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Global Perspectives on
Agricultural Biotechnology
                  By Gary R. Blumenthal
                                 At IITA
                         Ibadan, Nigeria
                        31 August 2009
Speaker’s Biases
•   Desktop Farmer (Information products)
•   Fundamental S&D; Policy Overlay
•   Since 1980
•   Global Analysts
•   Clients
           •   Multinationals: ABC’s, Inputs
           •   Food Processors
           •   Financial Institutions
           •   Hedge Funds
           •   Farmers/Cooperatives

• Consulting Projects
Quiz
a. Selective Breeding
b. Genetically modified
   via biotechnology
c. Nollywood
“African countries need to think and
operate as stakeholders, rather than
accepting the „victim mentality‟ created in
Europe.”
Florence Wambugu ISAAA
Biotech and
    Yields
•U.S. yields outpace
EU
•Productivity
+4.4%/year
•GM Wheat
agreement
Agricultural Investment
            • Food processing
              has captured
              just 10% of
              cross-border
              investment;
            • Production
              agriculture
              received just
              0.0006%
Ag Biotechnology Investment


• US$8.6 billion Venture
  capital investment in life
  sciences in 2007.
• One-third of all venture
  capital in U.S., Canada and
  Sweden in life sciences.
Efficient Regulatory
                    Management
High cost of
regulatory
compliance is              Components
one of the
reasons
                •   National Biosafety Policy
delaying
release of      •   Regulatory Regime (objective)
events in       •   Transparent Administrative system
developing
                •   Public Awareness and Participation
countries.
                •   System for Follow-up
FAO
2-5 years,
  all new
  crops.



Excessive
 regulation
 has its
 impact.
Publicly Supported GM Field Trials
Pace Grows Exponentially

1,000,000,000
                                                                      Single
                                                                      molecule?
 100,000,000                                     Massively
                                                 parallel
                                                 sequencing                Short-read
  10,000,000                                                               sequencers

   1,000,000                                                         Microwell
                                        Capillary                    pyrosequenc
                                                                     ing
     100,000                            sequencing

                                                              Second-
      10,000        Gel-based                                 generation
                    systems                                   capillary
                                Automated                     sequencer
       1,000                                         First-
                Manual Slab     Slab Gel
                                                     generation
                Gel
         100                                         capillary
Still Debating Last Century’s
                  Technology

              Metabolic Pathway Engineering
             Synthetic Biology
           Nanotechnology
         Transgenics
      Mutagenisis
   Cloning
Selective Breeding and Hybridization
Biotech and Nigeria’s Future
                   •   Hunger
                   •   Health/Output Traits
President
Yar’adua:          •   Disease/Insect/Herbicide Resistance
Not just food      •   Nitrogen Fixing
security but
agriculture as a
                   •   Drought Resistance
major foreign
exchange
                   •   Salinity Tolerance
earner by 2020.    •   Climate Change (both GHG reduction and
                       adaptation)
                   • Energy
Conclusions
Thank you.

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Global perspectives on agricultural biotechnology

  • 1. Global Perspectives on Agricultural Biotechnology By Gary R. Blumenthal At IITA Ibadan, Nigeria 31 August 2009
  • 2. Speaker’s Biases • Desktop Farmer (Information products) • Fundamental S&D; Policy Overlay • Since 1980 • Global Analysts • Clients • Multinationals: ABC’s, Inputs • Food Processors • Financial Institutions • Hedge Funds • Farmers/Cooperatives • Consulting Projects
  • 3. Quiz a. Selective Breeding b. Genetically modified via biotechnology c. Nollywood
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  • 8. “African countries need to think and operate as stakeholders, rather than accepting the „victim mentality‟ created in Europe.” Florence Wambugu ISAAA
  • 9. Biotech and Yields •U.S. yields outpace EU •Productivity +4.4%/year •GM Wheat agreement
  • 10. Agricultural Investment • Food processing has captured just 10% of cross-border investment; • Production agriculture received just 0.0006%
  • 11. Ag Biotechnology Investment • US$8.6 billion Venture capital investment in life sciences in 2007. • One-third of all venture capital in U.S., Canada and Sweden in life sciences.
  • 12. Efficient Regulatory Management High cost of regulatory compliance is Components one of the reasons • National Biosafety Policy delaying release of • Regulatory Regime (objective) events in • Transparent Administrative system developing • Public Awareness and Participation countries. • System for Follow-up FAO
  • 13. 2-5 years, all new crops. Excessive regulation has its impact.
  • 14. Publicly Supported GM Field Trials
  • 15. Pace Grows Exponentially 1,000,000,000 Single molecule? 100,000,000 Massively parallel sequencing Short-read 10,000,000 sequencers 1,000,000 Microwell Capillary pyrosequenc ing 100,000 sequencing Second- 10,000 Gel-based generation systems capillary Automated sequencer 1,000 First- Manual Slab Slab Gel generation Gel 100 capillary
  • 16. Still Debating Last Century’s Technology Metabolic Pathway Engineering Synthetic Biology Nanotechnology Transgenics Mutagenisis Cloning Selective Breeding and Hybridization
  • 17. Biotech and Nigeria’s Future • Hunger • Health/Output Traits President Yar’adua: • Disease/Insect/Herbicide Resistance Not just food • Nitrogen Fixing security but agriculture as a • Drought Resistance major foreign exchange • Salinity Tolerance earner by 2020. • Climate Change (both GHG reduction and adaptation) • Energy