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CHEMICAL AND PETROLEUM INDUSTRIES EDITION




GLOBAL CEO STUDY
2                                                                                          the enterprise of the future




                                   INTRODUCTION
                                   What will the Enterprise of the Future look like? To answer that ques-
    SURVEY SAMPLE
                                   tion, we spoke with more than 1,130 CEOs, general managers and
    Our survey sample includes
                                   senior public sector and business leaders from around the world as
    CEOs from chemical
    companies, petroleum           part of our biennial Global CEO Study series.1 Across industries,
    companies, services
                                   geographies and organizations of different sizes, the view was sur-
    companies, energy and
    petroleum chemical             prisingly similar: the Enterprise of the Future is hungry for change,
    product companies.
    Two-thirds of the respon-
                                   innovative beyond customer imagination, globally integrated, dis-
    dents represent multina-       ruptive by nature, and genuine, not just generous.
    tional companies; only 14
    percent lead national
    organizations. Twenty-four     However, these aspirations hold specific opportunities and chal-
    percent of respondents are
                                   lenges for the Chemical and Petroleum (C&P) industries. Based on
    based in the Americas; 37
    percent in Europe, the         the responses of the 42 C&P CEOs who took part in our study, we’ve
    Middle East and Africa; and
    39 percent in Asia Pacific.
                                   taken a closer look at the implications for C&P companies. These
    Almost all of these leaders    findings draw on the rich insights from our CEOs through statistical
    were interviewed by IBM
    executives in face-to-face     and financial analyses as well as the voices of the CEOs themselves.
    interviews lasting one hour.




                                   HUNGRY        INNOvATIvE     GLOBALLY      DISRUPTIvE          GENUINE,
                                   FOR           BEYOND         INTEGRATED    BY                  NOT JUST
                                   CHANGE        CUSTOMER                     NATURE              GENEROUS
                                                 IMAGINATION
HUNGRY
                                                                                                      3




                 FOR
                 CHANGE


C&P CEOs expect a significant and
                                                                         “We must grab the opportu-
increasing level of change over the next                                  nity to go global and adopt
                                                                          significant changes to com-
three years, and their responses show a 19                                pete in the global markets.”

percent gap between required change and                                   CEO, Asian rubber company


their past success at managing it. Will they
be able to shrink this growing gap?
C&P CEOs are wrestling with change on many fronts, and the top
external forces impacting their businesses are: volatile market
demand, escalating talent shortages, environmental issues and a
competitive landscape that is more global than ever. The impact of
these shifts is dramatic. More than eight out of ten C&P CEOs antici-
pate substantial change for their organizations over the next three
years.

Yet only 62 percent say their companies have managed such change
successfully in the past (see Figure 1), leaving a “change gap” of 19
percent. C&P companies’ ability to change is simply not keeping
pace with the level of change they’re confronting. In fact, the change
gap across all industries has more than doubled since 2006.
4                                                                                                  the enterprise of the future




        FIGURE 1     tHE CHANGE GAP
                     The change gap across all industries has more than doubled in the past two years.


                        ExPECt SUbStANtIAL CHANGE                     65%

            2006
    All Industries      CHANGEd SUCCESSFULLY IN tHE PASt


                                                               57%
                                                                                                               8%      CHANGE
                                                                                                                       GAP




                        ExPECt SUbStANtIAL CHANGE                                  83%

            2008
    All Industries      CHANGEd SUCCESSFULLY IN tHE PASt


                                                                  61%
                                                                                                         22%           CHANGE
                                                                                                                       GAP




                        ExPECt SUbStANtIAL CHANGE                                81%

            2008
             C&P        CHANGEd SUCCESSFULLY IN tHE PASt


                                                                     62%
                                                                                                         19           %
                                                                                                                       CHANGE
                                                                                                                       GAP




                     Although C&P outperformers expect similar levels of change, their
                     change gap is much smaller than that of underperformers (12 per-
                     cent versus 25 percent).2 Why? Outperforming organizations are
                     significantly better than their peers at successfully navigating
                     change.

                     WHEN CHANGE bECOMES tHE StRAtEGY
                     Today’s oil prices top the news as they reach new highs. Demand is
                     higher, and the ability for supply to meet demand is worsening. Asia’s
                     rapid economic development and energy demand are a primary
                     cause of higher oil prices. In the past year, energy prices have nearly
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                  5




doubled.3 Specialty chemical companies are considering outsourc-
ing the production of their own chemicals or becoming contract
manufacturers for others to enter growth markets.4 The ability to
adapt to continuous change clearly needs to be a strategy for the
C&P Enterprise of the Future because there are no signs the rate of
change will abate any time soon.

To equip their organizations, company leaders need to identify
visionary leaders to challenge current practices, insert them in key
business units and partnerships and give them freedom to maneu-
ver. Companies must also develop the process speed and flexibility
to exploit viable ideas quickly. Flexibility comes from a globally inte-
grated foundation of standardized processes and technology. This
provides a basis from which CEOs can make the key moves to disrupt
the status quo of their businesses and their industry as a whole.

C&P companies need to be experts at planning and executing
enterprise-wide change. Each change initiative should have a doc-
umented strategy that ties the change to its business value drivers
and includes the specifics about what will change and how.
Leadership and responsibilities should be clear – and merged with
the normal business metrics to produce accountability for making
change happen. If C&P companies are to close their change gap,
they will need to become masters at anticipating change and
determining how best to respond.
6                                                          the enterprise of the future




    Case study
    ACCESS INDUSTRIES: ACqUIRING GLOBAL
    BREADTH AND DEPTH

    Access Industries is a company with both a global and cross-industry
    perspective. Its strategy has resulted in the aquisition of a diverse
    portfolio, including:

    •	 Aluminum:	 Formed	 from	 a	 series	 of	 mergers	 and	 acquisitions,	
     United Company RUSAL is the world’s largest vertically integrated
     aluminum and alumina producer.5

    •	 Oil	and	Gas:	TNK-BP	is	a	leading,	vertically-integrated	oil	company	
     formed from Russian oil and gas assets of BP, AAR (a venture with
     Alfa Bank, Access Industries and Renova Group) and the recent
     acquisition of part of Slavneft.6

    •	 Petrochemicals:	LyondellBasell	is	one	of	the	world’s	largest	poly-
     mer, petrochemical and fuels companies.7

    •	 Energy	and	Power:	Access	Industries	partnered	to	create	Bogatyr	
     Access	Komir	LLP,	a	coal	industry	leader	in	Kazakhstan	that	sup-
     plies coal to Access Energy Group power plants and others.8

    •	 Telecom	 and	 Media:	 The	 company	 has	 invested	 in	 several	 large	
     media companies including Warner Music Group.9

    •	 Real	Estate	and	Hospitality:	It	has	also	invested	in	commercial	real	
     estate and hotels in the Americas and Europe.10

    Access Industries has successfully brought together diverse partners
    in untapped markets to transform itself into a major player across a
    broad spectrum of products within just the last twenty years.
INNOVAtIVE
                                                                                                     7




                bEYONd
                CUStOMER
                IMAGINAtION

C&P investment in rising consumer                                       “Our ability to move quickly
purchasing power is extremely high and                                   in the Chinese market will
                                                                         have a very major impact.”
still growing. Could this intense focus on                              CEO, Chemical manufacturer

new markets cause C&P companies to
neglect the needs of increasingly informed
and sophisticated consumers?
C&P companies serve several types of customers, all with specific
needs. Customer types include consumers, business to business
customers, and business to government customers. C&P CEOs are
extremely upbeat about rising purchasing power among consumers
in developing economies and increasing wealth in developed
nations. In fact, 86 percent of C&P CEOs believe this trend will have
a positive impact on their businesses, as compared to only 67 per-
cent across all industries. Consumer prosperity increases miles trav-
eled and energy consumed by every type of customer.

As consumers around the world become more prosperous, they’re
also becoming more demanding and better informed, creating
higher expectations in every aspect from products to the social
8                                                                                                the enterprise of the future




               responsibilities of companies. Across industries, companies are wres-
               tling with new ways to serve the consumer who now has unprece-
               dented access to information and an increasing interest in
               collaboration across social, environmental and business networks.
               However, since C&P companies’ relationships with the end consumer
               are less direct than those in other industries, the impact of this trend
               seems less critical. As a result, C&P CEOs are more hesitant about
               this second trend – only 67 percent view it as positive. In fact, among
               all the industries we studied, C&P CEOs report both one of the low-
               est positive impacts from the informed consumer and the lowest
               increase in investment in this trend (see Figure 2).


    FIGURE 2   C&P COMPANIES PERCEIVE LESS CONSUMER INFLUENCE
               C&P investment in informed consumers is less than other industries.

                 PERCENt POSItIVE AbOUt
                 IMPACt OF INFORMEd
                 CUStOMERS

                 100%                                                                Health
                                                                                     Care
                                                                       Health        Payers
                                                                       Care
                  80%                                                  Providers
                                       ALL INDUSTRIES
                                                                  Pharmaceutical
                  60%         Automotive       Electronics                           Energy &
                                                                                     Utilities
                                            Chemical &
                  40%                       Petroleum


                  20%
                        0%              10%              20%            30%            40%
                        PERCENt INVEStMENt INCREASE IN NExt tHREE YEARS tO AddRESS
                        INFORMEd CUStOMER
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                   9




In terms of spending related to these two customer trends, C&P
CEOs are decidedly more focused on the opportunities associated
with rising prosperity worldwide. Over the past three years, they
have devoted 49 percent of their total investments to exploit this
rising prosperity – almost twice that of other industries.11 That’s five
times more than what they plan to invest in the informed consumer.

