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Who’s Risk Is It Anyway?
May 27, 2015
Henry Tapper
Simon Nelson, FCIA FSA
Four Worries and a Funeral
De-risking or re-risking?
Can we democratize ownership?
Does choice equal freedom?
Is the State provider or facilitator?
And did this man kill British pensions?
Questions for Today
1. Is there a retirement design that better balances a
guaranteed pension and a pension delivered
through ‘best intentions’?
2. Can we ‘nudge’ people towards better behaviours
when it comes to their financial security in
retirement? How much choice do they need, want
and can cope with?
3. What can Canadians learn from Britain’s
experiences (and vice-versa)?
Challenges with Traditional DB Plans
Low interest rates,
volatile equity markets,
maturing plans,
increasing longevity
Unacceptable volatility
and asymmetrical risks
for plan sponsors
Mark-to-market
accounting
Seen as a public sector
employee ‘perk’
Relief measures are
short-term solutions;
don’t address underlying
issues
Complex regulatory
environment
Challenges with Traditional CAP Plans
Predictable costs, but
unpredictable benefits in
retirement
Members exposed to
significant risks, especially in
retirement
Complex decisions left to
plan members; ‘choice
overload’
Few efficient ‘decumulation’
products
Few benefits from pooling of
costs/risks, reducing
efficiency
First ‘cohort’ of career-DC
employees yet to reach
retirement
1. De-risking corporate pensions
But who will take on the risk?
Discussion #1
2. Democratising Pension Ownership
1. Triple lock on state pensions guarantees a
minimum 2.5% pension increase p.a.
2. Public sector DB subject
3. Private sector DB protected by pension
protection fund
4. Auto-enrolled DC pensions for 10m new
workers
1.2m DC pensions to be set up in next 3 years
But can employers help transfer the risk?
1.2m new employers set up
workplace pensions
Where is Canada today?
1. Private Sector and Not for Profit
2. Public Sector
3. Multi-Employer Trades
Where is Canada today?
Private Sector and Not for Profit
• Legacy mode for DB (freezes and de-
risking)
• Movement to fixed cost DC
Where is Canada today?
Public Sector (with solvency
exemptions)
• Municipal, Hospitals, University and Education sectors
• Generally unionized environment
• Lots of design and governance changes
• Consolidation of plans is the current theme
Where is Canada today?
Multi-Employer Trades
• Temporary solvency exemptions
• Still a strong DB landscape
• Need permanent funding rule solutions in
in most jurisdictions
Legislative/Regulatory Response
1. Minimum Funding
2. Traditional MEPPs
3. Termination Benefits
4. Hurdles for Innovation
Legislative/Regulatory Response
Minimum
Funding
• Not much help for
traditional DB
• Solvency relief and
exemptions for some
• Minimal progress
towards alternative
funding regimes
Traditional
MEPPs
• Solvency exemptions
exemptions (for now)
Legislative/Regulatory Response
Termination
Benefits
• Concepts of being ‘asset
‘asset share based’
Hurdles for
Innovation
• Regulatory change is slow
Discussion #2
Where is Britain headed?
Drawdown
Cash
Annuity
Freedom
and choice
Pension Wise
State
funded
guidance
3. Granting pension freedoms
Plenty of information
But does Information equal knowledge?
Where is Canada headed?
Innovative
Designs
Workplace
Plans
Expansions and
and
Enhancements
State Plans
Workplace Plans: Innovation
Push for regulators to be open to
new types of pension deals and
transitional approaches
Jointly Trusteed arrangements
Consolidation of plans and/or
assets
Workplace Plans: Target Benefit Plans
 TBPs, or ‘defined ambition’ plans, aim to combine
the best of DB and DC (and remove the worst of
both)
 Typical features:
1. Fixed contributions
2. Members receive a target DB-type benefit, with few (or
no) guarantees
3. Benefits may be adjusted up or down to balance funding
 Not currently accommodated by most jurisdictions’
regulations
Discussion #3
4. The State and British Pensions
 Providing -
 Single state pension – simpler but less ambitious
 A safety net for insolvent DB covenants
 Compelling –
 employers to auto-enrol staff in workplace
 Insurers to manage legacy and improve governance
 Protecting–
 the consumer with charge caps
 Educating -
 at retirement– Pension Wise
 Facilitating risk sharing –
 Not New Brunswick (yet)
 Encouraging reluctant employers
 Enabling collective decumulation
State Plans
 Hot political issue
 Significant debate over extent of Canadian
retirement crisis
 Importance of state plans in Canada stems from:
 Poor usage of existing retirement savings vehicles
(RRSPs)
 Few employees covered by workplace pension plans
 Limited government support programs for middle
class
State Plans - CPP
Enhance Canada Pension Plan (CPP)
 2013 efforts to enhance CPP stalled
 Is now likely to be part of 2015 Federal election
platforms
 Provincial support is needed (but is mixed)
State Plans - ORPP
2. Development of Ontario Retirement Pension Plan
(ORPP)
 Belief that Ontario would prefer CPP enhancements; stalls have
led to proposal of “Made in Ontario” MEPP-like mandatory
public pension plan for Ontario employees,
 Target is to replace15% of an employee’s earnings in retirement
 Would supplement existing pension arrangements, personal
savings, CPP, OAS and GIS
 Grappling with questions on implementation and design
– particularly breadth of scope, earnings thresholds and self-employed
citizens
Discussion #4
Wrap Up
Who’s risk is it anyway?

