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Property Market Report
                                                                                      Queensland
About This Report                                                                     March quarter 2012
PRP Valuers and Consultants prepare standard research reports covering the
main markets within which we operate in each of our capital cities and major          INSIDE THIS ISSUE:
regional locations.
                                                                                      Economic Fundamentals         2
The markets covered in this research report include the commercial office
market, industrial market, retail market, hotel and leisure market and residential    Brisbane CBD Office Market    3
market.                                                                               Gold Coast Office Market      5
                                                                                      Retail Market                 6
We regularly undertake valuations of residential property for mortgage
purposes, as well as for development funding purposes. We also undertake              Industrial Market             7
valuations of commercial, retail, industrial, hotel and leisure and special purpose
properties for many varied reasons, as set out later herein.                          Residential Market            9
                                                                                      Hotel and Leisure Market      12
Please contact a Director of our relevant office for any valuation or consulting
                                                                                      About Preston Rowe Paterson   16
quotations and advice.




Property Market Report—March 2012                                                                                        1
Economic Fundamentals
The Australian economy continues to
record moderate growth, despite the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Gross Domestic Product
global outlook remaining cloudy.                                                                          400,000.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5

Slightly below trend, GDP increased
by 2.3 percent over 2011, with the                                                                        350,000.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4


December quarter recording a 0.4
                                                                                                          300,000.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       3
percent increase. Lower than
expected GDP growth is a partial                                                                          250,000.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2
                                                            GDP Millions
reflection of the extreme weather




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               % Change
conditions experienced earlier in the                                                                     200,000.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1

year.
                                                                                                          150,000.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       0


Another disappointing month for retail                                                                    100,000.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       -1
spending in February 2012, as total
retail sales rose by a mere 0.2                                                                                          50,000.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         -2

percent. Welcomed rises were seen in
Food Retailing, Department Stores                                                                                             0.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         -3
                                                                                                                                     Sep-06




                                                                                                                                                                                                Sep-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sep-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Sep-09




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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Dec-11
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Mar-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Mar-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Mar-11
and Other Retailing, whilst falls were
recorded in Cafes & Restaurants,                                                                                                                                                                           Gross Domestic Product Seasonally Adjusted                                                                                          % Change Seasonally Adjusted

Clothing Retailers and Household               Source: ABS/PRP Research

Goods Retailing.

The unemployment rate rose to 5.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Unemployment (Rate and Persons)
percent in February. Job figures fell by
                                                                   5,500,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               14.0
15,400, underpinned by falls in part
time employment, as fulltime jobs                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          12.0
remained flat. The participation rate                              5,000,000

fell from 65.3 percent to 65.2 percent,                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10.0
with the decline concentrated in
                                             Unemployed persons




Males, whilst total hours worked rose




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Unemployment Rate %
                                                                   4,500,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           8.0
by 1.4 percent.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           6.0
                                                                   4,000,000
The RBA held the official cash rate
unchanged at 4.25 percent, and                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4.0

explained that despite easing interest                             3,500,000
rates by 50 basis points in late 2011,                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2.0

the current pace of output growth is
somew hat l ow er than earli er                                    3,000,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               0.0
                                                                                                                                                                    Sep-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Sep-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Sep-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Sep-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sep-11
                                                                                                                                                  Jun-07




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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jun-11
                                                                                                                                                                                  Dec-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Dec-08




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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Dec-11
                                                                                                                                Mar-07




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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mar-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mar-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Mar-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Mar-12


anticipated. The RBA stated that it
would wait for Q1 CPI data before
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Unemployed Persons                                                  Unemployment Rate
considering a further step in easing           Source: ABS/PRP Research

monetary policy.

Consumer sentiment tumbled in                                                                                                                                                                                       QLD Turnover and Consumer Sentiment
March, with the Westpac-Melbourne                                                                                           130.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 5,000

Institute index recording a 5 percent                                                                                       125.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4,800
decline over the month. The index fell
                                                                       Westpac-Melb Institute Consumer Sentiment Index




                                                                                                                            120.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4,600
from 101.10 in February 2012 to 96.1 in
                                                                                                                            115.0
March 2012. Domestic economic
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     QLD Turnover ($ million)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4,400

conditions and employment listed as                                                                                         110.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4,200

Survey respondents main concerns.                                                                                           105.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4,000
                                                                                                                            100.0

The Consumer Price Index (CPI)                                                                                               95.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3,800

re m a i n e d u n c h a n g e d i n t h e                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3,600
                                                                                                                             90.0
December 2011 quarter, compared
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3,400
to a 0.6 percent rise experienced in                                                                                         85.0


the September quarter. A significant                                                                                         80.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3,200

rise was recorded in domestic holiday                                                                                        75.0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3,000

travel and accommodation with a 7.3
                                                                                                                                                                                      Sep-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Sep-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Sep-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Sep-10




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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Dec-11
                                                                                                                                                           Mar-07




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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mar-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Mar-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Mar-11




percent increase. Not surprisingly falls
were observed in fruit and vegetables                                                                                                                                                                                  Consumer Sentiment Index                                                                                        QLD Turnover
with falls of 13.4 percent and 5.0            Source: ABS/PRP Research


percent respectively.



Property Market Report—March 2012                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2
Commercial Office Market
BRISBANE           CBD       OFFICE                                                                                 Brisbane Commercial - Stock & Vacancy
                                                                                                                         Brisbane CBD                 Brisbane Fringe
MARKET                                      Precinct/Grade
                                                                                                                   Stock (m2)                    Vacancy %                     Stock     (m2)               Vacancy %
                                            Total (All Grades)                                                              2,071,240                         6.16%                      1,136,347                       7.63%
Supply                                                                                     Premium                              140,015                       2.65%
In the six months to January 2012,                                                         A Grade                              812,629                       4.05%                          526,795                     3.09%
39,400 sqm of office space entered                                                         B Grade                              837,034                       7.49%                          411,912                   13.36%
the Brisbane CBD office market follow-                                                     C Grade                              220,220                       8.36%                          175,622                     8.79%
ing the completion of 123 Albert
                                                                                           D Grade                               61,342                      16.09%                           22,018                     0.00%
Street. When construction reached
completion in early 2012, The Dexus
owned 26 level building, added                                                                                                             Brisbane CBD Office Market
38,500 sqm of Premium office space                                                                                                               Net Absorption
to the Brisbane CBD office market. Rio                                                      90,000
Tinto committed to 25,000 sqm of
space in 2008, whilst recent agree-
                                                                                            70,000
ments were reached with QTC and
                                             Audited Net Absorption 12 months to...(sqm)




Urbis to secure 4,000 and 1,500 sqm
respectively.                                                                               50,000


The Brisbane CBD supply pipeline
looks set to return to more positive                                                        30,000

territory in the coming years with
111,000 sqm of additional space ex-                                                         10,000

pected to reach completion over
2012. 64,000 sqm is forecast to come                                                       -10,000
on line with the completion of the GPT
Wholesale Office Fund/Abu Dhabi
                                                                                           -30,000
Investment Authority joint venture at                                                            Jan-06   Jul-06   Jan-07   Jul-07    Jan-08      Jul-08    Jan-09    Jul-09    Jan-10    Jul-10   Jan-11   Jul-11   Jan-12

111 Eagle Street, with a further 28,200
sqm after the completion of 145 Ann         Source: PCA/PRP Research


Street. An additional 18,800 sqm of
refurbished office space will further
bolster current CBD office market                                                                                                          Brisbane CBD Office Market
levels. Looking further into the supply
pipeline, 2013 completion levels sof-
ten to sub 20,000 sqm, before return-                                                                                                           3.0%                   6.8%
                                                                                                                        10.6%
ing to more buoyant levels in 2014.

