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The 7 Habits of Highly Effective
       Decision Makers
      Genesis Management
       Consulting Limited

  “Improving lives through better decisions”
This is…

…just a simple presentation…     … about complex
                                    decisions…




                               although there is relevance
                               for day to day decisions as
                                          well,


                               more
(a detailed article is also
        available)             importantly…
this is …




 … about helping you to improve people’s lives

        by helping you to make better decisions!
The decision ring of
     influence
There are three parts to this presentation:



Why we need to improve
   decision-making.




          What can - and does - go
                  wrong.




                               How the smart guys
                                  do it better!
Part 1: Why we need to improve decision making



Bad decisions?

                               Shhhh…




                                      …it happens!
While a poor decision may cost the decision-makers
                     a lot of money…



                              In 1961, Decca Records turned down The Beatles:

                              “Not to mince words Mr Epstein, but we don’t like
                                your boys’ sound. Groups are out; four-piece
                                groups with guitars particularly are finished.”




In 1979, Ross Perot made an offer
for Microsoft, but was not
prepared to match Bill Gates’
asking price of $ 6million to $15
million.
… the ramifications of a poor
strategic decision may have
consequences that touch
the lives of many more
people.
There is an upside: the outcome of a good decision has
valuable results and the decision ring of influence
will send out positive ripples
Part 2: So what can - and does - go wrong?




           Where lie the common faults in
              our decision-making?
It should be easy, we are rational beings - and as
business people, should know the fundamental
steps required to make a good decision…

                                            Define

                                            Right team

                                            Objectives

                                            Options

                                            Evaluate

                                            Decide

                                            Implement
  …or do we?
Research has revealed many areas where we can stray
    from being rational decision-makers:




 Decision process errors
like unclear decision rules
                                                                Data errors
                                                              as in forgetting
                                                           underlying assumptions




                   Uncertainty problems such as miscalculation of risks


   But even greater challenges are …
…the errors that arise from things buried in the
subconscious of the decision-makers … or at least on
the periphery of their consciousness:




Mental process faults                                         Communication
as in missing the                                                   challenges
inter-relatedness of                                   such as not recognizing
issues                                                  different perspectives




                        Ignoring decision psychology
                           like seeking confirmatory
                                  evidence only
Part 3: How the smart guys do it better!
Through research, observation and best practice
development, we have identified 7 habits that
effective decision-makers use to overcome many
of the challenges discussed above.




                                 This presentation offers just an overview.
                                More information will be available soon in
                                                        a series of articles
                                                (see final page for details)
Habit 1: They get the basics right!
No excuses for not getting the process and related issues right



                              Clear decision rules & governance structure
      For example?



                                      Standard, flexible process exists




                                 Level of resource matched to value of
                                                decision
Again and again, the impossible problem is solved when we see
 that the problem is only a tough decision waiting to be made.

                      Robert H. Schuller
Habit 2: They actively manage knowledge
to support and track the entire process


    For example?            By using qualitative and quantitative
                                        information



                                   Data captured and searchable



                                 Not losing sight of underlying
                                          assumptions
A good decision is based on
knowledge, not on numbers.
                        Plato
Habit 3: They communicate visually and verbally
to facilitate comprehension and communication



                       By using mind-maps, charts, white
                       boards, pictures, models,….
                                                           For example?


                         They LISTEN!




                  By reducing one-way
              presentations; and increasing
             active dialogue and interaction
I know that
you believe
you
understand
what you
think I said,
but I’m not
sure if you
realize that
what you
heard is
not what I
meant”
      Robert
  McCloskey
Habit 4: They make ethical implications a priority
The final solution is congruent with the values of the team


                            Team interactions are founded
                             on the basis of mutual trust




                                    Consider the full implications of the
      For example?                  decision (ring of influence)




                         Aware of different
                            value sets
It is not hard to
 make decisions
when you know
what your values
       are.

   Roy Disney
Habit 5: They embrace the complexity
to create new insights


                           Use systems thinking to understand
                           the inter-relatedness

                                                                For example?

                    Manage and model risks
                      and probabilities




  Separate the grey swans from the
             black swans
An expert is someone
  who has succeeded in
  making decisions and
   judgments simpler
through knowing what to
  pay attention to and
     what to ignore.

    Edward de Bono
Habit 6: They “think like a shrink”!
   Understanding decision psychology (behavioral
   economics) to avoid the common pitfalls

For example?
                               Understand the interaction between
                                intuition and rationality – and the
                                      power and risks of both



                                  Recognize common traps such
                                     as seeking confirmatory
                                     evidence and anchoring


                              Seek to reduce
                              negative group
                                dynamics
Face reality
as it is, not
as it was or
as you
wish it to
be

Jack Welch
Habit 7: They use tools and technologies
   to optimize the process and support the deliberations

For example?
                                                  Use tools to support
                                               “thinking” (e.g. creativity,
                                              brainstorming, visualization)



                                         Use tools to support the
                                          analysis (e.g. options,
                                             scenarios, risks)

                 Use tools to support the
                 process (e.g. knowledge
               management and facilitation)
Interactive, real-
time knowledge
visualization can
significantly
improve decision
making in
management
teams.

Martin Eppler
Summary of the habits

1. Get the basics right
2. Actively manage knowledge
3. Communicate visually and verbally
4. Ethical implications a priority
5. Embrace complexity
6. Think like a shrink
7. Use tools and technologies
In summary:



               Why do we need to
                  improve ?




              What can- and does -
                  go wrong?




                How do the smart
                guys do it better?
Genesis Management
                     Consulting Limited

       Genesis is a strategy consulting firm with a mission of
           “improving lives through better decisions”


     We do this by building individual and organizational competency through:
                              • Decision coaching
                              • Decision training
                              • Decision support

This presentation is a forerunner to a series of articles that discusses the topic in more detail.

