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Aluminum-Intensive Vehicles: Fuel
   Efficient, Safe and Affordable

            Randall Scheps



    Aluminum Association’s Auto and
           Light Truck Group
Aluminum-Intensive Vehicles: Fuel
   Efficient, Safe and Affordable
Topics:
    Reducing CO2 Emissions
    Performance Advantages
    Impact On Fuel Efficiency
    Building Safer Vehicles




                                    1
Aluminum’s Performance Advantages

      Mass                             Better Fuel Economy
  Reduction




              Infinitely    Reduced
              Recyclable   Emissions




   Enhanced
Performance
                                         Improved Safety



                                                        2
Automotive Aluminum Is Everywhere




       Aluminum growth has risen for nearly four decades.
       Average vehicle today contains over 320 pounds of aluminum.
                                                                     3
Global Megatrends
                                 Stock of Light -Duty Vehicles

1 billion global LV population
by 2020
Emerging markets growth
Urbanization


                                 Liquid Fossil Fuel Consumption
Growing fuel consumption
CO2 concern                                     Transport is 2/3 of
                                                    the growth

Efficiency of transport must
improve


                                                                      4
Lightweighting With Aluminum
       Is Part Of Solution
                                                               30


                                                               25

Aluminum saves CO2 net of its
                                                                                       2.4




                                kg of CO2 per kg of aluminum
                                                               20

production energy vs. steel                                    15
                                                                       25.3
                                                                                                         22.9
                                                               10


                                                               5


                                                               0
                                                                    Savings in      Aluminum        Net Savings per

Huge CO2 and fuel reduction                                         Operation    Production (Net)   kg of aluminum




potential                                                       = Billions of Metric Tons

Highly complimentary with                                                          10% reduction possible

advanced drivetrains
Improves safety
Cost effective
                                                                                                                      5
5-7% Fuel Savings For 10% Weight
           Reduction
 Ricardo Inc. Study Objectives:
 • Quantify impact of vehicle weight reduction
   (5%, 10%, 20%)
     o   Fuel economy
     o   Performance
 •   Quantify impact of weight reduction with engine
     downsizing
     o   Maintain vehicle performance level
 •   Evaluate weight reduction with different engine types
     o   Gasoline
     o   Diesel
                                                   Source:

                                                             6
Vehicle Selection
 •   From five vehicle classes
     o   Representative range of vehicle weights and engines
     o   Passenger and light-duty truck
 •   Vehicle class / comparator vehicle




Small Car/Mini Cooper    Mid-Size Car/Ford Fusion   Small SUV/Saturn Vue

          Large SUV/Ford Explorer          Truck/Toyota Tundra




                                                                           7
Simulation Model

•   Physics-based for each configuration
    o   Vehicle
    o   Engine
    o   Driving schedule
•   Simulates accelerator and/or braking to achieve driving
    schedule
•   Runs on a millisecond-by-millisecond basis
•   Simulates speed and fuel usage
•   Industry standard drive cycles (EPA & ECE)



                                                              8
Vehicle Performance Matching
•   Matched Wide Open Throttle (WOT) performance

•   All fuel economy simulations were performed at ETW

•   Accounted for additional cargo weight

•   Engines were downsized to give equivalent performance




                                                            9
Model Validation
•   Simulation results compared to published data for
    comparator vehicle
    o    No attempt to “calibrate” models
                      Simulation
                                     Simulated Fuel Economy vs. Comparator (% diff)
                    Roadload Force
        VEHICLE       Maximum
                     Variation vs.   EPA City       EPA Highway         Combined
                     Comparator
        Small Car       0.2%           2.5%             -0.6%              1.3%
    Mid-Size Car        2.5%           0.2%             -1.4%              -0.4%
    Small SUV           1.1%           1.8%             -4.4%              -0.4%
    Large SUV           1.7%           5.9%             -1.1%              3.5%
         Truck          -1.3%          2.2%             -1.9%              0.7%




