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The rise of the cross-border
transaction
Grant Thornton International Business Report 2013
Foreword




       MIKE HUGHES
       GLOBAL SERVICE LINE LEADER – MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS
       GRANT THORNTON INTERNATIONAL LTD


     When reflecting on the results from this year’s              Accessing global customers, relationships and
     International Business Report (IBR), one has to          new markets may well now be the most important
     take into account the major political and economic       strategic tool for companies seeking to grow,
     events that have dominated the global agenda over        especially as many continue to experience either
     the past twelve months.                                  limited growth domestically or are operating in a
         With the on-going eurozone negotiations, the         highly competitive saturated domestic market.
     US ‘fiscal cliff’, the continuing Arab Spring and            As dynamic businesses look to M&A within
     the various domestic elections, including those in       their own borders or across the globe, Grant
     France, the US, India and Japan, it is understandable    Thornton’s M&A experts across the global
     that many business leaders surveyed remain               organisation of more than 110 member firms have
     cautious about their current and future                  the experience and expertise to assist business
     commitment to M&A.                                       owners and management teams in achieving their
         However, what is encouraging from this year’s        strategic goals.
     results is the increased appetite of companies for
     cross-border acquisitions, which is at its highest
     level since the IBR first asked this question in 2008.
         This trend underlines that this domain,
     previously dominated by large corporates, is
     progressively becoming a focus area for businesses
     of all sizes, whether they are acquiring or indeed
     looking to source potential acquirers for their
     own business.




2 The rise of the cross-border transaction
2013 M&A report




Cross-border deals set to rise
Whilst domestic acquisitions remain the focus of                   “The strong Yen led to unprecedented interest
acquisitive growth for many businesses (84%), the                  in cross-border deals for Japanese firms. The
desire to make a cross-border acquisition is
                                                                   impact of the Yen devaluing may affect pricing
becoming increasingly prominent. The global
expectation that cross-border M&A will drive                       but not appetite, as domestic opportunities
acquisitive growth has increased by 56% since 2008                 remain scarce.”
and 18% in the last year alone.
                                                                   YOSHI KAWAMURA
    Whilst overall the survey results indicate that
                                                                   GRANT THORNTON JAPAN
some businesses may be holding back on
committing to acquisitions in the next three years,
there is no doubt that many of those that will be
considering an acquisition will be looking overseas
to facilitate their growth.


FIGURE 1: MATURE MARKETS INCREASINGLY LOOKING OVERSEAS
PERCENTAGE OF BUSINESSES PLANNING A MERGER OR ACQUISITION OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS

2013
          88                      87                  84                                                   84
                                                                                             82
                                                                          71


                                  40                                      44
          38                                                                                 38            39
                                                      33



2012
          91                      90
                                                      84                                     81            85
                                                                          75


                                                                          44
          37                                          35                                     35
                                  33                                                                       33



       North America           BRIC              UK and Ireland     Mainland Europe   Rest of the world   Global

  DOMESTIC ACQUISITION
  CROSS-BORDER ACQUISITION

SOURCE: GRANT THORNTON IBR 2013




                                                                                                                The rise of the cross-border transaction 3
“The global expectation that cross-
                                                                   border M&A will drive acquisitive
                                                                   growth has increased by 56% since
                                                                   2008 and 18% in the last year alone.”