Could this lack of investment in the informed consumer be at odds
with C&P priorities? As consumers become more environmentally
aware, their perceptions can affect everything from product buying
decisions to approval of new facility locations to the ability to recruit
younger workers with key skills. Although their enterprise customers
often have a more direct relationship with the consumer, C&P com-
panies cannot afford to ignore today’s more informed and engaged
consumer.

C&P COMPANIES AS COLLAbORAtORS
Greater innovation across both developed and developing markets
– for both more prosperous and more informed consumers –
depends on the C&P industries’ ability to develop and apply cus-
tomer insights. C&P OEMs must consider how customer information
is gathered and analyzed – and have processes in place to apply the
resulting insights. This information provides an increased under-
standing of a company’s role in its community and new opportuni-
ties to explore environmentally friendly products.
10                                                       the enterprise of the future




     For C&P industrial customers, collaboration remains critical and
     should be proactively pursued. As Patricia Woertz, Archer Daniels
     Midland Company’s CEO and president, explained: “All the answers
     won’t come from big research labs. Partnerships … are anywhere
     from universities to small labs, to small entrepreneurs, to sometimes
     even one-off individuals, whether they come to work as employees
     or they’re really working in a partnership long-distance.” 12
     Collaborative relationships should be beneficial to all the companies
     involved and often result in solutions not possible or timely enough
     when companies go it alone. C&P companies should focus on mak-
     ing partnerships second nature – proactively approaching custom-
     ers to co-develop ideas for mutual benefit, developing repeatable
     processes for external partner management and leveraging tools to
     support co-development of solutions.
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                    11




Case study
BASF SE: PARTNERING TO INNOvATE

BASF is a major chemical company serving customers worldwide
that has learned to take advantage of partnerships to increase its
revenue. Since 2002, BASF has nearly doubled its sales, and profit-
ability is up 1.7 times.13 It uses a four-part growth strategy to guide
every decision. Its customer premise is: “We help our customers to
become more successful.”14

To drive profitable growth, the company collaborates with custom-
ers to develop new solutions unique to their specific requirements
and to strengthen both the customers’ and BASF’s competitiveness.
BASF customer partnerships have yielded several new ideas:

•	 BASF	Coatings’	paint	specialists	worked	with	Ford	to	develop	the	
   brilliant signature color “Electric Orange” for its Focus ST. The part-
   nership also launched a new paint application process that pre-
   serves the finish and minimizes the physical space required to
   apply the paint.15

•	 At	Renault	Revoz,	BASF	improved	painting	process	efficiency	and	
   is paid for each perfectly painted vehicle rather than for the paint
   itself.16

•	 BASF	and	adidas	partnered	to	develop	a	specialized	sole	for	the	
   a3: running shoe that meets the requirements for both endurance
   and cushioning.17

BASF has parlayed their operational, design and technical skills into
partnerships with its customers to create mutually beneficial growth
relationships.
GLObALLY
                                       INtEGRAtEd



                                     C&P CEOs are well aware of the impacts of
“To benefit from global
 integration, talent is our          globalization on their industries. But what
 top priority. Each link, from
 research and development            kinds of changes are required to overcome
 to product sales, cannot
 go forward without talent.          skill shortages and become more globally
 Although we are recruiting,
 we still have a shortage.”          integrated?
 CEO, specialty chemicals company,
 China
                                     C&P companies are clearly global, multinational corporations, but
                                     according to our survey, petroleum companies tend to be less glob-
                                     ally integrated than those in other industries. When analyzing char-
                                     acteristics such as partnering, standardization, global branding and
                                     operational optimization, only 33 percent of petroleum CEOs were
                                     categorized as globalizers or extensive globalizers. These percent-
                                     ages are far lower than the 64 percent of companies across the full
                                     sample that were included in these two categories (see Figure 3).




 CHAPTER
 ONE
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                                       13




FIGURE 3   PEtROLEUM COMPANIES’ bUSINESS dESIGNS ARE LESS GLObAL
                                                                           18
           Cluster analysis shows fewer globally integrated characteristics.

                         ALL INdUStRIES                                        PEtROLEUM

                 LOCALIZERS                   ExtENSIVE
                 19%                          GLObALIZERS                                    ExtENSIVE
                                                                                             GLObALIZERS
                                              31%
                                                                                             33%


                                                            LOCALIZERS
           bLENdEd                                          56%
           tHINKERS
           17%

                                                                                           bLENdEd
                                                                                           tHINKERS
                                    GLObALIZERS                                            11%
                                    33%




           Skill shortages were rated by CEOs as the top barrier to global inte-
           gration, which corresponds to the high C&P CEO focus on changing
           the mix of capabilities, knowledge and assets. C&P CEOs are also
           focused on partnering, optimizing operations globally and globaliz-
           ing their products and brands (see Figure 4).

           Insufficient talent – particularly management skills – is making global
           integration more difficult for C&P companies. According to a recent
           IBM Institute for Business value study on human capital manage-
           ment, 76 percent of C&P human resource executives cited building
           leadership talent as the number one capability challenge facing
           them today. Great organizations need to develop leaders who can
           deliver business results while guiding employees through the
14                                                                                                                          the enterprise of the future




              FIGURE 4 C&P CEOS ARE MOVING tOWARd GREAtER GLObAL INtEGRAtION
                           C&P CEO future priorities to become globally integrated indicate a more global focus.


         Globally oriented          Equally important             Locally focused


                                           ALL INdUStRIES                    57%            32%     11%
     deeply change the mix of                                                                                   Maintain current mix of capabilities,
     capabilities, knowledge and assets                                                                                      knowledge and assets
                                          C&P                                59%            32% 10%
                                           ALL INdUStRIES                    55%            35% 10%
     Partner extensively                                                                                                      do everything in-house
                                            C&P                           52%                38% 10%
                                                      ALL INdUStRIES         43%             37%           20%
     Actively enter new markets                                                                                                      defend your core
                                                C&P                       48%                38%      14%
                                                         ALL INdUStRIES      40%             33%                27%
     Globalize brands/products                                                                                              Localize brands/products
                                                  C&P                     44%                 41%         15%
                                                            ALL INdUStRIES      39%          31%                  29%
     Optimize operations globally                                                                                        Optimize operations locally
                                             C&P                          48%         43%            10%
                                                         ALL INdUStRIES 24%                         50%               26%
     Grow through mergers and
                                                                                                                                     Grow organically
     acquisitions
                                                             C&P   15%                               63%              22%
                                                              ALL INdUStRIES   30%           33%                      36%
     drive multiple cultures                                                                                                     Strive for one culture
                                                            C&P              27%              44%                  29%




                                  uncertainty of business today. Highly skilled leaders are critical to an
                                  organization’s ability to face the challenges of globalization and
                                  increasing demand for innovation. Future leaders for the new global
                                  marketplace need to excel at establishing a vision, collaborating and
                                  executing on a more complex, global stage.19
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                   15




For oil and gas companies, the challenge is particularly significant.
Almost half of the aging workforce in exploration and production
activities will retire in less than a decade.20 And companies are tak-
ing serious steps to fill the gaps. Energy majors are increasing recruit-
ing efforts. According to Darci Sinclair, a Shell spokeswoman, Shell is
attracting recent graduates by “building strong and more extensive
relationships with key universities, intensifying campus recruiting
activities and increasing involvement in the classroom.”21

The new workforce will need important new attributes such as the
ability to work virtually and across diverse cultures. And key to
enabling this workforce to reach its potential will be the building and
rotation of appropriate leadership talent, with an emphasis on
attracting quality executives from both inside and outside of
Chemical and Petroleum, and nurturing new, young graduates to fill
the talent pipeline. Priority skills that will need to be recruited and
developed will vary according to region, availability and market
demand.

