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Intelligence, Innovation & Best Practice
How organisations are driving growth and profitability




                    Phil Ruthven, Chairman




                    WHERE KNOWLEDGE IS POWER
Topics

1. A New Age Business
2. The Intelligent Organisation

3. Innovation & Productivity

4. Keys To Success

5. Snapshots Of A Changing World
1.
A New Age
Business
Expectations of a New Age business
1. Profitability and growth
      A return on shareholder funds after tax of 4 times the bond rate
      Growth better than the industry average ( + international?)

2. Uniqueness in:
      Product, IP and operations
      Organisational culture

3. World best practice in:
      Value for money for customers
      Respect for the society in which it operates
      Relations with other stakeholders
      Treatment of the natural environment
Australasian Profitability by Cohorts
    Return on Shareholder Funds (after tax), Top 1250 businesses                5 years to F2009
 Best 50                                                                                                     158.0
  2nd 50                                                                                             48.9
   3rd 50                                                                              35.2
   4th 50                                                                       28.6
   5th 50   23% > World Best Practice (ROSF 22.2%)                           24.7
   6th 50                                                                 21.8
   7th 50                                                               19.7
   8th 50                                                              17.7
   9th 50                                                            15.6
 10th 50                                                           13.8
Average     42% > Average        (ROSF 12.6%)                     12.6
  11th 50                                                         12.5
 12th 50                                                         11.1
 13th 50                                                         9.9
 14th 50                                                       9.0
 15th 50                                                      7.9
 16th 50                                                     6.7
 17th 50    68% > Bond Rate      (5.4%)                     5.6
 18th 50                                                    4.2
 19th 50                                                        3.2
 20th 50                                                      2.1
  21st 50                                                    1.0
 22nd 50                                                     0.2
 23rd 50    11%   Losses                     -2.5
 24th 50                                        -10.5
Worst 50      -128.0

Percent -50       -40      -30   -20      -10           0         10       20          30       40          50       60
                                                                                              Source: IBISWorld 19/11/09
Profitability By Major Industries
     Return on Shareholder Funds (after tax), Top 1250 businesses                        5 years to F2009
    Communications                                                                                                  33.7
               Mining                                                        19.6
           Hospitality                                                      19.1
    Cult & Recn Serv                                                      18.9

         Wholesaling                                                 17.3
            Transport                                         15.3
 Prop & Bus Services                                          15.2
        Finance & Ins                                   13.7
             Average                                   13.3

             Retailing                                 13.1
       Manufacturing                               12.5
        Construction                               12.5
    Personal & Other                              12.0
          Agriculture                       8.9
              Utilities                 7.8
           Education              4.3
Govt. Adm. & Defence           1.8
 Health & Community             6.4
                              0.4

         Percent          0   2     4   6     8   10    12     14    16      18     20   22   24   26    28   30    32     34   36
                                                                                                        Source: IBISWorld 22/12/09
Intellectual Property

Intellectual property can best be described as a
“cocktail” of:

   • skills, special competencies, unique systems;
   • patents, trademarks & brands;
   • organisational culture, customer relation
       protocols;
   •   vision, plans and documented achievable
       strategies.

It is the "holy grail" of a enterprise, its core and its
most valuable balance sheet asset, whether recorded
as such in dollar terms or not.
Unique Organisational Culture
A unique culture is about attracting and keeping
good people to your business, and helping develop
ordinary people into extraordinary people.

This is built on a base of world best practice
principles of human resources management. But a
unique culture goes well beyond the basics: it needs
to have special elements of both a tangible and
intangible nature.

No matter how often we say it, employees are not a
firm’s most valuable asset, since slavery has been
outlawed for some considerable time! But in the
emerging “sellers market” we need them to stay.
2.
The Intelligent
Organisation
The Total Environment For Business




                A
              Our
               Firm




                                 © IBISWorld
How much do we need to know about . . .
The Influential Environments (4)
  1. The world environment, growth, regions, nations, demography etc. ?
  2. National resources,developed (infrastructure, IC&T), natural (resources, ecology) ?
  3. Our community, its changing demography, lifestyles and spending ?
  4. The economic environment, the “business weather” conditions ?

The Operating Environments (6)
  5. The government environment, laws, taxes, policies, incentives ?
  6. The finance market, equity, debt, exchange/interest rates, treasury ?
  7. The services market, to outsource none-core activities and functions ?
  8. The labour market, for executives, employees and customers ?
  9. The purchases market, raw materials, semi-/finished goods, prices ?
 10. Its market, local and global ?

The Immediate Environment
     Our own industry, WBP, size, growth & disposition, competitors?

Our Own Business
       Its IP, financials, sales, operations, TQC, productivity, R&D, HR etc. ?
In the Industrial Age businesses generally
planned and operated on an inside-out basis.

  The external business environments were
  largely opaque to an enterprise which tended to
  be fortress style; and enterprises were opaque to
  outsiders who saw enterprises as secretive.

