coal Based Power Plant
• Innovative Ideas (Tender’s Financing)
Bangladesh India
Friendship Power
Company
 Project site to Mongla        14km (S)
 Port

 Project site to nearest       14 km (S)
 Sundarbans boundary

 Project site to Khulna City   23 km (N)
 Project site to Akram         67 km (S)
 Point

 Project site to nearest       76 km (S)
 World Heritage boundary

 Project site to Hiron Point   97 km (S)



    All distances were measured
         from Plant location
Policy and Regulatory Issues:
•   Absence of Regulatory Framework
•   Huge Investment
•   Huge Infrastructure
•   Tax on dividents
•   Mistrust and lack of confidence
Way Forward
• Track I diplomacy may be strengthened
  vis-à-vis Track II diplomacy
• Open mind dialogue from policy makers
• Win-Win situation for all regional
  countries to benefit the people of the
  SAARC region
• Time is running out
Way Forward
• Political will is the key for regional electricity
  interconnection and establishment of power
  market.
• This will certainly enhance the energy security
  in this region and land locked countries will
  have the opportunity to enhance their export
  earnings.
• Therefore, overall socio economic condition of
  this region will improve significantly.
Way Forward
• Flexibility is the key ingredient in
  finding a solution for the production of
  electricity.
• It has been important in the past with
  example of both having it and lacking
  it.
• We have to make sure that we will
  have it in future.
The SAARC Grid:Policy, Regulatory, Infra-structure, Contractual Issues in Cross Border Trade of Electricity

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The SAARC Grid: Policy, Regulatory, Infra-structure, Contractual Issues in Cross Border Trade of Electricity

