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Greater Boston Real Estate Market Data, September 2012
1. Monthly Indicators
A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE GREATER BOSTON ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
September 2012 Quick Facts
Most housing metrics should follow their usual, autumnal movements – higher
inventory and days on market, fewer sales, lower prices. That applies only to
+ 4.3% - 3.2% + 13.4%
month-to-month seasonal trends; most indicators should still show Year-Over-Year Year-Over-Year Year-Over-Year
improvement on a year-over-year basis. As you already know, all real estate is (YoY) Change in (YoY) Change in (YoY) Change in
local – down to the city neighborhood, suburban development and exurban lot. Closed Sales Closed Sales Closed Sales
Let's dive into some local figures. All Properties Single-Family Only Condominium Only
New Listings in the Greater Boston region were down 9.7 percent for detached
homes and 9.8 percent for condominiums. Pending Sales increased 31.3 Single-Family Market Overview 2
percent for single-family homes and 40.9 percent for condominiums. Condominium Market Overview 3
Closed Sales 4
The Median Sales Price was down 4.3 percent to $430,000 for single-family
properties but increased 1.4 percent to $372,800 for condominiums. Months Median Sales Price 5
Supply of Inventory decreased 27.8 percent for single-family units and 47.6 Housing Affordability Index 6
percent for townhouse-condo units.
Inventory of Homes for Sale 7
Not to get negative like a political TV ad, but sluggish job growth, persistently Months Supply of Inventory 8
high gas prices, drought-induced spikes in food prices and other global events Days On Market Until Sale 9
could threaten consumer confidence. The Fed's mortgage purchases drove
Freddie Mac's average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage survey to an all-time low of
Percent of Original List Price Received 10
3.40 percent. Employment growth remains critical, providing the very jobs that Pending Sales 11
will stimulate housing demand and higher prices as well as alleviate New Listings 12
beleaguered homeowners.
City of Boston Overview 13
Click on desired metric to jump to that page.
Data is refreshed regularly to capture changes in market activity so figures shown may be different than previously reported. Current as of October 16, 2012. All data from MLS Property
Information Network, Inc. Provided by Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing.
2. Single-Family Market Overview
Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date figures for Single-Family Homes Only.
Key Metrics Historical Sparklines Sep-2011 Sep-2012 +/– YTD 2011 YTD 2012 +/–
Closed Sales 784 759 - 3.2% 7,015 8,318 + 18.6%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Median Sales Price $449,500 $430,000 - 4.3% $464,000 $461,000 - 0.6%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Housing Affordability Index 101 116 + 15.2% 98 109 + 11.6%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Inventory of Homes for Sale 5,638 3,943 - 30.1% -- -- --
9-2009
9 2009 9-2010
9 2010 9-2011
9 2011 9-2012
9 2012
Months Supply of Inventory 7.2 5.2 - 27.8% -- -- --
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Days on Market Until Sale 101 88 - 13.2% 103 100 - 2.9%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Percent of Original
93.2% 94.6% + 1.5% 93.4% 94.4% + 1.1%
List Price Received
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Pending Sales 665 873 + 31.3% 7,186 8,837 + 23.0%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
New Listings 1,590 1,436 - 9.7% 13,086 12,812 - 2.1%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2
3. Condominium Market Overview
Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date figures for Condominium Properties Only.
Key Metrics Historical Sparklines Sep-2011 Sep-2012 +/– YTD 2011 YTD 2012 +/–
Closed Sales 648 735 + 13.4% 6,220 7,417 + 19.2%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Median Sales Price $367,500 $372,800 + 1.4% $360,000 $379,000 + 5.3%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Housing Affordability Index 121 132 + 9.1% 123 130 + 5.7%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Inventory of Homes for Sale 4,322 2,568 - 40.6% -- -- --
9-2009
9 2009 9-2010
9 2010 9-2011
9 2011 9-2012
9 2012
Months Supply of Inventory 6.7 3.5 - 47.6% -- -- --
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Days on Market Until Sale 103 85 - 17.7% 104 88 - 15.3%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Percent of Original
94.2% 96.4% + 2.4% 94.1% 95.7% + 1.7%
List Price Received
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Pending Sales 518 730 + 40.9% 6,344 7,910 + 24.7%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
New Listings 1,281 1,155 - 9.8% 11,730 10,743 - 8.4%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3
4. Closed Sales
A count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.
