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Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE
      Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems
foboni@riskope.com                                                           +41-79-621 8795
coboni@riskope.com                                                           +1-604-341 4485




To:.........


    Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and
                          Operations

           Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term
                       Sustainability of Civil Systems

               By F. & C. Oboni, Oboni Riskope Associates Inc.

This Oboni Riskope Associates Inc. (Riskope) course to be held on ....2013 in ..... will
address a panel of 10-20 delegates from ............ Industry.

What attendees stand to take away from the course

This Course will bring much needed methodological and practical answers to anyone
involved in evaluating risks and crises potential in projects (including pre-feasibility
level), operations, decision-making in the ......industry1.

Attendees will gain an understanding of do's and don'ts in RM & CM, how risk can be
integrated in the decision making process2 .

1 see for examples: http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/03/01/arbitrary-selections-in-risk-management-are-a-liability/ ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/09/15/on-time-on-budget-in-control-showing-your-leadership-with-sustainable-capital-
expenditure-even-during-recessions-and-economic-financial-crises/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/03/17/ale-fmea-
fmeca-qualitative-methods-is-it-really-what-we-need/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/07/28/do-you-still-think-crises-
are-mere-consultants-creatures/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/06/30/the-cure-to-risk-management-syndromes/ )
2   see for examples http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/11/13/tailings-systems-and-dams-ore-optimum-risk-estimates-
help-making-better-decisions-and-to-avoid-misleading-the-public/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/04/04/resilience-a-
new-buzzword-discussing-the-differences-between-risk-and-resilience-improvement-studies/                              ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/03/01/arbitrary-selections-in-risk-management-are-a-liability/                       ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/02/10/in-riskopes-www-riskope-com-day-to-day-review-jobs-we-notice-a-number-of-
pitfalls-in-risk-management-approaches/,http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/06/30/the-risk-management-related-




    ©Oboni Riskope Associates                        Page 1 of 9                     Vancouver 16 JAN 2013
     Inc. www.riskope.com
Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE
      Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems
foboni@riskope.com                                                           +41-79-621 8795
coboni@riskope.com                                                           +1-604-341 4485


Numerous examples (world-events) will create a solid link between the theoretical
aspects and day to day real life events3.

The Course uses plain language (whenever necessary technical glossary is defined), and
no mathematical knowledge is needed to understand the concepts4.


Brief description and contents of the course

Riskope will use as textbook our “Improving Sustainability through Reasonable Risk and
Crisis  Management      (Franco    &  Cesar    Oboni,    ISBN    978-0-9784462-0-    8
http://book.oboni.net/) book, completed by a set of notes drawn from our blog which
was read by readers from 116 countries in 20125 .

The course will have a duration of five working days, from Monday to Friday and is
organized as follows:

Day 1:           Welcome, Introduction, Management Approaches and Uncertainties,
                 Assessing and Presenting Risks, Historic Methods and Approaches (includes
                 Railroads and Pipelines). Distinguishing safety from risk6.

Day 2:           ISO 31000, PIGs (Probability Impact Graphs), Review and Assessment of
                 Crises, Risk Tolerability and Acceptability thresholds, risk appetite7.

Day 3:           Real life EXAMPLES and exercises on Using Risk in: Urban Development
                 Project, Humanitarian Demining Project, Large Oil and Gas or Mining
                 Operations, Regional/Provincial Development Plan, Counter Terrorism
                 Planning/Cyberdefence8.
syndromes/
3http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/12/04/japan-tunnel-disaster-flashback/                                                ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/11/21/trains-commuters-sandy-and-decision-making-another-case-for-ore-cockpits/
4  http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/09/23/a-solution-to-tech-speak-technical-risk-words-and-obscure-definitions-in-risk-
and-crisis-management/
5http://foboni.wordpress.com/2013/01/10/riskopes-blog-2012-in-review/
6 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/11/24/decision-makers-are-hamlets-modern-age-avatars/ ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/11/08/talking-with-people-about-risks/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/11/08/talking-
with-people-about-risks/
7 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/09/06/what-fukushima-2010-nuclear-accident-the-twin-towers-911-terror-attack-
deadly-traffic-accidents-and-aquila-earthquake-italy-hurricanes-have-in-common/ ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/11/10/new-iso-31000-risk-management-principles-and-guidelines/
8 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/06/08/bp-crisis-rational-analysis-what-bp-did-not-perform/ ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/04/25/protecting-critical-infrastructure-against-cyber-attacks/ ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/09/30/long-term-risk-mitigation-plans-at-country-wide-scale-can-be-measured/




    ©Oboni Riskope Associates                        Page 2 of 9                      Vancouver 16 JAN 2013
     Inc. www.riskope.com
Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE
      Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems
foboni@riskope.com                                                           +41-79-621 8795
coboni@riskope.com                                                           +1-604-341 4485



Day 4:          Theory and EXAMPLES: Comparing and Evaluating Alternatives, Strategy vs.
                Tactics, Long term risks and Mitigative Policies, Climate Change, Force
                Majeure Clauses. Comparative Decision Analysis (includes a discussion of
                the pitfalls of NPV and how to bypass them), Economic Safety Margin9.

