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Higher Education: a national asset in a global world



    Deborah Roseveare
    Head of Skills Beyond School Division
    Directorate for Education and Skills
    OECD

    27 February 2013
1. A global world
2. Higher education in a global world as a national asset for the UK
3. Higher education as a national asset for UK prosperity in a global
   world
1. A global world
2. Higher education in a global world as a national asset for the UK
3. Higher education as a national asset for UK prosperity in a global
   world
Economic backdrop in a global world: current challenges




“Recovering from the recession, improving longer-term growth potential and
reducing inequality are key challenges for the UK economy. “

                              OECD Economic Surveys, United Kingdom, 2013
Economic backdrop in a global world: long-term prospects



                                               2050
                                                          United States
                                                          Japan
                                                          Other G7
                                                          Other OECD
                                                          China
                                                          India
                                                          Other non-OECD




Source: OECD Economic Outlook 91, 2012
OECD demographic projections                         2000        1 130 million
                                                                                   2050        1 334 million
                                      men                       women
                                                  85+
                                                 80 - 84
                                                 75 - 79
                                                 70 - 74
                                                 65 - 69
                                                 60 - 64
                                                 55 - 59
                                                 50 - 54
                                                 45 - 49
                                                 40 - 44
                                                 35 - 39
                                                 30 - 34
                                                 25 - 29
                                                 20 - 24
                                                 15 - 19
                                                 10 - 14
                                                  5-9
                                                  0-4
    ,10        ,8   ,6   ,4      ,2         ,0             ,0       ,2   ,4   ,6          ,8         ,10



Source: OECD
1. A global world
2. Higher education in a global world as a national asset for the UK
3. Higher education as a national asset for UK prosperity in a global
   world
Share of 25-34 year-olds with a tertiary degree
                                   OECD and G20 countries, 2010
                                            Other, 12 %                         United States, 14 %

                                   Turkey, 2 %
                              Brazil, 3 %
                           Canada, 2 %
                       Spain, 2 %
                                                            129 million
                Indonesia, 4 %                              25-34 year-                          China, 18 %
                                                             olds with
             United Kingdom, 3 %                              tertiary
                                                             education
                    Germany, 2 %
                           France, 3 %
                             Mexico, 3 %
                                                                                        Russian Federation, 11 %
                                   Korea, 4 %


                                              India, 11 %
                                                                          Japan, 7 %
Source: OECD Projections
Share of 25-34 year-olds with a tertiary degree
                                   OECD and G20 countries, 2020
                                                Other, 12 %                    United States, 11 %

                                  Turkey, 2 %

                              Brazil, 3 %
                           Canada, 2 %
                           Spain, 1 %
                                                              204 million
                    Indonesia, 6 %                            25-34 year-
                                                                                                     China, 29 %
                                                               olds with
                                                                tertiary
              United Kingdom, 4 %
                                                               education
                       Germany, 2 %
                          France, 2 %
                           Mexico, 3 %
                                 Korea, 3 %

                                                                                Russian Federation, 7 %
                                            India, 12 %
                                                                  Japan, 4 %
Source: OECD Projections
25-34 year olds with tertiary education in 2020

     millions
       160

                                                                         China
       140


       120
                                                                         India

       100                                                               United States

        80                                                               Russian Federation

        60
                                                                         Indonesia
        40
                                                                         Japan
        20
                                                                         United Kingdom
        -
                            2000             2010             2020


Source: OECD projections
International students by destination

3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000
                                                                                          2000
1,500
                                                                                          2010
1,000

  500

     0
             United Kingdom               United States    Total OECD    Total non-OECD
                                                          destinations     destinations

Source: OECD Education at a Glance
Origin of international students

  United Kingdom destination                                    All destinations


                                            Asia                                   Asia

                                            Europe                                 Europe

                                            Africa                                 Africa

                                            North America                          North America

                                            Latin America and                      Latin America and
                                            the Caribbean                          the Caribbean
                                            Oceania                                Oceania




Source: OECD Education at a Glance
International students as a share of all students in countrya

              Tertiary-type A programmes                                         Advanced research programmes
25                                                                    60


