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Market orientation and market participation
     of smallholders in Ethiopia: Implications for
             commercial transformation



Berhanu Gebremedhin (International Livestock Research Institute)
                               and
Moti Jaleta (International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center)
    Presented at the 28th triennial conference of the International Association of
    Agricultural Economists (IAAE), Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, 18-24 August 2012
Background
 Commercial transformation of subsistence agriculture for
  economic growth and development for many agriculture
  dependent developing countries


 Sustainable household food security and welfare also requires
  commercial transformation of subsistence agriculture.


 Commercial agricultural production is likely to result in growth
  and welfare gains through the realization of :
      comparative advantages,
      economies of scale,
      enhanced uptake of technologies
      dynamic technological, organizational and institutional change effects that arise
       from the flow of ideas due to exchange-based interactions
Market orientation
 Has been used widely in the manufacturing sector:
      as a basis to make decisions on production and marketing
      shown as a major determinant of competitive advantage


 What is market orientation?
   the organization wide generation of market intelligence
    pertaining to current and future customer needs,
    dissemination of the intelligence across departments, and
    organization wide responsiveness to it (Kohli and Jakowski,
    1990).
Market orientation in smallholder
agriculture (2)
 The literature on commercialization of smallholders makes little distinction
   between market orientation and market participation of smallholders.
       most of the analysis of the determinants of smallholder commercialization is based
        on the analysis of the determinants of output market participation



 However, analysis of the determinants of market orientation and market
   participation separately would be useful in guiding the type of interventions
   needed at production and marketing levels to facilitate commercial
   transformation.



 Hence, our work makes the distinction between market orientation and
   market participation and:
       analyzes the determinants of each separately.
       determines if market orientation translates into market participation.
Conceptual framework
 Defn:
    market orientation in agriculture as the degree of allocation of resources (land,
     labor and capital) to the production of agricultural produce that are meant for
     exchange or sale.
    Market participation as the extent to which a household participates in the
     market as seller.


 The determinants of market orientation and market participation may not be
   the same because:
        household specific endogenous prices lie between the mark-up selling and
         buying prices- transactions costs
        surplus production due to various reasons, including favorable weather
         conditions, although it may not be market oriented.


 Hence:
    production possibilities, comparative advantages and expected profitability are
     expected to be major determinants of market orientation.
    Realized output, profitability and market orientation are expected to be major
     determinants of market participation.
Conceptual framework (2)
     Household and household head
  characteristics (age, sex and literacy of
               characteristics
           head; household size)
 (age, sex and literacy of head; household
                    size)
    Livestock ownership (cattle, shoats,
             Livestock ownership
                    poultry)
           (cattle, shoats, poultry)
         Household endowment of

    Crop production factors (land, oxen,
           Crop production factors
     family labor and farm equipment)             Market orientation (MOI)           Crop output market
  (land, family labor and farm equipment)                                            participation (COMP)
                                                (relative importance of more
       Agro-ecological factors and land
  Natural factors affecting crop production    marketable crops in the portfolio   (proportion of output sold)
  fragmentation affecting crop production
                                               of household crop production)
                                                        of crop choice)
 (rainfall, altitude and land fragmentation)
 (rainfall, altitude and land fragmentation)



          Market and road access
             Market access

   (distance to nearest market place and
            and transport equine
         road, ownership of equine)
   (distance to nearest market place and
         road, ownership of equine)

            Institutional services

   (involvement in extension and credit
        services the previous year)
Empirical model

MOI  f (HH , HR, LVSTK , MKTac, EXT ,CRD, RF , ALT , SI ,u     )
   i                                                       MOI
                                                              i


COMP  f ( HH , LVSTK , MKTac, EXT , CRD, CRVP , MOI , uCOMP )
    i
                                                            i

 All coefficients and standard errors are adjusted for sampling weights,
 clustering, and stratification

Market orientation decision can be endogenous variable in this
specification, if the realized level of market participation was envisioned
during production decision.
    •physical and natural crop production factors as instruments to test for
    possible endogeneity of MOI in the model for crop output market
    participation.
Data
 Survey of:
    168 households and all plots operated by the households,
    53 communities (peasant associations (PAs)) in three
     districts in 2007/08.

