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UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




    Catastrophic shifts in drylands: how can
    we prevent ecosystem degradation?

                       Introduction of the CASCADE project
                                                                 Susana Bautista




                        Collaborative Large Integrated Project (IP)
                        2012-2017

                                                        www.cascade-project.eu
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




    Catastrophic shifts in drylands: how can
    we prevent ecosystem degradation?

                       Introduction of the CASCADE project
                       Coordination: Prof. Coen Ritsema
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




  One of the most challenging themes in ecology over the last decades is the quest
  for the understanding of critical transitions (tipping points) in ecosystems…


            CASCADE focuses on critical transitions in dryland ecosystems




   Such shifts in drylands may imply major losses of biological diversity,
   ecosystem functioning, and provision of ecosystem services
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




  Critical transitions can be explained by linkages among



           Vegetation structure                                        Availability of
          (species composition,                                         resources
                 cover)                                              (water, nutrients)


                                               Biotic and abiotic
                                                 disturbances




                                          Empirical evidence??


                                                 Mayor et al. 2013
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
 UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn



   CASCADE combines manipulative experiments, models, and
     field assessment to investigate catastrophic shifts

                                                Objectives
- Better understanding of sudden shifts in drylands that may lead to major losses
   in biodiversity and ecosystem services.

- Improve our understanding of the mechanisms underlying sudden and catastrophic
  shifts, and of the key biotic and abiotic factors influencing these processes.

- Develop ways to predict the proximity of dryland ecosystems to tipping points in such
  a way that these predictions can be used by policymakers and land users for more
  sustainable management of drylands worldwide.
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn



CASCADE investigates dryland ecosystems in southern Europe :
6 study sites in the Mediterranean region




      Fire recurrence
       Past overexploitation (grazing, wood gathering, ..)
      Land abandonment; grazing mismanagement
      Overgrazing
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




                                         Specific Objectives

  - Analyse the historical and current state of selected dryland ecosystems in
    relation to climate and human activities, and the role of tipping points in their
    degradation processes (WP2)
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




                                         Specific Objectives

  - Unravel regulating processes in plant-soil system dynamics and
    tipping points (WP3)
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




                                         Specific Objectives

  - Assess on a field mesocosm scale the interplay between vegetation
    structures (spatial patterns and composition) , resource redistribution
     and sudden regime shifts (WP4)
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




                                         Specific Objectives

   Assess on a landscape scale the changes in vegetation structure (composition,
   cover, spatial patterns) and ecosystem services associated to regime shifts, as
   well as the potential of restoration of degraded systems (WP5)
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




                               Specific Objectives
   - Develop a spatially explicit model that links the empirical observations on
     the various scales in WP3, WP4 and WP5 to come up with empirically
     based indicators of the proximity of the ecosystems to tipping points(WP6)
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




                                         Specific Objectives

 - Design management strategies to deal with tipping points in dryland ecosystems;
 comprehensive guidelines including principles, best practices, implementation
 approaches and recommendations (WP7)
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




                                         Specific Objectives

  - Integrate socio-economic factors into the ecological model and undertake
    scenario analyses of land management strategies, to enable formulation of
    policy recommendations for dryland management (WP8)
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




                                         Specific Objectives


    Make the results accessible to the scientific community focused on the outcomes
   of the integrated modelling, indicators of sudden shifts, and adaptation strategies,
   and develop a multi-media communication strategy on knowledge transfer and
   dissemination (WP9)
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn


            WB 2: Historical evolution and       WB 3: Field microplot experiments        WB 4: Manipulative f ield
            current state of Mediterranean       to unravel regulating processes in       mesocosms experiments on
            dryland ecosystems in relation to    plant-soil ecosystem dynamics            ecosystems dynamics
            climate and human activities

            Coordinator: TUC, Greece             Coordinator: WU, Netherlands             Coordinator: UALI, Spain




                                                                                                                       :
                                                                                                                       9
                                                                                                                       B
                                                                                                                       W
                               WB 5: Landscape assessments         WB 6: Development and
                               on thresholds dynamics              application of integrated soil-water-
                                                                   plant models describing




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                                                                   catastrophic shif ts spatially and
                                                                   dynamically
                                                                    Coordinator: CNRS, France
                               Coordinator: CEAM, Spain




                                                WB 7: Evaluation of land use and
                                                management to prevent
                                                catostrophic shif ts, and
                                                preparation of guidelines f or
 m
 P
 g
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 n
 d
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 c
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                                                natural resource managers
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                                                Coordinator: UNIBE,Switzerland
 W
 B
 1
 :




                                                WB 8: Scenario analysis of
                                                upscaling preventive and
                                                restorative measures and policy
                                                recommendations at local to
                                                international scales
                                                Coordinator: UNIVLEED, U.K.
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




 Major expected impacts of CASCADE:
 Knowledge impact. Advancement of knowledge on dryland ecosystem functioning
 with regard to tipping points and sudden anthropogenic or climate induced shifts.


       Community impact. Development of land use and management measures aimed
       at preventing catastrophic shifts of ecosystems and preserving ecosystem
       functions and services for the populations living in European drylands.