Day 5:          Real life EXAMPLES and exercises: BP Gulf disaster, Fukushima, Dust cloud
                from Volcano, Epidemic, the “Black Swan” syndrome, Mergers and
                acquisitions Risk Assessments (parallel to due diligence). Discussions and
                Conclusions10.

The course will be given by F. Oboni (day 1 to 5) with C. Oboni cooperation for days 3,4,5
(exercises and examples to be developed in groups).

Presenters names and brief bios

Cesar Oboni
Cesar has an applied mathematics (EPFL, Lausanne) and cross cultural business
background (Aichi Shukutoku University, Japan), is a director of Oboni Riskope Associates
Inc., Vancouver and VP of Risk Modeling of Riskope International SA.

Cesar has been involved in risk analyses for numerous facilities and organizations,
communities, mining, military, transportation. A major endeavor has been a study on 50
years history of typhoon mitigation in Japan with quantitative discussion of the Japanese
Mitigative Policies in relation to risk, societal acceptability, willingness to pay.

Beside day to day activities in Risk Assessment and Optimum Risk Estimates (ORE, the
flagship product of Riskope) for industries, Fortune 500 companies, and projects around
the world, Cesar has been very active in the analysis of special and emerging risk, co-
authoring a report on Cyberdefense for the Department of Defense of a European
country.

9 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/08/19/stop-procrastinating-npv-is-dead-use-risk-as-a-key-decision-parameter/,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/10/26/information-security-cyberwarfare-security-guidelines/
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/03/17/force-majeure-clauses-in-contracts-should-be-optimized-to-reduce-costs-and-
litigation-potential/
10 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/06/23/black-swan-mania-part3/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/06/21/black-swan-
mania-part2/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/06/14/black-swan-mania-using-buzzwords-can-be-a-dangerous-habit/ ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/04/27/a-few-comments-on-a-recent-paper-entitled-“not-up-in-the-air-risk-management-
lessons-from-the-volcanic-ash-cloud”-pubished-by-economists-com-on-april-20th/ ,
http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/10/11/financial-impacts-and-risks-due-to-sick-leaves-at-a-swiss-luxury-watchmaker-
factory/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/11/19/new-flu-tora-tora-tora-may-not-be-the-best-way/



   ©Oboni Riskope Associates                        Page 3 of 9                     Vancouver 16 JAN 2013
    Inc. www.riskope.com
Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE
      Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems
foboni@riskope.com                                                           +41-79-621 8795
coboni@riskope.com                                                           +1-604-341 4485



César is the co-author of 2007 book entitled: “Improving Sustainability through
Reasonable Risk and Crisis Management” and over ten papers published in international
conferences and symposiums. He was co-recipient of the 2010 ICCC, Italian Canadian
Chamber of Commerce (Canada West), Innovation Award.


Franco Oboni
Franco heads Riskope, an international practice on Risk and Crisis Management based in
Vancouver, B.C., Canada, and Lausanne, Switzerland. He is a consultant, coach, author of
over fifty papers and co-authoring of the 2007 book entitled: “Improving Sustainability
through Reasonable Risk and Crisis Management”. Franco regularly gives seminars, and
workshops worldwide. Clients include the UNDP, World Bank, Teck and several
international mining companies, Fortune 500 companies, Canadian National, Union
Pacific, Codelco, the Port of Oakland, Cartier, Ferrero Chocolate, a European Army and
numerous communities, regional and provincial governments.

Franco has managed a broad range of risk and crisis mitigation projects, risk and security
audits and geo-environmental hazard mitigation studies, as well as planning and
management of a wide variety of multi-disciplinary studies. Consulting and teaching have
brought Franco to work in four continents. Projects have included definition of needs,
training for corporate clients, negotiations with community leaders, as well as the
preparation of monitoring programs, Risk Assessments and Optimum Risk Estimates
(ORE, the flagship product of Riskope).
Franco has been involved in risk and hazard analyses for a number of large facilities and
organizations, including communities, mining, mine-clearance, military, food and non-
food industries, large linear facilities (railroads, highways, pipelines, tunnels, power lines)
and large hydropower projects (dams, reservoirs and pen-stocks) allowing his courses to
convey a wide array of concrete examples, to deliver on-site emergency consultation,
develop forensic and expert witness reports and troubleshooting.


Teaching/Coaching Experience
Franco taught twice a year a three days course at the University of British Columbia on
“Design of Risk Management Systems” between 1997 and 1999 (Continuing Education).
Now Franco & Cesar delivers customized seminars directly to interested industrial
corporations (among his clients: BC Hydro, Mitsubishi Motor Company, Japan Metal
Mining Association, Swiss Army, to name but a few).
Recent course have been given at Colorado State University and Edumine, and e-campus



  ©Oboni Riskope Associates               Page 4 of 9               Vancouver 16 JAN 2013
   Inc. www.riskope.com
Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE
      Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems
foboni@riskope.com                                                           +41-79-621 8795
coboni@riskope.com                                                           +1-604-341 4485


which proposes mining corporations around the world web based and classic format
courses, webcasts authored by preeminent world experts. See Appendix 1.
Franco has worked on projects in Cameroun, Ghana, Niger, Gabon, Madagascar. Riskope
maintains a high profile by regularly publishing research in international conferences. See
Appendix 2.