Net Absorption/Vacancy Lev-
els
Brisbane CBD vacancy levels firmed
1.2 percentage points in the six
months to January 2012, falling from
7.4 percent recorded in the six months                                                                                                                                                                      39.2%

to July, to 6.2 percent in the six months
                                                                                                          40.4%
to January 2012. Lower grade stock (c
& d) in Brisbane CBD office market
experienced a softening in vacancy
rates over this period, with D grade                                                                                             Premium       A-Grade     B-Grade    C-Grade      D-Grade

recording the most marked increase          Source: PCA/PRP Research

in vacancy rates, lifting from 10.5 per-
cent in the six months to July to 16.1      total space in the Brisbane CBD office                                                                          space has been in demand in the six
percent in the six month to January         market has risen by 1.4 percent, rising                                                                         month to January 2012, rising to 39.2
2012. On a more positive note B             from 2.04 million sqm in the six months                                                                         percent of market share. C Grade
grade vacancy rates tightened from          to January 2011 to 2.07 million sqm in                                                                          space saw a marginal decline in oc-
10.9 percent recorded in the six            the six months to January 2012. A                                                                               cupancy rates, falling from 220,646
months to July 2011 to 7.5 percent in       Grade stock saw the sharpest in-                                                                                sqm to 220,220 sqm in the six months
the six months to January 2012.             crease in occupancy levels over the                                                                             to January 2012.
                                            year, rising by 4.9 percent. B Grade
Occupancy levels                            still dominates the market with 40.4
In the 12 months to January 2012,           percent of share; however A grade




Property Market Report—March 2012                                                                                                                                                                                             3
Demand/Leasing Activity                   Fortitude Valley from Laing O’Rourke       The final transaction to have occurred
With record levels of expansion by the    for undisclosed terms. The Building is     in the first quarter of 2012 was sale of
resources sector and a renew confi-       now 100 percent precommitted and           the Becton office Fund’s 369 Ann
dence is other sectors, net absorption    is expected to reach completion in
                                                                                     Street for approximately $36.25 million.
was well above historical long term       mid 2012.
                                                                                     An undisclosed private investor pur-
averages. Just over 54,000 sqm of
                                                                                     chased the 6,700 sqm office block on
space was absorbed in CBD office          Rents
market over the six months to January      A robust leasing environment and          an initial passing yield of 10.04 per-
2012, taking the 12 months total ab-      tightening vacancy rates in the Bris-      cent. With long term growth drivers in
sorption rate to over 92,000 sqm. Since   bane CBD have underpinned rental           place for the Queensland economy
January 2010, approximately 187,000       growth in both premium and A grade         and demand set to remain strong,
sqm of space has been absorbed in         space. Premium grade rents have            good quality assets are expected to
the Brisbane CBD office market. As        increased by over 2 percent in the last
                                                                                     continue to attract attention from
supply levels increased by only           twelve months to sit between $700 -
                                                                                     investors.
118,000 sqm over this period, declin-     $825 sqm pa. A Grade office space in
ing vacancy rates resulted. Looking       the Brisbane CBD attracts rental rates
into further detail, 37,000 sqm of A      of between $625 - $725 sqm. In the six
grade space was absorbed in the six       months to March 2012, Lower grade
months to January 2012, with B grade      office space (b) has transacted rang-
space seeing robust demand with           ing between $500 -$625 sqm.
over 21,000 sqm of take-up.
Reinforcing confidence in the market,     Investment Activity
demand levels remained buoyant in         Strengthening tenant demand com-
the first quarter of 2012, with several   bined with a robust economic growth
large leasing deals transacted over       outlook over the medium term, has
the three months to March. Dominate       caught the attention of both the do-
players in the market include the pro-    mestic and the offshore investor alike.
fessional services and the enormous       Five major transactions were re-
presence felt by the resource sectors.    corded by PRP Research in the Bris-
Xstrata secured just under 2,500 sqm      bane Office Market, during the first
of premium space from GPT Group at        quarter of 2012, with a total transac-
111 Eagle Street, whilst late March       tion value of $291 million. The most
saw Arrow Energy leasing 14,800 sqm       notable transaction to occur during
at the same address, on an eight year     this period was the purchase of 215
lease for an undisclosed rent.            Adelaide Street, Brisbane by US based
Not forgetting the professional ser-      Preamerica Real Estate Investors for
vices sector, Queensland Treasury         $134.5 million. The 30,000 sqm office
Corporation leased just over 3,800        tower was purchased from GIC on an
sqm of space from Dexus Property          approximate passing yield 8.5 per-
Group at 123 Albert Street, for re-       cent. A further notable transaction to
ported par $725 sqm pa for a period       occur during the first quarter of 2012
of seven years and after 20 years at      was The Hines Global REIT purchase of
300 Queens street, BDO has commit-        144 Montague Street in South Brisbane
ted to 6,000 sqm of refurbished space     for a reported $88 million. The 15,000
at 12 Creek street for a period of 12     sqm building was purchased from
years.                                    Empricia Management Trust on an
Following trend of decentralisation       initial yield of 8.5 percent.
activity by core service providers and    379 Queen Street sold in March 2012,
public sector industries, a number of
                                          for a reported $21 million to
tenants are moving outside the CBD
                                          Kingsmede Pty Ltd. The 15 level, 5500
and relocating to the suburbs &
Fringe. The bank of Queensland has        sqm commercial tower is fully leased
pre-committed to leasing 12,500 sqm       with a net income of approx $2.4 mil-
of space at the new “Gasworks” de-        lion per year, representing an initial
velopment at Newstead Riverpark in        passing yield of around 11.5 percent.
the Brisbane Fringe. The development      An undisclosed private investor pur-
is expected to begin construction in                                                 215 Adelaide Street, Brisbane was purchased
                                          chased 20 Wharf Street for approxi-        by Preamerica Real Estate, for $134.5 Million.
2013 and scheduled for completion in
February 2014, with rents believed to     mately $11.3 million in January this
be in the low $500 per sqm bracket.       year. Chesterton International bro-
The Macquarie Group has leased            kered the deal for vendor, NEXTDC on
3,200 sqm of space at 825 Ann Street,     an initial passing yield of 8.3 percent.




