1. EPA: Greenhouse Gas Emissions and the Transport
Sector
Laura Burke, Director
Office of Climate, Licensing,
Research and Resource Use
EPA Transport Seminar
October 14th 2011

2. Introduction
 EPA reports greenhouse gas emissions from all sectors of
the economy including transport on an annual basis
 Reporting covers both historical and future emissions
 Allows progress to be tracked against key national targets
including the Kyoto Protocol and EU 2020 targets
 EPA funds a range of transport-related research projects
 Informs development and formulation of policy

3. National GHG emissions 1990-2009
-3%
70 +21% -8%
60
CO2e, Mtonnes
50
40
30
20
10
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Energy Residential Industry & Commercial Agriculture Transport Waste

4. Transport GHG emissions 1990-2009
25.0
20.0
Mtonnes, CO2e
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Energy Residential Industry & Commercial Agriculture Transport Waste

5. GHG emissions 1990 and 2009
Waste
Waste, 1.9%
2.4%
Transport Transport, 21.1% Energy, 21.1%
9.4% Energy
20.8%
Agriculture Residential Residential, 12.0%
36.4% 13.6%
Agriculture, 29.1%
Industry &
Industry & Commercial, 14.8%
54.8 Mt CO2 eq. Commercial 62.3 Mt CO2 eq.
17.5%
1990 2009

6. National GHG Projections
70 -7%
60
50 -8%
CO2e, Mtonnes
40
30
20
10
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Energy Residential Industry & Commercial Agriculture Transport Waste

7. Transport policies and measures to 2020
 10% renewables by 2020 including 10% Electric Vehicles
 VRT / Motor Tax changes
 Technological improvements to the private car fleet
 Efficient driving – ecodriving measures
 Mobility management - Travel Plans
 E-Working
 More sustainable public transport fleets

8. Distance to Kyoto Target
 Annual gap to Kyoto Target 1.3 - 1.6 Mtonnes
 Total projected gap 6.5 - 8.0 Mtonnes
 Total purchases to date 8.3 million credits
 (C&AG report 2009)
 Possible NESA Returns 5.0 million credits

9. 2020 Targets – non-ETS Sectors
 Non-ETS Sectors  The target for Ireland for
non-ETS sectors is to
reduce emissions by 20%
 Agriculture in 2020 relative to 2005
levels
 Transport
 Residential
 This is provisionally
 Industry & Commercial
calculated as 37.4
 Waste Mtonnes of CO2e in 2020
 Annual targets between
2013 and 2020

10. Non-ETS emissions projections
2013-2020 (without carbon sink)
50
45
40
35
CO2e, Mtonnes
30
Under best case scenario, Ireland will
25
exceed its annual limit in 2016
20
15
10
5
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
WAM non-ETS Emissions Projection (without sinks) Annual Limits WAM

11. Sectoral share of non-ETS in 2020
Industry&
Transport, 29%
Commercial, 10%
Residential, 13%
Waste, 2%
Agriculture, 46%
Energy - non-
CO2, 0%
Energy - non-CO2 Agriculture Transport Industry& Commercial Residential Waste

12. EPA Climate Change Research Programme
 EPA climate change research is carried out under four
thematic research areas:
 Theme 1 Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Sinks and Management
Systems
 Theme 2 Ireland and Future Climate, Impacts and Adaptation
 Theme 3 Socio-Economic and Technological Climate Solutions
and Transition Management
 Theme 4 Trans-Boundary Air Pollution / Short Life Climate Forcers
 Awards grant and fellowships in the thematic areas
 Most transport-related research in Theme 3 and Theme 4

13. EPA Transport-related research
 National Transport Model for Ireland: Feasibility Study and
Roadmap in conjunction with Department of Transport
and National Transport Authority (2011)
 Barriers to Sustainable Transport in Ireland, Trinity
College Dublin (2011)
 Modelling the Impact of Electric Vehicles on Greenhouse
Gas Emissions, UCC (2012)
 Irish TIMES Energy Modelling, UCC (2011)

14. Conclusions
 Transport has been the fastest growing sector in terms of
greenhouse gas emissions since 1990
 EPA reports greenhouse gas emissions from all sectors of
the economy including transport on an annual basis
 Informs development of transport policy and also ensures
sustainability in a broader sense
 EPA funds a range of transport-research projects to
understand the transport sector and address key
information gaps

15. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections
(without carbon sinks)
70
+3%
60
-7%
50
Mtonnes, CO2e
40
30
20
10
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
With Measures With Additional Measures