In the New Age businesses must now forecast,
plan and operate on an outside-in basis.
  The business environments are becoming
  transparent to enterprises, and in turn the enterprises
  are becoming more transparent to outsiders.
Business Intelligence
Expenditure on data and information, F2010(E)




        Internally
         Sourced
           64.5%


                             35.5%
                          Externally
                           Sourced




      $195 billion in Australia
       (5.6% of all business revenue)


                                                IBISWorld 17/11/09
Nearly two thirds of all business
data, information and intelligence in
Australia in F2010 will be internally
generated.

How much value-adding do we do
with this, to help with planning,
efficiency, revenue growth, CRM
and profitability?
Internally Generated Information?
       $126 billion in Australia in F2010




                    CEO
                ICT  &
                    Board

                    CIO?




                                            © IBISWorld
Over one third of all spending on data,
information and intelligence by
enterprises in F2010 will be outsource.

This proportion has been steadily
increasing from less than 10% half a
century ago to an estimated 35.5% this
year.

We are spending more on information
and also outsourcing more of it.
Type Of Outsourced Business Information
                                                    Australia F2010 (F)
                                                                                                    Exploratory
                                                    News/
                                                    Books/
                                                    Mags.
Online Info     2.0%                   Scientific               1
ISPs            1.7%
                       Conferences/    Research      1.2% Other
Data Process    1.5%    Meetings2
Mkt. Research   1.3%
                                              3.1%           2.2%
                                   5.8%
                                                                                 Cons. Eng. +
                                                                        26.2%     Architects

                                                                            20.3%   Accounting
                                                        Legal                        Services
                                                       Services

                                                         10.6%



    Note: 1 Public Relations
            Credit Agencies 0.9%
            Other 0.7%                        $68.8 billion Expenditure
         2   Includes accommodation,                (2.0% of national revenue)
             travel, registration
             fees, speakers etc
                                                                                                IBISWorld 18/11/09
Purpose Of Outsourced Information
                                    About What? F2010 (F)
                                                                                   Exploratory
                                        Government   1.0%
                                        World        0.8%
                                        Services     0.5%
                                        Resources    0.5%




Own Industry 9.8%
                                                            71.6%   About Our
                                                                    Own Company1


                                       From Accounting firms, Legal firms,
                                               Management Consultants,
                                               Consulting Engineers etc



Spending on information about
                                    $ 68.8 billion expenditure
the external environment ($19.5              (Australia)
billion) is 28% of all outsourced
spending and 10% of all spending

                                                                             IBISWorld 17/11/09
Of all the business spending on
data, information and intelligence -
$195 billion - only 10% is spent on
issues in the external environment.

But this spending is growing nearly
2% pa faster than the economy in
response to the need to plan on an
outside-in basis, displacing the old
inside-out approach of the secretive
Industrial Age?
The Imperative of
  Going Up The
Information Chain
The Knowledge Pyramid
              By Volume                  By Value


                   Vision
                                     Vision & Strategy
                  Vision

                 Unique                   Unique IP
                                       Expert Opinion
Decreasing         IP
  Value          Wisdom                   Wisdom

             Expert Opinion            Expert Opinion

               Intelligence              Intelligence
                                                                  Increasing
               Information                Information
                                                                    Value

                 Data                       Data

                                           Hearsay      But interesting!
       Hearsay, Rumour, Scuttlebut


                                                         Source: IBISWorld 18/11/09
3.
The Innovation
& Productivity
  Imperative
Standard of Living 2008
                      20 Highest Nations GDP/capita, ppp basis

           QATAR                                                                                        110.7
    Luxembourg                                                                   81.0
          Norway                                                   59.3
            Kuwait                                              57.4
           Brunei                                           53.1
       Singapore                                         51.5
               USA                                    46.9
            Ireland                                  45.3
      Hong Kong                                  43.7
           Iceland                             41.8
     Switzerland                               41.8
     Netherlands                              40.4
           Austria                            40.2
               UAE                            39.9
          Canada                           39.1
        Australia                         39.9
          Sweden                          38.1
         Belgium                          37.4
          Bahrein                         37.3

Equatorial Guinea                        37.2

                      0     10     20    30       40         50        60   70     80       90     100      110     120
                          $US ‘000 (ppp)                                                CIA FactBook/IBISWorld 20/10/09
Business Research & Development
                                                                              (% of GDP)
                2.6
                2.4                   World Best Practice: nations > 2.5% of GDP
                2.2                    (eg. Sweden, Japan, Finland, S. Korea, USA)
                                     Australia 14th in 2008 among 30 OECD member.
                 2
                1.8
BERD % of GDP




                1.6                                                                                                              OECD
                1.4
                1.2
                                                                                                                                  Australia
                 1
                0.8
                0.6
                                                                                                                                 NZ (0.5%)
                0.4
                0.2
                 0
                      1980
                             1982
                                    1984
                                           1986
                                                  1988
                                                         1990
                                                                1992
                                                                       1994
                                                                              1996
                                                                                     1998
                                                                                            2000
                                                                                                   2002
                                                                                                          2004
                                                                                                                 2006
                                                                                                                        2008
                                                                                                                               2010
                                                                                                                                      2012
                                                                                                                                             2014
                                                                                                                                                    2016
                                                                                                                                                           2018
                                                                                                                                                                  2020
                       Year, ended June
                                                                                                                                                Source: DIISR
Australian Productivity Growth
           GDP per hours worked (4-quarter moving average) to December   2009
     5.0
     4.5
     4.0
              20th Century average
     3.5      was 1.9% per annum
     3.0
     2.5
     2.0
     1.5
%




