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Future Concepts in
                                     Intelligence:
                              Multi-Discipline Intelligence
                                  Production Teams
                                                                              Bruce Goldfeder, CSSLP
                                                                                 September 26, 2012




http://www.data-tactics.com


                              Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Paradigm Shift in the Intel Ecosystem
• Data Deluge
  – Sensors and Sensor Data are increasing at exponential rates
  – Move beyond traditional sources of data
  – “The storm of data is 1500% heavier than it was just five years ago while
    our ability to process, exploit and disseminate has increased about 30%”
    Gen Robert Kehler, USSTRATCOM, 2011




                           Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Big Data Opportunities




                                                Bruce Weed, IBM Corporation




Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Big data—a growing torrent

•   $600 to buy a disk drive that can store all of the world’s music

•   5 billion mobile phones in use in 2010

•   30 billion pieces of content shared on Facebook every month

•   40% projected growth in global data generated per year vs. 5% growth in global IT spending

•   235 terabytes data collected by the US Library of Congress by April 2011

•   15 out of 17 sectors in the United States have more data stored per company than the US
    Library of Congress


                                                       McKinsey, Big Data Report, 2011



                                     Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Work Smartly with Data

“There’s a method to solving data problems that avoids the big, heavyweight
   solution, and instead, concentrates building something quickly and
   iterating. Smart data scientists don’t just solve big, hard problems; they
   also have an instinct for making big problems small.
We call this Data Jujitsu: the art of using multiple data elements in clever
   ways to solve iterative problems that, when combined, solve a data
   problem that might otherwise be intractable.”

DJ Patil, Data Jujitsu: The Art of Turning Data into Product, 2012




                                     Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Knowledge Pyramid




Traditional Knowledge Pyramid                            Path to Actionable Insights
                                                                                   Dr. Caron Kogan



                           Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Technical Team Members




 Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Integrated Data Team

• Intelligence teams tackling the hard problems
  – Senior members
  – Mixture of IT, Software, Statistics, and Intelligence
    SMEs
  – Serve as the Vanguard for creating new
     •   Processes
     •   Actionable Data Products
     •   IT Tools
     •   Visualizations



                       Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Left and Right Brain

• Disciplined methods of traditional data mining
  accelerated with iterative and rapid “what ifs”
• Requirement for unreasonable input – challenge
  existing truths to find new patterns
• Intimate knowledge of the mission problems that
  analytics or predictive analysis are addressing
• Ability to communicate findings using the
  customers language
• Original visualizations required to convey abstract
  and complicated results

                   Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
New Visualizations




Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
DARPA Example

• Integrated Team Supporting Theater Commander
  – Retired Special Operator
  – Social Scientist
  – Quantitative Mathematicians
  – Software Developer
  – Data Scientist
  – IT, Database, and UI personnel




                    Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Threat Finance Analytics
                                                          Who Is Interested?
State Sponsorship        Drug Economy                     • CJ-2/CJIOC-A
                                                                   –    Direction from BG Fogarty to support ATFC
   Foreign Aid             Corruption                                   and Shafafiyat (Jan 2011)
                                                          •     Afghan Threat Finance Cell
                                                                   –    DEA-led fusion center, Treasury and DoD
                                                                        are deputy leads
                                                                   –    Active feedback loop with DEA Office of
                                                                        Financial Operations
                                                          •     CJIATF-SHAFAFIYAT (BG McMaster)
                                                          •     NSA FTM Analysts
               Threat Finance
                                                          State of the Art
                                                          • Highly manual analysis
                                                          • No single agency has full picture
                                                          • Technologies are limited
    Violence              Capital Flight


                                Automated tools for rapid analysis
                                   with massive multi-int data
 2/12/2013                                                                                                        12
                                   Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
ATFC Data
          80,000+ spreadsheets
          Millions of records with variable structure
Conduit                 Description                               Accts     Interval          Records        Refine Stage

                                                                                                             Two stages of data
Shaheen Exchange (aka
                        Physical storefronts of the                                           ~1.2 million   cleaning complete; third
Central Accounts)
                        exchange. Branches in and out of          95        2001-2010                        stage necessary
ShaheenExchage Daily    Afghanistan.                                                                         First stage of data clean in
                                                                                              ~1.8 million
Balances                                                                                                     progress
Hawala Accounts (aka    Dubai-based hawala accounts,                                                         Two stages of data
                                                                  390       1998-2010         434, 401
“B” Computer)           centrally maintained.                                                                cleaning complete
                        Shaheen Exchange is a Western                                                        Two stages of data
Western Union                                                     UNK       2001-2010         106, 176
                        Union sub-agent.                                                                     cleaning complete
                        T accounts are debits, loans and
                                                                                                             Initial specs and setup –
“T” Accounts            payables to the Shaheen Exchange          555       2000-2010         ~421,575
                                                                                                             highpriority
                        in Dubai
                        L accounts are bank accounts
                                                                                                             Initial specs and setup –
“L” Accounts            associated with the Sherkhan group        86        2000-2010         ~337,260
                                                                                                             highpriority
                        of companies
                        Records and stores transactions of
AFRAT                   international exchange branch             UNK       2004-2010         Unknown        Not started
                        locations



