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Irish TIMES Energy Model - Dr. Brian Ó Gallachóir - EPA/SEAI Future Energy Workshop June 2011
1. Irish TIMES CCRP 2008 3.1 EPA Future Energy Workshop July 1 st 2011 B.P. Ó Gallachóir*, A. Chiodi*, D. Lavigne*, P. Deane*, H.E. Daly*, D. Doyle & M. Gargiulo** *Environmental Research Institute, UCC, Ireland ** e 4sma, Italy
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3. UCC Energy Policy and Modelling Dr. Brian Ó Gallachóir Principal Investigator Post-Doctoral Researchers Dr. Denis Lavigne (TIMES Energy Modelling) Dr. Ullash Kumar Rout (TIMES Energy Modelling) Aoife Foley (Modelling GHG Impacts of EVs) PhD Students Caiman Cahill (Energy Efficiency Industry) Denis Dineen (Residential Sector) Emer Dennehy (Energy Efficiency Evaluation) Fionn Rogan (Modelling Future Gas Demand) Hannah Daly (Private Car Transport) Declan Doyle (Industry in TIMES) Alessandro Chiodi (2050 Scenarios TIMES) Paul Deane (Pumped hydro in PLEXOS) MEngSc Students Liam McLaughlin (Energy Efficiency Industry) Patrick Calnan (Modelling EVs within PLEXOS)
51. Irish TIMES CCRP 2008 3.1 EPA Future Energy Workshop July 1 st 2011 B.P. Ó Gallachóir*, A. Chiodi*, D. Lavigne*, P. Deane*, H.E. Daly*, D. Doyle & M. Gargiulo** *Environmental Research Institute, UCC, Ireland ** e 4sma, Italy
Hinweis der Redaktion
Agriculture Combustion (energy) represnt only 2% of emissions Industry (Energy) 14% Non-ETS
3. Generates the car stock under different sales scenarios – this scenarios has 10% EVs and CNGVs each in the stock by 2020. TIMES can inform the sales assumptions 4. These lines represent energy demand in “cumulative” scenarios.. Each incorporates the savings of the above scenario.
GNP + 1.7% p.a.
-23.8% relative to 2005, +12.2% relative to 1990
4.5 Mt reduced by reinforced actions in Energy 9.5 Mt expected reduction from AGR by 2050 (–49% relative to 2005)
Reduction in RSD (16.9%) and TRA (13.5%)
Reduction in RSD (16.9%) and TRA (13.5%)
Role of efficiency___80%: 40% ELC, 34% GAS, 25% RNW___95%: 78% ELC, 15% RNW
Role of efficiency___80%: 40% ELC, 34% GAS, 25% RNW___95%: 78% ELC, 15% RNW
Relatively to 2005: Almost doubled the elc use in -80%CO2 (73%), while 1,5 times in 95%CO2 (141%). Electrificarion also in REF (+40%) Relatively to REF increase Industry-RESIDENTIAL-Transport and in 95% also services
Relatively to 2005: Almost doubled the elc use in -80%CO2 (73%), while 1,5 times in 95%CO2 (141%). Electrificarion also in REF (+40%) Relatively to REF increase Services-RESIDENTIAL-Transport (and Industry) and in 95% also services
Have feedbacks on this graph and mostly on RES-T -80% RES: more than 70%; -95% RES: almost 90%