  • 1. The SAARC Grid: Policy, Regulatory, Infra-structure, Contractual Issues in Cross Border Trade of Electricity Monowar Islam, ndc Secretary, Power Division Bangladesh 01 March 2013
  • 2. Contents • Introduction • Bangladesh Power Scenario • Current /On-going Initiatives • Potential Proposals for Joint/Multilateral Cooperation • Policy and Regulatory Issues • Concluding Remarks/Way Forward
  • 3. Introduction • Electricity has made modern society what it is today. Travelling, cooking, communicating, lighting, heating …. You name it, we will tame it - with electricity. • And without electricity? • Our living would come practically to a complete halt.
  • 4. Introduction • Electricity is the precondition of all development. It is really difficult to imagine a world without electricity. • We need electricity for agriculture, commercial, domestic, industrial, official, transport, and other economic activities. • But producing the ever-increasing amount of electricity in everyday life is a big challenge • At the same time, several other issues must be taken into account: – population growth, – climate change, – fuel source and – dwindling fossil fuel reserves.
  • 5. Introduction • The SA region is currently experiencing a rapid growth in electricity demand due to the enhanced economic growth and industrialization. • In spite of that, the average per capita electricity consumption (about 600 kWh) in the region is far below the world average of 3000 kWh.
  • 6. Introduction- Continue • Adequate electricity supply is, therefore, a major challenge the SA economies are facing • It is important to ensure reliable and reasonably priced electricity to the customers of this region • Therefore, mutual co-operation in developing energy resources and electricity trade to optimize demand - supply balance is the utmost priority.
  • 7. Bangladesh Scenario Vision 2021- • To be a Middle-Income Country Vision for Power Sector: • To provide quality electricity to all people at a affordable price by 2021 Mission • To increase generation, transmission and distribution • To ensure energy efficiency • To reduce system loss • To build public – private partnership • To develop cooperation with regional countries
  • 8. Present Power Sector and Power Demand Supply Situation Electricity Growth : 12 % (FY- 2012) (Av. 7 % since 1990) Installed Generation Capacity: 8,275MW (Oct, 2012) Per Capita Generation: 272 kWh (incl. Captive) Access to Electricity: 60 % of People Power Demand Supply Situation  Generation : 6000 – 6350 MW (Installed Generation Capacity- 8275 MW)  So far Achieved : 6350 MW ( Aug 4, 2012)  Peak Demand : 7500 MW (with DSM)  Load shedding up to 500 MW during peak demand (with DSM)  Shortage and unreliable power supply has retarded desired economic growth
  • 9. Forecasting Of Power Demand Based Financial Growth Rate Scenarios For 8% GDP For 7% GDP For 6% GDP
  • 10. Coal as Source for Power Generation According to PSMP by Regional Grid 3500 MW 2030 6.98% 9.04% 10.34% Nuclear 4000 MW 29.07% • 50% Electricity will be 22.87% Gas/LNG 8850 MW generated from Coal 21.71% Imported Coal 8400 MW • 22% from natural gas Domestic Coal 11250 MW • 28% from other source Others 2700 MW Total Generation Capacity in 2030: 38,700 MW • As a part of the Power System Master Plan (PSMP) BPDB has planned to construct 1320 MW coal based power plant at Khulna 1320 MW coal based power plant at Chittagong 8320 MW coal and LNG based power plant at Maheshkhali
  • 11. Priority Issues for PS in Bangladesh • Ensure primary fuel (gas, oil, coal, etc) supply sources for power generation; • Financing arrangement for overall power sector , special emphasis to arrange finance for coal based power plant; • Constructing transmission backbone line (400KV level); • Strengthen distribution network, upgrade and new line construction for more coverage; • Ensure regional interconnectivity. Regional agreement for power trade with Nepal, Myanmar, India and Bhutan; • Development of renewable energy and energy efficiency. • Operationalization of SREDA;
  • 13. On-going Initiatives in SAARC • Bhutan perhaps exports about 1200 MW power to India mainly from its Chuka and Tala hydro power projects. • Under a framework agreement between Bhutan and India, first 10 projects were selected for the development of 10,000 MW by 2020.
  • 14. • Bhutan has hydro power resources Potential 30,000 MW Proposals for Joint/Multilateral • Nepal has hydro power Cooperation resources 83,000 MW • India has hydro power resources 150,000 MW • Pakistan hydro power potential 54, 000 MW
  • 15. Interconnection Voltage Remarks Level Bheramara - 400 KV Power Import from Eastern Baharampur Region, India Comilla – Palatana, 400 KV Power Import from Tripura Fenchugonj – 400 KV Power Import from North- Shilchar, Assam Eastern Region including Meghalaya Barapukuria – 765 kV Power Import from Nepal Purnia, Bhihar Barapukuria – 765 kV Power Import from Arunachal Bongaigaon, Assam and Bhutan
  • 16. Case-3 Case-2 Case-1
  • 17. Arunachal Pradesh: • In term of Identified Capacity (as per reassessment study) total hydro potential in Arunachal Pradesh is estimated around 50328 MW. • Among this huge potential around 405 MW is already developed and 2710 MW is under construction.
  • 18. River Basin Map of Arunachal Pradesh With Hydro Potential 11 GW 18 GW 12 GW 8 GW 3 GW 6 GW 0.1 GW 0.25 GW
  • 19. Hydro Potential In North Eastern India Meghalaya: • At present, total installed capacity of Meghalaya is around 370 MW. • Electricity demand in 2011-12 was about 319 MW. • In term of Identified Capacity (as per reassessment study) total hydro potential in Maghalaya is estimated around 2394 MW. • Among this huge potential around 240 MW is already developed and 82 MW is under construction.
  • 20. Future Plan 2010- 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Total Year 2011(MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) commissioned Public 1055 632 1467 1660 1410 750 6974 Private 1839 1354 1372 1637 772 1600 8574 Power - 500 500 Import Total 2894 1986 3339 3297 2182 2350 16048
  • 21. Future Generation Plan: From 2016 to 2021 Capacity Executing Fuel Expected Sl Description (MW) Agency COD (Revised) 1 Bheramara 360 MW CCPP 360 NWZPGC Gas May, 2016 2 Bibiana 300-450 MW CCPP (1st Unit) 450 BPDB Gas Dec 2016 3 1320 MW Large Coal (Khulna) 1320 BPDB Coal June, 2017 4 Meghnaghat Large #3, 750 MW, CC 750 BPDB Gas 2018 5 Matarbari 1st Phase Coal 1200 BPDB Coal-I 2018 6 Karnafuli Hydro #6,7 100 BPDB Hydro 2018 7 Meghnaghat #4, 750 MW, CC 750 BPDB Gas 2019 8 Power import from Myanmar 500 BPDB Import 2019 9 Rooppur Nuclear # 1, 1000 MW 1000 BAEC Nuclear 2019 10 B-K-D-P 1 600MW #1 600 BPDB Coal-D 2019 11 B-K-D-P 1 600MW #2 600 BPDB Coal-D 2020 12 B-K-D-P 1 600MW #3 600 BPDB Coal-D 2020 13 Rooppur Nuclear # 2, 1000 MW 1000 BAEC Nuclear 2020 14 Matarbari 2nd Phase Coal-I 1200 BPDB Coal-I 2021 Total: 10,430 21
  • 22. Policy for Investment Opportunity in Power Sector SL Name/Title of the Policy Date of No Adaption 01 National Energy Policy 1996 02 Private Sector Power Generation Policy of Bangladesh 1996 Policy Guideline for Small Power Plants (SPP) in 1998 03 Private Sector 04 Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission Act 2003 Policy Guidelines for Enhancing Private Participation in 2008 05 Power Sector 06 Renewable Energy Policy of Bangladesh 2008 22
  • 23. Bangladesh & India • Frame-Work Agreement between India and Bangladesh at PM level • Grid Interconnection ( 500 MW) • G to G Joint Venture ( Bangladesh-India) • BIFPC in Rampal (Bagerhat) 1320 MW Coal Based Power Plant • Innovative Ideas (Tender’s Financing)
  • 24. Bangladesh India Friendship Power Company Project site to Mongla 14km (S) Port Project site to nearest 14 km (S) Sundarbans boundary Project site to Khulna City 23 km (N) Project site to Akram 67 km (S) Point Project site to nearest 76 km (S) World Heritage boundary Project site to Hiron Point 97 km (S) All distances were measured from Plant location
  • 25. Policy and Regulatory Issues: • Absence of Regulatory Framework • Huge Investment • Huge Infrastructure • Tax on dividents • Mistrust and lack of confidence
  • 26. Way Forward • Track I diplomacy may be strengthened vis-à-vis Track II diplomacy • Open mind dialogue from policy makers • Win-Win situation for all regional countries to benefit the people of the SAARC region • Time is running out
  • 27. Way Forward • Political will is the key for regional electricity interconnection and establishment of power market. • This will certainly enhance the energy security in this region and land locked countries will have the opportunity to enhance their export earnings. • Therefore, overall socio economic condition of this region will improve significantly.
  • 28. Way Forward • Flexibility is the key ingredient in finding a solution for the production of electricity. • It has been important in the past with example of both having it and lacking it. • We have to make sure that we will have it in future.