What future is probable? What future is possible? What knowledge and skills do we need to make our finest contribution to the future? Keynote presentation at Pearson College's Global Future Day, Feb 20, 2014.

1. Guy Dauncey 2013
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2. Guy Dauncey 2007
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3. We have come an incredible long way from this….
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4. Guy Dauncey 2013
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to this….

5. To this….
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6. To this …
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7. but…
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8. We have also come to this…
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13. If everyone lived the way wealthy people do,
we'd need many more planets
to provide the resources.
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14. GDP =
‘Gross
Domestic
Product’
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15. GDP =
Gross Depletion of the Planet
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16. Gross Depletion of the Planet
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17. Gross Depletion of the Planet
Why?
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To make shark fin soup

18. Gross
Depletion
of the
Planet
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19. Why?
Gross
Depletion
of the
Planet
To raise cattle,
to make hamburgers
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20. Gross Depletion of the Planet
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21. Why?
To make Palm Oil,
to make Pizza
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23. CO2
CO2
CO2
CO2
CO2
CO2
100 million tonnes a day
= 4 million tonnes an hour
= 67,000 tonnes a minute
As we burn the fossil fuels…
= 1,000 tonnes a second
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2007
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24. And this…
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30. And this…
And this…
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31. And this…

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36. Crisis
limate
C
Oceans Cri
si
Financial Crisis
u n g er
H
Po v e
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rt y
W
a nd
ar
s
nce
i ol e
V
xtinction
Species E
sness
meles
Ho

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42. What is the probable future of our world?

43. What is the probable future of our world?
A LOT OF REALLY
BAD THINGS

44. What is the possible future of our world?

45. What is the possible future of our world?
A LOT OF REALLY
GOOD THINGS

46. What makes the difference?

47. What makes the difference?
YOU DO

48. What makes the difference?
YOU DO
I DO

49. What makes the difference?
YOU DO
I DO
WE DO

50. When you think about
the future of our world,
what do you feel?
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51. Excitement
Hope
Worry
Despair
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52. Are you conscious?
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53. Do you have free will to choose your future?
Or is everything predetermined?
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54. Is there purpose and direction in the Universe?
Or is it just all just random?
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55. What story do you use
to make sense of it all?
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56. A: There is Spiritual purpose in our life
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57. B: Who knows? But it’s amazing
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58. C: Nature is good,
Humans are bad
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59. D:
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60. What story do you use to make sense of it all?
A: Spiritual purpose
B: Who knows? But it’s amazing
D:
C: Nature good, humans bad
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61. Humans are motivated by dreams of life and wholeness,
not by nightmares of death and collapse.
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62. We Have
The Freedom to Choose…
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63. Which path
will you
take?
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64. A QUICK HISTORY LESSON
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65. Go back 100 years, to the time of your
great grandparents
Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Mobile phones, Internet,
credit cards, space travel, computers, TV, recorded music
airplanes, antibiotics, relativity theory, women voting…
ALL GONE

66. Go back 500 years,
20 generations ago
Radio, telephones, light bulbs, the periodic table,
electricity, railways, Darwin’s evolutionary theory,
democracy, freedom from child labour, the industrial age,
freedom from slavery, the idea of tolerance and equality,
telescopes, muskets, microscopes, the idea of science -
ALL GONE

67. Go back 5,000 years,
200 generations ago
The printing press, algebra, geometry, maths, numbers,
ancient Greece, philosophy, paper, the alphabet,
literature, writing…
ALL GONE

68. Go back 50,000 years,
2,000 generations ago
Agriculture, cities, towns, metal working, pottery, boats,
constructed shelter, musical instruments…
ALL GONE

72. These are our ancestors.
It was their quest for knowledge
that led the way to the Neolithic Age

73. Their Neolithic quest led the way …

74. To Babylonian thought,
which led the way…
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75. To Egyptian thought,
which led the way…

76. To Greek science and philosophy,
which led the way…
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77. To Islamic science and philosophy,
which led the way …

78. To the Renaissance,
which led the way…
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79. To the Scientific Revolution,
which led the way…

