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Only the Beginning: Thinking
Beyond the Enrollment Funnel
      Todd Gibby - @tgibby
          Andy Dryden
Ferris Grew Up




Eduventures Overview of the U.S. Full-service Online Program Management Market (Hobsons)
Market Realities




Source: “Time is the Enemy” Complete College America 2011
Macro Forces and Policy

           • Hyper-Competition

           • Student Consumerism

           • Increasing Accountability

           • More w/ Less = New Normal
Market Realities




Source: “Time is the Enemy” Complete College America 2011
How Do Adult Learners feel about
       their education?


Less confident (esp. math)…


   …but more engaged.

    Source: 2011 Noel-Levitz National Freshman Attitudes Report
Sometimes deciding is the hardest
             part
What is Student Success?
Why Do We Care about SS?




 It makes Cents   It Makes Sense
Why do they leave?
                 Enrollment to Graduation Pipeline




                                                              Not
              Social
                           Low First                       Utilizing      Commute
           Integration                      Family
                           Term GPA                        Financial        Time
              issues
                                                              Aid




“Understanding Adult Learner Program Completion” Marianne Guidos Michael J. Dooris 2007
Does Risk Matter?
                                                                                                                                  Risk Factors
Three or More Risk                                                                                                      •     part-time enrollment
          Factors     5         17         9                                 69
                                                                                                                        •     delaying entry into
                                                                                                                              postsecondary education
  Two Risk Factors        10        15         11                               64
                                                                                                                              after high school

   One Risk Factor             21         10        13                              56                                  •     not having a regular high
                                                                                                                              school diploma

            None                           54                         4 8                    34                         •     having children

                                                                                                                        •     being a single parent
    ALL STUDENTS                    31              9       9                         51
                                                                                                                        •     being financially
                                                                                                                              independent of parents
                     0%                  25%                    50%                   75%                   100%
                 Bachelor's degree           Certificate        Associate's degree          No degree
                                                                                                                        •     working full time while
                                                                                                                              enrolled.
                                SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
What is Student Success?
Student Success Matters

         $15,000    Annual Tuition
         x 3 Years of Revenue missed
         $45,000 Per lost student
         x   25 Students lost per year
        $1,125,000Lost Revenue


Go to http://www.educationalpolicy.org/calculator/ for a more detailed calculator
Its fixing Student Success?
     What is the leaky pipeline…
         Communicate with Current Students!!
     Prepare & Orient              Plan & Advise               Alert & Connect




                                                              Not
              Social
                           Low First                       Utilizing      Commute
           Integration                      Family
                           Term GPA                        Financial        Time
              issues
                                                              Aid


“Understanding Adult Learner Program Completion” Marianne Guidos Michael J. Dooris 2007
Jeanie (Shawna)

• Single Mom
 Question 1:
• 30 years old
• GEDHow do we Prepare & Orient our
• Unemployed students to be successful?
• Highly Motivated


What does Jeanie need to hear from us?
• She has a clear path to success
                                         Prepare & Orient
• She belongs in Higher Ed
• She will make it
Charlie

• Second Career
  Question 2:
• 40 years old
• How do we Plan & Advise our students to
   Married
• No Dependentsbe successful?
• Part Time Employed


What does Charlie need to hear from us?
• His experience matters
                                           Plan & Advise
• He can utilize financial aid resources
• We offer academic support
Mr.Rooney

• eMBA candidate
 Question 3:
• Mid-Career
• Employed Full Time & Connect with our
    How do we Alert
• Online onlystudents to be successful?


