1. The German Energy
Transition
Amman, September 25, 2012
By Arne Jungjohann
Program Director, Environment, HBF Washington DC
www.boell.org Arne.Jungjohann@us.boell.org @EnergiewendeGER
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America
1432 K Street, NW, Suite 500, Washington, DC 20005, USA

2. Washington, DC . Mexico City . San Salvador . Rio de Janeiro . Santiago de Chile . Lagos . Cape Town
Nairobi . Addis Ababa . Berlin . Brussels . Warsaw . Prague . Sarajevo . Belgrade . Zagreb . Istanbul
Kiev . Moscow . Tbilisi . Kabul . Lahore . New Dheli . Chiang Mai . Phnom Penh . Beijing

3. Part I – The German Energy Transition
Part II –Solar Power and Community Ownership
Part III – Outlook
The Green Political Foundation 3

4. Germany: High investment certainty for
Contribution of renewable energy sources to electricity
renewable energysupply in Germany
120,000
Hydropower Wind energy EEG:
January 2009
Biomass * Photovoltaics
100,000
EEG:
August 2004
EEG:
80,000
April 2000
[GWh]
Amendment to BauGB:
60,000
November 1997
40,000 StromEinspG:
January 1991 - March 2000
20,000
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
* Solid and liquid biomass, biogas, sewage and landfill gas, biogenic share of waste; electricity from geothermal energy not presented due to negligible quantities produced; 1 GWh = 1 Mill. kWh;
StromEinspG: Act on the Sale of Electricity to the Grid; BauGB: Construction Code; EEG: Renewable Energy Sources Act;
Source: BMU-KI III 1 according to Working Group on Renewable Energy-Statistics (AGEE-Stat); image: BMU / Christoph Edelhoff; as at: December 2011; all figures provisional
The Green Political Foundation 4

5. Germany with long-term, comprehensive
climate and energy strategy
Renewable share in Renewable share in Greenhouse Gas
gross energy gross electricity Emissions in
consumption consumption comparison to 1990%
2020 18% at least 35% minus 40%
2030 30% 50%
2040 45% 65%
2050 60% 80% minus 80%
The Green Political Foundation 5

6. Fukushima nuclear accident accelerates
German phase-out: by 2022
Before Fukushima:
• 17 NPP operating up to 2032
• providing 22% of power (2010)
• ~20 GW installed capacity
After Fukushima:
• Immediate shutdown of 8 NPP
• providing 18% of power (2011)
• gradual phase-out by 2022 of
remaining 9 NPP
The Green Political Foundation 6

7. Public support and subsidies (1970-2012)
The Green Political Foundation 7

8. International Perception of the “Energiewende”
Coming soon www.energy-transition.de
The Green Political Foundation 8

9. Fighting climate change can be an economic
strategy of industrial modernization
130%
120%
110%
100% GHG emissions in CO2-Equiv. (BY
1991=100)
90% GDP per capita (BY 1991=100)
80%
70%
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
Source: BMWI, Statistisches Bundesamt
The Green Political Foundation 9

10. Economic success story:
Renewable energies are a job engine
The Green Political Foundation 10

11. The Green Political Foundation 11

12. Part I – The German Energy Transition
Part II – Solar Power and Community Ownership
Part III – Outlook
The Green Political Foundation 12

13. Germany is the world largest solar PV market
The Green Political Foundation 13

14. Solar PV costs decreased by 65% over last years
The Green Political Foundation 14

15. Driving down costs for solar PV
July 2012
The Green Political Foundation 15

16. The Green Political Foundation 16

17. Energy Cooperatives across the Country
• By 2012 more than 800 energy coops
• Advantage: Investment and risks are
broadly spread, limited liability
• Example Bad Neustadt: Municipality
provided roof for solar pv system
• Minimum participation of 2000€,
~200 citizens involved
• Result: 235,000 kWh electricity and
>5.5% profits per year
The Green Political Foundation 17

18. Part I – The German Energy Transition
Part II –Solar Power and Community Ownership
Part III – Outlook
The Green Political Foundation 18

19. April 1, 2012: Renewables record day
Solar Wind
The Green Political Foundation 19

20. Renewables shave peak demand, lower prices
Electricity Production in Germany: April 2012
The Green Political Foundation 20

21. The Road to the Renewables Era
Renewable Energies
Future Grids Efficiency
Source: BMU
The Green Political Foundation 21

22. Conclusion: The German Energy Transition…
1. is an ambitious, but feasible undertaking.
2. is driven by communities, citizens and small investors.
3. will provide a competitive advantage for export
orientated German industry.
4. illustrates that fighting climate change and phasing
out nuclear power can be two sides of the same coin.
5. is affordable for Germany, and it will likely be even
more affordable for other countries.
The Green Political Foundation 22

23. The good news: If this works in Germany…
Source: iMaps © GeoModel Solar
The Green Political Foundation 23

24. Thank you!
Arne Jungjohann
Mail Arne.Jungjohann@us.boell.org
Twitter @EnergiewendeGER
Web http://www.boell.org/
Heinrich Böll Foundation North America
1432 K Street, NW
Suite 500
Washington, DC 20005, USA
The Green Political Foundation 24

25. Energy Revolution: Wind and solar PV already
close to baseload in Germany
90
80
Nov peak 80 GW
70
60
Summer peak
70 GW Target offshore
50
10 GW
40 Target onshore PV target
46 GW 52 GW
30
Baseload Wind 29 GW
20
40 GW PV 25 GW
10
0
Peak power demand Installed onshore wind, 2011/target/offshore Installed PV, 2011/target
winter/summer/baseload
The Green Political Foundation 25