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                              Saving America, Saving California, Saving Our Futures
                              Evidenced-Based Kernels for Population-Level Prevent Rapid Results



       See
   www.paxis.org
                              by Dennis D. Embry, Ph.D.
 www.youtube.com
  /drdennisembry              PAXIS Institute
                              October 12, 2010


              Copyright © 2010, PAXIS Institute, All rights reserved. May be shared in its entirety with notice and attribution.
Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                           1
Our hopes for our children,
                            our grandchildren or our
                              children of choice…
                            Text your hope to: 22333

                            “110310…your hope…”




Monday, October 18, 2010                                 2
What will you get to protect
                           this baby’s future when it
                           goes home from hospital?


Monday, October 18, 2010                                  3
What will you get
                           to protect your
                           child when they
                           get their first bike?




Monday, October 18, 2010                          4
Monday, October 18, 2010   5
Preventing mental, emotional
                           and disorders in our children…




Monday, October 18, 2010                                    6
Protect your child from growing up to have a
                           major mental illness?

Monday, October 18, 2010                                                  7
Protect your child from
                           growing up to have a
                           major addiction?



Monday, October 18, 2010                             8
Mental, emotional and behavioral
                           disorders are preventable by our
                                     own hands.




Monday, October 18, 2010                                      9
2009:
                           Institute of Medicine Report
                            Disturbing, disruptive and aggressive
                            behaviors have been increasing in the
                            United States for more than 20 years.
                            The United States has more of these
                            problems than many other rich
                            countries.




Monday, October 18, 2010                                            10
Nearly 75 percent of the nation's 17- to 24-year-
                              olds are ineligible for service
                                                                                            • Medical/physical problems, 35
                                                                                              percent.

                                                                                            • Illegal drug use, 18 percent.
                                                                                            • Mental Category V (the lowest
                                                                                              10 percent of the population), 9
                                                                                              percent.

                                                                                            • Too many dependents under
                                                                                              age 18, 6 percent.

                                                                                            • Criminal record, 5 percent.


                           Army Times, Nov 5, 2009 • www.missionreadiness.org/PAEE0609.pd

Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                         11
Nearly 75 percent of the nation's 17- to 24-year-
                              olds are ineligible for service
                                                                                            • Medical/physical problems, 35
                                                                                              percent.

                                                                                            • Illegal drug use, 18 percent.
                                                                                            • Mental Category V (the lowest
                                                                                              10 percent of the population), 9
                                                                                              percent.

                                                                                            • Too many dependents under
                                                                                              age 18, 6 percent.

                                                                                            • Criminal record, 5 percent.


                           Army Times, Nov 5, 2009 • www.missionreadiness.org/PAEE0609.pd

Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                         12
!"#$%"&'$()#*+ ,!-./0!,#'+ )#+ 2!"..+ ,#',(-()2,2>+ )#&.$9)#*+ O,(!"#0+ ABP65+ -,(&,#'C>+ @3,9,#+ ABQ6Q+
                       -,(&,#'C>+E("#&,+AB765+-,(&,#'C>+'1,+?#)',9+R)#*9/!+AB76B+-,(&,#'C>+@-")#+A4S6P+-,(&,#'C>+"#9+F'".0+
                       AP56G+-,(&,#'C6+

                       +
                       FIGURE 2
                       Manufacturing, Employment in Enterprises with fewer than 20 Employees, 2006

                                   B3//H/                                                                                    (#"(
                                  P23<-476                                                                            ('"&
                                     5<76C                                                                          ()"$
                                 G-?<376;7                                                                     '!"$
                                    >M7;8                                                                   '*"(
                              >F;<O/36789                                                            ''"*
                             J/F=N/76789                                                        '&"!
                                    L7M78                                                     ')"#
                              J/<K/36789?                                                &$"#
                                  J23F7C                                               &!"(
                           :8;</9=I;84920                                              &!"&
                                   D378H/                                              &!")
                                   G-?<3;7                                      &+"!
                                  >F/9/8                                       &+"+
                                  E/64;-0                                     &("*
                                   D;86789                                &("&
                                 B/3078C                                  &(")
                                 @/8073A                                  &'"!
                             :8;</9=><7</?                             &&"&
                                   53/6789                       $"%
                              ,-./012-34                      !"#