Budget
   •   .......


NB: the delivery of the course DOES NOT authorize any recording (video or sound or
both) of the speeches.
NB: all written, printed material will remain property of Riskope and is subject to
copyright by the same company.
NB: the organizer will provide a suitable venue with LCD projector, screens, large format
paper stands, pens etc., refreshments for the instructors and the participants.
NB: Riskope can deliver this course in English/French and other languages.

We look forward to hearing from you soon and to make a great success out of this
endeavour. We stress the fact that early date selection is necessary to ensure that both
the instructors will be in Vancouver, thus reducing the airfare impact on the budget.

Kindest regards,

Dr. F. Oboni, Ph.D.

President

Appendix 1: Testimonials from Present and Past Clients

This is a small selection of available clients' testimonials
sorted by type of client:

INTERNATIONAL and LOCAL ORGANIZATIONS:

Tim Lardner, Geneva International Centre for Humanitarian Demining:
Working with Franco and Cesar has begun to bring clarity to an area where there


  ©Oboni Riskope Associates               Page 5 of 9               Vancouver 16 JAN 2013
   Inc. www.riskope.com
Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE
      Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems
foboni@riskope.com                                                           +41-79-621 8795
coboni@riskope.com                                                           +1-604-341 4485


is much doubt. Dealing with global remnants of war, there will always be
uncertainty. The process of beginning to define that uncertainty in order to
improve planning processes has been a revelation and has aided elements of the
international mine action community to significantly improve their cost efficiency.
The Oboni perspective is often unexpected, usually enlightening and certainly
challenges preconceptions.

Denis Nkala, Chief, South-South Unit (Asia & Pacific), UNDP Regional
Centre in Bangkok. Thanks, it was an interesting presentation.

F. Joly, Director Vaud Fire and Natural Disasters Insurance, Switzerland,
1995: Dr. Oboni and his group developed a very simple and useful risk evaluation
tool for our company with the aim to "filter" contracts that would expose us to
excessive liability.

Tim Lardner, “Franco brings fresh perspectives to old ideas and stimulates
thought and discussion. Fun and personable, combined with an in depth
knowledge of RM matters makes working with Franco a pleasure.” September 9,
2007

EDUCATION:

Col. G. V., Deputy Chief CYD Project, Ministry of Defense, Confidential
Country “Riskope's scientific approach to cyber risks, together with solid
discussion of alternatives, concurs to irrefutable results. Riskope does not fall in
the “let's do like everybody else” trap, but, on the contrary, always seeks
innovative and pertinent solutions to meet clients' expectations and needs.
Riskope maintained the budgets, widely exceeding the contractual requirements.”

Simon Houlding, VP Professional Development, InfoMine Inc. “We have
worked with Franco & Cesar for more than five years presenting online and
classroom courses on risk management. It has been a rewarding experience and
Franco's courses are popular with our mining audience.” September 17, 2007

Peter Schaub, President, Advanced Habitat Technologies Inc, Vancouver:
“Franco is the best seminar leaders I know. His presentation style is clear, focused
and mind friendly. In short, Franco is world class!”



  ©Oboni Riskope Associates               Page 6 of 9               Vancouver 16 JAN 2013
   Inc. www.riskope.com
Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE
      Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems
foboni@riskope.com                                                           +41-79-621 8795
coboni@riskope.com                                                           +1-604-341 4485



Bob Gill, Antamina, Peru, “Franco is a world expert in Risk. I have hired Franco
to work on risk identification, risk mitigation and to run courses for staff on risk
management. His understanding of risk and his ability to put it into terms for the
lay-manager is excellent.” November 12, 2007

Peter Ficzycz, BC Hydro, Canada: Thank you for a wonderful and fabulous
RISK Management Course. Your presentation of material was superb. I have
attended several Risk Management sessions in the past, and I really appreciated
your approach, both from an academic standpoint, as well as concrete examples.

Tricia Pepper, Marketing Manager Japan & Korea, Financial Times Japan:
In July 2000 the Financial Times engaged in a co-promotion with the Oboni group
during the G8 Summit held in Okinawa, Japan. During that time, I had the
privilege of attending a half-day course offered by Dr. Oboni on Risk Management.
Not only was the course highly informative and pertinent to a multitude of
scenarios across a wide variety of industries, it was also extremely interesting - a
factor often missing from other professional development training seminars I
have attended in the past. Before attending the seminar I did not really believe
that RM was applicable to my industry (publishing) or to my profession
(marketing). Dr. Oboni’s course made me realize that RM is in fact pertinent to
every manager in every industry. RM is the one area where managers and MBA
students are sorely lacking in training and information.

H. C. Luk, P.Eng., Senior Engineer, BC Hydro, Canada: This is one of the
best courses I have recently taken and I have enjoyed and learned a great deal in
the three days.