 Regional highlights                                              Asia Pacific
 North America                                                    The results from India (59% increase) illustrate that the recent
 North American interest in growing through a domestic            economic slowdown and political and economic issues still to
 acquisition remains healthy with 88% expecting a domestic        be resolved appear to be impacting on where businesses seek
 deal. However, what is fascinating is the escalation of the      acquisitions with a greater focus on overseas opportunities.
 interest in cross-border acquisitions. Over the past four           Japanese respondents’ 50% increase in interest in cross-
 years, both US (56% increase) and Canadian (67% increase)        border acquisitive growth coupled with their high expectation
 respondents have shown a considerable rise in the expectation    of acquisitive growth being made through domestic
 that cross-border acquisitions will underpin their acquisitive   acquisitions (91%) only further indicates how important
 growth.                                                          acquisitions are to Japanese businesses seeking to grow.
                                                                     Singapore (86%) and the UAE (66%) are two
 Europe                                                           of the countries most interested in growing through cross-
 There is less emphasis on the importance of domestic             border acquisition. Australian respondents (94%; an increase
 acquisitions to drive acquisitive growth amongst European        year on year of 25%) show the most support for domestic
 businesses (71%), as companies from this region continue to      targets as the focus of their acquisition strategy.
 show an increasing desire to drive growth through a cross-
 border acquisition (44%). Spain (61%) is the country where
 businesses are most fervent about future cross-border M&A
 activity whilst, in contrast, German businesses have increased
 their support for domestic acquisitions (11% year on year
 increase). UK and Irish companies remain focussed on
 domestic acquisitive growth (84%) but with 33% effecting
 their M&A activity to be cross-border, UK and Irish
 corporates remain keen global acquirers.

 BRIC
 BRIC countries (87%) continue to place significant importance
 on making acquisitions within their own borders with China
 (90%) leading that trend. However, the BRIC region’s mid-
 market respondents are now showing a greater interest in
 overseas acquisitive growth with an increase of 20% year
 on year.
    The year on year increase in appetite for cross-border
 acquisitions from countries such as Russia (increase of 117%)
 and China (81% increase), emphasises the development and
 growing financial strength of mid-market companies within
 these countries that now have the ability and interest in
 sourcing growth internationally.



4 The rise of the cross-border transaction
“Although not at pre-crisis level, private
    German companies continue to generate a
    decent level of profits. With significant cash
    resources behind them we are optimistic for
    an increase in M&A activity in 2013.”
    KAI BARTELS
    GRANT THORNTON GERMANY




M&A activity                                                                        Regional highlights
The results of the survey show that 28% of                                          North America
businesses across the globe expect to be                                            Businesses in Canada and the US continue to be
participating in M&A activity in the next three                                     as keen on M&A as they were last year with this
years. Whilst a decrease in comparison to 2012,                                     region remaining the most supportive of M&A
the results remain above those at the depths of the                                 activity. 37% of respondents expect to grow
global down-turn in 2010.                                                           through acquisition in the next three years.
    It appears that with many key global and
regional economic issues still to be resolved,                                      Europe
there is a more subdued outlook for global M&A                                      European companies continue to be less
activity compared to the apparent optimism shown                                    enthusiastic about M&A than their North
last year.                                                                          American counterparts, although there remains
                                                                                    a strong expectation for M&A activity to facilitate
FIGURE 2: INTEREST IN M&A ACTIVITY
                                                                                    growth in the Netherlands (55%) and France
PERCENTAGE OF BUSINESSES PLANNING TO GROW THROUGH ACQUISITION                       (31%), whilst notably German, UK and Irish
OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS
                                                                                    respondents say they are less likely to undertake
60                                                              North America
55                                                              UK and Ireland      in M&A.
50                                                              Global
45                                                              BRIC                BRIC
40                                                              Mainland Europe
                                                                                    The BRIC region’s respondents have historically
35                                                              Rest of the world
30
                                                                                    been the most enthusiastic when forecasting future
25                                                                                  M&A activity. However, over the past two years,
20                                                                                  that desire appears to have been stifled by global
15
                                                                                    economic events and their responses are now
10
5
                                                                                    more aligned with the rest of the world (27%).
0
     2008    2009       2010      2011       2012       2013                        Rest of the world
SOURCE: GRANT THORNTON IBR 2013
                                                                                    From the developing and high growth markets, it
                                                                                    is Latin American businesses that have the highest
                                                                                    expectations of their future growth being driven
                                                                                    by M&A (31%).
                                                                                        Noticeably it is Australian respondents whose
                                                                                    opinions have been impacted the least by recent
                                                                                    global events, with their survey results remaining
                                                                                    relatively consistent over the past three years
                                                                                    (28%).