                                             )                   &)                      ')                    ()                   +)
                                                                    !"#$"%&'()'*+%,)+$&,#-%.'"*/0(1*"%&


                       Source: Authors’ analysis of OECD data.
                       +

                       !"#$%&' (+ 21/32+ '1,+ (,2$.'2+ %/(+ !"#$%"&'$()#*+ "%',(+ 2,'')#*+ '1,+ &$'/%%+ %/(+ "+ 2!"..+ ,#',(-()2,+ !$&1+
Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                                   13
!"#$%&'!(%$)*#+)#,%-''#$)*$.&.+,$,#/0123#&$.4$)*5#-%!)6#*7$#18#4!9)*.+$,#"!.#:7+47#*7$#;<=>#7-,#
                  +)*$.)-*+!)-''(#4!%&-.-?'$#@-*-2##

                  #
                  FIGURE 3
                  Manufacturing, Employment in Enterprises with fewer than 500 Employees, 2001

                                LE7/BA4<                                                                                )!#%
                                   F/4<9                                                                              )'#%
                                  3K4.-                                                                               )$#(
                                  J4K4-                                                                          &+#)
                            G0/I07<4-15                                                                        &%#"
                                 6700=0                                                                    &!#"
                           G0:2H04<4-1                                                                    &'#+
                                GE7:49                                                                   &$#$
                                 F70<4-1                                                                &"#'
                                 CB5/7.4                                                                &*#+
                       ,-./012D.-A1E8                                                             %&#(
                               CB5/74<.4                                                         %!#)
                                @0<A.B8                                                          %!#(
                               >0-847?                                                           %!
                                 ;74-=0                                                         %'#&
                                 ;.-<4-1                                                 !&#!
                                3:010-                                                   !%#&
                               60784-9                                                   !%#%
                           ,-./0123/4/05                                          !"#$

                                           *                $!               !*                          &!                    "**
                                                             !"#$"%&'()'*+%,)+$&,#-%.'"*/0(1*"%&


                  Source: Authors’ analysis of OECD data.
                  #

                  !"#$%&'($)*'+,"('-)
Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                             14
Two to three times as many American children are
                           being prescribed psychiatric drugs…

Monday, October 18, 2010                                                      15
American
                           children are
                           less healthy
                           than the
                           children in
                           21 other
                           rich
                           countries



Monday, October 18, 2010                  16
Are America’s economy, safety and future secure when
                           our children are unhealthy in body, mind and behavior?




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                            17
American children and youth will have a shorter
                           lifespan than current adults




                                         Youthanasia

Monday, October 18, 2010                                                     18
What can we do to change the
                           present & futures of our children?




Monday, October 18, 2010                                        19
Rapid


Monday, October 18, 2010           20
Monday, October 18, 2010   21
Monday, October 18, 2010   22
If we just hit the
                           problem harder…




Monday, October 18, 2010                        23
Monday, October 18, 2010   24
FREE DOWNLOAD




                  Embry, D. D., & Biglan, A. (2008).
                      Evidence-Based Kernels:
                  Fundamental Units of Behavioral
                  Influence. Clinical Child & Family
                       Psychology Review, 39.

                           Download at:

                   www.pubmed.gov


Monday, October 18, 2010                                               25
What is a kernel?
                               Is the smallest unit of scientifically proven behavioral
                               influence.

                           •   Is indivisible; that is, removing any part makes it inactive.

                               Produces quick easily measured change that can grow
                               much bigger change over time.

                               Can be be used alone OR combined with other kernels
                               to create new programs, strategies or policies.
                           •   Are the active ingredients of evidence-based programs
                           •   Can be spread by word-of-mouth, by modeling, by non
                               professionals.
                           •   Can address historic disparities without stigma, in part
                               because they are also found in cultural wisdom.




