1. Status Quo and Potential
The German Energy Transition
How Does It Work and What Does It Mean for Jordan?
25 September 2012
Days Inn Hotel Amman
Raouf Dabbas

2. Electrical Energy Consumption
2008
Water
Pumping
Street lighting 15% Household
2% 39%
Industrial
27%
Commercial
17%

3. Energy saving per sector:
Street lighting
Water pumping
Transport 30%
20%
20% 20%
30%
`
Commercial
Houshold
Industrial

4. Primary Energy
1%
32%
66%
1%
Oil & Oil Products Renewable Energy
Natural Gas Imported Electricity

5. Sectorial Electricity Consumption
Forecast (GWh)
9000
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Domestic Commercial Industrial
Service Water pumping Street lighting

6. Primary Energy Demand Forecast & the
Contribution of EE and RE in Energy Mix
Hypothetical Energy Use
18000
16773
16000
Primary Energy Forecast (1000 toe)
14000
13252
12000 12079
10000
8000
6000
Total Primary Energy
4000
Primary Energy with Energy Efficiency measures
2000 Primary Energy with Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
years

7. Where do
we go from
here?

8. Savings of 20 - 30% of final energy consumption per sector represents a reduction in
annual energy cost of Jordan of about 620 million JOD*
1,037 ca. -200
Cost of energy consumed in
million JOD 2008
Cost of energy consumed 2008 in million JOD
829 Cost of energy consumed in million
JOD incl. energy-efficiency measures
ca. -190 to save x% of 2008 consumption
ca. -120
642 Cost savings in million JOD due
-x m. to sector-specific (NERC)
593 JOD energy savings**
474 ca. -80
450
391
313
ca. -25 ca. -5
-20% -30% -20% -20%
energy savings energy savings energy savings energy savings
86 60 14 10
Transport Industry Household Commercial Water Street
pumping lighting
-30%
energy savings
* Internal estimations (Ministry of Environment/ CIM)
** Calculated by applying the sectors’ share in final energy consumption to the total cost of consumed energy (2008=2,763 Million JOD; MEMR-Facts & Figures)

9. Direct Solar Irradiance in EUMENA in kWh/m²/y
water power
Desert area required for:
1 km² is enough to desalinate 165,000 m³/day.
50 km x 50 km are needed to avoid the MENA water deficit in 2050.
Solar irradiance 2400 kWh/m²/year x 10 % CSP efficiency / 4 kWh/m³ RO power consumption / 365 days/year = 0.165 m³/m²/day

10. Annual average windspeed :

15. The Green Economy Sectors in Jordan
A system of economic  Agriculture
activities related to the  Building
production, distribution  Cities
and consumption of goods  Energy
and services that result Finance
in improved human well-  Forest
being over the long term,  Manufacturing
while not exposing future  Tourism
generations to
environmental risks and  Transport
ecological scarcities.  Waste
 Water
Modeling

 Enabling Conditions

16. Policy recommended incentives

18. Thank you