‘Wind in our Sails’ is about offshore wind energy and provides a detailed analysis of the sector’s rapidly developing supply chain. A growing industry with huge potential and massive developer interest, offshore is nonetheless facing a possible financing gap and an inadequate power grid. Questions answered in the report include; How much capacity is currently installed? Will there be enough turbines, foundations, cables, ships and ports. How much is under construction, consented and in government concession zones? How will the sector develop in the next few years? (November 2011)

1. Wind in our Sails
The coming of Europe’s offshore wind energy
industry

2. The coming of Europe’s
offshore wind energy industry

3. Cumulative offshore wind capacity
EU and non EU (1991 - 2010)
(MW)
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2001
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Cumulative
non EU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 102
Cumulative 5 5 5 7 12 29 9 2 2 36 86 256 515 605 695 787 1,106 1,479 2,063 2,946
EU
Source: EWEA

4. Annual offshore wind capacity
EU and non EU (1991 - 2010)
(MW)
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2001
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Annual
non EU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 102
Annual EU 5 0 0 2 5 17 0 3 0 4 51 170 259 90 90 3 318 374 584 883
Source: EWEA

5. Share of new installed capacity
in Europe in 2010
Finland 0%
Germany 6% (2.3 MW)
(50 MW)
Belgium 19%
(165 MW)
United Kingdom 52%
(458 MW)
Denmark 23%
(207 MW)
Source: EWEA

6. Total offshore wind market outlook
Offshore wind energy
market in the EU in 2011
• Total installed capacity of
4,000 MW
• Meeting 0.4% of total EU
electricity demand
• Annual installations of
1,000 MW
• Avoiding 9.9 Mt of CO2
annually
• Total electricity
production of 14.4 TWh
• Annual investments in
wind turbines of €2.8
billion.

7. Offshore wind energy market
in the EU in 2011
• Total installed capacity of 4,000 MW
• Meeting 0.4% of total EU electricity
demand
• Annual installations of 1,000 MW
• Avoiding 9.9 Mt of CO2 annually
• Total electricity production of 14.4 TWh
• Annual investments in wind turbines of
€2.8 billion.

8. Annual offshore wind capacity
EU and non EU (1991 - 2010)
(MW)
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
EWEA 4 5 8 11 14 17 22 27 33 40
NREAP’s 4 6 9 12 16 20 26 31 37 43
Source: EWEA

9. Historical onshore growth (1995 - 2005)
compared to EWEA's offshore projection (2010 - 2020)
(GW)
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1995 / 1996 / 1997 / 1998 / 1999 / 2000 / 2001 / 2002 / 2003 / 2004 / 2005 /
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Onshore 2,5 3,4 4,7 6,4 9,6 12,9 17,2 22,8 28,0 33,8 39,8
Offshore 2,9 3,9 5,3 8,1 10,9 14,0 17,4 21,6 26,7 33,1 40,0
Source: EWEA

10. Offshore wind electricity production
2010 - 2020
(TWh)
140 145
120
121
100
97
80
78
60 63
50
40
39.5
20 29
16 19
0
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Source: EWEA

11. Offshore wind energy market
in the EU in 2020
• Total installed capacity of 40,000 MW
• Meeting 4.2% of total EU electricity demand
• Annual installations of 6,900 MW
• Avoiding 102 Mt of CO2 annually
• Total electricity production of 148 TWh
• Annual investments in offshore wind turbines
of €10.4 billion
• Cumulative investments in offshore wind
turbines of €65.9 billion in the period 2011 -
2020.

12. Offshore wind energy market
in the EU in 2030
• Total installed capacity of 150,000 MW
• Annual installations of 13,700 MW
• Total electricity production of 562 TWh
• Meeting 13.9% of total EU electricity
demand
• Avoiding 315 Mt of CO2 in 2030
• Annual investments in offshore wind
turbines of €17 billion in 2030
• Cumulative investments of €145.2 billion
from 2021 to 2030

13. Onshore and offshore wind electricity
production 2021 - 2030
(TWh)
1,200
1,000
562
511
800 461
412
366
322
281
244
600 209
177
400
550 562 571 579 586 591
489 514 534
462
200
0
2029
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2030
Source: EWEA

14. A fluid supply chain
Wind Structural Electrical Marine Cable Cable EPCI Port
turbine fabricators suppliers contractors suppliers installers contractors operators
Manuf-
acturers
Example Siemens, SIF, ABB, A2Sea, Nexans, Technip, Fluor, Various
incumbent Vestas, Smulders, Siemens MPI, SHL, Prysmian, CT Van Oord,
s REpower, Bladt, EEW, Energy, Geosea ABB NKT, Offshore, ABJV, MT
Areva Weserwind, Alstom Grid Scanrope Global Hojgaard,
BiFAB, Aker Marine, DEME
Visser&Smit
Example BARD, GE, H&W, C&G Fred Olsen, DRAKA, Beluga Hochtief, Various
new Doosan, TAG, Tata, Beluga, JDR Saipem,
entrants Gamesa, Hereema, Inwind, Technip,
Alstom, ZPMC, GOAH, Subsea7
Nordex, Shinan, Sea Jacks
Mitsubishi Fabricom
Level 1        
Level 2        
Level 3
Legend:        
Ticks and crosses represent  Likely
likelihood of positioning  Possible
at relevant Level in the  Unlikely
contractual hierarchy:
Source: GL Garrad Hassan

15. Supply and demand for offshore wind
turbine technology in Europe
18,000
(TWh)
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Total (pessimistic) Total (central) Total (optimistic) Firm capacity Demand
(EWEA)
Source: GL Garrad Hassan

16. Historic offshore wind turbine
foundation market share (by year)
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2011
1998
2010
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2012
Monopile Grafity-based structure Space-frame
Source: GL Garrad Hassan

17. Analysis of supply and demand
for HV subsea cables
8000
7000
7,000
6000
6,000
5000
5,000
4000
4,000
3000
1,000
2,000
2000
1000
1,000
0 0
2010
20102011 2011 201220132013 20142014 2015
2012 2016 2017
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2018 2019 2020
2020
Demand Estimated supply Source: GL Garrad Hassan

18. Projected offshore installation vessel
supply and demand (vessels per annum)
Main installation vessels (offshore wind)
40
40
35
35
30
30
25
25
20
20
Demand - repair
Demand -
foundations
15
15
Demand - turbines
Supply – firm
10
10 capacity
Supply – low case
5 5 Supply – mid case
Supply – high case
0 0
2011
2014
2010
2012
2013
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: GL Garrad Hassan

19. Example of European ports
for offshore wind construction

20. About the European Wind Energy Association
EWEA is the voice of the wind industry, actively
promoting wind power in Europe and worldwide. It has
over 700 members from almost 60 countries making
EWEA the world's largest and most powerful wind energy
network.
Rue d'Arlon 80
B-1040 Brussels
Belgium
www.ewea.org

21. To download the pdf version click here
If you want to see more statistics, reports, news and
information about wind energy event please visit EWEA’s
website www.ewea.org or contact us at
communication@ewea.org