Property Market Report—March 2012                                                                                                4
GOLD COAST                   OFFICE
                                                                                                                                            Gold Coast Office Market
MARKET                                                                                                                                           Net Absorption
                                                                                          50,000


Supply
An additional 931 sqm was added to                                                        40,000


the Gold Coast Office Market in the
                                            Audited Net Absorption 12 months to...(sqm)
six months to January 2012 with the                                                       30,000


completion of a two storey office
complex at Via Roma Isle of Capri.                                                        20,000


The Gold Coast office Market now
consists of 473,700 sqm of space, of                                                      10,000

which 21.8 percent is vacant. The
2012 supply pipeline remains positive                                                          0

with an anticipated 3,192 sqm of ad-
ditional space due to complete over                                                       -10,000

the year. Just under 2,000 sqm of
office space will be added to the                                                         -20,000
                                                                                                Jan-06      Jul-06   Jan-07   Jul-07   Jan-08      Jul-08     Jan-09    Jul-09    Jan-10   Jul-10   Jan-11     Jul-11   Jan-12
market with the completion of 237
Scottsdale Drive Robina, which is ex-      Source: PCA/PRP Research

pected in the first half of this year. A
Further 1,200 sqm of space will come
on line when 82 Marine Parade South-
                                                                                                                                            Gold Coast Office Market
port completes during the June quar-
ter.

                                                                                                                                                3.7%
Demand/Vacancy Levels                                                                                                                                       0.0%


In the six months to January 2011 just
                                                                                                    28.8%
over 3,200 sqm of space was ab-
sorbed in the Gold Coast Office Mar-                                                                                                                                                                         28.0%

ket, taking the 12 month total to 9,888
sqm. Positive net absorption and
scarce new supply has led to a 0.6
percent tightening in the Gold Coast
Office Market vacancy. Vacancy in
this market fell from 22.4 percent re-
corded in the six months to July 2011
to currently sit at 21.8 percent. B                                                                                                                                    39.6%
Grade vacancy saw the most marked
improvement, tightening by 1.9 per-                                                                                               Premium       A-Grade     B-Grade     C-Grade      D-Grade

cent points over the six month period.     Source: PCA/PRP Research

However in stark contrast D Grade
office vacancy weakened by 9.8             2012, however looking closer at a sub-
percent over the six months to Janu-       market level, A Grade stock posted a
ary 2012. Vacancy rates in the Gold        13.9 percent increase in occupied
Coast D Grade Office Market rose           stock over the period whilst D Grade
from 12.6 percent in the six months to     saw its third decline recording nega-
July 2011 to 22.4 percent over the six     tive growth of 11.1 percent over the
months to January 2012.                    period.

Occupancy                                  Investment Activity
B Grade space dominates occu-              PRP Research did not record any sales
pancy levels in the Gold Coast Office
                                           or lease transactions over 2,500 sqm or
Market, with 39.6 percent of total sup-
                                           par $5 million that occurred during the
ply. A and C Grade space equate for
28.8 and 28.0 percent of the market        three months to March 2012.
respectively. Little change has been
seen in total occupancy levels over
the last 12 months. A mere 2.7 per-
cent increase was seen in occupancy
levels over the 12 months to January




Property Market Report—March 2012                                                                                                                                                                                                5
Retail Market
Demand                                                                                                                            Queensland Retail Turnover
Total Retail turnover in the state of                                          4500.0                                                                                                                                                                4.0

Queensland saw a 2.1 percent in-                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.5

crease over a 12 month period to                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.0

February 2012, with robust growth




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Monthly Percentage Change (%)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2.5
                                                                               4250.0
seen in ‘Other Retailing’ categories                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2.0

and Food Retailing alike. “Other retail-                                                                                                                                                                                                             1.5

ing” underpinned by buoyant in-              Retail Turnover $ million
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1.0

creases in both Pharmaceutical, Cos-                                           4000.0                                                                                                                                                                0.5

metics etc and Newspaper, Book                                                                                                                                                                                                                       0.0

Retailing, saw a 6.9 percent increase                                                                                                                                                                                                                -0.5

over the 12 months to February 2012.                                           3750.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     -1.0

Food Retailing grew by 5.2 percent                                                                                                                                                                                                                   -1.5


over the 12 month period, to its high-                                                                                                                                                                                                               -2.0


est level ever recorded. A growth                                                                                                                                                                                                                    -2.5


spike was also seen in Cafe and Res-                                           3500.0                                                                                                                                                                -3.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                      Nov-11
                                                                                         Feb-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Feb-12
                                                                                                                                                                             Sep-11
                                                                                                                                                              Aug-11




                                                                                                                                                                                         Oct-11
                                                                                                                                   Jun-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Dec-11
                                                                                                     Mar-11




                                                                                                                Apr-11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan-12
                                                                                                                                                  Jul-11
                                                                                                                         May-11
taurant Retailing, however falls were
recorded in Household Good, Depart-
                                                                                                                                            Retail Turnover                           % Change
ment Stores, and Clothing and Foot-                           Source: ABS/PRP Research

wear Retailing. Clothing and Foot-
wear recorded the largest decline
over the 12 months to February 2012,
                                                                                                                                       Queensland
falling by 5.7 percent, whilst Depart-                                                                                                  Turnover
ment Store and Household Good                                                  0.12                                                 % Monthly Change
Retailing fell by 5.4 percent and 3.3                                            0.1
percent respectively.
                                                                               0.08


Investment                                                                     0.06


During the three months to March                                               0.04

2012, PRP Research recorded four
                                                            Monthly % Change




major retail transactions within the
                                                                               0.02


Queensland Retail Sector, with a total                                            0
                                                                                                  Nov-2011                        Dec-2011                                        Jan-2012                                   Feb-2012
market value of $452.2 million. Most                                           -0.02
Notably, Late March saw CFS Retail
Property Trust announce the sale of a                                          -0.04


50% share of the Myer Centre in Bris-                                          -0.06

bane, to Unlisted Property Trust, ISPT                                         -0.08
for $366 million, representing an initial
yield of 6.5 percent. The six level CBD                                                 Food Retailing        Household goods     Clothing, Footwear                   Department Stores          Other Retailing            Cafe, Restaurants

Regional Shopping Centres provides                          Source: ABS/PRP Research


63,700 sqm of retail space, and
houses Myer, Target, Coles, and 180          investment activity exhibits a renewed
additional speciality retail stores. Prior   confidence in the retail property sec-
to this sale, LaSalle Australia Core Plus    tor despite weakened consumer
Fund purchased Nerang Mall Shop-             spending and increased online retail-
ping centre in February 2012 for a
                                             ing. Particular interest has been
reported $23.4 million. The 8,700 sqm
neighbourhood shopping centre has            placed on Queensland and the re-
been purchased from Mr Henry Yuen            source states for investment opportu-
on a yield in excess of 10 percent.          nity, as stronger economic growth is
Mid March, saw Stockland’s purchase          forecast.
Centro Townsville at Aitkenvale in
North Queensland for approximately
$36.5 million. The 13,650 sqm Subre-
gional shopping centre was pur-
chased from the Centro owned MCS
17 Syndicate on an initial yield of 8.3
percent. The centre is anchored by
Kmart and Coles and contains a fur-
                                                                                                                                                                 50% share of Myer Centre in Brisbane was
ther 25 specialty shops. Increased                                                                                                                               purchased by ISPT for $366 million, on a yield
                                                                                                                                                                 of 6.5 percent




