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Finansieringslösningar	
  för	
  miljöföretagande:	
  
                Globala	
  trender	
  för	
  bolag	
  i	
  olika	
  
            utvecklingsfaser	
  och	
  inom	
  olika	
  segment

    	

    	

    	

    	

           	

18 Oktober, 2012	

           	

Henrik Malmsten, Durable Vision Invest	

           	

	


D.V. I

          12-10-18                               D.V.I                 1
Is this sustainable?




12-10-18            D.V.I         2
Agenda

•  An assessment of how the recent market conditions
   affected the interest in sustainable investment

•    Case: Renewable energy market

•  Trends in Sweden within the cleantech area

•    Future trends within the cleantech area

•    Q & A:



 12-10-18                     D.V.I                    3
Henrik Malmsten
•    Head of Asset Management at Sixth AP-fund for seven years and
     extensive experience to manage teams.

•    Have been in the financial business for more than 20 years.

•    Successful management of various portfolios and at the
     most > SEK 20 billion.

•    Extensive experience of Corporate Governance of listed as well non
     listed companies.

•    In charge of setting up the Sixth AP-Fund´s Asset Management as well
     as the fund Lannebo Total (within Lannebo Fonder).

•    Focus on the Renewable Energy and Cleantech sector over the past
     ten years,  global network and info structure established. Initiator and
     Fund Manager of Blue Engine, the first Swedish fund capturing the strong
     growth in the global equity renewable energy market.
•    Founder of Durable Vision Invest (D.V.I). - Global sustainable investments

 12-10-18                                  D.V.I                                  4
Key Words - Sustainable Energy

Cleantech:
The term "clean technology" describes technologies developed by
biological, computational, and physical scientists and engineers that enable
more valuable use of natural resources and greatly reduce ecological
impact.

NewEnergy:
Wind, flowing water, energy conservation. Technologies such as solar cells,
hydrogen and fuel cells and ocean energy.



     12-10-18                           D.V.I                                  5
Important Persons - For the World and Sweden




                        Al Gore


Dr. Rajendra Pachauri                  Michael Wood
- Chairman IPCC.

12-10-18                D.V.I                         6
Sustainable Investments


            Envirotech                                     Cleantech
                1970s-80s                                   mid 1990s –

•    Regulatory driven market                 •    Economic market drivers
•    Compliance-based purchasing              •    Productivity-based purchasing
•    “End-of-pipe” tech, e.g. scrubbers       •    “Front-of-pipe” tech, e.g. zero
     on smoke stacks                               emission plants
•    Chemical science                         •    Biological & materials science
•    Traditional engineering                  •    Systems design & engineering
•    Slow growth markets, e.g. waste          •    Rapid growth markets, e.g. solar
     management                                    energy
•    “Save the world” mentality               •    “Entrepreneurial” mentality
•    Low IT use                               •    High use of IT



     12-10-18                             D.V.I                                       7
Why invest in Renewable Energy



•    Great geopolitical focus is a driving force for
     renewable energy

•    Cheap oil production is no more available

•    Growing governmental and consumer environmental
     requirements

•    Increasing demand for renewable energy among
      non-OECD countries

12-10-18                         D.V.I                 8
The Case for Swedish Cleantech


§    Swedish Cleantech deal flow is particularly strong for the following
      reasons:

      o     A highly literate and educated population

      o     Public identification of the environment and development as key
            issues

      o     Consistent corporate and government leadership on these issues

      o     Subsequently, Sweden has a very strong research base and more
            mature technologies and markets for Cleantech than most other
            countries

 12-10-18                            D.V.I                                    9
World energy consumption, 1990-2035




                              IEA (International Energy
                              Agency) predicts that the
                              world energy consumption
                              will increase > 45% until
                              2030 within non-OECD.


Source: IEA 2011

    12-10-18          D.V.I                          10
Global energy demand, Total electricity production mix




                    Hydro
                    16%                                                       Geothermal
                               Nuclear                             Waste
                                15%                                14,9%        13,4%

                                         Oil                                       Other
                                                            Wind
            Gas                          6%                                        2,4%
                                                           29,3%
            20%                                Other                                Solar PV
                                                2%                                   0,6%

                                                                    Biomass           Solar Thermal
                                                                     39,1%         Tide 0,2%
                            Coal                                                   0,1%
                            41%




 Source: IEA 2010


      12-10-18                                     D.V.I                                   11
Cleantech – 5-year CAGR expectations

                   Solar globally                                                                        Wind globally
  MW                                                                                MW
250 000
                                                                                   500 000
                                                                                   450 000
200 000
                                                                                   400 000
                                                                                   350 000
150 000                                                                            300 000
                                                                                   250 000
100 000                                                                            200 000
                                                                                   150 000
                                                                                   100 000
 50 000
                                                                                    50 000
                                                                                        0
     0                                                                                       2000      2004        2008       2012        2016        2020
          2000   2004   2008   2012   2016   2020




