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Hera Group Y2012 financial results
analyst presentation,   22nd March 2013
2012 results at a Glance

2012 YoY growth rates                                        Positive growth in operations        despite
(%)                                                          recession   scenario,     underpinned    by
                                             +13.5%
                                                             enhancement in gas and water.

        +8.8%
                                                             Bottom       line     increased     even     excluding
                                                             extraordinary positive effects, mainly related to tax
                             +2.7%
                                                             recovery (reimbursement of IRES paid on IRAP from
                                                             2009 for 18m€).

      Revenues               Ebitda         Net Profit
                                                             Earthquake had impact only on Working Capital
                                                             (about 25m€ following the emergency-law issued).
2012 Macro-economic trends
(%)
                                                             Regulated businesses enhanced contribution to
 Italy                        Ch. '11/'10 Ch '12/'11         Group results (54.5% Ebitda).

 GDP*                              +0.5%       (2.4%)
 Industrial production*            (5.0%)      (6.7%)        Financial soundness confirmed: Debt at 2.2b€,
 Import*                           +8.9%       (5.7%)        and D/Ebitda at 3.35x, prior normalization for M&A.
 Export*                          +11.4%       +3.7%
 Electrical consumption**          +0.6%       (2.8%)
 Gas consumption***
 * source ISTAT
                                   (6.3%)      (3.9%)    -   2012 performance in line with our business
                                                             plan expectations highlighting resilient portfolio mix.
 ** source: Terna
 *** source: Snam Rete Gas




                                                                                                                       1
2012 results grew despite all




 Increase in tariffs, and gas                                            2011          2012      Ch.%
 volumes sold/traded.
                                Revenues                                4,315.9       4,696.3     +8.8%
                                                                                                           13.4m€ in accruals to
                                Ebitda                                    644.8         662.0     +2.7%    provisions related to “one
 Financial inc./exp.            Depreciation                             (233.8)       (239.1)    +2.3%    off” past years items.
 increased due to higher        Provisions                              (76.6)         (87.5)    +14.3%
 rates and debt.                Ebit                                     334.5         335.4      +0.3%
                                Net financial Interests                  (106.4)       (118.5)   +11.4%    Mainly related to
                                IAS figurative interest*                  (13.1)        (15.6)   +19.2%    Energonut restatement
                                Results from associates                         6.3        5.4   (13.7%)   at fair value (acquisition
 ‘12 taxes include IRES                                                                                    executed at 50m€).
                                Other extraord.                             -             6.7
 reimbursements paid on
 IRAP ( ‘07-’11: +18.1m€).      Pre tax Profit                           221.2         213.4      (3.5%)
 ‘12 effect of lower IRAP of    Tax                                       (94.4)        (79.1)   (16.3%)
 about 4.4m€.                   Tax rate                                 -42.7%        -37.0%              ’12 Minorities affected by
                                Net Profit                               126.8         134.4      +6.0%    the end of Bologna WTE
 ‘11 taxes affected by                                                                                     Cip6 contract (-6.4m€).
                                Minorities                                (22.2)        (15.7)   (29.2%)
 extraord. benefits from        Hera Net Profit                         104.6         118.7      +13.5%
 advanced payments of
 deferred taxes (~7.6m€).       *Non cash items related to provisions




                  Growing results despite Cip6 contract expiry

                                                                                                                                        2
Continuing growth through both organic drivers and M&A

 Ebitda growth drivers
 (m€)
                                 +5.6% adj                  Organic Growth in line with track records.
                                             +11   +662,0
        644,8                    +24,2
                         626,8                              Organic growth more than compensating
                (18.0)
                                                            the expiry of WTE BO Cip6 contract effects
                                                            underpinned by tariffs, customers, cross
                                                            selling and synergies.

                                                            M&A relates to 4MW PV plants, Sadori Gas
                                                            merger (accounted for from 1 July ‘11) and
        2011    Cip6     2011    Syn &   M&A        2012    Energonut (acquired in Novembre 2012).
                FEA      ADJ      Org.