Property Market Report—March 2012                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           6
Industrial
Supply                                        Leasing Activity: Brisbane                                                                                                                                               Wolston Road after outgrowing its
The South East Queensland Industrial          A renewed confidence in the Queen-                                                                                                                                       current premises at Neon Street.
land Monitoring Program identified as         sland industrial property market, on                                                                                                                                     DHL Express has pre-committed to
at December 2010, 8,852 hectares of           the back of increased investment in                                                                                                                                      4,300 sqm of space in Brisbane’s Air-
industrial land that currently exists in      the resources sector and positive eco-                                                                                                                                   port Precinct. Construction of the $15
the South East Queensland industrial          nomic growth saw leasing activity                                                                                                                                        million project will commence in May
land area, with a further 5,594 hec-          trend upwards in the three months to                                                                                                                                     this year and is located at the corner
tare of potential industrial land supply      March 2012. PRP Research recorded                                                                                                                                        of Lomandra Drive and Boronia Road.
available within in the region. It is esti-   a number of major transactions that                                                                                                                                      Engineering and construction giant
mated that industrial land consump-           occurred over this period. The Austra-                                                                                                                                   Clough will lease a 46.9 hectares site
tion in the four years to December            lian Mud company, a subsidiary of the                                                                                                                                    at 70 Darlington Drive, Yatala on a five
2010, was 120 hectares per annum,             Imdex Group has leased just under                                                                                                                                        year term, reportably worth $1.8 million
However estimated annual consump-             3,000 sqm of space at 67 Wolston                                                                                                                                         plus per year . The facility comprises of
tion of industrial land in South East         Road in Sumner Park. The industrial                                                                                                                                      9,500 sqm of factory, and 1,800 sqm of
Queensland for the six months to De-          facility was leased for a five year term,                                                                                                                                office space.
cember 2010 has declined to 41 hec-           with a five year option, for a net rent
tares (or approx 82 hectares per an-          of approx $95 per sqm pa. The AMC
num). It is predicted that for a 5 to 15      will relocate to its new premises at
year time frame, 3,940 hectares of
land will be required to meet esti-
mated average consumption.
                                                                                                                                                                             Port of Brisbane -
                                                                                                                                                                           Container Trade - TEU's
Tenant Demand                                                              800,000


Fluctuations in demand for logistics
                                                                           700,000
and warehouse space can partly be
explained by ebbs and flow in port                                         600,000
activity. Brisbane Port activity contin-
ues to see growth in full import and                                       500,000

export TEU’s. Since the 2007-2008 Fi-
                                              Number of TEU's




nancial year, TEU activity has grown                                       400,000


by 10.7 percent in the Port of Bris-
                                                                           300,000
bane. Last year, TEU’s activity saw
exceptional growth with an 8.5 per-                                        200,000
cent increase. The number of TEU’s in
the Port of Brisbane has grown from                                        100,000

639,800 in the 2009-2010 Financial
year to 694,000 in the 2010-2011 finan-                                            0
                                                                                                     Jan-04




                                                                                                                                    Jan-05




                                                                                                                                                                        Jan-06




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jan-07




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jan-08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jan-09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jan-10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Jan-11




cial year.
As a percentage of Queensland’s               Source: Port of Brisbane /PRP Research                                                                                                                   Import            Export

gross state product, income derived
from the manufacturing sector de-
clined by 0.4 percentage points in the                                                                                                            Queensland Manufacturing Income
12 months to June 2011. June 2008                                         300000
                                                                                                                                                       V's Gross State Product                                                                                                                                                                                25000
saw the trough of total factor income
from manufacturing as a percent of
gross state product, falling to 11.5                                      250000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              20000

percent. Although total factor income
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Manufacturing Income $ million




from manufacturing rose to its highest                                    200000
                                                 State Product $million




level recorded, Queensland Gross                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              15000


State product also saw robust growth                                      150000

over the year, resulting in a decline in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              10000
percentage total. A fall in manufac-                                      100000
turing income is consistent with the
declines seen in average consump-                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5000

tion levels for industrial land over the                                   50000


six months to December 2010.
                                                                              0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                       Jan-1991


                                                                                                  Jan-1992


                                                                                                              Jan-1993


                                                                                                                         Jan-1994


                                                                                                                                       Jan-1995


                                                                                                                                                  Jan-1996


                                                                                                                                                             Jan-1997


                                                                                                                                                                                 Jan-1998


                                                                                                                                                                                            Jan-1999


                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jan-2000


                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jan-2001


                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jan-2002


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jan-2003


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jan-2004


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jan-2005


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jan-2006


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jan-2007


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jan-2008


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jan-2009


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jan-2010


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jan-2011




                                                                                                                                             Queensland Gross State Product                                                    Manufacturing Total Factor Income
                                              Source:ABS/PRP Research




Property Market Report—March 2012                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      7
Leasing Activity: Gold Coast
An undisclosed construction com-
pany, linked to Queensland’s boom-
ing resources sector has leased 5,500
sqm of industrial space plus 660 sqm
of office space at 32 Demand Ave-
nue in Arundel on the Gold Coast. The
property is expected to fetch net
$450,000 per year in rental income for
the owner, equating to $82 plus per
sqm pa .

Investment Activity
Undoubtedly one of the largest trans-
action in Queensland industrial his-
tory , Springfield Land Corporation has
purchased half of the high-tech Po-
laris Data Centre in Greater Springfield
for a reported $110.5 million. The pur-
chase give Springfield Land Corpora-
tion 100 percent ownership of the            An undisclosed construction company
14,000 sqm building. Tenants include         will lease 5,000 sqm of industrial space at
British Gas, AAPT and Suncorp, who           32 Demand Avenue, Arundel
will retain one third of the floor space.
Sydney based Fund manager Heath-
ley, purchased a nine hectare indus-
trial property at Richlands, from Trinity
Group for $24.5 million. The property
contains a 13,000 sqm building cur-
rently leased to John Holland (a sub-
sidiary of Leighton Holdings).
In February 2012, Dexus Wholesale
property fund purchased a 12,483
sqm industrial facility in Morningside
for a reported $19.7 million, reflecting
a yield of 8.25 percent. And Finally,
Mainfreight has purchased a 5.4 hec-
tare site at 20 Distribution Street, Lara-
pinta for a reported $15.8 Million.
Mainfreight secured the land adja-
cent to Woolworths distribution centre
from Australand, who purchased the
property in November 2010 for $12.25
Million.                                     The Polaris Data Centre in Greater Spring-
                                             field sold for a reported $110.5 million to
                                             The Springfield Land Corporation.