                                                                                                           The rise of the cross-border transaction 5
Respondents expecting their
acquisitive growth to be
cross-border                                                                                 %
                                                                                 57  The
                                                                                 Netherlands


                                                                46%
                                                                Germany
                                                                                  32%
                                                                                    France



                                                                      31%
                                                                        United
                                                                       Kingdom




                30%Canada

                                                                51%
                                                                Ireland


                    39%
                    United States
                                                                                      39%    Italy


                                                                61%
                                                                  Spain




                                             61%
                                             Peru
                                                                28%
                                                                  Brazil




                                                    23%
                                                                                    42%
                                                                                     South Africa
                                                    Argentina
SOURCE: GRANT THORNTON IBR 2013




6 The rise of the cross-border transaction
PERCENTAGE OF RESPONDENTS EXPECTING THEIR ACQUISITIVE
                                                   GROWTH TO BE CROSS-BORDER – GLOBAL AVERAGE:




                                                                                           %
                              13%
                              Russia
                                                   39
25%
Sweden




         46%
          India
                                               18%
                                               Japan




                                 47%China


  66%
                                  (mainland)



         UAE

                        %                              31%
                  86
                  Singapore
                                                       Australia




                                                                          The rise of the cross-border transaction 7
“With the Government now demonstrating policy initiatives and
  addressing some of the foreign investment deterrents, there are
  expectations of an increase in M&A activity in 2013, with private
  equity exits and investments at the forefront.”
  MUNESH KHANNA
  GRANT THORNTON INDIA




Financing growth                                      Acquisition rationale
Whilst M&A remains a key growth strategy, the         The most likely reason for engaging in M&A
ability to finance such growth in the current         remains similar year to year. Accessing geographical
financing market is potentially impacting on          markets (65%) remains the main motivation to
respondents’ views on the likelihood of transacting   participate in M&A and this has increased in
in the short term.                                    importance this year. French respondents (77%)
     When asked how they expect to finance their      put the most emphasis on using M&A to access
growth strategies, it is notable that bank finance    new markets. This further illustrates that for well
slipped to 48% of respondents from 53% last year.     managed and funded businesses M&A remains the
On the contrary, the IPO funding option increased     quickest and most effective way to gain a footprint
by 40% year on year with Polish respondents           and build scale in new geographies.
showing the greatest appetite for raising money
through the public market (28%). As the private
equity (PE) market continues to expand globally,
it is notable to see Brazilian business the most
expectant to raise PE funds (47%) to fund their
growth, which is unsurprising considering the
increasing number of PE firms now present in
South America.




8 The rise of the cross-border transaction
Exit perceptions                                                                          Regional highlights
Business owners are often reticent about disclosing                                       Europe
their long term ownership plans. This year’s results                                      Owners of UK and Irish businesses (12%) remain
illustrate this once more with globally only 8% of                                        some of the most open and upbeat about the
businesses stating that they foresee an exit over the                                     potential to sell their business.
next three years, the lowest level since 2008.                                               Respondents from countries across mainland
    This decrease indicates a reaction to a                                               Europe (8%) are generally less forthcoming or
turbulent 2012 and maybe a reflection of business                                         expectant to sell their business in the next three
owner’s views that they may not be able to attract                                        years. However French business owners showed
the level of interest or price acceptable to them.                                        an increased interest and are 25% more likely to
                                                                                          sell in the next three years compared to last year.
                                                                                          Interestingly it is business owners in the
FIGURE 3: UK & IRELAND BUSINESSES MOST LIKELY TO SELL
PERCENTAGE OF BUSINESSES FORESEEING A CHANGE OF OWNERSHIP IN THE BUSINESS OVER THE NEXT
                                                                                          Netherlands (14%) and Finland (26%) who are
THREE YEARS                                                                               amongst the most positive regarding a future sale
North America                                                                         8
                                                                                          of their business.
BRIC                                                                                  7
                                                                                          Rest of the world
UK and Ireland                                                                      12
                                                                                          Globally the trend is very similar with many
Mainland Europe                                                                       8
                                                                                          respondents not showing an inclination to sell,
Rest of the world                                                                     7
                                                                                          though those from Brazil (19%) and South Africa
Global                                                                                8
                                                                                          (15%) expressed a far greater interest than the
   DO YOU FORESEE A CHANGE IN OWNERSHIP IN THE NEXT 3 YEARS?                              rest of the world.
SOURCE: GRANT THORNTON IBR 2013
                                                                                          Exit route
                                                                                          Selling to a competitor is the most likely exit route
                                                                                          for businesses in the current climate. Whilst 44%
                                                                                          of UK businesses expect to sell to a trade buyer,
                                                                                          South African businesses (35%) see their most
                                                                                          likely exit route being to management, 35% of
                                                                                          Canadian firms expect to hand over their business
                                                                                          to family and, to further underline the investment
                                                                                          made by PE firms in South America, 40% of
                                                                                          Brazilian companies expect to exit via private
                                                                                          equity.




