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FISKIMJÖL OG LÝSI:
SAMANTEKT Á ÞRÓUN SÍÐUSTU
ÁRA
Flutt á Vorráðstefnu FÍF í mars 2015
af Jóhanni Pétri Andersen en byggt á
glærum frá IFFO
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
7.000
8.000
Global fishmeal & fish oil production 1963-2013
(000 mt)
Fishmeal Fish Oil
4,675
889
Global fishmeal production
(000 mt)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Peru and Chile Scandinavia* USA Rest of the World
49%
38%
% average 2005-2013
36%
48%
% in 2004
*Denmark, Norway, Iceland
Global fishmeal exports
(000 mt)
*Peru, Chile, Denmark, Norway, Iceland, UK, Ireland, Faroe Islands, USA
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Biggest 10 exporters Total exports IFFO*
78%
80%
Average 60%
2,611
Global fishmeal imports
(000 mt)
2.827,0
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
Total fishmeal imports (000 mt)
China,PR
35%
Norway
8%Japan
7%
Taiwan
5%
Denmark
4%
Indonesia
3%
Vietnam
3%
Turkey
3%
U.K
2%
Greece
2%
Others
28%
64% Average 72%
5,613
5,001
5,424
5,071
4,673
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Global fish meal consumption
(000 mt)
Asia China,PR Europe Latin America North America Other
Global fishmeal usage
(000 mt)
Global fish oil production
(000 mt)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Peru and Chile Scandinavia* USA Rest of the World
28%
50%
35%
42%
% in 2004 % average 2005-2013
*Denmark, Norway, Iceland
Global fish oil exports
(000 mt)
*Peru, Chile, Denmark, Norway, Iceland, UK, Ireland, Faroe Islands, USA
750,9
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
IFFO* Total
81% Average 68%
Global fish oil imports
(000 mt)
778,5
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
Total fish oil imports (000 mt) Norway
22%
Denmark
13%
China,PR
8%Chile
5%
Taiwan
5%
Turkey
5%
Canada
4%
France
4%
Greece
3%
Singapore
3%
Others
28%
64% Average 68%
1,021
1,124
1,011 1,051
921
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Global fish oil consumption
(000 mt)
Asia China,PR Europe Latin America North America Other
Global fish oil usage
(000 mt)
6,095 6,035
5,286
5,630
5,124
4,892
4,562
5,629
4,556 4,675
4,112
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
World fishmeal production (000 mt)
Peru Chile Thailand U.S.A Japan Scandinavia* Others
-12.0%
*Denmark, Norway, Iceland
1,091
964 973
1,052 1,075
1,033
864
1,080
920 893
826
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
World fish oil production (000 mt)
Peru Chile Scandinavia* U.S.A Japan Other
-7.5%
*Denmark, Norway, Iceland
Prices
2.5
2.7
2.9
3.1
3.3
3.5
3.7
3.9
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41
Fishmeal/soyameal ratio in Hamburg (FOT)
Rebased prices (100=week 1 2014)
65
75
85
95
105
115
125
1 2 4 5 7 8 9 11 12 14 15 16 18 19 21 22 23 25 26 28 29 30 32 33 35 36 37 39 40 42
soyabean meal wheat corn
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41
Standard 65% Peruvian FOB Super prime PeruvianFOB
Rebased prices (100=week 1 2014)
Rebased prices (100=week 1 2014)
80,0
85,0
90,0
95,0
100,0
105,0
110,0
115,0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41
Peruvian feed-grade fish oil FOB
Average Peruvian Omega-3 fish oil FOB
Rapeseed oil CIF Europe
Rebased prices (100=week 1 2014)
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
12001
252001
492001
212002
452002
172003
412003
132004
372004
82005
322005
42006
282006
522006
242007
482007
202008
442008
162009
402009
112010
352010
72011
312011
32012
272012
512012
232013
472013
192014
C&F fish oil/rapeseed oil prices ratio in Rotterdam
(Netherlands)
(US$/mt)
TAKK FYRIR

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Markaðir

