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Gridley Presentation at DFJ Gotham Annual Meeting



May 17, 2012
What Buyers Are Thinking & Doing in Today’s M&A Market
What are Traditional Industry Leaders Doing in M&A?




                        3
Unprecedented Time for Enormous Value Creation
• Traditional Industry leaders are highly vulnerable like never before

     Open Source            Open Architecture       Cloud Computing      New Business Models




• Innovation at record speeds – Approximately $130 Billion of value created in 3 years




                                                4
Gridley’s Message on Innovation in Tech Today
                                               Traditional Ad Agencies vs. Ad Tech                                                                                                                                   Traditional Media vs. SocialinNetworks
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Comparative Equity Values ($ billions)
                                                                             Comparative Equity Values ($ in billions)                                                                                                                                                                                                              Legend
                                                                                                                                      Legend                                                                                                                                                                                           Traditional Leaders
                                                                                                                                           Traditional Ad Agencies                                             $70                                                                                                                     Emerging Innovators
                                                                                                                                           Performance Based Marketing
                                $200
                                                                                                                                           Emerging Threats                                                                    $40.1


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            $73.0




                                                                                                                                                                                               Equity Value
                                                                                                                                                                                                               $30
                Equity Values




                                $70                     $208.7                                                                                                                                                                         $32.4
                                                                                        $182.3


                                                                                                                                                                                                               $20
                                $30                                                                                                  $73.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             $11.9
                                                                            $12.7                                                                                                                                                           $10.7                          $11.7
                                $8.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         $7.1
                                               $11.0                             $4.7                   $10.7                                                                                                 $9.4
                       $3.9                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        $6.2
                                                             $0.6                                                                                                                                                                $3.2
                          $0.8                                                                                                                                                                                $2.7                                         $6.0
                                                                                                      $0.9             $0.4                                                                                                                         $1.1
                                 $0                                                                                                                                                                            $0
                                        0.0x                            $2.2                   5.0x            10.0x                               20.0x                                                              0.0x                     7.5x                      15.0x          22.5x                             50.0x              57.5x
                                                      $0.4                                                                                                                                                                       $1.0
                                                                                    $1.2                                                                                                                                                                                   Revenue Multiple
            $0.5                       $1.6                          $0.4                      Revenue Multiple


                                                                        Retail vs. Ecommerce                                                                                                            Emerging Companies vs. Traditional Big Data
                                                                                                                              Traditional Retail
                                ($BN)                                                                                         E-Commerce
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Legend
                                $200
                                                                                                                                                                                             $200                                                                                                          Traditional Leaders
                                                                        $185.2                                                                                                                                                                                               $208.7                        Emerging Innovators




                                                                                                                                                                                              $45
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     $44.6
 Equity Value




                                                                                                                                                                              Equity Value
                                                                               $101.2
                                $100                                                                                                                                                          $12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           $12.1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 $10.2
                                 $50
                                                                                           $42.4
                                              $34.6                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       $4.7
                                                                                                                                                                                               $6                                                   $9.4
                                                               $34.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $4.1
   $10.4
                                                                                           $14.7
     $8.4                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         $3.2
                                                                                                                                        $3.4
                                                                                                                $1.4                                                                                                                 $0.9                                                                          $1.5
                                                              $0.6               $2.0                                                                                                          $0                     $0.5                                                                $0.6
     $7.9                         $0
                                        0.0x                                            4.0x            8.0x                            12.0x                                                                  0.0x                    1.0x                       2.0x                           3.0x                4.0x
                                                         $0.4                                                                                                                                                                                                 Revenue Multiple
                  $1.0                                                                    Revenue Multiple                                                                   Sources: Second Market and CapIQ as of November 25, 2011.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2011




                                                                                                                                                                         5
The New “Kids” on the Block
                                                            Value Today   Revenue
       Company                Year Founded   IPO Date                                  # of Employees
                                                             (Billions)   (Billions)

                                     2009      NA            $4,000(1)      NA              NA

                                     2008    Nov 2011         $7,605      $1,610          11,471
                                     2007      NA            $1,000(1)      NA               75