                                                                                                                 The rise of the cross-border transaction 9
“Cross-border M&A activity has become increasingly important to the US over the last
  decade. Historically the US has been a net acquirer, though this changed slightly in 2012 as
  a result of significant investment from Asia Pacific buyers. There has been a flurry of deal
  announcements in recent weeks as credit markets have improved at a time when business
  optimism is increasing, which has been reflected by the level of the stock market.”
  IAN COOKSON
  GRANT THORNTON US




Summary
With a turbulent 2012 behind us in which
significant political and economic decisions were
made and with many key decisions and policies to
be set in 2013, not least in the US, Europe, India
and Japan, it is unsurprising that businesses are
cautious.
    However, across the world M&A remains a key
strategic tool to drive growth and build scale. The
marked increase in prominence and importance of
cross-border M&A to business owners illustrates
that accessing global markets and opportunities is
now more than ever a vital growth strategy.
    At Grant Thornton, we have the global
advisory capability, expertise and reach to provide
insightful global advice and support to domestic
and international businesses seeking to expand their
operations organically or through acquisition.




10 The rise of the cross-border transaction
The Grant Thornton International Business Report (IBR) is a quarterly survey of 3,500 senior executives in listed and
privately-held businesses all over the world. Launched in 1992 in nine European countries the report now surveys 13,000
businesses leaders in 44 economies on an annual basis providing insights on the economic and commercial issues affecting
companies globally.

The data in this report are drawn from 12,156 interviews with business leaders conducted between January and December
2012.

To find out more about IBR and to obtain copies of reports and summaries visit: www.internationalbusinessreport.com.

Participating economies
Argentina        Lithuania
Armenia          Malaysia
Australia        Mexico
Belgium          Netherlands
Botswana         New Zealand
Brazil           Norway
Canada           Peru
Chile            Philippines
China (mainland) Poland
Denmark          Russia
Estonia          Singapore
Finland          South Africa
France           Spain
Georgia          Sweden
Germany          Switzerland
Greece           Taiwan
Hong Kong        Thailand
India            Turkey
Ireland          United Arab Emirates
Italy            United Kingdom
Japan            United States
Latvia           Vietnam



IBR contacts
Nigel Le Bas                            Dominic King
Associate director, Advisory services   Global research
T +44 (0)23 8038 1172                   T +44 (0)207 391 9537
E nigel.lebas@uk.gt.com                 E dominic.h.king@uk.gt.com




                                                                                                The rise of the cross-border transaction 11
www.gti.org
www.internationalbusinessreport.com

© 2013 Grant Thornton International Ltd. All rights reserved.
References to “Grant Thornton” are to the brand under which the Grant
Thornton member firms operate and refer to one or more member firms,
as the context requires. Grant Thornton International and the member firms
are not a worldwide partnership. Services are delivered independently by
member firms, which are not responsible for the services or activities of one
another. Grant Thornton International does not provide services to clients.