Property Market Report—March 2012                                                          8
Residential
Supply                                      Demand                                                                                               in 2006 by the ABS. The Australian Bu-
Land supply in the South East Queen-        Population growth is a factor used in                                                                reau of statistics indicated as at June
sland Regional plan is currently limited    establishing the demand for future                                                                   2006    there were        approximately
by new stock coming through. This           housing. The starting point in deter-                                                                671,600 households in the Brisbane
stock is often dominated by large lots      mining population growth is the popu-                                                                Region. In 2017 the ABS predicts an
and premium product that meets only         lation statistics taken in the Australian                                                            additional 195,200 households will be
the requirements for up-graders. In         Bureau of Statistics 2006 Census. The                                                                required to meet demand. This
2009 stronger demand was evident            current population at 2006 was esti-                                                                 equates to an average of 17,700
for smaller lots in response to the first   mated at 1.8 million persons in the                                                                  homes per annum. The ABS forecasts
home buyer grant; this supply how-          Brisbane Region. By the start of 2017                                                                that by 2017 the total number of
ever, was quickly taken up. Housing         the population of Brisbane is forecast                                                               households in Brisbane Region will
supply in Brisbane is based on the          to increase to 2.24 million, equating to                                                             reach 866,800 households.
boundaries of the South-East Queen-         an additional 420,000 persons over a
sland Regional Plan 2009-2031 (SEQ).        ten year period, or an average of
The SEQ Regional Plan is forecast to        42,000 additional persons per annum.
accommodate growth to 2031. These           Changing demographics and house-
boundaries are assessed every five          hold characteristics have an impact
years and extensions are based on           of demand for housing within Austra-
demand and sustainability.                  lia. The A starting point for additional
As at June 2009, SEQ had 10,700 hec-        households is the Census undertaken
tares of land identified for future ur-
ban use in the supply pipeline with an
estimated dwelling yield of 122,000                                                                      Projected No. household - Brisbane SD
                                                                          2,000,000

lots. Potential land further down the
supply pipeline contains an additional                                    1,800,000

142,000     dwellings,    with    35,500
                                                                          1,600,000
Greenfield lots identified at the devel-
opment and subdivisional approval                                         1,400,000

stage.
In comparison to 12 months prior, the                                     1,200,000
                                             Projected No.of households




total number of dwelling approvals in
                                                                          1,000,000
the Brisbane Statistical Division de-
clined by 16 percent over the year to                                      800,000

December 2011. There were a total of
13,480 dwelling approvals in the 2011                                      600,000


calendar year, compared to 16,050                                          400,000
dwelling approvals one year prior. The
decline in total dwelling approvals                                        200,000

was underpinned by a 25 percent
decline in the number of ‘house’                                                   0
                                                                                        2006   2007   2008     2009         2010          2011       2012       2013      2014    2015    2016      2017

dwellings. The number of non house          Source: ABS / PRP Research                                  Family households      Group households          Lone person households

dwelling approvals fared better sliding
only five percent over the 12 month
period.                                                                                                       Brisbane SD Dwelling Approvals
Construction activity in the Sunshine                                     25,000
state continues to decline, with a
further 17 percent fall in the number
of dwelling commencement occur-                                           20,000

ring in the nine months to September
2011 in comparison to the same nine
                                                   Annual Approvals




months, the year prior. The total num-                                    15,000


ber of dwellings that commenced
during the nine months to September
                                                                          10,000
2010 reached 15,600 dwellings; how-
ever the nine months to September
2011 saw total dwelling commence-                                          5,000
ments decline by 3,660 dwellings, to
just under 12,000 dwellings. The num-
ber of new ‘house’ dwelling com-                                               0

mencements in the nine months to
                                                                                       2001    2002    2003        2004            2005           2006        2007        2008     2009      2010          2011


September 2011 saw the largest year                                                                                            Houses                       Other

on year decline falling 23 percent.         Source: ABS / PRP Research




Property Market Report—March 2012                                                                                                                                                                                 9
Property Market Report For Clients, Associates & Special Friends
Property Market Report For Clients, Associates & Special Friends
Property Market Report For Clients, Associates & Special Friends
Property Market Report For Clients, Associates & Special Friends
Property Market Report For Clients, Associates & Special Friends
Property Market Report For Clients, Associates & Special Friends
Property Market Report For Clients, Associates & Special Friends
Property Market Report For Clients, Associates & Special Friends

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Property Market Report For Clients, Associates & Special Friends