Bob Balbirnie, Strategic Maintenance Planner, BC Hydro: This was one of
the most interesting and stimulating seminar's that I have ever attended, truly an
impressive presentation by a most engaging presenter. I am honored to have
made your acquaintance and if ever I am stuck on any part of the risk
management process I will know who to call. Thanks for a very enjoyable three
days! I found your approach to be extremely fascinating.



Appendix 2: List of Selected Publications


  ©Oboni Riskope Associates               Page 7 of 9               Vancouver 16 JAN 2013
   Inc. www.riskope.com
Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE
      Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems
foboni@riskope.com                                                           +41-79-621 8795
coboni@riskope.com                                                           +1-604-341 4485




Full list is available on request.

Oboni, F., Oldendorff, G. (1997) - Integrating Risk and Crisis Management: Meeting the
Needs of a Sophisticated Society - IUGS Working Group on Landslides Committee on Risk
Assessment, Honolulu, 1997.

Oboni, F., et al. - A Risk Management Approach for Tailing Systems - Golden Jubilee
Conference Canadian Geotechnical Society, Ottawa, 1997 (Canada),

Oboni, F., Oldendorff, G., Risk Management - University of British Columbia Course and
Notes, Vancouver, Canada, 1997.

Oboni, F., Oldendorff, G. (1998) - Uncertainties, Risk and Decision Making: Risk
Management and Crisis Management Integrated Approaches - Second International
Conference on Environmental Management, Wollongong, 1998.

Oboni, F., I. Bruce, M. Aziz, K. Ferguson - A Risk Management Approach for Tailing
Systems -Second International Conference on Environmental Management, Wollongong,
1998.

Oboni, F., Geo-Environmental Risk: Assessment, Analysis, Management and Planning,
SIGA 98 State of the Art Report, Sao Paolo, Brazil, 1998

Oboni, F., Principles of Risk Assessment & Communicating the results of a Risk-Based
Analysis, Mine Environmental neutral drainage (MEND) program, Summary notes, 5 th
annual BC MEND 2000 metal leaching & ARD workshop, Vancouver, 1998.

Oboni, F., Ten Years Experience in Linear Facilities Risk Assessment (LFRA), San Francisco
ICASP9 2003

Oboni, C. Oboni, F., Definition of             Objective    Terror    Alert   Criteria,    (OTAC)
©Oboni&Associates, 2003, Turin, 2004

Oboni, C. Oboni, F., Formulation of Predictive Potential Target Selection (PPTS)
©Oboni&Associates, 2003, Turin, 2004

Oboni, C. Oboni, F., Risk Based            Prioritization   of   Mitigative   Funding     (RBPMF)
©Oboni&Associates, 2003, Turin 2004




  ©Oboni Riskope Associates               Page 8 of 9                Vancouver 16 JAN 2013
   Inc. www.riskope.com
Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE
      Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems
foboni@riskope.com                                                           +41-79-621 8795
coboni@riskope.com                                                           +1-604-341 4485


Geneva International Centre of Humanitarian Demining, A Study of Manual Mine
Clearance, Chapter 4, Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Mined Areas, Geneva,
2005

Oboni, F. , Risk Based Decision Making for the Design of Reclamation Projects, CLRA 2006
Reclamation and Remediation: Policy to Practice, 31st Annual Meeting and Conference,
Ottawa, 2006

Improving Sustainability through Reasonable Risk and Crisis Management, by Franco &
César Oboni, ISBN 978-0-9784462-0-8, 2007 www.oboni.net
.
C. Oboni, F. Oboni, Rational Methodologies for Land Mines/Unexploded Ordnance
Contaminated Land Release or Clearing Decision Making; Fima – Italian Federation Of
Applied Mathematics, 3rd International Conference on "Regional Protection and
Management of Environmental Risks", Gressoney, Aosta Valley, Italy, January 19-22,
2009

C. Oboni, F. Oboni, Long Term Effects Evaluation of a National Typhoon/Flooding
Protection Program; Fima – Italian Federation Of Applied Mathematics, 3rd International
Conference on "Regional Protection and Management of Environmental Risks",
Gressoney, Aosta Valley, Italy, January 19-22, 2009

Oboni, C. Oboni, F. Balangero: Using Risk as a Key Decision Parameter, MINING.com,
march 2010

Oboni, C. Oboni, F. From Landmines to Mines and their Logistic Network Risks, CIM
Conference and Exhibition, May 2010
Oboni, C. Oboni, F. Stop Procrastinating! NPV is dead: Use Risk as a Key Decision
Parameter, Canadian Reclamation, Issue 1, 2010
Oboni, C. Oboni, F., Infrastructure/Logistical Networks' Risks: What can Be Done? How
Can it Be Done? Why Should it Be Done?, RIMS the Risk Management Society, Vancouver,
April 2011
F. Oboni, C. Angelino, B. Visconti, The Cassas Landslide and its impacts on an
international & Olympic transportation corridor: studies, monitoring, solution and crisis
plans, Second World Landslide Forum – 3-7 October 2011, Rome
F. Oboni, C. Oboni, C. Angelino, B. Visconti, Integrated hydrogeological and
environmental restoration of landslides affecting a large asbestos mine dry tailings
dump, Tailings and Mine Waste 2011, Vancouver, BC, November 6 to 9, 2011




  ©Oboni Riskope Associates               Page 9 of 9               Vancouver 16 JAN 2013
   Inc. www.riskope.com

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Riskope 5 days course on Risk and Crisis Management for top managers and key personnel.