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                       26
Relational
                             Antecedent       Reinforcement            Physiological
                                                                                                  Frame
                               Kernel             Kernel                  Kernel
                                                                                                  Kernel



                                                                         Changes               Creates verbal
                           Happens BEFORE   Happens AFTER the
                                                                      biochemistry of         relations for the
                             the behavior       behavior
                                                                         behavior                 behavior


                                                                 Embry, D. D., & Biglan, A.
                                                                  (2008). Evidence-Based

                           Four Types of Kernels
                                                                Kernels: Fundamental Units
                                                                   of Behavioral Influence.
                                                                    Clinical Child & Family
                                                                  Psychology Review, 39.




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                          27
What is a behavioral vaccine?
                           It is a simple procedure (a kernel or a
                           recipe of kernels) that, when used
                           repeatedly, reduce morbidity and mortality
                           and/or increase wellbeing or health.
                           Behavioral vaccines can be used by
                           individuals, families, schools, businesses,
                           organizations to produce rapid population
                           level change.
                            Embry, D. D. (2004). "Community-Based Prevention Using
                            Simple, Low-Cost, Evidence-Based Kernels and Behavior
                            Vaccines." Journal of Community Psychology 32(5): 575.



Monday, October 18, 2010                                                             28
If kernels are so good…

Monday, October 18, 2010                             29
Publication:
                           Prinz, Sanders, Shapiro, Lutzker & Whitaker (2009).  Population-based prevention of child
                           maltreatment:  The U.S. Triple P System Population Trial. Volume 10, March Issue, Prevention
                           Science.
                           http://www.springerlink.com/content/104965/




                                    Funded by the US Centers for Disease Control, Grant # U17/CCU42231 to Dr. Ron Priinz, and Dr.Matt Sanders


Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                                        30
Why not launch a marketing campaign to get
                           families to use Triple P when in two years…




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                 31
Substantiated Child Maltreatment
                                                                   16




                                                                                     Control Counties
                            Rates per 1,000 Children (0-8 Years)




                                                                   15




                                                                   13



                                                                                     Triple P Counties
                                                                   12




                                                                   10

                                                                        Pre   Post

                                                                                      Prinz et al., 2009, Prevention Science




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                       32
Child Abuse Hospital Injuries
                                                                  1.80
                           Rates per 1,000 Children (0-8 Years)




                                                                  1.68               Control Counties

                                                                  1.55




                                                                  1.43                    Triple P Counties

                                                                  1.30


                                                                   Pre             Post
                                                                                            Prinz et al., 2009, Prevention Science




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                             33
Child Out-of-Home Placements
                                                                                              Control Counties
                                                                  4.50
                           Rates per 1,000 Children (0-8 Years)




                                                                  4.13



                                                                                                   Triple P Counties
                                                                  3.75




                                                                  3.38




                                                                  3.00

                                                                         Pre                Post
                                                                                                      Prinz et al., 2009, Prevention Science




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                                       34
Monday, October 18, 2010   35
Monday, October 18, 2010   36
Monday, October 18, 2010   37
Triple P: Global dissemination from 1996 onwards…

                                                                     Watch	
  this	
  
                           Australia	
          Germany              space......
                           New	
  Zealand	
     The	
  Netherlands
                           Canada               Belgium                           Chile

                           Ireland              Switzerland
                                                                                  France
                           Scotland             Sweden
                                                Singapore                        Portugal
                           England
                           Wales                Japan                             Turkey

                           Iran                 Hong	
  Kong
                                                                                   Qatar
                           Curacao              Austria
                                                Romania
Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                    38
Why not turn about the lives of high risk primary
                           grade children using a teacher kernel recipe?