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Ibr2013 m a_report

  • 1. The rise of the cross-border transaction Grant Thornton International Business Report 2013
  • 2. Foreword MIKE HUGHES GLOBAL SERVICE LINE LEADER – MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS GRANT THORNTON INTERNATIONAL LTD When reflecting on the results from this year’s Accessing global customers, relationships and International Business Report (IBR), one has to new markets may well now be the most important take into account the major political and economic strategic tool for companies seeking to grow, events that have dominated the global agenda over especially as many continue to experience either the past twelve months. limited growth domestically or are operating in a With the on-going eurozone negotiations, the highly competitive saturated domestic market. US ‘fiscal cliff’, the continuing Arab Spring and As dynamic businesses look to M&A within the various domestic elections, including those in their own borders or across the globe, Grant France, the US, India and Japan, it is understandable Thornton’s M&A experts across the global that many business leaders surveyed remain organisation of more than 110 member firms have cautious about their current and future the experience and expertise to assist business commitment to M&A. owners and management teams in achieving their However, what is encouraging from this year’s strategic goals. results is the increased appetite of companies for cross-border acquisitions, which is at its highest level since the IBR first asked this question in 2008. This trend underlines that this domain, previously dominated by large corporates, is progressively becoming a focus area for businesses of all sizes, whether they are acquiring or indeed looking to source potential acquirers for their own business. 2 The rise of the cross-border transaction
  • 3. 2013 M&A report Cross-border deals set to rise Whilst domestic acquisitions remain the focus of “The strong Yen led to unprecedented interest acquisitive growth for many businesses (84%), the in cross-border deals for Japanese firms. The desire to make a cross-border acquisition is impact of the Yen devaluing may affect pricing becoming increasingly prominent. The global expectation that cross-border M&A will drive but not appetite, as domestic opportunities acquisitive growth has increased by 56% since 2008 remain scarce.” and 18% in the last year alone. YOSHI KAWAMURA Whilst overall the survey results indicate that GRANT THORNTON JAPAN some businesses may be holding back on committing to acquisitions in the next three years, there is no doubt that many of those that will be considering an acquisition will be looking overseas to facilitate their growth. FIGURE 1: MATURE MARKETS INCREASINGLY LOOKING OVERSEAS PERCENTAGE OF BUSINESSES PLANNING A MERGER OR ACQUISITION OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS 2013 88 87 84 84 82 71 40 44 38 38 39 33 2012 91 90 84 81 85 75 44 37 35 35 33 33 North America BRIC UK and Ireland Mainland Europe Rest of the world Global DOMESTIC ACQUISITION CROSS-BORDER ACQUISITION SOURCE: GRANT THORNTON IBR 2013 The rise of the cross-border transaction 3
  • 4. “The global expectation that cross- border M&A will drive acquisitive growth has increased by 56% since 2008 and 18% in the last year alone.” Regional highlights Asia Pacific North America The results from India (59% increase) illustrate that the recent North American interest in growing through a domestic economic slowdown and political and economic issues still to acquisition remains healthy with 88% expecting a domestic be resolved appear to be impacting on where businesses seek deal. However, what is fascinating is the escalation of the acquisitions with a greater focus on overseas opportunities. interest in cross-border acquisitions. Over the past four Japanese respondents’ 50% increase in interest in cross- years, both US (56% increase) and Canadian (67% increase) border acquisitive growth coupled with their high expectation respondents have shown a considerable rise in the expectation of acquisitive growth being made through domestic that cross-border acquisitions will underpin their acquisitive acquisitions (91%) only further indicates how important growth. acquisitions are to Japanese businesses seeking to grow. Singapore (86%) and the UAE (66%) are two Europe of the countries most interested in growing through cross- There is less emphasis on the importance of domestic border acquisition. Australian respondents (94%; an increase acquisitions to drive acquisitive growth amongst European year on year of 25%) show the most support for domestic businesses (71%), as companies from this region continue to targets as the focus of their acquisition strategy. show an increasing desire to drive growth through a cross- border acquisition (44%). Spain (61%) is the country where businesses are most fervent about future cross-border M&A activity whilst, in contrast, German businesses have increased their support for domestic acquisitions (11% year