 Ebitda by strategic areas
 (m€)                                                       Waste posted positive growth net of expired WTE
                                                            BO Cip6 contract.

                                                            Network benefit from tariff increases and
                                                            efficiency gains.

                                                            Energy activities further progress mainly in gas
                                                            sales/trading activities.




                                                                                                               3
Positive operating cash flows before M&A and dividends
        2012 cash flows
        (m€)
500
                                                                                                 2012 free cash generation almost fully
400
                                                                                                 funded net capex by 270 m€ and Working
300
                      (270)                                                                      Capital increase (50% related to increased
200     +421                                                                                     receivables due to macro-scenario, earthquake impact
                                                                                                 and 50% related to decrease in payables).
100
                                 (146)
                                             (36)
 00
                                                                                                 Debt at 2.22b€ accounting Energonut cash-
-100
                                                        (31)                                     acquisition.
                                                                   (114)
-200                                                                                   (229)
                                                                              (84)               Issued 0.7b€ bond at 5.2%interest rate
-300   Economic       Capex       NWC      Provisions Operating   Dividends M&A/other Ch. Debt
          CF*                                            CF
                                                                                                 with a 15 year duration. No refinancing issues
-400
                                                                                                 (available committed credit lines reached ~420m€ as
         * Economic cash flows=Net profit + D&A+IAS interests                                    at today).



            Net working capital:+146m€ YoY                                                       Financial Soundness in “3D”:
            (m€)


                                                                            114
                                                                           115
                                                                                                        D/Ebitda: 3.35x (3.27x excluding Energonut   M&A)


                                                                                                        D/Equity: 1.17x

                                                                                                        Duration: over 8 years on avg.
               2011
               2011           Earthquake      Inc.       Lower debt        2012
                                            Revenues
                  (31.5)



                                                                                                                                                            4
WASTE: Going through the crisis substantially un-damaged

Financial highlights (m€)
                                                                                                 Urban waste tariffs up by +3.4%.
                                               2011                 2012          Ch. %
   Revenues                                    740.1                737.8               (0.3%)
   Ebitda                                      194.2                183.5               (5.5%)   Economic slow down impacts household
                                                                                                 consumption and consequently urban waste
                                                                                                 volumes.
           2012 Ebitda build up
           (m€)


                                                                                                 Special waste volumes significantly recovered
                                                                                                 from -17.4% of Q1 signing a positive trend in Q4
                                                                                                 of +20.2% (after a decrease in 13 quarters in a
                                                                                                 row).


                                                                                                 Ebitda development reflects the expiry of BO WTE
           2012 Volumes by quarter (kton)                                                        Cip6 contract, the efficiency in operations and
                                                                                                 consolidation of Energonut (since the closing of the
           Urban waste                            Special waste
                                               20.0 0%
                                                                                      +20.2%     deal in November ‘12).
20.0 0%


                                       +5.5%


    0                                               0
                                                                             (0.7%)
                                                                                                 Treatment mix managed to exploit green power
            (5.1%)   (4.7%)   (3.9%)                                (5.1%)
                                                                                                 generation capacity of WTE and biomass plants
                                                          (17.4%)                                (0.7 TWh generated up by +2.2%). Sorted urban w.
-30.0 0%                                       -3 0.00%
                                                                                                 collection enhance to 52%.
             Q1       Q2       Q3       Q4                  Q1      Q2       Q3         Q4
                                                                                                                                                   5
WATER: Committed to reach proper returns

Financial highlights (m€)
                     2011       2012       Ch. %      Tariffs increase of +6.7% whilst volumes
                      177.6      178.7                were lower YoY.
Revenues              596.7     617.1         +3.4%
Ebitda                150.2     158.3         +5.4%
                                                      Ebitda reflects also efficiency improvements
                                                      partially compensating higher electricity costs
Volumes                                               (300 GWh electricity consumptions in ‘12).


