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Bringing landscapes, lifestyles and livelihoods together to assess and engage in improving natural resource condition.
1. Bringing landscapes, lifestyles and livelihoods
together to assess and engage in improving natural
resource condition.
Andrew Campbell
2. Knowledge
for managing Australian landscapes
Andrew Campbell
Place & Purpose Symposium, Adelaide
30 September 2009
www.triplehelix.com.au
3. My perspectives
โข Farming background Cavendish (SW Vic)
โข Forestry (Creswick & Melbourne)
โข Extension officer, Shepparton, Bendigo &
Stawell
โข Manager, Potter Farmland Plan
โข National Landcare Facilitator
โข Post-grad studies, Holland & France
โข Senior Executive, Australian Government
โข 7 years CEO of Land & Water Australia
2 โข Triple Helix Consulting
5. 1. CONTEXT
โข Climate
โข Water
โข Energy
โข Soil & land
โข Food
โข Human health & animal welfare
โข Natural Resource Management
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6. Population & carbon emissions
5 Source: WBCSD & IUCN 2008; Harvard Medical School 2008
7. Water
โข Every calorie takes one litre of
water to produce, on average*
โข Like the Murray Darling Basin,
all the worldโs major food
producing basins are
effectively โclosedโ or already
over-committed
* IWMI 2007
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8. Energy & nutrients
โข The era of abundant, cheap fossil fuels is over
โข Rising energy costs = rising fertiliser costs
7 Remaining reserves (billions of barrels) of crude oil (EWG 2007)
9. Feeding the world
โข The world needs to almost double food production by
2050, & improve distribution
โข We have done this in the past, mainly through
clearing, cultivating and irrigating more land
โ and to a lesser extent better varieties, more fertiliser etc
โข Climate change is narrowing those options, with limits
to water, land, energy & nutrients
โข Concern among rich consumers about modern
industrial food systems
โ human health, animal welfare, environment
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12. Land & soil
โข The FAO recently assessed trends in land condition (measured
by net primary productivity) from 1981-2004
โข Land degradation is increasing in severity and extent:
โ >20 percent of all cultivated areas
>30 percent of forests
>10 percent of grasslands
โข 1.5 billion people depend directly on land that is being degraded
โข Land degradation is cumulative. Limited overlap between 24% of
the land surface identified as degraded now and the 15% classified in
1991,
because NPP has flatlined near zero in flogged areas
11 http://www.fao.org/newsroom/en/news/2008/1000874/index.html
13. 2. THE IMPERATIVE
PROFOUND TECHNICAL CHALLENGES:
1. To decouple economic growth from carbon emissions
2. To increase water productivity
decoupling the every calorie = 1 litre relationship
3. To increase energy productivity
โ more food energy out per unit of energy in
โ while shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy
4. To develop more sustainable food systems
โ while conserving biodiversity
โ and improving landscape amenity
5. To achieve all of the above simultaneously
โ If you are in the water business, you are in the energy business,
and if you are in the energy business, you will soon be in the carbon
12 business
14. 3 Pillars of Sustainability
KNOWLEDGE: Sustainable systems and
practices must exist, and the know-how
for people to implement them
CAPACITY: People must
have the wherewithal to be
COMMITMENT: able to implement more
People must sustainable systems and
want it practices at sufficient
13 scale
15. 3. KNOWLEDGE
From a public policy perspective, there are
three main reasons to invest in knowledge:
1.To help us make better decisions & policy
2.To underpin the innovation process
3.So that we can learn as we go along
โ in the words of Peter Cullen:
โat least we should be making new mistakesโ
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16. Knowledge 101
โข Knowledge happens between the ears
โข An individual cognitive process and highly contextual:
โ โI only know what I know when I need to know itโ
โ knowledge is most useful when it is needed
โข Revealed in artifacts (writing, art, formulae, products etc), skills,
experience, rules of thumb and natural talent (Dave Snowden)
โข Across quite different domains:
โ Including local, Indigenous, scientific, strategic (organisational)
โข And different sectors:
โ research, policy, management, planning, extension, education, monitoring
โข People default to known, trusted, accessible sources
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17. The Cynefin knowledge framework*
โข Climate change spans all of
these domains
โข If temp increase > 2ยบC, then
disorder & chaos will reign
โข The challenge is to handle the
necessary range of
simultaneous responses
โ to work in all of these domains
at once
โ to develop a system-wide
perspective
โ & the knowledge systems and
learning strategies to underpin
that perspective
* David Snowden & Mary Boone (2007)
16 โLeader's Framework for Decision Makingโ Harvard Business Review
18. Observations on the current situation
โข Community concern exceeds political will
โข Knowledge at all levels is patchy
โ โDe Nile ainโt just a river in Egyptโฆโ
โข The overall NRM/Ag knowledge system lacks cohesion
โ Research investment is concentrated in a few big players
โ Alternative technologies/approaches struggle for funds
โ Cross-system learning is poor
โ Especially across climate-carbon-water-energy-food system
boundaries
โข Climate chaos/water/energy literacy is far too low
โ in the wider community
โ in the bureaucracy
โ in corporate boardrooms & management
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19. Response
Options
We need to be
operating in each of
these quadrants
Develop research
partnerships +/or
link into existing
collaborations
18
Source: FFI CRC EverCrop
20. Beware of
generalising
Nurioopta
Eden Valley
N Lyndoch
Source: Peter Hayman
21. We need a third agricultural revolution
โ what might it look like?