C&P ENtERPRISES AS GLObAL INtEGRAtORS
C&P companies must work toward global integration, not just creat-
ing a global presence. C&P CEOs’ rank the globalization of products
and optimization of operations higher than other industries, indicat-
ing global integration efforts are still a work in progress. Evolving
economies and markets will fuel new products, services and busi-
ness models. The challenge faced by C&P companies will evolve from
achieving a global presence to effective global execution.
16                                                      the enterprise of the future




     Optimizing operations requires underlying integration capabilities.
     An enterprise-wide infrastructure of standard business practices
     and information allows companies to adapt as business changes
     occur. In a recent IBM study on risk management, outperforming
     companies were one-third more likely to have standard processes,
     global process ownership and global information standards. And
     they were twice as likely to have global processes in place.22 C&P
     companies understand the necessity of an integrated infrastructure
     to support operations and need to continue the establishment of
     global, cross-enterprise standards through process ownership, sim-
     plifying enabling systems and the associated organizational struc-
     tures. Standardization of the business and mechanisms such as
     worldwide “centers of excellence” will ease integration challenges
     and help create differentiating capabilities, knowledge and assets
     from around the world.
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                17




Case study
DOW: GLOBALLY INTEGRATING IP

Dow is a diversified chemical company with annual sales of US$54
billion and 46,000 employees worldwide that deliver products and
services across 160 countries.23

Dow, a top research firm, has a rich and diverse portfolio that
included more than 29,000 patents in 1992. The company decided,
at that time, to explore new ways to pull together and mine its intel-
lectual property (IP) from across the company using a center of
excellence type model. By standardizing their IP business practices
and information, Dow created a way to exploit its significant intel-
lectual assets.24

The company formed a geographically diverse team to leverage IP
both internally and externally, evaluating which of two paths each
patents might follow:

•	 Patents	for	internal	use	to	support	increased	competitive	position-
   ing for Dow, enhance core competitive advantage and strengthen
   its available technology

•	 Patents	for	use	by	third	parties	in	noncompetitive	opportunities.25

For third-party commercialization, a cross-functional team evaluates
licensing opportunities for the unused patents. As a result, fees and
royalties increased from US$25 million in 1994 to more than US$125
million in 2005.26 By integrating IP across the corporation, Dow has
enabled not only its own innovative processes, but also those of its
partners and increased revenues as a result.
dISRUPtIVE
18                                                          the enterprise of the future




       bY
       NAtURE


     Despite big developments in new energy
     and other products, only half of C&P CEOs
     are implementing extensive business model
     innovations. Are they too entrenched in
     current models? Will the next major energy
     innovation come from outside their current
     industries?
     While 69 percent of CEOs across all industries are pursuing exten-
     sive business model innovation, only 51 percent of C&P CEOs are
     doing so. In fact, C&P is one of the least active industries in terms of
     business model innovation – at the back of the pack with other
     capital-intensive sectors such as utilities and automotive (see
     Figure 5). Among those who are making business model adjust-
     ments, half chose Enterprise Model Innovation as top priority ver-
     sus 39 percent of CEOs across all industries. To date, the primary
     innovation approach has been traditional, supporting the CEOs
     objectives to achieve its customer goals of new markets, new
     brands and optimization of operational resources.
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                                                    19




           The area attracting the least focus among C&P CEOs is industry
           model innovation. This is not particularly surprising since it the most
           difficult to achieve. Only 19 percent of C&P CEOs are contemplating
           innovations that redefine their existing industry, cross over into
           another industry or establish an entirely new industry. Of these CEOs,
           the focus is primarily to define new industries, building on the trend
           to pursue the rising prosperity of customers and taking advantage
           of new energy trends.

FIGURE 5   C&P COMPANIES LAG OtHER INdUStRIES IN bUSINESS MOdEL INNOVAtION
           Asset-intensive companies, like C&P companies, are less likely to undergo business model innovation (BMI).

                                        ExtENSIVE bMI FOCUS
           Media and Entertainment
                                                                                       82%
           Healthcare Providers
                                                                                      80%
           Financial Markets
                                                                                  78%
           Pharmaceutical
                                                                                  77%
           telecommunications
                                                                                  77%
           Healthcare Payers
                                                                                 74%
           Retail
                                                                                72%
           Electronics
                                                                            70%
           Global
                                                                            69%
           Insurance


                                                                                                 18         %
                                                                           68%
           Industrial Products
                                                                                                            GAP
                                                                           67%
           Consumer Products                                                                                MARGIN
                                                                           66%
           banking
                                                                          64%
           Chemical & Petroleum
                                                                    51%
           Automotive
                                                                49%
           Aerospace and defense
                                                              45%
           Energy & Utility
                                                         39%
20                                                      the enterprise of the future




     C&P COMPANIES AS INNOVAtORS
     C&P CEOs may underestimate the degree of their own business
     model innovation. Chemical companies are developing new tech-
     nologies every day and creating more environmentally friendly uses
     of those technologies. Petroleum companies are beginning to form
     partnerships with many different companies – from customers with
     high energy usage to producers of alternative sources of energy – to
     pursue new energy opportunities.

     By continuing to develop alliances and partnerships, many beyond
     the traditional boundaries of the industry, C&P companies will
     broaden their base of expertise and ideas. Within the industry, com-
     plex operation environments and the constant quest to find feed-
     stock will continue to create the need for unique multipartner
     agreements. C&P companies will continue to invest in entrepreneur-
     ial innovators and ideas outside their industries. And increasingly
     sophisticated consumers will compel the C&P ecosystem to respond
     to their needs and demands.

     In addition to new growth strategies and a more complex workforce,
     market dynamics will prompt C&P companies to redefine the core of
     their businesses. As new business models emerge among the vari-
     ous industries that collaborate with C&P companies, new definitions
     of what is core will evolve.
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                 21




The need to reduce reliance on natural resources, in particular, drives
greater collaboration with other industries. For example, Ford, BP,
and the City of Taylor, Michigan, began in 2006 to open hydrogen
stations to service Ford Focus fuel cells being used as official city
vehicles. Four Taylor vehicles are part of a Ford Focus fuel cell dem-
onstration fleet in the United States, Canada and Germany. Creating
the infrastructure to support a new method of transportation and a
new type of fuel is a prime example of the degree of collaboration
needed from disparate organizations to accomplish significant
changes.27

Intersections between industries can be the starting point for new
companies and partnerships to create new services and solutions.
Externally, C&P companies need to monitor other industries for con-
cepts and business models that could transform their markets.
Internally, they need to create space for entrepreneurs and innova-
tive business models to grow and prosper while continuing to drive
today’s performance.
22                                                          the enterprise of the future




     Case study
     APACHE: DOING WHAT IT DOES BEST

     Apache Corporation is an oil and gas independent with the strategy
     “Grow, succeed, innovate – and do it faster than the guys down the
     street.”28 The company currently operates in the United States,
     Canada, Egypt, the North Sea, Australia and Argentina.29

     In the early 1980s, Apache began acquiring non-operated interests
     in the Gulf of Mexico.30 At the time, Gulf of Mexico drilling was con-
     sidered relatively mature, with rapid decline rates and exposure to
     weather interruptions. And most companies were deciding to reduce
     their exposure in the area. Apache utilized its experienced staff,
     effective management and incentives to become experts at low-
     cost operations. From Shell, for example, Apache acquired non-op-
     erated interest in over 70 federal leases on the continental shelf. By
     1995, the offshore region had become Apache’s most productive
     and profitable area and generated the cash to fund its future acqui-
     sitions and investments.31

     Its low-cost business model positioned the company to embark on
     an acquisition strategy. The company grew across multiple regions
     with five acquisitions from 1999 to 2004, including more in the Gulf
     area, the North Sea and Egypt.32 Apache was able to profit from
     these acquisitions, thanks to its repeatable practices and flexibility in
     areas others thought were not economically feasible.
GENUINE,
                                                                                                      23




                 NOt jUSt
                 GENEROUS


Socially minded consumers, workers,
                                                                       “Demanding customers and
partners and investors are now watching                                 rising expectations of cor-
                                                                        porate social responsibility
almost every move companies make. C&P                                   provide opportunities for us
                                                                        as we deliver better ser-
CEOs have responded with environmental,                                 vices and maintain higher
                                                                        standards. This enables us
community and workforce programs.                                       to secure a premium.”
Are their existing approaches enough to                                 CEO, Asian petrochemical company

manage all aspects of corporate social
responsibility?
It’s no surprise that C&P CEOs are more concerned than CEOs in
other industries about corporate social responsibility (CSR) issues.
And the degree of difference is dramatic – 36 percent of C&P CEOs
see environmental issues as a major change driver versus 18 percent
across the full sample.

What’s even more intriguing is that a much larger segment of C&P
CEOs – 90 percent as compared to the 69 percent cross-industry
average – believe customers’ rising corporate social responsibility
expectations will have a positive impact on their businesses. As a
result, C&P CEOs are planning a 32 percent increase in investment
24                                                                                              the enterprise of the future




                    over the next three years to capitalize on this opportunity (see Figure
                    6). Across industries, CSR-focused CEOs are implementing environ-
                    mental initiatives, new products and services. In contrast, C&P exec-
                    utives are primarily investing in environmental initiatives and new
                    markets – consistent with their optimism about rising prosperity
                    within developing countries.

                    As important as environmental issues are, green cannot be the only
                    color in C&P CEOs’ palettes. Companies must also pay close atten-
                    tion to socioeconomic factors especially as they expand into new
                    areas of the globe. An emerging generation of socially minded con-
                    sumers, workers and investors has growing expectations for ethical
                    corporate behavior and increased transparency across a broad
                    spectrum of issues.

         FIGURE 6    C&P COMPANIES ARE ENtHUSIAStIC AbOUt CSR
                     C&P CEOs view rising CSR expectations more positively than other industries and are increasing
                     their investment in the trend.