                                     2007    Dec 2011         $5,850      $1,218           2,846

                                     2006      NA           $10,700(1)      NA              141

                                     2004    May 2012       $100,000(1)   $4,038           3,539

                                     2002    May 2011        $11,415       $617            2,447

Older Brothers/Sisters

                                     1998    Aug 2004        $197,320     $38,875         33,077

                                     1995    Sep 1998         $52,604     $12,383         27,770
   Source: CapIQ. Company filings.
   (1) Estimated value.
                                                        6
How New Kids Are Thinking About & Doing M&A
• Strategic value orientation not traditional financial metrics
• Tech and team focus – early stage deals
• Stock = big component of transaction
• Much more comfortable thinking across capabilities (advertising, commerce,
  social, analytics, payments) as these disciplines converge
• Foster early relationships with entrepreneurs and boards that back them
                            What New Kids Are Acquiring




                                          7
When New Kids Grow Up – eBay Case Study
eBay made a series of acquisitions, most notably of PayPal, GSI Commerce, Red Laser, Zong, and Milo,
that enabled eBay to become a front-runner in the race to become the next generation in-store leader

                                              Discover                                           Pay


                   Retailer                                             Nearby

                                                                         Used, online

                                   In-store                                  Online
                                   scanner                                   retail
                                                                                        Virtual goods
                   Mobile
                   Location-
                   based service

                                                     Better
                                                                                        Local Retailers
                                                     Merchandising
                                                                                        / SMB
                    At Home
                                                    Nearby

                                                    Used, online
                                                                                        Any product
                                                             Online retail




                                                         8
A Word About Other Buyers – Traditional Industry
Leaders
• Record levels of cash / business performing well
• Need to get their attention for M&A
• Conservative approach – not “stretch” / not “bet the bank”
• Fair pricing if interested
• Must be a logical fit – minimal “out-of-the-box” thinking




                                         9
A Word About Other Buyers – Later Stage Growth
PE Firms
• Very aggressive
• Looking for market leadership, good growth, experienced management
• Frequently able to compete on price with strategic buyers
• Plenty of “dry powder” on hand

                                           Fundraising Has Outpaced Investing YTD
                                   $120
                                                              2011
                                          $97.6                           $98.7
                                   $100                       Q1 2012


                                   $80
                   $ in billions




                                   $60


                                   $40                                                   $29.6

                                   $20                  $12.9

                                    $0
                                            Deals Completed                   Funds Raised
Source: Buyouts.


                                                                     10
A Word About the New York Scene
• New York has become #2 tech hub behind SF Bay Area
• NEA & Accel building presence through new offices in New York
• New York “core competencies” a target focus for buyers
    – Brands and consumer retail
    – Advertising / Madison Avenue
    – Financials / payments
• Serial entrepreneur cycle – team members of formerly acquired companies leave
  to start new companies
    – Dodgeball / Foursquare
    – DoubleClick Mafia




                                       11
Top 10 Private Digital NY Sale Transactions
January 2008 – December 2011 (Disclosed deals / rumored pricing available)
                                                                                           Transaction
                                   Date                                 Acquirer/Target   Value (in $M)


                            1)     06/15/2011                                                     $524


                            2)     06/13/2011                                                     400*


                            3)     02/06/2011                                                      315


                            4)     01/19/2011                                                      296


                            5)     02/03/2010                                                      225


                            6)     01/25/2010                                                     200*


                            7)     09/08/2011                                                      151


                            8)     06/17/2010                                                      135


                            9)     08/05/2008                                                      125


                          10)      09/07/2010                                                      120
Source: Capital IQ, TechCrunch, public filings, and press releases. *rumored value

                                                                                     12
Advice for Private Company Sellers / VCs with
Companies They Want to Sell
• Decent market for good companies – “Flight to Quality”
• Lots of lower-quality companies / deals not getting done
• Be realistic about price unless most likely buyer is a “New Kid” – otherwise buyers
  care about earnings and traditional valuation metrics
• Be cautious of the speed at which market and buyer tone changes (e.g. ad tech)
• When speaking to likely acquirers, stay close to acquirer’s product management
  team vs. focusing only on corporate development
• Keep likely acquirers abreast of material company events such as fund raisings
• Actively pursue strategic integrations with likely acquirers
    – Overlapping customers and/or integrated offerings go a long way
• Keep track of M&A heavy-hitters, who often times move to other companies
    – Former Google M&A head Jason Harinstein now at Groupon
    – Former Yahoo! M&A head Andrew Siegel now at Condé Nast