September Year to Date Single-Family
YoY
Change
Condominium
YoY
Change
Oct-2011 619 + 6.0% 513 + 6.4%
8,318
784 Nov-2011 690 + 8.8% 562 + 11.1%
759 735 7,417
7,195 7,015 Dec-2011 745 + 1.2% 644 - 1.7%
672 648 6,663
6,220 Jan-2012 526 + 12.6% 413 + 2.7%
577 Feb-2012 474 + 33.5% 385 + 12.2%
Mar-2012 656 + 16.3% 608 + 10.9%
Apr-2012 752 + 12.1% 757 + 19.6%
May-2012 1,017 + 20.4% 1,013 + 32.1%
Jun-2012 1,529 + 21.4% 1,268 + 20.0%
Jul-2012 1,291 + 25.2% 1,038 + 21.4%
Aug-2012 1,314 + 26.5% 1,200 + 24.1%
2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012
Sep-2012 759 - 3.2% 735 + 13.4%
+16.7% -3.2% +12.3% +13.4% -2.5% +18.6% -6.6% +19.2%
Total 10,372 + 15.6% 9,136 + 16.2%
Single-Family Condominium Single-Family Condominium
Historical Closed Sales Activity Single-Family Condominium
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
Jan-2003 Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4
5. Median Sales Price
Median price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.
September Year to Date Single-Family
YoY
Change
Condominium
YoY
Change
Oct-2011 $390,000 - 11.6% $349,000 + 4.8%
$464,000 $461,000
$440,000
$449,500 $454,000 Nov-2011 $423,000 - 4.6% $350,500 - 7.3%
$430,000
Dec-2011 $440,000 + 1.1% $344,750 - 2.9%
$379,000
$367,500 $372,800
$355,000 $347,500
$360,000 Jan-2012 $405,000 - 9.0% $349,950 - 1.7%
Feb-2012 $391,875 + 3.4% $371,000 + 6.6%
Mar-2012 $412,500 - 0.9% $340,000 + 4.8%
Apr-2012 $414,850 - 3.3% $370,750 + 5.6%
May-2012 $465,000 + 1.3% $381,000 + 4.4%
Jun-2012 $500,000 - 0.2% $400,000 + 6.7%
Jul-2012 $510,000 + 2.2% $387,000 + 6.3%
Aug-2012 $489,450 - 1.9% $380,000 + 3.5%
2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012
Sep-2012 $430,000 - 4.3% $372,800 + 1.4%
+2.2% -4.3% +3.5% +1.4% +2.2% -0.6% +3.6% +5.3%
Median $450,000 - 1.7% $373,000 + 3.6%
Single-Family Condominium Single-Family Condominium
Historical Median Sales Price Single-Family Condominium
$550,000
$500,000
$450,000
$400,000
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
Jan-2003 Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5
6. Housing Affordability Index
This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120% of what is necessary
to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.
September Year to Date Single-Family
YoY
Change
Condominium
YoY
Change
132 130 Oct-2011 116 + 19.3% 128 + 2.2%
120 121 122 123
116 Nov-2011 108 + 10.0% 128 + 12.8%
109
101 Dec-2011 104 + 5.9% 130 + 9.8%
99 96 98
Jan-2012 113 + 17.4% 129 + 9.3%
Feb-2012 119 + 7.9% 125 + 4.9%
Mar-2012 113 + 11.2% 135 + 5.6%
Apr-2012 112 + 13.1% 124 + 4.3%
May-2012 102 + 7.2% 122 + 4.2%
Jun-2012 97 + 8.5% 118 + 1.9%
Jul-2012 96 + 7.9% 124 + 3.9%
Aug-2012 100 + 11.0% 127 + 5.5%
2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012
Sep-2012 116 + 15.2% 132 + 9.1%
+1.9% +15.2% +0.7% +9.1% +1.8% +11.6% +0.7% +5.7%
Average 108 +11.2% 127 +6.1%
Single-Family Condominium Single-Family Condominium
Historical Housing Affordability Index Single-Family Condominium
140
130
120
110
100
90
80
70
60
Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6
7. Inventory of Homes for Sale
The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.
