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State of Disruption
Digital Analytics Association Symposium

                                 Jarah Euston
                          Director of Analytics
                              August 29, 2012
“SOFTWARE IS EATING THE WORLD” ANDREESSEN IN WSJ
SMARTPHONES EATING FEATURE PHONES

                WW SMART DEVICE ACTIVE USERS (MILLIONS)

                                                                                                            519529
                                                                                               480487
                                                                                        446
                                                                                 385
                                                                          358
                                                                   337
                                                            319331
                                                      265
                                                225
                                          194
                                    175
                       129 144158
                104
          84 93
 67 71 76


Jun 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11ul 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12
     Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun J Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr

                                                                 Source: Flurry Analytics, iOS and Android, Flurry Estimates
iOS & ANDROID GROWTH ~10X PC, ~2X INTERNET

   USERS PER PLATFORM 5 YEARS AFTER LAUNCH (MILLIONS)

                                               529


                          248


        48

      PC (1983)        Internet (1995)   iOS & Android (2007)
CHINA POISED TO EAT THE US

COUNTRIES WITH GREATEST NUMBER OF ACTIVE iOS & ANDROID
                  DEVICES (MILLIONS)
 165

      128




              31     28        22       19       17        16             13             13

 US   China   UK   S. Korea   Japan   Germany   France   Canada          Spain          Brazil


                                                         Source: Flurry Analytics active devices July 2012
APPS EATING THE INTERNET

           U.S. MOBILE APPS VERSUS WEB CONSUMPTION

 WEB BROWSING       MOBILE APPS
                                                                                            94
                                                          81                              MINUTES


                     70 66                  74           MINUTES             72
64                  MINUTES
                              MINUTES
                                          MINUTES                          MINUTES
MINUTES


          43
          MINUTES




   June 2010            Dec 2010                June 2011                         Dec 2011

                                        Sources: comScore, Alexa, Flurry Analytics; Smartphones & Tablets, U.S.
APPS ARE EATING MEDIA CONSUPMPTION

                              DAYPART COMPARISON, PEOPLE 15+ USING MEDIUM, U.S.
                      70%
% of Audience Share




                               TELEVISION           INTERNET            iOS & ANDROID APPS
                      60%




                      50%




                      40%




                      30%




                      20%




                      10%




                      0%
                        5am   6am   7am   8am   9am 10am 11am 12pm 1pm       2pm     3pm    4pm     5pm    6pm     7pm    8pm     9pm 10pm 11pm 12am 1am                2am    3am     4am

                                                                                                                                                                         Hour of Day
                                                            Sources: TV & Internet dayparts from analysis by Michael Zimbalist (2/10); Nielsen National People Meter; comScore Media Metrix
                                                                                                   Mobile application daypart from analysis by Flurry (8/11); Flurry Analytics, n = 15.2M DAUs
APPS ARE EATING THE FIRST SCREEN
                                                              APP SESSIONS STARTED PER SECOND IN U.S. DURING SUPER BOWL
                                                   4.5
Application Session Starts per Second, Thousands




                                                                                                                                                                                                                RETURN FROM
                                                                                                   RETURN FROM                                                                                                COMMERCIAL BREAK
                                                   4.0
                                                                                                 COMMERCIAL BREAK



                                                   3.5



                                                   3.0



                                                   2.5

                                                                                                                                                                                          GIANTS DRIVE
                                                                                                 BATTLESHIP                                                                               (FIELD GOAL)
                                                   2.0
                                                                                                 MOVIE AD
                                                                   COIN                                                                           MADONNA
                                                                   TOSS         KICK                                                            HALFTIME SHOW                                                    EXCITING LAST FEW
                                                                                                               TAX ACT
                                                                                OFF                                                                                                                             MINUTES OF THE GAME
                                                   1.5                                                           AD           COCA-COLA
                                                                                                                            POLAR BEAR AD

                                                   1.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                6:45 PM
                                                         3:15 PM