                                         13
A Word About the IPO Market
The Tech IPO Market in 2012YTD
• More than half of this year’s U.S. tech IPOs have priced above the range, and all
  but one have traded up afterwards
                                                                                                                              % Performance
                                                                          Market Cap                                 IPO     One       Since
 Pricing Date Company                            Sector / Subsector         at IPO   Size (MM)   Filing Range       price    Week       IPO

   Mar 28         CafePress                    Int. Svcs. / eCommerce            $324    $86     $16.00 - $18.00   $19.00    (4.7%)   (18.4%)

   Mar 28         Millennial Media               Int. Svcs. / Mobile             989     133     $11.00 - $13.00   $13.00   53.5%     17.5%

   Mar 21         ExactTarget                     Int. Svcs. / Email          1,252      162     $15.00 - $17.00   $19.00   37.7%     34.2%

   Mar 21         Vantiv                     FinTech / Pmt. Processing        2,198      500     $16.00 - $18.00   $17.00   17.9%     28.0%

   Mar 14         Demandware               SaaS & Outsrc. / eCommerce            465      88     $12.50 - $14.50   $16.00   61.2%     72.1%

   Mar 01         Yelp                            Int. Svcs. / Local             917     107     $12.00 - $14.00   $15.00   33.3%     35.1%

   Feb 23         Bazaarvoice                  Int. Svcs. / eCommerce            682     114     $8.00 - $10.00    $12.00   40.6%     40.4%

   Feb 17         Brightcove                Int. Svcs. / Content Mgmt.           300      55     $10.00 - $12.00   $11.00   37.3%     38.6%

   Feb 09         Synacor                   Int. Svcs. / Content Mgmt.           134      34      $5.00 - $6.00     $5.00    0.4%     84.8%
                  Mean                                                        $807      $142                                30.8%     36.9%
                  Median                                                      $682      $107                                37.3%     35.1%
Source: Capital IQ, Public Filings.
Note: Highlighting denotes IPOs that priced above initial filing range.


                                                                            15
A Word About Gridley
Gridley Overview
Gridley & Company, a New York-based boutique investment bank, provides advisory
services to companies in the Information Services industry


                                      Gridley & Company


   Leading Boutique    • Sharp focus provides clients with valuable strategic insights and perspectives
                       • Specialize in Internet Services, Digital Media & Marketing Services, Data
                         Services, Financial Technology, and SaaS & Outsourcing Services
                       • Founded in 2001
                       • Headquartered in New York, NY

   Strong Reputation   • Strong industry reputation on assignments led by senior bankers
                       • Experienced, bulge-bracket trained M&A bankers – The “A” Team


   Trusted Advisor     • Thoughtful ideas – not just logical combinations
                       • Deliver value to buyers, sellers, and investors alike
                       • Broad industry network developed over 25+ years with industry leaders,
                         emerging growth companies, and senior investors




                                               17
Interested in Other Gridley Resources?
• Available at www.gridleyco.com/what-we-think/resources/

     eCommerce                 Mobile                   POS              Ad Tech




    Measurement            Digital Content            Digital NY   Quarterly Newsletter




                                             18
QUESTIONS?


       Linda Gridley
      President & CEO
        212.400.9710
linda.gridley@gridleyco.com

 Gridley & Company LLC
10 East 53rd Street, 24th Floor
   New York, NY 10022
      212.400.9720 tel
     212.400.9717 fax
    Twitter: @gridleyco
    www.gridleyco.com

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What Buyers Are Thinking & Doing in Today's M&A Market