September Single-Family
YoY
Change
Condominium
YoY
Change
Oct-2011 5,415 - 0.1% 4,094 - 20.9%
5,602 5,638
5,334 Nov-2011 4,598 - 3.4% 3,588 - 21.0%
Dec-2011 3,651 - 3.0% 2,803 - 20.9%
4,322 Jan-2012 3,685 - 2.9% 2,962 - 19.5%
3,943
Feb-2012 4,074 + 6.2% 3,251 - 17.0%
Mar-2012 4,687 + 1.3% 3,676 - 21.6%
2,568 Apr-2012 5,026 - 5.5% 3,823 - 26.2%
May-2012 5,111 - 10.8% 3,620 - 30.7%
Jun-2012 4,755 - 16.9% 3,308 - 35.1%
Jul-2012 4,273 - 23.6% 2,990 - 36.6%
Aug-2012 3,827 - 28.7% 2,525 - 40.1%
2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 Sep-2012 3,943 - 30.1% 2,568 - 40.6%
+0.6% 30 1%
-30.1% -19.0% -40.6% Average 4,420 - 10.9% 3,267 - 27.8%
Single-Family Condominium
Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale Single-Family Condominium
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
Jan-2003 Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7
8. Months Supply of Inventory
The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.
September Single-Family
YoY
Change
Condominium
YoY
Change
9.2 Oct-2011 8.7 - 5.7% 8.0 - 25.7%
8.3 Nov-2011 6.7 - 11.2% 6.4 - 28.9%
7.2 Dec-2011 4.9 - 4.2% 4.4 - 19.6%
6.7 Jan-2012 7.0 - 13.8% 7.2 - 21.7%
Feb-2012 8.6 - 20.5% 8.4 - 26.0%
5.2
Mar-2012 7.1 - 12.9% 6.0 - 29.3%
Apr-2012 6.7 - 15.6% 5.1 - 38.3%
3.5
May-2012 5.0 - 25.9% 3.6 - 47.5%
Jun-2012 3.1 - 31.6% 2.6 - 45.9%
Jul-2012 3.3 - 39.0% 2.9 - 47.8%
Aug-2012 2.9 - 43.6% 2.1 - 51.7%
2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 Sep-2012 5.2 - 27.8% 3.5 - 47.6%
-13.7% -27.8% -27.9% -47.6% Average 5.6 - 16.0% 4.7 - 30.4%
Single-Family Condominium
Historical Months Supply of Inventory Single-Family Condominium
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8
9. Days on Market Until Sale
Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.
September Year to Date Single-Family
YoY
Change
Condominium
YoY
Change
Oct-2011 108 + 3.7% 95 - 14.8%
107 104 Nov-2011 110 + 4.1% 109 + 7.7%
101 103 103 101
99 100 Dec-2011 112 - 0.3% 120 + 12.0%
92
88 85 88 Jan-2012 130 + 15.0% 124 - 5.1%
Feb-2012 134 + 2.9% 123 - 9.8%
Mar-2012 130 - 3.5% 118 - 4.2%
Apr-2012 120 - 1.4% 98 - 16.3%
May-2012 96 - 6.4% 86 - 12.0%
Jun-2012 90 - 0.1% 75 - 19.5%
Jul-2012 81 - 4.4% 71 - 20.7%
Aug-2012 88 - 5.4% 76 - 18.4%
2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012
Sep-2012 88 - 13.2% 85 - 17.7%
+2.8% -13.2% -3.5% -17.7% +11.8% -2.9% +3.4% -15.3%
Total 102 - 1.9% 85 - 10.5%
Single-Family Condominium Single-Family Condominium
Historical Days on Market Until Sale Single-Family Condominium
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
Jan-2003 Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9
10. Percent of Original List Price Received
Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month,
not accounting for seller concessions.
September Year to Date Single-Family
YoY
Change
Condominium
YoY
Change
Oct-2011 91.8% - 0.4% 93.6% + 0.1%
Nov-2011 92.4% - 0.3% 93.8% - 0.2%
96.4% 94.6% 94.1% 95.7% Dec-2011 92.2% + 1.0% 93.0% + 0.1%
92.9% 93.2% 94.6% 92.7% 94.2% 94.1% 93.4% 94.4%
Jan-2012 90.5% - 0.4% 92.8% + 0.5%
Feb-2012 91.2% + 0.3% 93.4% + 1.5%
Mar-2012 93.0% + 0.8% 94.0% + 0.9%
Apr-2012 93.5% + 0.9% 95.7% + 2.0%
May-2012 95.4% + 1.2% 96.1% + 1.0%
Jun-2012 95.3% + 0.8% 96.3% + 1.7%
Jul-2012 95.7% + 1.5% 96.6% + 1.7%
Aug-2012 94.8% + 1.5% 96.3% + 2.2%
2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012
Sep-2012 94.6% + 1.5% 96.4% + 2.4%
+0.3% +1.5% +1.6% +2.4% -0.7% +1.1% -0.5% +1.7%
Average 93.9% + 0.9% 95.3% + 1.4%
Single-Family Condominium Single-Family Condominium
Historical Percent of Original List Price Received Single-Family Condominium
99%
98%
97%
96%
95%
94%
93%
92%
91%
90%
89%
Jan-2003 Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10
11. Pending Sales
A count of the properties in UAG status between the first and last day in a given month, regardless of current status (based on Off Market Date).