     1.0
     0.5
     0.0
    -0.5
    -1.0
    -1.5
    -2.0
           1960
           1962
           1964
           1966
           1968
           1970
           1972
           1974
           1976
           1978
           1980
           1982
           1984
           1986
           1988
           1990
           1992
           1994
           1996
           1998
           2000
           2002
           2004
           2006
           2008
           2010
           2012
           2014
           2016
           2018
           2020
      Source: ABS Cat NO 5206.0                                          IBISWorld 05/03/10
Australian Industries Productivity
            5 year growth to 2008, % p.a (IGP / employee @ 2006-07 prices)
                                                           2006-

Communications                                                                                        4.9
   Finance & Ins                                                                       2.8
   W'Sale Trade                                                                    2.5
     Agriculture                                                                  2.4
    Retail Trade                                                                 2.2
Personal & Other                                                           1.5
       Transport                                                         1.3
Cult & Recn Serv                                                     1.1
 Govt Admin/Def                                                    0.8

   All Industries                                                  0.7                  Average
   Construction                                                    0.7
  Manufacturing                                                    0.5
      Hospitality                                              0.8

          Health                                                         0.4

Prop & Bus Serv                                                      0.1

      Education                                         -1.6
         Utilities               -5.8
          Mining     -7.6

    Percent -8         -7   -6      -5   -4   -3   -2     -1   0           1       2         3    4         5   6
                                                                     Source: ABS & IBISWorld 05/03/09
4.
Keys To Success
What the Best Enterprises Are Doing
 1. They stick to one business at a time and do not diversify
 2. They aim to dominate some segment (s) of their market
 3. They are forever innovative, valuing the business’ IP.
 4. They outsource non-core activities to enable growth.
 5. They don’t own “hard” assets.
 6. They have good and professional financial management.
7. They plan from the outside-in not the inside-out
 8. They anticipate any new industry lifecycle changes.
 9. They follow world best practice for their own type of business.
10. They develop strategic alliances.
11. They develop unique organisational cultures.
12. They value leadership first and management second.
Positioning

Secure a safe industry position in your
chosen industry to be master-of one’s-own-
                      master- one’s-own-
destiny by dominating something.

Domination can be of:
         the whole industry class (being a major); or
                                           major);
         one category in the industry (a niche player);
                                               player);
         or
         one product group1 (an ultra-niche player); or
                                ultra-
         one product ( a boutique operator).
                                  operator).

Note: 1 Or a customer segment; and occasionally a geographic area
Industry Share Strategy
                            (positioning for a winnable war)




                                       5%   1-5
                                             %
                No-man’s-land
                                                      Major Player
                                                         25-75%




No-man’s-land (un-winnable position)
  Caught between majors (“sledgehammers”)
  and niche players (“knee-cappers”)




                                                                     Source: IBISWorld
Outsourcing And A Virtual Corporation

In the Industrial Age, corporations set out to be self-
                                                  self-
sufficient - apart from obvious sub-contracting -
                                 sub-
creating complex and multi-layered/multi-functional
                        multi-layered/multi-
structures.

In the New Age, all non-core/non-strategic activities
                     non-core/non-
are outsourced1 to specialists in the interest of
reduced complexity and to develop focus, lightness,
flexibility and faster growth of the business: a
virtual corporation. In 2005, over $450 billion of
non-
non-core activities are now outsourced by
businesses (20% of revenue)
      1 Outsourcing is not to be confused with subcontracting
Business Outsourcing in the New Age
Trucking                          Accounting
    Road transport industry.          Payroll, Share Registers
Cleaning                              Full contract accounting.
    Office, factory, hotel etc.       Superannuation administration.
    Laundry, work clothes.        Computing
Canteens, Dining Rooms                Software development.
    Caterers.                         Computer services (IT
                                      outsourcing)
Maintenance                       Property
    Painting .                        Property trusts,
    Engineering.                      Property management
    Carpentry.
                                  Marketing
Security                              Advertising, media buying
    Security systems.                 Call Centres
    Surveillance services.        Distribution
Personnel                             Warehousing & Delivery
    Recruitment.                  Information & Planning
    Out placement.
    Training.                         Database services
                                      Strategic and Other Consulting
Reception                         Franchising
    Serviced offices.                 Operations.
The External IC&T Industry
                   Australia      Revenue based, F2009 (E)
                                                           Telecommunications
                         Computer                                         34.5%
                         Retailing



                                                     Mobile
                                             17.2%    (incl. resellers 2.9%)
Telecom Eqpt
 Wholesaling
                                                                       11.1%     Wired

Computer 14.3%
Wholesaling                                   14.3%
                                     4.1%


                                   IT
                                 Consult.
                                                                                      0.6%
        IT                                                                           Relay,
   Manufacturing                                                                    Satellite
                    IT     Databases &
               Maintenance Data Process


                                  $116.1 billion
                                                                               IBISWorld: 30/07/09
The New Age Virtual Corporation

Traditional Structure                                 New Structure
 Multi-layered Corporation                             Virtual Corporation

                 Board, CEO and                                            Leader, Senate and
                 Top Management                                             Top Management

                  Head Office functions                         Mostly
                                                              outsourced


                                                           Implementers
      Middle                                           No Longer

    Management                                               Mostly
                                                         Required
                                                           outsourced

                                                         Coordinators
                                                         & Operatives
     Supervisors                                        No Longer

     & Employees                                         Required
                                                      Mostly outsourced
                                                      and /or franchised


                                          Functions provided back to company by
                                          firms in new (specialised) industries (e.g
                                          IT, personnel, legal, accounting, information,
                                          transport, cleaning etc.)
Leadership

Leadership sits above management. It demands
special attributes such as loneliness in ultimate
decision making (after full consultation), often with no
                  (after    consultation),
voting. And, sometimes, no consensus.