            Policy impact. Feeding knowledge and recommendations to policy makers
            at the regional, national and international level
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn
UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn




         Involve and engage all relevant stakeholders




                                           THANKS

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Susana BAUTISTA "Introduction of the CASCADE Project and ways in which we plan to involve non-scientific stakeholders"

  • 1. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Catastrophic shifts in drylands: how can we prevent ecosystem degradation? Introduction of the CASCADE project Susana Bautista Collaborative Large Integrated Project (IP) 2012-2017 www.cascade-project.eu
  • 2. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Catastrophic shifts in drylands: how can we prevent ecosystem degradation? Introduction of the CASCADE project Coordination: Prof. Coen Ritsema
  • 3. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn One of the most challenging themes in ecology over the last decades is the quest for the understanding of critical transitions (tipping points) in ecosystems… CASCADE focuses on critical transitions in dryland ecosystems Such shifts in drylands may imply major losses of biological diversity, ecosystem functioning, and provision of ecosystem services
  • 4. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Critical transitions can be explained by linkages among Vegetation structure Availability of (species composition, resources cover) (water, nutrients) Biotic and abiotic disturbances Empirical evidence?? Mayor et al. 2013
  • 5. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn CASCADE combines manipulative experiments, models, and field assessment to investigate catastrophic shifts Objectives - Better understanding of sudden shifts in drylands that may lead to major losses in biodiversity and ecosystem services. - Improve our understanding of the mechanisms underlying sudden and catastrophic shifts, and of the key biotic and abiotic factors influencing these processes. - Develop ways to predict the proximity of dryland ecosystems to tipping points in such a way that these predictions can be used by policymakers and land users for more sustainable management of drylands worldwide.
  • 6. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn CASCADE investigates dryland ecosystems in southern Europe : 6 study sites in the Mediterranean region Fire recurrence Past overexploitation (grazing, wood gathering, ..) Land abandonment; grazing mismanagement Overgrazing
  • 7. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Specific Objectives - Analyse the historical and current state of selected dryland ecosystems in relation to climate and human activities, and the role of tipping points in their degradation processes (WP2)
  • 8. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Specific Objectives - Unravel regulating processes in plant-soil system dynamics and tipping points (WP3)
  • 9. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Specific Objectives - Assess on a field mesocosm scale the interplay between vegetation structures (spatial patterns and composition) , resource redistribution and sudden regime shifts (WP4)
  • 10. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Specific Objectives Assess on a landscape scale the changes in vegetation structure (composition, cover, spatial patterns) and ecosystem services associated to regime shifts, as well as the potential of restoration of degraded systems (WP5)
  • 11. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Specific Objectives - Develop a spatially explicit model that links the empirical observations on the various scales in WP3, WP4 and WP5 to come up with empirically based indicators of the proximity of the ecosystems to tipping points(WP6)
  • 12. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Specific Objectives - Design management strategies to deal with tipping points in dryland ecosystems; comprehensive guidelines including principles, best practices, implementation approaches and recommendations (WP7)
  • 13. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Specific Objectives - Integrate socio-economic factors into the ecological model and undertake scenario analyses of land management strategies, to enable formulation of policy recommendations for dryland management (WP8)
  • 14. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Specific Objectives Make the results accessible to the scientific community focused on the outcomes of the integrated modelling, indicators of sudden shifts, and adaptation strategies, and develop a multi-media communication strategy on knowledge transfer and dissemination (WP9)
  • 15. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn WB 2: Historical evolution and WB 3: Field microplot experiments WB 4: Manipulative f ield current state of Mediterranean to unravel regulating processes in mesocosms experiments on dryland ecosystems in relation to plant-soil ecosystem dynamics ecosystems dynamics climate and human activities Coordinator: TUC, Greece Coordinator: WU, Netherlands Coordinator: UALI, Spain : 9 B W WB 5: Landscape assessments WB 6: Development and on thresholds dynamics application of integrated soil-water- plant models describing m i f s a r t g d e l w o n K y l I , S D E M : t a n i d r o C catastrophic shif ts spatially and dynamically Coordinator: CNRS, France Coordinator: CEAM, Spain WB 7: Evaluation of land use and management to prevent catostrophic shif ts, and preparation of guidelines f or m P g a n d e o c r t i j natural resource managers N A C h n d o s e a r : t , l i Coordinator: UNIBE,Switzerland W B 1 : WB 8: Scenario analysis of upscaling preventive and restorative measures and policy recommendations at local to international scales Coordinator: UNIVLEED, U.K.
  • 16. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Major expected impacts of CASCADE: Knowledge impact. Advancement of knowledge on dryland ecosystem functioning with regard to tipping points and sudden anthropogenic or climate induced shifts. Community impact. Development of land use and management measures aimed at preventing catastrophic shifts of ecosystems and preserving ecosystem functions and services for the populations living in European drylands. Policy impact. Feeding knowledge and recommendations to policy makers at the regional, national and international level
  • 17. UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 -- Bonn UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference 2013 Bonn Involve and engage all relevant stakeholders THANKS