  • 1. FISKIMJÖL OG LÝSI: SAMANTEKT Á ÞRÓUN SÍÐUSTU ÁRA Flutt á Vorráðstefnu FÍF í mars 2015 af Jóhanni Pétri Andersen en byggt á glærum frá IFFO
  • 2. 0 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 7.000 8.000 Global fishmeal & fish oil production 1963-2013 (000 mt) Fishmeal Fish Oil 4,675 889
  • 3. Global fishmeal production (000 mt) 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Peru and Chile Scandinavia* USA Rest of the World 49% 38% % average 2005-2013 36% 48% % in 2004 *Denmark, Norway, Iceland
  • 4. Global fishmeal exports (000 mt) *Peru, Chile, Denmark, Norway, Iceland, UK, Ireland, Faroe Islands, USA 0 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500 4.000 4.500 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Biggest 10 exporters Total exports IFFO* 78% 80% Average 60% 2,611
  • 5. Global fishmeal imports (000 mt) 2.827,0 0 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 Total fishmeal imports (000 mt) China,PR 35% Norway 8%Japan 7% Taiwan 5% Denmark 4% Indonesia 3% Vietnam 3% Turkey 3% U.K 2% Greece 2% Others 28% 64% Average 72%
  • 6. 5,613 5,001 5,424 5,071 4,673 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Global fish meal consumption (000 mt) Asia China,PR Europe Latin America North America Other
  • 8. Global fish oil production (000 mt) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Peru and Chile Scandinavia* USA Rest of the World 28% 50% 35% 42% % in 2004 % average 2005-2013 *Denmark, Norway, Iceland
  • 9. Global fish oil exports (000 mt) *Peru, Chile, Denmark, Norway, Iceland, UK, Ireland, Faroe Islands, USA 750,9 0 200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 IFFO* Total 81% Average 68%
  • 10. Global fish oil imports (000 mt) 778,5 0 200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 Total fish oil imports (000 mt) Norway 22% Denmark 13% China,PR 8%Chile 5% Taiwan 5% Turkey 5% Canada 4% France 4% Greece 3% Singapore 3% Others 28% 64% Average 68%
  • 11. 1,021 1,124 1,011 1,051 921 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Global fish oil consumption (000 mt) Asia China,PR Europe Latin America North America Other
  • 12. Global fish oil usage (000 mt)
  • 13. 6,095 6,035 5,286 5,630 5,124 4,892 4,562 5,629 4,556 4,675 4,112 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 World fishmeal production (000 mt) Peru Chile Thailand U.S.A Japan Scandinavia* Others -12.0% *Denmark, Norway, Iceland
  • 14. 1,091 964 973 1,052 1,075 1,033 864 1,080 920 893 826 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 World fish oil production (000 mt) Peru Chile Scandinavia* U.S.A Japan Other -7.5% *Denmark, Norway, Iceland
  • 16. 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.9 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 Fishmeal/soyameal ratio in Hamburg (FOT)
  • 17. Rebased prices (100=week 1 2014) 65 75 85 95 105 115 125 1 2 4 5 7 8 9 11 12 14 15 16 18 19 21 22 23 25 26 28 29 30 32 33 35 36 37 39 40 42 soyabean meal wheat corn
  • 18. 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 Standard 65% Peruvian FOB Super prime PeruvianFOB Rebased prices (100=week 1 2014)
  • 19. Rebased prices (100=week 1 2014) 80,0 85,0 90,0 95,0 100,0 105,0 110,0 115,0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 Peruvian feed-grade fish oil FOB Average Peruvian Omega-3 fish oil FOB Rapeseed oil CIF Europe
  • 20. Rebased prices (100=week 1 2014) 0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 12001 252001 492001 212002 452002 172003 412003 132004 372004 82005 322005 42006 282006 522006 242007 482007 202008 442008 162009 402009 112010 352010 72011 312011 32012 272012 512012 232013 472013 192014 C&F fish oil/rapeseed oil prices ratio in Rotterdam (Netherlands) (US$/mt)