on year increase). UK and Irish companies remain focussed on domestic acquisitive growth (84%) but with 33% effecting their M&A activity to be cross-border, UK and Irish corporates remain keen global acquirers. BRIC BRIC countries (87%) continue to place significant importance on making acquisitions within their own borders with China (90%) leading that trend. However, the BRIC region’s mid- market respondents are now showing a greater interest in overseas acquisitive growth with an increase of 20% year on year. The year on year increase in appetite for cross-border acquisitions from countries such as Russia (increase of 117%) and China (81% increase), emphasises the development and growing financial strength of mid-market companies within these countries that now have the ability and interest in sourcing growth internationally. 4 The rise of the cross-border transaction
  • 5. “Although not at pre-crisis level, private German companies continue to generate a decent level of profits. With significant cash resources behind them we are optimistic for an increase in M&A activity in 2013.” KAI BARTELS GRANT THORNTON GERMANY M&A activity Regional highlights The results of the survey show that 28% of North America businesses across the globe expect to be Businesses in Canada and the US continue to be participating in M&A activity in the next three as keen on M&A as they were last year with this years. Whilst a decrease in comparison to 2012, region remaining the most supportive of M&A the results remain above those at the depths of the activity. 37% of respondents expect to grow global down-turn in 2010. through acquisition in the next three years. It appears that with many key global and regional economic issues still to be resolved, Europe there is a more subdued outlook for global M&A European companies continue to be less activity compared to the apparent optimism shown enthusiastic about M&A than their North last year. American counterparts, although there remains a strong expectation for M&A activity to facilitate FIGURE 2: INTEREST IN M&A ACTIVITY growth in the Netherlands (55%) and France PERCENTAGE OF BUSINESSES PLANNING TO GROW THROUGH ACQUISITION (31%), whilst notably German, UK and Irish OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS respondents say they are less likely to undertake 60 North America 55 UK and Ireland in M&A. 50 Global 45 BRIC BRIC 40 Mainland Europe The BRIC region’s respondents have historically 35 Rest of the world 30 been the most enthusiastic when forecasting future 25 M&A activity. However, over the past two years, 20 that desire appears to have been stifled by global 15 economic events and their responses are now 10 5 more aligned with the rest of the world (27%). 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rest of the world SOURCE: GRANT THORNTON IBR 2013 From the developing and high growth markets, it is Latin American businesses that have the highest expectations of their future growth being driven by M&A (31%). Noticeably it is Australian respondents whose opinions have been impacted the least by recent global events, with their survey results remaining relatively consistent over the past three years (28%). The rise of the cross-border transaction 5
  • 6. Respondents expecting their acquisitive growth to be cross-border % 57 The Netherlands 46% Germany 32% France 31% United Kingdom 30%Canada 51% Ireland 39% United States 39% Italy 61% Spain 61% Peru 28% Brazil 23% 42% South Africa Argentina SOURCE: GRANT THORNTON IBR 2013 6 The rise of the cross-border transaction
  • 7. PERCENTAGE OF RESPONDENTS EXPECTING THEIR ACQUISITIVE GROWTH TO BE CROSS-BORDER – GLOBAL AVERAGE: % 13% Russia 39 25% Sweden 46% India 18% Japan 47%China 66% (mainland) UAE % 31% 86 Singapore Australia The rise of the cross-border transaction 7
  • 8. “With the Government now demonstrating policy initiatives and addressing some of the foreign investment deterrents, there are expectations of an increase in M&A activity in 2013, with private equity exits and investments at the forefront.” MUNESH KHANNA GRANT THORNTON INDIA Financing growth Acquisition rationale Whilst M&A remains a key growth strategy, the The most likely reason for engaging in M&A ability to finance such growth in the current remains similar year to year. Accessing geographical financing market is potentially impacting on markets (65%) remains the main motivation to respondents’ views on the likelihood of transacting participate in M&A and this has increased in in the short term. importance this year. French respondents (77%) When asked how they expect to finance their put the most emphasis on using M&A to access growth strategies, it is notable that bank finance new markets. This further illustrates that for well slipped to 48% of respondents from 53% last year. managed and funded businesses M&A remains the On the contrary, the IPO funding option increased quickest and most effective way to gain a footprint by 40% year on year with Polish respondents and build scale in new geographies. showing the greatest appetite for raising money through the public market (28%). As the private equity (PE) market continues to expand globally, it is notable to see Brazilian business the most expectant to raise PE funds (47%) to fund their growth, which is unsurprising considering the increasing number of PE firms now present in South America. 8 The rise of the cross-border transaction