 Farming systems were stratified into PAs and households
  in each PA were selected randomly based on proportional
  to size sampling.

 Indices of land fragmentation, market orientation, and crop
  output market participation in annual crops were computed
  using the household, plot and community level data.
The Indices (fragmentation, market
orientation, market participation)
                     J

                   2
                   aij
                  j 1
 SI i  1 
                        A2
                         i




                                              N

                                             S
          K

                   k   Lik
                                      k    i 1
                                                    ki

MOI i    k 1                                N
                 LT
                  i                          Q
                                             i 1
                                                    ki




                 K

              P          k    S ik
 COMP 
     i
                 k 1
                  K

                 P
                 k 1
                          k    Qik
Household market orientation and
                            market participation
Variables                N         Mean          Std. Dev.    Min       Max

Market orientation
  index                      168          0.29         0.09     0.07           0.59

Crop output market
participation index
   (%)                       167      25.29           19.88         0         86.60

Land fragmentation
index (Simpson
   index)                    168          0.49         0.31         0          0.90



Value of annual
crop produced (Birr)         168    3851.06        3840.23          0   25600.00
Estimation results for market orientation (MOI) (OLS)
Explanatory Variables                                                     Coef.    Std. Err.
Household and household head characteristics
Age of household head (year)                                           -0.000047       0.000688
Sex of household head (yes=1, no=0)                                    -0.000668       0.031057
Education of household head (literate=1, illiterate=0)                  0.018513       0.016021
Family size (no.)                                                  -0.012686***        0.003896

Ownership of livestock
Other livestock owned (TLU)                                           -0.000397        0.003388

Ownership of crop production factors
Available family labour (persons)                                  0.019547***         0.006569
Farmland size owned (ha)                                               0.003840        0.012890
Oxen owned (no.)                                                       0.004158        0.006288
Value of farm equipment (Birr)                                        -0.000004        0.000044

Natural factors affecting crop production
Rainfall (mm)                                                       0.000189***        0.000037
Altitude (m above sea level)                                       -0.000184***        0.000039
Land fragmentation index (Simpson index)                               -0.027573       0.028794

Market access
Distance from settlement center to nearest market place (km)           0.001085        0.002357
Distance from settlement center to nearest all weather road (km)      -0.001792        0.001232
Equine owned (no.)                                                 0.017839***         0.006023

Institutional service
Involvement in extension program (2005/06) (yes=1, no=0)            0.034089**         0.014347
Access to credit (2005/06) (yes=1, no=0)                              -0.001400        0.020920
Constant                                                           0.356452***         0.081830
Tobit estimation results for crop output market participation
Explanatory Variables                                                   Coef.       Std. Err.
Household and household head characteristics
Age of household head (year)                                            0.093397         0.147651
Sex of household head (yes=1, no=0)                                    -7.831571         6.778989

Education of household head (literate=1, illiterate=0)                  5.068704         3.734701
Family size (no.)                                                       0.029731         0.929591

Ownership of livestock
Other livestock owned (TLU)                                             0.135571         0.730926

Market access

Distance from settlement center to nearest market place (km)        -1.309654***         0.457385

Distance from settlement center to nearest all weather road (km)       -0.237029         0.248684
Equine owned (no.)                                                     -0.159586         0.872255

Institutional service

Involvement in extension program (2005/06) (yes=1, no=0)               -1.535830         4.362558
Access to credit (2005/06) (yes=1, no=0)                                5.068451         3.830619

Realized input and market orientation
Value of annual crop produced (Birr)                                 0.001072***         0.000413

Market orientation index                                           127.892700***        19.517950
Constant                                                               -11.662250       10.262850
Conclusions/implications
 The key implication of this study is:
   Policy, technological, organizational and
    institutional interventions aimed at promoting
    commercial transformation of subsistence
    agriculture should follow two-pronged
    approach:
        improving market orientation of smallholders at
         production level, and
        facilitating market entry and participation of
         households in output markets.
        focusing on either may not be as effective in
         achieving the transformation.
Conclusions/implications (2)
 Household capacity to produce surplus production stand
  out as critical in commercial transformation
 Improving market access promotes both market
  orientation and market participation

 The extension service in the study area appears effective
  in promoting market orientation, but failed to have
  significant effect on market participation
    successful commercial transformation of small holder
     agriculture will need the strengthening of market
     oriented extension service
Thank You!!