                       ALL INdUStRIES                                 69%
         Positive
     about Impact
                       C&P
           of CSR

                                                                                      90%

                                                                            INVEStMENt PASt 3 YEARS




                                                                                                         25 %
                             11%

              All                                                                                                      INVEStMENt
                                                                            INVEStMENt NExt 3 YEARS
       Industries                                                                                                      INCREASE

                              13%


                                                                            INVEStMENt PASt 3 YEARS




                                                                                                         32
                         7%
                                                                                                                       %
            C&P                                                             INVEStMENt NExt 3 YEARS                     INVEStMENt
                                                                                                                        INCREASE

                             10%
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                    25




In a recent IBM Institute for Business value study on C&P risk man-
agement, executives rated their companies highly in Health, Safety,
and Environmental (HSE) expertise, with the largest gap centering
on their ability to drive continuous improvement in this area. Most
companies initially focus on regulatory compliance, the price of entry
for any industry. But as they become adept at standardizing prac-
tices, they can begin to simplify operations globally. This, in turn, will
allow the integration of CSR into performance metrics that drive
daily decision making and actions and ultimately into forward-look-
ing strategic decisions. In this study, companies with a broader view
tended to be better positioned financially and able to improve reli-
ability, resilience and predictability.33

C&P ENtERPRISES AS CSR LEAdERS
Through exploration of alternative energy sources and ongoing
product innovation, C&P companies will continue to play a primary
role in expanding energy beyond fossil fuels. And sustainability will
drive investments, product categories, and performance and conve-
nience packaging decisions well into the next decades. Corporate
social responsibility will take on an as yet unforeseen importance and
will impact organizational strategy in a multitude of ways.
26                                                      the enterprise of the future




     Continually monitoring customers’ and consumers’ CSR expectations
     – and even involving them in solutions – will create the innovative
     environment to adapt as these expectations change. To ensure that
     actions taken throughout the enterprise – and the extended value
     chain – are consistent with CSR values and HSE policies requires the
     integration of CSR into the day-to-day operations of the company.
     By integrating social responsibility metrics and strategies into an
     overall business strategy, C&P companies can respond to growing
     consumer, safety, community and regulatory concerns.
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                  27




Case study
MAKING	THE	LEAP	FROM	OIL	TO	wATER

A recent United Nations report estimates that over a billion people in
Asia alone will be “water stressed” by 2050.34 Recently, more and
more oil companies are looking into the business of water. The core
competencies of the petroleum industry make these companies
likely candidates to become not only the world’s oil suppliers but also
the world’s water suppliers.

The oil industry has an opportunity to apply its same locating, drilling
and pipeline capabilities to extract water. Many wells in Texas, for
example, are actually producing more water than oil as both are
pumped out together, then separated. Industry estimates suggest
that for every barrel of oil extracted, 50 to 100 barrels of water are
captured.35

EarthWater Global is an example of a company utilizing seismic tech-
nologies to locate and develop sustainable groundwater resources.
And other companies are entering or already in the business of
water. T. Boone Pickens is purchasing land in Texas on the Ogallala
Aquifer to provide water to Dallas; Dow Water Solutions provides
water and non-water treatment and separations solutions; and
Halliburton drills and maintains wells for state-owned oil and gas
companies.36
28                                                         the enterprise of the future




     BUILDING YOUR ENTERPRISE OF THE
     FUTURE
     C&P CEOs fundamentally agree with the CEOs in our overall survey
     sample about the characteristics that will distinguish successful busi-
     nesses in the future. Their responses suggest that the Enterprise of
     the Future – as we have called it – will be hungry for change, innova-
     tive beyond customer imagination, globally integrated, disruptive by
     nature and genuine, not just generous.

     However, the challenges C&P CEOs face are different from those of
     other CEOs in some respects. They anticipate significant change,
     but the asset-intensive nature of their industries makes business
     model innovation more difficult. They are more global, but the
     emphasis on entering new markets, globalizing brands, and optimiz-
     ing resources suggests they are not as integrated as they need to
     be. While expanding more rapidly into developing countries, they
     are less likely to take advantage of opportunities related to today’s
     increasingly informed and collaborative consumer. And they’re under
     tremendous pressure to respond to the trend toward greener
     technologies.

     The critical question is: are C&P companies prepared for the future?
     Do they have the adaptable processes and infrastructure they need
     to manage more change at a faster pace, and capitalize on the new
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                                  29




opportunities that globalization, increasing affluence and greater
connectivity are creating? The partners they need to innovate? The
flexibility they need to pursue business model change? Integrated
resources to seize opportunities wherever they appear in a global
marketplace?

We look forward to learning more about where you think the C&P
industry is heading – and working with you, as you build your
Enterprise of the Future.

For additional information about the Global CEO Study, visit:
ibm.com/enterpriseofthefuture

To discuss these industry implications further, we invite you to e-mail
one of the following contacts:


Global                                      Steve Edwards     steve.edwards@uk.ibm.com

Americas                                    Dixie Adams       dixiea@us.ibm.com

                                            Tommy L Eubanks   tom.eubanks@us.ibm.com

                                            James Kulbeda     jim.g.kulbeda@us.ibm.com

Northeast Europe                            Axel Preiss       axel.preiss@de.ibm.com

Southwest Europe                            Jeremie Caullet   jeremie.caullet@fr.ibm.com

IBM Institute for Business value            Penny Koppinger   pkopping@us.ibm.com
30                                                             the enterprise of the future




     ABOUT IBM GLOBAL BUSINESS SERvICES
     With business experts in more than 170 countries, IBM Global Business
     Services provides clients with deep business process and industry
     expertise across 17 industries, using innovation to identify, create
     and deliver value faster. It offers one of the largest Strategy & Change
     practices in the world, with over 3,250 strategy professionals. The
     IBM Institute for Business value, part of IBM Global Business Services,
     develops fact-based strategic insights for senior business execu-
     tives around critical industry-specific and cross-industry issues.


     NOTES AND SOURCES
     1
         For readability, we have referred to all respondents as “CEOs” through-
         out the remainder of our report.
     2
         For companies with publicly available financial information, we com-
         pared revenue and profit track records with the averages for those in
         the same industry across our sample. Companies that performed above
         average on a particular financial benchmark were tagged as outper-
         formers, and those below the average were labeled as underperform-
         ers. Throughout our analyses, we looked for insights based on these
         top- and bottom-half groupings.
     3
         “Pickens Plan: The Plan.” One-year view of crude oil prices, as of August
         1, 2008. http://www.pickensplan.com/theplan
     4
         Milmo, Sean. “Changing places.” Chemistry and Industry. May 7, 2007,
         Issue No 9, p. 12.
     5
         “Access Holdings: LyondellBassell Industries.” http://www.accessindus-
         tries.com/index.php?p=investments
     6
         “Our company.” http://www.tnk-bp.com/company/
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                                                    31




7
     “A new global leader.” http://www.lyondellbasell.com/lyondellbasell_
     home.htm
8
     “About the company.” http://www.bogatyr.kz/page.php?lang=2
9
     “Access Holdings: Media and telecommunications.” http://www.access-
     industries.com/index.php?p=investments
10
     “Access Holdings: Real Estate.” http://www.accessindustries.com/index.
     php?p=investments
11
     In our survey, the term “total investments” was defined as: all asset
     investments plus investment in research and development, marketing
     and sales.
12
     ”Ethanol and Beyond.” The Wall Street Journal. March 24, 2008.
13
     IBM analysis of company annual reports.
14
     “Strategy: Our four guidelines.” http://www.corporate.basf.com/en/
     investor/strategie/?id=PKgOBCmdIbcp.1z
15
     “BASF and Ford: Cooperation yields brilliant results.” http://www.corpo-
     r a t e . b a s f. c o m /e n / i n v e s t o r /s t r a t e g i e / k u n d e n / b a s f _ fo r d .
     htm?id=SiIkOCK0Kbcp3d_
16
     “adidas and Renault.” http://www.corporate.basf.com/en/investor/
     strategie/kunden/adidas.htm?id=V00-SiIkOCK0Kbcp3d_
17
     Ibid.
18
     Extensive Globalizers indicated the most extensive and global business
     design changes across all seven aspects discussed – deeply changing
     mix of assets and capabilities, partnering extensively, entering new
     markets, globalizing brands/products, optimizing operations globally,
     growing through mergers/acquisitions, driving multiple cultures.
     Localizers were at the other extreme – maintain current mix of capabili-
     ties and assets, do everything in house, defend core markets, localize
     brands/products, optimize operations locally, grow organically and
     strive for single culture. Blended thinkers ranked everything except
     driving multiple cultures as equally important. Globalizers responded
     like Extensive Globalizers except new assets and skills were as impor-
     tant as current ones, and they were striving for a single culture.
32                                                                the enterprise of the future




     19
          Lesser, Eric. “Unlocking the DNA of the Adaptable Workforce.” IBM
          Institute for Business value. November 2007.
     20
          Gonzalez, Angel. “Experienced Oil And Gas Hands Become A Scarce
          Commodity.” Comtex News Network. February 14, 2006.
     21
          Ibid.
     22
          Koppinger,	 Penny.	 “where	 There’s	 Smoke.”	 IBM	 Institute	 for	 Business	
          value. June 2008.
     23
          “This is Dow.” http://www.dow.com/about/aboutdow/about.htm
     24
          Manasco, Adam. “DOW CHEMICAL CAPITALIZES ON INTELLECTUAL
          ASSETS.” KM Talk. April 8, 2005. http://www.kmtalk.net/article.
          php?story=20050412033035404
     25
          Ibid.
     26
          Ibid.
     27
          “FORD AND BP OPEN FIRST HYDROGEN STATION IN TAYLOR.” Ford press
          release. October 17, 2006. http://media.ford.com/newsroom/release_
          display.cfm?release=24585
     28
          “Mission & values.”         http://www.apachecorp.com/About_Us/
          Mission_values/
     29
          “About us.” http://www.apachecorp.com/About_Us/
     30
          “Defining Moments: 1981 Shell Joint venture.” Apache Corporation.
          October 15, 2004. http://www.apachecorp.com/explore/explore_fea-
          tures/browse_archives/view_Article/?docdoc=372
     31
          “Apache’s Gulf of Mexico Strategy.” Apache Corporation First quarter
          2006 Update. http://www.apachecorp.com/explore/explore_features/
          browse_archives/view_Article/?docdoc=255
     32
          Ibid.
chemical and petroleum industries edition                                           33