Demand Side Efficiency                         Renewable Energy                    Distributed Energy
•  Building & Facility (growth : 8-10%)   •  Solar (growth: 35-40%)                •  Storage & Battery technologies (growth : 10-15%)
•  Mobility (growth : 10-15%)             • Wind (growth: 20-25%)                  •  Energy conversion technologies (growth : 15-20%)
•  Industrial processes (growth : 10-15%) •  Alternative fuels (growth : 30-35%)   •  Power electronics (growth: >10%)
                                          •  Hydro & Geothermal (growth : 5-10%)                Source: EPIA, ISES, IEA, EWEA,
                                                                                                PV Market Development and Perspectives, 2010




                 12-10-18                                       D.V.I                                                                            12
  

       Top 10 Solar PV Markets, installed in 2011 (kw)




     12-10-18                D.V.I                       13
The Global Equity Markets for Renewable
                               Energy

       USA                                                           39% 33%
     China                         14% 5%
     Spain                   10% 10%
    France                7% 7%
  Denmark             5% 6%
  Germany            4% 8%
      Brasil         4% 2%
South Korea         3% 0%
     Japan          3% 6%
    Canada          2% 1%
    Taiwan          2% 0%
               0%   5%    10%     15%   20%   25%   30%    35%    40%   45%

         Total market capitalization
       approximately 250 billion euro               2012   2009

               12-10-18                                      D.V.I             14
The Global Universe within
the Equity Markets for Renewable Energy



                                                                      24%
      Energy Effiency                                                 28%

                Solar                                       22% 26%

                Wind                             17% 25%

              Others                         15% 7%

        Biomass/Fuel                        14% 12%

       Power Storage           4% 4%

Hydrogen & Fuel Cells        2% 2%
                        0%    5%     10%   15%      20%       25%     30%

       Total market capitalization
     approximately 250 billion euro          2012     2009

           12-10-18                                       D.V.I             15
The 2012 Global Cleantech 100




> 5.5       2.2-3.9    < 0.6

3.9-5.5     0.6-2.2    No data
                                            Källa: Cleantech Group Analysis


 12-10-18                  D.V.I                                       16
The 100 companies by sektor




12-10-18               D.V.I             17
  

       I tidig fas saknas både kunder och privat kapital




                                  Ernst and Young – Navigating the Valley of Death


     12-10-18                 D.V.I                                                  18
  

 How Sweden will create the world's best climate for innovation?




                                                   Veckans Affärer

     12-10-18                  D.V.I                                 19
  


         Stockholm Cleantech Venture Day 2012



Cleantech Company of the Year Award 2012
to Anolytech at Stockholm Cleantech
Venture Day 2012




                                           Magnus Rehn, STING, Catherine Ehrensvärd, CEO
                                           Anolytech and Olof Berglund, chairman of the jury
                                           SCVD2012




     12-10-18                          D.V.I
  


Institutions and investors within cleantech in Sweden




     12-10-18            D.V.I                    21
  


                  Swedish media within cleantech




Nu lyfter vi - 33-listan 2012




       12-10-18                 D.V.I              22
Thank you for listening to the future!

As the Chinese saying goes:

 ”The best time to plant a tree was a hundred years ago.The
second best time, is today”




12-10-18                      D.V.I                           23

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Grön Tillväxt. Henrik Malmsten.18 oktober 2012. Cleantech local global