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Market orientation and market participation of smallholders in Ethiopia: Implications for commercial transformation

  • 1. Market orientation and market participation of smallholders in Ethiopia: Implications for commercial transformation Berhanu Gebremedhin (International Livestock Research Institute) and Moti Jaleta (International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center) Presented at the 28th triennial conference of the International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE), Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, 18-24 August 2012
  • 2. Background  Commercial transformation of subsistence agriculture for economic growth and development for many agriculture dependent developing countries  Sustainable household food security and welfare also requires commercial transformation of subsistence agriculture.  Commercial agricultural production is likely to result in growth and welfare gains through the realization of :  comparative advantages,  economies of scale,  enhanced uptake of technologies  dynamic technological, organizational and institutional change effects that arise from the flow of ideas due to exchange-based interactions
  • 3. Market orientation  Has been used widely in the manufacturing sector:  as a basis to make decisions on production and marketing  shown as a major determinant of competitive advantage  What is market orientation?  the organization wide generation of market intelligence pertaining to current and future customer needs, dissemination of the intelligence across departments, and organization wide responsiveness to it (Kohli and Jakowski, 1990).
  • 4. Market orientation in smallholder agriculture (2)  The literature on commercialization of smallholders makes little distinction between market orientation and market participation of smallholders.  most of the analysis of the determinants of smallholder commercialization is based on the analysis of the determinants of output market participation  However, analysis of the determinants of market orientation and market participation separately would be useful in guiding the type of interventions needed at production and marketing levels to facilitate commercial transformation.  Hence, our work makes the distinction between market orientation and market participation and:  analyzes the determinants of each separately.  determines if market orientation translates into market participation.
  • 5. Conceptual framework  Defn:  market orientation in agriculture as the degree of allocation of resources (land, labor and capital) to the production of agricultural produce that are meant for exchange or sale.  Market participation as the extent to which a household participates in the market as seller.  The determinants of market orientation and market participation may not be the same because:  household specific endogenous prices lie between the mark-up selling and buying prices- transactions costs  surplus production due to various reasons, including favorable weather conditions, although it may not be market oriented.  Hence:  production possibilities, comparative advantages and expected profitability are expected to be major determinants of market orientation.  Realized output, profitability and market orientation are expected to be major determinants of market participation.
  • 6. Conceptual framework (2) Household and household head characteristics (age, sex and literacy of characteristics head; household size) (age, sex and literacy of head; household size) Livestock ownership (cattle, shoats, Livestock ownership poultry) (cattle, shoats, poultry) Household endowment of Crop production factors (land, oxen, Crop production factors family labor and farm equipment) Market orientation (MOI) Crop output market (land, family labor and farm equipment) participation (COMP) (relative importance of more Agro-ecological factors and land Natural factors affecting crop production marketable crops in the portfolio (proportion of output sold) fragmentation affecting crop production of household crop production) of crop choice) (rainfall, altitude and land fragmentation) (rainfall, altitude and land fragmentation) Market and road access Market access (distance to nearest market place and and transport equine road, ownership of equine) (distance to nearest market place and road, ownership of equine) Institutional services (involvement in extension and credit services the previous year)