Muriel Saunders,
  the teacher




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                       39
Group Alerts/
                           Beat the       Soft Team      Response         Mystery
                            Timer        Competition       Cost           Motivator
                            Antecedent     Antecedent     Reinforcement   Reinforcement
                              kernel
                            Antecedent       kernel           kernel          kernel
                              Kernel




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                  40
Her invention immediately increases time to learn

Monday, October 18, 2010                                                       41
Why not turn about the lives of high risk primary
                           grade children using a teacher invented procedure?

Monday, October 18, 2010                                                        42
Long-term GBG outcomes from
                           inoculation in just first grade
                            Increase in high-school entry
                            Increase in college entry
                            Reduced special education service needs
                            Lifetime reduction of tobacco use by 25% to
                            50%
                            Lifetime reduction of psychiatric diagnoses
                            Lifetime reduction of antisocial behavior and
                            arrests
                            Lifetime reduction in all serious addictions
                            Lifetime reduction in suicidal actions



Monday, October 18, 2010                                                    43
5 out 9,000 schools = 0.05% of California schools




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                       44
Inukshuk points the right way…

                                           Physiological
                                              Kernel




Monday, October 18, 2010                                    45
Physiological
                              Kernel




Monday, October 18, 2010                   46
Monday, October 18, 2010   47
Reduce Omega 3 Brain Deficiency




Monday, October 18, 2010                                    48
Reduced	
  Felony	
  Violent	
  Offences	
  Among	
  Prisoners	
  
                           with	
  recommended	
  daily	
  amounts	
  of	
  vitamins,	
  minerals	
  and	
  essen=al	
  fa>y	
  acids
                                 Ratio of Disciplinary Incidents Supplementation/Baseline



                                                                                            1.00

                                                                                                                                                          Ac=ve	
  -­‐37.0%                      Placebo	
  -­‐10.1%
                                                                                            0.75                                                            	
  p	
  ‹	
  0.005                      	
  p	
  =	
  ns

                                                                                            0.50

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Active
                                                                                            0.25                                                                                                                Placebo


                                                                                              0
                                                                                                             Before supplementation                              During supplementation


                                                                                              UK	
  maximum	
  security	
  prison	
  -­‐	
  338	
  offences	
  among	
  172	
  prisoners	
  over	
  9	
  months	
  treatment	
  in	
  a	
  
                                                                                                                                            compared	
  to	
  9	
  months	
  baseline.	
  
                                                                                                                              Gesch	
  et	
  al.	
  	
  Br	
  J	
  Psychiatry	
  2002,	
  181:22-­‐28




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                                                                                                                                     49
Why not reproduce the rapid
                           results in America and
                           California to get a 37%
                           reduction in jail violence?
                           It cost the Brits 19¢ per day or $69.35 per year.




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                       50
1.0

                               Inpatient
                               Discharge

                                                                     0.8




                                                                     0.6
                                           Survival	
  Probability




                                                                     0.4

                                                                                        High	
  DHA	
  	
  (n=16)

                                                                                        Low	
  	
  DHA	
  	
  (n=17)

                                                                     0.2                (median	
  split	
  of	
  plasma	
  phospholipid	
  %	
  faIy	
  acids)




                                                                      0

                                                                           0      200                                  400                           600          800

                                                                               Time	
  to	
  First	
  Suicide	
  AIempt	
  (days)




                           Suble>e,	
  Hibbeln	
  et	
  al	
  Am	
  J	
  Psychiatry	
  2006;163:	
  1100-­‐1102	
  


Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                                                                51
Why not help our high risk
                           children with omega-3?
                                                                           30%
                                  Percentage with Psychosis at 12 months


                                                                                                       27.5%
                                                                           24%


                                                                           18%


                                                                           12%


                                                                           6%
                                                                                 4.9%
                                                                           0%
                                                                                 Omega-3               Placeo
                                                                                           Psychosis


                           Amminger, G. P., M. R. Schafer, et al. (2010). "Long-Chain {omega}-3 Fatty Acids for Indicated
                           Prevention of Psychotic Disorders: A Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial." Arch Gen
                           Psychiatry 67(2): 146-154.
Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                    52
Why not have invite families
          Relational
           Frame              to promise clear rules about
           Kernel
                              alcohol, tobacco & drugs if…
                              It produces a 23% reduction binge drinking and
                              27% reduction delinquency rates among 7th
                              graders in 2 years and this has been adopted
                              nationally by Sweden and being adopted by the
                              State of Tennessee and Manitoba?