September Year to Date Single-Family
YoY
Change
Condominium
YoY
Change
Oct-2011 744 + 3.0% 594 + 7.2%
873 8,837 Nov-2011 684 + 16.7% 564 - 2.1%
7,910 Dec-2011 571 + 5.4% 471 + 6.3%
730 7,283 7,186 Jan-2012 546 + 26.7% 484 + 18.6%
665 6,629 6,344
616 Feb-2012 651 + 23.1% 636 + 24.2%
518 Mar-2012 1,000 + 25.3% 1,016 + 32.8%
499
Apr-2012 1,153 + 21.6% 1,049 + 24.3%
May-2012 1,342 + 23.3% 1,272 + 29.0%
Jun-2012 1,276 + 14.0% 1,052 + 20.0%
Jul-2012 1,059 + 26.8% 847 + 10.9%
Aug-2012 937 + 21.2% 824 + 23.0%
2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012
Sep-2012 873 + 31.3% 730 + 40.9%
+8.0% +31.3% +3.8% +40.9% -1.3% +23.0% -4.3% +24.7%
Total 10,836 + 19.9% 9,539 + 20.5%
Single-Family Condominium Single-Family Condominium
Historical Pending Sales Activity Single-Family Condominium
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
Jan-2003 Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11
12. New Listings
A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.
September Year to Date Single-Family
YoY
Change
Condominium
YoY
Change
Oct-2011 1,159 - 2.3% 902 - 19.8%
1,692
1,590 1,621 Nov-2011 682 - 8.6% 628 - 11.8%
13,494 13,086 13,611
1,436 12,812 Dec-2011 459 + 6.0% 389 - 20.4%
1,281 11,730 Jan-2012 974 + 14.3% 958 - 1.8%
1,155 10,743
Feb-2012 1,336 + 51.3% 1,145 + 5.8%
Mar-2012 2,023 + 3.1% 1,741 - 12.0%
Apr-2012 1,811 - 9.3% 1,503 - 13.1%
May-2012 1,810 - 4.1% 1,391 - 7.5%
Jun-2012 1,372 - 15.1% 1,155 - 14.1%
Jul-2012 1,036 - 13.1% 905 - 7.6%
Aug-2012 1,014 - 8.3% 790 - 7.6%
2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012 2010 2011 2012
Sep-2012 1,436 - 9.7% 1,155 - 9.8%
-6.0% -9.7% -21.0% -9.8% -3.0% -2.1% -13.8% -8.4%
Total 15,112 - 2.2% 12,662 - 9.9%
Single-Family Condominium Single-Family Condominium
Historical New Listing Activity Single-Family Condominium
2,750
2,500
2,250
2,000
1,750
1,500
1,250
1,000
750
500
250
Jan-2003 Jan-2004 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12
13. City of Boston – Market Overview
Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date figures for the City of Boston.
Key Metrics Historical Sparklines Sep-2011 Sep-2012 +/– YTD 2011 YTD 2012 +/–
Closed Sales 354 389 + 9.9% 3,423 4,179 + 22.1%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Median Sales Price $391,250 $389,000 - 0.6% $375,000 $400,000 + 6.7%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Housing Affordability Index 101 116 + 15.2% 98 109 + 11.6%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Inventory of Homes for Sale 2,334 1,280 - 45.2% -- -- --
9-2009
9 2009 9-2010
9 2010 9-2011
9 2011 9-2012
9 2012
Months Supply of Inventory 6.6 3.3 - 50.1% -- -- --
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Days on Market Until Sale 95 74 - 21.9% 100 85 - 15.1%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Percent of Original
94.6% 96.1% + 1.7% 93.9% 95.6% + 1.7%
List Price Received
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
Pending Sales 284 412 + 45.1% 3,507 4,419 + 26.0%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
New Listings 739 639 - 13.5% 6,624 6,040 - 8.8%
9-2009 9-2010 9-2011 9-2012
All data from MLS Property Information Network, Inc. Provided by the Greater Boston Association of REALTORS® and the Massachusetts Association of REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 13