โข Closed loop farming systems (water, energy, nutrients, carbon)
โข Farming systems producing renewable bioenergy
โข Smart metering, sensing, telemetry, robotics, guidance
โข Understanding & use of soil microbial activity (&GM)
โข Urban food production (roofs etc), recycling waste streams & urban
water and nutrients
โข Detailed product specification (e.g. Tesco)
โข โCarbon plusโ offsets and incentives
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22. A detour: woody biomass
energy
โข Learning from the Vikings:
โ Finland: same area and population as Victoria, tougher
climate, shorter growing season, slower growth rates
โ Private forestry thinnings etc produce 23% of Finlandโs
primary energy, over 75% of thermal energy needs, and
20% of Finlandโs electricity
โ In Sweden it is 20% with a target of 40%
โข Foran et al suggest woody biomass energy can fuel
Australia
โข WA already has a pilot plant using mallees
21 โ Verve Energy at Narrogin
24. Transition to carbon-neutral,
energy-positive rural landscapes
โข We should market โcarbon plusโ grass-fed, rain-fed, red
meat
โ Which means significant offsets built-in to grazing systems
โ Potential benefits for habitat, micro-climate, aesthetics, water
quality, shelter, bioenergy and carbon
โข BUT: MIS schemes show that, without good planning &
controls, the market will default to large monoculture plantations
replacing agriculture, not integrated into farming (sub-prime
carbon!)
โข
โข
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33. NRM: sequential vs parallel evolution
Three major developments in NRM over the last 20
years:
1. Community landcare
2. The regional model
3. Assets-based approach โ evidence-based targeting
โข There is a tendency to see these developments as
sequential: each supplanting the previous approach
โข In fact they should be implemented in parallel
โ They are complementary, mutually reinforcing
โ Synergistic with good planning & delivery
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34. The human dimension
โข Managing whole landscapes
- landscapes: โwhere nature meets cultureโ (Simon Schama)
- landscapes are socially constructed
- beyond โecological apartheidโ
- sustainability means people management
- engage values, perceptions, aspirations, behaviour
- build knowledge grounded in a sense of place
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35. An engaged community base is crucial
โข Rapid, often surprising, on-going environmental change will
challenge governments and industries, and stress communities.
โข Many responses (proactive and reactive) will need to be worked out
at regional and local levels. Successful implementation of tough
decisions depends on community support.
โข This requires environmentally literate and capable delivery
frameworks at regional scale, involving community leaders and
engaging grassroots volunteers.
โข Convergence in climate, energy, water and food mandates an
integrated planning & delivery framework
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36. A Prime Ministerial Mandate
Kevin Rudd, Westminster Abbey, 31 March 2009:
suggesting that the free market needs a moral compass:
โTo these values of security, liberty and prosperity
must also be grafted the values of
equity, of sustainability and community.โ
โข Equity, Sustainability, Communityโฆ
โข Sounds like Landcare values to me
โ Revisit community engagement & empowerment models
โ Most adaptation knowledge will come from
the community, not from experts
โ web 2.0 is ideally suited here - social tools critical
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37. 4. IMPLICATIONS FOR LANDSCAPE SCIENCE
โข Consideration of whole landscapes is more crucial than ever
โข We need tools that can handle the convergence of carbon, water,
energy, food and health
โ how these interactions play out in rural landscapes
โ and regional economies
โข Make sure the portfolio is well weighted
โ From โmodifyโ and โadaptโ to โinnovateโ and โcreateโ
โข Be pluralistic in disciplines and methodologies
โข Pay attention to the whole knowledge system
โ For decisions, for innovation, and for long term learning
โข Seek to engage and work with community science
โ Invest in understanding the knowledge need
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38. Policy - putting it all together
โข โJoined-up Governmentโ has to be more than a slogan
โข New alliances, platforms, networks are needed
โข Climate chaos is both a row and a column
โข Planning for carbon, energy, transport, water, waste, fires,
health, food and demographics needs integration
โข This requires a solid and extensive evidence base in the โknownโ,
โknowableโ and โcomplexโ domains
โข Chaotic domains demand good adaptive tools
โ e.g. real-time monitoring, environmental literacy, scenarios
โ resilience attributes (flexibility, redundancy, buffering etc)
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39. A 7 point plan for renovating agriculture
and natural resources
1. Rejuvenate Landcare and Re-engage the Community
2. Reinforce the Regional/Catchment Model
3. Rewire Environmental Information Systems
4. Revolutionise Agricultural Research, Extension and Education
(rebrand agriculture around food, carbon, landscapes & energy)
5. Reform Drought Policy & Rural & Regional Services
6. Re-unite the Carbon, Water, Energy, Food & Farming agendas
7. Redesign the Institutional Architecture
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40. Underpinning principles
โข Building Resilience
โข Balancing centralism and subsidiarity
โข Re-engaging stakeholders and devolving responsibility
โข Taking the time necessary to sort through complex,
contested, connected issues
โข Building, sustaining and using a comprehensive evidence
base
โข Investing in skills, knowledge, innovation and leadership
โข Budgeting for longer term stability
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41. Take home messages
โข We are in a period of rapid environmental change
โ Not all predictable, often bewildering
โข This is not a blip. Normal service will not be resumed
โข Business as usual is not a viable trajectory
โ Not in business, not in policy and not in science
โข These are exciting days for landscape science
โข Food, carbon, water, energy, biodiversity & landscape
amenity
โ A compelling big picture agenda needs fleshing out
GO FOR IT!
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