                               PS. Effect sizes were 0.35 for drunkenness
                               and 0.38 for delinquency.


                           Koutakis, N., H. Stattin, et al. (2008). "Reducing youth alcohol drinking through a parent-targeted intervention:
                                                   the Orebro Prevention Program." Addiction 103(10): 1629-1637.
Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                                                                       53
“Behavioral health could learn from
                                                 public health in endorsing a population
                                                 health perspective”—(IOM, page 19).
                                                 “Families and children have ready
                                                 access to the best available evidence-
                                                 based prevention interventions,
                                                 delivered in their own communities…in
                        The story of the Broad
                      Street water pump during   a respectful non-stigmatizing way”—
                       the cholera epidemic in
                               London.
                                                 (IOM, page 387).



Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                   54
A public health model versus rationing model of
                           prevention…




Monday, October 18, 2010                                                     55
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                           :)#@(>(*(#@&A(;#(BC&   $BB(%)B&E(')L$=;F9VVD&    E(')L$=;&$#&             ;$FAP&E(')L$=;F&$#&
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                                                                            F(@@$#%FJQHD&J8V&        K=K"B)@$=#J89OJ8Q&
Monday, October 18, 2010                                                                             1?K;=L(*&               56
Monday, October 18, 2010   57
Who will stand with me for saving all
                             the children of California and America
                                       for all our futures?

                           Thank you…
                           Dennis D. Embry, Ph.D.
                           520-299-6770
                           dde@paxis.org
                           www.paxis.org • simplegifts.com


                           slides show & documents at
                           www.slideshare.net/drdennnisembry



Monday, October 18, 2010                                              58

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Embry saving-california-keynote-oct 2010