It is non-gender specific.
      non-

Leadership involves more external focus than internal:
the opposite of management.

Apart from listening to experts and confidantes, it
involves communicating directly with major
customers at least once a year.
What can happen with great
leadership, and following the
 Keys To Success (or most of
 them)

The Leighton Group was mid-sized
        not that long ago
Leighton Holdings Revenue & Profitability1
                                 Revenue excludes JV & associates share 1962 to F2009
                       50                                                                       45%

                       45      Notes: 1 Net profit after tax on S/F                             40%
                                        2 Zero data are actually
                       40                                             ROSF
                                           losses for those 3 years                             35%
Revenue (A$ billion)




                       35
                                                                                                30%
                       30
                                                                                                25%




                                                                                                      ROSF %
                                                                                                      ROSF %
                       25
                                                                                                20%
                       20
                                                                                                15%
                       15
                                                                                                10%
                       10                                                    Revenue

                       5                                                                        5%

                       0                                                                        0%
                            1960
                            1962
                            1964
                            1966
                            1968
                            1970
                            1972
                            1974
                            1976
                            1978
                            1980
                            1982
                            1984
                            1986
                            1988
                            1990
                            1992
                            1994
                            1996
                            1998
                            2000
                            2002
                            2004
                            2006
                            2008
                            2010
                            2012
                            2014
                            2016
                            2018
                            2020
                            2022
                                                                                 IBISWorld 30/03/10
Successful Mid-sized Businesses
   5-year average ROSF (after tax) basis, % to F2009


           Allen & Unwin             115.5%
           Wotif.com                  80.1%
           Readers Digest             77.9%
           Mini-
           Mini-tankers Aust.         67.4%
           Nielsen Company            66.4%
           Ted’s Camera Stores        50.4%
           Nick Scali                 48.8%
           Bakers Delight             42.3%
           Wridgways                  38.3%
           Aust Steel Mills           35.1%
5.
Snapshots Of A
Changing World
World GDP Growth
                                                Real growth (PPP), 1950-2011(F)
       12
       11
       10                                              Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms                            2008      3.2%
         9                                                                                                            2009     -2.5%
         8                                                                                                            2010      2.5% (F)
         7
         6                                                                                                            2011      2.9% (F)
         5
         4                                                                                                            Past 25 years 3.5% p.a
         3
         2                             1950-1969 growth
                                     in US$ market terms
         1
Per cent




         0
        -1
        -2
        -3
        -4
        -5
        -6
        -7
        -8
        -9
      -10
      -11
             1940

                    1945

                           1950

                                  1955

                                         1960

                                                1965

                                                       1970

                                                              1975

                                                                     1980

                                                                            1985

                                                                                   1990

                                                                                          1995

                                                                                                 2000

                                                                                                        2005

                                                                                                               2010

                                                                                                                      2015

                                                                                                                              2020

                                                                                                                                     2025

                                                                                                                                               2030
                                                                                                        IMF/Economist//IBISWorld: 30/03/10
World’s 30 Largest Economies
                                                  2010 (F)
Poland               1.0%
S. Arabia            0.8%
Argentina            0.8%            Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms
Thailand             0.8%
S. Africa            0.7%
Egypt                0.6%
Pakistan             0.6%
Colombia             0.6%
Malaysia             0.6%
Belgium              0.5%

                                             Rest of World
                                              (198 nations)
                                                  15.5%                20.5%   USA
       11th – 20th Nations         14.8%
              2.5%




                                                              India
                            3.0%




                                                4.0%            5.3%
Mexico               2.1%
Spain                1.9%
Korea S              1.9%
Canada               1.9%
Indonesia            1.4%
Turkey               1.3%                  World’s 228 nations
Australia            1.2% 17th
Iran
Taiwan
                     1.2%
                     1.0%
                                            US$ 72.1 trillion
Netherlands          0.9%
                                                                                 CIA/IBISWorld 08/02/10
Economic Growth: 2009 (F)
                       20 Largest Economies (ppp ranking)

 China/HK                                                                                          8.0
      India                                                                             6.5
Indonesia                                                                    4.6
       Iran                                                     2.6
 Australia                                                1.3
  S Korea                                                 0.5
     Brazil                                    -0.3
   France                                 -2.2
  Canada                                 -2.5
       USA                               -2.5
    World    World Growth                -2.5
   Taiw  an  2008, -2.5%            -3.6
    Spain                          -3.6
Netherlan                        -4.0
         UK                  -4.7
       Italy                -4.8
 Germany                   -4.9
    Japan                -5.3
   Turkey            -6.0
   Mexico       -6.9
   Russia -8.0
           -8   -7   -6   -5   -4   -3   -2   -1      0    1    2     3      4     5     6     7     8       9
                                                                          The Economist/IBISWorld 11/04/10
Economic Growth: 2010(F)
                          20 Largest Economies (ppp ranking)