 Data                2011     2012       Ch.%
                                                      2012 tariff increases safeguarded by Ato
Aqueduct (mm 3)      253.7    252.7      (0.4%)       agreements to progress toward proper returns.
Sewerage (mm3)       222.6    220.8      (0.8%)       New regulatory system (retro-active from
Purification (mm3)   221.4    217.0      (2.0%)       1/1/2012) implies tariff increases and RAB
                                                      revaluation (1.2b€ from 1b€).

Ebitda track record since 2002
(m€)
                                                      Uninterrupted resilient track record in
                                                      10 financial reports in a row.




                                                                                                        6
Gas: record year due to volumes and margins

Financial highlights (m€)
                             2011        2012      Ch. %     Revenues growth mainly driven by
                                                             higher commodity prices, larger trading
Revenues                    1,490.2     1,769.3     +18.7%   and sold volumes.
Ebitda                        208.7       240.7     +15.3%

                                                             Cold Q1 2012 more than compensated
Volumes and customers                                        decrease  in  demand    (as  crisis
                                                             consequence).
 Data                         2011       2012      Ch.%
 Volumes distrib. (mm3)     2,389.2     2,360.1    (1.2%)
                                                             Ebitda increase mainly driven by supply
 Volumes sold (mm )    3    3,321.0     3,478.9     +4.8%    and     trading   activities,   positive
 of which trading (mm 3 )     1,252.6    1,396.0   +11.4%    performance of regulated activities
 District Heating (GWht)      499.3      526.0     +5.3%     (+7m€) and customer base consolidation.
 Customers ('000)             1114.5     1116.3    +0.2%


Ebitda track record since 2002                               Growth in customer base through
(m€)                                                         commercial expansion offsets churn in
                                                             traditional reference territories.

                                                             Q4 2012 results substantially in line
                                                             with Q4 2011, also as a consequence of
                                                             lower volume sold (-50m cubic meters).



                                                                                                        7
Electricity: market expansion still on going

Financial highlights (m€)
                     2011       2012       Ch. %      Revenues growth mainly driven by higher
                                                      prices partially compensated by slow down
Revenues           1,585.2     1,678.4        +5.9%   in demand (-4.6% volume).
Ebitda                73.2        62.3      (15.0%)


                                                      Commercial margins and expansion
                                                      (+12.2% customer base) offset poor
Customers                                             performance of power generation assets.
Data                  2011       2012       Ch.%
Customers ('000)       482.1       541.1    +12.2%    Performance of distribution activities
                                                      confirmed stable (+1m€) in line with
                                                      previous year.


                                                      Ebitda positive trend inversion caused
Ebitda track record since 2002                        partly by change in fair values (~10m€).
(m€)




                                                                                                  8
Update on Acegas Aps



                                                                       Group         Full merger with Acegas Aps Holding
                           Acegas        Acegas         Hera
  2012 proforma
                            A2011         A2012        A2012
                                                                       Proforma      executed by year end (consolidation starting
                                                                         2012        from 1/1/2013).
  Revenues                       585           626       4,696           5,322
  Ebitda                         119           129         662              791      Acegas Aps yearly results in line with our
  Ebit                             53            59        335              394      estimates (energy activities and Water business
                                                                                     underpinned 2012 Ebitda growth).
  Net Profit pre min.              18            26        134              160
  Net Profit                       18             26        118              144
                                                                                     Public Tender Offer on going till 27th of
                                                                                     March. As of 21st of March Hera controls
                                                                                     slightly more than 93% of Acegas Aps share
  Net financial debt              447           464     2,142*            2,606
                                                                                     capital.
  NFP/Ebitda                     3,8x         3.59x      3.23x            3.29x
  Invested Capital                  816           849       4,112            4,961
   *Excluding cash acquisition of Energonut executed in Q4 and earthquake effect .
                                                                                     Acegas Aps management already at work
                                                                                     with Hera’s to deploy synergy potentials.
  P/E                                                    11.3x            12.0x
                                                                                     Board of Acegas Aps will be appointed
  EV/Ebitda                                                5.4x             5.4x
                                                                                     next 14th of May.
  Market cap.
                                                         1,360            1,685
  (31/12)



Acegas Aps represents 50% of business plan Ebitda growth target
                                                                                                                                       9
Closing remarks



‘12 results in line with plan target                                        Strong competitiveness on energy market
                                                                            and progression in regulated activities
                                 Business plan target             2012      underpinned positive Ebitda performance.