  • 1. Gridley Presentation at DFJ Gotham Annual Meeting May 17, 2012
  • 2. What Buyers Are Thinking & Doing in Today’s M&A Market
  • 3. What are Traditional Industry Leaders Doing in M&A? 3
  • 4. Unprecedented Time for Enormous Value Creation • Traditional Industry leaders are highly vulnerable like never before Open Source Open Architecture Cloud Computing New Business Models • Innovation at record speeds – Approximately $130 Billion of value created in 3 years 4
  • 5. Gridley’s Message on Innovation in Tech Today Traditional Ad Agencies vs. Ad Tech Traditional Media vs. SocialinNetworks Comparative Equity Values ($ billions) Comparative Equity Values ($ in billions) Legend Legend Traditional Leaders Traditional Ad Agencies $70 Emerging Innovators Performance Based Marketing $200 Emerging Threats $40.1 $73.0 Equity Value $30 Equity Values $70 $208.7 $32.4 $182.3 $20 $30 $73.0 $11.9 $12.7 $10.7 $11.7 $8.0 $7.1 $11.0 $4.7 $10.7 $9.4 $3.9 $6.2 $0.6 $3.2 $0.8 $2.7 $6.0 $0.9 $0.4 $1.1 $0 $0 0.0x $2.2 5.0x 10.0x 20.0x 0.0x 7.5x 15.0x 22.5x 50.0x 57.5x $0.4 $1.0 $1.2 Revenue Multiple $0.5 $1.6 $0.4 Revenue Multiple Retail vs. Ecommerce Emerging Companies vs. Traditional Big Data Traditional Retail ($BN) E-Commerce Legend $200 $200 Traditional Leaders $185.2 $208.7 Emerging Innovators $45 $44.6 Equity Value Equity Value $101.2 $100 $12 $12.1 $10.2 $50 $42.4 $34.6 $4.7 $6 $9.4 $34.9 $4.1 $10.4 $14.7 $8.4 $3.2 $3.4 $1.4 $0.9 $1.5 $0.6 $2.0 $0 $0.5 $0.6 $7.9 $0 0.0x 4.0x 8.0x 12.0x 0.0x 1.0x 2.0x 3.0x 4.0x $0.4 Revenue Multiple $1.0 Revenue Multiple Sources: Second Market and CapIQ as of November 25, 2011. 2011 5
  • 6. The New “Kids” on the Block Value Today Revenue Company Year Founded IPO Date # of Employees (Billions) (Billions) 2009 NA $4,000(1) NA NA 2008 Nov 2011 $7,605 $1,610 11,471 2007 NA $1,000(1) NA 75 2007 Dec 2011 $5,850 $1,218 2,846 2006 NA $10,700(1) NA 141 2004 May 2012 $100,000(1) $4,038 3,539 2002 May 2011 $11,415 $617 2,447 Older Brothers/Sisters 1998 Aug 2004 $197,320 $38,875 33,077 1995 Sep 1998 $52,604 $12,383 27,770 Source: CapIQ. Company filings. (1) Estimated value. 6
  • 7. How New Kids Are Thinking About & Doing M&A • Strategic value orientation not traditional financial metrics • Tech and team focus – early stage deals • Stock = big component of transaction • Much more comfortable thinking across capabilities (advertising, commerce, social, analytics, payments) as these disciplines converge • Foster early relationships with entrepreneurs and boards that back them What New Kids Are Acquiring 7
  • 8. When New Kids Grow Up – eBay Case Study eBay made a series of acquisitions, most notably of PayPal, GSI Commerce, Red Laser, Zong, and Milo, that enabled eBay to become a front-runner in the race to become the next generation in-store leader Discover Pay Retailer Nearby Used, online In-store Online scanner retail Virtual goods Mobile Location- based service Better Local Retailers Merchandising / SMB At Home Nearby Used, online Any product Online retail 8
  • 9. A Word About Other Buyers – Traditional Industry Leaders • Record levels of cash / business performing well • Need to get their attention for M&A • Conservative approach – not “stretch” / not “bet the bank” • Fair pricing if interested • Must be a logical fit – minimal “out-of-the-box” thinking 9
  • 10. A Word About Other Buyers – Later Stage Growth PE Firms • Very aggressive • Looking for market leadership, good growth, experienced management • Frequently able to compete on price with strategic buyers • Plenty of “dry powder” on hand Fundraising Has Outpaced Investing YTD $120 2011 $97.6 $98.7 $100 Q1 2012 $80 $ in billions $60 $40 $29.6 $20 $12.9 $0 Deals Completed Funds Raised Source: Buyouts. 10
  • 11. A Word About the New York Scene • New York has become #2 tech hub behind SF Bay Area • NEA & Accel building presence through new offices in New York • New York “core competencies” a target focus for buyers – Brands and consumer retail – Advertising / Madison Avenue – Financials / payments • Serial entrepreneur cycle – team members of formerly acquired companies leave to start new companies – Dodgeball / Foursquare – DoubleClick Mafia 11