  • 1. tweet with #ADP2010con and @drdennisembry Saving America, Saving California, Saving Our Futures Evidenced-Based Kernels for Population-Level Prevent Rapid Results See www.paxis.org by Dennis D. Embry, Ph.D. www.youtube.com /drdennisembry PAXIS Institute October 12, 2010 Copyright © 2010, PAXIS Institute, All rights reserved. May be shared in its entirety with notice and attribution. Monday, October 18, 2010 1
  • 2. Our hopes for our children, our grandchildren or our children of choice… Text your hope to: 22333 “110310…your hope…” Monday, October 18, 2010 2
  • 3. What will you get to protect this baby’s future when it goes home from hospital? Monday, October 18, 2010 3
  • 4. What will you get to protect your child when they get their first bike? Monday, October 18, 2010 4
  • 6. Preventing mental, emotional and disorders in our children… Monday, October 18, 2010 6
  • 7. Protect your child from growing up to have a major mental illness? Monday, October 18, 2010 7
  • 8. Protect your child from growing up to have a major addiction? Monday, October 18, 2010 8
  • 9. Mental, emotional and behavioral disorders are preventable by our own hands. Monday, October 18, 2010 9
  • 10. 2009: Institute of Medicine Report Disturbing, disruptive and aggressive behaviors have been increasing in the United States for more than 20 years. The United States has more of these problems than many other rich countries. Monday, October 18, 2010 10
  • 11. Nearly 75 percent of the nation's 17- to 24-year- olds are ineligible for service • Medical/physical problems, 35 percent. • Illegal drug use, 18 percent. • Mental Category V (the lowest 10 percent of the population), 9 percent. • Too many dependents under age 18, 6 percent. • Criminal record, 5 percent. Army Times, Nov 5, 2009 • www.missionreadiness.org/PAEE0609.pd Monday, October 18, 2010 11
  • 12. Nearly 75 percent of the nation's 17- to 24-year- olds are ineligible for service • Medical/physical problems, 35 percent. • Illegal drug use, 18 percent. • Mental Category V (the lowest 10 percent of the population), 9 percent. • Too many dependents under age 18, 6 percent. • Criminal record, 5 percent. Army Times, Nov 5, 2009 • www.missionreadiness.org/PAEE0609.pd Monday, October 18, 2010 12
  • 13. !"#$%"&'$()#*+ ,!-./0!,#'+ )#+ 2!"..+ ,#',(-()2,2>+ )#&.$9)#*+ O,(!"#0+ ABP65+ -,(&,#'C>+ @3,9,#+ ABQ6Q+ -,(&,#'C>+E("#&,+AB765+-,(&,#'C>+'1,+?#)',9+R)#*9/!+AB76B+-,(&,#'C>+@-")#+A4S6P+-,(&,#'C>+"#9+F'".0+ AP56G+-,(&,#'C6+ + FIGURE 2 Manufacturing, Employment in Enterprises with fewer than 20 Employees, 2006 B3//H/ (#"( P23<-476 ('"& 5<76C ()"$ G-?<376;7 '!"$ >M7;8 '*"( >F;<O/36789 ''"* J/F=N/76789 '&"! L7M78 ')"# J/<K/36789? &$"# J23F7C &!"( :8;</9=I;84920 &!"& D378H/ &!") G-?<3;7 &+"! >F/9/8 &+"+ E/64;-0 &("* D;86789 &("& B/3078C &(") @/8073A &'"! :8;</9=><7</? &&"& 53/6789 $"% ,-./012-34 !"# ) &) ') () +) !"#$"%&'()'*+%,)+$&,#-%.'"*/0(1*"%& Source: Authors’ analysis of OECD data. + !"#$%&' (+ 21/32+ '1,+ (,2$.'2+ %/(+ !"#$%"&'$()#*+ "%',(+ 2,'')#*+ '1,+ &$'/%%+ %/(+ "+ 2!"..+ ,#',(-()2,+ !$&1+ Monday, October 18, 2010 13
  • 14. !"#$%&'!(%$)*#+)#,%-''#$)*$.&.+,$,#/0123#&$.4$)*5#-%!)6#*7$#18#4!9)*.+$,#"!.#:7+47#*7$#;<=>#7-,# +)*$.)-*+!)-''(#4!%&-.-?'$#@-*-2## # FIGURE 3 Manufacturing, Employment in Enterprises with fewer than 500 Employees, 2001 LE7/BA4< )!#% F/4<9 )'#% 3K4.- )$#( J4K4- &+#) G0/I07<4-15 &%#" 6700=0 &!#" G0:2H04<4-1 &'#+ GE7:49 &$#$ F70<4-1 &"#' CB5/7.4 &*#+ ,-./012D.-A1E8 %&#( CB5/74<.4 %!#) @0<A.B8 %!#( >0-847? %! ;74-=0 %'#& ;.-<4-1 !&#! 3:010- !%#& 60784-9 !%#% ,-./0123/4/05 !"#$ * $! !* &! "** !"#$"%&'()'*+%,)+$&,#-%.'"*/0(1*"%& Source: Authors’ analysis of OECD data. # !"#$%&'($)*'+,"('-) Monday, October 18, 2010 14
  • 15. Two to three times as many American children are being prescribed psychiatric drugs… Monday, October 18, 2010 15
  • 16. American children are less healthy than the children in 21 other rich countries Monday, October 18, 2010 16