Note: a narrated copy or the written article version of this presentation is for sale for a small
                        donation at The Decision Shop on our blog

          For information on how to receive copies, please contact Simon Gifford at
        sgifford@genesis-esp.com or visit our blog at www.genesismc.wordpress.com

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The 7 habits of highly effective decision makers

  • 1. The 7 Habits of Highly Effective Decision Makers Genesis Management Consulting Limited “Improving lives through better decisions”
  • 2. This is… …just a simple presentation… … about complex decisions… although there is relevance for day to day decisions as well, more (a detailed article is also available) importantly…
  • 3. this is … … about helping you to improve people’s lives by helping you to make better decisions!
  • 4. The decision ring of influence
  • 5. There are three parts to this presentation: Why we need to improve decision-making. What can - and does - go wrong. How the smart guys do it better!
  • 6. Part 1: Why we need to improve decision making Bad decisions? Shhhh… …it happens!
  • 7. While a poor decision may cost the decision-makers a lot of money… In 1961, Decca Records turned down The Beatles: “Not to mince words Mr Epstein, but we don’t like your boys’ sound. Groups are out; four-piece groups with guitars particularly are finished.” In 1979, Ross Perot made an offer for Microsoft, but was not prepared to match Bill Gates’ asking price of $ 6million to $15 million.
  • 8. … the ramifications of a poor strategic decision may have consequences that touch the lives of many more people.
  • 9. There is an upside: the outcome of a good decision has valuable results and the decision ring of influence will send out positive ripples
  • 10. Part 2: So what can - and does - go wrong? Where lie the common faults in our decision-making?
  • 11. It should be easy, we are rational beings - and as business people, should know the fundamental steps required to make a good decision… Define Right team Objectives Options Evaluate Decide Implement …or do we?
  • 12. Research has revealed many areas where we can stray from being rational decision-makers: Decision process errors like unclear decision rules Data errors as in forgetting underlying assumptions Uncertainty problems such as miscalculation of risks But even greater challenges are …
  • 13. …the errors that arise from things buried in the subconscious of the decision-makers … or at least on the periphery of their consciousness: Mental process faults Communication as in missing the challenges inter-relatedness of such as not recognizing issues different perspectives Ignoring decision psychology like seeking confirmatory evidence only
  • 14. Part 3: How the smart guys do it better!
  • 15. Through research, observation and best practice development, we have identified 7 habits that effective decision-makers use to overcome many of the challenges discussed above. This presentation offers just an overview. More information will be available soon in a series of articles (see final page for details)
  • 16. Habit 1: They get the basics right! No excuses for not getting the process and related issues right Clear decision rules & governance structure For example? Standard, flexible process exists Level of resource matched to value of decision
  • 17. Again and again, the impossible problem is solved when we see that the problem is only a tough decision waiting to be made. Robert H. Schuller
  • 18. Habit 2: They actively manage knowledge to support and track the entire process For example? By using qualitative and quantitative information Data captured and searchable Not losing sight of underlying assumptions
  • 19. A good decision is based on knowledge, not on numbers. Plato
  • 20. Habit 3: They communicate visually and verbally to facilitate comprehension and communication By using mind-maps, charts, white boards, pictures, models,…. For example? They LISTEN! By reducing one-way presentations; and increasing active dialogue and interaction
  • 21. I know that you believe you understand what you think I said, but I’m not sure if you realize that what you heard is not what I meant” Robert McCloskey
  • 22. Habit 4: They make ethical implications a priority The final solution is congruent with the values of the team Team interactions are founded on the basis of mutual trust Consider the full implications of the For example? decision (ring of influence) Aware of different value sets
  • 23. It is not hard to make decisions when you know what your values are. Roy Disney
  • 24. Habit 5: They embrace the complexity to create new insights Use systems thinking to understand the inter-relatedness For example? Manage and model risks and probabilities Separate the grey swans from the black swans
  • 25. An expert is someone who has succeeded in making decisions and judgments simpler through knowing what to pay attention to and what to ignore. Edward de Bono
  • 26. Habit 6: They “think like a shrink”! Understanding decision psychology (behavioral economics) to avoid the common pitfalls For example? Understand the interaction between intuition and rationality – and the power and risks of both Recognize common traps such as seeking confirmatory evidence and anchoring Seek to reduce negative group dynamics
  • 27. Face reality as it is, not as it was or as you wish it to be Jack Welch
  • 28. Habit 7: They use tools and technologies to optimize the process and support the deliberations For example? Use tools to support “thinking” (e.g. creativity, brainstorming, visualization) Use tools to support the analysis (e.g. options, scenarios, risks) Use tools to support the process (e.g. knowledge management and facilitation)
  • 29. Interactive, real- time knowledge visualization can significantly improve decision making in management teams. Martin Eppler
  • 30. Summary of the habits 1. Get the basics right 2. Actively manage knowledge 3. Communicate visually and verbally 4. Ethical implications a priority 5. Embrace complexity 6. Think like a shrink 7. Use tools and technologies
  • 31. In summary: Why do we need to improve ? What can- and does - go wrong? How do the smart guys do it better?
  • 32. Genesis Management Consulting Limited Genesis is a strategy consulting firm with a mission of “improving lives through better decisions” We do this by building individual and organizational competency through: • Decision coaching • Decision training • Decision support This presentation is a forerunner to a series of articles that discusses the topic in more detail. Note: a narrated copy or the written article version of this presentation is for sale for a small donation at The Decision Shop on our blog For information on how to receive copies, please contact Simon Gifford at sgifford@genesis-esp.com or visit our blog at www.genesismc.wordpress.com