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roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  Balance Sheet Repair Mode By Christian Menegatti Head of Global Economic Research at Roubini Global Economics Prepared for Irish Life Investment Managers  -- May 2011
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  Global inflation on the rise
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  Not exactly what you call a recovery…
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  De/Dis-inflation is what’s ahead for a while
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  Federal Debt and State and Local Debt and Simulated Cumulative Shortfalls as a Percentage of GDP Source: United Stated Government Accountability Office Available at:  http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10899.pdf
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: National Statistics, Gapminder, RGE.  Note: average growth rates 5 years before/after Country Peak Year Growth Before Growth After Hong Kong 1997 4.9 1.3 Indonesia 1996 7.1 0.4 Malaysia 1995 9.3 5.0 Thailand 1995 9.0 0.6 South Korea 1991 9.7 7.3 Japan 1990 5.1 1.5 Singapore 1984 8.7 5.8 Philippines 1983 4.6 0.0
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roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],roubini.com | americas@roubini.com Tel: 212.645.0010  | europe@roubini.com / asia@roubini.com Tel: +44 (0) 207 420 2800

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