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Total Vehicular Energy Use Management

                Randall Scheps
  Marketing Director, Alcoa Ground Transportation
      Chairman, The Aluminum Association’s
             Auto & Light Truck Group


               www.autoaluminum.org
Aluminum Builds a Better Car

Mass Reduction                               Better Fuel Economy




                 Infinitely       Reduced
                 Recyclable      Emissions




    Enhanced
 Performance
                                               Improved Safety



                                                                   2
Aluminum Helps Reduce CO2

•   Aluminum already saving 300M                    = Billions of Metric Tons

                                                                         12% of Global Emissions
    metric tons of CO2 annually

•   Bigger reductions possible

•   Highly complimentary with
    advanced drivetrains
                                             700
                                                     GHG Emissions
                                             650
                                                     Transport Savings
                                             600

                                             550       CO2 emissions from
                                             500       aluminum industry
                                   Mt CO2e



•   Carbon neutral by 2025                   450

                                             400

                                             350                                              Savings from
                                             300                                               transport
                                             250

                                             200
                                                   2000         2005            2010   2015   2020     2025


                                                                                                              3
Aluminum Delivers Life Cycle CO2 Savings

• Most CO2 emissions occur in the
  use phase

• Aluminum production represents
  only 5% of the life cycle energy

• Each pound of aluminum
  replacing steel saves 22.9 pounds
  of CO2 net

• Cradle to cradle sustainable

                                                    4
Ricardo Study: Aluminum Provides
                                                            Fuel Economy Benefits
                                                                                                                               Gasoline
                                  15


                                  13
     % Fuel Economy Improvement




                                  11


                                   9       Weight reduction & resizing 10%             6-7%

                                   7


                                   5


                                   3


                                   1
                                       0                     5                10                        15          20                      25

                                                                                   % Weight Reduction
                                             Small Car - Resized Engine       Mid Size Car - Resized Engine   Small SUV - Resized Engine
                                             Large SUV - Resized Engine       Truck - Resized Engine          Small Car - Baseline Engine
                                             Mid Size Car - Baseline Engine   Small SUV - Baseline Engine     Large SUV - Baseline Engine
                                             Truck - Baseline Engine


Source: Ricardo                                                                                                                                  5
Secondary Weight Savings Add Value
                          Mass and Cost Savings by Component




                 Secondary




Source: IBIS Associates                                        6
IBIS Study: Aluminum Adds Value to
                           Alternative Powertrains

              Percent Increase in MPG                Cost per 1 MPG Increase
   60.0%                                     $300
   50.0%                                     $250
   40.0%                                     $200
   30.0%                                     $150
   20.0%                                     $100
   10.0%                                     $50
    0.0%                                       $0
            Baseline      Diesel   Hybrid           Baseline     Diesel   Hybrid

             Steel Body      Aluminum Body          Steel Body     Aluminum Body



Source: IBIS Associates                                                            7
Leading Experts Agree: Lightweighting
              “Very Important” to Reach CAFE Levels
• 25% – Fuel economy improvement to come from weight
savings, as predicted by material experts and body
engineers

• 50% – Fuel economy improvement to come from weight
savings, as predicted by powertrain experts

• Lightweighting is the only option that improves safety and
fuel economy simultaneously

  “We’ll need to spend more resources to develop lightweight structures
  to boost fuel mileage – but we won’t necessarily need expensive and
  exotic materials like carbon composites.”
                                                        -Gerhard Schmidt
                                  Chief Technical Officer & Vice President
                                                    Ford Motor Company
                                                                             8
Aluminum vs. Other Materials
                                        Strength Applications                                                                                 Stiffness Applications
                       900                                                                                            120
                       800                                                                                                      Mild Steel Baseline
                                                                             Composite                                100
                       700
                                                 Aluminum offers
Performance vs. Cost