  • 1. Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems foboni@riskope.com +41-79-621 8795 coboni@riskope.com +1-604-341 4485 To:......... Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems By F. & C. Oboni, Oboni Riskope Associates Inc. This Oboni Riskope Associates Inc. (Riskope) course to be held on ....2013 in ..... will address a panel of 10-20 delegates from ............ Industry. What attendees stand to take away from the course This Course will bring much needed methodological and practical answers to anyone involved in evaluating risks and crises potential in projects (including pre-feasibility level), operations, decision-making in the ......industry1. Attendees will gain an understanding of do's and don'ts in RM & CM, how risk can be integrated in the decision making process2 . 1 see for examples: http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/03/01/arbitrary-selections-in-risk-management-are-a-liability/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/09/15/on-time-on-budget-in-control-showing-your-leadership-with-sustainable-capital- expenditure-even-during-recessions-and-economic-financial-crises/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/03/17/ale-fmea- fmeca-qualitative-methods-is-it-really-what-we-need/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/07/28/do-you-still-think-crises- are-mere-consultants-creatures/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/06/30/the-cure-to-risk-management-syndromes/ ) 2 see for examples http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/11/13/tailings-systems-and-dams-ore-optimum-risk-estimates- help-making-better-decisions-and-to-avoid-misleading-the-public/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/04/04/resilience-a- new-buzzword-discussing-the-differences-between-risk-and-resilience-improvement-studies/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/03/01/arbitrary-selections-in-risk-management-are-a-liability/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/02/10/in-riskopes-www-riskope-com-day-to-day-review-jobs-we-notice-a-number-of- pitfalls-in-risk-management-approaches/,http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/06/30/the-risk-management-related- ©Oboni Riskope Associates Page 1 of 9 Vancouver 16 JAN 2013 Inc. www.riskope.com
  • 2. Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems foboni@riskope.com +41-79-621 8795 coboni@riskope.com +1-604-341 4485 Numerous examples (world-events) will create a solid link between the theoretical aspects and day to day real life events3. The Course uses plain language (whenever necessary technical glossary is defined), and no mathematical knowledge is needed to understand the concepts4. Brief description and contents of the course Riskope will use as textbook our “Improving Sustainability through Reasonable Risk and Crisis Management (Franco & Cesar Oboni, ISBN 978-0-9784462-0- 8 http://book.oboni.net/) book, completed by a set of notes drawn from our blog which was read by readers from 116 countries in 20125 . The course will have a duration of five working days, from Monday to Friday and is organized as follows: Day 1: Welcome, Introduction, Management Approaches and Uncertainties, Assessing and Presenting Risks, Historic Methods and Approaches (includes Railroads and Pipelines). Distinguishing safety from risk6. Day 2: ISO 31000, PIGs (Probability Impact Graphs), Review and Assessment of Crises, Risk Tolerability and Acceptability thresholds, risk appetite7. Day 3: Real life EXAMPLES and exercises on Using Risk in: Urban Development Project, Humanitarian Demining Project, Large Oil and Gas or Mining Operations, Regional/Provincial Development Plan, Counter Terrorism Planning/Cyberdefence8. syndromes/ 3http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/12/04/japan-tunnel-disaster-flashback/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/11/21/trains-commuters-sandy-and-decision-making-another-case-for-ore-cockpits/ 4 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/09/23/a-solution-to-tech-speak-technical-risk-words-and-obscure-definitions-in-risk- and-crisis-management/ 5http://foboni.wordpress.com/2013/01/10/riskopes-blog-2012-in-review/ 6 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/11/24/decision-makers-are-hamlets-modern-age-avatars/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/11/08/talking-with-people-about-risks/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/11/08/talking- with-people-about-risks/ 7 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/09/06/what-fukushima-2010-nuclear-accident-the-twin-towers-911-terror-attack- deadly-traffic-accidents-and-aquila-earthquake-italy-hurricanes-have-in-common/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/11/10/new-iso-31000-risk-management-principles-and-guidelines/ 8 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/06/08/bp-crisis-rational-analysis-what-bp-did-not-perform/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/04/25/protecting-critical-infrastructure-against-cyber-attacks/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/09/30/long-term-risk-mitigation-plans-at-country-wide-scale-can-be-measured/ ©Oboni Riskope Associates Page 2 of 9 Vancouver 16 JAN 2013 Inc. www.riskope.com