   China/HK                                                                                           9.5
       India                                                                          7.7
  Indonesia                                                            5.6
    S Korea                                                          5.3
      Brazil                                                      5.0
     Taiwan                                                      4.9
     Mexico                                                4.3
     Turkey                                          3.6
     Russia                                         3.5
   Australia                                      3.1
        USA                                       3.1
    Canada                                       3.0
      World                                                 World Growth
                                              2.5
                                                            2010 (f), 2.5%
         Iran                               2.3
      Japan                              1.9
   Germ  any                           1.6
     France                           1.5
          UK                        1.3
Netherlands                       1.1
        Italy                   0.7
      Spain          -0.3

                -2   -1     0        1      2      3        4        5       6       7       8       9          10
                                                                             The Economist/IBISWorld 11/04/10
Economic Growth: China
                                                Real growth 1950-2011 (F)
                                                            1950-
        24
        20
        16
        12                                                                                                                     8.2% average
         8
         4
         0
Per cent




        -4
        -8
       -12
       -16
       -20
       -24
       -28
             1950
                    1954
                           1958
                                  1962
                                         1966
                                                1970
                                                       1974
                                                              1978
                                                                     1982
                                                                            1986
                                                                                   1990
                                                                                          1994
                                                                                                 1998
                                                                                                        2002
                                                                                                                 2006
                                                                                                                        2010
                                                                                                                                 2014
                                                                                                                                        2018
                                                                                                               SSBC/IBISWorld: 24/03/10
Economic Growth: Australia
      Annual real GDP growth (%) progressed in quarters to    December 2009 (and forecast to June 2013)
9
                                 Average long business cycle is 34 quarters (81/2 years)
8
7                                                                                                  Forecast

6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
      36 qtrs.       34 qtrs         34 qtrs        33 qtrs          38 qtrs         33 qtrs?        36 qtrs ?
-3
     1960
     1962
     1964
     1966
     1968
     1970
     1972
     1974
     1976
     1978
     1980
     1982
     1984
     1986
     1988
     1990
     1992
     1994
     1996
     1998
     2000
     2002
     2004
     2006
     2008
     2010
     2012
     2014
     2016
     2018
     2020
     Years, ended June                                                                          Source: IBISWorld: 04/03/10
Australia’s Industry Mix
    Value added basis Shares of GDP in constant F2007 price terms C2009
                                 Pers. & Other Serv.
         Hospitality
                          Cult & Rec. Serv.      Agriculture
           (2.2%)                                              Mining
                                                                                                Utilities
                                                   2.6%         6.8%                              2.4%




Govt. Adm. 5.0%

                                11.3%
                   Prop. & Business
                         Services              Finance
                                               & Ins.

                                                                        2.8%



                                                                                           Sectors
                                                               Communications               Primary
                                                                                            Secondary
                                                                                            Tertiary
                                                                                            Quaternary
                           GDP $1260 billion           (current prices)                     Quinary
                                     $1208 billion (constant F2008)
                                                                                ABS 5206-26 /IBISWorld
To download this presentation go to: www.ibisworld.com.au




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Stream 1 - Keynote Presentation: Perth & Adelaide

