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THE STATE OF THE MOBILE MARKET
What end-users want from mobile
Lorenz Jakober
Product Marketing Manager – Mobile APM, Compuware
The Year Of Mobile…
Are Organizations Taking Mobile Seriously?


• 90% of the top 30 US banks
 have a mobile initiative
• 87% of the top 30 US retailers
 have a mobile initiative




                                             Source: Gomez Research
Mobile Web Usage Is Growing Fast
       • According to IDC in 3 years more US Internet users will access
         the Web through mobile devices than through PCs
       • Google has seen US mobile queries grow by 4x in past year




Source: http://internet2go.net; Internal Google Data 2010; googlemobileads.blogspot.com/2011/09/holiday-retail-mobile-insights.html
Mobile Web Usage Is Growing Fast

            HauteLook (US Retailer) projects 25%-30% of its
           online traffic will come from iPhone and iPad users
                             by the end of 2011
Mobile App Usage Is Growing Fast

      • Apple passed 15 billion app downloads within 3 years
            – Took 6 years and 10 months to pass 15 billion song downloads




Source: asymco.com
Mobile Site And App Revenue Growing Fast
                        • eBay sales closing on mobile devices
                            – $600 million in 2009
                            – $2 billion in 2010
                            – $4 billion in 2011 (expected)

                        • “In the last twelve months customers
                          around the world ordered more than
                          $1 billion worth of products from
                          Amazon using a mobile device.”
                            – Jeff Bezos, CEO Amazon

                        • Apple paid out $2.5 billion to third-
                          party app developers – up from $1.5
                          billion a year ago
                        • Marriott Hotels is averaging mobile
                          sales of $6 million per month in 2010 –
                          up 100% from 2009
Smartphones Driving Mobile Web & App Growth
         % Of Adult Cellphone Owners Who Downloaded An App / Accessed The Web

                                   Downloaded an app                          Accessed the internet



                                  4%
 Featurephone
    Owners
                                        15%




                                                                                 69%
     Smartphone
       Owners
                                                                                        84%




                             0%                   20%                  40%    60%      80%      100%
Source: Pew Research Center's Internet and American Life Project , May 2011
Smartphones Are Going Mainstream
       • According to Google by the end of 2011 over half of all
         Americans will have a smartphone

     End-users are replacing feature
       phones with smartphones




Source: Google - Are You Mobile Ready? Webinar - May 2011; asymco.com/
Smartphones Have Redefined Mobile End-Users’
Experience Expectations
• Mobile users expect rich, engaging mobile website and
  application end-user experiences
Mobile Context Shapes Mobile End-Users’
Experience Expectations
• Speed matters more in mobile context
     –   Waiting for the bus, checking user reviews/prices/bank balance in a store, updating Facebook status etc.
End-Users’ Mobile Web Performance Expectations
           Are Increasing
             Percentage of mobile web users who expect websites to load as quickly,
           almost as quickly or faster on their mobile phone compared to their home PC
           80

           70

           60

           50
 Percent




           40
                                                                    71%
           30
                                            58%
           20

           10

            0
                                             2009                   2011
Source: 2009 & 2011 Gomez/Compuware Equation Research Study
End-Users’ Mobile Web Performance
                          Expectations Are Often Not Met
                           89% of US mobile web users expect a website to load on their
                                       mobile phone in 5 seconds or less
                          Gomez Mobile Web Home Page Benchmark Response Times Across Verticals
                          18
Response Time (seconds)




                          16
                          14
                          12
                          10
                                                     8.633                                     8.275
                           8                                             7.286
                                                                                                                6.593
                           6
                                                                                                        5.054
                           4           4.227
                           2                            End-Users’ Expectations
                           0
                               US Banking HP US Insurance US News HP – US Sports HP – US Retail HP – US Travel HP –
                               – AT&T/iPhone     HP –     AT&T/iPhone AT&T/iPhone AT&T/iPhone AT&T/iPhone
                                             AT&T/iPhone

Source: 2011 Gomez/Compuware Equation Research Study and Gomez Mobile Benchmarks, May 1 - June 1 2011
End-Users’ Mobile Experience Expectations Are
Often Not Met

  57% of mobile web users had a problem
 in the past year when accessing a website
               on their phone




                             Social media allows
                           users to voice & record
                             their frustration in
                            real-time, negatively
                           impacting revenue and
                                brand equity
What’s The Impact Of Mobile Performance Issues
          On Your Business?