  • 3. Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems foboni@riskope.com +41-79-621 8795 coboni@riskope.com +1-604-341 4485 Day 4: Theory and EXAMPLES: Comparing and Evaluating Alternatives, Strategy vs. Tactics, Long term risks and Mitigative Policies, Climate Change, Force Majeure Clauses. Comparative Decision Analysis (includes a discussion of the pitfalls of NPV and how to bypass them), Economic Safety Margin9. Day 5: Real life EXAMPLES and exercises: BP Gulf disaster, Fukushima, Dust cloud from Volcano, Epidemic, the “Black Swan” syndrome, Mergers and acquisitions Risk Assessments (parallel to due diligence). Discussions and Conclusions10. The course will be given by F. Oboni (day 1 to 5) with C. Oboni cooperation for days 3,4,5 (exercises and examples to be developed in groups). Presenters names and brief bios Cesar Oboni Cesar has an applied mathematics (EPFL, Lausanne) and cross cultural business background (Aichi Shukutoku University, Japan), is a director of Oboni Riskope Associates Inc., Vancouver and VP of Risk Modeling of Riskope International SA. Cesar has been involved in risk analyses for numerous facilities and organizations, communities, mining, military, transportation. A major endeavor has been a study on 50 years history of typhoon mitigation in Japan with quantitative discussion of the Japanese Mitigative Policies in relation to risk, societal acceptability, willingness to pay. Beside day to day activities in Risk Assessment and Optimum Risk Estimates (ORE, the flagship product of Riskope) for industries, Fortune 500 companies, and projects around the world, Cesar has been very active in the analysis of special and emerging risk, co- authoring a report on Cyberdefense for the Department of Defense of a European country. 9 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/08/19/stop-procrastinating-npv-is-dead-use-risk-as-a-key-decision-parameter/, http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/10/26/information-security-cyberwarfare-security-guidelines/ http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/03/17/force-majeure-clauses-in-contracts-should-be-optimized-to-reduce-costs-and- litigation-potential/ 10 http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/06/23/black-swan-mania-part3/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/06/21/black-swan- mania-part2/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2011/06/14/black-swan-mania-using-buzzwords-can-be-a-dangerous-habit/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2010/04/27/a-few-comments-on-a-recent-paper-entitled-“not-up-in-the-air-risk-management- lessons-from-the-volcanic-ash-cloud”-pubished-by-economists-com-on-april-20th/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2012/10/11/financial-impacts-and-risks-due-to-sick-leaves-at-a-swiss-luxury-watchmaker- factory/ , http://foboni.wordpress.com/2009/11/19/new-flu-tora-tora-tora-may-not-be-the-best-way/ ©Oboni Riskope Associates Page 3 of 9 Vancouver 16 JAN 2013 Inc. www.riskope.com
  • 4. Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems foboni@riskope.com +41-79-621 8795 coboni@riskope.com +1-604-341 4485 César is the co-author of 2007 book entitled: “Improving Sustainability through Reasonable Risk and Crisis Management” and over ten papers published in international conferences and symposiums. He was co-recipient of the 2010 ICCC, Italian Canadian Chamber of Commerce (Canada West), Innovation Award. Franco Oboni Franco heads Riskope, an international practice on Risk and Crisis Management based in Vancouver, B.C., Canada, and Lausanne, Switzerland. He is a consultant, coach, author of over fifty papers and co-authoring of the 2007 book entitled: “Improving Sustainability through Reasonable Risk and Crisis Management”. Franco regularly gives seminars, and workshops worldwide. Clients include the UNDP, World Bank, Teck and several international mining companies, Fortune 500 companies, Canadian National, Union Pacific, Codelco, the Port of Oakland, Cartier, Ferrero Chocolate, a European Army and numerous communities, regional and provincial governments. Franco has managed a broad range of risk and crisis mitigation projects, risk and security audits and geo-environmental hazard mitigation studies, as well as planning and management of a wide variety of multi-disciplinary studies. Consulting and teaching have brought Franco to work in four continents. Projects have included definition of needs, training for corporate clients, negotiations with community leaders, as well as the preparation of monitoring programs, Risk Assessments and Optimum Risk Estimates (ORE, the flagship product of Riskope). Franco has been involved in risk and hazard analyses for a number of large facilities and organizations, including communities, mining, mine-clearance, military, food and non- food industries, large linear facilities (railroads, highways, pipelines, tunnels, power lines) and large hydropower projects (dams, reservoirs and pen-stocks) allowing his courses to convey a wide array of concrete examples, to deliver on-site emergency consultation, develop forensic and expert witness reports and troubleshooting. Teaching/Coaching Experience Franco taught twice a year a three days course at the University of British Columbia on “Design of Risk Management Systems” between 1997 and 1999 (Continuing Education). Now Franco & Cesar delivers customized seminars directly to interested industrial corporations (among his clients: BC Hydro, Mitsubishi Motor Company, Japan Metal Mining Association, Swiss Army, to name but a few). Recent course have been given at Colorado State University and Edumine, and e-campus ©Oboni Riskope Associates Page 4 of 9 Vancouver 16 JAN 2013 Inc. www.riskope.com