  • 7. Empirical model MOI  f (HH , HR, LVSTK , MKTac, EXT ,CRD, RF , ALT , SI ,u ) i MOI i COMP  f ( HH , LVSTK , MKTac, EXT , CRD, CRVP , MOI , uCOMP ) i i All coefficients and standard errors are adjusted for sampling weights, clustering, and stratification Market orientation decision can be endogenous variable in this specification, if the realized level of market participation was envisioned during production decision. •physical and natural crop production factors as instruments to test for possible endogeneity of MOI in the model for crop output market participation.
  • 8. Data  Survey of:  168 households and all plots operated by the households,  53 communities (peasant associations (PAs)) in three districts in 2007/08.  Farming systems were stratified into PAs and households in each PA were selected randomly based on proportional to size sampling.  Indices of land fragmentation, market orientation, and crop output market participation in annual crops were computed using the household, plot and community level data.
  • 9. The Indices (fragmentation, market orientation, market participation) J  2 aij j 1 SI i  1  A2 i N S K  k Lik k  i 1 ki MOI i  k 1 N LT i Q i 1 ki K P k S ik COMP  i k 1 K P k 1 k Qik
  • 10. Household market orientation and market participation Variables N Mean Std. Dev. Min Max Market orientation index 168 0.29 0.09 0.07 0.59 Crop output market participation index (%) 167 25.29 19.88 0 86.60 Land fragmentation index (Simpson index) 168 0.49 0.31 0 0.90 Value of annual crop produced (Birr) 168 3851.06 3840.23 0 25600.00
  • 11. Estimation results for market orientation (MOI) (OLS) Explanatory Variables Coef. Std. Err. Household and household head characteristics Age of household head (year) -0.000047 0.000688 Sex of household head (yes=1, no=0) -0.000668 0.031057 Education of household head (literate=1, illiterate=0) 0.018513 0.016021 Family size (no.) -0.012686*** 0.003896 Ownership of livestock Other livestock owned (TLU) -0.000397 0.003388 Ownership of crop production factors Available family labour (persons) 0.019547*** 0.006569 Farmland size owned (ha) 0.003840 0.012890 Oxen owned (no.) 0.004158 0.006288 Value of farm equipment (Birr) -0.000004 0.000044 Natural factors affecting crop production Rainfall (mm) 0.000189*** 0.000037 Altitude (m above sea level) -0.000184*** 0.000039 Land fragmentation index (Simpson index) -0.027573 0.028794 Market access Distance from settlement center to nearest market place (km) 0.001085 0.002357 Distance from settlement center to nearest all weather road (km) -0.001792 0.001232 Equine owned (no.) 0.017839*** 0.006023 Institutional service Involvement in extension program (2005/06) (yes=1, no=0) 0.034089** 0.014347 Access to credit (2005/06) (yes=1, no=0) -0.001400 0.020920 Constant 0.356452*** 0.081830
  • 12. Tobit estimation results for crop output market participation Explanatory Variables Coef. Std. Err. Household and household head characteristics Age of household head (year) 0.093397 0.147651 Sex of household head (yes=1, no=0) -7.831571 6.778989 Education of household head (literate=1, illiterate=0) 5.068704 3.734701 Family size (no.) 0.029731 0.929591 Ownership of livestock Other livestock owned (TLU) 0.135571 0.730926 Market access Distance from settlement center to nearest market place (km) -1.309654*** 0.457385 Distance from settlement center to nearest all weather road (km) -0.237029 0.248684 Equine owned (no.) -0.159586 0.872255 Institutional service Involvement in extension program (2005/06) (yes=1, no=0) -1.535830 4.362558 Access to credit (2005/06) (yes=1, no=0) 5.068451 3.830619 Realized input and market orientation Value of annual crop produced (Birr) 0.001072*** 0.000413 Market orientation index 127.892700*** 19.517950 Constant -11.662250 10.262850
  • 13. Conclusions/implications  The key implication of this study is:  Policy, technological, organizational and institutional interventions aimed at promoting commercial transformation of subsistence agriculture should follow two-pronged approach:  improving market orientation of smallholders at production level, and  facilitating market entry and participation of households in output markets.  focusing on either may not be as effective in achieving the transformation.
  • 14. Conclusions/implications (2)  Household capacity to produce surplus production stand out as critical in commercial transformation  Improving market access promotes both market orientation and market participation  The extension service in the study area appears effective in promoting market orientation, but failed to have significant effect on market participation  successful commercial transformation of small holder agriculture will need the strengthening of market oriented extension service