  • 1. Property Market Report Queensland About This Report March quarter 2012 PRP Valuers and Consultants prepare standard research reports covering the main markets within which we operate in each of our capital cities and major INSIDE THIS ISSUE: regional locations. Economic Fundamentals 2 The markets covered in this research report include the commercial office market, industrial market, retail market, hotel and leisure market and residential Brisbane CBD Office Market 3 market. Gold Coast Office Market 5 Retail Market 6 We regularly undertake valuations of residential property for mortgage purposes, as well as for development funding purposes. We also undertake Industrial Market 7 valuations of commercial, retail, industrial, hotel and leisure and special purpose properties for many varied reasons, as set out later herein. Residential Market 9 Hotel and Leisure Market 12 Please contact a Director of our relevant office for any valuation or consulting About Preston Rowe Paterson 16 quotations and advice. Property Market Report—March 2012 1
  • 2. Economic Fundamentals The Australian economy continues to record moderate growth, despite the Gross Domestic Product global outlook remaining cloudy. 400,000.0 5 Slightly below trend, GDP increased by 2.3 percent over 2011, with the 350,000.0 4 December quarter recording a 0.4 300,000.0 3 percent increase. Lower than expected GDP growth is a partial 250,000.0 2 GDP Millions reflection of the extreme weather % Change conditions experienced earlier in the 200,000.0 1 year. 150,000.0 0 Another disappointing month for retail 100,000.0 -1 spending in February 2012, as total retail sales rose by a mere 0.2 50,000.0 -2 percent. Welcomed rises were seen in Food Retailing, Department Stores 0.0 -3 Sep-06 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-10 Sep-11 Dec-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 and Other Retailing, whilst falls were recorded in Cafes & Restaurants, Gross Domestic Product Seasonally Adjusted % Change Seasonally Adjusted Clothing Retailers and Household Source: ABS/PRP Research Goods Retailing. The unemployment rate rose to 5.2 Unemployment (Rate and Persons) percent in February. Job figures fell by 5,500,000 14.0 15,400, underpinned by falls in part time employment, as fulltime jobs 12.0 remained flat. The participation rate 5,000,000 fell from 65.3 percent to 65.2 percent, 10.0 with the decline concentrated in Unemployed persons Males, whilst total hours worked rose Unemployment Rate % 4,500,000 8.0 by 1.4 percent. 6.0 4,000,000 The RBA held the official cash rate unchanged at 4.25 percent, and 4.0 explained that despite easing interest 3,500,000 rates by 50 basis points in late 2011, 2.0 the current pace of output growth is somew hat l ow er than earli er 3,000,000 0.0 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-10 Sep-11 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 anticipated. The RBA stated that it would wait for Q1 CPI data before Unemployed Persons Unemployment Rate considering a further step in easing Source: ABS/PRP Research monetary policy. Consumer sentiment tumbled in QLD Turnover and Consumer Sentiment March, with the Westpac-Melbourne 130.0 5,000 Institute index recording a 5 percent 125.0 4,800 decline over the month. The index fell Westpac-Melb Institute Consumer Sentiment Index 120.0 4,600 from 101.10 in February 2012 to 96.1 in 115.0 March 2012. Domestic economic QLD Turnover ($ million) 4,400 conditions and employment listed as 110.0 4,200 Survey respondents main concerns. 105.0 4,000 100.0 The Consumer Price Index (CPI) 95.0 3,800 re m a i n e d u n c h a n g e d i n t h e 3,600 90.0 December 2011 quarter, compared 3,400 to a 0.6 percent rise experienced in 85.0 the September quarter. A significant 80.0 3,200 rise was recorded in domestic holiday 75.0 3,000 travel and accommodation with a 7.3 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-10 Sep-11 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 percent increase. Not surprisingly falls were observed in fruit and vegetables Consumer Sentiment Index QLD Turnover with falls of 13.4 percent and 5.0 Source: ABS/PRP Research percent respectively. Property Market Report—March 2012 2
  • 3. Commercial Office Market BRISBANE CBD OFFICE Brisbane Commercial - Stock & Vacancy Brisbane CBD Brisbane Fringe MARKET Precinct/Grade Stock (m2) Vacancy % Stock (m2) Vacancy % Total (All Grades) 2,071,240 6.16% 1,136,347 7.63% Supply Premium 140,015 2.65% In the six months to January 2012, A Grade 812,629 4.05% 526,795 3.09% 39,400 sqm of office space entered B Grade 837,034 7.49% 411,912 13.36% the Brisbane CBD office market follow- C Grade 220,220 8.36% 175,622 8.79% ing the completion of 123 Albert D Grade 61,342 16.09% 22,018 0.00% Street. When construction reached completion in early 2012, The Dexus owned 26 level building, added Brisbane CBD Office Market 38,500 sqm of Premium office space Net Absorption to the Brisbane CBD office market. Rio 90,000 Tinto committed to 25,000 sqm of space in 2008, whilst recent agree- 70,000 ments were reached with QTC and Audited Net Absorption 12 months to...(sqm) Urbis to secure 4,000 and 1,500 sqm respectively. 50,000 The Brisbane CBD supply pipeline looks set to return to more positive 30,000 territory in the coming years with 111,000 sqm of additional space ex- 10,000 pected to reach completion over 2012. 64,000 sqm is forecast to come -10,000 on line with the completion of the GPT Wholesale Office Fund/Abu Dhabi -30,000 Investment Authority joint venture at Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 111 Eagle Street, with a further 28,200 sqm after the completion of 145 Ann Source: PCA/PRP Research Street. An additional 18,800 sqm of refurbished office space will further bolster current CBD office market Brisbane CBD Office Market levels. Looking further into the supply pipeline, 2013 completion levels sof- ten to sub 20,000 sqm, before return- 3.0% 6.8% 10.6% ing to more buoyant levels in 2014. Net Absorption/Vacancy Lev- els Brisbane CBD vacancy levels firmed 1.2 percentage points in the six months to January 2012, falling from 7.4 percent recorded in the six months 39.2% to July, to 6.2 percent in the six months 40.4% to January 2012. Lower grade stock (c & d) in Brisbane CBD office market experienced a softening in vacancy rates over this period, with D grade Premium A-Grade B-Grade C-Grade D-Grade recording the most marked increase Source: PCA/PRP Research in vacancy rates, lifting from 10.5 per- cent in the six months to July to 16.1 total space in the Brisbane CBD office space has been in demand in the six percent in the six month to January market has risen by 1.4 percent, rising month to January 2012, rising to 39.2 2012. On a more positive note B from 2.04 million sqm in the six months percent of market share. C Grade grade vacancy rates tightened from to January 2011 to 2.07 million sqm in space saw a marginal decline in oc- 10.9 percent recorded in the six the six months to January 2012. A cupancy rates, falling from 220,646 months to July 2011 to 7.5 percent in Grade stock saw the sharpest in- sqm to 220,220 sqm in the six months the six months to January 2012. crease in occupancy levels over the to January 2012. year, rising by 4.9 percent. B Grade Occupancy levels still dominates the market with 40.4 In the 12 months to January 2012, percent of share; however A grade Property Market Report—March 2012 3
  • 4. Demand/Leasing Activity Fortitude Valley from Laing O’Rourke The final transaction to have occurred With record levels of expansion by the for undisclosed terms. The Building is in the first quarter of 2012 was sale of resources sector and a renew confi- now 100 percent precommitted and the Becton office Fund’s 369 Ann dence is other sectors, net absorption is expected to reach completion in Street for approximately $36.25 million. was well above historical long term mid 2012. An undisclosed private investor pur- averages. Just over 54,000 sqm of chased the 6,700 sqm office block on space was absorbed in CBD office Rents market over the six months to January A robust leasing environment and an initial passing yield of 10.04 per- 2012, taking the 12 months total ab- tightening vacancy rates in the Bris- cent. With long term growth drivers in sorption rate to over 92,000 sqm. Since bane CBD have underpinned rental place for the Queensland economy January 2010, approximately 187,000 growth in both premium and A grade and demand set to remain strong, sqm of space has been absorbed in space. Premium grade rents have good quality assets are expected to the Brisbane CBD office market. As increased by over 2 percent in the last continue to attract attention from supply levels increased by only twelve months to sit between $700 - investors. 