33
     Koppinger,	 Penny.	 “where	 There’s	 Smoke.”	 IBM	 Institute	 for	 Business	
     value. June 2008.
34
     “Millions at Risk of Hunger and Water Stress in Asia Unless Global
     Greenhouse Emissions Cut.” United Nations Environmental Programme
     press release. April 10, 2007. http://www.unep.org/Documents.
     Multilingual/Default.asp?ArticleID=5551&DocumentID=504&l=en
35
     Gronewold, Nathaniel. “Oil companies see opportunity in another pre-
     cious commodity.” Greenwire. July 28, 2008. http://www.wbcsd.org/
     Plugins/DocSearch/details.asp?ObjectId=MzA4NjE
36
     Ibid.
© Copyright IBM Corporation 2008

            IBM Global Services
            Route 100
            Somers, NY 10589
            U.S.A.

            Produced in the United States of America
            August 2008
            All Rights Reserved

            IBM, the IBM logo and ibm.com are trademarks
            or registered trademarks of International
            Business Machines Corporation in the United
            States, other countries, or both. If these and
            other IBM trademarked terms are marked
            on their first occurrence in this information
            with a trademark symbol (® or ™), these
            symbols indicate U.S. registered or common
            law trademarks owned by IBM at the time this
            information was published. Such trademarks
            may also be registered or common law
            trademarks in other countries. A current list
            of IBM trademarks is available on the Web at
            “Copyright and trademark information” at
            ibm.com/legal/copytrade.shtml

            Other company, product and service names
            may be trademarks or service marks of others.

            References in this publication to IBM products
            and services do not imply that IBM intends to
            make them available in all countries in which
            IBM operates.




CHAPTER
ONE




           GBE03086-USEN-01

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IBM Oil | Chemical & Petroleum CEOs Try to Keep Up with Changes