 2/12/2013                                                                                                                           13
                                              Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Accomplishments

• Toolset for faster DEA Shaheen Exchange data analysis
• Geolocated 9 additional branches in AfPak region that DEA did
  not know existed; and 45 overall worldwide
• DEA work results from using our data
     – Identified transactions with several banks in violation of OFAC
       sanction designation
     – Known cash courier Mr. X (name classified) under
       investigation as a result




2/12/2013                                                                   14
                            Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
Accomplishments (cont.)
• Fast query of stacked large data sets with a                               Data Resolution
  user-friendly search and visualization tool                                • Cleaned 14,538
                                                                                spreadsheets
Country: 947 -> 490                                                              – 20% of the data
Technique    Rows Modified     Western Union: Original                           – Sheets prioritized
Neighbor     55K – 52%        number of unique entries in                          by user interest
                              the “country” field was 4.5
Ngram        10K – 9%
                              times the actual number of                         – Orders of
Metaphone    97K – 92%           countries in the world!                           magnitude faster
                                                                                   processing for
                                                                                   threat finance
                                                                                   analysis
                                                                             • Resolved ~88k
• Tools immediately put to use by DEA/ATFC in                                  entities
  support of active and historical criminal                                      – 12% improvement
  cases
• Saved one 24/7 man-year of work that                                         Provingcapabilities to
  would have been spent simply scanning                                      partners in theater and in
  records                                                                    CONUS has enabled trust
                                                                               and data acquisition
 2/12/2013                                                                                         15
                             Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material

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Multi Discipline Intelligence Production Teams 1