  • 9. Exit perceptions Regional highlights Business owners are often reticent about disclosing Europe their long term ownership plans. This year’s results Owners of UK and Irish businesses (12%) remain illustrate this once more with globally only 8% of some of the most open and upbeat about the businesses stating that they foresee an exit over the potential to sell their business. next three years, the lowest level since 2008. Respondents from countries across mainland This decrease indicates a reaction to a Europe (8%) are generally less forthcoming or turbulent 2012 and maybe a reflection of business expectant to sell their business in the next three owner’s views that they may not be able to attract years. However French business owners showed the level of interest or price acceptable to them. an increased interest and are 25% more likely to sell in the next three years compared to last year. Interestingly it is business owners in the FIGURE 3: UK & IRELAND BUSINESSES MOST LIKELY TO SELL PERCENTAGE OF BUSINESSES FORESEEING A CHANGE OF OWNERSHIP IN THE BUSINESS OVER THE NEXT Netherlands (14%) and Finland (26%) who are THREE YEARS amongst the most positive regarding a future sale North America 8 of their business. BRIC 7 Rest of the world UK and Ireland 12 Globally the trend is very similar with many Mainland Europe 8 respondents not showing an inclination to sell, Rest of the world 7 though those from Brazil (19%) and South Africa Global 8 (15%) expressed a far greater interest than the DO YOU FORESEE A CHANGE IN OWNERSHIP IN THE NEXT 3 YEARS? rest of the world. SOURCE: GRANT THORNTON IBR 2013 Exit route Selling to a competitor is the most likely exit route for businesses in the current climate. Whilst 44% of UK businesses expect to sell to a trade buyer, South African businesses (35%) see their most likely exit route being to management, 35% of Canadian firms expect to hand over their business to family and, to further underline the investment made by PE firms in South America, 40% of Brazilian companies expect to exit via private equity. The rise of the cross-border transaction 9
  • 10. “Cross-border M&A activity has become increasingly important to the US over the last decade. Historically the US has been a net acquirer, though this changed slightly in 2012 as a result of significant investment from Asia Pacific buyers. There has been a flurry of deal announcements in recent weeks as credit markets have improved at a time when business optimism is increasing, which has been reflected by the level of the stock market.” IAN COOKSON GRANT THORNTON US Summary With a turbulent 2012 behind us in which significant political and economic decisions were made and with many key decisions and policies to be set in 2013, not least in the US, Europe, India and Japan, it is unsurprising that businesses are cautious. However, across the world M&A remains a key strategic tool to drive growth and build scale. The marked increase in prominence and importance of cross-border M&A to business owners illustrates that accessing global markets and opportunities is now more than ever a vital growth strategy. At Grant Thornton, we have the global advisory capability, expertise and reach to provide insightful global advice and support to domestic and international businesses seeking to expand their operations organically or through acquisition. 10 The rise of the cross-border transaction
  • 11. The Grant Thornton International Business Report (IBR) is a quarterly survey of 3,500 senior executives in listed and privately-held businesses all over the world. Launched in 1992 in nine European countries the report now surveys 13,000 businesses leaders in 44 economies on an annual basis providing insights on the economic and commercial issues affecting companies globally. The data in this report are drawn from 12,156 interviews with business leaders conducted between January and December 2012. To find out more about IBR and to obtain copies of reports and summaries visit: www.internationalbusinessreport.com. Participating economies Argentina Lithuania Armenia Malaysia Australia Mexico Belgium Netherlands Botswana New Zealand Brazil Norway Canada Peru Chile Philippines China (mainland) Poland Denmark Russia Estonia Singapore Finland South Africa France Spain Georgia Sweden Germany Switzerland Greece Taiwan Hong Kong Thailand India Turkey Ireland United Arab Emirates Italy United Kingdom Japan United States Latvia Vietnam IBR contacts Nigel Le Bas Dominic King Associate director, Advisory services Global research T +44 (0)23 8038 1172 T +44 (0)207 391 9537 E nigel.lebas@uk.gt.com E dominic.h.king@uk.gt.com The rise of the cross-border transaction 11
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