  • 1. CHEMICAL AND PETROLEUM INDUSTRIES EDITION GLOBAL CEO STUDY
  • 2. 2 the enterprise of the future INTRODUCTION What will the Enterprise of the Future look like? To answer that ques- SURVEY SAMPLE tion, we spoke with more than 1,130 CEOs, general managers and Our survey sample includes senior public sector and business leaders from around the world as CEOs from chemical companies, petroleum part of our biennial Global CEO Study series.1 Across industries, companies, services geographies and organizations of different sizes, the view was sur- companies, energy and petroleum chemical prisingly similar: the Enterprise of the Future is hungry for change, product companies. Two-thirds of the respon- innovative beyond customer imagination, globally integrated, dis- dents represent multina- ruptive by nature, and genuine, not just generous. tional companies; only 14 percent lead national organizations. Twenty-four However, these aspirations hold specific opportunities and chal- percent of respondents are lenges for the Chemical and Petroleum (C&P) industries. Based on based in the Americas; 37 percent in Europe, the the responses of the 42 C&P CEOs who took part in our study, we’ve Middle East and Africa; and 39 percent in Asia Pacific. taken a closer look at the implications for C&P companies. These Almost all of these leaders findings draw on the rich insights from our CEOs through statistical were interviewed by IBM executives in face-to-face and financial analyses as well as the voices of the CEOs themselves. interviews lasting one hour. HUNGRY INNOvATIvE GLOBALLY DISRUPTIvE GENUINE, FOR BEYOND INTEGRATED BY NOT JUST CHANGE CUSTOMER NATURE GENEROUS IMAGINATION
  • 3. HUNGRY 3 FOR CHANGE C&P CEOs expect a significant and “We must grab the opportu- increasing level of change over the next nity to go global and adopt significant changes to com- three years, and their responses show a 19 pete in the global markets.” percent gap between required change and CEO, Asian rubber company their past success at managing it. Will they be able to shrink this growing gap? C&P CEOs are wrestling with change on many fronts, and the top external forces impacting their businesses are: volatile market demand, escalating talent shortages, environmental issues and a competitive landscape that is more global than ever. The impact of these shifts is dramatic. More than eight out of ten C&P CEOs antici- pate substantial change for their organizations over the next three years. Yet only 62 percent say their companies have managed such change successfully in the past (see Figure 1), leaving a “change gap” of 19 percent. C&P companies’ ability to change is simply not keeping pace with the level of change they’re confronting. In fact, the change gap across all industries has more than doubled since 2006.
  • 4. 4 the enterprise of the future FIGURE 1 tHE CHANGE GAP The change gap across all industries has more than doubled in the past two years. ExPECt SUbStANtIAL CHANGE 65% 2006 All Industries CHANGEd SUCCESSFULLY IN tHE PASt 57% 8% CHANGE GAP ExPECt SUbStANtIAL CHANGE 83% 2008 All Industries CHANGEd SUCCESSFULLY IN tHE PASt 61% 22% CHANGE GAP ExPECt SUbStANtIAL CHANGE 81% 2008 C&P CHANGEd SUCCESSFULLY IN tHE PASt 62% 19 % CHANGE GAP Although C&P outperformers expect similar levels of change, their change gap is much smaller than that of underperformers (12 per- cent versus 25 percent).2 Why? Outperforming organizations are significantly better than their peers at successfully navigating change. WHEN CHANGE bECOMES tHE StRAtEGY Today’s oil prices top the news as they reach new highs. Demand is higher, and the ability for supply to meet demand is worsening. Asia’s rapid economic development and energy demand are a primary cause of higher oil prices. In the past year, energy prices have nearly
  • 5. chemical and petroleum industries edition 5 doubled.3 Specialty chemical companies are considering outsourc- ing the production of their own chemicals or becoming contract manufacturers for others to enter growth markets.4 The ability to adapt to continuous change clearly needs to be a strategy for the C&P Enterprise of the Future because there are no signs the rate of change will abate any time soon. To equip their organizations, company leaders need to identify visionary leaders to challenge current practices, insert them in key business units and partnerships and give them freedom to maneu- ver. Companies must also develop the process speed and flexibility to exploit viable ideas quickly. Flexibility comes from a globally inte- grated foundation of standardized processes and technology. This provides a basis from which CEOs can make the key moves to disrupt the status quo of their businesses and their industry as a whole. C&P companies need to be experts at planning and executing enterprise-wide change. Each change initiative should have a doc- umented strategy that ties the change to its business value drivers and includes the specifics about what will change and how. Leadership and responsibilities should be clear – and merged with the normal business metrics to produce accountability for making change happen. If C&P companies are to close their change gap, they will need to become masters at anticipating change and determining how best to respond.
  • 6. 6 the enterprise of the future Case study ACCESS INDUSTRIES: ACqUIRING GLOBAL BREADTH AND DEPTH Access Industries is a company with both a global and cross-industry perspective. Its strategy has resulted in the aquisition of a diverse portfolio, including: • Aluminum: Formed from a series of mergers and acquisitions, United Company RUSAL is the world’s largest vertically integrated aluminum and alumina producer.5 • Oil and Gas: TNK-BP is a leading, vertically-integrated oil company formed from Russian oil and gas assets of BP, AAR (a venture with Alfa Bank, Access Industries and Renova Group) and the recent acquisition of part of Slavneft.6 • Petrochemicals: LyondellBasell is one of the world’s largest poly- mer, petrochemical and fuels companies.7 • Energy and Power: Access Industries partnered to create Bogatyr Access Komir LLP, a coal industry leader in Kazakhstan that sup- plies coal to Access Energy Group power plants and others.8 • Telecom and Media: The company has invested in several large media companies including Warner Music Group.9 • Real Estate and Hospitality: It has also invested in commercial real estate and hotels in the Americas and Europe.10 Access Industries has successfully brought together diverse partners in untapped markets to transform itself into a major player across a broad spectrum of products within just the last twenty years.
  • 7. INNOVAtIVE 7 bEYONd CUStOMER IMAGINAtION C&P investment in rising consumer “Our ability to move quickly purchasing power is extremely high and in the Chinese market will have a very major impact.” still growing. Could this intense focus on CEO, Chemical manufacturer new markets cause C&P companies to neglect the needs of increasingly informed and sophisticated consumers? C&P companies serve several types of customers, all with specific needs. Customer types include consumers, business to business customers, and business to government customers. C&P CEOs are extremely upbeat about rising purchasing power among consumers in developing economies and increasing wealth in developed nations. In fact, 86 percent of C&P CEOs believe this trend will have a positive impact on their businesses, as compared to only 67 per- cent across all industries. Consumer prosperity increases miles trav- eled and energy consumed by every type of customer. As consumers around the world become more prosperous, they’re also becoming more demanding and better informed, creating higher expectations in every aspect from products to the social
  • 8. 8 the enterprise of the future responsibilities of companies. Across industries, companies are wres- tling with new ways to serve the consumer who now has unprece- dented access to information and an increasing interest in collaboration across social, environmental and business networks. However, since C&P companies’ relationships with the end consumer are less direct than those in other industries, the impact of this trend seems less critical. As a result, C&P CEOs are more hesitant about this second trend – only 67 percent view it as positive. In fact, among all the industries we studied, C&P CEOs report both one of the low- est positive impacts from the informed consumer and the lowest increase in investment in this trend (see Figure 2). FIGURE 2 C&P COMPANIES PERCEIVE LESS CONSUMER INFLUENCE C&P investment in informed consumers is less than other industries. PERCENt POSItIVE AbOUt IMPACt OF INFORMEd CUStOMERS 100% Health Care Health Payers Care 80% Providers ALL INDUSTRIES Pharmaceutical 60% Automotive Electronics Energy & Utilities Chemical & 40% Petroleum 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% PERCENt INVEStMENt INCREASE IN NExt tHREE YEARS tO AddRESS INFORMEd CUStOMER
  • 9. chemical and petroleum industries edition 9 In terms of spending related to these two customer trends, C&P CEOs are decidedly more focused on the opportunities associated with rising prosperity worldwide. Over the past three years, they have devoted 49 percent of their total investments to exploit this rising prosperity – almost twice that of other industries.11 That’s five times more than what they plan to invest in the informed consumer. Could this lack of investment in the informed consumer be at odds with C&P priorities? As consumers become more environmentally aware, their perceptions can affect everything from product buying decisions to approval of new facility locations to the ability to recruit younger workers with key skills. Although their enterprise customers often have a more direct relationship with the consumer, C&P com- panies cannot afford to ignore today’s more informed and engaged consumer. C&P COMPANIES AS COLLAbORAtORS Greater innovation across both developed and developing markets – for both more prosperous and more informed consumers – depends on the C&P industries’ ability to develop and apply cus- tomer insights. C&P OEMs must consider how customer information is gathered and analyzed – and have processes in place to apply the resulting insights. This information provides an increased under- standing of a company’s role in its community and new opportuni- ties to explore environmentally friendly products.
  • 10. 10 the enterprise of the future For C&P industrial customers, collaboration remains critical and should be proactively pursued. As Patricia Woertz, Archer Daniels Midland Company’s CEO and president, explained: “All the answers won’t come from big research labs. Partnerships … are anywhere from universities to small labs, to small entrepreneurs, to sometimes even one-off individuals, whether they come to work as employees or they’re really working in a partnership long-distance.” 12 Collaborative relationships should be beneficial to all the companies involved and often result in solutions not possible or timely enough when companies go it alone. C&P companies should focus on mak- ing partnerships second nature – proactively approaching custom- ers to co-develop ideas for mutual benefit, developing repeatable processes for external partner management and leveraging tools to support co-development of solutions.
  • 11. chemical and petroleum industries edition 11 Case study BASF SE: PARTNERING TO INNOvATE BASF is a major chemical company serving customers worldwide that has learned to take advantage of partnerships to increase its revenue. Since 2002, BASF has nearly doubled its sales, and profit- ability is up 1.7 times.13 It uses a four-part growth strategy to guide every decision. Its customer premise is: “We help our customers to become more successful.”14 To drive profitable growth, the company collaborates with custom- ers to develop new solutions unique to their specific requirements and to strengthen both the customers’ and BASF’s competitiveness. BASF customer partnerships have yielded several new ideas: • BASF Coatings’ paint specialists worked with Ford to develop the brilliant signature color “Electric Orange” for its Focus ST. The part- nership also launched a new paint application process that pre- serves the finish and minimizes the physical space required to apply the paint.15 • At Renault Revoz, BASF improved painting process efficiency and is paid for each perfectly painted vehicle rather than for the paint itself.16 • BASF and adidas partnered to develop a specialized sole for the a3: running shoe that meets the requirements for both endurance and cushioning.17 BASF has parlayed their operational, design and technical skills into partnerships with its customers to create mutually beneficial growth relationships.
  • 12. GLObALLY INtEGRAtEd C&P CEOs are well aware of the impacts of “To benefit from global integration, talent is our globalization on their industries. But what top priority. Each link, from research and development kinds of changes are required to overcome to product sales, cannot go forward without talent. skill shortages and become more globally Although we are recruiting, we still have a shortage.” integrated? CEO, specialty chemicals company, China C&P companies are clearly global, multinational corporations, but according to our survey, petroleum companies tend to be less glob- ally integrated than those in other industries. When analyzing char- acteristics such as partnering, standardization, global branding and operational optimization, only 33 percent of petroleum CEOs were categorized as globalizers or extensive globalizers. These percent- ages are far lower than the 64 percent of companies across the full sample that were included in these two categories (see Figure 3). CHAPTER ONE