                                                                                               Performance vs. Cost
                       600                      greater total weight                                                   80                  Aluminum offers the
                                                save potential than                                                                        highest weight save
                       500
                                                       steel                                                           60       HSS
                                                                                                                                            potential vs. other
                       400                                                   Aluminum 7xxx                                                                             Composite
                                                                                                                                                 metals
                                                            Aluminum 6xxx
                       300                                                                                             40
                                                        HSS                                                                           Aluminum 6xxx
                       200                                                                                                            Aluminum 7xxx
                                 Mild Steel Baseline                    Mg                                             20
                       100                                                                                                      Mg

                        0                                                                                              0
                             0           20            40          60        80          100                                0            20           40          60       80      100
                                                       Weight Saved                                                                                   Weight Saved


                                                                  Strength-Constrained Areas of the Body




                                                                                                                                                                                   9
Aluminum’s Economics Tell Positive Story
                                            Price Development
                                            Aluminum vs. Steel
                                7


                                6
                                                                         LME / Steel
Aluminum vs. Steel Cost Ratio




                                                                         Ratio
                                5


                                4


                                3


                                2


                                1
                                                                                     Source:
                                                                   - Al: EAA LME 3 months
                                                                              - Steel: MEPS
                                0                                         International 2008



                                                                                       10
Auto Aluminum Use At All-Time High

               North American Light Vehicle Aluminum
                    Content Continues to Climb
12%
                                                                                        10.4%
                                                                                 9.6%
10%                                                                       8.8%
                                                                   8.6%
                                                            7.8%
8%                                                   6.9%
                                              6.1%
6%                                    5.1%
                               4.5%
                       3.9%
4%
       2.0%    2.1%
2%

0%
      1970    1975    1980    1985    1990   1995    2000   2005   2009   2010F 2015F 2020F


                         Aluminum Share as Percentage of Curb Weight


                                                                                                11
Aluminum Success Stories and
              Growth Opportunities

                  Component                   Aluminum Share
                     »   Heat exchangers          100%
                     »   Pistons                  100%
Success Stories
                     »   Transmission cases       > 98%
                     »   Cylinder heads           > 98%
                     »   Wheels                   > 69%
                     »   Engine blocks            > 69%
                     »   Drive shafts             > 50%
                     »   Knuckles                 > 39%
                     »   Hoods                    > 22%
Growth Areas         »   Control Arms             > 15%
                     »   Bumper                   > 11%
                     »   Cradles/sub-frames       > 10%
                     »   Body in White
                     »   Wiring Harness




                                                               12
Aluminum Builds a Better Car


•   Light

•   Strong

•   Safe

•   Saves fuel and CO2

•   Cradle to cradle sustainable

•   Economic                           Audi TT

•   Part of the solution


                                                 13
Total Vehicular Energy Use Management

                Randall Scheps
  Marketing Director, Alcoa Ground Transportation
      Chairman, The Aluminum Association’s
             Auto & Light Truck Group