  • 1. Future Concepts in Intelligence: Multi-Discipline Intelligence Production Teams Bruce Goldfeder, CSSLP September 26, 2012 http://www.data-tactics.com Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 2. Paradigm Shift in the Intel Ecosystem • Data Deluge – Sensors and Sensor Data are increasing at exponential rates – Move beyond traditional sources of data – “The storm of data is 1500% heavier than it was just five years ago while our ability to process, exploit and disseminate has increased about 30%” Gen Robert Kehler, USSTRATCOM, 2011 Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 3. Big Data Opportunities Bruce Weed, IBM Corporation Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 4. Big data—a growing torrent • $600 to buy a disk drive that can store all of the world’s music • 5 billion mobile phones in use in 2010 • 30 billion pieces of content shared on Facebook every month • 40% projected growth in global data generated per year vs. 5% growth in global IT spending • 235 terabytes data collected by the US Library of Congress by April 2011 • 15 out of 17 sectors in the United States have more data stored per company than the US Library of Congress McKinsey, Big Data Report, 2011 Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 5. Work Smartly with Data “There’s a method to solving data problems that avoids the big, heavyweight solution, and instead, concentrates building something quickly and iterating. Smart data scientists don’t just solve big, hard problems; they also have an instinct for making big problems small. We call this Data Jujitsu: the art of using multiple data elements in clever ways to solve iterative problems that, when combined, solve a data problem that might otherwise be intractable.” DJ Patil, Data Jujitsu: The Art of Turning Data into Product, 2012 Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 6. Knowledge Pyramid Traditional Knowledge Pyramid Path to Actionable Insights Dr. Caron Kogan Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 7. Technical Team Members Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 8. Integrated Data Team • Intelligence teams tackling the hard problems – Senior members – Mixture of IT, Software, Statistics, and Intelligence SMEs – Serve as the Vanguard for creating new • Processes • Actionable Data Products • IT Tools • Visualizations Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 9. Left and Right Brain • Disciplined methods of traditional data mining accelerated with iterative and rapid “what ifs” • Requirement for unreasonable input – challenge existing truths to find new patterns • Intimate knowledge of the mission problems that analytics or predictive analysis are addressing • Ability to communicate findings using the customers language • Original visualizations required to convey abstract and complicated results Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 10. New Visualizations Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 11. DARPA Example • Integrated Team Supporting Theater Commander – Retired Special Operator – Social Scientist – Quantitative Mathematicians – Software Developer – Data Scientist – IT, Database, and UI personnel Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 12. Threat Finance Analytics Who Is Interested? State Sponsorship Drug Economy • CJ-2/CJIOC-A – Direction from BG Fogarty to support ATFC Foreign Aid Corruption and Shafafiyat (Jan 2011) • Afghan Threat Finance Cell – DEA-led fusion center, Treasury and DoD are deputy leads – Active feedback loop with DEA Office of Financial Operations • CJIATF-SHAFAFIYAT (BG McMaster) • NSA FTM Analysts Threat Finance State of the Art • Highly manual analysis • No single agency has full picture • Technologies are limited Violence Capital Flight Automated tools for rapid analysis with massive multi-int data 2/12/2013 12 Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 13. ATFC Data 80,000+ spreadsheets Millions of records with variable structure Conduit Description Accts Interval Records Refine Stage Two stages of data Shaheen Exchange (aka Physical storefronts of the ~1.2 million cleaning complete; third Central Accounts) exchange. Branches in and out of 95 2001-2010 stage necessary ShaheenExchage Daily Afghanistan. First stage of data clean in ~1.8 million Balances progress Hawala Accounts (aka Dubai-based hawala accounts, Two stages of data 390 1998-2010 434, 401 “B” Computer) centrally maintained. cleaning complete Shaheen Exchange is a Western Two stages of data Western Union UNK 2001-2010 106, 176 Union sub-agent. cleaning complete T accounts are debits, loans and Initial specs and setup – “T” Accounts payables to the Shaheen Exchange 555 2000-2010 ~421,575 highpriority in Dubai L accounts are bank accounts Initial specs and setup – “L” Accounts associated with the Sherkhan group 86 2000-2010 ~337,260 highpriority of companies Records and stores transactions of AFRAT international exchange branch UNK 2004-2010 Unknown Not started locations 2/12/2013 13 Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 14. Accomplishments • Toolset for faster DEA Shaheen Exchange data analysis • Geolocated 9 additional branches in AfPak region that DEA did not know existed; and 45 overall worldwide • DEA work results from using our data – Identified transactions with several banks in violation of OFAC sanction designation – Known cash courier Mr. X (name classified) under investigation as a result 2/12/2013 14 Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material
  • 15. Accomplishments (cont.) • Fast query of stacked large data sets with a Data Resolution user-friendly search and visualization tool • Cleaned 14,538 spreadsheets Country: 947 -> 490 – 20% of the data Technique Rows Modified Western Union: Original – Sheets prioritized Neighbor 55K – 52% number of unique entries in by user interest the “country” field was 4.5 Ngram 10K – 9% times the actual number of – Orders of Metaphone 97K – 92% countries in the world! magnitude faster processing for threat finance analysis • Resolved ~88k • Tools immediately put to use by DEA/ATFC in entities support of active and historical criminal – 12% improvement cases • Saved one 24/7 man-year of work that Provingcapabilities to would have been spent simply scanning partners in theater and in records CONUS has enabled trust and data acquisition 2/12/2013 15 Data Tactics Corporation Proprietary Material

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. The Kabul Bank /Shaheen Exchange information that DARPA assisted in compiling is being used in support of active and historic criminal cases to: -          Identify the persons, means, extent and nature of the over 900 Million USD theft of Kabul Bank funds during 2004-2010.  -          Identify terrorism linked persons and entities that conducted financial transactions through Kabul Bank/Shaheen Exchange. -          Identify the informal money transfer systems that financially support transnational criminal organizations and the crimes they commit.-          Identify illegal money service businesses located within the United States and seek the prosecution of the persons operating them.-          Identify the financial transactions and persons who conducted them linked to criminal activity for OFAC sanction designation.-          And other terrorism and criminal activity, i.e. bribery, official corruption,
  2. The Kabul Bank /Shaheen Exchange information that DARPA assisted in compiling is being used in support of active and historic criminal cases to: -          Identify the persons, means, extent and nature of the over 900 Million USD theft of Kabul Bank funds during 2004-2010.  -          Identify terrorism linked persons and entities that conducted financial transactions through Kabul Bank/Shaheen Exchange. -          Identify the informal money transfer systems that financially support transnational criminal organizations and the crimes they commit.-          Identify illegal money service businesses located within the United States and seek the prosecution of the persons operating them.-          Identify the financial transactions and persons who conducted them linked to criminal activity for OFAC sanction designation.-          And other terrorism and criminal activity, i.e. bribery, official corruption,