                                                                      50
20


                                                                      40
15

                                                                      30

10
                                                                      20

5
                                                                      10


0                                                                     0
       Australia    United   Austria Switzerland   France    New           Switzerland   France    United    New      Australia   United
                   Kingdom                                  Zealand                               Kingdom   Zealand               States



     a. Foreign students for France
     Source: OECD Education at a Glance
1. A global world
2. Higher education in a global world as a national asset for the UK
3. Higher education as a national asset for UK prosperity in a global
   world
Net private and public benefits to higher education, 2008
                                     Men                                                   Women
   USD                                                             USD
                               private     public                                      private   public
   000s                                                            000s
      180                                                           180

      160                                                           160

      140                                                           140

      120                                                           120

      100                                                           100

          80                                                         80

          60                                                         60

          40                                                         40

          20                                                         20

          0                                                           0
                  United Kingdom                    OECD average          United Kingdom                  OECD average



converted using PPPs for GDP
Source: OECD Education at a Glance
Unemployment rates, 25-34 year olds
                                                                                 Below upper secondary
                                                   United Kingdom                Upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary
                                                                                 Tertiary education
      20

      18

      16

      14

      12

      10

       8

       6

       4

       2

       0
             1997    1998    1999    2000   2001    2002   2003   2004   2005   2006     2007     2008     2009     2010

Source: OECD Education at a Glance
Unemployment rates, 25-34 year olds
                                                                                   Below upper secondary
                                                             OECD                  Upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary
                                                                                   Tertiary education

          20

          18

          16

          14

          12

          10

           8

           6

           4

           2

           0
                1997    1998     1999   2000   2001   2002    2003   2004   2005       2006      2007      2008     2009     2010
Source: OECD Education at a Glance
Share of 25-34 years with tertiary education
                                Tertiary-type B education   Tertiary-type A and advanced research programmes
  70


  60
                        United Kingdom
                                                                                OECD average
  50


  40


  30


  20


  10


   0




Source: OECD Education at a Glance
Educational attainment of 25-34 year-old non-student population
                                (2009)
                      United Kingdom                                                  OECD
                            Low      Medium    High                             Low    Medium      High

       70%                                                        70%


       60%                                                        60%


       50%                                                        50%


       40%                                                        40%


       30%                                                        30%


       20%                                                        20%


       10%                                                        10%


        0%                                                        0%
                   Low                Medium               High         Low              Medium                High
                          Parents'educational attainment                      Parents'educational attainment



Source: OECD Education at a Glance
Educational mobility of 25-34 year-old non-students (2009)
                                            Upward mobility   Downward mobility

70%


60%


50%                                       United Kingdom
                                                                    OECD average
40%


30%


20%


10%


0%




  Upward/downward mobility means attaining an education level higher/lower than parents
  Source: OECD Education at a Glance
Educational background of tertiary students
                                               (2009)
                            United Kingdom                                                                      OECD

       Proportion of 20-34 year old students in higher education by parents'            Proportion of 20-34 year old students in higher education by parents'
       educational attainment                                                           educational attainment
       Parents' educational attainment in the total parent population (students         Parents' educational attainment in the total parent population (students and
       and non-students)                                                                non-students)
60%                                                                               60%


50%                                                                               50%


40%                                                                               40%


30%                                                                               30%


20%                                                                               20%


10%                                                                               10%


0%                                                                                0%
              Low                    Medium                     High                            Low                     Medium                    High
                         Parents’ educational attainment                                                   Parents’ educational attainment



Source: OECD Education at a Glance
Thank you!

To learn more about the OECD Higher Education Programme

                     please visit our website: www.oecd.org/edu/imhe



If you would like to join the OECD Higher Education Programme1

                              please contact us at imhe@oecd.org



1. Membership of the programme is open to higher education institutions, government departments, agencies
   and certain non-profit organisations

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Higher education: a national asset in a global world