               www.autoaluminum.org

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2009 apr saewc_pres

  • 1. Total Vehicular Energy Use Management Randall Scheps Marketing Director, Alcoa Ground Transportation Chairman, The Aluminum Association’s Auto & Light Truck Group www.autoaluminum.org
  • 2. Aluminum Builds a Better Car Mass Reduction Better Fuel Economy Infinitely Reduced Recyclable Emissions Enhanced Performance Improved Safety 2
  • 3. Aluminum Helps Reduce CO2 • Aluminum already saving 300M = Billions of Metric Tons 12% of Global Emissions metric tons of CO2 annually • Bigger reductions possible • Highly complimentary with advanced drivetrains 700 GHG Emissions 650 Transport Savings 600 550 CO2 emissions from 500 aluminum industry Mt CO2e • Carbon neutral by 2025 450 400 350 Savings from 300 transport 250 200 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 3
  • 4. Aluminum Delivers Life Cycle CO2 Savings • Most CO2 emissions occur in the use phase • Aluminum production represents only 5% of the life cycle energy • Each pound of aluminum replacing steel saves 22.9 pounds of CO2 net • Cradle to cradle sustainable 4
  • 5. Ricardo Study: Aluminum Provides Fuel Economy Benefits Gasoline 15 13 % Fuel Economy Improvement 11 9 Weight reduction & resizing 10% 6-7% 7 5 3 1 0 5 10 15 20 25 % Weight Reduction Small Car - Resized Engine Mid Size Car - Resized Engine Small SUV - Resized Engine Large SUV - Resized Engine Truck - Resized Engine Small Car - Baseline Engine Mid Size Car - Baseline Engine Small SUV - Baseline Engine Large SUV - Baseline Engine Truck - Baseline Engine Source: Ricardo 5
  • 6. Secondary Weight Savings Add Value Mass and Cost Savings by Component Secondary Source: IBIS Associates 6
  • 7. IBIS Study: Aluminum Adds Value to Alternative Powertrains Percent Increase in MPG Cost per 1 MPG Increase 60.0% $300 50.0% $250 40.0% $200 30.0% $150 20.0% $100 10.0% $50 0.0% $0 Baseline Diesel Hybrid Baseline Diesel Hybrid Steel Body Aluminum Body Steel Body Aluminum Body Source: IBIS Associates 7
  • 8. Leading Experts Agree: Lightweighting “Very Important” to Reach CAFE Levels • 25% – Fuel economy improvement to come from weight savings, as predicted by material experts and body engineers • 50% – Fuel economy improvement to come from weight savings, as predicted by powertrain experts • Lightweighting is the only option that improves safety and fuel economy simultaneously “We’ll need to spend more resources to develop lightweight structures to boost fuel mileage – but we won’t necessarily need expensive and exotic materials like carbon composites.” -Gerhard Schmidt Chief Technical Officer & Vice President Ford Motor Company 8
  • 9. Aluminum vs. Other Materials Strength Applications Stiffness Applications 900 120 800 Mild Steel Baseline Composite 100 700 Aluminum offers Performance vs. Cost Performance vs. Cost 600 greater total weight 80 Aluminum offers the save potential than highest weight save 500 steel 60 HSS potential vs. other 400 Aluminum 7xxx Composite metals Aluminum 6xxx 300 40 HSS Aluminum 6xxx 200 Aluminum 7xxx Mild Steel Baseline Mg 20 100 Mg 0 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 Weight Saved Weight Saved Strength-Constrained Areas of the Body 9
  • 10. Aluminum’s Economics Tell Positive Story Price Development Aluminum vs. Steel 7 6 LME / Steel Aluminum vs. Steel Cost Ratio Ratio 5 4 3 2 1 Source: - Al: EAA LME 3 months - Steel: MEPS 0 International 2008 10
  • 11. Auto Aluminum Use At All-Time High North American Light Vehicle Aluminum Content Continues to Climb 12% 10.4% 9.6% 10% 8.8% 8.6% 7.8% 8% 6.9% 6.1% 6% 5.1% 4.5% 3.9% 4% 2.0% 2.1% 2% 0% 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009 2010F 2015F 2020F Aluminum Share as Percentage of Curb Weight 11
  • 12. Aluminum Success Stories and Growth Opportunities Component Aluminum Share » Heat exchangers 100% » Pistons 100% Success Stories » Transmission cases > 98% » Cylinder heads > 98% » Wheels > 69% » Engine blocks > 69% » Drive shafts > 50% » Knuckles > 39% » Hoods > 22% Growth Areas » Control Arms > 15% » Bumper > 11% » Cradles/sub-frames > 10% » Body in White » Wiring Harness 12
  • 13. Aluminum Builds a Better Car • Light • Strong • Safe • Saves fuel and CO2 • Cradle to cradle sustainable • Economic Audi TT • Part of the solution 13
  • 14. Total Vehicular Energy Use Management Randall Scheps Marketing Director, Alcoa Ground Transportation Chairman, The Aluminum Association’s Auto & Light Truck Group www.autoaluminum.org