  • 17. Are America’s economy, safety and future secure when our children are unhealthy in body, mind and behavior? Monday, October 18, 2010 17
  • 18. American children and youth will have a shorter lifespan than current adults Youthanasia Monday, October 18, 2010 18
  • 19. What can we do to change the present & futures of our children? Monday, October 18, 2010 19
  • 23. If we just hit the problem harder… Monday, October 18, 2010 23
  • 25. FREE DOWNLOAD Embry, D. D., & Biglan, A. (2008). Evidence-Based Kernels: Fundamental Units of Behavioral Influence. Clinical Child & Family Psychology Review, 39. Download at: www.pubmed.gov Monday, October 18, 2010 25
  • 26. What is a kernel? Is the smallest unit of scientifically proven behavioral influence. • Is indivisible; that is, removing any part makes it inactive. Produces quick easily measured change that can grow much bigger change over time. Can be be used alone OR combined with other kernels to create new programs, strategies or policies. • Are the active ingredients of evidence-based programs • Can be spread by word-of-mouth, by modeling, by non professionals. • Can address historic disparities without stigma, in part because they are also found in cultural wisdom. Monday, October 18, 2010 26
  • 27. Relational Antecedent Reinforcement Physiological Frame Kernel Kernel Kernel Kernel Changes Creates verbal Happens BEFORE Happens AFTER the biochemistry of relations for the the behavior behavior behavior behavior Embry, D. D., & Biglan, A. (2008). Evidence-Based Four Types of Kernels Kernels: Fundamental Units of Behavioral Influence. Clinical Child & Family Psychology Review, 39. Monday, October 18, 2010 27
  • 28. What is a behavioral vaccine? It is a simple procedure (a kernel or a recipe of kernels) that, when used repeatedly, reduce morbidity and mortality and/or increase wellbeing or health. Behavioral vaccines can be used by individuals, families, schools, businesses, organizations to produce rapid population level change. Embry, D. D. (2004). "Community-Based Prevention Using Simple, Low-Cost, Evidence-Based Kernels and Behavior Vaccines." Journal of Community Psychology 32(5): 575. Monday, October 18, 2010 28
  • 29. If kernels are so good… Monday, October 18, 2010 29
  • 30. Publication: Prinz, Sanders, Shapiro, Lutzker & Whitaker (2009).  Population-based prevention of child maltreatment:  The U.S. Triple P System Population Trial. Volume 10, March Issue, Prevention Science. http://www.springerlink.com/content/104965/ Funded by the US Centers for Disease Control, Grant # U17/CCU42231 to Dr. Ron Priinz, and Dr.Matt Sanders Monday, October 18, 2010 30
  • 31. Why not launch a marketing campaign to get families to use Triple P when in two years… Monday, October 18, 2010 31
  • 32. Substantiated Child Maltreatment 16 Control Counties Rates per 1,000 Children (0-8 Years) 15 13 Triple P Counties 12 10 Pre Post Prinz et al., 2009, Prevention Science Monday, October 18, 2010 32
  • 33. Child Abuse Hospital Injuries 1.80 Rates per 1,000 Children (0-8 Years) 1.68 Control Counties 1.55 1.43 Triple P Counties 1.30 Pre Post Prinz et al., 2009, Prevention Science Monday, October 18, 2010 33
  • 34. Child Out-of-Home Placements Control Counties 4.50 Rates per 1,000 Children (0-8 Years) 4.13 Triple P Counties 3.75 3.38 3.00 Pre Post Prinz et al., 2009, Prevention Science Monday, October 18, 2010 34
  • 38. Triple P: Global dissemination from 1996 onwards… Watch  this   Australia   Germany space...... New  Zealand   The  Netherlands Canada Belgium Chile Ireland Switzerland France Scotland Sweden Singapore Portugal England Wales Japan Turkey Iran Hong  Kong Qatar Curacao Austria Romania Monday, October 18, 2010 38
  • 39. Why not turn about the lives of high risk primary grade children using a teacher kernel recipe? Muriel Saunders, the teacher Monday, October 18, 2010 39
  • 40. Group Alerts/ Beat the Soft Team Response Mystery Timer Competition Cost Motivator Antecedent Antecedent Reinforcement Reinforcement kernel Antecedent kernel kernel kernel Kernel Monday, October 18, 2010 40