          47% of mobile web users had a problem in the past year
                  when accessing an app on their phone




            80% of branded iPhone, Android and Blackberry apps
                      fail to achieve 1000 downloads
Source: http://www.bizreport.com/2011/07/less-than-1-of-mobile-apps-top-1million-downloads80-of-branded-apps-struggle-to-achieve-1000-downloads.html
Mobile Service Performance Impacts Business Results
                                    Abandonment Rate Across 200+ Web Sites / 177+ Million Page

                       30
                                                                                                       Abandonment Rate
                                                                                                       - All Browsers
                       25
Abandonment Rate (%)




                                                                                                       Abandonment Rate
                       20                                                                              - iPhone Safari


                       15
                                                     Slower pages = higher abandonment
                                                          • Reduces revenue
                       10
                                                          • Increases costs
                                                          • Damages brand
                       5


                       0
                            0   1    2   3   4   5    6    7    8   9   10    11   12   13   14   15
                                                     Page Load Time (sec.)

Source: Gomez real user monitoring
“When we looked at how faster ads on mobile
devices affected interaction rates, we discovered
  that click-through rates increased by 12% -- a
              substantial difference!”
            Richard Rabbat, Product Manager, Google/DoubleClick
 http://doubleclickadvertisers.blogspot.com/2011/06/cranking-up-speed-of-dfa-leads-to.html
“This link between increased usage and a faster
user experience - be it search or mobile Gmail -
reinforces something we at Google have known
    for a long time: fast is better than slow.”
      Robert Hamilton, Product Manager, Google Mobile Team
         http://googledata.org/google-mobile/fast-is-better-than-slow/
A mobile site or application that is slow, or
worse malfunctioning, negatively impacts
revenue and damages brand equity
How Do Organizations Deliver Mobile Sites/Apps?
         • Vast number of organizations outsource mobile website and
           application development and delivery

                         Top 20 US Mobile Commerce Sites
                              Outsourced vs. In-House



                               45%

                                                 55%




                            Third Party Powered Mobile Site
                            In-House/Undefined

Source: Gomez Research
Delivering High Quality, Fast Mobile Websites
            And Applications Is Difficult
            • Device, network, usability and complexity challenges
              Different Networks Offer                           Different Browsers Offer
               Different Experiences                              Different Experiences
            Cable        Wifi   3G        Cable   Wifi      3G
       30                                 160
                                          140
       25
                                          120
       20
                                          100
Mbps




       15                                  80
                                     ms




                                           60
       10
                                           40
        5
                                           20
        0                                   0
             Download Upload                      Latency
               Mbps    Mbps                         ms
Source: Gomez Research
Solution - Adopt Your End-Users' Point Of View

                                             The Application Delivery Chain

                                                            Cloud
                                                                                                                 Customers
                                                      Private    Public                               Browsers
                                                                                             Local
  Data Center                                                                                 ISP
                                                                             3rd Party/
             Virtual/Physical Environment                                  Cloud Services
                 DB       App       Web         Load
Mainframe      Servers   Servers   Servers    Balancers            Major
                                                                    ISP

                                                 Customer/end-user point of view
 Storage
                            Network                                          Content
                                                                             Delivery
                                                                             Networks
    Web              Mobile               WAN
  Services         Components          Optimization
                                                                                            Mobile
                                                                                            Carrier
                                                                                                      Devices
                                                      Employees                                                  Employees
Adopt Your End-Users’ Point Of View - Discovery
• Does the team responsible for your mobile websites / applications
  focus on the end-user experience?




                                         Ensure your
                                        customers can
                                         access your
                                        mobile content
Adopt Your End-Users’ Point Of View - Value
   • Can your mobile end-users easily achieve their goals and does
     your mobile website/application create/add value?




Leverage mobile’s unique capabilities
 to improve end-users’ experiences

 Source: slideshare.net/stephenhay/structured-content-first
Adopt Your End-Users’ Point Of View - Delivery
• Does the team responsible for your mobile website /
  applications keep performance in mind?

                                                        Major US retailer trumpets the
                                                        launch of a new mobile site to
                                                            meet rising customer
                                                                expectations



                    New mobile website does not follow mobile performance
                 optimization best practices resulting in 2x mobile response time
THE STATE OF THE MOBILE MARKET - What end-users want from mobile

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THE STATE OF THE MOBILE MARKET - What end-users want from mobile