  • 1. Higher Education: a national asset in a global world Deborah Roseveare Head of Skills Beyond School Division Directorate for Education and Skills OECD 27 February 2013
  • 2. 1. A global world 2. Higher education in a global world as a national asset for the UK 3. Higher education as a national asset for UK prosperity in a global world
  • 3. 1. A global world 2. Higher education in a global world as a national asset for the UK 3. Higher education as a national asset for UK prosperity in a global world
  • 4. Economic backdrop in a global world: current challenges “Recovering from the recession, improving longer-term growth potential and reducing inequality are key challenges for the UK economy. “ OECD Economic Surveys, United Kingdom, 2013
  • 5. Economic backdrop in a global world: long-term prospects 2050 United States Japan Other G7 Other OECD China India Other non-OECD Source: OECD Economic Outlook 91, 2012
  • 6. OECD demographic projections 2000 1 130 million 2050 1 334 million men women 85+ 80 - 84 75 - 79 70 - 74 65 - 69 60 - 64 55 - 59 50 - 54 45 - 49 40 - 44 35 - 39 30 - 34 25 - 29 20 - 24 15 - 19 10 - 14 5-9 0-4 ,10 ,8 ,6 ,4 ,2 ,0 ,0 ,2 ,4 ,6 ,8 ,10 Source: OECD
  • 7. 1. A global world 2. Higher education in a global world as a national asset for the UK 3. Higher education as a national asset for UK prosperity in a global world
  • 8. Share of 25-34 year-olds with a tertiary degree OECD and G20 countries, 2010 Other, 12 % United States, 14 % Turkey, 2 % Brazil, 3 % Canada, 2 % Spain, 2 % 129 million Indonesia, 4 % 25-34 year- China, 18 % olds with United Kingdom, 3 % tertiary education Germany, 2 % France, 3 % Mexico, 3 % Russian Federation, 11 % Korea, 4 % India, 11 % Japan, 7 % Source: OECD Projections
  • 9. Share of 25-34 year-olds with a tertiary degree OECD and G20 countries, 2020 Other, 12 % United States, 11 % Turkey, 2 % Brazil, 3 % Canada, 2 % Spain, 1 % 204 million Indonesia, 6 % 25-34 year- China, 29 % olds with tertiary United Kingdom, 4 % education Germany, 2 % France, 2 % Mexico, 3 % Korea, 3 % Russian Federation, 7 % India, 12 % Japan, 4 % Source: OECD Projections
  • 10. 25-34 year olds with tertiary education in 2020 millions 160 China 140 120 India 100 United States 80 Russian Federation 60 Indonesia 40 Japan 20 United Kingdom - 2000 2010 2020 Source: OECD projections
  • 11. International students by destination 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 2000 1,500 2010 1,000 500 0 United Kingdom United States Total OECD Total non-OECD destinations destinations Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 12. Origin of international students United Kingdom destination All destinations Asia Asia Europe Europe Africa Africa North America North America Latin America and Latin America and the Caribbean the Caribbean Oceania Oceania Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 13. International students as a share of all students in countrya Tertiary-type A programmes Advanced research programmes 25 60 50 20 40 15 30 10 20 5 10 0 0 Australia United Austria Switzerland France New Switzerland France United New Australia United Kingdom Zealand Kingdom Zealand States a. Foreign students for France Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 14. 1. A global world 2. Higher education in a global world as a national asset for the UK 3. Higher education as a national asset for UK prosperity in a global world
  • 15. Net private and public benefits to higher education, 2008 Men Women USD USD private public private public 000s 000s 180 180 160 160 140 140 120 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 United Kingdom OECD average United Kingdom OECD average converted using PPPs for GDP Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 16. Unemployment rates, 25-34 year olds Below upper secondary United Kingdom Upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary Tertiary education 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 17. Unemployment rates, 25-34 year olds Below upper secondary OECD Upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary Tertiary education 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 18. Share of 25-34 years with tertiary education Tertiary-type B education Tertiary-type A and advanced research programmes 70 60 United Kingdom OECD average 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 19. Educational attainment of 25-34 year-old non-student population (2009) United Kingdom OECD Low Medium High Low Medium High 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% Low Medium High Low Medium High Parents'educational attainment Parents'educational attainment Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 20. Educational mobility of 25-34 year-old non-students (2009) Upward mobility Downward mobility 70% 60% 50% United Kingdom OECD average 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Upward/downward mobility means attaining an education level higher/lower than parents Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 21. Educational background of tertiary students (2009) United Kingdom OECD Proportion of 20-34 year old students in higher education by parents' Proportion of 20-34 year old students in higher education by parents' educational attainment educational attainment Parents' educational attainment in the total parent population (students Parents' educational attainment in the total parent population (students and and non-students) non-students) 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% Low Medium High Low Medium High Parents’ educational attainment Parents’ educational attainment Source: OECD Education at a Glance
  • 22. Thank you! To learn more about the OECD Higher Education Programme please visit our website: www.oecd.org/edu/imhe If you would like to join the OECD Higher Education Programme1 please contact us at imhe@oecd.org 1. Membership of the programme is open to higher education institutions, government departments, agencies and certain non-profit organisations