  • 5. Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems foboni@riskope.com +41-79-621 8795 coboni@riskope.com +1-604-341 4485 which proposes mining corporations around the world web based and classic format courses, webcasts authored by preeminent world experts. See Appendix 1. Franco has worked on projects in Cameroun, Ghana, Niger, Gabon, Madagascar. Riskope maintains a high profile by regularly publishing research in international conferences. See Appendix 2. Budget • ....... NB: the delivery of the course DOES NOT authorize any recording (video or sound or both) of the speeches. NB: all written, printed material will remain property of Riskope and is subject to copyright by the same company. NB: the organizer will provide a suitable venue with LCD projector, screens, large format paper stands, pens etc., refreshments for the instructors and the participants. NB: Riskope can deliver this course in English/French and other languages. We look forward to hearing from you soon and to make a great success out of this endeavour. We stress the fact that early date selection is necessary to ensure that both the instructors will be in Vancouver, thus reducing the airfare impact on the budget. Kindest regards, Dr. F. Oboni, Ph.D. President Appendix 1: Testimonials from Present and Past Clients This is a small selection of available clients' testimonials sorted by type of client: INTERNATIONAL and LOCAL ORGANIZATIONS: Tim Lardner, Geneva International Centre for Humanitarian Demining: Working with Franco and Cesar has begun to bring clarity to an area where there ©Oboni Riskope Associates Page 5 of 9 Vancouver 16 JAN 2013 Inc. www.riskope.com
  • 6. Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems foboni@riskope.com +41-79-621 8795 coboni@riskope.com +1-604-341 4485 is much doubt. Dealing with global remnants of war, there will always be uncertainty. The process of beginning to define that uncertainty in order to improve planning processes has been a revelation and has aided elements of the international mine action community to significantly improve their cost efficiency. The Oboni perspective is often unexpected, usually enlightening and certainly challenges preconceptions. Denis Nkala, Chief, South-South Unit (Asia & Pacific), UNDP Regional Centre in Bangkok. Thanks, it was an interesting presentation. F. Joly, Director Vaud Fire and Natural Disasters Insurance, Switzerland, 1995: Dr. Oboni and his group developed a very simple and useful risk evaluation tool for our company with the aim to "filter" contracts that would expose us to excessive liability. Tim Lardner, “Franco brings fresh perspectives to old ideas and stimulates thought and discussion. Fun and personable, combined with an in depth knowledge of RM matters makes working with Franco a pleasure.” September 9, 2007 EDUCATION: Col. G. V., Deputy Chief CYD Project, Ministry of Defense, Confidential Country “Riskope's scientific approach to cyber risks, together with solid discussion of alternatives, concurs to irrefutable results. Riskope does not fall in the “let's do like everybody else” trap, but, on the contrary, always seeks innovative and pertinent solutions to meet clients' expectations and needs. Riskope maintained the budgets, widely exceeding the contractual requirements.” Simon Houlding, VP Professional Development, InfoMine Inc. “We have worked with Franco & Cesar for more than five years presenting online and classroom courses on risk management. It has been a rewarding experience and Franco's courses are popular with our mining audience.” September 17, 2007 Peter Schaub, President, Advanced Habitat Technologies Inc, Vancouver: “Franco is the best seminar leaders I know. His presentation style is clear, focused and mind friendly. In short, Franco is world class!” ©Oboni Riskope Associates Page 6 of 9 Vancouver 16 JAN 2013 Inc. www.riskope.com
  • 7. Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems foboni@riskope.com +41-79-621 8795 coboni@riskope.com +1-604-341 4485 Bob Gill, Antamina, Peru, “Franco is a world expert in Risk. I have hired Franco to work on risk identification, risk mitigation and to run courses for staff on risk management. His understanding of risk and his ability to put it into terms for the lay-manager is excellent.” November 12, 2007 Peter Ficzycz, BC Hydro, Canada: Thank you for a wonderful and fabulous RISK Management Course. Your presentation of material was superb. I have attended several Risk Management sessions in the past, and I really appreciated your approach, both from an academic standpoint, as well as concrete examples. Tricia Pepper, Marketing Manager Japan & Korea, Financial Times Japan: In July 2000 the Financial Times engaged in a co-promotion with the Oboni group during the G8 Summit held in Okinawa, Japan. During that time, I had the privilege of attending a half-day course offered by Dr. Oboni on Risk Management. Not only was the course highly informative and pertinent to a multitude of scenarios across a wide variety of industries, it was also extremely interesting - a factor often missing from other professional development training seminars I have attended in the