  • 41. Her invention immediately increases time to learn Monday, October 18, 2010 41
  • 42. Why not turn about the lives of high risk primary grade children using a teacher invented procedure? Monday, October 18, 2010 42
  • 43. Long-term GBG outcomes from inoculation in just first grade Increase in high-school entry Increase in college entry Reduced special education service needs Lifetime reduction of tobacco use by 25% to 50% Lifetime reduction of psychiatric diagnoses Lifetime reduction of antisocial behavior and arrests Lifetime reduction in all serious addictions Lifetime reduction in suicidal actions Monday, October 18, 2010 43
  • 44. 5 out 9,000 schools = 0.05% of California schools Monday, October 18, 2010 44
  • 45. Inukshuk points the right way… Physiological Kernel Monday, October 18, 2010 45
  • 46. Physiological Kernel Monday, October 18, 2010 46
  • 48. Reduce Omega 3 Brain Deficiency Monday, October 18, 2010 48
  • 49. Reduced  Felony  Violent  Offences  Among  Prisoners   with  recommended  daily  amounts  of  vitamins,  minerals  and  essen=al  fa>y  acids Ratio of Disciplinary Incidents Supplementation/Baseline 1.00 Ac=ve  -­‐37.0% Placebo  -­‐10.1% 0.75  p  ‹  0.005  p  =  ns 0.50 Active 0.25 Placebo 0 Before supplementation During supplementation UK  maximum  security  prison  -­‐  338  offences  among  172  prisoners  over  9  months  treatment  in  a   compared  to  9  months  baseline.   Gesch  et  al.    Br  J  Psychiatry  2002,  181:22-­‐28 Monday, October 18, 2010 49
  • 50. Why not reproduce the rapid results in America and California to get a 37% reduction in jail violence? It cost the Brits 19¢ per day or $69.35 per year. Monday, October 18, 2010 50
  • 51. 1.0 Inpatient Discharge 0.8 0.6 Survival  Probability 0.4 High  DHA    (n=16) Low    DHA    (n=17) 0.2 (median  split  of  plasma  phospholipid  %  faIy  acids) 0 0 200 400 600 800 Time  to  First  Suicide  AIempt  (days) Suble>e,  Hibbeln  et  al  Am  J  Psychiatry  2006;163:  1100-­‐1102   Monday, October 18, 2010 51
  • 52. Why not help our high risk children with omega-3? 30% Percentage with Psychosis at 12 months 27.5% 24% 18% 12% 6% 4.9% 0% Omega-3 Placeo Psychosis Amminger, G. P., M. R. Schafer, et al. (2010). "Long-Chain {omega}-3 Fatty Acids for Indicated Prevention of Psychotic Disorders: A Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial." Arch Gen Psychiatry 67(2): 146-154. Monday, October 18, 2010 52
  • 53. Why not have invite families Relational Frame to promise clear rules about Kernel alcohol, tobacco & drugs if… It produces a 23% reduction binge drinking and 27% reduction delinquency rates among 7th graders in 2 years and this has been adopted nationally by Sweden and being adopted by the State of Tennessee and Manitoba? PS. Effect sizes were 0.35 for drunkenness and 0.38 for delinquency. Koutakis, N., H. Stattin, et al. (2008). "Reducing youth alcohol drinking through a parent-targeted intervention: the Orebro Prevention Program." Addiction 103(10): 1629-1637. Monday, October 18, 2010 53
  • 54. “Behavioral health could learn from public health in endorsing a population health perspective”—(IOM, page 19). “Families and children have ready access to the best available evidence- based prevention interventions, delivered in their own communities…in The story of the Broad Street water pump during a respectful non-stigmatizing way”— the cholera epidemic in London. (IOM, page 387). Monday, October 18, 2010 54
  • 55. A public health model versus rationing model of prevention… Monday, October 18, 2010 55
  •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onday, October 18, 2010 1?K;=L(*& 56
  • 58. Who will stand with me for saving all the children of California and America for all our futures? Thank you… Dennis D. Embry, Ph.D. 520-299-6770 dde@paxis.org www.paxis.org • simplegifts.com slides show & documents at www.slideshare.net/drdennnisembry Monday, October 18, 2010 58