118,000 sqm over this period, declin- $825 sqm pa. A Grade office space in ing vacancy rates resulted. Looking the Brisbane CBD attracts rental rates into further detail, 37,000 sqm of A of between $625 - $725 sqm. In the six grade space was absorbed in the six months to March 2012, Lower grade months to January 2012, with B grade office space (b) has transacted rang- space seeing robust demand with ing between $500 -$625 sqm. over 21,000 sqm of take-up. Reinforcing confidence in the market, Investment Activity demand levels remained buoyant in Strengthening tenant demand com- the first quarter of 2012, with several bined with a robust economic growth large leasing deals transacted over outlook over the medium term, has the three months to March. Dominate caught the attention of both the do- players in the market include the pro- mestic and the offshore investor alike. fessional services and the enormous Five major transactions were re- presence felt by the resource sectors. corded by PRP Research in the Bris- Xstrata secured just under 2,500 sqm bane Office Market, during the first of premium space from GPT Group at quarter of 2012, with a total transac- 111 Eagle Street, whilst late March tion value of $291 million. The most saw Arrow Energy leasing 14,800 sqm notable transaction to occur during at the same address, on an eight year this period was the purchase of 215 lease for an undisclosed rent. Adelaide Street, Brisbane by US based Not forgetting the professional ser- Preamerica Real Estate Investors for vices sector, Queensland Treasury $134.5 million. The 30,000 sqm office Corporation leased just over 3,800 tower was purchased from GIC on an sqm of space from Dexus Property approximate passing yield 8.5 per- Group at 123 Albert Street, for re- cent. A further notable transaction to ported par $725 sqm pa for a period occur during the first quarter of 2012 of seven years and after 20 years at was The Hines Global REIT purchase of 300 Queens street, BDO has commit- 144 Montague Street in South Brisbane ted to 6,000 sqm of refurbished space for a reported $88 million. The 15,000 at 12 Creek street for a period of 12 sqm building was purchased from years. Empricia Management Trust on an Following trend of decentralisation initial yield of 8.5 percent. activity by core service providers and 379 Queen Street sold in March 2012, public sector industries, a number of for a reported $21 million to tenants are moving outside the CBD Kingsmede Pty Ltd. The 15 level, 5500 and relocating to the suburbs & Fringe. The bank of Queensland has sqm commercial tower is fully leased pre-committed to leasing 12,500 sqm with a net income of approx $2.4 mil- of space at the new “Gasworks” de- lion per year, representing an initial velopment at Newstead Riverpark in passing yield of around 11.5 percent. the Brisbane Fringe. The development An undisclosed private investor pur- is expected to begin construction in 215 Adelaide Street, Brisbane was purchased chased 20 Wharf Street for approxi- by Preamerica Real Estate, for $134.5 Million. 2013 and scheduled for completion in February 2014, with rents believed to mately $11.3 million in January this be in the low $500 per sqm bracket. year. Chesterton International bro- The Macquarie Group has leased kered the deal for vendor, NEXTDC on 3,200 sqm of space at 825 Ann Street, an initial passing yield of 8.3 percent. Property Market Report—March 2012 4
  • 5. GOLD COAST OFFICE Gold Coast Office Market MARKET Net Absorption 50,000 Supply An additional 931 sqm was added to 40,000 the Gold Coast Office Market in the Audited Net Absorption 12 months to...(sqm) six months to January 2012 with the 30,000 completion of a two storey office complex at Via Roma Isle of Capri. 20,000 The Gold Coast office Market now consists of 473,700 sqm of space, of 10,000 which 21.8 percent is vacant. The 2012 supply pipeline remains positive 0 with an anticipated 3,192 sqm of ad- ditional space due to complete over -10,000 the year. Just under 2,000 sqm of office space will be added to the -20,000 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 market with the completion of 237 Scottsdale Drive Robina, which is ex- Source: PCA/PRP Research pected in the first half of this year. A Further 1,200 sqm of space will come on line when 82 Marine Parade South- Gold Coast Office Market port completes during the June quar- ter. 3.7% Demand/Vacancy Levels 0.0% In the six months to January 2011 just 28.8% over 3,200 sqm of space was ab- sorbed in the Gold Coast Office Mar- 28.0% ket, taking the 12 month total to 9,888 sqm. Positive net absorption and scarce new supply has led to a 0.6 percent tightening in the Gold Coast Office Market vacancy. Vacancy in this market fell from 22.4 percent re- corded in the six months to July 2011 to currently sit at 21.8 percent. B 39.6% Grade vacancy saw the most marked improvement, tightening by 1.9 per- Premium A-Grade B-Grade C-Grade D-Grade cent points over the six month period. Source: PCA/PRP Research However in stark contrast D Grade office vacancy weakened by 9.8 2012, however looking closer at a sub- percent over the six months to Janu- market level, A Grade stock posted a ary 2012. Vacancy rates in the Gold 13.9 percent increase in occupied Coast D Grade Office Market rose stock over the period whilst D Grade from 12.6 percent in the six months to saw its third decline recording nega- July 2011 to 22.4 percent over the six tive growth of 11.1 percent over the months to January 2012. period. Occupancy Investment Activity B Grade space dominates occu- PRP Research did not record any sales pancy levels in the Gold Coast Office or lease transactions over 2,500 sqm or Market, with 39.6 percent of total sup- par $5 million that occurred during the ply. A and C Grade space equate for 28.8 and 28.0 percent of the market three months to March 2012. respectively. Little change has been seen in total occupancy levels over the last 12 months. A mere 2.7 per- cent increase was seen in occupancy levels over the 12 months to January Property Market Report—March 2012 5
  • 6. Retail Market Demand Queensland Retail Turnover Total Retail turnover in the state of 4500.0 4.0 Queensland saw a 2.1 percent in- 3.5 crease over a 12 month period to 3.0 February 2012, with robust growth Monthly Percentage Change (%) 2.5 4250.0 seen in ‘Other Retailing’ categories 2.0 and Food Retailing alike. “Other retail- 1.5 ing” underpinned by buoyant in- Retail Turnover $ million 1.0 creases in both Pharmaceutical, Cos- 4000.0 0.5 metics etc and Newspaper, Book 0.0 Retailing, saw a 6.9 percent increase -0.5 over the 12 months to February 2012. 3750.0 -1.0 Food Retailing grew by 5.2 percent -1.5 over the 12 month period, to its high- -2.0 est level ever recorded. A growth -2.5 spike was also seen in Cafe and Res- 3500.0 -3.0 Nov-11 Feb-11 Feb-12 Sep-11 Aug-11 Oct-11 Jun-11 Dec-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 Jan-12 Jul-11 May-11 taurant Retailing, however falls were recorded in Household Good, Depart- Retail Turnover % Change ment Stores, and Clothing and Foot- Source: ABS/PRP Research wear Retailing. Clothing and Foot- wear recorded the largest decline over the 12 months to February 2012, Queensland falling by 5.7 percent, whilst Depart- Turnover ment Store and Household Good 0.12 % Monthly Change Retailing fell by 5.4 percent and 3.3 0.1 percent respectively. 0.08 Investment 0.06 During the three months to March 0.04 2012, PRP Research recorded four Monthly % Change major retail transactions within the 0.02 Queensland Retail Sector, with a total 0 Nov-2011 Dec-2011 Jan-2012 Feb-2012 market value of $452.2 million. Most -0.02 Notably, Late March saw CFS Retail Property Trust announce the sale of a -0.04 50% share of the Myer Centre in Bris- -0.06 bane, to Unlisted Property Trust, ISPT -0.08 for $366 million, representing an initial yield of 6.5 percent. The six level CBD Food Retailing Household goods Clothing, Footwear Department Stores Other Retailing Cafe, Restaurants Regional Shopping Centres provides Source: ABS/PRP Research 63,700 sqm of retail space, and houses Myer, Target, Coles, and 180 investment activity exhibits a renewed additional speciality retail stores. Prior confidence in the retail property sec- to this sale, LaSalle Australia Core Plus tor despite weakened consumer Fund purchased Nerang Mall Shop- spending and increased online retail- ping centre in February 2012 for a ing. Particular interest has been reported $23.4 million. The 8,700 sqm neighbourhood shopping centre has placed on Queensland and the re- been purchased from Mr Henry Yuen source states for investment opportu- on a yield in excess of 10 percent. nity, as stronger economic growth is Mid March, saw Stockland’s purchase forecast. Centro Townsville at Aitkenvale in North Queensland for approximately $36.5 million. The 13,650 sqm Subre- gional shopping centre was pur- chased from the Centro owned MCS 17 Syndicate on an initial yield of 8.3 percent. The centre is anchored by Kmart and Coles and contains a fur- 50% share of Myer Centre in Brisbane was ther 25 specialty shops. Increased purchased by ISPT for $366 million, on a yield of 6.5 percent Property Market Report—March 2012 6