  • 1. Intelligence, Innovation & Best Practice How organisations are driving growth and profitability Phil Ruthven, Chairman WHERE KNOWLEDGE IS POWER
  • 2. Topics 1. A New Age Business 2. The Intelligent Organisation 3. Innovation & Productivity 4. Keys To Success 5. Snapshots Of A Changing World
  • 4. Expectations of a New Age business 1. Profitability and growth A return on shareholder funds after tax of 4 times the bond rate Growth better than the industry average ( + international?) 2. Uniqueness in: Product, IP and operations Organisational culture 3. World best practice in: Value for money for customers Respect for the society in which it operates Relations with other stakeholders Treatment of the natural environment
  • 5. Australasian Profitability by Cohorts Return on Shareholder Funds (after tax), Top 1250 businesses 5 years to F2009 Best 50 158.0 2nd 50 48.9 3rd 50 35.2 4th 50 28.6 5th 50 23% > World Best Practice (ROSF 22.2%) 24.7 6th 50 21.8 7th 50 19.7 8th 50 17.7 9th 50 15.6 10th 50 13.8 Average 42% > Average (ROSF 12.6%) 12.6 11th 50 12.5 12th 50 11.1 13th 50 9.9 14th 50 9.0 15th 50 7.9 16th 50 6.7 17th 50 68% > Bond Rate (5.4%) 5.6 18th 50 4.2 19th 50 3.2 20th 50 2.1 21st 50 1.0 22nd 50 0.2 23rd 50 11% Losses -2.5 24th 50 -10.5 Worst 50 -128.0 Percent -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Source: IBISWorld 19/11/09
  • 6. Profitability By Major Industries Return on Shareholder Funds (after tax), Top 1250 businesses 5 years to F2009 Communications 33.7 Mining 19.6 Hospitality 19.1 Cult & Recn Serv 18.9 Wholesaling 17.3 Transport 15.3 Prop & Bus Services 15.2 Finance & Ins 13.7 Average 13.3 Retailing 13.1 Manufacturing 12.5 Construction 12.5 Personal & Other 12.0 Agriculture 8.9 Utilities 7.8 Education 4.3 Govt. Adm. & Defence 1.8 Health & Community 6.4 0.4 Percent 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 Source: IBISWorld 22/12/09
  • 7. Intellectual Property Intellectual property can best be described as a “cocktail” of: • skills, special competencies, unique systems; • patents, trademarks & brands; • organisational culture, customer relation protocols; • vision, plans and documented achievable strategies. It is the "holy grail" of a enterprise, its core and its most valuable balance sheet asset, whether recorded as such in dollar terms or not.
  • 8. Unique Organisational Culture A unique culture is about attracting and keeping good people to your business, and helping develop ordinary people into extraordinary people. This is built on a base of world best practice principles of human resources management. But a unique culture goes well beyond the basics: it needs to have special elements of both a tangible and intangible nature. No matter how often we say it, employees are not a firm’s most valuable asset, since slavery has been outlawed for some considerable time! But in the emerging “sellers market” we need them to stay.
  • 10. The Total Environment For Business A Our Firm © IBISWorld
  • 11. How much do we need to know about . . . The Influential Environments (4) 1. The world environment, growth, regions, nations, demography etc. ? 2. National resources,developed (infrastructure, IC&T), natural (resources, ecology) ? 3. Our community, its changing demography, lifestyles and spending ? 4. The economic environment, the “business weather” conditions ? The Operating Environments (6) 5. The government environment, laws, taxes, policies, incentives ? 6. The finance market, equity, debt, exchange/interest rates, treasury ? 7. The services market, to outsource none-core activities and functions ? 8. The labour market, for executives, employees and customers ? 9. The purchases market, raw materials, semi-/finished goods, prices ? 10. Its market, local and global ? The Immediate Environment Our own industry, WBP, size, growth & disposition, competitors? Our Own Business Its IP, financials, sales, operations, TQC, productivity, R&D, HR etc. ?
  • 12. In the Industrial Age businesses generally planned and operated on an inside-out basis. The external business environments were largely opaque to an enterprise which tended to be fortress style; and enterprises were opaque to outsiders who saw enterprises as secretive. In the New Age businesses must now forecast, plan and operate on an outside-in basis. The business environments are becoming transparent to enterprises, and in turn the enterprises are becoming more transparent to outsiders.
  • 13. Business Intelligence Expenditure on data and information, F2010(E) Internally Sourced 64.5% 35.5% Externally Sourced $195 billion in Australia (5.6% of all business revenue) IBISWorld 17/11/09
  • 14. Nearly two thirds of all business data, information and intelligence in Australia in F2010 will be internally generated. How much value-adding do we do with this, to help with planning, efficiency, revenue growth, CRM and profitability?
  • 15. Internally Generated Information? $126 billion in Australia in F2010 CEO ICT & Board CIO? © IBISWorld
  • 16. Over one third of all spending on data, information and intelligence by enterprises in F2010 will be outsource. This proportion has been steadily increasing from less than 10% half a century ago to an estimated 35.5% this year. We are spending more on information and also outsourcing more of it.