  • 13. chemical and petroleum industries edition 13 FIGURE 3 PEtROLEUM COMPANIES’ bUSINESS dESIGNS ARE LESS GLObAL 18 Cluster analysis shows fewer globally integrated characteristics. ALL INdUStRIES PEtROLEUM LOCALIZERS ExtENSIVE 19% GLObALIZERS ExtENSIVE GLObALIZERS 31% 33% LOCALIZERS bLENdEd 56% tHINKERS 17% bLENdEd tHINKERS GLObALIZERS 11% 33% Skill shortages were rated by CEOs as the top barrier to global inte- gration, which corresponds to the high C&P CEO focus on changing the mix of capabilities, knowledge and assets. C&P CEOs are also focused on partnering, optimizing operations globally and globaliz- ing their products and brands (see Figure 4). Insufficient talent – particularly management skills – is making global integration more difficult for C&P companies. According to a recent IBM Institute for Business value study on human capital manage- ment, 76 percent of C&P human resource executives cited building leadership talent as the number one capability challenge facing them today. Great organizations need to develop leaders who can deliver business results while guiding employees through the
  • 14. 14 the enterprise of the future FIGURE 4 C&P CEOS ARE MOVING tOWARd GREAtER GLObAL INtEGRAtION C&P CEO future priorities to become globally integrated indicate a more global focus. Globally oriented Equally important Locally focused ALL INdUStRIES 57% 32% 11% deeply change the mix of Maintain current mix of capabilities, capabilities, knowledge and assets knowledge and assets C&P 59% 32% 10% ALL INdUStRIES 55% 35% 10% Partner extensively do everything in-house C&P 52% 38% 10% ALL INdUStRIES 43% 37% 20% Actively enter new markets defend your core C&P 48% 38% 14% ALL INdUStRIES 40% 33% 27% Globalize brands/products Localize brands/products C&P 44% 41% 15% ALL INdUStRIES 39% 31% 29% Optimize operations globally Optimize operations locally C&P 48% 43% 10% ALL INdUStRIES 24% 50% 26% Grow through mergers and Grow organically acquisitions C&P 15% 63% 22% ALL INdUStRIES 30% 33% 36% drive multiple cultures Strive for one culture C&P 27% 44% 29% uncertainty of business today. Highly skilled leaders are critical to an organization’s ability to face the challenges of globalization and increasing demand for innovation. Future leaders for the new global marketplace need to excel at establishing a vision, collaborating and executing on a more complex, global stage.19
  • 15. chemical and petroleum industries edition 15 For oil and gas companies, the challenge is particularly significant. Almost half of the aging workforce in exploration and production activities will retire in less than a decade.20 And companies are tak- ing serious steps to fill the gaps. Energy majors are increasing recruit- ing efforts. According to Darci Sinclair, a Shell spokeswoman, Shell is attracting recent graduates by “building strong and more extensive relationships with key universities, intensifying campus recruiting activities and increasing involvement in the classroom.”21 The new workforce will need important new attributes such as the ability to work virtually and across diverse cultures. And key to enabling this workforce to reach its potential will be the building and rotation of appropriate leadership talent, with an emphasis on attracting quality executives from both inside and outside of Chemical and Petroleum, and nurturing new, young graduates to fill the talent pipeline. Priority skills that will need to be recruited and developed will vary according to region, availability and market demand. C&P ENtERPRISES AS GLObAL INtEGRAtORS C&P companies must work toward global integration, not just creat- ing a global presence. C&P CEOs’ rank the globalization of products and optimization of operations higher than other industries, indicat- ing global integration efforts are still a work in progress. Evolving economies and markets will fuel new products, services and busi- ness models. The challenge faced by C&P companies will evolve from achieving a global presence to effective global execution.
  • 16. 16 the enterprise of the future Optimizing operations requires underlying integration capabilities. An enterprise-wide infrastructure of standard business practices and information allows companies to adapt as business changes occur. In a recent IBM study on risk management, outperforming companies were one-third more likely to have standard processes, global process ownership and global information standards. And they were twice as likely to have global processes in place.22 C&P companies understand the necessity of an integrated infrastructure to support operations and need to continue the establishment of global, cross-enterprise standards through process ownership, sim- plifying enabling systems and the associated organizational struc- tures. Standardization of the business and mechanisms such as worldwide “centers of excellence” will ease integration challenges and help create differentiating capabilities, knowledge and assets from around the world.
  • 17. chemical and petroleum industries edition 17 Case study DOW: GLOBALLY INTEGRATING IP Dow is a diversified chemical company with annual sales of US$54 billion and 46,000 employees worldwide that deliver products and services across 160 countries.23 Dow, a top research firm, has a rich and diverse portfolio that included more than 29,000 patents in 1992. The company decided, at that time, to explore new ways to pull together and mine its intel- lectual property (IP) from across the company using a center of excellence type model. By standardizing their IP business practices and information, Dow created a way to exploit its significant intel- lectual assets.24 The company formed a geographically diverse team to leverage IP both internally and externally, evaluating which of two paths each patents might follow: • Patents for internal use to support increased competitive position- ing for Dow, enhance core competitive advantage and strengthen its available technology • Patents for use by third parties in noncompetitive opportunities.25 For third-party commercialization, a cross-functional team evaluates licensing opportunities for the unused patents. As a result, fees and royalties increased from US$25 million in 1994 to more than US$125 million in 2005.26 By integrating IP across the corporation, Dow has enabled not only its own innovative processes, but also those of its partners and increased revenues as a result.
  • 18. dISRUPtIVE 18 the enterprise of the future bY NAtURE Despite big developments in new energy and other products, only half of C&P CEOs are implementing extensive business model innovations. Are they too entrenched in current models? Will the next major energy innovation come from outside their current industries? While 69 percent of CEOs across all industries are pursuing exten- sive business model innovation, only 51 percent of C&P CEOs are doing so. In fact, C&P is one of the least active industries in terms of business model innovation – at the back of the pack with other capital-intensive sectors such as utilities and automotive (see Figure 5). Among those who are making business model adjust- ments, half chose Enterprise Model Innovation as top priority ver- sus 39 percent of CEOs across all industries. To date, the primary innovation approach has been traditional, supporting the CEOs objectives to achieve its customer goals of new markets, new brands and optimization of operational resources.
  • 19. chemical and petroleum industries edition 19 The area attracting the least focus among C&P CEOs is industry model innovation. This is not particularly surprising since it the most difficult to achieve. Only 19 percent of C&P CEOs are contemplating innovations that redefine their existing industry, cross over into another industry or establish an entirely new industry. Of these CEOs, the focus is primarily to define new industries, building on the trend to pursue the rising prosperity of customers and taking advantage of new energy trends. FIGURE 5 C&P COMPANIES LAG OtHER INdUStRIES IN bUSINESS MOdEL INNOVAtION Asset-intensive companies, like C&P companies, are less likely to undergo business model innovation (BMI). ExtENSIVE bMI FOCUS Media and Entertainment 82% Healthcare Providers 80% Financial Markets 78% Pharmaceutical 77% telecommunications 77% Healthcare Payers 74% Retail 72% Electronics 70% Global 69% Insurance 18 % 68% Industrial Products GAP 67% Consumer Products MARGIN 66% banking 64% Chemical & Petroleum 51% Automotive 49% Aerospace and defense 45% Energy & Utility 39%
  • 20. 20 the enterprise of the future C&P COMPANIES AS INNOVAtORS C&P CEOs may underestimate the degree of their own business model innovation. Chemical companies are developing new tech- nologies every day and creating more environmentally friendly uses of those technologies. Petroleum companies are beginning to form partnerships with many different companies – from customers with high energy usage to producers of alternative sources of energy – to pursue new energy opportunities. By continuing to develop alliances and partnerships, many beyond the traditional boundaries of the industry, C&P companies will broaden their base of expertise and ideas. Within the industry, com- plex operation environments and the constant quest to find feed- stock will continue to create the need for unique multipartner agreements. C&P companies will continue to invest in entrepreneur- ial innovators and ideas outside their industries. And increasingly sophisticated consumers will compel the C&P ecosystem to respond to their needs and demands. In addition to new growth strategies and a more complex workforce, market dynamics will prompt C&P companies to redefine the core of their businesses. As new business models emerge among the vari- ous industries that collaborate with C&P companies, new definitions of what is core will evolve.
  • 21. chemical and petroleum industries edition 21 The need to reduce reliance on natural resources, in particular, drives greater collaboration with other industries. For example, Ford, BP, and the City of Taylor, Michigan, began in 2006 to open hydrogen stations to service Ford Focus fuel cells being used as official city vehicles. Four Taylor vehicles are part of a Ford Focus fuel cell dem- onstration fleet in the United States, Canada and Germany. Creating the infrastructure to support a new method of transportation and a new type of fuel is a prime example of the degree of collaboration needed from disparate organizations to accomplish significant changes.27 Intersections between industries can be the starting point for new companies and partnerships to create new services and solutions. Externally, C&P companies need to monitor other industries for con- cepts and business models that could transform their markets. Internally, they need to create space for entrepreneurs and innova- tive business models to grow and prosper while continuing to drive today’s performance.
  • 22. 22 the enterprise of the future Case study APACHE: DOING WHAT IT DOES BEST Apache Corporation is an oil and gas independent with the strategy “Grow, succeed, innovate – and do it faster than the guys down the street.”28 The company currently operates in the United States, Canada, Egypt, the North Sea, Australia and Argentina.29 In the early 1980s, Apache began acquiring non-operated interests in the Gulf of Mexico.30 At the time, Gulf of Mexico drilling was con- sidered relatively mature, with rapid decline rates and exposure to weather interruptions. And most companies were deciding to reduce their exposure in the area. Apache utilized its experienced staff, effective management and incentives to become experts at low- cost operations. From Shell, for example, Apache acquired non-op- erated interest in over 70 federal leases on the continental shelf. By 1995, the offshore region had become Apache’s most productive and profitable area and generated the cash to fund its future acqui- sitions and investments.31 Its low-cost business model positioned the company to embark on an acquisition strategy. The company grew across multiple regions with five acquisitions from 1999 to 2004, including more in the Gulf area, the North Sea and Egypt.32 Apache was able to profit from these acquisitions, thanks to its repeatable practices and flexibility in areas others thought were not economically feasible.
  • 23. GENUINE, 23 NOt jUSt GENEROUS Socially minded consumers, workers, “Demanding customers and partners and investors are now watching rising expectations of cor- porate social responsibility almost every move companies make. C&P provide opportunities for us as we deliver better ser- CEOs have responded with environmental, vices and maintain higher standards. This enables us community and workforce programs. to secure a premium.” Are their existing approaches enough to CEO, Asian petrochemical company manage all aspects of corporate social responsibility? It’s no surprise that C&P CEOs are more concerned than CEOs in other industries about corporate social responsibility (CSR) issues. And the degree of difference is dramatic – 36 percent of C&P CEOs see environmental issues as a major change driver versus 18 percent across the full sample. What’s even more intriguing is that a much larger segment of C&P CEOs – 90 percent as compared to the 69 percent cross-industry average – believe customers’ rising corporate social responsibility expectations will have a positive impact on their businesses. As a result, C&P CEOs are planning a 32 percent increase in investment