What does Charlie need to hear from us?
• We’ll work with him on his schedule
                                          Alert & Connect
• Connect with alumni for ROI
Take-Aways
   Prepare & Orient             Plan & Advise               Alert & Connect




Jeannie                    Charlie                      Mr.Rooney
• Single Mom               • Second Career              • Works in
• 30 Years Old             • 40 Years Old                 Management
• GED                      • Married                    • Mid-Career
• Unemployed                                            • Full Time Employed

Needs to Hear:             Needs to Hear:               Needs to Hear:
• She has a clear path     • His experience matters     • We’ll work with him
  to success               • He can utilize financial     on his schedule
• She belongs in Higher      aid resources              • Connect with alumni
  Ed                       • We offer academic            for ROI
• She will make it           support
APU‟s “Hoopless” Process
1. Know your students
2. Hire good communicators
3. Build “hoop-less” admissions and financial aid processes
4. Take a proactive approach to student advising
5. Automate routine communications
6. Hire faculty suited to online teaching
7. Set and maintain high standards for student/faculty communication
8. Evaluate, evaluate, evaluate
9. Check your program‟s vital signs regularly
10. Use cross-functional teams to develop enhancements.
Measurement & Results: ERAU



       35+%
                          80+%
                                          85+%


            14%           72%             68%


  Inquire         Apply          Accept          Enroll   Retain   Graduate
The Journey To Customer Focused

From: We have a staff who does that   To: Everyone answers the phone

                                       Customer                          Director
                                      service Rep


                                       Customer              Marketing              Operations
                                      service Rep


                                       Customer     Coordinator
                                                                         Student
                                      service Rep                        worker
Proof positive
Through the launch period of our
                                       668 Inquires
CRM and the re-design of our
website we have seen a positive
change in our inquiry traffic from
phone to web.



                                              21 via
                                       316     chat
                                                        239 via   92 via
                                      from   live for
                                                        phone     email
                                     Website   two
                                             weeks)
Comparison
7/7/11 to 7/14/11             10/7/11 to 10/14/11
            Touchpoints                   Touchpoints


                                         Phone    Email
       Email                              19%      22%
        30%

                                  Chat
                      Phone       17%
                       60%                       Web
 Web                                             42%
 10% Chat
     0%
Oct / Sept Y-o-Y Gross Revenue
                September   October




                                      $330,000

     $210,000



      $90,000                         $120,000


       2010                            2011
Mapping Objectives
                 Discover:     Listen:        Engage:      Support:
  Decision
   Phase         Uncover     Capture /        Convey      Reinforce
                 Demand       Qualify          Value      Decisions

                              Limited
                Fragmented                    Generic
Current State    Marketing
                              Inquiry
                                             Messaging
                                                            Silence
                              Capture

                             Ubiquitous
                 Strategic                   Segmented    Established
 Ideal State     Outreach
                               Data
                                             High Touch    Networks
                              Capture

                 SEO / SEM   Inquiry Forms    Segmented
 Functional                   Email & FB        Views
                                                          Comm Outreach
                  Facebook
   Vision                                    Comm Plans
                                                           Events /History
                   Events    Response Sys
So What?
• Recruit the right students
Question 1:

  Question 2:do
     How       we Prepare & Orient our
         students to be successful?
   How do 3: Plan & Advise our students to
    Question we

                  be successful?
       How do we Alert & Connect with our
              students to be successful?
And Remember…
Resources
• „2011 Freshman Attitudes Survey Report” Noel-Levitz.
  www.noellevitz.com
• EPI Analysis of BPS students 03/04 to 08/09
  http://www.educationalpolicy.org
  http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/bps/
• “Understanding Adult Learner Program Completion” Marianne
  Guidos Michael J. Dooris 2007 www.psu.edu
• “Time is the Enemy” Complete College America 2011
  www.completecollege.org/docs/Time_Is_the_Enemy.pdf
• Eduventures Overview of the U.S. Full-service Online Program
  Management Market (Hobsons)
• Eduventures “The Big Picture 2011” Richard Garrett, June 2011
• Eduventures “Testing the Non-Traditional Higher Education Value
  Proposition” April 2011
• Demand Engine “Adult Learner Marketing Needs a Makeover-Now!”
  July 2011
Only the Beginning: Thinking
Beyond the Enrollment Funnel
    todd.gibby@hobsons.com - @tgibby
       andrew.dryden@hobsons.com
Does Race/Ethnicity Matter?
                         Race/Ethnicity
 Black or African American            17             12          8                                   63
 American Indian or Alaska
                    Native          14            13           11                                    62
        Hispanic or Latino            17               16            8                                 59
                     Other                   30                 5 8                                     58
   Native Hawaiian / other
           Pacific Islander                       39                      52                              54
       More than one race                  28                   9        10                               53
                    White                       36                       8       10                           46
                     Asian                           46                          5 8                            42
            ALL STUDENTS                     31                      9       9                             51
                              0%                       25%                       50%                       75%                100%
                              Bachelor's degree             Certificate          Associate's degree               No degree