                                                                      3:30 PM


                                                                                       3:45 PM


                                                                                                     4:00 PM


                                                                                                                  4:15 PM


                                                                                                                            4:30 PM


                                                                                                                                      4:45 PM


                                                                                                                                                  5:00 PM


                                                                                                                                                            5:15 PM


                                                                                                                                                                      5:30 PM


                                                                                                                                                                                5:45 PM


                                                                                                                                                                                          6:00 PM


                                                                                                                                                                                                    6:15 PM


                                                                                                                                                                                                                 6:30 PM




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          7:00 PM


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    7:15 PM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Source: Flurry Analytics
APPS EATING GAMES REVENUE

               U.S. PORTABLE GAME SOFTWARE BY REVENUE



      19%
                                   34%                                                          36%
11%
                                                   57%                 58%
                    70%
                                    9%                                                         6%

            2009                         2010                                      2011

                   iOS & Android         Sony PSP                      Nintendo DS
                                         Source: Flurry Analytics, The NPD Group; Flurry analysis & estimates
THESE CATEGORIES ARE READY TO EAT SOMETHING

      FASTEST GROWING APP CATEGORIES, TIME PER ACTIVE USER

   89%
                72%
                              66%
                                                 54%
                                                                          40%




Photo & Video    Music      Productivity   Social Networking          Entertainment
                                           Source: Flurry Analytics, October 2011 – March 2012
WHICH BUDGET WILL MOBILE AD DEMAND EAT?

       2011 U.S. AD SPENDING VS. CONSUMER TIME SPENT

43%
      40%                                             AD SPEND PER MEDIA
                                                      TIME SPENT PER MEDIA


            29%

                             22%                                                   23%

                       16%
                                         11%
                                                       9%
                  6%
                                                                        1%

  TV          Print       Web                  Radio                        Mobile
                                Sources: VSS, Mary Meeker (KPCB), comScore, Alexa, Flurry Analytics
HOW WILL DEVELOPERS EAT?



Cross-platform Revenue Comparison: iOS vs. Android




                                                     Source: Flurry Analytics
Thank you!
               Jarah@flurry.com

For free, in-depth research, visit:
                  blog.flurry.com

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Flurry Presents at Digital Analytics Association Symposium - San Francisco, CA, 8/2012