                                                                                      10
Equivalent Performance With Less
           Horsepower




           Mid-Size Car 3.0L-4V Gas Engine with Variable Intake Cam Timing




                                                                             11
20% Weight Reduction Gives
 14.3% MPG Improvement




         Mid-Size Car 3.0L-4V Gas Engine with Variable Intake Cam Timing




                                                                           12
Fuel Economy Universally Improved
                                                                                                                            Gasoline
                                15
   % Fuel Economy Improvement




                                13

                                11

                                9                                                                                                 AIV RESIZED

                                7                                  AIV
                                5

                                3        PART SUB.
                                1
                                     0          5                       10                   15                     20                  25

                                                                        % Weight Reduction
                                               Small Car - Resized Engine                         Mid Size Car - Resized Engine

                                               Small SUV - Resized Engine                         Large SUV - Resized Engine

                                               Truck - Resized Engine                             Small Car - Baseline Engine
                                               Mid Size Car - Baseline Engine                     Small SUV - Baseline Engine

                                               Large SUV - Baseline Engine                        Truck - Baseline Engine




                                                                                                                                                13
Weight Saving Potential With
            Aluminum



Baseline Vehicle   10% Weight Reduction   20% Weight Reduction
   3500 lbs.            3150 lbs.              2800 lbs.




                                                                 14
Possible Fuel Economy Savings
              Up To 14.3%
•   Fuel economy improvement of 5-7% is expected with
    10% reduction in weight

•   Excellent correlation between simulation and actual
    vehicle

•   Similar results for gasoline and diesel engine vehicles

•   What about hybrids and advanced powertrains?
                                                      Source:



                                                                15
Weight And Alternative Powertrain
             Equation
Future offers lighter,
cleaner vehicles for all
consumers.


                                       Chevy Tahoe (Hybrid Electric)




       Chevy Volt          Honda FCX Clarity                 Toyota Prius
    (Plug-In Hybrid)          (Fuel Cell)                      (Hybrid)

                                                                            16
More Cost Effective To Reduce Mass




                                     17
Maximizing Powertrains In
                                         Cost-Effective Manner
                           $300


                           $250                                                          Midsize Steel Hybrid
Cost per 1 MPG increment




                           $200

                                                                                                  Midsize Aluminum Hybrid
                           $150

                                                                                 Midsize Steel Diesel
                           $100

                                                                                          Midsize Aluminum Diesel
                            $50
                                                Midsize Aluminum
                                   Midsize          Baseline
                             $0     Steel
                                0% Baseline                                30%           40%             50%            60%
                                              10%           20%

                                                                   Percent Increase in MPG



                                                                                                                              18
Key Takeaway:
Aluminum Is Fuel-Efficient Solution
•   Use of aluminum boosts fuel economy
    o   5 % to 7% fuel saving can be realized for every 10% weight
        reduction


•   Provides even greater benefits – including cost savings –
    when used as a complement to advanced powertrains
    o   Quicker payback period for consumer




                                                                     19
Reduce Weight, Not Size

•    Direct benefits:
      o   Absorbs more energy, pound for pound, than steel
      o   Predictable deformation
      o   Not strain-rate sensitive
      o   Extruded structures – design flexibility


                                                                      W/t = 60...80
                                                                      W = width
    Better crash compatibility –                                      t = wall thickness       Aluminum

    reduce weight, not size
                                       Mass Specific EA (kJ/kg)


                                                                                               Steel




                                                                  1        2        3      4           5   6   7
                                                                      t
                                                                  W


                                                                                                                   20
Building Safer Vehicles With Aluminum
  •    Secondary benefits:
        o   Handling (accident avoidance) advantages
        o   Braking distance reduction
  •    We believe aluminum can build a safer car than steel