                      SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Income Matter?                                                                                                      Dependent
                                                                                                                             Income
Highest Quartile                                58                               2 7                      32


  Third Quartile                         44                        5 10                              42


Second Quartile                     35                     7        11                            47


Bottom Quartile               25                 10         9                                56


 ALL STUDENTS                    31                    9         9                              51

                   0%                      25%                       50%                        75%                100%
                   Bachelor's degree            Certificate           Associate's degree               No degree


            SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Age Matter?                                                                                                        Age

  40 or older     3         17              9                                          71


       30-39       5           19               10                                       67


       24-29       6           19               10                                        65


       19-23                   28                    9        10                                 53


18 or younger                           45                            5      9                         41


ALL STUDENTS                    31                       9        9                               51

                0%                        25%                         50%                         75%                  100%
                Bachelor's degree               Certificate            Associate's degree                  No degree

         SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Dependent Status Matter?
                         Dependency


      Independent      6          18             10                                       67




       Dependent                         41                        6       9                          44




     ALL STUDENTS                  31                     9         9                              51



                    0%                        25%                       50%                        75%               100%
                    Bachelor's degree             Certificate           Associate's degree               No degree

             SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Educational Legacy Matter?
                          Parents’ Highest
         Doctoral degree or
                equivalent                                  58                                34                        35               Level of
                                                                                                                                       Education
   First-professional degree                                  60                                  53                    32
         Master's degree or
                 equivalent                              53                             3 6                         38
          Bachelor's degree                          45                           5 7                            43
         Associate's degree                  29                  7         13                                51
     Less than two years of
                    college                25                 10         11                                54
    High school diploma or
                equivalent            17              13           11                                    59
     Did not complete high
                   school           10             20              10                                   60
             ALL STUDENTS                     31                     9        9                              51
                               0%                       25%                       50%                        75%                100%
                               Bachelor's degree             Certificate           Associate's degree               No degree


                      SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does First Institution Attended Matter?
                                                                                                                                   First Institution
                                                                                                                                              Sector
            Public 2-year         11        8         14                                         66                                    Attended in
                                                                                                                                           2003-04
 Private for-profit 4-year         16         3       15                                         66


 Private not-for-profit 4-
                    year                                    64                                  24                  31


            Public 4-year                                 60                               24                    35


          ALL STUDENTS                    31                     9         9                             51

                             0%                     25%                        50%                       75%                100%
                             Bachelor's degree           Certificate           Associate's degree               No degree


                       SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Attending an HBCU or HSI Matter?
                                                                                                                                  Attended HBCUs
                                                                                                                                           or HSIs
  Attended HBCU 2003-04                  25              34                                        68


Did not attend HBCU 2003-
                       04                   31                    10         9                               50


    Attended HSI 2003-04            16            7       11                                        66


Did not attend HSI 2003-04                    33                    10         9                              49


            ALL STUDENTS                    31                     9         9                              51

                             0%                       25%                        50%                        75%                100%
                             Bachelor's degree              Certificate            Associate's degree              No degree
                             SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Loan Repayment Status Matter?
                                                                                                                                     Loan
                                                                                                                                Repayment
     Not in repayment                        37                    4 12                                 48                          Status

             In default     1         23             3                                     73

 Deferred/forbearance                  28                  10          11                             52

         In repayment                          43                           9       10                       38

   Loans paid in full or
             cancelled                  29                     17           6                           49

      No federal loans                26                  9        9                                57

        ALL STUDENTS                     31                    9        9                              51

                           0%                     25%                       50%                        75%               100%
                           Bachelor's degree             Certificate         Associate's degree              No degree

                      SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Pell Eligibility Matter?Recipients
                           Pell

          Received Pell
    grant, independent       5           23                9                                     63



          Received Pell
      grant, dependent                  30                   11          10                             50



No Pell grant in 2003-04                    37                     6         9                           48