Avg synergies & Organic Growth                   23m€             24m€ ✔
Waste special waste volumes                  increase Q4 positive trend ✔
                                                                            Business portfolio resilience shown also
Electricity customers                            +60k             +60k ✔    during long crisis period. Waste treatm. of
Capex reduction (m€/Y)                              288            271 ✔
                                                                            special waste highlight first inversion of a
Dividend policy                            no decrease          Stable ✔    long negative trend.
Financial structure soundness      progressive increase           3.3x ✔
                                                                            All main business plan targets achieved.

                                                                            M&A strengthened Waste asset base with a
                                                                            new WTE plant (Energonut) and Acegas Aps.
 Ebitda and Ebit Track records
                                                                            Solid financial structure (3.35x D/Ebitda)
                                                                            with no refinancing issues.


                                                                            DPS of 9 €c confirmed.




                                                                                                                           10
Q&A session

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Hera Group Y2012 financial results

  • 1. Hera Group Y2012 financial results analyst presentation, 22nd March 2013
  • 2. 2012 results at a Glance 2012 YoY growth rates Positive growth in operations despite (%) recession scenario, underpinned by +13.5% enhancement in gas and water. +8.8% Bottom line increased even excluding extraordinary positive effects, mainly related to tax +2.7% recovery (reimbursement of IRES paid on IRAP from 2009 for 18m€). Revenues Ebitda Net Profit Earthquake had impact only on Working Capital (about 25m€ following the emergency-law issued). 2012 Macro-economic trends (%) Regulated businesses enhanced contribution to Italy Ch. '11/'10 Ch '12/'11 Group results (54.5% Ebitda). GDP* +0.5% (2.4%) Industrial production* (5.0%) (6.7%) Financial soundness confirmed: Debt at 2.2b€, Import* +8.9% (5.7%) and D/Ebitda at 3.35x, prior normalization for M&A. Export* +11.4% +3.7% Electrical consumption** +0.6% (2.8%) Gas consumption*** * source ISTAT (6.3%) (3.9%) - 2012 performance in line with our business plan expectations highlighting resilient portfolio mix. ** source: Terna *** source: Snam Rete Gas 1
  • 3. 2012 results grew despite all Increase in tariffs, and gas 2011 2012 Ch.% volumes sold/traded. Revenues 4,315.9 4,696.3 +8.8% 13.4m€ in accruals to Ebitda 644.8 662.0 +2.7% provisions related to “one Financial inc./exp. Depreciation (233.8) (239.1) +2.3% off” past years items. increased due to higher Provisions (76.6) (87.5) +14.3% rates and debt. Ebit 334.5 335.4 +0.3% Net financial Interests (106.4) (118.5) +11.4% Mainly related to IAS figurative interest* (13.1) (15.6) +19.2% Energonut restatement Results from associates 6.3 5.4 (13.7%) at fair value (acquisition ‘12 taxes include IRES executed at 50m€). Other extraord. - 6.7 reimbursements paid on IRAP ( ‘07-’11: +18.1m€). Pre tax Profit 221.2 213.4 (3.5%) ‘12 effect of lower IRAP of Tax (94.4) (79.1) (16.3%) about 4.4m€. Tax rate -42.7% -37.0% ’12 Minorities affected by Net Profit 126.8 134.4 +6.0% the end of Bologna WTE ‘11 taxes affected by Cip6 contract (-6.4m€). Minorities (22.2) (15.7) (29.2%) extraord. benefits from Hera Net Profit 104.6 118.7 +13.5% advanced payments of deferred taxes (~7.6m€). *Non cash items related to provisions Growing results despite Cip6 contract expiry 2