past. Before attending the seminar I did not really believe that RM was applicable to my industry (publishing) or to my profession (marketing). Dr. Oboni’s course made me realize that RM is in fact pertinent to every manager in every industry. RM is the one area where managers and MBA students are sorely lacking in training and information. H. C. Luk, P.Eng., Senior Engineer, BC Hydro, Canada: This is one of the best courses I have recently taken and I have enjoyed and learned a great deal in the three days. Bob Balbirnie, Strategic Maintenance Planner, BC Hydro: This was one of the most interesting and stimulating seminar's that I have ever attended, truly an impressive presentation by a most engaging presenter. I am honored to have made your acquaintance and if ever I am stuck on any part of the risk management process I will know who to call. Thanks for a very enjoyable three days! I found your approach to be extremely fascinating. Appendix 2: List of Selected Publications ©Oboni Riskope Associates Page 7 of 9 Vancouver 16 JAN 2013 Inc. www.riskope.com
  • 8. Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems foboni@riskope.com +41-79-621 8795 coboni@riskope.com +1-604-341 4485 Full list is available on request. Oboni, F., Oldendorff, G. (1997) - Integrating Risk and Crisis Management: Meeting the Needs of a Sophisticated Society - IUGS Working Group on Landslides Committee on Risk Assessment, Honolulu, 1997. Oboni, F., et al. - A Risk Management Approach for Tailing Systems - Golden Jubilee Conference Canadian Geotechnical Society, Ottawa, 1997 (Canada), Oboni, F., Oldendorff, G., Risk Management - University of British Columbia Course and Notes, Vancouver, Canada, 1997. Oboni, F., Oldendorff, G. (1998) - Uncertainties, Risk and Decision Making: Risk Management and Crisis Management Integrated Approaches - Second International Conference on Environmental Management, Wollongong, 1998. Oboni, F., I. Bruce, M. Aziz, K. Ferguson - A Risk Management Approach for Tailing Systems -Second International Conference on Environmental Management, Wollongong, 1998. Oboni, F., Geo-Environmental Risk: Assessment, Analysis, Management and Planning, SIGA 98 State of the Art Report, Sao Paolo, Brazil, 1998 Oboni, F., Principles of Risk Assessment & Communicating the results of a Risk-Based Analysis, Mine Environmental neutral drainage (MEND) program, Summary notes, 5 th annual BC MEND 2000 metal leaching & ARD workshop, Vancouver, 1998. Oboni, F., Ten Years Experience in Linear Facilities Risk Assessment (LFRA), San Francisco ICASP9 2003 Oboni, C. Oboni, F., Definition of Objective Terror Alert Criteria, (OTAC) ©Oboni&Associates, 2003, Turin, 2004 Oboni, C. Oboni, F., Formulation of Predictive Potential Target Selection (PPTS) ©Oboni&Associates, 2003, Turin, 2004 Oboni, C. Oboni, F., Risk Based Prioritization of Mitigative Funding (RBPMF) ©Oboni&Associates, 2003, Turin 2004 ©Oboni Riskope Associates Page 8 of 9 Vancouver 16 JAN 2013 Inc. www.riskope.com
  • 9. Riskope Integrated Risk and Crisis Management for Projects and Operations COURSE Using Risk as a Decision Criteria to Increase Long Term Sustainability of Civil Systems foboni@riskope.com +41-79-621 8795 coboni@riskope.com +1-604-341 4485 Geneva International Centre of Humanitarian Demining, A Study of Manual Mine Clearance, Chapter 4, Risk Assessment and Risk Management of Mined Areas, Geneva, 2005 Oboni, F. , Risk Based Decision Making for the Design of Reclamation Projects, CLRA 2006 Reclamation and Remediation: Policy to Practice, 31st Annual Meeting and Conference, Ottawa, 2006 Improving Sustainability through Reasonable Risk and Crisis Management, by Franco & César Oboni, ISBN 978-0-9784462-0-8, 2007 www.oboni.net . C. Oboni, F. Oboni, Rational Methodologies for Land Mines/Unexploded Ordnance Contaminated Land Release or Clearing Decision Making; Fima – Italian Federation Of Applied Mathematics, 3rd International Conference on "Regional Protection and Management of Environmental Risks", Gressoney, Aosta Valley, Italy, January 19-22, 2009 C. Oboni, F. Oboni, Long Term Effects Evaluation of a National Typhoon/Flooding Protection Program; Fima – Italian Federation Of Applied Mathematics, 3rd International Conference on "Regional Protection and Management of Environmental Risks", Gressoney, Aosta Valley, Italy, January 19-22, 2009 Oboni, C. Oboni, F. Balangero: Using Risk as a Key Decision Parameter, MINING.com, march 2010 Oboni, C. Oboni, F. From Landmines to Mines and their Logistic Network Risks, CIM Conference and Exhibition, May 2010 Oboni, C. Oboni, F. Stop Procrastinating! NPV is dead: Use Risk as a Key Decision Parameter, Canadian Reclamation, Issue 1, 2010 Oboni, C. Oboni, F., Infrastructure/Logistical Networks' Risks: What can Be Done? How Can it Be Done? Why Should it Be Done?, RIMS the Risk Management Society, Vancouver, April 2011 F. Oboni, C. Angelino, B. Visconti, The Cassas Landslide and its impacts on an international & Olympic transportation corridor: studies, monitoring, solution and crisis plans, Second World Landslide Forum – 3-7 October 2011, Rome F. Oboni, C. Oboni, C. Angelino, B. Visconti, Integrated hydrogeological and environmental restoration of landslides affecting a large asbestos mine dry tailings dump, Tailings and Mine Waste 2011, Vancouver, BC, November 6 to 9, 2011 ©Oboni Riskope Associates Page 9 of 9 Vancouver 16 JAN 2013 Inc. www.riskope.com