      Jaguar XJ                          Audi A8




                                                              21
Studying Affect Of Weight On Safety
•   Objective of the DRI (Dynamic Research Inc.) Study:
    o   - Interplay of vehicle weight vs. size in occupant protection
•   Methodology:
    o   - Real-world crash data from 3500 collisions
    o   - Car to SUV, SUV to SUV, and SUV to fixed obstacle
    o   - NCAP pulse and NASS/CDS descriptors
    o   - ELU (Injury Index) as proxy for occupant safety
•   Scenarios:
    o   - 20% weight reduction – no length reduction
    o   - 4 inch length increase – no weight increase


                                                                        22
Improving Occupant Safety
•   Adding crush space without adding weight improves ELU
    27%
•   Reducing weight further improves fleet safety
                                           ELU Scenarios


                    100
                                                27%
                                85.9                              28%
                     80
                                               63.0               61.8
                     60
                                                                               Other Car
              ELU




                                                                               Driver
                     40

                     20

                      0
                                Baseline    Added Length     Reduced Weight
                                           Constant Weight   Constant Length
           SUV to Car Crashes



                                                                                           23
Improving Occupant Safety
                                               Total ELU's                  Net Benefit (%)
                                                Reduced    Increased    Reduced     Increased
             Crash      Number        Baseline
                                                 Weight      Length      Weight       Length
             Type       of Cases     Case SUV
                                               Case SUV Case SUV       Case SUV Case SUV
         Rollover           175         2.23       2.48        0.53       -11.2         76.2
SUV      Hit Object         420         2.54       1.74        0.81        31.5         68.1
Driver   Hit PC            1750         1.21       2.47        1.19      -104.1          1.7
         Hit LTV           1155        25.97      22.03       21.61        15.2         16.8
         Subtotal          3500        31.95      28.72       24.14        10.1         24.4
 OV      In PC             1750         28.00      9.70      16.79        65.4        40.0
Driver   In LTV            1155         25.99     23.40      22.09        10.0        15.0
         Subtotal          2905         53.99     33.10      38.88        38.7        28.0
         Overall       3500 SUV
                                        85.94     61.82      63.02        28.1        26.7
         Total         + 2905 OV


   20% Reduced Weight SUV and Conventional Cars




                                                                                                24
Aluminum Safety In Action
Crush Rail:
•   56% mass savings vs. mild steel – ( 38% vs. HSS )
•   Lower peak loads
•   Consistent crush performance at all speeds

                                                                                    Aluminum Rail
                                                                                    Steel Rail
                                                   250



                                 Crush Load (kN)
                                                   200


                                                   150


                                                   100


                                                   50


                                                    0
                                                         0   50       100     150       200   250
                                                                  Crush Distance (mm)


                                                                                                    25
Aluminum Safety In Action
Knee Bolster:
Aluminum can play a key role
in energy management in
vehicle interiors
•   Example:
    o Extruded knee bolster
       consolidates three parts into
       one
    o 48% weight reduction vs.
       steel
    o 50th percentile male unbelted
       sled test passed for a N.
       American OEM

                                       26
Key Takeaways: Weight Reduction
   Proves Beneficial To Safety

 Size – not weight – is best determinant of vehicle safety
 Aluminum can safely take weight out
 Aluminum performs as well, if not better than steel in
 crash
 Aluminum offers design flexibility and innovative
 solutions for energy management




                                                             27
Auto Aluminum Use Climbs
      North American Light Vehicle Aluminum Content

12%
                                                                                                10.4%
                                                                                        9.6%
10%
                                                                        8.7% 8.8%
                                                                 7.8%
8%                                                       6.9%
                                                 6.1%
6%                                      5.1%
                                4.5%
                        3.9%
4%
         2.0%   2.1%
2%

0%
        1970    1975   1980    1985    1990     1995    2000     2005    2009   2010F   2015F   2020F

                               Aluminum Share as Percentage of Curb Weight




                                                                                                        28
All Modes of Transport Benefit
                                                                       Specific Savings                   **
                                                             (Tons of CO2 per ton of w eight save)