         ALL STUDENTS                   31                     9         9                              51


                           0%                     25%                        50%                        75%               100%
                           Bachelor's degree           Certificate            Associate's degree              No degree

                      SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Attendance Status Matter?
                            Attendance
                                                                                                                                Status
             Mixed               21               9         12                                    59



   Always part-time     1 10          5                                             84



   Always full-time                           45                           10         8                      38



     ALL STUDENTS                      31                    9         9                              51


                      0%                        25%                        50%                        75%                100%
                      Bachelor's degree               Certificate           Associate's degree               No degree

                      SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does the Number of Institutions Attended Matter?
                                                                                                                                  Number of
                                                                                                                                 Institutions
       4 or more            15            8         13                                         65                                  Attended



  2-3 Institutions                 28                  10           12                                51



           Only 1                     33                        9        8                             50



  ALL STUDENTS                       31                     9         9                                51


                     0%                        25%                           50%                       75%                100%
                     Bachelor's degree               Certificate             Associate's degree               No degree

                     SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Work Matter?                                                                                                 Hours worked
                                                                                                                           per week
  40 or more        10        12          8                                       70                                   (in 2003-04)


       30-39             19            11           13                                   57


       20-29              25                  8         12                                 54


        1-19                           49                            5      8                       37


ALL STUDENTS                  31                    9         9                             51

               0%                      25%                        50%                       75%                100%
               Bachelor's degree              Certificate         Associate's degree               No degree

         SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Do Degree Plans Matter? plans
                       Degree
                                                                                                                          In 2003-04

Bachelor's degree                                 59                               23                   36



Associate's degree         11      6          19                                          64



       Certificate     3                      46                         3                        48



   ALL STUDENTS                    31                    9        9                              51


                     0%                     25%                       50%                        75%               100%
                     Bachelor's degree           Certificate           Associate's degree              No degree

                SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Delayed Enrollment Matter?
                              Delayed
                                                                                                                              enrollment
      Four or more      6          17             10                                       67

       Three Years        11            14           7                                     67

        Two Years         8        11           14                                          66

         One Year             15          13           10                                     63

         No Delay                          44                          6       9                         42

     ALL STUDENTS                   31                     9         9                              51

                     0%                       25%                        50%                        75%                100%
                     Bachelor's degree              Certificate            Associate's degree              No degree

              SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Do HS College Credits Matter?
                         Earned College
                                                                                                                             Credits in
                                                                                                                           High School
               Yes                                56                             4 7                      34




                No                  29                  9        10                              52




      ALL STUDENTS                   31                   9         9                             51


                     0%                       25%                       50%                       75%               100%
                    Bachelor's degree              Certificate          Associate's degree              No degree


             SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does HS GPA Matter?High School GPA
3.5-4.0 (A- to A)                                  64                                  3 6                     27

3.0-3.4 (B to A-)                       36                  7         9                           48

2.5-2.9 (B- to B)                 22          9         13                                   57

2.0-2.4 (C to B-)            14         11       11                                     65

1.5-1.9 (C- to C)        7         15         11                                       67

 ALL STUDENTS                          31               9         9                             51

                    0%                       25%                      50%                       75%                 100%
                    Bachelor's degree            Certificate          Associate's degree               No degree


             SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does HS Math Matter?                                                                                                              Highest
                                                                                                                                   mathematics
               Calculus                                        71                                      24              24                courses
                                                                                                                                   completed in
                                                                                                                                     high school
           Pre-calculus                             51                             3 7                          39


Trigonometry/Algebra II                       41                         6      10                            43


             Algebra 2              21               11           12                                   56


         ALL STUDENTS                    31                     9         9                              51

                          0%                       25%                        50%                        75%                100%

                          Bachelor's degree             Certificate            Associate's degree               No degree

                     SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
Does Freshman GPA Matter? year
                      Freshman
Mostly A's (3.75 or above)                       31                       16             11                         43                   GPA

     A's and B's (3.25-3.74)                          40                        9        10                          41

     Mostly B's (2.75-3.24)                        36                      9         8                           47

     B's and C's (2.25-2.74)                   28                 6       9                                 56