  • 1. THE STATE OF THE MOBILE MARKET What end-users want from mobile Lorenz Jakober Product Marketing Manager – Mobile APM, Compuware
  • 2. The Year Of Mobile…
  • 3. Are Organizations Taking Mobile Seriously? • 90% of the top 30 US banks have a mobile initiative • 87% of the top 30 US retailers have a mobile initiative Source: Gomez Research
  • 4. Mobile Web Usage Is Growing Fast • According to IDC in 3 years more US Internet users will access the Web through mobile devices than through PCs • Google has seen US mobile queries grow by 4x in past year Source: http://internet2go.net; Internal Google Data 2010; googlemobileads.blogspot.com/2011/09/holiday-retail-mobile-insights.html
  • 5. Mobile Web Usage Is Growing Fast HauteLook (US Retailer) projects 25%-30% of its online traffic will come from iPhone and iPad users by the end of 2011
  • 6. Mobile App Usage Is Growing Fast • Apple passed 15 billion app downloads within 3 years – Took 6 years and 10 months to pass 15 billion song downloads Source: asymco.com
  • 7. Mobile Site And App Revenue Growing Fast • eBay sales closing on mobile devices – $600 million in 2009 – $2 billion in 2010 – $4 billion in 2011 (expected) • “In the last twelve months customers around the world ordered more than $1 billion worth of products from Amazon using a mobile device.” – Jeff Bezos, CEO Amazon • Apple paid out $2.5 billion to third- party app developers – up from $1.5 billion a year ago • Marriott Hotels is averaging mobile sales of $6 million per month in 2010 – up 100% from 2009
  • 8. Smartphones Driving Mobile Web & App Growth % Of Adult Cellphone Owners Who Downloaded An App / Accessed The Web Downloaded an app Accessed the internet 4% Featurephone Owners 15% 69% Smartphone Owners 84% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Pew Research Center's Internet and American Life Project , May 2011
  • 9. Smartphones Are Going Mainstream • According to Google by the end of 2011 over half of all Americans will have a smartphone End-users are replacing feature phones with smartphones Source: Google - Are You Mobile Ready? Webinar - May 2011; asymco.com/
  • 10. Smartphones Have Redefined Mobile End-Users’ Experience Expectations • Mobile users expect rich, engaging mobile website and application end-user experiences
  • 11. Mobile Context Shapes Mobile End-Users’ Experience Expectations • Speed matters more in mobile context – Waiting for the bus, checking user reviews/prices/bank balance in a store, updating Facebook status etc.
  • 12. End-Users’ Mobile Web Performance Expectations Are Increasing Percentage of mobile web users who expect websites to load as quickly, almost as quickly or faster on their mobile phone compared to their home PC 80 70 60 50 Percent 40 71% 30 58% 20 10 0 2009 2011 Source: 2009 & 2011 Gomez/Compuware Equation Research Study
  • 13. End-Users’ Mobile Web Performance Expectations Are Often Not Met 89% of US mobile web users expect a website to load on their mobile phone in 5 seconds or less Gomez Mobile Web Home Page Benchmark Response Times Across Verticals 18 Response Time (seconds) 16 14 12 10 8.633 8.275 8 7.286 6.593 6 5.054 4 4.227 2 End-Users’ Expectations 0 US Banking HP US Insurance US News HP – US Sports HP – US Retail HP – US Travel HP – – AT&T/iPhone HP – AT&T/iPhone AT&T/iPhone AT&T/iPhone AT&T/iPhone AT&T/iPhone Source: 2011 Gomez/Compuware Equation Research Study and Gomez Mobile Benchmarks, May 1 - June 1 2011
  • 14. End-Users’ Mobile Experience Expectations Are Often Not Met 57% of mobile web users had a problem in the past year when accessing a website on their phone Social media allows users to voice & record their frustration in real-time, negatively impacting revenue and brand equity
  • 15. What’s The Impact Of Mobile Performance Issues On Your Business? 47% of mobile web users had a problem in the past year when accessing an app on their phone 80% of branded iPhone, Android and Blackberry apps fail to achieve 1000 downloads Source: http://www.bizreport.com/2011/07/less-than-1-of-mobile-apps-top-1million-downloads80-of-branded-apps-struggle-to-achieve-1000-downloads.html
  • 16. Mobile Service Performance Impacts Business Results Abandonment Rate Across 200+ Web Sites / 177+ Million Page 30 Abandonment Rate - All Browsers 25 Abandonment Rate (%) Abandonment Rate 20 - iPhone Safari 15 Slower pages = higher abandonment • Reduces revenue 10 • Increases costs • Damages brand 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Page Load Time (sec.) Source: Gomez real user monitoring
  • 17. “When we looked at how faster ads on mobile devices affected interaction rates, we discovered that click-through rates increased by 12% -- a substantial difference!” Richard Rabbat, Product Manager, Google/DoubleClick http://doubleclickadvertisers.blogspot.com/2011/06/cranking-up-speed-of-dfa-leads-to.html
  • 18. “This link between increased usage and a faster user experience - be it search or mobile Gmail - reinforces something we at Google have known for a long time: fast is better than slow.” Robert Hamilton, Product Manager, Google Mobile Team http://googledata.org/google-mobile/fast-is-better-than-slow/
  • 19. A mobile site or application that is slow, or worse malfunctioning, negatively impacts revenue and damages brand equity
  • 20. How Do Organizations Deliver Mobile Sites/Apps? • Vast number of organizations outsource mobile website and application development and delivery Top 20 US Mobile Commerce Sites Outsourced vs. In-House 45% 55% Third Party Powered Mobile Site In-House/Undefined Source: Gomez Research
  • 21. Delivering High Quality, Fast Mobile Websites And Applications Is Difficult • Device, network, usability and complexity challenges Different Networks Offer Different Browsers Offer Different Experiences Different Experiences Cable Wifi 3G Cable Wifi 3G 30 160 140 25 120 20 100 Mbps 15 80 ms 60 10 40 5 20 0 0 Download Upload Latency Mbps Mbps ms Source: Gomez Research
  • 22. Solution - Adopt Your End-Users' Point Of View The Application Delivery Chain Cloud Customers Private Public Browsers Local Data Center ISP 3rd Party/ Virtual/Physical Environment Cloud Services DB App Web Load Mainframe Servers Servers Servers Balancers Major ISP Customer/end-user point of view Storage Network Content Delivery Networks Web Mobile WAN Services Components Optimization Mobile Carrier Devices Employees Employees
  • 23. Adopt Your End-Users’ Point Of View - Discovery • Does the team responsible for your mobile websites / applications focus on the end-user experience? Ensure your customers can access your mobile content
  • 24. Adopt Your End-Users’ Point Of View - Value • Can your mobile end-users easily achieve their goals and does your mobile website/application create/add value? Leverage mobile’s unique capabilities to improve end-users’ experiences Source: slideshare.net/stephenhay/structured-content-first
  • 25. Adopt Your End-Users’ Point Of View - Delivery • Does the team responsible for your mobile website / applications keep performance in mind? Major US retailer trumpets the launch of a new mobile site to meet rising customer expectations New mobile website does not follow mobile performance optimization best practices resulting in 2x mobile response time