  • 17. Type Of Outsourced Business Information Australia F2010 (F) Exploratory News/ Books/ Mags. Online Info 2.0% Scientific 1 ISPs 1.7% Conferences/ Research 1.2% Other Data Process 1.5% Meetings2 Mkt. Research 1.3% 3.1% 2.2% 5.8% Cons. Eng. + 26.2% Architects 20.3% Accounting Legal Services Services 10.6% Note: 1 Public Relations Credit Agencies 0.9% Other 0.7% $68.8 billion Expenditure 2 Includes accommodation, (2.0% of national revenue) travel, registration fees, speakers etc IBISWorld 18/11/09
  • 18. Purpose Of Outsourced Information About What? F2010 (F) Exploratory Government 1.0% World 0.8% Services 0.5% Resources 0.5% Own Industry 9.8% 71.6% About Our Own Company1 From Accounting firms, Legal firms, Management Consultants, Consulting Engineers etc Spending on information about $ 68.8 billion expenditure the external environment ($19.5 (Australia) billion) is 28% of all outsourced spending and 10% of all spending IBISWorld 17/11/09
  • 19. Of all the business spending on data, information and intelligence - $195 billion - only 10% is spent on issues in the external environment. But this spending is growing nearly 2% pa faster than the economy in response to the need to plan on an outside-in basis, displacing the old inside-out approach of the secretive Industrial Age?
  • 20. The Imperative of Going Up The Information Chain
  • 21. The Knowledge Pyramid By Volume By Value Vision Vision & Strategy Vision Unique Unique IP Expert Opinion Decreasing IP Value Wisdom Wisdom Expert Opinion Expert Opinion Intelligence Intelligence Increasing Information Information Value Data Data Hearsay But interesting! Hearsay, Rumour, Scuttlebut Source: IBISWorld 18/11/09
  • 23. Standard of Living 2008 20 Highest Nations GDP/capita, ppp basis QATAR 110.7 Luxembourg 81.0 Norway 59.3 Kuwait 57.4 Brunei 53.1 Singapore 51.5 USA 46.9 Ireland 45.3 Hong Kong 43.7 Iceland 41.8 Switzerland 41.8 Netherlands 40.4 Austria 40.2 UAE 39.9 Canada 39.1 Australia 39.9 Sweden 38.1 Belgium 37.4 Bahrein 37.3 Equatorial Guinea 37.2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 $US ‘000 (ppp) CIA FactBook/IBISWorld 20/10/09
  • 24. Business Research & Development (% of GDP) 2.6 2.4 World Best Practice: nations > 2.5% of GDP 2.2 (eg. Sweden, Japan, Finland, S. Korea, USA) Australia 14th in 2008 among 30 OECD member. 2 1.8 BERD % of GDP 1.6 OECD 1.4 1.2 Australia 1 0.8 0.6 NZ (0.5%) 0.4 0.2 0 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Year, ended June Source: DIISR
  • 25. Australian Productivity Growth GDP per hours worked (4-quarter moving average) to December 2009 5.0 4.5 4.0 20th Century average 3.5 was 1.9% per annum 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 % 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Source: ABS Cat NO 5206.0 IBISWorld 05/03/10
  • 26. Australian Industries Productivity 5 year growth to 2008, % p.a (IGP / employee @ 2006-07 prices) 2006- Communications 4.9 Finance & Ins 2.8 W'Sale Trade 2.5 Agriculture 2.4 Retail Trade 2.2 Personal & Other 1.5 Transport 1.3 Cult & Recn Serv 1.1 Govt Admin/Def 0.8 All Industries 0.7 Average Construction 0.7 Manufacturing 0.5 Hospitality 0.8 Health 0.4 Prop & Bus Serv 0.1 Education -1.6 Utilities -5.8 Mining -7.6 Percent -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Source: ABS & IBISWorld 05/03/09
  • 28. What the Best Enterprises Are Doing 1. They stick to one business at a time and do not diversify 2. They aim to dominate some segment (s) of their market 3. They are forever innovative, valuing the business’ IP. 4. They outsource non-core activities to enable growth. 5. They don’t own “hard” assets. 6. They have good and professional financial management. 7. They plan from the outside-in not the inside-out 8. They anticipate any new industry lifecycle changes. 9. They follow world best practice for their own type of business. 10. They develop strategic alliances. 11. They develop unique organisational cultures. 12. They value leadership first and management second.
  • 29. Positioning Secure a safe industry position in your chosen industry to be master-of one’s-own- master- one’s-own- destiny by dominating something. Domination can be of: the whole industry class (being a major); or major); one category in the industry (a niche player); player); or one product group1 (an ultra-niche player); or ultra- one product ( a boutique operator). operator). Note: 1 Or a customer segment; and occasionally a geographic area
  • 30. Industry Share Strategy (positioning for a winnable war) 5% 1-5 % No-man’s-land Major Player 25-75% No-man’s-land (un-winnable position) Caught between majors (“sledgehammers”) and niche players (“knee-cappers”) Source: IBISWorld
  • 31. Outsourcing And A Virtual Corporation In the Industrial Age, corporations set out to be self- self- sufficient - apart from obvious sub-contracting - sub- creating complex and multi-layered/multi-functional multi-layered/multi- structures. In the New Age, all non-core/non-strategic activities non-core/non- are outsourced1 to specialists in the interest of reduced complexity and to develop focus, lightness, flexibility and faster growth of the business: a virtual corporation. In 2005, over $450 billion of non- non-core activities are now outsourced by businesses (20% of revenue) 1 Outsourcing is not to be confused with subcontracting