                                          60
          Tons CO2 per Ton Weight Saved

                                               53
                                          50

                                          40
                                                                     28
                                          30
                                                                                                               23
                                                                                 18
                                          20

                                          10
                                                                                                3
                                          0



                                                                              Constrained



                                                                                            Constrained
                                               Bus - Urban




                                                                                                               Car
                                                                   Suburban
                                                                     Bus -



                                                                                Truck -



                                                                                              Truck -
                                                                                              Volume
                                                                                Weight



Potential Weight Savings: 3000-3500 lbs                                        3500-4500 lbs               300-500 lbs

       IFEU Heidelberg study 2003 for EAA                                                                        ** vs. steel 29
Aluminum Potential To Be
                 GHG-Neutral
          700

          650          GHG Emissions

          600          Transport Savings

          550

          500
Mt CO2e




          450

          400

          350

          300

          250

          200
                   2000         2005        2010         2015        2020         2025

          Potential emissions savings from transport growing faster than emissions from
          aluminum production


                                                                                          30
Aluminum-Intensive Vehicles: Fuel
   Efficient, Safe and Affordable

            Randall Scheps



    Aluminum Association’s Auto and
           Light Truck Group

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2009 feb sae_govmtg_pres

  • 1. Aluminum-Intensive Vehicles: Fuel Efficient, Safe and Affordable Randall Scheps Aluminum Association’s Auto and Light Truck Group
  • 2. Aluminum-Intensive Vehicles: Fuel Efficient, Safe and Affordable Topics: Reducing CO2 Emissions Performance Advantages Impact On Fuel Efficiency Building Safer Vehicles 1
  • 3. Aluminum’s Performance Advantages Mass Better Fuel Economy Reduction Infinitely Reduced Recyclable Emissions Enhanced Performance Improved Safety 2
  • 4. Automotive Aluminum Is Everywhere Aluminum growth has risen for nearly four decades. Average vehicle today contains over 320 pounds of aluminum. 3
  • 5. Global Megatrends Stock of Light -Duty Vehicles 1 billion global LV population by 2020 Emerging markets growth Urbanization Liquid Fossil Fuel Consumption Growing fuel consumption CO2 concern Transport is 2/3 of the growth Efficiency of transport must improve 4
  • 6. Lightweighting With Aluminum Is Part Of Solution 30 25 Aluminum saves CO2 net of its 2.4 kg of CO2 per kg of aluminum 20 production energy vs. steel 15 25.3 22.9 10 5 0 Savings in Aluminum Net Savings per Huge CO2 and fuel reduction Operation Production (Net) kg of aluminum potential = Billions of Metric Tons Highly complimentary with 10% reduction possible advanced drivetrains Improves safety Cost effective 5
