1. Who’s Risk Is It Anyway?
May 27, 2015
Henry Tapper
Simon Nelson, FCIA FSA
2. Four Worries and a Funeral
De-risking or re-risking?
Can we democratize ownership?
Does choice equal freedom?
Is the State provider or facilitator?
And did this man kill British pensions?
3. Questions for Today
1. Is there a retirement design that better balances a
guaranteed pension and a pension delivered
through ‘best intentions’?
2. Can we ‘nudge’ people towards better behaviours
when it comes to their financial security in
retirement? How much choice do they need, want
and can cope with?
3. What can Canadians learn from Britain’s
experiences (and vice-versa)?
4. Challenges with Traditional DB Plans
Low interest rates,
volatile equity markets,
maturing plans,
increasing longevity
Unacceptable volatility
and asymmetrical risks
for plan sponsors
Mark-to-market
accounting
Seen as a public sector
employee ‘perk’
Relief measures are
short-term solutions;
don’t address underlying
issues
Complex regulatory
environment
5. Challenges with Traditional CAP Plans
Predictable costs, but
unpredictable benefits in
retirement
Members exposed to
significant risks, especially in
retirement
Complex decisions left to
plan members; ‘choice
overload’
Few efficient ‘decumulation’
products
Few benefits from pooling of
costs/risks, reducing
efficiency
First ‘cohort’ of career-DC
employees yet to reach
retirement
9. 2. Democratising Pension Ownership
1. Triple lock on state pensions guarantees a
minimum 2.5% pension increase p.a.
2. Public sector DB subject
3. Private sector DB protected by pension
protection fund
4. Auto-enrolled DC pensions for 10m new
workers
11. But can employers help transfer the risk?
1.2m new employers set up
workplace pensions
12.
13. Where is Canada today?
1. Private Sector and Not for Profit
2. Public Sector
3. Multi-Employer Trades
14. Where is Canada today?
Private Sector and Not for Profit
• Legacy mode for DB (freezes and de-
risking)
• Movement to fixed cost DC
15. Where is Canada today?
Public Sector (with solvency
exemptions)
• Municipal, Hospitals, University and Education sectors
• Generally unionized environment
• Lots of design and governance changes
• Consolidation of plans is the current theme
16. Where is Canada today?
Multi-Employer Trades
• Temporary solvency exemptions
• Still a strong DB landscape
• Need permanent funding rule solutions in
in most jurisdictions
18. Legislative/Regulatory Response
Minimum
Funding
• Not much help for
traditional DB
• Solvency relief and
exemptions for some
• Minimal progress
towards alternative
funding regimes
Traditional
MEPPs
• Solvency exemptions
exemptions (for now)
25. Where is Canada headed?
Innovative
Designs
Workplace
Plans
Expansions and
and
Enhancements
State Plans
26. Workplace Plans: Innovation
Push for regulators to be open to
new types of pension deals and
transitional approaches
Jointly Trusteed arrangements
Consolidation of plans and/or
assets
27. Workplace Plans: Target Benefit Plans
TBPs, or ‘defined ambition’ plans, aim to combine
the best of DB and DC (and remove the worst of
both)
Typical features:
1. Fixed contributions
2. Members receive a target DB-type benefit, with few (or
no) guarantees
3. Benefits may be adjusted up or down to balance funding
Not currently accommodated by most jurisdictions’
regulations
29. 4. The State and British Pensions
Providing -
Single state pension – simpler but less ambitious
A safety net for insolvent DB covenants
Compelling –
employers to auto-enrol staff in workplace
Insurers to manage legacy and improve governance
Protecting–
the consumer with charge caps
Educating -
at retirement– Pension Wise
Facilitating risk sharing –
Not New Brunswick (yet)
Encouraging reluctant employers
Enabling collective decumulation
30. State Plans
Hot political issue
Significant debate over extent of Canadian
retirement crisis
Importance of state plans in Canada stems from:
Poor usage of existing retirement savings vehicles
(RRSPs)
Few employees covered by workplace pension plans
Limited government support programs for middle
class
31. State Plans - CPP
Enhance Canada Pension Plan (CPP)
2013 efforts to enhance CPP stalled
Is now likely to be part of 2015 Federal election
platforms
Provincial support is needed (but is mixed)
32. State Plans - ORPP
2. Development of Ontario Retirement Pension Plan
(ORPP)
Belief that Ontario would prefer CPP enhancements; stalls have
led to proposal of “Made in Ontario” MEPP-like mandatory
public pension plan for Ontario employees,
Target is to replace15% of an employee’s earnings in retirement
Would supplement existing pension arrangements, personal
savings, CPP, OAS and GIS
Grappling with questions on implementation and design
– particularly breadth of scope, earnings thresholds and self-employed
citizens
SPEAK: Are we at the funeral or the resurrection of risk sharing?
Make bubbles ‘fly-ins’
Mention Monsanto case
1) Recognition of importance of private-sector coverage, but also a need for a middle ground between ‘traditional DB’ and ‘traditional DC’
2) Recognition of a need for wider coverage; many citizens don’t have a private-sector plan
1) Recognition of importance of private-sector coverage, but also a need for a middle ground between ‘traditional DB’ and ‘traditional DC’
2) Recognition of a need for wider coverage; many citizens don’t have a private-sector plan
JTAs:
Solvency relief allows for longer term funding approaches
No requirement for wind-up funding