     Mostly C's (1.75-2.24)               21               6     9                                      64

C's and D's or lower (below
                       1.75)        7        9        8                                           76

            ALL STUDENTS                         31                   9         9                              51

                               0%                          25%                      50%                        75%                100%
                               Bachelor's degree               Certificate           Associate's degree               No degree


                               SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
All Institutions


               When do Students Leave?
                                                                          1st Year, 8


                                                                                        2nd Year, 7



                                                                                                 3rd Year, 8


                                      Attained degree, 49

                                                                                            4 or More, 13




                                                                            Still enrolled, 15




SOURCE: BPS: 04/09. Percentage distribution of 2003-4 beginning postsecondary students according to whether they attained any degree by
2009, and if they did not, what year they left education

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Only the Beginning: Thinking Beyond the Enrollment Funnel

  • 1. Only the Beginning: Thinking Beyond the Enrollment Funnel Todd Gibby - @tgibby Andy Dryden
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Ferris Grew Up Eduventures Overview of the U.S. Full-service Online Program Management Market (Hobsons)
  • 5. Market Realities Source: “Time is the Enemy” Complete College America 2011
  • 6. Macro Forces and Policy • Hyper-Competition • Student Consumerism • Increasing Accountability • More w/ Less = New Normal
  • 7. Market Realities Source: “Time is the Enemy” Complete College America 2011
  • 8. How Do Adult Learners feel about their education? Less confident (esp. math)… …but more engaged. Source: 2011 Noel-Levitz National Freshman Attitudes Report
  • 9. Sometimes deciding is the hardest part
  • 10. What is Student Success?
  • 11. Why Do We Care about SS? It makes Cents It Makes Sense
  • 12. Why do they leave? Enrollment to Graduation Pipeline Not Social Low First Utilizing Commute Integration Family Term GPA Financial Time issues Aid “Understanding Adult Learner Program Completion” Marianne Guidos Michael J. Dooris 2007
  • 13. Does Risk Matter? Risk Factors Three or More Risk • part-time enrollment Factors 5 17 9 69 • delaying entry into postsecondary education Two Risk Factors 10 15 11 64 after high school One Risk Factor 21 10 13 56 • not having a regular high school diploma None 54 4 8 34 • having children • being a single parent ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 • being financially independent of parents 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree • working full time while enrolled. SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 14. What is Student Success?
  • 15. Student Success Matters $15,000 Annual Tuition x 3 Years of Revenue missed $45,000 Per lost student x 25 Students lost per year $1,125,000Lost Revenue Go to http://www.educationalpolicy.org/calculator/ for a more detailed calculator
  • 16. Its fixing Student Success? What is the leaky pipeline… Communicate with Current Students!! Prepare & Orient Plan & Advise Alert & Connect Not Social Low First Utilizing Commute Integration Family Term GPA Financial Time issues Aid “Understanding Adult Learner Program Completion” Marianne Guidos Michael J. Dooris 2007
  • 17. Jeanie (Shawna) • Single Mom Question 1: • 30 years old • GEDHow do we Prepare & Orient our • Unemployed students to be successful? • Highly Motivated What does Jeanie need to hear from us? • She has a clear path to success Prepare & Orient • She belongs in Higher Ed • She will make it