  • 1. State of Disruption Digital Analytics Association Symposium Jarah Euston Director of Analytics August 29, 2012
  • 2. “SOFTWARE IS EATING THE WORLD” ANDREESSEN IN WSJ
  • 3. SMARTPHONES EATING FEATURE PHONES WW SMART DEVICE ACTIVE USERS (MILLIONS) 519529 480487 446 385 358 337 319331 265 225 194 175 129 144158 104 84 93 67 71 76 Jun 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11ul 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun J Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Source: Flurry Analytics, iOS and Android, Flurry Estimates
  • 4. iOS & ANDROID GROWTH ~10X PC, ~2X INTERNET USERS PER PLATFORM 5 YEARS AFTER LAUNCH (MILLIONS) 529 248 48 PC (1983) Internet (1995) iOS & Android (2007)
  • 5. CHINA POISED TO EAT THE US COUNTRIES WITH GREATEST NUMBER OF ACTIVE iOS & ANDROID DEVICES (MILLIONS) 165 128 31 28 22 19 17 16 13 13 US China UK S. Korea Japan Germany France Canada Spain Brazil Source: Flurry Analytics active devices July 2012
  • 6. APPS EATING THE INTERNET U.S. MOBILE APPS VERSUS WEB CONSUMPTION WEB BROWSING MOBILE APPS 94 81 MINUTES 70 66 74 MINUTES 72 64 MINUTES MINUTES MINUTES MINUTES MINUTES 43 MINUTES June 2010 Dec 2010 June 2011 Dec 2011 Sources: comScore, Alexa, Flurry Analytics; Smartphones & Tablets, U.S.
  • 7. APPS ARE EATING MEDIA CONSUPMPTION DAYPART COMPARISON, PEOPLE 15+ USING MEDIUM, U.S. 70% % of Audience Share TELEVISION INTERNET iOS & ANDROID APPS 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am 12pm 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm 9pm 10pm 11pm 12am 1am 2am 3am 4am Hour of Day Sources: TV & Internet dayparts from analysis by Michael Zimbalist (2/10); Nielsen National People Meter; comScore Media Metrix Mobile application daypart from analysis by Flurry (8/11); Flurry Analytics, n = 15.2M DAUs
  • 8. APPS ARE EATING THE FIRST SCREEN APP SESSIONS STARTED PER SECOND IN U.S. DURING SUPER BOWL 4.5 Application Session Starts per Second, Thousands RETURN FROM RETURN FROM COMMERCIAL BREAK 4.0 COMMERCIAL BREAK 3.5 3.0 2.5 GIANTS DRIVE BATTLESHIP (FIELD GOAL) 2.0 MOVIE AD COIN MADONNA TOSS KICK HALFTIME SHOW EXCITING LAST FEW TAX ACT OFF MINUTES OF THE GAME 1.5 AD COCA-COLA POLAR BEAR AD 1.0 6:45 PM 3:15 PM 3:30 PM 3:45 PM 4:00 PM 4:15 PM 4:30 PM 4:45 PM 5:00 PM 5:15 PM 5:30 PM 5:45 PM 6:00 PM 6:15 PM 6:30 PM 7:00 PM 7:15 PM Source: Flurry Analytics
  • 9. APPS EATING GAMES REVENUE U.S. PORTABLE GAME SOFTWARE BY REVENUE 19% 34% 36% 11% 57% 58% 70% 9% 6% 2009 2010 2011 iOS & Android Sony PSP Nintendo DS Source: Flurry Analytics, The NPD Group; Flurry analysis & estimates
  • 10. THESE CATEGORIES ARE READY TO EAT SOMETHING FASTEST GROWING APP CATEGORIES, TIME PER ACTIVE USER 89% 72% 66% 54% 40% Photo & Video Music Productivity Social Networking Entertainment Source: Flurry Analytics, October 2011 – March 2012
  • 11. WHICH BUDGET WILL MOBILE AD DEMAND EAT? 2011 U.S. AD SPENDING VS. CONSUMER TIME SPENT 43% 40% AD SPEND PER MEDIA TIME SPENT PER MEDIA 29% 22% 23% 16% 11% 9% 6% 1% TV Print Web Radio Mobile Sources: VSS, Mary Meeker (KPCB), comScore, Alexa, Flurry Analytics
  • 12. HOW WILL DEVELOPERS EAT? Cross-platform Revenue Comparison: iOS vs. Android Source: Flurry Analytics
  • 13. Thank you! Jarah@flurry.com For free, in-depth research, visit: blog.flurry.com

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Andreessen wrote that every sector is being disrupted by software (e.g., telecomm by Skype, Cannon + Nikon + YouTube by Viddy and SocialCam); find your own examplesRead and reference the WSJ article, “Why Software is Eating the World” by Marc Andreessen, August 11, 2011Apps are a great form of software delivers and disrupting everything faster than anything we’ve ever seen. “And its all built on delivering valuable experiences to the consumer.”“Let me ask you all: Do you have a favorite app you can’t without?For me… give examples of some apps you now use that substitute for, or augment what you do (e.g., Uber (private car hiring disrupts cabs), Shazam (music discovery), Exec (high end exec admin help; like taskrabbit but super high quality), etc.)We meet so many new companies, and we love their ambition
  2. 487 in Feb519 in March529 in April
  3. 487 in Feb519 in March529 in April
  4. Jan 2012 – 36hrs online according to comscore. Europe: Feb 2012 – 28.2hrs online according to comscore.
  5. Advertising dollars have not followed the consumer to mobile. While we estimate 23% of media consumption is mobile, mobile only receives 1% of advertiser budgets.