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Epic research special report of 14th november 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
14th NOVEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Asian stocks dipped in early trade on Friday following fresh signs of slowing Chinese growth, while crude oil hovered near a four-year low in an oversupplied market. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.25 percent. The index has been confined to a narrow range this week. China's economy lost further momentum in October, with factory growth dipping and investment growth hitting a near 13-year low.
European stocks ended slightly higher on Thursday, pausing for breath following the previous session's sell-off, al- though energy shares sank along with Brent crude prices. The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares ended 0.2% higher at 1,346.56pts. The benchmark index, which dropped 1.1% on Wednesday, has stuck in a tight range since late October.
Wall Street Update
The DJI closed at a record high on Thursday, boosted by gains in Wal-Mart, but the S&P 500 was little changed as energy shares tracked crude futures prices lower. The en- ergy sector cut its losses late in the session after Dow Jones reported Halliburton is in talks to buy Baker Hughes. The DJI average rose 40.59pts, or 0.23%, to 17,652.79, S&P 500 gained 1.08pts, or 0.05%, to 2,039.33 and Nasdaq added 5.01pts, or 0.11%, to 4,680.14. Volume on US exchanges hit 6.4bn, below the month-to-date average of 6.55bn.
Previous day Roundup
Dalal Street ended the day flat with a negative bias. The market opened in the green but profit-booking crept in as the day wore on. The Sensex ended below 28000, down 68.26pts at 27940.64. The Nifty lost about 25pts after hit- ting 8,400 mark for the second day in a row. The 50-share index closed at 8357.85. Banking, oil & gas and real estate stocks lost the most. Technology and pharma stocks were major gainers. Midcaps fared worse than bluechips with the index losing nearly 80pts
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 35.37pts], Capital Goods [down 0.31pts], PSU [down 108.55pts], FMCG [down 0.60pts], Realty [down 23.81pts], Power [down 9.24pts], Auto [down 73.35pts], Healthcare [up 83.11pts], IT [up 106.11pts], Metals [up Pts], TECK [up 44.02pts], Oil& Gas [down 177.52pts].
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
D J l
17652.79
+0.23
S&P 500
2039.33
+0.05
NASDAQ
4680.14
+0.11
EURO STO
3056.80
+0.31
FTSE 100
6635.45
+0.37
Nikkei 225
17330.39
-0.36
Hong Kong
24039.87
+0.08
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
HCLTECH
1,645.00
44.50
2.78
INFY
4,198.90
92.90
2.26
POWERGRID
145.20
2.25
1.57
TECHM
2,659.00
38.55
1.47
LUPIN
1,438.05
15.15
1.06
Top Losers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
BPCL
725.30
40.00
-5.23
CAIRN
263.20
8.90
-3.27
TATAPOWER
88.80
2.25
-2.47
SSLT
236.80
4.95
-2.05
GAIL
475.90
9.70
-2.00
Stocks at 52 Weekโs High
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
AUROPHARMA
1,097.00
35.25
3.32
COLPAL
2,000.00
110.50
5.85
DABUR
233.20
-0.95
-0.41
DRREDDY
3,470.00
30.30
0.88
ICICIBANK
1,690.70
-17.25
-1.01
Indian Indices
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
8357.85
-25.45
-0.30
SENSEX
27940.64
+68.26
-0.24
Stocks at 52 Weekโs Low
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
- -
2. DAILY REPORT
14th NOVEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. RELINFRA[FUTURE]
Relinfra weak on daily chart. We advise selling around 617-616 with stop loss 624 for targets 611-605
2. AUROPHARMA[FUTURE]
Auro pharma at 52 week high. We advise buying around 1111-1112 with stop loss 1099 for targets 1124-1136
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. BATA INDIA
Bata India looking strong on daily charts. So we advise you to buy it above the level of 1300 for the targets of 1325- 1350 with the strict stop loss of 1275
MACRO NEWS Results Today: ONGC , State Bank of India , Tata Motors, BHEL , BEML, TVS Motor, Reliance Comm, Reliance Capi- tal, Punj Lloyd, Britannia Ind, GMR Infra, CESC, PTC India, JK Tyre, Lanco Infra, Pipavav Defence, Jindal Photo, In- dian Hotels, Indiabulls Real Estate, HDIL, GVK Power & Infra, Future Retail, Firstsource, Elder Pharma, CARE, Cox & Kings, Career Point, Bhushan Steel Videocon Ind, Ve- nus Remedies, Ujaas Energy, Triveni Engineering, Tri- dent, Tilaknagar Ind, Suven Life, Supreme Infra, Sunteck Realty, SPML Infra, SPIC, Simplex Infra, Simbhaoli Sugars, Shakti Pumps, Seamec, Sadbhav Eng, Rasoya Proteins, Rajesh Exports, Prime Focus, Pratibha Ind, Prakash Ind, Plethico Pharma, Patel Eng, Parsvnath Developers, Opto Circuits, Minda Corp, Mcnally Bharat Engineering, Man- galore Chemicals, Lumax Automotive, Lakshmi Energy and Foods, Kesoram Ind, Kernex Micro, JBF Ind, Hanung Toys, Gulf Oil Corp, GMDC, GE Shipping, GOL Offshore, Gokaldas Exports, Gitanjali Gems, Future Consumer En- terprise, Essar Ports, Educomp, Den Networks, CORE Education, Clutch Auto, Aptech, Ansal Properties, Ansal Housing, Anant Raj, Aegis Logistics, ABG Shipyard. WPI Inflation will be announced today.