  • 7. Industrial Supply Leasing Activity: Brisbane Wolston Road after outgrowing its The South East Queensland Industrial A renewed confidence in the Queen- current premises at Neon Street. land Monitoring Program identified as sland industrial property market, on DHL Express has pre-committed to at December 2010, 8,852 hectares of the back of increased investment in 4,300 sqm of space in Brisbane’s Air- industrial land that currently exists in the resources sector and positive eco- port Precinct. Construction of the $15 the South East Queensland industrial nomic growth saw leasing activity million project will commence in May land area, with a further 5,594 hec- trend upwards in the three months to this year and is located at the corner tare of potential industrial land supply March 2012. PRP Research recorded of Lomandra Drive and Boronia Road. available within in the region. It is esti- a number of major transactions that Engineering and construction giant mated that industrial land consump- occurred over this period. The Austra- Clough will lease a 46.9 hectares site tion in the four years to December lian Mud company, a subsidiary of the at 70 Darlington Drive, Yatala on a five 2010, was 120 hectares per annum, Imdex Group has leased just under year term, reportably worth $1.8 million However estimated annual consump- 3,000 sqm of space at 67 Wolston plus per year . The facility comprises of tion of industrial land in South East Road in Sumner Park. The industrial 9,500 sqm of factory, and 1,800 sqm of Queensland for the six months to De- facility was leased for a five year term, office space. cember 2010 has declined to 41 hec- with a five year option, for a net rent tares (or approx 82 hectares per an- of approx $95 per sqm pa. The AMC num). It is predicted that for a 5 to 15 will relocate to its new premises at year time frame, 3,940 hectares of land will be required to meet esti- mated average consumption. Port of Brisbane - Container Trade - TEU's Tenant Demand 800,000 Fluctuations in demand for logistics 700,000 and warehouse space can partly be explained by ebbs and flow in port 600,000 activity. Brisbane Port activity contin- ues to see growth in full import and 500,000 export TEU’s. Since the 2007-2008 Fi- Number of TEU's nancial year, TEU activity has grown 400,000 by 10.7 percent in the Port of Bris- 300,000 bane. Last year, TEU’s activity saw exceptional growth with an 8.5 per- 200,000 cent increase. The number of TEU’s in the Port of Brisbane has grown from 100,000 639,800 in the 2009-2010 Financial year to 694,000 in the 2010-2011 finan- 0 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 cial year. As a percentage of Queensland’s Source: Port of Brisbane /PRP Research Import Export gross state product, income derived from the manufacturing sector de- clined by 0.4 percentage points in the Queensland Manufacturing Income 12 months to June 2011. June 2008 300000 V's Gross State Product 25000 saw the trough of total factor income from manufacturing as a percent of gross state product, falling to 11.5 250000 20000 percent. Although total factor income Manufacturing Income $ million from manufacturing rose to its highest 200000 State Product $million level recorded, Queensland Gross 15000 State product also saw robust growth 150000 over the year, resulting in a decline in 10000 percentage total. A fall in manufac- 100000 turing income is consistent with the declines seen in average consump- 5000 tion levels for industrial land over the 50000 six months to December 2010. 0 0 Jan-1991 Jan-1992 Jan-1993 Jan-1994 Jan-1995 Jan-1996 Jan-1997 Jan-1998 Jan-1999 Jan-2000 Jan-2001 Jan-2002 Jan-2003 Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Queensland Gross State Product Manufacturing Total Factor Income Source:ABS/PRP Research Property Market Report—March 2012 7
  • 8. Leasing Activity: Gold Coast An undisclosed construction com- pany, linked to Queensland’s boom- ing resources sector has leased 5,500 sqm of industrial space plus 660 sqm of office space at 32 Demand Ave- nue in Arundel on the Gold Coast. The property is expected to fetch net $450,000 per year in rental income for the owner, equating to $82 plus per sqm pa . Investment Activity Undoubtedly one of the largest trans- action in Queensland industrial his- tory , Springfield Land Corporation has purchased half of the high-tech Po- laris Data Centre in Greater Springfield for a reported $110.5 million. The pur- chase give Springfield Land Corpora- tion 100 percent ownership of the An undisclosed construction company 14,000 sqm building. Tenants include will lease 5,000 sqm of industrial space at British Gas, AAPT and Suncorp, who 32 Demand Avenue, Arundel will retain one third of the floor space. Sydney based Fund manager Heath- ley, purchased a nine hectare indus- trial property at Richlands, from Trinity Group for $24.5 million. The property contains a 13,000 sqm building cur- rently leased to John Holland (a sub- sidiary of Leighton Holdings). In February 2012, Dexus Wholesale property fund purchased a 12,483 sqm industrial facility in Morningside for a reported $19.7 million, reflecting a yield of 8.25 percent. And Finally, Mainfreight has purchased a 5.4 hec- tare site at 20 Distribution Street, Lara- pinta for a reported $15.8 Million. Mainfreight secured the land adja- cent to Woolworths distribution centre from Australand, who purchased the property in November 2010 for $12.25 Million. The Polaris Data Centre in Greater Spring- field sold for a reported $110.5 million to The Springfield Land Corporation. Property Market Report—March 2012 8
  • 9. Residential Supply Demand in 2006 by the ABS. The Australian Bu- Land supply in the South East Queen- Population growth is a factor used in reau of statistics indicated as at June sland Regional plan is currently limited establishing the demand for future 2006 there were approximately by new stock coming through. This housing. The starting point in deter- 671,600 households in the Brisbane stock is often dominated by large lots mining population growth is the popu- Region. In 2017 the ABS predicts an and premium product that meets only lation statistics taken in the Australian additional 195,200 households will be the requirements for up-graders. In Bureau of Statistics 2006 Census. The required to meet demand. This 2009 stronger demand was evident current population at 2006 was esti- equates to an average of 17,700 for smaller lots in response to the first mated at 1.8 million persons in the homes per annum. The ABS forecasts home buyer grant; this supply how- Brisbane Region. By the start of 2017 that by 2017 the total number of ever, was quickly taken up. Housing the population of Brisbane is forecast households in Brisbane Region will supply in Brisbane is based on the to increase to 2.24 million, equating to reach 866,800 households. boundaries of the South-East Queen- an additional 420,000 persons over a sland Regional Plan 2009-2031 (SEQ). ten year period, or an average of The SEQ Regional Plan is forecast to 42,000 additional persons per annum. accommodate growth to 2031. These Changing demographics and house- boundaries are assessed every five hold characteristics have an impact years and extensions are based on of demand for housing within Austra- demand and sustainability. lia. The A starting point for additional As at June 2009, SEQ had 10,700 hec- households is the Census undertaken tares of land identified for future ur- ban use in the supply pipeline with an estimated dwelling yield of 122,000 Projected No. household - Brisbane SD 2,000,000 lots. Potential land further down the supply pipeline contains an additional 1,800,000 142,000 dwellings, with 35,500 1,600,000 Greenfield lots identified at the devel- opment and subdivisional approval 1,400,000 stage. In comparison to 12 months prior, the 1,200,000 Projected No.of households total number of dwelling approvals in 1,000,000 the Brisbane Statistical Division de- clined by 16 percent over the year to 800,000 December 2011. There were a total of 13,480 dwelling approvals in the 2011 600,000 calendar year, compared to 16,050 400,000 dwelling approvals one year prior. The decline in total dwelling approvals 200,000 was underpinned by a 25 percent decline in the number of ‘house’ 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 dwellings. The number of non house Source: ABS / PRP Research Family households Group households Lone person households dwelling approvals fared better sliding only five percent over the 12 month period. Brisbane SD Dwelling Approvals Construction activity in the Sunshine 25,000 state continues to decline, with a further 17 percent fall in the number of dwelling commencement occur- 20,000 ring in the nine months to September 2011 in comparison to the same nine Annual Approvals months, the year prior. The total num- 15,000 ber of dwellings that commenced during the nine months to September 10,000 2010 reached 15,600 dwellings; how- ever the nine months to September 2011 saw total dwelling commence- 5,000 ments decline by 3,660 dwellings, to just under 12,000 dwellings. The num- ber of new ‘house’ dwelling com- 0 mencements in the nine months to 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 September 2011 saw the largest year Houses Other on year decline falling 23 percent. Source: ABS / PRP Research Property Market Report—March 2012 9