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Entrepreneurship Programs
in Developing Countries: What works?
Yoonyoung Cho and Maddalena Honorati
Economists (HDNSP)
Labor Market Core Course
May 10 , 2013
Motivation
• Providing decent jobs are (arguably) the most pressing
policy objective to reduce poverty and promote
economic growth.
• Opportunities for wage employment are very limited in
the developing world.
– In Africa, about 80 percent of individuals work as self employed.
• Improving productivity of the self employed and
providing opportunities for entrepreneurship is critical in
developing decent jobs.
• This is particularly relevant in the presence of the current
demographic pressure.
– Youth bulge (Africa, South Asia, Middle East)
Motivation
• Entrepreneurship programs: interventions that
promote entrepreneurial activities by addressing the
following constraints:
– Credit constraints -> Microfinance, grants, in-kind transfer
– Technical constraints -> Skills training
– Social constraints -> Targeted intervention for
disadvantaged groups
– Business environment -> Simplification of regulation
– Information constraints -> Microfranchising, counseling
and advising, information sharing and networking
Motivation
• Evaluations of these programs often show mixed results
– Business training for microcredit clients improved business knowledge and
practice; but showed little impact on sales, profits, or revenues (e.g.,
Karlan and Valdivia, 2012).
– Expansion of microfinance did not lead to new business setup; but had
positive impacts on sales and income of existing businesses (e.g., Crepon
et al. 2011).
– The impacts of entrepreneurial skills training tend to depend on
curriculum, pedagogical approach, requirement of new business, etc
(Drexler et al. 2011; detailed financial training vs. rule of thumb).
– The effects on particular groups also show mixed results (male> female in
De Mel et al. 2008a, 2008b; male<female in Attanasio et al. 2011,
Fafchamps et al. 2011)
• Little is known on which type of interventions works
better, for which group, in the different country and
context settings.
What do we do? A meta analysis
• A meta analysis is a statistical methodology to
combine multiple studies
– Synthesize the impacts of different
entrepreneurship programs and examine the
effectiveness of different features of interventions
• Program A: A government delivered training program for youth in
Kenya -> large positive impacts on business setup
• Program B: An NGO delivered financing program for women in
Indonesia -> small negligible impacts on profits
-> Draw lessons for effective design and
implementation strategies
Identified 37 programs/studies…
• Selection criteria
– Interventions focused on supporting entrepreneurial activities for
potential + current workers
– Impact evaluations that rigorously estimate a counterfactual (using
experimental or quasi-experimental methodologies)
– Impact evaluations of interventions conducted in developing countries
in the past 10 years
– Manuscripts on public domain (as published or working papers) by end
of March, 2012
Main Outcomes of Interest
• LM activities
– Employment (including self
employment)
– Business setup/expansion
– Hours of work
• LM income
– Earnings
– Profits
– Income/assets
• Business performance
– Business expenses/sales
– Number of employees
– Stocks/investment
• Savings/Borrowing Behavior
– Indicators of saving account
– loan take-up, size
• Business Practices and Knowledge
– Business knowledge
– Book keeping, recording
– Separation of individual/business
accounts
– Registration
• Attitudes and Traits
– Risk aversion, confidence,
willingness to compete, optimism,
time preference
Main dimensions of consideration
• Intervention type
– Training: vocational, life skills,
business & financial training
– Financing: microfinance, cash
and in-kind transfers, access to
savings and microinsurance
– Comprehensive: training+financing
• Groups of interest
– Female
– Youth
– Social assistance beneficiaries/poor
– Business owners
– Microfinance clients
• Service Delivery Providers
– Government
– Community/local
organization or NGOs
– Universities/researchers
– Microfinance institutes and
banks
• Country context
– Region, income
– Labor market conditions
(agriculture, informality, youth
unemployment, female
labor force participation)
– Business environment
(costs of starting a business)
+Counseling
Programs used for the meta analysis
• 37 IE studies/1,116 observations
• A large majority comes from South Asia, Africa, and Latin America.
• Two thirds are implemented in low income or lower middle income
countries.
Slightly over a half of the studies are
based on pilots
10
5
2
7
1
6
4
2
2
3
1
4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Africa EAP ECA LAC MENA South Asia
Broad-based Programs
Pilots
Type of Programs
• Training: 41%, Financing: 66%, Counseling: 21%
– Training without financing: 34%, Financing without training: 59%
– Combination: 7% (more common in low income setting, recently
increasing)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Low income Lower Middle
Income
Upper Middle
Income
Training without financing Financing without training Training+Financing
Type of programs (more disaggregated)
Most common…
•Microcredit
•Business Training
By region:
•South Asia: Microcredit
•SSA: Cash transfer,
vocational training
•LAC: Counseling
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
%ofestimates
Training Financing
Did the programs work?