  • 24. 24 the enterprise of the future over the next three years to capitalize on this opportunity (see Figure 6). Across industries, CSR-focused CEOs are implementing environ- mental initiatives, new products and services. In contrast, C&P exec- utives are primarily investing in environmental initiatives and new markets – consistent with their optimism about rising prosperity within developing countries. As important as environmental issues are, green cannot be the only color in C&P CEOs’ palettes. Companies must also pay close atten- tion to socioeconomic factors especially as they expand into new areas of the globe. An emerging generation of socially minded con- sumers, workers and investors has growing expectations for ethical corporate behavior and increased transparency across a broad spectrum of issues. FIGURE 6 C&P COMPANIES ARE ENtHUSIAStIC AbOUt CSR C&P CEOs view rising CSR expectations more positively than other industries and are increasing their investment in the trend. ALL INdUStRIES 69% Positive about Impact C&P of CSR 90% INVEStMENt PASt 3 YEARS 25 % 11% All INVEStMENt INVEStMENt NExt 3 YEARS Industries INCREASE 13% INVEStMENt PASt 3 YEARS 32 7% % C&P INVEStMENt NExt 3 YEARS INVEStMENt INCREASE 10%
  • 25. chemical and petroleum industries edition 25 In a recent IBM Institute for Business value study on C&P risk man- agement, executives rated their companies highly in Health, Safety, and Environmental (HSE) expertise, with the largest gap centering on their ability to drive continuous improvement in this area. Most companies initially focus on regulatory compliance, the price of entry for any industry. But as they become adept at standardizing prac- tices, they can begin to simplify operations globally. This, in turn, will allow the integration of CSR into performance metrics that drive daily decision making and actions and ultimately into forward-look- ing strategic decisions. In this study, companies with a broader view tended to be better positioned financially and able to improve reli- ability, resilience and predictability.33 C&P ENtERPRISES AS CSR LEAdERS Through exploration of alternative energy sources and ongoing product innovation, C&P companies will continue to play a primary role in expanding energy beyond fossil fuels. And sustainability will drive investments, product categories, and performance and conve- nience packaging decisions well into the next decades. Corporate social responsibility will take on an as yet unforeseen importance and will impact organizational strategy in a multitude of ways.
  • 26. 26 the enterprise of the future Continually monitoring customers’ and consumers’ CSR expectations – and even involving them in solutions – will create the innovative environment to adapt as these expectations change. To ensure that actions taken throughout the enterprise – and the extended value chain – are consistent with CSR values and HSE policies requires the integration of CSR into the day-to-day operations of the company. By integrating social responsibility metrics and strategies into an overall business strategy, C&P companies can respond to growing consumer, safety, community and regulatory concerns.
  • 27. chemical and petroleum industries edition 27 Case study MAKING THE LEAP FROM OIL TO wATER A recent United Nations report estimates that over a billion people in Asia alone will be “water stressed” by 2050.34 Recently, more and more oil companies are looking into the business of water. The core competencies of the petroleum industry make these companies likely candidates to become not only the world’s oil suppliers but also the world’s water suppliers. The oil industry has an opportunity to apply its same locating, drilling and pipeline capabilities to extract water. Many wells in Texas, for example, are actually producing more water than oil as both are pumped out together, then separated. Industry estimates suggest that for every barrel of oil extracted, 50 to 100 barrels of water are captured.35 EarthWater Global is an example of a company utilizing seismic tech- nologies to locate and develop sustainable groundwater resources. And other companies are entering or already in the business of water. T. Boone Pickens is purchasing land in Texas on the Ogallala Aquifer to provide water to Dallas; Dow Water Solutions provides water and non-water treatment and separations solutions; and Halliburton drills and maintains wells for state-owned oil and gas companies.36
  • 28. 28 the enterprise of the future BUILDING YOUR ENTERPRISE OF THE FUTURE C&P CEOs fundamentally agree with the CEOs in our overall survey sample about the characteristics that will distinguish successful busi- nesses in the future. Their responses suggest that the Enterprise of the Future – as we have called it – will be hungry for change, innova- tive beyond customer imagination, globally integrated, disruptive by nature and genuine, not just generous. However, the challenges C&P CEOs face are different from those of other CEOs in some respects. They anticipate significant change, but the asset-intensive nature of their industries makes business model innovation more difficult. They are more global, but the emphasis on entering new markets, globalizing brands, and optimiz- ing resources suggests they are not as integrated as they need to be. While expanding more rapidly into developing countries, they are less likely to take advantage of opportunities related to today’s increasingly informed and collaborative consumer. And they’re under tremendous pressure to respond to the trend toward greener technologies. The critical question is: are C&P companies prepared for the future? Do they have the adaptable processes and infrastructure they need to manage more change at a faster pace, and capitalize on the new
  • 29. chemical and petroleum industries edition 29 opportunities that globalization, increasing affluence and greater connectivity are creating? The partners they need to innovate? The flexibility they need to pursue business model change? Integrated resources to seize opportunities wherever they appear in a global marketplace? We look forward to learning more about where you think the C&P industry is heading – and working with you, as you build your Enterprise of the Future. For additional information about the Global CEO Study, visit: ibm.com/enterpriseofthefuture To discuss these industry implications further, we invite you to e-mail one of the following contacts: Global Steve Edwards steve.edwards@uk.ibm.com Americas Dixie Adams dixiea@us.ibm.com Tommy L Eubanks tom.eubanks@us.ibm.com James Kulbeda jim.g.kulbeda@us.ibm.com Northeast Europe Axel Preiss axel.preiss@de.ibm.com Southwest Europe Jeremie Caullet jeremie.caullet@fr.ibm.com IBM Institute for Business value Penny Koppinger pkopping@us.ibm.com
  • 30. 30 the enterprise of the future ABOUT IBM GLOBAL BUSINESS SERvICES With business experts in more than 170 countries, IBM Global Business Services provides clients with deep business process and industry expertise across 17 industries, using innovation to identify, create and deliver value faster. It offers one of the largest Strategy & Change practices in the world, with over 3,250 strategy professionals. The IBM Institute for Business value, part of IBM Global Business Services, develops fact-based strategic insights for senior business execu- tives around critical industry-specific and cross-industry issues. NOTES AND SOURCES 1 For readability, we have referred to all respondents as “CEOs” through- out the remainder of our report. 2 For companies with publicly available financial information, we com- pared revenue and profit track records with the averages for those in the same industry across our sample. Companies that performed above average on a particular financial benchmark were tagged as outper- formers, and those below the average were labeled as underperform- ers. Throughout our analyses, we looked for insights based on these top- and bottom-half groupings. 3 “Pickens Plan: The Plan.” One-year view of crude oil prices, as of August 1, 2008. http://www.pickensplan.com/theplan 4 Milmo, Sean. “Changing places.” Chemistry and Industry. May 7, 2007, Issue No 9, p. 12. 5 “Access Holdings: LyondellBassell Industries.” http://www.accessindus- tries.com/index.php?p=investments 6 “Our company.” http://www.tnk-bp.com/company/
  • 31. chemical and petroleum industries edition 31 7 “A new global leader.” http://www.lyondellbasell.com/lyondellbasell_ home.htm 8 “About the company.” http://www.bogatyr.kz/page.php?lang=2 9 “Access Holdings: Media and telecommunications.” http://www.access- industries.com/index.php?p=investments 10 “Access Holdings: Real Estate.” http://www.accessindustries.com/index. php?p=investments 11 In our survey, the term “total investments” was defined as: all asset investments plus investment in research and development, marketing and sales. 12 ”Ethanol and Beyond.” The Wall Street Journal. March 24, 2008. 13 IBM analysis of company annual reports. 14 “Strategy: Our four guidelines.” http://www.corporate.basf.com/en/ investor/strategie/?id=PKgOBCmdIbcp.1z 15 “BASF and Ford: Cooperation yields brilliant results.” http://www.corpo- r a t e . b a s f. c o m /e n / i n v e s t o r /s t r a t e g i e / k u n d e n / b a s f _ fo r d . htm?id=SiIkOCK0Kbcp3d_ 16 “adidas and Renault.” http://www.corporate.basf.com/en/investor/ strategie/kunden/adidas.htm?id=V00-SiIkOCK0Kbcp3d_ 17 Ibid. 18 Extensive Globalizers indicated the most extensive and global business design changes across all seven aspects discussed – deeply changing mix of assets and capabilities, partnering extensively, entering new markets, globalizing brands/products, optimizing operations globally, growing through mergers/acquisitions, driving multiple cultures. Localizers were at the other extreme – maintain current mix of capabili- ties and assets, do everything in house, defend core markets, localize brands/products, optimize operations locally, grow organically and strive for single culture. Blended thinkers ranked everything except driving multiple cultures as equally important. Globalizers responded like Extensive Globalizers except new assets and skills were as impor- tant as current ones, and they were striving for a single culture.
  • 32. 32 the enterprise of the future 19 Lesser, Eric. “Unlocking the DNA of the Adaptable Workforce.” IBM Institute for Business value. November 2007. 20 Gonzalez, Angel. “Experienced Oil And Gas Hands Become A Scarce Commodity.” Comtex News Network. February 14, 2006. 21 Ibid. 22 Koppinger, Penny. “where There’s Smoke.” IBM Institute for Business value. June 2008. 23 “This is Dow.” http://www.dow.com/about/aboutdow/about.htm 24 Manasco, Adam. “DOW CHEMICAL CAPITALIZES ON INTELLECTUAL ASSETS.” KM Talk. April 8, 2005. http://www.kmtalk.net/article. php?story=20050412033035404 25 Ibid. 26 Ibid. 27 “FORD AND BP OPEN FIRST HYDROGEN STATION IN TAYLOR.” Ford press release. October 17, 2006. http://media.ford.com/newsroom/release_ display.cfm?release=24585 28 “Mission & values.” http://www.apachecorp.com/About_Us/ Mission_values/ 29 “About us.” http://www.apachecorp.com/About_Us/ 30 “Defining Moments: 1981 Shell Joint venture.” Apache Corporation. October 15, 2004. http://www.apachecorp.com/explore/explore_fea- tures/browse_archives/view_Article/?docdoc=372 31 “Apache’s Gulf of Mexico Strategy.” Apache Corporation First quarter 2006 Update. http://www.apachecorp.com/explore/explore_features/ browse_archives/view_Article/?docdoc=255 32 Ibid.
  • 33. chemical and petroleum industries edition 33 33 Koppinger, Penny. “where There’s Smoke.” IBM Institute for Business value. June 2008. 34 “Millions at Risk of Hunger and Water Stress in Asia Unless Global Greenhouse Emissions Cut.” United Nations Environmental Programme press release. April 10, 2007. http://www.unep.org/Documents. Multilingual/Default.asp?ArticleID=5551&DocumentID=504&l=en 35 Gronewold, Nathaniel. “Oil companies see opportunity in another pre- cious commodity.” Greenwire. July 28, 2008. http://www.wbcsd.org/ Plugins/DocSearch/details.asp?ObjectId=MzA4NjE 36 Ibid.
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  • 36. © Copyright IBM Corporation 2008 IBM Global Services Route 100 Somers, NY 10589 U.S.A. Produced in the United States of America August 2008 All Rights Reserved IBM, the IBM logo and ibm.com are trademarks or registered trademarks of International Business Machines Corporation in the United States, other countries, or both. If these and other IBM trademarked terms are marked on their first occurrence in this information with a trademark symbol (® or ™), these symbols indicate U.S. registered or common law trademarks owned by IBM at the time this information was published. Such trademarks may also be registered or common law trademarks in other countries. A current list of IBM trademarks is available on the Web at “Copyright and trademark information” at ibm.com/legal/copytrade.shtml Other company, product and service names may be trademarks or service marks of others. References in this publication to IBM products and services do not imply that IBM intends to make them available in all countries in which IBM operates. CHAPTER ONE GBE03086-USEN-01