  • 18. Charlie • Second Career Question 2: • 40 years old • How do we Plan & Advise our students to Married • No Dependentsbe successful? • Part Time Employed What does Charlie need to hear from us? • His experience matters Plan & Advise • He can utilize financial aid resources • We offer academic support
  • 19. Mr.Rooney • eMBA candidate Question 3: • Mid-Career • Employed Full Time & Connect with our How do we Alert • Online onlystudents to be successful? What does Charlie need to hear from us? • We’ll work with him on his schedule Alert & Connect • Connect with alumni for ROI
  • 20. Take-Aways Prepare & Orient Plan & Advise Alert & Connect Jeannie Charlie Mr.Rooney • Single Mom • Second Career • Works in • 30 Years Old • 40 Years Old Management • GED • Married • Mid-Career • Unemployed • Full Time Employed Needs to Hear: Needs to Hear: Needs to Hear: • She has a clear path • His experience matters • We’ll work with him to success • He can utilize financial on his schedule • She belongs in Higher aid resources • Connect with alumni Ed • We offer academic for ROI • She will make it support
  • 21. APU‟s “Hoopless” Process 1. Know your students 2. Hire good communicators 3. Build “hoop-less” admissions and financial aid processes 4. Take a proactive approach to student advising 5. Automate routine communications 6. Hire faculty suited to online teaching 7. Set and maintain high standards for student/faculty communication 8. Evaluate, evaluate, evaluate 9. Check your program‟s vital signs regularly 10. Use cross-functional teams to develop enhancements.
  • 22. Measurement & Results: ERAU 35+% 80+% 85+% 14% 72% 68% Inquire Apply Accept Enroll Retain Graduate
  • 23. The Journey To Customer Focused From: We have a staff who does that To: Everyone answers the phone Customer Director service Rep Customer Marketing Operations service Rep Customer Coordinator Student service Rep worker
  • 24. Proof positive Through the launch period of our 668 Inquires CRM and the re-design of our website we have seen a positive change in our inquiry traffic from phone to web. 21 via 316 chat 239 via 92 via from live for phone email Website two weeks)
  • 25. Comparison 7/7/11 to 7/14/11 10/7/11 to 10/14/11 Touchpoints Touchpoints Phone Email Email 19% 22% 30% Chat Phone 17% 60% Web Web 42% 10% Chat 0%
  • 26. Oct / Sept Y-o-Y Gross Revenue September October $330,000 $210,000 $90,000 $120,000 2010 2011
  • 27. Mapping Objectives Discover: Listen: Engage: Support: Decision Phase Uncover Capture / Convey Reinforce Demand Qualify Value Decisions Limited Fragmented Generic Current State Marketing Inquiry Messaging Silence Capture Ubiquitous Strategic Segmented Established Ideal State Outreach Data High Touch Networks Capture SEO / SEM Inquiry Forms Segmented Functional Email & FB Views Comm Outreach Facebook Vision Comm Plans Events /History Events Response Sys
  • 28. So What? • Recruit the right students Question 1: Question 2:do How we Prepare & Orient our students to be successful? How do 3: Plan & Advise our students to Question we be successful? How do we Alert & Connect with our students to be successful?
  • 30. Resources • „2011 Freshman Attitudes Survey Report” Noel-Levitz. www.noellevitz.com • EPI Analysis of BPS students 03/04 to 08/09 http://www.educationalpolicy.org http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/bps/ • “Understanding Adult Learner Program Completion” Marianne Guidos Michael J. Dooris 2007 www.psu.edu • “Time is the Enemy” Complete College America 2011 www.completecollege.org/docs/Time_Is_the_Enemy.pdf • Eduventures Overview of the U.S. Full-service Online Program Management Market (Hobsons) • Eduventures “The Big Picture 2011” Richard Garrett, June 2011 • Eduventures “Testing the Non-Traditional Higher Education Value Proposition” April 2011 • Demand Engine “Adult Learner Marketing Needs a Makeover-Now!” July 2011
  • 31. Only the Beginning: Thinking Beyond the Enrollment Funnel todd.gibby@hobsons.com - @tgibby andrew.dryden@hobsons.com
