ICPSR - Complex Systems Models in the Social Sciences - Lecture 2 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz
1. Complex Systems Models
in the Social Sciences
(Lecture 2)
daniel martin katz
illinois institute of technology
chicago kent college of law
@computationaldanielmartinkatz.com computationallegalstudies.com
4. Introduction to
Network Analysis
What is a Network?
What is a Social Network?
Mathematical Representation of the
Relationships Between Units such as
Actors, Institutions, Software, etc.
Special class of graph Involving
Particular Units and Connections
6. Social Science
For Images and Links to
Underlying projects:
http://jhfowler.ucsd.edu/
3D HiDef SCOTUS Movie
Co-Sponsorship in Congress
Spread of Obesity
Hiring and Placement of
Political Science PhD’s
7. Social Science
The 2004 Political Blogosphere
(Adamic & Glance)
High School Friendship
(Moody)
Roll Call Votes in Congress
(Mucha, et al)
14. Example: Nodes in an actor-
based social Network
Alice
Bill
Carrie
David
Ellen
How Can We Represent The
Relevant Social Relationships?
Terminology & Examples
21. A Survey Based Example
“Which of the above individuals
do you consider a close friend?”
Image We Surveyed 5 Actors:
(1) Daniel,
(2) Jennifer,
(3) Josh,
(4) Bill,
(5) Larry
22. From an EdgeList to Matrix
1 2 3 4 5
---------------------------
Daniel (1) 0 1 1 1 1
Jennifer (2) 1 0 1 0 0
Josh (3) 0 1 0 1 1
Bill (4) 0 0 0 0 0
Larry (5) 1 1 1 1 0
*Directed Connections (Arcs) 13
1 2
1 3
1 4
1 5
2 1
2 3
3 4
3 5
3 2
5 1
5 4
5 3
5 2
ROWS è COLUMNS
*How to Read the Edge List: (Person in Column 1 is friends with Person in Column 2)
23. 1 2 3 4 5
---------------------------
Daniel (1) 0 1 1 1 1
Jennifer (2) 1 0 1 0 0
Josh (3) 0 1 0 1 1
Bill (4) 0 0 0 0 0
Larry (5) 1 1 1 1 0
From a Survey
to a Network
34. The Origin of Network
Science is Graph Theory
The Königsberg Bridge Problem
the first theorem in graph theory
Is It Possible to cross each bridge
each and only once?
35. The Königsberg Bridge Problem
Leonhard Euler
proved that this was
not possible
Is It Possible to
cross each bridge
each and only once?
36. Eulerian and
Hamiltonian Paths
Eulerian path: traverse
each edge exactly once
If starting point and end point are the same:
only possible if no nodes have an odd degree
each path must visit and leave each shore
If don’t need to return to starting point
can have 0 or 2 nodes with an odd degree
Hamiltonian path: visit
each vertex exactly once
38. Moreno, Heider, et. al.
and the Early Scholarship
Focused Upon Determining the Manner in
Which Society was Organized
Developed early techniques to represent the
social world Sociogram/ Sociograph
Obviously did not
have access to
modern computing
power
39. Stanley Milgram’s
Other Experiment
Milgram was interested in the
structure of society
Including the social distance
between individuals
While the term “six degrees” is often
attributed to milgram it can be traced to ideas
from hungarian author Frigyes Karinthy
What is the average distance
between two individuals in
society?
41. Six Degrees of Separation?
NE
MA
Target person worked in Boston as a stockbroker
296 senders from Boston and Omaha.
20% of senders reached target.
Average chain length = 6.5.
And So the term ...
“Six degrees of Separation”
42. Six Degrees
Six Degrees is a claim that “average path
length” between two individuals in society
is ~ 6
The idea of ‘Six Degrees’ Popularized
through plays/movies and the kevin bacon
game
http://oracleofbacon.org/
45. But What is Wrong
with Milgram’s Logic?
150(150) = 22,500
150 3 = 3,375,000
150 4 = 506,250,000
150 5= 75,937,500,000
46. The Strength of ‘Weak’ Ties
Does Milgram get
it right? (Mark Granovetter)
Visualization Source: Early Friendster – MIT Network
www.visualcomplexity.com
Strong and Weak Ties
(Clustered
v.
Spanning)
Clustering ----
My Friends’ Friends
are also likely to
be friends
47. So Was Milgram Correct?
Small Worlds (i.e. Six Degrees) was a theoretical
and an empirical Claim
The Theoretical Account Was Incorrect
The Empirical Claim was still intact
Query as to how could real social networks
display both small worlds and clustering?
At the Same time, the Strength of Weak Ties was
also an Theoretical and Empirical proposition