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
LM Activity LM Income Business
Practice
Business
Performance
Financial
Behavior
Attitudes
Significance of Impacts by Outcome
Negative Insignificant Positive
Which outcomes do entrepreneurship programs
affect more?
14
Once we take into account program, country, and study
characteristics:
• Effects on intermediate outcomes such as business practice and
attitudes are more likely to be positive and significant than on
final outcomes such as earnings and profits
→ final outcomes may take more time to materialize
• Programs work better in longer term
– Larger and significant effects on outcomes measured in the
medium term (18 months after program completion and more)
than the short term
What type of programs had larger effects?
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
LM Activity LM Income Business
Practice
Business
Performance
Financial
Behavior
Attitudes
Training without financing Financing without training Training+Financing
Which type of intervention is more effective?
Overall:
• “Comprehensive” programs perform better. Combining
training and financing is more effective to improve LM
activities and LM income outcomes, in particular for:
– Youth
– The poor, social assistance beneficiaries
• Training programs are more effective in improving business
knowledge and practice outcomes, in particular for:
– existing micro entrepreneurs
– Urban beneficiaries
• Financing programs are more effective in improving business
performance outcomes
Larger impacts on youth
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3
Savings
Microcredit
Cash
In kind
Counseling
Financial
Business
LifeSkills
Vocational
Youth
All population
For which population group do we observe
significant effects by different outcomes?
Controlling for intervention, study and country level factors:
• Youth are strongly associated with larger and significant
impacts on labor market activity outcomes, business
performance and saving/borrowing behaviors.
• Existing entrepreneurs have significantly positive returns
on business knowledge, but do not seem to expand their
business
• More skilled beneficiaries/entrepreneurs benefit from
higher profits/labor income
• Female are strongly associated with positive attitude
outcomes and with microcredit interventions
18
Do service providers matter?
Controlling for intervention, study and country
level factors:
• Programs implemented by NGOs and private
local organizations are associated with more
positive and significant impacts than programs
delivered by multiple providers.
• Programs delivered by MFIs and banks only
are associated with negative effects.
19
Interventions have larger effects in lower income
countries
20
-0.1
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
Vocational Business Financial In kind Cash Microcredit Savings
Low income Lower middle income Upper middle income
Country context
• Programs tend to perform better in lower
income countries
• Programs implemented in countries with a
large agriculture sector, and low education
levels appear to be more successful.
• When the financial costs of starting a business
are high, interventions without financial
support are not as effective.
21
What type of training intervention works better?
22
Restricting the analysis to estimated effects of programs with training
components:
 Vocational training programs are more likely to deliver higher impacts
 General business training alone or combined with counseling services is
also associated with significant effects
 Financial literacy training only is associated with smaller impacts
compared to combined training programs.
 Life skills training either combined with business training or with
vocational training increases the likelihood of significant and larger
impacts
 Relationship between training duration and probability of success
seems to be U-shaped.
What type of financing intervention works better?
23
Restricting the analysis to estimated effects of programs with
financing components :
 Transferring cash, in kind or microcredit loan alone are not
associated with significant effects and their impacts do not differ
 Combining grants (either cash or in kind) and training is the most
effective combination
 Private sector delivery strongly associated with program success
 Financing interventions work better in low income and lower
middle income countries than upper middle income countries.
Results
• Improving labor outcomes (earnings/employment) seems more difficult than
changing intermediate outcomes (business practice and knowledge).
• Intervention type needs to be tailored to the outcomes of interest and beneficiaries’
type:
– Youth generally benefits the most, particularly from “comprehensive”
interventions in improving LM activities.
– Business training increases earnings among youth and those with higher
education in part by improving business performance
– Business training also contributes to business setup/expansion of microcredit
clients and small enterprise owners
– Microcredit effective for female by improving LM activities and business practice
• The effectiveness of the program tend to vary by the timing of measurement:
training effect may fade away while financing effect slowly picks up as time goes by.
• Service providers matter; private sector delivery
Customized intervention is needed while continuing efforts to address these
‘macro’ factors.
24
Conclusions
• Improving LM outcomes in developing countries through entrepreneurship
programs isn’t easy and requires tailored design.
• Our analysis suggested promising type of interventions for different groups
and outcomes of interest.
• However, meta analysis inherits some of the issues/limitations from original
studies
– Program details that are not observed from data but can be relevant -
the duration of training vs. the quality of training
– Cost effectiveness of the programs
– General equilibrium effects (program effects on broader economy)
– Additional studies can change the results.