  • 7. 5-7% Fuel Savings For 10% Weight Reduction Ricardo Inc. Study Objectives: • Quantify impact of vehicle weight reduction (5%, 10%, 20%) o Fuel economy o Performance • Quantify impact of weight reduction with engine downsizing o Maintain vehicle performance level • Evaluate weight reduction with different engine types o Gasoline o Diesel Source: 6
  • 8. Vehicle Selection • From five vehicle classes o Representative range of vehicle weights and engines o Passenger and light-duty truck • Vehicle class / comparator vehicle Small Car/Mini Cooper Mid-Size Car/Ford Fusion Small SUV/Saturn Vue Large SUV/Ford Explorer Truck/Toyota Tundra 7
  • 9. Simulation Model • Physics-based for each configuration o Vehicle o Engine o Driving schedule • Simulates accelerator and/or braking to achieve driving schedule • Runs on a millisecond-by-millisecond basis • Simulates speed and fuel usage • Industry standard drive cycles (EPA & ECE) 8
  • 10. Vehicle Performance Matching • Matched Wide Open Throttle (WOT) performance • All fuel economy simulations were performed at ETW • Accounted for additional cargo weight • Engines were downsized to give equivalent performance 9
  • 11. Model Validation • Simulation results compared to published data for comparator vehicle o No attempt to “calibrate” models Simulation Simulated Fuel Economy vs. Comparator (% diff) Roadload Force VEHICLE Maximum Variation vs. EPA City EPA Highway Combined Comparator Small Car 0.2% 2.5% -0.6% 1.3% Mid-Size Car 2.5% 0.2% -1.4% -0.4% Small SUV 1.1% 1.8% -4.4% -0.4% Large SUV 1.7% 5.9% -1.1% 3.5% Truck -1.3% 2.2% -1.9% 0.7% 10
  • 12. Equivalent Performance With Less Horsepower Mid-Size Car 3.0L-4V Gas Engine with Variable Intake Cam Timing 11
  • 13. 20% Weight Reduction Gives 14.3% MPG Improvement Mid-Size Car 3.0L-4V Gas Engine with Variable Intake Cam Timing 12
  • 14. Fuel Economy Universally Improved Gasoline 15 % Fuel Economy Improvement 13 11 9 AIV RESIZED 7 AIV 5 3 PART SUB. 1 0 5 10 15 20 25 % Weight Reduction Small Car - Resized Engine Mid Size Car - Resized Engine Small SUV - Resized Engine Large SUV - Resized Engine Truck - Resized Engine Small Car - Baseline Engine Mid Size Car - Baseline Engine Small SUV - Baseline Engine Large SUV - Baseline Engine Truck - Baseline Engine 13
  • 15. Weight Saving Potential With Aluminum Baseline Vehicle 10% Weight Reduction 20% Weight Reduction 3500 lbs. 3150 lbs. 2800 lbs. 14
  • 16. Possible Fuel Economy Savings Up To 14.3% • Fuel economy improvement of 5-7% is expected with 10% reduction in weight • Excellent correlation between simulation and actual vehicle • Similar results for gasoline and diesel engine vehicles • What about hybrids and advanced powertrains? Source: 15
  • 17. Weight And Alternative Powertrain Equation Future offers lighter, cleaner vehicles for all consumers. Chevy Tahoe (Hybrid Electric) Chevy Volt Honda FCX Clarity Toyota Prius (Plug-In Hybrid) (Fuel Cell) (Hybrid) 16
  • 18. More Cost Effective To Reduce Mass 17
  • 19. Maximizing Powertrains In Cost-Effective Manner $300 $250 Midsize Steel Hybrid Cost per 1 MPG increment $200 Midsize Aluminum Hybrid $150 Midsize Steel Diesel $100 Midsize Aluminum Diesel $50 Midsize Aluminum Midsize Baseline $0 Steel 0% Baseline 30% 40% 50% 60% 10% 20% Percent Increase in MPG 18
  • 20. Key Takeaway: Aluminum Is Fuel-Efficient Solution • Use of aluminum boosts fuel economy o 5 % to 7% fuel saving can be realized for every 10% weight reduction • Provides even greater benefits – including cost savings – when used as a complement to advanced powertrains o Quicker payback period for consumer 19