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. 44% of total searches for last minute gifts and store locator terms will be from mobile devices this holiday seasongooglemobileads.blogspot.com/2011/09/holiday-retail-mobile-insights.html
  2. Nearly 30% of iCruise.com’s web traffic comes from the travel agency’s iPhone and Android Cruise Finder mobile apps. And iCruise expects m-commerce to grow, says UfTukel, co-president.“Mobile commerce is one the most important aspects of our multichannel retail strategy,” Tukel says. “More and more vacation planning is occurring away from the personal computer.”
  3. In late 2010 global smartphones sales outpaced PC sales for the first time - 87% increase YoYThe reality is that in a global population with more than 5 billion subscriptions, smartphones are still niche. However, in the US and some European countries, smartphone penetration is racing past 35-45%; smartphones are going mainstream, albeit at a varying pace across the globe.And todays smartphones are tomorrows feature phones.
  4. Picture Source - http://healthyinfluence.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/Price-Shopper-Smartphone.jpgStreet Sign Source - Jay Shells – artist working in Manhattan
  5. June 01, 2011 - July 01, 201175% of the top 87 US mobile website home page response times are more than 5 seconds across verticals Some verticals have a better culture of performance and more lightweight mobile home pages (sign-in vs. content) – Banking (33% more than 5 seconds) – News (82% more than 5 seconds)
  6. Deloitte Studyhttp://www.bizreport.com/2011/07/less-than-1-of-mobile-apps-top-1million-downloads80-of-branded-apps-struggle-to-achieve-1000-downloads.html
  7. On average 1.5 seconds faster
  8. Correlation between mobile maturity and importance of mobile as business driver to whether mobile site delivered/managed by internal team or outsourced.3rd party companies you need to be aware of … Mobile website and application development and delivery:Banking – Firethorn, mFoundry, ClairMail, Antenna/Vaultus, etc.Retail – Usablenet, Digby, Branding Brand, NetBiscuits, Kony Solutions, etc.Media - StarcutMediaone, Crisp Wireless, Verve Wireless, Rosetta Marketing, etc, etc.Enterprise – Antenna/Vaultus/Volantis, Apperian, etc.
  9. 4G dongle and achieved average downlink data rates of 23.6Mb/s uplink, the average throughput was 15.2Mb/s and latency was a bit of an issue, ranging from between 40 and 49 millisecondshttp://gigaom.com/mobile/atts-lte-network-in-the-real-world/
  10. With every un-optimized link you are perpetuation a negative impression of your brand – and the mobile web.
  11. Focus on providing value leveraging mobile’s unique features – gps, accelerometer, compass, camera, small screens, only what is important – don’t dumb it down for mobile – focus on what your customers want.