  • 1. Finansieringslösningar  för  miljöföretagande:   Globala  trender  för  bolag  i  olika   utvecklingsfaser  och  inom  olika  segment 18 Oktober, 2012 Henrik Malmsten, Durable Vision Invest D.V. I 12-10-18 D.V.I 1
  • 3. Agenda •  An assessment of how the recent market conditions affected the interest in sustainable investment •  Case: Renewable energy market •  Trends in Sweden within the cleantech area •  Future trends within the cleantech area •  Q & A: 12-10-18 D.V.I 3
  • 4. Henrik Malmsten •  Head of Asset Management at Sixth AP-fund for seven years and extensive experience to manage teams. •  Have been in the financial business for more than 20 years. •  Successful management of various portfolios and at the most > SEK 20 billion. •  Extensive experience of Corporate Governance of listed as well non listed companies. •  In charge of setting up the Sixth AP-Fund´s Asset Management as well as the fund Lannebo Total (within Lannebo Fonder). •  Focus on the Renewable Energy and Cleantech sector over the past ten years,  global network and info structure established. Initiator and Fund Manager of Blue Engine, the first Swedish fund capturing the strong growth in the global equity renewable energy market. •  Founder of Durable Vision Invest (D.V.I). - Global sustainable investments 12-10-18 D.V.I 4
  • 5. Key Words - Sustainable Energy Cleantech: The term "clean technology" describes technologies developed by biological, computational, and physical scientists and engineers that enable more valuable use of natural resources and greatly reduce ecological impact. NewEnergy: Wind, flowing water, energy conservation. Technologies such as solar cells, hydrogen and fuel cells and ocean energy. 12-10-18 D.V.I 5
  • 6. Important Persons - For the World and Sweden Al Gore Dr. Rajendra Pachauri Michael Wood - Chairman IPCC. 12-10-18 D.V.I 6
  • 7. Sustainable Investments Envirotech Cleantech 1970s-80s mid 1990s – •  Regulatory driven market •  Economic market drivers •  Compliance-based purchasing •  Productivity-based purchasing •  “End-of-pipe” tech, e.g. scrubbers •  “Front-of-pipe” tech, e.g. zero on smoke stacks emission plants •  Chemical science •  Biological & materials science •  Traditional engineering •  Systems design & engineering •  Slow growth markets, e.g. waste •  Rapid growth markets, e.g. solar management energy •  “Save the world” mentality •  “Entrepreneurial” mentality •  Low IT use •  High use of IT 12-10-18 D.V.I 7
  • 8. Why invest in Renewable Energy •  Great geopolitical focus is a driving force for renewable energy •  Cheap oil production is no more available •  Growing governmental and consumer environmental requirements •  Increasing demand for renewable energy among non-OECD countries 12-10-18 D.V.I 8
  • 9. The Case for Swedish Cleantech §  Swedish Cleantech deal flow is particularly strong for the following reasons: o  A highly literate and educated population o  Public identification of the environment and development as key issues o  Consistent corporate and government leadership on these issues o  Subsequently, Sweden has a very strong research base and more mature technologies and markets for Cleantech than most other countries 12-10-18 D.V.I 9
  • 10. World energy consumption, 1990-2035 IEA (International Energy Agency) predicts that the world energy consumption will increase > 45% until 2030 within non-OECD. Source: IEA 2011 12-10-18 D.V.I 10
  • 11. Global energy demand, Total electricity production mix Hydro 16% Geothermal Nuclear Waste 15% 14,9% 13,4% Oil Other Wind Gas 6% 2,4% 29,3% 20% Other Solar PV 2% 0,6% Biomass Solar Thermal 39,1% Tide 0,2% Coal 0,1% 41% Source: IEA 2010 12-10-18 D.V.I 11
  • 12. Cleantech – 5-year CAGR expectations Solar globally Wind globally MW MW 250 000 500 000 450 000 200 000 400 000 350 000 150 000 300 000 250 000 100 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 50 000 0 0 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 Demand Side Efficiency Renewable Energy Distributed Energy •  Building & Facility (growth : 8-10%) •  Solar (growth: 35-40%) •  Storage & Battery technologies (growth : 10-15%) •  Mobility (growth : 10-15%) • Wind (growth: 20-25%) •  Energy conversion technologies (growth : 15-20%) •  Industrial processes (growth : 10-15%) •  Alternative fuels (growth : 30-35%) •  Power electronics (growth: >10%) •  Hydro & Geothermal (growth : 5-10%) Source: EPIA, ISES, IEA, EWEA, PV Market Development and Perspectives, 2010 12-10-18 D.V.I 12
  • 13.    Top 10 Solar PV Markets, installed in 2011 (kw) 12-10-18 D.V.I 13
  • 14. The Global Equity Markets for Renewable Energy USA 39% 33% China 14% 5% Spain 10% 10% France 7% 7% Denmark 5% 6% Germany 4% 8% Brasil 4% 2% South Korea 3% 0% Japan 3% 6% Canada 2% 1% Taiwan 2% 0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Total market capitalization approximately 250 billion euro 2012 2009 12-10-18 D.V.I 14
  • 15. The Global Universe within the Equity Markets for Renewable Energy 24% Energy Effiency 28% Solar 22% 26% Wind 17% 25% Others 15% 7% Biomass/Fuel 14% 12% Power Storage 4% 4% Hydrogen & Fuel Cells 2% 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Total market capitalization approximately 250 billion euro 2012 2009 12-10-18 D.V.I 15
  • 16. The 2012 Global Cleantech 100 > 5.5 2.2-3.9 < 0.6 3.9-5.5 0.6-2.2 No data Källa: Cleantech Group Analysis 12-10-18 D.V.I 16
  • 17. The 100 companies by sektor 12-10-18 D.V.I 17
  • 18.    I tidig fas saknas både kunder och privat kapital Ernst and Young – Navigating the Valley of Death 12-10-18 D.V.I 18
  • 19.    How Sweden will create the world's best climate for innovation? Veckans Affärer 12-10-18 D.V.I 19
  • 20.    Stockholm Cleantech Venture Day 2012 Cleantech Company of the Year Award 2012 to Anolytech at Stockholm Cleantech Venture Day 2012 Magnus Rehn, STING, Catherine Ehrensvärd, CEO Anolytech and Olof Berglund, chairman of the jury SCVD2012 12-10-18 D.V.I
  • 21.    Institutions and investors within cleantech in Sweden 12-10-18 D.V.I 21
  • 22.    Swedish media within cleantech Nu lyfter vi - 33-listan 2012 12-10-18 D.V.I 22
  • 23. Thank you for listening to the future! As the Chinese saying goes: ”The best time to plant a tree was a hundred years ago.The second best time, is today” 12-10-18 D.V.I 23