  • 4. Continuing growth through both organic drivers and M&A Ebitda growth drivers (m€) +5.6% adj Organic Growth in line with track records. +11 +662,0 644,8 +24,2 626,8 Organic growth more than compensating (18.0) the expiry of WTE BO Cip6 contract effects underpinned by tariffs, customers, cross selling and synergies. M&A relates to 4MW PV plants, Sadori Gas merger (accounted for from 1 July ‘11) and 2011 Cip6 2011 Syn & M&A 2012 Energonut (acquired in Novembre 2012). FEA ADJ Org. Ebitda by strategic areas (m€) Waste posted positive growth net of expired WTE BO Cip6 contract. Network benefit from tariff increases and efficiency gains. Energy activities further progress mainly in gas sales/trading activities. 3
  • 5. Positive operating cash flows before M&A and dividends 2012 cash flows (m€) 500 2012 free cash generation almost fully 400 funded net capex by 270 m€ and Working 300 (270) Capital increase (50% related to increased 200 +421 receivables due to macro-scenario, earthquake impact and 50% related to decrease in payables). 100 (146) (36) 00 Debt at 2.22b€ accounting Energonut cash- -100 (31) acquisition. (114) -200 (229) (84) Issued 0.7b€ bond at 5.2%interest rate -300 Economic Capex NWC Provisions Operating Dividends M&A/other Ch. Debt CF* CF with a 15 year duration. No refinancing issues -400 (available committed credit lines reached ~420m€ as * Economic cash flows=Net profit + D&A+IAS interests at today). Net working capital:+146m€ YoY Financial Soundness in “3D”: (m€) 114 115 D/Ebitda: 3.35x (3.27x excluding Energonut M&A) D/Equity: 1.17x Duration: over 8 years on avg. 2011 2011 Earthquake Inc. Lower debt 2012 Revenues (31.5) 4
  • 6. WASTE: Going through the crisis substantially un-damaged Financial highlights (m€) Urban waste tariffs up by +3.4%. 2011 2012 Ch. % Revenues 740.1 737.8 (0.3%) Ebitda 194.2 183.5 (5.5%) Economic slow down impacts household consumption and consequently urban waste volumes. 2012 Ebitda build up (m€) Special waste volumes significantly recovered from -17.4% of Q1 signing a positive trend in Q4 of +20.2% (after a decrease in 13 quarters in a row). Ebitda development reflects the expiry of BO WTE 2012 Volumes by quarter (kton) Cip6 contract, the efficiency in operations and consolidation of Energonut (since the closing of the Urban waste Special waste 20.0 0% +20.2% deal in November ‘12). 20.0 0% +5.5% 0 0 (0.7%) Treatment mix managed to exploit green power (5.1%) (4.7%) (3.9%) (5.1%) generation capacity of WTE and biomass plants (17.4%) (0.7 TWh generated up by +2.2%). Sorted urban w. -30.0 0% -3 0.00% collection enhance to 52%. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 5
  • 7. WATER: Committed to reach proper returns Financial highlights (m€) 2011 2012 Ch. % Tariffs increase of +6.7% whilst volumes 177.6 178.7 were lower YoY. Revenues 596.7 617.1 +3.4% Ebitda 150.2 158.3 +5.4% Ebitda reflects also efficiency improvements partially compensating higher electricity costs Volumes (300 GWh electricity consumptions in ‘12). Data 2011 2012 Ch.% 2012 tariff increases safeguarded by Ato Aqueduct (mm 3) 253.7 252.7 (0.4%) agreements to progress toward proper returns. Sewerage (mm3) 222.6 220.8 (0.8%) New regulatory system (retro-active from Purification (mm3) 221.4 217.0 (2.0%) 1/1/2012) implies tariff increases and RAB revaluation (1.2b€ from 1b€). Ebitda track record since 2002 (m€) Uninterrupted resilient track record in 10 financial reports in a row. 6