  • 32. Business Outsourcing in the New Age Trucking Accounting Road transport industry. Payroll, Share Registers Cleaning Full contract accounting. Office, factory, hotel etc. Superannuation administration. Laundry, work clothes. Computing Canteens, Dining Rooms Software development. Caterers. Computer services (IT outsourcing) Maintenance Property Painting . Property trusts, Engineering. Property management Carpentry. Marketing Security Advertising, media buying Security systems. Call Centres Surveillance services. Distribution Personnel Warehousing & Delivery Recruitment. Information & Planning Out placement. Training. Database services Strategic and Other Consulting Reception Franchising Serviced offices. Operations.
  • 33. The External IC&T Industry Australia Revenue based, F2009 (E) Telecommunications Computer 34.5% Retailing Mobile 17.2% (incl. resellers 2.9%) Telecom Eqpt Wholesaling 11.1% Wired Computer 14.3% Wholesaling 14.3% 4.1% IT Consult. 0.6% IT Relay, Manufacturing Satellite IT Databases & Maintenance Data Process $116.1 billion IBISWorld: 30/07/09
  • 34. The New Age Virtual Corporation Traditional Structure New Structure Multi-layered Corporation Virtual Corporation Board, CEO and Leader, Senate and Top Management Top Management Head Office functions Mostly outsourced Implementers Middle No Longer Management Mostly Required outsourced Coordinators & Operatives Supervisors No Longer & Employees Required Mostly outsourced and /or franchised Functions provided back to company by firms in new (specialised) industries (e.g IT, personnel, legal, accounting, information, transport, cleaning etc.)
  • 35. Leadership Leadership sits above management. It demands special attributes such as loneliness in ultimate decision making (after full consultation), often with no (after consultation), voting. And, sometimes, no consensus. It is non-gender specific. non- Leadership involves more external focus than internal: the opposite of management. Apart from listening to experts and confidantes, it involves communicating directly with major customers at least once a year.
  • 36. What can happen with great leadership, and following the Keys To Success (or most of them) The Leighton Group was mid-sized not that long ago
  • 37. Leighton Holdings Revenue & Profitability1 Revenue excludes JV & associates share 1962 to F2009 50 45% 45 Notes: 1 Net profit after tax on S/F 40% 2 Zero data are actually 40 ROSF losses for those 3 years 35% Revenue (A$ billion) 35 30% 30 25% ROSF % ROSF % 25 20% 20 15% 15 10% 10 Revenue 5 5% 0 0% 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 IBISWorld 30/03/10
  • 38. Successful Mid-sized Businesses 5-year average ROSF (after tax) basis, % to F2009 Allen & Unwin 115.5% Wotif.com 80.1% Readers Digest 77.9% Mini- Mini-tankers Aust. 67.4% Nielsen Company 66.4% Ted’s Camera Stores 50.4% Nick Scali 48.8% Bakers Delight 42.3% Wridgways 38.3% Aust Steel Mills 35.1%
  • 40. World GDP Growth Real growth (PPP), 1950-2011(F) 12 11 10 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms 2008 3.2% 9 2009 -2.5% 8 2010 2.5% (F) 7 6 2011 2.9% (F) 5 4 Past 25 years 3.5% p.a 3 2 1950-1969 growth in US$ market terms 1 Per cent 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9 -10 -11 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 IMF/Economist//IBISWorld: 30/03/10
  • 41. World’s 30 Largest Economies 2010 (F) Poland 1.0% S. Arabia 0.8% Argentina 0.8% Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms Thailand 0.8% S. Africa 0.7% Egypt 0.6% Pakistan 0.6% Colombia 0.6% Malaysia 0.6% Belgium 0.5% Rest of World (198 nations) 15.5% 20.5% USA 11th – 20th Nations 14.8% 2.5% India 3.0% 4.0% 5.3% Mexico 2.1% Spain 1.9% Korea S 1.9% Canada 1.9% Indonesia 1.4% Turkey 1.3% World’s 228 nations Australia 1.2% 17th Iran Taiwan 1.2% 1.0% US$ 72.1 trillion Netherlands 0.9% CIA/IBISWorld 08/02/10
  • 42. Economic Growth: 2009 (F) 20 Largest Economies (ppp ranking) China/HK 8.0 India 6.5 Indonesia 4.6 Iran 2.6 Australia 1.3 S Korea 0.5 Brazil -0.3 France -2.2 Canada -2.5 USA -2.5 World World Growth -2.5 Taiw an 2008, -2.5% -3.6 Spain -3.6 Netherlan -4.0 UK -4.7 Italy -4.8 Germany -4.9 Japan -5.3 Turkey -6.0 Mexico -6.9 Russia -8.0 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 The Economist/IBISWorld 11/04/10
  • 43. Economic Growth: 2010(F) 20 Largest Economies (ppp ranking) China/HK 9.5 India 7.7 Indonesia 5.6 S Korea 5.3 Brazil 5.0 Taiwan 4.9 Mexico 4.3 Turkey 3.6 Russia 3.5 Australia 3.1 USA 3.1 Canada 3.0 World World Growth 2.5 2010 (f), 2.5% Iran 2.3 Japan 1.9 Germ any 1.6 France 1.5 UK 1.3 Netherlands 1.1 Italy 0.7 Spain -0.3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 The Economist/IBISWorld 11/04/10
  • 44. Economic Growth: China Real growth 1950-2011 (F) 1950- 24 20 16 12 8.2% average 8 4 0 Per cent -4 -8 -12 -16 -20 -24 -28 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 SSBC/IBISWorld: 24/03/10
  • 45. Economic Growth: Australia Annual real GDP growth (%) progressed in quarters to December 2009 (and forecast to June 2013) 9 Average long business cycle is 34 quarters (81/2 years) 8 7 Forecast 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 36 qtrs. 34 qtrs 34 qtrs 33 qtrs 38 qtrs 33 qtrs? 36 qtrs ? -3 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Years, ended June Source: IBISWorld: 04/03/10
  • 46. Australia’s Industry Mix Value added basis Shares of GDP in constant F2007 price terms C2009 Pers. & Other Serv. Hospitality Cult & Rec. Serv. Agriculture (2.2%) Mining Utilities 2.6% 6.8% 2.4% Govt. Adm. 5.0% 11.3% Prop. & Business Services Finance & Ins. 2.8% Sectors Communications Primary Secondary Tertiary Quaternary GDP $1260 billion (current prices) Quinary $1208 billion (constant F2008) ABS 5206-26 /IBISWorld
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