  • 32. Does Race/Ethnicity Matter? Race/Ethnicity Black or African American 17 12 8 63 American Indian or Alaska Native 14 13 11 62 Hispanic or Latino 17 16 8 59 Other 30 5 8 58 Native Hawaiian / other Pacific Islander 39 52 54 More than one race 28 9 10 53 White 36 8 10 46 Asian 46 5 8 42 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 33. Does Income Matter? Dependent Income Highest Quartile 58 2 7 32 Third Quartile 44 5 10 42 Second Quartile 35 7 11 47 Bottom Quartile 25 10 9 56 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 34. Does Age Matter? Age 40 or older 3 17 9 71 30-39 5 19 10 67 24-29 6 19 10 65 19-23 28 9 10 53 18 or younger 45 5 9 41 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 35. Does Dependent Status Matter? Dependency Independent 6 18 10 67 Dependent 41 6 9 44 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 36. Does Educational Legacy Matter? Parents’ Highest Doctoral degree or equivalent 58 34 35 Level of Education First-professional degree 60 53 32 Master's degree or equivalent 53 3 6 38 Bachelor's degree 45 5 7 43 Associate's degree 29 7 13 51 Less than two years of college 25 10 11 54 High school diploma or equivalent 17 13 11 59 Did not complete high school 10 20 10 60 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 37. Does First Institution Attended Matter? First Institution Sector Public 2-year 11 8 14 66 Attended in 2003-04 Private for-profit 4-year 16 3 15 66 Private not-for-profit 4- year 64 24 31 Public 4-year 60 24 35 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 38. Does Attending an HBCU or HSI Matter? Attended HBCUs or HSIs Attended HBCU 2003-04 25 34 68 Did not attend HBCU 2003- 04 31 10 9 50 Attended HSI 2003-04 16 7 11 66 Did not attend HSI 2003-04 33 10 9 49 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 39. Does Loan Repayment Status Matter? Loan Repayment Not in repayment 37 4 12 48 Status In default 1 23 3 73 Deferred/forbearance 28 10 11 52 In repayment 43 9 10 38 Loans paid in full or cancelled 29 17 6 49 No federal loans 26 9 9 57 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 40. Does Pell Eligibility Matter?Recipients Pell Received Pell grant, independent 5 23 9 63 Received Pell grant, dependent 30 11 10 50 No Pell grant in 2003-04 37 6 9 48 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 41. Does Attendance Status Matter? Attendance Status Mixed 21 9 12 59 Always part-time 1 10 5 84 Always full-time 45 10 8 38 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 42. Does the Number of Institutions Attended Matter? Number of Institutions 4 or more 15 8 13 65 Attended 2-3 Institutions 28 10 12 51 Only 1 33 9 8 50 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 43. Does Work Matter? Hours worked per week 40 or more 10 12 8 70 (in 2003-04) 30-39 19 11 13 57 20-29 25 8 12 54 1-19 49 5 8 37 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 44. Do Degree Plans Matter? plans Degree In 2003-04 Bachelor's degree 59 23 36 Associate's degree 11 6 19 64 Certificate 3 46 3 48 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 45. Does Delayed Enrollment Matter? Delayed enrollment Four or more 6 17 10 67 Three Years 11 14 7 67 Two Years 8 11 14 66 One Year 15 13 10 63 No Delay 44 6 9 42 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 46. Do HS College Credits Matter? Earned College Credits in High School Yes 56 4 7 34 No 29 9 10 52 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 47. Does HS GPA Matter?High School GPA 3.5-4.0 (A- to A) 64 3 6 27 3.0-3.4 (B to A-) 36 7 9 48 2.5-2.9 (B- to B) 22 9 13 57 2.0-2.4 (C to B-) 14 11 11 65 1.5-1.9 (C- to C) 7 15 11 67 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 48. Does HS Math Matter? Highest mathematics Calculus 71 24 24 courses completed in high school Pre-calculus 51 3 7 39 Trigonometry/Algebra II 41 6 10 43 Algebra 2 21 11 12 56 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 49. Does Freshman GPA Matter? year Freshman Mostly A's (3.75 or above) 31 16 11 43 GPA A's and B's (3.25-3.74) 40 9 10 41 Mostly B's (2.75-3.24) 36 9 8 47 B's and C's (2.25-2.74) 28 6 9 56 Mostly C's (1.75-2.24) 21 6 9 64 C's and D's or lower (below 1.75) 7 9 8 76 ALL STUDENTS 31 9 9 51 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Bachelor's degree Certificate Associate's degree No degree SOURCE: EPI analysis using NCES PowerStats 1.0; All BPS students enrolled in 2003-04 by 2008/09
  • 50. All Institutions When do Students Leave? 1st Year, 8 2nd Year, 7 3rd Year, 8 Attained degree, 49 4 or More, 13 Still enrolled, 15 SOURCE: BPS: 04/09. Percentage distribution of 2003-4 beginning postsecondary students according to whether they attained any degree by 2009, and if they did not, what year they left education