• More IE studies with best features/practice of interventions need to follow.
25

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Entrepreneurship Programs Meta-Analysis: What Works Best

  • 1. Entrepreneurship Programs in Developing Countries: What works? Yoonyoung Cho and Maddalena Honorati Economists (HDNSP) Labor Market Core Course May 10 , 2013
  • 2. Motivation • Providing decent jobs are (arguably) the most pressing policy objective to reduce poverty and promote economic growth. • Opportunities for wage employment are very limited in the developing world. – In Africa, about 80 percent of individuals work as self employed. • Improving productivity of the self employed and providing opportunities for entrepreneurship is critical in developing decent jobs. • This is particularly relevant in the presence of the current demographic pressure. – Youth bulge (Africa, South Asia, Middle East)
  • 3. Motivation • Entrepreneurship programs: interventions that promote entrepreneurial activities by addressing the following constraints: – Credit constraints -> Microfinance, grants, in-kind transfer – Technical constraints -> Skills training – Social constraints -> Targeted intervention for disadvantaged groups – Business environment -> Simplification of regulation – Information constraints -> Microfranchising, counseling and advising, information sharing and networking
  • 4. Motivation • Evaluations of these programs often show mixed results – Business training for microcredit clients improved business knowledge and practice; but showed little impact on sales, profits, or revenues (e.g., Karlan and Valdivia, 2012). – Expansion of microfinance did not lead to new business setup; but had positive impacts on sales and income of existing businesses (e.g., Crepon et al. 2011). – The impacts of entrepreneurial skills training tend to depend on curriculum, pedagogical approach, requirement of new business, etc (Drexler et al. 2011; detailed financial training vs. rule of thumb). – The effects on particular groups also show mixed results (male> female in De Mel et al. 2008a, 2008b; male<female in Attanasio et al. 2011, Fafchamps et al. 2011) • Little is known on which type of interventions works better, for which group, in the different country and context settings.
  • 5. What do we do? A meta analysis • A meta analysis is a statistical methodology to combine multiple studies – Synthesize the impacts of different entrepreneurship programs and examine the effectiveness of different features of interventions • Program A: A government delivered training program for youth in Kenya -> large positive impacts on business setup • Program B: An NGO delivered financing program for women in Indonesia -> small negligible impacts on profits -> Draw lessons for effective design and implementation strategies
  • 6. Identified 37 programs/studies… • Selection criteria – Interventions focused on supporting entrepreneurial activities for potential + current workers – Impact evaluations that rigorously estimate a counterfactual (using experimental or quasi-experimental methodologies) – Impact evaluations of interventions conducted in developing countries in the past 10 years – Manuscripts on public domain (as published or working papers) by end of March, 2012
  • 7. Main Outcomes of Interest • LM activities – Employment (including self employment) – Business setup/expansion – Hours of work • LM income – Earnings – Profits – Income/assets • Business performance – Business expenses/sales – Number of employees – Stocks/investment • Savings/Borrowing Behavior – Indicators of saving account – loan take-up, size • Business Practices and Knowledge – Business knowledge – Book keeping, recording – Separation of individual/business accounts – Registration • Attitudes and Traits – Risk aversion, confidence, willingness to compete, optimism, time preference
  • 8. Main dimensions of consideration • Intervention type – Training: vocational, life skills, business & financial training – Financing: microfinance, cash and in-kind transfers, access to savings and microinsurance – Comprehensive: training+financing • Groups of interest – Female – Youth – Social assistance beneficiaries/poor – Business owners – Microfinance clients • Service Delivery Providers – Government – Community/local organization or NGOs – Universities/researchers – Microfinance institutes and banks • Country context – Region, income – Labor market conditions (agriculture, informality, youth unemployment, female labor force participation) – Business environment (costs of starting a business) +Counseling
  • 9. Programs used for the meta analysis • 37 IE studies/1,116 observations • A large majority comes from South Asia, Africa, and Latin America. • Two thirds are implemented in low income or lower middle income countries.