80. To the Industrial Age,
which led the way…

81. To more Industrial Age,
which led the way…

82. To today’s world …

83. And to this.
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84. The Journey of Civilization has
seven threads, in which we learn:
1.
1.
1.
1.
2.
3.
4.
How to communicate
How to relate to Spirit
How to think scientifically
How to create technologies
How to make social progress
How to live in harmony with Nature
How to end war

85. 1: We learn how to communicate…
Speech
Radio
TV
Writing
Telephone
Satellite
Alphabet
Manuscripts
Books
Printing
Internet

86. 2: We learn how to relate to Spirit …

87. 3: We learn how to think scientifically…
Copernicus
Islamic scientists
Aristotle
Galileo
Stephen Hawking

88. 4: We learn how to create technologies …

89. 5: We learn how
to make
social progress …
18th Century
Campaign to
Abolish Slavery
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90. 6: We learn how to live in harmony with Nature

91. 7: We learn how to end violence and war

92. 19th Century: Struggles to build Democracy
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93. 19th Century – Struggles for Workers’ Rights
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94. 19th Century
Campaigns to End Child Labour
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95. 19th Century
Women’s
Suffrage
Movement,
to win the vote for
women
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96. 20th Century: Struggle against Nazism
Wikimedia

97. 20th Century: The Struggles for Independence
and the Power of Non-Violence
Wikimedia

98. 20th Century
Civil Rights
Movement
Wikimedia

99. South Africa’s Struggle to End Apartheid

100. 21st Century
Struggle for Harmony with Nature
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101. 21st Century
Continuing Struggle for Women’s Rights

102. 21st Century
Continuing Struggle for Democracy

103. 21st Century:
Continuing Struggle for Economic Justice

104. Crisis
limate
C
Oceans Cri
si
Financial Crisis
u n g er
H
Po v e
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a nd
ar
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i ol e
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xtinction
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sness
meles
Ho

105. Climate Crisis
Financial Crisis
Hunger
Climate Activism
New Economy
Activism
Food and Farming Activism
Poverty
War and Violence
New Economy
Activism
Peace Activism
Species Extinction
Nature Activism
Oceans Crisis
Marine Activism
Homelessness
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Housing Activism

106. Artists and Poets
Engineers and Planners
Farmers and Chefs
Economists and Bankers
Teachers and Youth Workers
Foresters and Biologists
Business People and Investors
Scientists
Doctors and Nurses
Social Workers and Change-Agents
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107. The power
of our vision
must be stronger than
the power
of our fears

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111. CLIMATE ACTION
N
W
NOT BY 2015 … NOT BY 2020 … BUT NOW

113. Metamorphosis…
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114. If you are
searching for
the
ONE PERSON
who can
change your life
take a look
in a mirror
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116. William Kamkwamba
built a windmill in his
tiny rural farming
village in Malawi when
he was 14 years old.
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117. 18-year-old Boyan Slat
from Holland
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118. 18-year-old Boyan Slat
from Holland
THE SOLUTION
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119. Istanbul,
Turkey

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122. Freiburg, Germany

123. Crescent Park, Richmond, California
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125. Taiwan Solar Stadium
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126. Kagoshima Nanatsujima 70 MW Solar Power Plant, Japan
Kyocera, 79,000 MWh a year
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127. New solar bridge across the River Thames, London
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129. Siemens AG

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132. Streets being re-imagined
and redesigned
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www.cityrepair.org

134. www.cityrepair.org
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136. Musee du Quai Branly, Paris
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Patrick Blanc, Le Mur Vegetal

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The Gherkin, London

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140. Vincent Callebaut
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141. Vincent Callebaut: Asian Cairns, Sustainable Megaliths for
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Rural Urbanity, Shenzhen, China, 2013
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142. Solar Thermal District Heat
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Drake Landing, Okotoks, Alberta.

