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John Rolfe-Eidos Sustainable Development in Resource Intensive Regions

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The economics and impacts of resource developments John Rolfe CQUniversity
Resource developments are becoming more contested ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economics of resource development in regional areas ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Coal mine case study ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Applying economic analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Broad estimates of annual revenues & profits by coal price
Comparing benefits and costs of coal production At lowest expected price, and discounted over 16 years at 10%, coal will generate $552M in profits and royalties Maximum profit from cattle production in future on same resource is $3M
How does the same analysis apply to Coal Seam Gas in Surat Basin? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Gas well development is low intensity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Image Copyright Origin Energy, 2002.
Australia Pacific LNG example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why the level of protest? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Reason 1: distribution effects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Salary payments in Queensland LGAs with top ten expenditure areas labelled
Supplier expenditures in Queensland LGAs with top ten expenditure areas labelled
Total addition to Gross Regional Product by LGA
Input-output models used to estimate flow-on effects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Selected comparisons across LGAs
Modelled employment impacts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Distribution of economic impacts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Reason 2: Externalities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
APLNG example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Reason 3: Lifestyle and assumed property rights ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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