3. DAILY REPORT
14th NOVEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
PE
8,300
42.2
7,87,250
53,40,100
NIFTY
PE
8,400
79.6
7,76,077
28,13,675
NIFTY
PE
8,200
21.05
5,19,842
52,09,200
BANKNIFTY
PE
17,000
73
40,917
5,23,525
SBIN
PE
2,700
49.7
5,160
3,60,750
TATASTEEL
PE
470
10
3,417
4,12,500
INFY
PE
4,100
25.25
2,359
1,22,000
LT
PE
1,600
23.35
1,886
3,69,500
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
CE
8,400
61.5
9,27,164
54,25,275
NIFTY
CE
8,500
25.4
8,17,682
58,44,725
NIFTY
CE
8,600
8.25
4,90,456
46,59,275
BANKNIFTY
CE
18,000
61
73,466
4,73,150
SBIN
CE
2,800
44
11,279
11,16,625
TATASTEEL
CE
480
7.7
6,654
12,23,000
RELAINCE
CE
1,000
7.5
5,317
27,04,250
ASHOKLEY
CE
55
1.5
4,272
78,10,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
SELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
54728
1262.10
68245
1657.00
887097
19510.12
-394.90
INDEX OPTIONS
696948
16634.80
673998
16051.59
2677007
64403.84
583.21
STOCK FUTURES
78486
2376.02
84209
2577.87
1664946
49027.53
-201.85
STOCK OPTIONS
78871
2489.68
79388
2523.44
92174
2859.02
-33.76
TOTAL
-47.30
STOCKS IN NEWS Granules India says Hyderabad High Court approves merger of Auctus Pharma with co . Shasun Pharma Successfully Completed US FDA Inspec- tion At Dudley Mfg Unit Omkar Speciality Chemicals board approves raising Rs 125 cr via QIP. Nokia Networks bags 3G contract from Airtel Aditya Birla Group planning foray into e-commerce Puravankara arm to foray into Mumbai DLF Q2 Net Profit At Rs 109 Cr Vs Rs 100 Cr (YoY)
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed flat in the last trading session. We advise buying around 8450-8460 with strict stop loss 8400 the targets of 8500-8550
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
8,449.72
8,403.78
8,362.07
8,316.13
8,274.42
BANK NIFTY
17,759.23
17,606.12
17,497.88
17,344.77
17,236.53
4. DAILY REPORT
14th NOVEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NCDEX
Aur
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER DEC ABOVE 35000 TGTS 35200,35500 SL BE- LOW 34700
SELL SILVER DEC BELOW 34600 TGTS 34400,34100 SL ABOVE 34900
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD DEC ABOVE 25955 TGTS 26035,26135 SL BE- LOW 25860
SELL GOLD DEC BELOW 25750 TGTS 25660,25560 SL ABOVE 25840
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
U.S. crude oil was up 13 cents at $74.34 a barrel, although the bounce paled in comparison to the 3.9 percent drop the commodity suffered on Thursday, when it fell to a four-year low of $74.07.
Oil has been hit this week by factors including a stockpile surge at a delivery point for U.S. crude and reluctance by Saudi Arabia to cut output when the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries meets on Nov. 27. Crude prices have slumped more than 30 percent since June. Brent futures tumbled more than 2 percent to below $79 a barrel, hitting a four-year low
Lead futures rose by 0.20% to Rs 126.85 per kg today as speculators enlarged positions amid rise in domestic spot demand from battery makers. At the Multi Commodity Ex- change, lead for delivery in December traded higher by 25 paise, or 0.20%, at Rs 126.85 per kg, with a turnover of three lots. While, the commodity for delivery in current month moved up by 15 paise, or 0.12%, to Rs 125.90 per kg in a turnover of 159 lots. a firming trend at the domestic spot markets on the back of rising demand from battery makers influenced lead prices at futures trade but a weak trend overseas restricted gains
Troubled by a massive jump in gold import over the first two quarters of FY15, representatives from the finance min- istry, commerce ministry and Reserve Bank of India met here on Wednesday to review the 80:20 gold scheme.
