5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
Study on Probability Distribution of Disaster Losses, Demographics and Social...
FURUTANI-A study on spatio-temporal epidemiological database on internalexternal exposure caused-ID1242-IDRC2_a
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5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
A
Study
on
Spa*o-‐temporal
Epidemiological
Database
on
Internal/
External
Exposure
Caused
by
Fukushima
Daiichi
NPP
Disaster
T.
Furutani,
Keio
University,
Japan
K.
Uehara,
Keio
University,
Japan
T.
Masaharu,
the
University
of
Tokyo,
Japan
S.
Nomura,
Imperial
College
London,
UK
2. Iitate
village
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
Soma
city
Minamisoma
city
www.grforum.org
Backgrounds
and
Objec*ves
• ASer
the
Fukushima
Daiichi
Nuclear
Power
Plant
(FNPP1)
incident
(March,
2011),
internal
and
external
exposure
surveys
had
been
conducted
by
several
ins)tutes.
• Today’s
talks
aims;
– To
introduce
our
struggle
to
develop
spa)o-‐temporal
database/risk
maps
in
Fukushima,
– To
share
our
concerns
on
data
science/geoinforma)cs
regarding
complex
disasters
FNPP1
Hirata
village
3. “Sea
Urchin”
Map
Misleading
maps
(Minamisoma)
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
“Curious”
radia*on
air-‐dose
maps
made
aQer
FNPP1
incident
hp://rocketnews24.com/2011/10/24/145152/
4. 5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Mo*va*ons
• Medical
doctors
needed
technical
support
to
open
and
analysis
data
to/with
researchers
to
show
exposure
survey
evidences,
but
they
haven’t
know
what
to
do.
• Sta)s)cians
and
informa)on
scien)sts
would
have
liked
to
support
exposure
data
analysis,
but
were
not
allowed
to
access
to
the
data.
• The
persons
in
charge
of
local
government
had
few
skill
and
responsibility
to
open,
analyze
and
visualize
their
data.
• Shortage
of
medical
engineers
who
have
skills
of
sta)s)cs
and/or
GIS.
5. • Technical
support
• Analysis
Fire
sta)ons
in
Minamisoma
and
Soma
city
• Emergency
medical
service
survey
(10,000
samples)
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
• Deploy
MDs
• Advisors
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Organiza*ons
Keio
University
• Informa)on
scien)sts
• Sta)s)cians
The
University
of
Tokyo
• Medical
doctors
• Physicians
Minamisoma
General
Hospital
• Whole
body
counter
survey
Soma
Chuo
Hospital
• Whole
body
counter
survey
Minamisoma
City
• Glassbadge
survey
(2,000
samples)
Radia)on
Countermeasures
Research
Ins)tute
for
Earthquake
Disaster
Recovery
Support,
Hirata
• Thyroid
survey
(2,500
samples)
• Whole
body
counter
survey
(19,000
samples)
6. 5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Radia*on
exposure
survey
Whole
Body
Counter
(WBC)
Thyroid
survey
Glassbadge
survey
Source)
Minamisoma
General
Hospital
Source)
Hirata
Clinic
Source)
Minamisoma
General
Hospital
7. Problems
when
making
and
managing
risk
maps
• Basic
mistakes
on
radia)on
maps
provide
by
local
government
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
• Lack
of
precise
popula)on
data
aSer
FNPP1
incident
• Interview
surveys
related
to
exposure
survey
vary
at
the
different
periods
• Different
personal
IDs
have
been
published
for
the
different
radia)on
exposure
survey
• Addresses
described
in
the
survey
sheets
are
incomplete
• ID
matching
problem
– Matching
interview
survey
IDs
and
Resident
Resister
IDs
are
)me
consuming
– Different
resident
registra)on
IDs
are
published
both
to
the
same
person
and
the
different
person
with
the
same
name
and
the
same
birthday
• Responsibility
for
radia)on
exposure
survey
have
been
obscured
between
local
ci)es
and
prefecture
8. WBC
interview
sheets
are
varied
at
different
periods
• Several
types
of
interview
sheets
by
Minamisoma
hospital
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
• It
is
difficult
to
understand
evacua)on
history
aSer
the
disaster
• Matching
IDs
of
evacuees
are
not
easy
9. Steps
to
develop
the
integrated
database
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
• Es)ma)ng
spa)al
distribu)on
of
radia)on
air-‐doses
(134+137Cs)
and
soil
contamina)on
(131I)
• Development
of
GIS
database
of
– Glassbadge
survey
data
(Minamisoma)
– Whole
body
counter
survey
data
(Minamisoma
and
Soma)
– Thyroid
survey
data
(Hirata
and
surrounding
area)
– Emergency
medical
care
data
(Minamisoma,
Soma
and
Iitate)
• Construct
a
framework
to
open
data
set
(in
Minamisoma)
• Educa)ng
medical
engineers
(ME)
at
hospitals
10. Es*ma*ng
spa*al
distribu*on
of
radia*on
134+137Cs
soil
contamina)on
131I
soil
contamina)on
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
11. Whole
body
counter
data
(consulta*on
rate)
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Legend
Consulta)on
rate
of
WBC
12. 5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Glassbadge
survey
data
Legend
Respondents
(1)
Respondents
(2)
Popula)on
Census
Total
popula)on
13. Emergency
delivery
data
in
the
study
area
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
14. Added
value
for
the
Post
2015
Framework
for
5th
Interna*onal
Disaster
and
Risk
Conference
IDRC
2014
‘Integra)ve
Risk
Management
-‐
The
role
of
science,
technology
&
prac)ce‘
•
24-‐28
August
2014
•
Davos
•
Switzerland
www.grforum.org
Disaster
Risk
Reduc*on
• How
did
your
work
support
the
implementa)on
of
the
Hyogo
Framework
for
Ac)on:
– Enforcement
of
Na)onal/Local
plalorm
to
accommodate
complex
and
emerging
risks
– Development
and
management
of
risk
maps
especially
on
nuclear
power
plant
disaster,
tsunami
disaster
and
earthquake
disaster
– Development
and
management
of
sta)s)cal
data
regarding
local/micro-‐scale
disaster
• From
your
perspec)ve
what
are
the
main
gaps,
needs
and
further
steps
to
be
addressed
in
the
Post
2015
Framework
for
Disaster
Risk
Reduc)on
in
– Research:
Interna)onal
interdisciplinary
research
organisa)on
on
(1)
emerging
and
complex
risks
and
(2)
data
and
informa)on
management.
– Educa)on
&
Training:
strong
need
of
core-‐curriculum
to
educate
and
train
geo-‐
informa)on
officers,
medical
engineers
and
ci)zen
scien)sts
who
can
manage
sta)s)cs
and
GIS
– Policy:
Poli)cal
support
to
train
and
deploy
Geo-‐Informa)on
Officers
in
risk
management
field.
Needs
to
organize
a
framework
on
data
trading
among
mul)-‐
local
administra)ons.