  • 8. Gas: record year due to volumes and margins Financial highlights (m€) 2011 2012 Ch. % Revenues growth mainly driven by higher commodity prices, larger trading Revenues 1,490.2 1,769.3 +18.7% and sold volumes. Ebitda 208.7 240.7 +15.3% Cold Q1 2012 more than compensated Volumes and customers decrease in demand (as crisis consequence). Data 2011 2012 Ch.% Volumes distrib. (mm3) 2,389.2 2,360.1 (1.2%) Ebitda increase mainly driven by supply Volumes sold (mm ) 3 3,321.0 3,478.9 +4.8% and trading activities, positive of which trading (mm 3 ) 1,252.6 1,396.0 +11.4% performance of regulated activities District Heating (GWht) 499.3 526.0 +5.3% (+7m€) and customer base consolidation. Customers ('000) 1114.5 1116.3 +0.2% Ebitda track record since 2002 Growth in customer base through (m€) commercial expansion offsets churn in traditional reference territories. Q4 2012 results substantially in line with Q4 2011, also as a consequence of lower volume sold (-50m cubic meters). 7
  • 9. Electricity: market expansion still on going Financial highlights (m€) 2011 2012 Ch. % Revenues growth mainly driven by higher prices partially compensated by slow down Revenues 1,585.2 1,678.4 +5.9% in demand (-4.6% volume). Ebitda 73.2 62.3 (15.0%) Commercial margins and expansion (+12.2% customer base) offset poor Customers performance of power generation assets. Data 2011 2012 Ch.% Customers ('000) 482.1 541.1 +12.2% Performance of distribution activities confirmed stable (+1m€) in line with previous year. Ebitda positive trend inversion caused Ebitda track record since 2002 partly by change in fair values (~10m€). (m€) 8
  • 10. Update on Acegas Aps Group Full merger with Acegas Aps Holding Acegas Acegas Hera 2012 proforma A2011 A2012 A2012 Proforma executed by year end (consolidation starting 2012 from 1/1/2013). Revenues 585 626 4,696 5,322 Ebitda 119 129 662 791 Acegas Aps yearly results in line with our Ebit 53 59 335 394 estimates (energy activities and Water business underpinned 2012 Ebitda growth). Net Profit pre min. 18 26 134 160 Net Profit 18 26 118 144 Public Tender Offer on going till 27th of March. As of 21st of March Hera controls slightly more than 93% of Acegas Aps share Net financial debt 447 464 2,142* 2,606 capital. NFP/Ebitda 3,8x 3.59x 3.23x 3.29x Invested Capital 816 849 4,112 4,961 *Excluding cash acquisition of Energonut executed in Q4 and earthquake effect . Acegas Aps management already at work with Hera’s to deploy synergy potentials. P/E 11.3x 12.0x Board of Acegas Aps will be appointed EV/Ebitda 5.4x 5.4x next 14th of May. Market cap. 1,360 1,685 (31/12) Acegas Aps represents 50% of business plan Ebitda growth target 9
  • 11. Closing remarks ‘12 results in line with plan target Strong competitiveness on energy market and progression in regulated activities Business plan target 2012 underpinned positive Ebitda performance. Avg synergies & Organic Growth 23m€ 24m€ ✔ Waste special waste volumes increase Q4 positive trend ✔ Business portfolio resilience shown also Electricity customers +60k +60k ✔ during long crisis period. Waste treatm. of Capex reduction (m€/Y) 288 271 ✔ special waste highlight first inversion of a Dividend policy no decrease Stable ✔ long negative trend. Financial structure soundness progressive increase 3.3x ✔ All main business plan targets achieved. M&A strengthened Waste asset base with a new WTE plant (Energonut) and Acegas Aps. Ebitda and Ebit Track records Solid financial structure (3.35x D/Ebitda) with no refinancing issues. DPS of 9 €c confirmed. 10