Crude oil futures fell by 0.11% to Rs 4,751 per barrel yester- day as speculators trimmed positions amidst a weak trend in Asian markets. The trading sentiment turned weak in fu- tures trade on a stronger US dollar and expectations that the OPEC cartel is unlikely to cut production levels to counter a global supply glut. At the mcx, crude oil for deliv- ery in current month shed Rs 5, or 0.11%, to Rs 4,751 per barrel in 1,192 lots. The oil for December delivery moved down by a similar margin to trade at Rs 4,776 per barrel in a volume of 200 lots. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil for December delivery was down by 15 cents to $77.03 a barrel, while Brent crude shed 37 cents to $80.01 per barrel in late-morning trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
5. DAILY REPORT
14th NOVEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA DEC ABOVE 12595 TGTS 12625,12675 SL 12545
SELL DHANIYA DEC BELOW 12525 TGTS 12495,12445 SL 12575
GUARSGUM
BUY GUARGUM DEC ABOVE 14400 TGTS 14450,14550 SL 14410
SELL GUARGUM DEC BELOW 14300 TGTS 14250,14150 SL 14390
NCDEX
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Cardamom prices moved up by 0.27% to Rs 893.50 per kg in futures trade yesterday as speculators created fresh positions amid pick-up in spot market demand against limited arrivals from producing regions. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, cardamom for delivery in January edged higher by Rs 1.40, or 0.27%, to Rs 893.50 per kg in a business turnover of 13 lots. Simi- larly, the spice for delivery in December traded higher by Rs 1.30, or 0.14%, to Rs 864.50 per kg in 307 lots. Speculative fresh positions built by speculators, driven by pick-up in demand in the spot market against re- stricted arrivals from producing belts, mainly led to the rise in cardamom prices at futures trade.
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
CASTOR SEED
4758
-1.00
CHANA
3206
-0.34
CORIANDER
12030
-1.15
COTTON SEED
1336
-0.52
GAUR SEED
4991
-0.99
JEERA
11900
-1.45
MUSTARDSEED
3863
+0.31
SOYBEAN
3257
-0.64
SUGAR M GRADE
2756
-0.51
TURMERIC
6208
-2.91
6. DAILY REPORT
14th NOVEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
GBP/INR
BUY GBP-INR ABOVE 97.4000 TGT 97.6000,97.9000 SL 97.1500
SELL GBP-INR BELOW 97.1000 TGT 96.9000,96.6000 SL 97.3500
EUR/INR
BUY EUR-INR ABOVE 76.9800 TGT 77.1800,77.5500 SL 76.7200
SELL EUR-INR BELOW 76.8000 TGT 76.6000,76.3000 SL 77.0500
CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:
Oil prices slumped more than 3 percent to four-year lows on Thursday, with benchmark Brent crashing below $80 a barrel, after a stockpile surge at the delivery point for U.S. crude frayed nerves of traders already worried about an oil glut.
U.S. Treasury debt prices rose slightly on Thursday as some buyers returned to the market following the end of this week's $66 billion in new supply, while hesitation ahead of Friday's U.S. retail sales data limited gains.
Indian central bank Governor Raghuram Rajan will attend the RBI's final quiz function at 10:30 a.m. IST. With mone- tary policy less than three weeks away, Rajan is unlikely to speak on the sidelines about macro-economic issues.
The Indian rupee continued its see-sawing trend and weakened marginally on Thursday as losses in domestic shares weighed despite the sharply lower-than-expected retail inflation print for October. India's economic out- look brightened on Wednesday with a surprise pick-up in industrial output and further cooling in consumer prices, data showed, boosting Prime Minister Narendra Modi's bid to end the longest slowdown in growth in decades. State-run banks were spotted buying the greenback on a sustained basis in both the spot and forward markets.
foreign funds have bought shares worth $1.44 billion and debt worth $613 million, taking total inflows so far this year to $15.1 billion and $23.2 billion in the two asset classes respectively.
In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 61.74/84, while the three-month was at 62.30/40.
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate
Currency
Rate
Rupee- $
61.5560
Yen-100
53.1800
Euro
76.6126
GBP
97.0984
MCX COMMODITIES & CURRENCY
8. DAILY REPORT
14th NOVEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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Disclaimer
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, NOV. 10
NONE SCHEDULED
--
-1.0%
TUESDAY, NOV. 11
VETERANS DAY NONE SCHEDULED
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 12
7:30 AM
NFIB SMALL BUSINESS INDEX
OCT.
--
95.3
10 AM
WHOLESALE INVENTORIES
SEPT.
--
0.7%
THURSDAY, NOV. 13
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
NOV. 8
N/A
N/A
10 AM,
JOB OPENINGS
SEPT.
--
4.8 MLN
2 PM
FEDERAL BUDGET
OCT.
--
-$91 BLN
FRIDAY, NOV. 14
8:30 AM
RETAIL SALES
OCT.
0.1%
-0.3%
8:30 AM
RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS
OCT.
0.0%
-0.2%
8:30 AM
IMPORT PRICE INDEX
OCT.
-1.1%
-0.5%
9:55 AM
CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX
NOV.
86.5
86.9
10 AM
BUSINESS INVENTORIES
SEPT.
0.3%
0.2%