  • 12. Top 10 Private Digital NY Sale Transactions January 2008 – December 2011 (Disclosed deals / rumored pricing available) Transaction Date Acquirer/Target Value (in $M) 1) 06/15/2011 $524 2) 06/13/2011 400* 3) 02/06/2011 315 4) 01/19/2011 296 5) 02/03/2010 225 6) 01/25/2010 200* 7) 09/08/2011 151 8) 06/17/2010 135 9) 08/05/2008 125 10) 09/07/2010 120 Source: Capital IQ, TechCrunch, public filings, and press releases. *rumored value 12
  • 13. Advice for Private Company Sellers / VCs with Companies They Want to Sell • Decent market for good companies – “Flight to Quality” • Lots of lower-quality companies / deals not getting done • Be realistic about price unless most likely buyer is a “New Kid” – otherwise buyers care about earnings and traditional valuation metrics • Be cautious of the speed at which market and buyer tone changes (e.g. ad tech) • When speaking to likely acquirers, stay close to acquirer’s product management team vs. focusing only on corporate development • Keep likely acquirers abreast of material company events such as fund raisings • Actively pursue strategic integrations with likely acquirers – Overlapping customers and/or integrated offerings go a long way • Keep track of M&A heavy-hitters, who often times move to other companies – Former Google M&A head Jason Harinstein now at Groupon – Former Yahoo! M&A head Andrew Siegel now at Condé Nast 13
  • 14. A Word About the IPO Market
  • 15. The Tech IPO Market in 2012YTD • More than half of this year’s U.S. tech IPOs have priced above the range, and all but one have traded up afterwards % Performance Market Cap IPO One Since Pricing Date Company Sector / Subsector at IPO Size (MM) Filing Range price Week IPO Mar 28 CafePress Int. Svcs. / eCommerce $324 $86 $16.00 - $18.00 $19.00 (4.7%) (18.4%) Mar 28 Millennial Media Int. Svcs. / Mobile 989 133 $11.00 - $13.00 $13.00 53.5% 17.5% Mar 21 ExactTarget Int. Svcs. / Email 1,252 162 $15.00 - $17.00 $19.00 37.7% 34.2% Mar 21 Vantiv FinTech / Pmt. Processing 2,198 500 $16.00 - $18.00 $17.00 17.9% 28.0% Mar 14 Demandware SaaS & Outsrc. / eCommerce 465 88 $12.50 - $14.50 $16.00 61.2% 72.1% Mar 01 Yelp Int. Svcs. / Local 917 107 $12.00 - $14.00 $15.00 33.3% 35.1% Feb 23 Bazaarvoice Int. Svcs. / eCommerce 682 114 $8.00 - $10.00 $12.00 40.6% 40.4% Feb 17 Brightcove Int. Svcs. / Content Mgmt. 300 55 $10.00 - $12.00 $11.00 37.3% 38.6% Feb 09 Synacor Int. Svcs. / Content Mgmt. 134 34 $5.00 - $6.00 $5.00 0.4% 84.8% Mean $807 $142 30.8% 36.9% Median $682 $107 37.3% 35.1% Source: Capital IQ, Public Filings. Note: Highlighting denotes IPOs that priced above initial filing range. 15
  • 16. A Word About Gridley
  • 17. Gridley Overview Gridley & Company, a New York-based boutique investment bank, provides advisory services to companies in the Information Services industry Gridley & Company Leading Boutique • Sharp focus provides clients with valuable strategic insights and perspectives • Specialize in Internet Services, Digital Media & Marketing Services, Data Services, Financial Technology, and SaaS & Outsourcing Services • Founded in 2001 • Headquartered in New York, NY Strong Reputation • Strong industry reputation on assignments led by senior bankers • Experienced, bulge-bracket trained M&A bankers – The “A” Team Trusted Advisor • Thoughtful ideas – not just logical combinations • Deliver value to buyers, sellers, and investors alike • Broad industry network developed over 25+ years with industry leaders, emerging growth companies, and senior investors 17
  • 18. Interested in Other Gridley Resources? • Available at www.gridleyco.com/what-we-think/resources/ eCommerce Mobile POS Ad Tech Measurement Digital Content Digital NY Quarterly Newsletter 18
  • 19. QUESTIONS? Linda Gridley President & CEO 212.400.9710 linda.gridley@gridleyco.com Gridley & Company LLC 10 East 53rd Street, 24th Floor New York, NY 10022 212.400.9720 tel 212.400.9717 fax Twitter: @gridleyco www.gridleyco.com