  • 21. Reduce Weight, Not Size • Direct benefits: o Absorbs more energy, pound for pound, than steel o Predictable deformation o Not strain-rate sensitive o Extruded structures – design flexibility W/t = 60...80 W = width Better crash compatibility – t = wall thickness Aluminum reduce weight, not size Mass Specific EA (kJ/kg) Steel 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 t W 20
  • 22. Building Safer Vehicles With Aluminum • Secondary benefits: o Handling (accident avoidance) advantages o Braking distance reduction • We believe aluminum can build a safer car than steel Jaguar XJ Audi A8 21
  • 23. Studying Affect Of Weight On Safety • Objective of the DRI (Dynamic Research Inc.) Study: o - Interplay of vehicle weight vs. size in occupant protection • Methodology: o - Real-world crash data from 3500 collisions o - Car to SUV, SUV to SUV, and SUV to fixed obstacle o - NCAP pulse and NASS/CDS descriptors o - ELU (Injury Index) as proxy for occupant safety • Scenarios: o - 20% weight reduction – no length reduction o - 4 inch length increase – no weight increase 22
  • 24. Improving Occupant Safety • Adding crush space without adding weight improves ELU 27% • Reducing weight further improves fleet safety ELU Scenarios 100 27% 85.9 28% 80 63.0 61.8 60 Other Car ELU Driver 40 20 0 Baseline Added Length Reduced Weight Constant Weight Constant Length SUV to Car Crashes 23
  • 25. Improving Occupant Safety Total ELU's Net Benefit (%) Reduced Increased Reduced Increased Crash Number Baseline Weight Length Weight Length Type of Cases Case SUV Case SUV Case SUV Case SUV Case SUV Rollover 175 2.23 2.48 0.53 -11.2 76.2 SUV Hit Object 420 2.54 1.74 0.81 31.5 68.1 Driver Hit PC 1750 1.21 2.47 1.19 -104.1 1.7 Hit LTV 1155 25.97 22.03 21.61 15.2 16.8 Subtotal 3500 31.95 28.72 24.14 10.1 24.4 OV In PC 1750 28.00 9.70 16.79 65.4 40.0 Driver In LTV 1155 25.99 23.40 22.09 10.0 15.0 Subtotal 2905 53.99 33.10 38.88 38.7 28.0 Overall 3500 SUV 85.94 61.82 63.02 28.1 26.7 Total + 2905 OV 20% Reduced Weight SUV and Conventional Cars 24
  • 26. Aluminum Safety In Action Crush Rail: • 56% mass savings vs. mild steel – ( 38% vs. HSS ) • Lower peak loads • Consistent crush performance at all speeds Aluminum Rail Steel Rail 250 Crush Load (kN) 200 150 100 50 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 Crush Distance (mm) 25
  • 27. Aluminum Safety In Action Knee Bolster: Aluminum can play a key role in energy management in vehicle interiors • Example: o Extruded knee bolster consolidates three parts into one o 48% weight reduction vs. steel o 50th percentile male unbelted sled test passed for a N. American OEM 26
  • 28. Key Takeaways: Weight Reduction Proves Beneficial To Safety Size – not weight – is best determinant of vehicle safety Aluminum can safely take weight out Aluminum performs as well, if not better than steel in crash Aluminum offers design flexibility and innovative solutions for energy management 27
  • 29. Auto Aluminum Use Climbs North American Light Vehicle Aluminum Content 12% 10.4% 9.6% 10% 8.7% 8.8% 7.8% 8% 6.9% 6.1% 6% 5.1% 4.5% 3.9% 4% 2.0% 2.1% 2% 0% 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009 2010F 2015F 2020F Aluminum Share as Percentage of Curb Weight 28
  • 30. All Modes of Transport Benefit Specific Savings ** (Tons of CO2 per ton of w eight save) 60 Tons CO2 per Ton Weight Saved 53 50 40 28 30 23 18 20 10 3 0 Constrained Constrained Bus - Urban Car Suburban Bus - Truck - Truck - Volume Weight Potential Weight Savings: 3000-3500 lbs 3500-4500 lbs 300-500 lbs IFEU Heidelberg study 2003 for EAA ** vs. steel 29
  • 31. Aluminum Potential To Be GHG-Neutral 700 650 GHG Emissions 600 Transport Savings 550 500 Mt CO2e 450 400 350 300 250 200 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Potential emissions savings from transport growing faster than emissions from aluminum production 30
  • 32. Aluminum-Intensive Vehicles: Fuel Efficient, Safe and Affordable Randall Scheps Aluminum Association’s Auto and Light Truck Group