143. 800
solar hot water
panels
on the garages
90% of residential space
heating needs met by solar
thermal energy (40-50o C)
Reduction - 5 tonnes of
greenhouse gas emissions
per home per year.
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144. Solar Thermal Heating 12 months a year
The Energy Centre
Solar hot water
panels
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Community solar
heat panels

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146. Sorce: Solvis
Solar Thermal Housing, Rostock, Germany
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147. In Sweden, Stockholm sends heat
from treated sewage effluent to 80,000 apartments
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148. Proyecto Urbano Integral, Medellin, Colombia
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149. Pedestrian Plaza
In Buenos Aires,
Argentina
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150. Cheonggyecheon, Seoul, South Korea
Before and After
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151. Cheonggyecheon, Seoul, South Korea
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153. Guy Dauncey 2013
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The Highline
Converted Railway,
New York

154. Brooklyn Bridge Remix/Redux
Terreform and Michael Sorkin Studio
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155. London: a Garden Bridge across the Thames
Thomas Heatherwick
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157. Proposed green covered highway
In Hamburg, Germany
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158. Rua Gonçalo de Carvalho, Porto Allegro, Brazil
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160. Local Food Economies
flourishing
www.solefoodfarms.com
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161. Community gardens everywhere
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162. Many people growing their own food
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163. Many people growing their own food
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164. Boulevards filled with vegetables
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168. Local Farmers Markets

169. Schools Growing Their Own Food
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170. Concrete school yards being transformed
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172. Suburban streets being calmed and claimed
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173. Fast, dangerous streets being slowed
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174. Fast, boring streets being slowed and humanized
www.restreets.org
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175. Streets Holding Annual Block Parties
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176. There’s lots of
community art
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179. Lost Creeks are being restored
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180. Still Creek, Vancouver.
Chum Salmon restored after 80 years
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Semiahmoo Transit Station, Surrey
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182. Downtown streets are being calmed and claimed
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183. Many more people enjoying walking

184. Many more people cycling

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186. All bike lanes are safe separated bike lanes

188. Electric Bicycles
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191. Many people using Transit

192. 100% Electric Buses

193. On-Line Electric Bus

194. Many creative bus shelters

195. Vehicle owners earning
up to $300 a month
through peer-to-peer carsharing

196. Affordable small electric vehicles:
Renault Twizy
$9,700 + $60/month battery lease

197. Honda solar electric car charging
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198. Electric car fast charging
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199. www.cargohopper.com
Cargohopper
3 tonnes max
60 km range
20 kph top speed
Urban deliveries
Holland

201. No more air pollution

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203. Moving from a
CAPITALIST
to a
COOPERATIVE
Economy
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204. Close down the
offshore
tax havens
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205. Establish
Public Banks
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207. A Financial Transactions Tax
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208. Turn businesses into
Benefit Corporations
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209. More Women Directors on the Board
“Companies with more Women Board Directors
experience higher financial performance,
according to latest Catalyst Bottom Line Report.”
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210. Green Business Certification
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211. Basic Income for all
A Basic Income is an income
unconditionally guaranteed to all
on an individual basis,
without means test or work requirement.
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Neighbours participating
in the sharing economy
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Neighbourhood Tool-Sharing

215. Youth Enterprise Initiatives
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216. Micro-Lending
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217. Student Debt problems solved in Oregon
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218. The Oregon Solution: Pay It Forward
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219. What Skills Do You Need?
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220. What Skills Do You Need?
1. Passion
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221. What Skills Do You Need?
1. Passion
2. Commitment
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222. What Skills Do You Need?
1. Passion
2. Commitment
3. Research: always thinking,
learning and asking questions
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223. What Skills Do You Need?
1. Passion
2. Commitment
3. Research: always thinking,
learning and asking questions
4. Hard work, learning from mistakes
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224. What Skills Do You Need?
1. Passion
2. Commitment
3. Research: always thinking,
learning and asking questions
4. Hard work, learning from mistakes
5. Team work
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225. What Skills Do You Need?
1. Passion
2. Commitment
3. Research: always thinking,
learning and asking questions
4. Hard work, learning from mistakes
5. Team work
6. Persistence in the face of difficulty
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226. What Skills Do You Need?
1. Passion
2. Commitment
3. Research: always thinking,
learning and asking questions
4. Hard work, learning from mistakes
5. Team work
6. Persistence in the face of difficulty
7. Faith
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227. www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey
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231. Metamorphosis…
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238. Dream it
Wish it
Do it
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