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Nyc cpbi drafth tamends-may7rd

  • 1. Who’s Risk Is It Anyway? May 27, 2015 Henry Tapper Simon Nelson, FCIA FSA
  • 2. Four Worries and a Funeral De-risking or re-risking? Can we democratize ownership? Does choice equal freedom? Is the State provider or facilitator? And did this man kill British pensions?
  • 3. Questions for Today 1. Is there a retirement design that better balances a guaranteed pension and a pension delivered through ‘best intentions’? 2. Can we ‘nudge’ people towards better behaviours when it comes to their financial security in retirement? How much choice do they need, want and can cope with? 3. What can Canadians learn from Britain’s experiences (and vice-versa)?
  • 4. Challenges with Traditional DB Plans Low interest rates, volatile equity markets, maturing plans, increasing longevity Unacceptable volatility and asymmetrical risks for plan sponsors Mark-to-market accounting Seen as a public sector employee ‘perk’ Relief measures are short-term solutions; don’t address underlying issues Complex regulatory environment
  • 5. Challenges with Traditional CAP Plans Predictable costs, but unpredictable benefits in retirement Members exposed to significant risks, especially in retirement Complex decisions left to plan members; ‘choice overload’ Few efficient ‘decumulation’ products Few benefits from pooling of costs/risks, reducing efficiency First ‘cohort’ of career-DC employees yet to reach retirement
  • 7. But who will take on the risk?
  • 9. 2. Democratising Pension Ownership 1. Triple lock on state pensions guarantees a minimum 2.5% pension increase p.a. 2. Public sector DB subject 3. Private sector DB protected by pension protection fund 4. Auto-enrolled DC pensions for 10m new workers
  • 10. 1.2m DC pensions to be set up in next 3 years
  • 11. But can employers help transfer the risk? 1.2m new employers set up workplace pensions
  • 12.
  • 13. Where is Canada today? 1. Private Sector and Not for Profit 2. Public Sector 3. Multi-Employer Trades
  • 14. Where is Canada today? Private Sector and Not for Profit • Legacy mode for DB (freezes and de- risking) • Movement to fixed cost DC
  • 15. Where is Canada today? Public Sector (with solvency exemptions) • Municipal, Hospitals, University and Education sectors • Generally unionized environment • Lots of design and governance changes • Consolidation of plans is the current theme
  • 16. Where is Canada today? Multi-Employer Trades • Temporary solvency exemptions • Still a strong DB landscape • Need permanent funding rule solutions in in most jurisdictions
  • 17. Legislative/Regulatory Response 1. Minimum Funding 2. Traditional MEPPs 3. Termination Benefits 4. Hurdles for Innovation
  • 18. Legislative/Regulatory Response Minimum Funding • Not much help for traditional DB • Solvency relief and exemptions for some • Minimal progress towards alternative funding regimes Traditional MEPPs • Solvency exemptions exemptions (for now)
  • 19. Legislative/Regulatory Response Termination Benefits • Concepts of being ‘asset ‘asset share based’ Hurdles for Innovation • Regulatory change is slow
  • 21. Where is Britain headed? Drawdown Cash Annuity Freedom and choice Pension Wise State funded guidance
  • 24. But does Information equal knowledge?
  • 25. Where is Canada headed? Innovative Designs Workplace Plans Expansions and and Enhancements State Plans
  • 26. Workplace Plans: Innovation Push for regulators to be open to new types of pension deals and transitional approaches Jointly Trusteed arrangements Consolidation of plans and/or assets
  • 27. Workplace Plans: Target Benefit Plans  TBPs, or ‘defined ambition’ plans, aim to combine the best of DB and DC (and remove the worst of both)  Typical features: 1. Fixed contributions 2. Members receive a target DB-type benefit, with few (or no) guarantees 3. Benefits may be adjusted up or down to balance funding  Not currently accommodated by most jurisdictions’ regulations
  • 29. 4. The State and British Pensions  Providing -  Single state pension – simpler but less ambitious  A safety net for insolvent DB covenants  Compelling –  employers to auto-enrol staff in workplace  Insurers to manage legacy and improve governance  Protecting–  the consumer with charge caps  Educating -  at retirement– Pension Wise  Facilitating risk sharing –  Not New Brunswick (yet)  Encouraging reluctant employers  Enabling collective decumulation
  • 30. State Plans  Hot political issue  Significant debate over extent of Canadian retirement crisis  Importance of state plans in Canada stems from:  Poor usage of existing retirement savings vehicles (RRSPs)  Few employees covered by workplace pension plans  Limited government support programs for middle class
  • 31. State Plans - CPP Enhance Canada Pension Plan (CPP)  2013 efforts to enhance CPP stalled  Is now likely to be part of 2015 Federal election platforms  Provincial support is needed (but is mixed)
  • 32. State Plans - ORPP 2. Development of Ontario Retirement Pension Plan (ORPP)  Belief that Ontario would prefer CPP enhancements; stalls have led to proposal of “Made in Ontario” MEPP-like mandatory public pension plan for Ontario employees,  Target is to replace15% of an employee’s earnings in retirement  Would supplement existing pension arrangements, personal savings, CPP, OAS and GIS  Grappling with questions on implementation and design – particularly breadth of scope, earnings thresholds and self-employed citizens
  • 34. Wrap Up Who’s risk is it anyway?

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. SPEAK: Are we at the funeral or the resurrection of risk sharing?
  2. Make bubbles ‘fly-ins’ Mention Monsanto case
  3. 1) Recognition of importance of private-sector coverage, but also a need for a middle ground between ‘traditional DB’ and ‘traditional DC’ 2) Recognition of a need for wider coverage; many citizens don’t have a private-sector plan
  4. 1) Recognition of importance of private-sector coverage, but also a need for a middle ground between ‘traditional DB’ and ‘traditional DC’ 2) Recognition of a need for wider coverage; many citizens don’t have a private-sector plan
  5. JTAs: Solvency relief allows for longer term funding approaches No requirement for wind-up funding