  • 10. Slightly over a half of the studies are based on pilots 10 5 2 7 1 6 4 2 2 3 1 4 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Africa EAP ECA LAC MENA South Asia Broad-based Programs Pilots
  • 11. Type of Programs • Training: 41%, Financing: 66%, Counseling: 21% – Training without financing: 34%, Financing without training: 59% – Combination: 7% (more common in low income setting, recently increasing) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Low income Lower Middle Income Upper Middle Income Training without financing Financing without training Training+Financing
  • 12. Type of programs (more disaggregated) Most common… •Microcredit •Business Training By region: •South Asia: Microcredit •SSA: Cash transfer, vocational training •LAC: Counseling 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% %ofestimates Training Financing
  • 13. Did the programs work? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% LM Activity LM Income Business Practice Business Performance Financial Behavior Attitudes Significance of Impacts by Outcome Negative Insignificant Positive
  • 14. Which outcomes do entrepreneurship programs affect more? 14 Once we take into account program, country, and study characteristics: • Effects on intermediate outcomes such as business practice and attitudes are more likely to be positive and significant than on final outcomes such as earnings and profits → final outcomes may take more time to materialize • Programs work better in longer term – Larger and significant effects on outcomes measured in the medium term (18 months after program completion and more) than the short term
  • 15. What type of programs had larger effects? 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 LM Activity LM Income Business Practice Business Performance Financial Behavior Attitudes Training without financing Financing without training Training+Financing
  • 16. Which type of intervention is more effective? Overall: • “Comprehensive” programs perform better. Combining training and financing is more effective to improve LM activities and LM income outcomes, in particular for: – Youth – The poor, social assistance beneficiaries • Training programs are more effective in improving business knowledge and practice outcomes, in particular for: – existing micro entrepreneurs – Urban beneficiaries • Financing programs are more effective in improving business performance outcomes
  • 17. Larger impacts on youth 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 Savings Microcredit Cash In kind Counseling Financial Business LifeSkills Vocational Youth All population
  • 18. For which population group do we observe significant effects by different outcomes? Controlling for intervention, study and country level factors: • Youth are strongly associated with larger and significant impacts on labor market activity outcomes, business performance and saving/borrowing behaviors. • Existing entrepreneurs have significantly positive returns on business knowledge, but do not seem to expand their business • More skilled beneficiaries/entrepreneurs benefit from higher profits/labor income • Female are strongly associated with positive attitude outcomes and with microcredit interventions 18
  • 19. Do service providers matter? Controlling for intervention, study and country level factors: • Programs implemented by NGOs and private local organizations are associated with more positive and significant impacts than programs delivered by multiple providers. • Programs delivered by MFIs and banks only are associated with negative effects. 19
  • 20. Interventions have larger effects in lower income countries 20 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 Vocational Business Financial In kind Cash Microcredit Savings Low income Lower middle income Upper middle income
  • 21. Country context • Programs tend to perform better in lower income countries • Programs implemented in countries with a large agriculture sector, and low education levels appear to be more successful. • When the financial costs of starting a business are high, interventions without financial support are not as effective. 21
  • 22. What type of training intervention works better? 22 Restricting the analysis to estimated effects of programs with training components:  Vocational training programs are more likely to deliver higher impacts  General business training alone or combined with counseling services is also associated with significant effects  Financial literacy training only is associated with smaller impacts compared to combined training programs.  Life skills training either combined with business training or with vocational training increases the likelihood of significant and larger impacts  Relationship between training duration and probability of success seems to be U-shaped.
  • 23. What type of financing intervention works better? 23 Restricting the analysis to estimated effects of programs with financing components :  Transferring cash, in kind or microcredit loan alone are not associated with significant effects and their impacts do not differ  Combining grants (either cash or in kind) and training is the most effective combination  Private sector delivery strongly associated with program success  Financing interventions work better in low income and lower middle income countries than upper middle income countries.
  • 24. Results • Improving labor outcomes (earnings/employment) seems more difficult than changing intermediate outcomes (business practice and knowledge). • Intervention type needs to be tailored to the outcomes of interest and beneficiaries’ type: – Youth generally benefits the most, particularly from “comprehensive” interventions in improving LM activities. – Business training increases earnings among youth and those with higher education in part by improving business performance – Business training also contributes to business setup/expansion of microcredit clients and small enterprise owners – Microcredit effective for female by improving LM activities and business practice • The effectiveness of the program tend to vary by the timing of measurement: training effect may fade away while financing effect slowly picks up as time goes by. • Service providers matter; private sector delivery Customized intervention is needed while continuing efforts to address these ‘macro’ factors. 24
  • 25. Conclusions • Improving LM outcomes in developing countries through entrepreneurship programs isn’t easy and requires tailored design. • Our analysis suggested promising type of interventions for different groups and outcomes of interest. • However, meta analysis inherits some of the issues/limitations from original studies – Program details that are not observed from data but can be relevant - the duration of training vs. the quality of training – Cost effectiveness of the programs – General equilibrium effects (program effects on broader economy) – Additional studies can change the results. • More IE studies with best features/practice of interventions need to follow. 25